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Measurement
is Crucial
74
“Half the money I spend on
advertising is wasted; the trouble
is I don’t know which half”
John Wanamaker
Users are exposed to ads through multiple channels
75
Correlation doesn't imply causation
Source: http://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations
400
500
600
700
800
9
9.5
10
10.5
11
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Civil engineering doctorates
awarded
Per capita consumption
of mozzarella cheese
76
Testing Facebook Ads
Using marketing API
Split testingConversion lift measurement
Test
Control
Ad impressions
No Ad impressions
Test
Control
Facebook population0 100%
0 50%Split #1 50% 100%Split #2
Test group #1
(Campaign IDs or ad set IDs)
Test group #2
(Other campaign IDs or ad set IDs)
77
Test
Conversion Lift and the scientific method
Control
78
Conversion lift
AD IMPRESSION
NO AD IMPRESSION
TEST
CONTROL
TEST
CONTROL
79
Defining an experiment
CAMPAIGN A NO CAMPAIGNVERSUS
Single cell study
Multi cell study
CAMPAIGN A NO CAMPAIGNVERSUS
CAMPAIGN B NO CAMPAIGNVERSUS
CAMPAIGN A
+
CAMPAIGN B
NO CAMPAIGNVERSUS
Study duration and cooldown periods
Pre-study
quiet period
Post-campaign
quiet period
Campaign
duration
APRIL 15 ‘17 MAY 1 ‘17 MAY 8 ‘17TODAY
MEASUREMENT PERIOD
81
How is percentage lift calculated?
TEST CONTROL
3k conversions (exposed)
2k conversions (unexposed)
4k conversions (scaled)
82
Formula
reached conv. - incremental conv.
(3000) (1000)
incremental conv.
(1000)
50%=
percentage lift
83
84
How do I get started?
85
Set up conversion lift study
SET UP A LIFT STUDY WITH ONE TEST GROUP
curl 
-F 'name="new study"' 
-F 'description="description of my study"' 
-F 'start_time=1435622400' 
-F 'end_time=1436918400' 
-F 'cooldown_start_time=1433116800' 
-F 'observation_end_time=1438300800' 
-F 'viewers=[<USER_ID1>, <USER_ID2>]' 
-F 'type=LIFT' 
-F 'cells=[{name:"test group",description:"description of my test group",treatment_percentage:89.75,control_percentage:
10.25,adaccounts:[<ACCOUNT_ID1>,<ACCOUNT_ID2>]}]' 
-F 'objectives=[{name:"new objective",is_primary:true,type:"MAI",applications:[{id:<APP_ID>}]}]' 
-F 'confidence_level=0.9' 
-F 'access_token=<ACCESS_TOKEN>' 
https://graph.facebook.com/<API_VERSION>/<BUSINESS_ID>/ad_studies
86
Multiple groups
curl 
-F 'name="new study"' 
-F 'description="description of my study"' 
-F 'start_time=1435622400' 
-F 'end_time=1436918400' 
-F 'cooldown_start_time=1433116800' 
-F 'observation_end_time=1438300800' 
-F 'viewers=[<USER_ID1>, <USER_ID2>]' 
-F 'type=LIFT' 
-F 'cells=[{name:"group A",description:"description of group A",treatment_percentage:50,control_percentage:20,campaigns:
[<CAMPAIGN_ID1>]},{name:"group B",description:"description of group B",treatment_percentage:20,control_percentage:
10,campaigns:[<CAMPAIGN_ID2>]}]' 
-F 'objectives=[{name:"new objective",is_primary:true,type:"MAI",applications:[{id:<APP_ID>}]}]' 
-F 'access_token=<ACCESS_TOKEN>' 
https://graph.facebook.com/<API_VERSION>/<BUSINESS_ID>/ad_studies
SET UP A LIFT STUDY WITH MULTIPLE TEST GROUPS
-F 'cells=[{name:"group A",description:"description of group A",treatment_percentage:50,control_percentage:20,campaigns:
[<CAMPAIGN_ID1>]},{name:"group B",description:"description of group B",treatment_percentage:20,control_percentage:
10,campaigns:[<CAMPAIGN_ID2>]}]'
87
Lift results API
curl -G
-d 'access_token=<ACCESS_TOKEN>'
https://graph.facebook.com/<API_VERSION>/<STUDY_OBJECTIVE_ID>?fields=results
88
Lift results sample
{
"id": "<STUDY_OBJECTIVE_ID>",
"results": [{
"population.test": 1349292,
"population.control": 336567,
"polutation.reached": 738219,
"impressions": 3349184,
"spend": 23443.12,
"frequency": 4.5368434028385,
"buyers.test": 212300,
"buyers.control": 50823,
"buyers.scaled": 203748.63642603,
"buyers.incremental": 8551.3635739689,
"buyers.delta": 1536.450929913,
"buyers.pValue": 0,
"buyers.isStatSig": 1,
"buyers.reached": 111199,
"buyers.reachedPercent": 0.52378238341969,
"buyers.baseline": 102647.63642603,
"buyers.lift": 0.08330794426164,
"conversions.test": 1473655,
"conversions.control": 362552,
"conversions.scaled": 1453465.4710177,
"conversions.incremental": 20189.528982342,
"conversions.delta": 29532.640850362,
"conversions.pValue": 0.26076775078954,
"conversions.isStatSig": 0,
"conversions.reached": 735235,
"conversions.reachedPercent": 0.49891935358004,
"conversions.baseline": 715045.47101766,
"conversions.lift": 0.028235307824002,
"incrementalROAS": -0.1998564046528,
"sales.test": 2112564.35,
"sales.control": 528126.12,
"sales.scaled": 2117249.607677,
"sales.incremental": -4685.2576770443,
"sales.delta": 113045.85347285,
"sales.pValue": 0.94564373701777,
"sales.isStateSig": 0,
"sales.reached": 1103736.31,
"sales.baseline": 1108421.567677,
"sales.lift": -0.0042269636514411,
}],
}
89
Ad studies breakdowns
curl -G 
-d 'access_token=<ACCESS_TOKEN>' 
https://graph.facebook.com/<API_VERSION>/<STUDY_OBJECTIVE_ID>?fields=results&breakdowns=['cell_id']
{
"id": "<STUDY_OBJECTIVE_ID>",
"results": [
{
"cell_id": "<CELL_ID1>",
...
Default fields where the values are specific to the <CELL_ID1> breakdown
...
},
{
"cell_id": "<CELL_ID2>",
...
Default fields where the values are specific to the <CELL_ID2> breakdown
...
}],
}
• Can run multiple studies at
once
• Use findings to apply
adjustments to attribution
figures
• Retesting period depends
on purchase consideration
cycle length
90
91
How do I get better

results from my

Facebook campaigns?
One of these has 3x the conversions?
Same CTR
92
Group A
A/B test
Group B
93
Ad studies and cells
Split testing provides an easy way to run experiments on how different factors affect the performance of
Facebook ads
Ad formats Landing pages Creatives Bid types Targeting
9494
Defining an experiment
HEADLINE A HEADLINE BVERSUS
Single cell A/B test
FACEBOOK INSTAGRAMVERSUS VERSUS
FACEBOOK
+
INSTAGRAM
Multi cell A/B test
95
One of these has 3x the conversions?
Same CTR
96
97
Ad studies and cells
Creation example
curl 
-F 'name="Grumpy Faces Study"' 
-F 'description="Will test which planet is best"' 
-F 'start_time=1435622400' 
-F 'start_time=1436918400' 
-F 'type=SPLIT_TEST' 
-F 'cells=[
{name: “Blue Planet", treatment_percentage: 50, adsets: [<AD_SET_ID>]},
{name: “Red Planet", treatment_percentage: 50, adsets: [<AD_SET_ID>]}
]' 
-F 'access_token=<ACCESS_TOKEN>' 
https://graph.facebook.com/v2.7/<BUSINESS_ID>/ad_studies
98
Key takeaways
• Test using the scientific method
• Conversion Lift to prove FB value
• Split testing for optimisation
within FB

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Measurement Is Crucial

  • 2. 74 “Half the money I spend on advertising is wasted; the trouble is I don’t know which half” John Wanamaker
  • 3. Users are exposed to ads through multiple channels 75
  • 4. Correlation doesn't imply causation Source: http://www.tylervigen.com/spurious-correlations 400 500 600 700 800 9 9.5 10 10.5 11 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Civil engineering doctorates awarded Per capita consumption of mozzarella cheese 76
  • 5. Testing Facebook Ads Using marketing API Split testingConversion lift measurement Test Control Ad impressions No Ad impressions Test Control Facebook population0 100% 0 50%Split #1 50% 100%Split #2 Test group #1 (Campaign IDs or ad set IDs) Test group #2 (Other campaign IDs or ad set IDs) 77
  • 6. Test Conversion Lift and the scientific method Control 78
  • 7. Conversion lift AD IMPRESSION NO AD IMPRESSION TEST CONTROL TEST CONTROL 79
  • 8. Defining an experiment CAMPAIGN A NO CAMPAIGNVERSUS Single cell study Multi cell study CAMPAIGN A NO CAMPAIGNVERSUS CAMPAIGN B NO CAMPAIGNVERSUS CAMPAIGN A + CAMPAIGN B NO CAMPAIGNVERSUS
  • 9. Study duration and cooldown periods Pre-study quiet period Post-campaign quiet period Campaign duration APRIL 15 ‘17 MAY 1 ‘17 MAY 8 ‘17TODAY MEASUREMENT PERIOD 81
  • 10. How is percentage lift calculated? TEST CONTROL 3k conversions (exposed) 2k conversions (unexposed) 4k conversions (scaled) 82
  • 11. Formula reached conv. - incremental conv. (3000) (1000) incremental conv. (1000) 50%= percentage lift 83
  • 12. 84 How do I get started?
  • 13. 85 Set up conversion lift study SET UP A LIFT STUDY WITH ONE TEST GROUP curl -F 'name="new study"' -F 'description="description of my study"' -F 'start_time=1435622400' -F 'end_time=1436918400' -F 'cooldown_start_time=1433116800' -F 'observation_end_time=1438300800' -F 'viewers=[<USER_ID1>, <USER_ID2>]' -F 'type=LIFT' -F 'cells=[{name:"test group",description:"description of my test group",treatment_percentage:89.75,control_percentage: 10.25,adaccounts:[<ACCOUNT_ID1>,<ACCOUNT_ID2>]}]' -F 'objectives=[{name:"new objective",is_primary:true,type:"MAI",applications:[{id:<APP_ID>}]}]' -F 'confidence_level=0.9' -F 'access_token=<ACCESS_TOKEN>' https://graph.facebook.com/<API_VERSION>/<BUSINESS_ID>/ad_studies
  • 14. 86 Multiple groups curl -F 'name="new study"' -F 'description="description of my study"' -F 'start_time=1435622400' -F 'end_time=1436918400' -F 'cooldown_start_time=1433116800' -F 'observation_end_time=1438300800' -F 'viewers=[<USER_ID1>, <USER_ID2>]' -F 'type=LIFT' -F 'cells=[{name:"group A",description:"description of group A",treatment_percentage:50,control_percentage:20,campaigns: [<CAMPAIGN_ID1>]},{name:"group B",description:"description of group B",treatment_percentage:20,control_percentage: 10,campaigns:[<CAMPAIGN_ID2>]}]' -F 'objectives=[{name:"new objective",is_primary:true,type:"MAI",applications:[{id:<APP_ID>}]}]' -F 'access_token=<ACCESS_TOKEN>' https://graph.facebook.com/<API_VERSION>/<BUSINESS_ID>/ad_studies SET UP A LIFT STUDY WITH MULTIPLE TEST GROUPS -F 'cells=[{name:"group A",description:"description of group A",treatment_percentage:50,control_percentage:20,campaigns: [<CAMPAIGN_ID1>]},{name:"group B",description:"description of group B",treatment_percentage:20,control_percentage: 10,campaigns:[<CAMPAIGN_ID2>]}]'
  • 15. 87 Lift results API curl -G -d 'access_token=<ACCESS_TOKEN>' https://graph.facebook.com/<API_VERSION>/<STUDY_OBJECTIVE_ID>?fields=results
  • 16. 88 Lift results sample { "id": "<STUDY_OBJECTIVE_ID>", "results": [{ "population.test": 1349292, "population.control": 336567, "polutation.reached": 738219, "impressions": 3349184, "spend": 23443.12, "frequency": 4.5368434028385, "buyers.test": 212300, "buyers.control": 50823, "buyers.scaled": 203748.63642603, "buyers.incremental": 8551.3635739689, "buyers.delta": 1536.450929913, "buyers.pValue": 0, "buyers.isStatSig": 1, "buyers.reached": 111199, "buyers.reachedPercent": 0.52378238341969, "buyers.baseline": 102647.63642603, "buyers.lift": 0.08330794426164, "conversions.test": 1473655, "conversions.control": 362552, "conversions.scaled": 1453465.4710177, "conversions.incremental": 20189.528982342, "conversions.delta": 29532.640850362, "conversions.pValue": 0.26076775078954, "conversions.isStatSig": 0, "conversions.reached": 735235, "conversions.reachedPercent": 0.49891935358004, "conversions.baseline": 715045.47101766, "conversions.lift": 0.028235307824002, "incrementalROAS": -0.1998564046528, "sales.test": 2112564.35, "sales.control": 528126.12, "sales.scaled": 2117249.607677, "sales.incremental": -4685.2576770443, "sales.delta": 113045.85347285, "sales.pValue": 0.94564373701777, "sales.isStateSig": 0, "sales.reached": 1103736.31, "sales.baseline": 1108421.567677, "sales.lift": -0.0042269636514411, }], }
  • 17. 89 Ad studies breakdowns curl -G -d 'access_token=<ACCESS_TOKEN>' https://graph.facebook.com/<API_VERSION>/<STUDY_OBJECTIVE_ID>?fields=results&breakdowns=['cell_id'] { "id": "<STUDY_OBJECTIVE_ID>", "results": [ { "cell_id": "<CELL_ID1>", ... Default fields where the values are specific to the <CELL_ID1> breakdown ... }, { "cell_id": "<CELL_ID2>", ... Default fields where the values are specific to the <CELL_ID2> breakdown ... }], }
  • 18. • Can run multiple studies at once • Use findings to apply adjustments to attribution figures • Retesting period depends on purchase consideration cycle length 90
  • 19. 91 How do I get better
 results from my
 Facebook campaigns?
  • 20. One of these has 3x the conversions? Same CTR 92
  • 22. Ad studies and cells Split testing provides an easy way to run experiments on how different factors affect the performance of Facebook ads Ad formats Landing pages Creatives Bid types Targeting 9494
  • 23. Defining an experiment HEADLINE A HEADLINE BVERSUS Single cell A/B test FACEBOOK INSTAGRAMVERSUS VERSUS FACEBOOK + INSTAGRAM Multi cell A/B test 95
  • 24. One of these has 3x the conversions? Same CTR 96
  • 25. 97 Ad studies and cells Creation example curl -F 'name="Grumpy Faces Study"' -F 'description="Will test which planet is best"' -F 'start_time=1435622400' -F 'start_time=1436918400' -F 'type=SPLIT_TEST' -F 'cells=[ {name: “Blue Planet", treatment_percentage: 50, adsets: [<AD_SET_ID>]}, {name: “Red Planet", treatment_percentage: 50, adsets: [<AD_SET_ID>]} ]' -F 'access_token=<ACCESS_TOKEN>' https://graph.facebook.com/v2.7/<BUSINESS_ID>/ad_studies
  • 26. 98 Key takeaways • Test using the scientific method • Conversion Lift to prove FB value • Split testing for optimisation within FB