BPPG response - Options for Defined Benefit schemes - 19Apr24.pdf
Index of Industrial Production and its comparison
1. PRESTIGE INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT &
RESEARCH
Topic
“Index of Industrial Production and its Comparison”
Submitted to:-
Dr. Rupal Choudhary
Submitted by:-
AYUSH YADAV
MBA (FA)
1121806727
2. What is Index of Industrial Production ???
Index which details out the growth of industrial sectors in
the economy.
One of the prime indicators of the economic
development and the short-term economic analysis.
Measures trend in the behaviour of industrial production
over a period of time with reference to a chosen base
year.
3. Functions of IIP
To prepare monthly as well as annual industrial
production.
To comprise main characteristics of Annual Survey of
Industries (ASI) returns on district and group level.
4. Usage and Importance
Used by the planners, the state and the central
government and at different levels for different policy
decisions and other purposes.
Used by the state government for preparation of state
income estimates of manufacturing sector.
Used by many countries in the annual and quarterly
national accounts in many countries.
5. The monthly IIP helps many countries to use it as a
reference series in the compilation of cyclical indicators
which helps to predict the future turning points in
business cycle.
Investors can use the IIP of various industries to examine
the growth in the respective industry.
6. Calculation of IIP
It is calculated using LASPEYERS formula-
IIP = Σ ( W1 * R1 )/Σ W1
Where,
R1 = P1 X 100/P0
W1 = Base year weights
P1 = Production in current year
P0 = Production in base year
8. Problem with IIP
LASPEYERS formula have following drawbacks-
Subsequent change in weights is not accounted.
Change in quality of goods is not considered.
Addition of new goods is not accounted till the next
revision.
Substitution effort is not considered.
Data Collection Problem-
Data from unorganized sectors is difficult to obtain.
No Standardized data collection & production.
10. IIP of India 2013-2014
Actual Previous Highest Lowest Dates Unit Frequency
0.5 3.4 20 -7.2 1994 -
2014
Percent Monthly
11. Index of Industrial Production of BRICS
nation
Countries IIP Reference Previous Highest Lowest
Brazil -3.6 Jul-14 -7.1 20.12 -17.47
Russia 0 Aug-14 1.5 10.9 -16.9
India 0.5 Jul-14 3.4 20 -7.2
China 6.9 Aug-14 9 29.4 -21.1
South Africa -7.9 Jul-14 0.2 10.4 -23.2
12. Conclusion
Low IIP values have direct effect on stock prices.
Lower employment.
Fundamentally strong stocks becomes undervalued.
FIIs starts pulling out money from Indian stock market.
Rupee depreciates with respect to USD.
13. Have a positive impact on the banking sector.
Lower supply coupled with lower demand can have
catastrophic impact on stock market and was one the
main reasons for drop in Sensex from 20,000 to 8,000 in
2008.