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1 
Who is Epsilon? 
www.epsilonplus.dk 
Carsten Lund & EPSILON 
•Injection Moulding 
•Process analysis 
•Six Sigma Projects 
•GMP assistance and process validation. 
•Associate partner RISMA (http://rismasystems.com/) 
Background: 15+ years in medical device 
•Injection moulding optimizations and validation 
•Project management 
•Six Sigma and other applied statistics 
•Optimization and documentation for work flow 
•Operational management; Quality, Moulding, Metrology
2 
CHALLENGES !
Validation 
MUST VALIDATE MUST NOT 
The process to the left does not provide a guarantee that all bad (red) parts 
are removed. 
The process on the right can only “produce” good (green) parts – it may reject 
some good parts but it will never approve bad parts. 
Injection Moulding is like the process to the left 
It has a lot of variables; process parameters, material variation, wear, ambient 
temperature…. You name it
Process window 
Challenge the process to establish evidence
Process window 
Var = √ dT2 + ds2 + d2 +….. 
Just a few variables are controlable 
But the output; Variation, can be “forced” to max by those few 
Var = √ dT2 + ds2 + d2 +…..
DOE 
Design Of Experiment 
= Planning by applying statistical methods
7 
DOE 
PLANNING 
What is the purpose? 
Screening 
Details 
What kind of output 
Any ”specials” to consider? 
Two days, two shifts, three machines, 
Process knowledge 
Select type and extent of the (first) experiment
8 
DOE OUPUT 
7 
6 
5 
4 
3 
2 
1 
A Pareto diagram tells 
what paremeters are 
significant, but just as 
interesting: 
– which one are 
INsignificant
DOE 
0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1,0 1,2 
25,49 
25,48 
25,47 
25,46 
Packing time 
Q-Measure 
75,0 77,5 80,0 82,5 85,0 87,5 90,0 
25,49 
25,48 
25,47 
25,46 
Mold temp. 
Q-Measure 
Scatterplot of Q-Measure vs Packing time 
Scatterplot of Q-Measure vs Mold temp. 
Linearity or not 
Check the Data 
Samples are just that: samples 
Statistical analysis accepts a level 
of chance called confidence
CONFIDENCE 
Based on a sample we can say; this is the result we got and this is what 
exactly these 15 parts are like 
But if we tried it again we could get another result 
LSL USL 
I am reasonably (80%) sure that we 
But I am very certain (99%) that itw ould get something in this interval 
will not fall outside this range
Sample size 
Signal to noise ratio. 
The signal is the “answer” searched for 
and the noise is what “hides” the answer
MSA 
MSA: Measurement System Analysis 
The measurement system (not only in the CMM) will add variation to the data 
NOTICE it is “variation” not ”error” 
Will cause doubt about quality 
LSL USL 
REJECT REJECT 
ACCEPT 
DOUBT DOUBT
13 
Gauge R&R 
What difference do we need to detect? 
Gage R&R Study for Pos.2 
Small or large part-varitation? 
Summary Report 
0%10% 30% 100% 
Yes No 
60,6% of all process variation can be attributed to the 
Gage R&R Study for Pos.2 
measurement system. The process variation is estimated from 
the parts in the study. 
60,6% 
Summary Report 
0%10% 30% 100% 
0%10% 30% 100% 
Yes No 
Yes No 
6,5% 
7,0% 
Measurement system variation equals 6,5% of the tolerance. 
60 
Yes No 
40 
7,0% of all process variation can be attributed to the 
measurement system. A historical standard deviation is used to 
0%10% 30% 100% 
30 
% of Process 
% of Tolerance 
Study Information 
Number of parts in study 5 
Number of operators in study 2 
Number of replicates 3 
General rules used to determine the capability of the system: 
<10%: acceptable 
Study Information 
10% - 30%: marginal 
Number of parts in study 5 
>30%: unacceptable 
Number of operators in study 2 
Number of replicates 3 
Examine the bar chart showing the component contributions, 
(Replicates: Number of times each operator measured each part) 
and use this information to guide improvements: 
-- Test-Retest component (Repeatability): The variation that 
occurs when the same person measures the same item multiple 
Comments 
times. This accounts for 58,2% of the measurement variation. It 
is 35,2% of the total variation in the process. 
General rules used to determine the capability of the system: 
-- Operator component (Reproducibility): The variation that 
<10%: acceptable 
occurs when different people measure the same item. This 
10% - 30%: marginal 
accounts for 81,4% of the measurement variation. It is 49,3% 
>30%: unacceptable 
of the total variation in the process. 
Variation Breakdown 
Is there a problem with repeatability or 
reproducibility? 
(Replicates: Number of times each operator measured each part) 
Comments 
Can you adequately assess process performance? 
Can you sort good parts from bad? 
estimate the process variation. 
6,5% 
Measurement system variation equals 6,5% of the tolerance. 
Examine the bar chart showing the component contributions, 
and use this information to guide improvements: 
Can you adequately assess process performance? 
Can you sort good parts from bad? 
Apply historical Standard deviation: 
σ = TOLERANCE / 8
14 
CAPABILITY 
What Cpk do you need? 
0.2% x 0.2% = 4 PPM 
(Two parts interfacing each with Cpk = 1) 
Capability PPM 
1,00 2025 
1,33 50 
1,66 0,5 
2,00 0,001 
3,00 0,0000
15 
CAPABILITY 
Samples size do not need to be big ! 
7 
6 
5 
4 
3 
2 
1 
0 
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 
Capability indeks 
Sample size 
5,00 
4,50 
4,00 
3,50 
3,00 
2,50 
2,00 
1,50 
1,00 
0,50 
0,00 
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 
Capability indeks 
Sample size 
It needs to be adequate !
16 
CAPABILITY 
Applying Confidence 
2,00 
1,80 
1,60 
1,40 
1,20 
1,00 
0,80 
0,60 
0,40 
0,20 
0,00 
90% large variation 
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10111213141516171819202122232425262728293031 
4,50 
4,00 
3,50 
3,00 
2,50 
2,00 
1,50 
1,00 
0,50 
0,00 
90% small variation 
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10111213141516171819202122232425262728293031 
4,50 
4,00 
3,50 
3,00 
2,50 
2,00 
1,50 
1,00 
0,50 
0,00 
80% small 
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10111213141516171819202122232425262728293031 
4,50 
4,00 
3,50 
3,00 
2,50 
2,00 
1,50 
1,00 
0,50 
0,00 
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10111213141516171819202122232425262728293031 
Any mistake is now on the safe side 
AND 
About 10-15 samples is adequate for both 
70% small
17 
WRAP UP 
CONSIDER THE RISK AND FOCUS ON THE PRODUCT
18 
WRAP UP 
WHAT ARE WE LOOKING FOR?
19 
WRAP UP 
DO NOT BLINDLY JUMP TO CONCLUSIONS

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Who is Epsilon and Process Validation

  • 1. 1 Who is Epsilon? www.epsilonplus.dk Carsten Lund & EPSILON •Injection Moulding •Process analysis •Six Sigma Projects •GMP assistance and process validation. •Associate partner RISMA (http://rismasystems.com/) Background: 15+ years in medical device •Injection moulding optimizations and validation •Project management •Six Sigma and other applied statistics •Optimization and documentation for work flow •Operational management; Quality, Moulding, Metrology
  • 3. Validation MUST VALIDATE MUST NOT The process to the left does not provide a guarantee that all bad (red) parts are removed. The process on the right can only “produce” good (green) parts – it may reject some good parts but it will never approve bad parts. Injection Moulding is like the process to the left It has a lot of variables; process parameters, material variation, wear, ambient temperature…. You name it
  • 4. Process window Challenge the process to establish evidence
  • 5. Process window Var = √ dT2 + ds2 + d2 +….. Just a few variables are controlable But the output; Variation, can be “forced” to max by those few Var = √ dT2 + ds2 + d2 +…..
  • 6. DOE Design Of Experiment = Planning by applying statistical methods
  • 7. 7 DOE PLANNING What is the purpose? Screening Details What kind of output Any ”specials” to consider? Two days, two shifts, three machines, Process knowledge Select type and extent of the (first) experiment
  • 8. 8 DOE OUPUT 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 A Pareto diagram tells what paremeters are significant, but just as interesting: – which one are INsignificant
  • 9. DOE 0,2 0,4 0,6 0,8 1,0 1,2 25,49 25,48 25,47 25,46 Packing time Q-Measure 75,0 77,5 80,0 82,5 85,0 87,5 90,0 25,49 25,48 25,47 25,46 Mold temp. Q-Measure Scatterplot of Q-Measure vs Packing time Scatterplot of Q-Measure vs Mold temp. Linearity or not Check the Data Samples are just that: samples Statistical analysis accepts a level of chance called confidence
  • 10. CONFIDENCE Based on a sample we can say; this is the result we got and this is what exactly these 15 parts are like But if we tried it again we could get another result LSL USL I am reasonably (80%) sure that we But I am very certain (99%) that itw ould get something in this interval will not fall outside this range
  • 11. Sample size Signal to noise ratio. The signal is the “answer” searched for and the noise is what “hides” the answer
  • 12. MSA MSA: Measurement System Analysis The measurement system (not only in the CMM) will add variation to the data NOTICE it is “variation” not ”error” Will cause doubt about quality LSL USL REJECT REJECT ACCEPT DOUBT DOUBT
  • 13. 13 Gauge R&R What difference do we need to detect? Gage R&R Study for Pos.2 Small or large part-varitation? Summary Report 0%10% 30% 100% Yes No 60,6% of all process variation can be attributed to the Gage R&R Study for Pos.2 measurement system. The process variation is estimated from the parts in the study. 60,6% Summary Report 0%10% 30% 100% 0%10% 30% 100% Yes No Yes No 6,5% 7,0% Measurement system variation equals 6,5% of the tolerance. 60 Yes No 40 7,0% of all process variation can be attributed to the measurement system. A historical standard deviation is used to 0%10% 30% 100% 30 % of Process % of Tolerance Study Information Number of parts in study 5 Number of operators in study 2 Number of replicates 3 General rules used to determine the capability of the system: <10%: acceptable Study Information 10% - 30%: marginal Number of parts in study 5 >30%: unacceptable Number of operators in study 2 Number of replicates 3 Examine the bar chart showing the component contributions, (Replicates: Number of times each operator measured each part) and use this information to guide improvements: -- Test-Retest component (Repeatability): The variation that occurs when the same person measures the same item multiple Comments times. This accounts for 58,2% of the measurement variation. It is 35,2% of the total variation in the process. General rules used to determine the capability of the system: -- Operator component (Reproducibility): The variation that <10%: acceptable occurs when different people measure the same item. This 10% - 30%: marginal accounts for 81,4% of the measurement variation. It is 49,3% >30%: unacceptable of the total variation in the process. Variation Breakdown Is there a problem with repeatability or reproducibility? (Replicates: Number of times each operator measured each part) Comments Can you adequately assess process performance? Can you sort good parts from bad? estimate the process variation. 6,5% Measurement system variation equals 6,5% of the tolerance. Examine the bar chart showing the component contributions, and use this information to guide improvements: Can you adequately assess process performance? Can you sort good parts from bad? Apply historical Standard deviation: σ = TOLERANCE / 8
  • 14. 14 CAPABILITY What Cpk do you need? 0.2% x 0.2% = 4 PPM (Two parts interfacing each with Cpk = 1) Capability PPM 1,00 2025 1,33 50 1,66 0,5 2,00 0,001 3,00 0,0000
  • 15. 15 CAPABILITY Samples size do not need to be big ! 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 Capability indeks Sample size 5,00 4,50 4,00 3,50 3,00 2,50 2,00 1,50 1,00 0,50 0,00 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 Capability indeks Sample size It needs to be adequate !
  • 16. 16 CAPABILITY Applying Confidence 2,00 1,80 1,60 1,40 1,20 1,00 0,80 0,60 0,40 0,20 0,00 90% large variation 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10111213141516171819202122232425262728293031 4,50 4,00 3,50 3,00 2,50 2,00 1,50 1,00 0,50 0,00 90% small variation 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10111213141516171819202122232425262728293031 4,50 4,00 3,50 3,00 2,50 2,00 1,50 1,00 0,50 0,00 80% small 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10111213141516171819202122232425262728293031 4,50 4,00 3,50 3,00 2,50 2,00 1,50 1,00 0,50 0,00 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10111213141516171819202122232425262728293031 Any mistake is now on the safe side AND About 10-15 samples is adequate for both 70% small
  • 17. 17 WRAP UP CONSIDER THE RISK AND FOCUS ON THE PRODUCT
  • 18. 18 WRAP UP WHAT ARE WE LOOKING FOR?
  • 19. 19 WRAP UP DO NOT BLINDLY JUMP TO CONCLUSIONS