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Japanese Economic Trends
August 2014
Japan External Trade Organization
1. Achievements of Abenomics
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 2
2. Outlook of Japanese economy
3. JETRO’s services for attracting
overseas companies
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 3
“Three arrows” strategy of Abenomics
1st arrow:
Bold monetary policy
20 years of stagnation
○Long-lasting economic
stagnation and deflation
○High level of public debt
<Annual average economic growth
rate for 20 years until 2012>
(Average for 20 years)
Nominal GDP growth: - 0.2%
Real GDP growth: 0.8%
Real GNI growth: 0.6%
A new decade of revival
○Improved macroeconomic
environment
○Improvement in corporate profits
○Revitalization of the economy,
Fiscal consolidation
<Annual average economic growth rate for 10
years since 2013> (Target of the government)
Nominal GDP growth: 3.0%
Real GDP growth: 2.0%
Real GNI growth: 3.0%
Launch of the Abe
Administration~Jun 2014
2nd arrow:
Flexible fiscal policy
○The process of ending
deflation and better
economic cycle has started.
Real GDP: growth in 6
consecutive quarters.
Improved business
conditions and investment
Job openings ratio: 1.6
Unemployment: below
4%
The “Three Arrows” policy is bringing Japan out of deflation, and has started a positive economic
cycle. In order to end deflation completely, and spread the benefits of this positive cycle, the
government will continue with the first two arrows, and launch the third arrow to ensure
sustained economic growth.
3rd arrow: Growth strategy that
promotes private investment
Source:
Basic Policies for Economic and Fiscal Management and
Reform (decided at Cabinet meeting on June 14, 2013)
Source:
Basic Policies for Economic and Fiscal Management and
Reform (decided at Cabinet meeting on May 24, 2014)
Source: same as the right
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 4
Abenomics 1:Bold Monetary Policy
○ In January 2013, the government and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) released a joint
statement introducing a “price stability target” aimed at achieving 2% inflation.
○ In order to reach the above target in 2years, in April 2014 the BOJ introduced
quantitative and qualitative monetary easing (QQME).
・Double the monetary base in 2 years
・More than double the average remaining maturity of government bond purchases
in 2 years
○ In the statement published after the Monetary Policy Meeting on May 21, 2014, the
word “Deflation”, which had been present in the previous statements, was deleted.
⇒Mr. Kuroda, president of the Bank of Japan explained “ it was deleted to imply that the
QQEM is proving effective”. This was widely accepted as “The silent announcement that
deflation is over”.
○”We are still halfway to achie the 2% inflation target. Comparing to the beginning of
QQME, it is certain that we have made significant progress. It is a great advancement.”
(Mr. Kuroda’s interview with the WSJ, May 27, 2014)
1st arrow:
Bold monetary policy
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 5
Abenomics 2:Flexible Fiscal Policy
2nd arrow:
Flexible fiscal policy
* Firm goal to reduce the primary balance deficit by half in fiscal year 2015. Additional
economic measures to be done without issuing new government bonds.
Emergency Economic Measures for the
Revitalization of the Japanese Economy
Economic Measures for Realization
of Positive Cycles
Goal:To end deflation and revitalize the
economy with compatible public finance.
Additional public finance : 10 trillion JPY
(Total project scale: 20 trillion JPY)
Goal: Take measures to tackle the impact
of the increase of consumption tax.
Government expense: 5.5 trillion JPY
(Total project scale: 19 trillion JPY)
Main Areas: Main Areas:
1. Post-quake reconstruction and disaster
prevention.
2. Creation of wealth through growth.
3. Ensuring a sense of security in daily life
and revitalizing regions.
1. Strengthening competitiveness
2. Support for women/young/elderly
3. Reconstruction, disaster prevention and
safety
4. Care for low-income earners and
moderation of rush demand/recoil
Summarized by JETRO based on Cabinet meeting documents.
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 6
Abenomics 3:Growth strategy
3rd arrow: Growth strategy that
promotes private investment
Reflect the
fruits of
economic
revival to the
daily life of the
people.
Fully utilize the ability
of the private sector
・Regeneration of industry and
acceleration of venture business.
・Restructuring of the regulations
and open up the public sector to
the private.
Full participation・nurturing
global personnel
・Friendly work environment for women.
・Utilizing the ability of the young and the
elderly.
・Educate the young to be global talents.
Creating new frontiers.
・Reviving Japan as “the nation of
technology and intellectual
property”.
・Break out into the world and
attract the world.
Aims to make the positive economic cycle that was created by the “First Arrow” and the “Second
Arrow” a continuous trend, and revive Japan’s “earning ability”.
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 7
Abenomics 3:Growth strategy
Japan
revitalization
strategy
Industry
Revitalization Plan
-Strengthening the industry
base-
Strategic Market
Creation Plan
-Creating new markets
through tackling the social
issue-
Strategy of Global
Outreach
-Gaining access to the
growing global markets.-
“Invigorating talent, products
and wealth”
・Revive manufacturing
competitiveness.
・Create high-value service industry
・Create society with good
business environment and highly
utilized personal talent.
Investing public funds in research and
Easing regulations in fields with the below conditions.
・Fields in which Japan has global strength.
・Fields in which global market growth can be expected.
・Fields with certain strategic plans.
“Taking in the global
economic growth”
・Actively promote Japanese
technology to the world.
・Attract global talent, products
and wealth to Japan.
The government adopted the “Japan revitalization strategy”, and decided on the below three action plans to
carry out the growth strategy.
1. “Industry Revitalization Plan”⇒Strengthening the industry base.
2. “Strategic Market Creation Plan”⇒Creating new markets through tackling the social issues.
3. “Strategy of Global Outreach”⇒Gaining access to the growing global markets.
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 8
Speeding up the restructuring of
industries
Target: 10% increase in capital investment over the
next three years and a return of private investment
to pre-Global Financial Crisis levels
Scientific and Technological
Innovations
Target: Number one global innovator on
the Global Competitiveness Report
within the next five years
Strengthening Japan's
international competitiveness
as a business hub
Target: Japan to rank in the top 3 among
OECD member countries in the Ease of
Doing Business ranking (currently 15)
Becoming the world's
leading IT society
Target: World's highest level of public
data disclosure, (with a dataset totaling
over 10,000) by the end of FY 2015
Reinforcing human resource
capabilities and reforming the
employment system
Target: Decrease long-term unemployment
by 20% over the next five years and raise
employment turnover to 9%
Abenomics 3:Growth strategy
Industry
Revitalization
Plan
By renewing the industries and talent in the private sector, and dispensing with
unnecessary regulations and restrictions in the public sector, the private and public will
actively carry out economic policies together.
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 9
Abenomics 3:Growth strategy
Strategic
Market
Creation PlanRealizing clean and
economical energy demand
and supply
Building safe,
convenient and economical
next-generation infrastructures
Creating new growth sectors through taking initiative in tackling social issues,
and resolving social insecurity and nurturing industrial growth in parallel.
Increasing the nation's
healthy life expectancy
Target:
・Expand the market scale of the health promotion,
preventive care, living assistance industries to
10 trillion yen by 2020.
・Expand the market scale of the
pharmaceutical, medical device and
regenerative medicine-related
industries to 16 trillion yen.
Target:
・Capture domestic and international energy technology
sales of approximately 26 trillion yen by 2020.
Target:
・Implement maintenance and repairs on all
important and aging infrastructures, by using advanced
and efficient technologies such as sensors by 2030.
Building regional communities
that use their unique local
resources to appeal to the world
Target:
・ Advance a transition to “the sixth industry”
(collaboration of primary, secondary
and tertiary industries).
・30 million foreign visitors to Japan
by 2030.
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 10
Abenomics 3:Growth strategy
Strategy of
Global Outreach
Strategic promotion of international
commerce and economic partnership
> Promoting economic partnership such as TPP and FTA.
> Targeting trading FTA ratio of 70% by 2018.
Strategic plan to gain access
to the growing global market
> Integrating global markets though
infrastructure export.
> Targeting infrastructure exports of
approximately 30 trillion yen by 2020.
Preparing capital and talent
base that sustain the growth
of Japan.
> Promoting globalization from within.
> Doubling inbound investment by 2020.
Actively and strategically gaining access to the global market and nurturing growth sectors,
so that Japanese enterprises and people can gain from the growing global market.
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 11
Achievements of Abenomics in numbers
Stock prices
(Nikkei Stock Average)
Exchange rates
(Yen exchange rate to the dollar)
Unemployment rate
GDP
(Real GDP growth rate)
Business conditions
(Tankan “current situation”)
10,230 yen
Dec. 26, 2012
Launch of the Abe
Administration
-0.3%
2012 Q1-Q4 average
2.45%
2013 Q1-Q4 average
15,162.1yen
Jun. 30, 2014
85.15 yen
Dec. 26, 2012
101.39 yen
Jun. 30, 2014
4.3%
2012 average
3.7%
Q1 2014
Large firms -3
Medium-sized firms -5
SMEs -12
Survey in Dec. 2012
Large firms 12
Medium-sized firms 19
SMEs 1
Survey in Jun. 2014
Since the launch of the Abe administration, the Japanese economy has achieved a high
standard of growth. GDP, stock prices, exchange rate and unemployment have all improved.
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 12
Achievements of Abenomics (examples)
1. A new headquarter institution was set up in May 2014, which will strategically manage R&D
in the field of medicine.
2. Established a new legal framework to accelerate the commercialization of regenerative
medicine.
Healthcare sector
Launched the first fundamental electricity reform in 60 years.
→ Legal separation of electricity generation and distribution (to be achieved by 2020).
→ Opening up the electricity market to small retailers (law already in place, to be
implemented in 2016).
Energy Sector
1. Enhanced economic partnerships(Participation in TPP negotiations, agreeing on Japan-
Australia EPA)
2. Enhanced top-level government involvement in sales (2012:25 cases→2013:67 cases)
3. Relaxed visa requirements mainly for ASEAN countries.
4.Increased number of international flights at Haneda airport by 30 thousand.
Business Globalization and Tourism Sector
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 13
Accelerated structural reforms in Japan (1)
■Corporate Tax Reform
In order to strengthen Japan’s competitiveness as a global business location, the
government is reforming the corporate tax system to lower the rate to a globally
competitive level, making it a pro-growth tax structure.
The tax period of the corporate tax for
the reconstruction from the Great East
Japan Earthquake ended one year ahead
of schedule. [The corporate tax was
reduced by 2.4% since April 2014]
Special tax system to promote capital
investment into productivity increase
was launched in January 2014 [10,000
capital investment cases have been
recorded]
Main Initiatives to Date
New Measures for pro-growth corporate tax reform
 New goal to reduce the percentage level of the effective corporate tax rate down to the
twenties in the next several years.
 The first phase reductions will start from FY2015.
 In order to make such reduction consistent with the FY2020 target to achieve primary
surplus, permanent revenues will be secured through such measures as broadening the
tax base and so forth.
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 14
Accelerated structural reforms in Japan (2)
■Attracting Talent from Overseas
Create an environment where skilled professionals from overseas can play an active role.
Revise the Points-based immigration system for highly skilled foreign professionals.
[Starting from April 2015]
Current point-based system
for skilled professionals
Further Benefits for highly
skilled foreign professionals
More Info: http://www.immi-moj.go.jp/newimmiact_3/en/index.html
Example:
Doctor’s degree: 30pts
7 year experience: 15pts
6 million JPY salary: 15pts
Published papers: 20pts
Total: 80pts
Points given for academic
history, employment history,
salary and research
achievements.
A total of more than 70pts
qualifies as skilled professional.
Qualified to apply
for permanent
residence after
5years of stay.
Easier to
get work
permit for
spouse.
If certain
conditions
fulfilled,
parents can
reside in
Japan.
・More points given for certain
qualifications (eg. MBA, MOT).
・Salary received from overseas
employer can be counted in the
point system.
Professionals
who are
planning to
stay less than
1 year can
benefit from
the system
Reduced the
period of stay
necessary to
apply for
permanent
residence
(5years
→3Years).
Example:
Doctor’s degree: 30pts
MBA: 5pts
7 year experience: 15pts
8 million JPY salary: 20pts
Published papers: 25p ts
Total: 95pts
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 15
Accelerated structural reforms in Japan (3)
In order to realize the growth strategy, National
Strategic Special Zones were created for
carrying out drastic regulation reforms.
The below 6 areas were specified, to begin with.
Tokyo Area (including
Kanagawa and Chiba)
・International business
and innovation hub
> Urban development
> Employment guideline
> Medical care for foreigners
Niigata City
・Center for agricultural
reform in large-scale
farming
Osaka/Kyoto/Hyogo Area
・Center for international
innovation in the field of
medical care, etc. and
general support
Yabu city , Hyogo
・Center for agricultural
reform in hilly and
mountainous areas
Fukuoka city
・Center for employment
system reform to
promote new businesses
Okinawa
・Center for international
tourism
■National Strategic Special Zones
1. Achievements of Abenomics
2. Outlook of Japanese economy
3. JETRO’s services for attracting
overseas companies
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 16
1.2
0.85
0.00
0.20
0.40
0.60
0.80
1.00
1.20
1.40
日本政府 民間予測平均
国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状GDP forecast in FY2014
FY2014 real GDP growth rate outlook
Japanese Government :
Summary of the Cabinet Office Mid-Year Trial Calculations for FY2014
(2014/7/25 Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy)
Private Sector :
Aggregation of forecast by 42 Japanese economic forecasters and organizations
(Japan Center for Economic Research “ESP Forecast Survey,” July 2014)
FY2014 economic outlook
Japanese
Government
Japanese Economic
Forecasters
Real GDP growth 1.2 0.9
Domestic demand
contribution
1.1 0.5
Overseas demand
contribution
0.1 0.4
Notional GDP growth 3.3 2.5
Consumer price
increase
3.2 3.1
Excluding the
Impact of
consumption tax
increase
1.2 1.1
Unemployment rate 3.5 3.6
%
%
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 17
Japanese Government Japanese Economic
Forecasters
Unit: %
Comparison between the forecast
by government and private sector
The impact of the consumption tax increase (2014 April) was larger than expected, so the
government forecast of GDP growth was slightly lowered. But overall it is generally agreed
between government and private forecasters that all sectors are showing recovery.
5.3
2.9
1.3
0.3
6.7
▲ 4.9
2.7
1.7 1.5
1.6
2.7
▲ 2.5
1.6
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2013.1Q 2013.2Q 2013.3Q 2013.4Q 2014.1Q 2014.2Q 2014.3Q 2014.4Q 2015.1Q 2015.2Q 2015.3Q 2015.4Q 2016.1Q
EstimateActual
The general view is that the consumption decline caused by the
consumption tax increase will be revived by around July – September 2014.
国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状Impact of consumer tax increase
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 18
Estimated quarterly real GDP growth rate by private think tank
(quarterly, annual rate, seasonally-adjusted)
Apr. 2014
Consumer tax
increase to 8%
Oct. 2015
Consumer tax
increase to 10%
(provisional)
Last-minute demand
before consumption
tax increase
Source:
Compiled from the data of Japan Center for
Economic Research “ESP Forecast Survey,”
July 2014
Macro economic effect generated
by elimination of tariffs
国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状Impact of TPP
Macro economic effect of participation in TPP by the Japanese Government
Source: Government Task Force for TPP “Unified calculation of the Government”
(published in March 2013)
(Reference)
Calculation of economic effects by Pacific Economic Cooperation Council (PECC)
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 19
Total: 3.2
trillion yen
Consumption:
3.0 trillion yen
Investment:
0.5 trillion yen
Export:
2.6 trillion yen
Import:
-2.9 trillion yen
GDP increase of 3.2 trillion yen
GDP decrease of 3.0 trillion yen
GDP increase of approx. 10 trillion yen
(2) Amount of agricultural,
forestry and fishery products:
(1) Entire economy:
(PECC: A council consisting of the government, industry
and academia of 25 countries, mainly in APEC)
Export +0.55% (+2.6T JPY), Import -0.60% (-2.9T JPY),
Consumption +0.61% (+3.0T JPY),
Investment +0.09 (+0.5T JPY)
(*economic effect over 10-year period)
<Conditions for calculation>
1. Only considers the effect of customs elimination.
Liberalization of service and investment not included.
2. Customs are eliminated immediately.
3. No additional economic policies included.
<Conditions for calculation>
1. TPP participants consist of 12 countries as of
March 2013, including Japan.
2. The abolition of non-tariff obstacles and the
liberalization of service and investment are included.
国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状GDP Long-Term Forecast
Source: Compiled from the forecast values by Cabinet Office, IMF, Euromonitor International and World Bank
Japan’s real GDP growth rate as estimated
by international organizations (until 2017)
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 20
Unit: %
2.0
1.2
1.1
1.2
1.1
1.5
1.7
1.0 1.0
1.5
1.3
1.3
1.5
2.6
1.2
1.4
1.8
1.9
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
IMF Euromonitor International World Bank Japanese Government
76.0% of companies answered that
the Tokyo Games would lead to
significant demand in the Japanese economy.
33.4% of companies recognized that
the Tokyo Games would have
“positive effects” on their business performance.
国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状Impact of Tokyo Olympic Games in 2020
Tokyo Metropolitan Government/
The Tokyo Organising Committee of
the Olympic and Paralympic Games
3.0
Japan Center for Economic Research 2.2
Mizuho Research Institute 2.5
Dai-ichi Life Research Institute 21.0
The Mori Memorial Foundation 19.4
Estimated economic effects of
Tokyo Olympic Games
Approx. 80% of companies anticipate
“significant demand in the Japanese economy”
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 21
Unit: trillion yen
■Towards the 2020 Tokyo Olympic Games, it is expected that there will be large
infrastructure development and that the Abenomics policies will be carried out ahead
of schedule, to meet the target of 2020.
■Estimated economic effects are 3 trillion to 20 trillion yen.
Source: “Survey on Perceptions of Companies about 2020 Tokyo Olympic
and Paralympic Games” (Teikoku Databank)
November 2013, number of valid respondents: 10,769 companies
国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状Evaluation of Abenomics
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 22
■The Econominst
…Mr Abe is back with a proper third arrow. There are two reasons for thinking that this time
it will hit the target. First, the country has reached a point at which almost all Japanese
realize that reform of some sort is needed. Second, Mr Abe is at last pursuing schemes of
such breadth that they touch on nearly every area of the economy that demands change.
(The Economist, Volume 411 Number 8893, Article “The Third Arrow”)
■The Wall Street Journal
Abenomics has succeeded in injecting some much-needed hope into the Japanese economy,
and there are signs that deflation is ending and GDP growth is returning. But without
structural changes, the trend is unlikely to be sustainable. Labor market reform may be the
biggest big test of Mr. Abe's leadership
(The Wall Street Journal 2014.05.08 Article “Making Abenomics Work for Japan” )
■Dr. Jim Yong Kim (World Bank President )
Abe’s commitment to tackling “rock hard regulations” related to employment, agriculture
and healthcare is a “very encouraging sign. And so, we remain optimistic that he will be able
to deliver on that third arrow,” Kim said.(Jiji Press 2014.6.29 Article “World Bank Kim optimistic about Abe’s
“3rd arrow””)
1. Achievements of Abenomics
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 23
2. Outlook of Japanese economy
3. JETRO’s services for attracting
overseas companies
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 24
Japanese Government aims to attract
35 trillion yen in inward FDI by 2020
Drastically strengthening the government’s support framework
for attracting foreign companies
 JETRO to cooperate with embassies in approaching the executives of foreign
companies, and to strengthen the function of attracting foreign investment.
 JETRO to work with relevant ministries to build up a one-stop support
functionality and to create opportunities for tying up foreign and Japanese
companies.
 JETRO will also aid local municipalities which are actively inviting foreign
companies to set up establishments.
Inward FDI into JapanJapan Revitalization Strategy (June 2013)国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状Japan Revitalization Strategy (Revised - June 2014)
Source: Japan Revitalization Plan (Revised 2014) 2014/6/24
Consulting
Facilities
Information
Free individual consultation
for your company
・Legal system
・Cost estimation
・Taxation
・Market regulation
Temporary office space
offered free of charge
Gather a wide range of
information needed
for your business
・Market reports
・Business advisors
・Online database
・Platform of professional service providers
・ Connection to ministries and regulatory authorities
・Deregulation Requests
・Business practice
・Human resource
・Location
・Subsidy application
JETRO IBSC is a one-stop center for establishing a business base and starting your business in Japan.
国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状JETRO’s activities to attract foreign direct investment
JETRO Invest Japan Business Support Center (IBSC)
・Conference rooms / shared reception
・PC room with printer/scanner etc.
・Event hall
・50 working days free
・Located in 6 major cities
・Fully equipped
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 25
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 26
03-3582-4684 http://www.jetro.go.jp/en/invest/hotline/
Invest Japan Hotline
JETRO will arrange meetings
with the relevant authorities
and provide comprehensive
support.
Consultation regarding
investing in Japan
Consultation regarding investing in Japan and
regulatory reform requests from foreign companies
JETRO will submit requests for
regulatory reforms to
the Cabinet Office and METI.
Requests for regulatory reforms
国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状Invest Japan Hotline
27
Further Information
□Japan Economic Policies (Abenomics)
<Abenomics is progressing - Summarized report on the major achievements of the third arrow of Abenomics>
http://japan.kantei.go.jp/ongoingtopics/pdf/2014/140627_abenomics.pdf
<Achievements of Abenomics>
http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/singi/keizaisaisei/pdf/seika02shousaiEN.pdf
<Revision of Japan Revitalization Strategy>
http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/singi/keizaisaisei/pdf/10challenge02shousaiEN.pdf
□Outlook of Japan Economy
Government Estimates: http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai1/2014/0124mitoshi-e.pdf
Japan Centre for Economic research: http://www.jcer.or.jp/eng/
(ESP Forecast July Survey): http://www.jcer.or.jp/eng/pdf/esp/fcst1407_eng.pdf
□JETRO’s Services
“How to set up business in Japan”: http://www.jetro.go.jp/en/invest/setting_up/
“JETRO IBSCs”: http://www.jetro.go.jp/en/invest/ibsc/
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved.
▲ 4.1
▲ 12.6
▲ 15.0
7.0
0.3
7.0
6.1
4.2
6.0
▲ 2.1
▲ 6.9
▲ 3.0
10.8
0.9
4.1
▲ 2.5 ▲ 3.0
0.2
5.3
2.9
1.3
0.3
6.7
▲ 16.0
▲ 11.0
▲ 6.0
▲ 1.0
4.0
9.0
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 28
Japan’s real GDP growth rate
(quarterly, annual rate, seasonally-adjusted)
国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状<Appendix> Achievements of Abenomics (GDP growth rate)
Source: Cabinet Office “National Accounts of Japan (Quarterly Estimates of GDP),”June 9, 2014
Lehman Brothers
bankruptcy
(Sep. 2008)
Launch of
Abenomics
(Dec. 2012)
Great East Japan earthquake
(Mar. 2011)
Last-minute
demand before
consumption tax
increase
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
Yen response to monetary easing by Bank of Japan
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 29
FX market (against US dollar)
* Note: The exchange rates are the Tokyo interbank central rates Source: The Bank of Japan “Foreign Exchange Rate”
国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状<Appendix> Achievements of Abenomics (FX market)
Unit: yen
(Jun. 30, 2014)
101.39 yen
Launch of the Abe
Administration
(Dec. 26, 2012)
85.15yen
Max after year 1985
(Oct. 28, 2011) 75.86 yen
5,000.00
7,000.00
9,000.00
11,000.00
13,000.00
15,000.00
17,000.00
Complied from NIKKEI Stock Average closing
price
48% increase between Dec 2012 and Jun 2014
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 30
Stock market (Nikkei Stock Average)
国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状<Appendix> Achievements of Abenomics (stock market)
Lowest in past 20 years
(Oct. 28, 2008)
6,994yen
Final session Q2 2014
(Jun. 30, 2014)
15,162.1yen
Unit: yen
Launch of the Abe
Administration
(Dec. 26, 2012)
10,230yen
-70
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
大企業/製造業 大企業/非製造業 中小企業/製造業 中小企業/非製造業
First time in 22 years that over 50% of both manufacturing and
non-manufacturing SMEs expressed positive business sentiment.
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 31
国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状<Appendix>Achievements of Abenomics(business conditions)
Source: Compiled from the data in the Bank of Japan “National Short-Term Economic Survey
of Enterprises in Japan” known as Tankan (current situation diffusion index [DI])
Launch of Abenomics
(Dec. 2012)
Business conditions of companiesUnit: “Good” or “bad” % points
Large companies
(manufacturers)
Large companies
(non-
manufacturers)
SMEs
(manufacturers)
SMEs
(non-manufacturers)
Consumption tax increase
(April 2014)
Unemployment rate declined and jobs-to-applicants ratio surpassed 1.0
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 32
国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状<Appendix> Achievements of Abenomics (employment)
Unemployment rate and jobs-to-applicants ratio
Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications “Labor Force Survey”
Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare “General Job Placements”
Unit: %
Unit: ratio
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013.1Q 2013.2Q 2013.3Q 2013.4Q 2014.1Q 2014.2Q
Unemployment rate Jobs-to-applicants ratio
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2013
On the path toward ending deflation
Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 33
Consumer Price Index (on the previous year )
Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications “Consumer Price Index”
国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状<Appendix> Achievements of Abenomics (consumer prices)
Steep rise in global oil
and grain prices
Increase in consumption
tax from 3% to 5%
Ⓒ 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved.
Invest Japan Department
Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO)
1-12-32, Akasaka, Minato-ku, Tokyo 107-6006 Japan
Tel. +81 3 3582 5234, Fax. +81 3 3505 1990
This document is owned by JETRO. All of the content in this document, including, but not limited to, still images, text, pictorial works, designs and logos, is
owned or licensed by JETRO.
This document shall not be reproduced or reprinted on any medium or registered on any search system in whole or part by any means, without prior
permission of JETRO. Although JETRO makes its best efforts to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this document, JETRO does not take any
responsibility regarding losses derived from the information contained in this document.

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Japanese economictrends aug 2014

  • 1. Japanese Economic Trends August 2014 Japan External Trade Organization
  • 2. 1. Achievements of Abenomics Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 2 2. Outlook of Japanese economy 3. JETRO’s services for attracting overseas companies
  • 3. Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 3 “Three arrows” strategy of Abenomics 1st arrow: Bold monetary policy 20 years of stagnation ○Long-lasting economic stagnation and deflation ○High level of public debt <Annual average economic growth rate for 20 years until 2012> (Average for 20 years) Nominal GDP growth: - 0.2% Real GDP growth: 0.8% Real GNI growth: 0.6% A new decade of revival ○Improved macroeconomic environment ○Improvement in corporate profits ○Revitalization of the economy, Fiscal consolidation <Annual average economic growth rate for 10 years since 2013> (Target of the government) Nominal GDP growth: 3.0% Real GDP growth: 2.0% Real GNI growth: 3.0% Launch of the Abe Administration~Jun 2014 2nd arrow: Flexible fiscal policy ○The process of ending deflation and better economic cycle has started. Real GDP: growth in 6 consecutive quarters. Improved business conditions and investment Job openings ratio: 1.6 Unemployment: below 4% The “Three Arrows” policy is bringing Japan out of deflation, and has started a positive economic cycle. In order to end deflation completely, and spread the benefits of this positive cycle, the government will continue with the first two arrows, and launch the third arrow to ensure sustained economic growth. 3rd arrow: Growth strategy that promotes private investment Source: Basic Policies for Economic and Fiscal Management and Reform (decided at Cabinet meeting on June 14, 2013) Source: Basic Policies for Economic and Fiscal Management and Reform (decided at Cabinet meeting on May 24, 2014) Source: same as the right
  • 4. Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 4 Abenomics 1:Bold Monetary Policy ○ In January 2013, the government and the Bank of Japan (BOJ) released a joint statement introducing a “price stability target” aimed at achieving 2% inflation. ○ In order to reach the above target in 2years, in April 2014 the BOJ introduced quantitative and qualitative monetary easing (QQME). ・Double the monetary base in 2 years ・More than double the average remaining maturity of government bond purchases in 2 years ○ In the statement published after the Monetary Policy Meeting on May 21, 2014, the word “Deflation”, which had been present in the previous statements, was deleted. ⇒Mr. Kuroda, president of the Bank of Japan explained “ it was deleted to imply that the QQEM is proving effective”. This was widely accepted as “The silent announcement that deflation is over”. ○”We are still halfway to achie the 2% inflation target. Comparing to the beginning of QQME, it is certain that we have made significant progress. It is a great advancement.” (Mr. Kuroda’s interview with the WSJ, May 27, 2014) 1st arrow: Bold monetary policy
  • 5. Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 5 Abenomics 2:Flexible Fiscal Policy 2nd arrow: Flexible fiscal policy * Firm goal to reduce the primary balance deficit by half in fiscal year 2015. Additional economic measures to be done without issuing new government bonds. Emergency Economic Measures for the Revitalization of the Japanese Economy Economic Measures for Realization of Positive Cycles Goal:To end deflation and revitalize the economy with compatible public finance. Additional public finance : 10 trillion JPY (Total project scale: 20 trillion JPY) Goal: Take measures to tackle the impact of the increase of consumption tax. Government expense: 5.5 trillion JPY (Total project scale: 19 trillion JPY) Main Areas: Main Areas: 1. Post-quake reconstruction and disaster prevention. 2. Creation of wealth through growth. 3. Ensuring a sense of security in daily life and revitalizing regions. 1. Strengthening competitiveness 2. Support for women/young/elderly 3. Reconstruction, disaster prevention and safety 4. Care for low-income earners and moderation of rush demand/recoil Summarized by JETRO based on Cabinet meeting documents.
  • 6. Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 6 Abenomics 3:Growth strategy 3rd arrow: Growth strategy that promotes private investment Reflect the fruits of economic revival to the daily life of the people. Fully utilize the ability of the private sector ・Regeneration of industry and acceleration of venture business. ・Restructuring of the regulations and open up the public sector to the private. Full participation・nurturing global personnel ・Friendly work environment for women. ・Utilizing the ability of the young and the elderly. ・Educate the young to be global talents. Creating new frontiers. ・Reviving Japan as “the nation of technology and intellectual property”. ・Break out into the world and attract the world. Aims to make the positive economic cycle that was created by the “First Arrow” and the “Second Arrow” a continuous trend, and revive Japan’s “earning ability”.
  • 7. Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 7 Abenomics 3:Growth strategy Japan revitalization strategy Industry Revitalization Plan -Strengthening the industry base- Strategic Market Creation Plan -Creating new markets through tackling the social issue- Strategy of Global Outreach -Gaining access to the growing global markets.- “Invigorating talent, products and wealth” ・Revive manufacturing competitiveness. ・Create high-value service industry ・Create society with good business environment and highly utilized personal talent. Investing public funds in research and Easing regulations in fields with the below conditions. ・Fields in which Japan has global strength. ・Fields in which global market growth can be expected. ・Fields with certain strategic plans. “Taking in the global economic growth” ・Actively promote Japanese technology to the world. ・Attract global talent, products and wealth to Japan. The government adopted the “Japan revitalization strategy”, and decided on the below three action plans to carry out the growth strategy. 1. “Industry Revitalization Plan”⇒Strengthening the industry base. 2. “Strategic Market Creation Plan”⇒Creating new markets through tackling the social issues. 3. “Strategy of Global Outreach”⇒Gaining access to the growing global markets.
  • 8. Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 8 Speeding up the restructuring of industries Target: 10% increase in capital investment over the next three years and a return of private investment to pre-Global Financial Crisis levels Scientific and Technological Innovations Target: Number one global innovator on the Global Competitiveness Report within the next five years Strengthening Japan's international competitiveness as a business hub Target: Japan to rank in the top 3 among OECD member countries in the Ease of Doing Business ranking (currently 15) Becoming the world's leading IT society Target: World's highest level of public data disclosure, (with a dataset totaling over 10,000) by the end of FY 2015 Reinforcing human resource capabilities and reforming the employment system Target: Decrease long-term unemployment by 20% over the next five years and raise employment turnover to 9% Abenomics 3:Growth strategy Industry Revitalization Plan By renewing the industries and talent in the private sector, and dispensing with unnecessary regulations and restrictions in the public sector, the private and public will actively carry out economic policies together.
  • 9. Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 9 Abenomics 3:Growth strategy Strategic Market Creation PlanRealizing clean and economical energy demand and supply Building safe, convenient and economical next-generation infrastructures Creating new growth sectors through taking initiative in tackling social issues, and resolving social insecurity and nurturing industrial growth in parallel. Increasing the nation's healthy life expectancy Target: ・Expand the market scale of the health promotion, preventive care, living assistance industries to 10 trillion yen by 2020. ・Expand the market scale of the pharmaceutical, medical device and regenerative medicine-related industries to 16 trillion yen. Target: ・Capture domestic and international energy technology sales of approximately 26 trillion yen by 2020. Target: ・Implement maintenance and repairs on all important and aging infrastructures, by using advanced and efficient technologies such as sensors by 2030. Building regional communities that use their unique local resources to appeal to the world Target: ・ Advance a transition to “the sixth industry” (collaboration of primary, secondary and tertiary industries). ・30 million foreign visitors to Japan by 2030.
  • 10. Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 10 Abenomics 3:Growth strategy Strategy of Global Outreach Strategic promotion of international commerce and economic partnership > Promoting economic partnership such as TPP and FTA. > Targeting trading FTA ratio of 70% by 2018. Strategic plan to gain access to the growing global market > Integrating global markets though infrastructure export. > Targeting infrastructure exports of approximately 30 trillion yen by 2020. Preparing capital and talent base that sustain the growth of Japan. > Promoting globalization from within. > Doubling inbound investment by 2020. Actively and strategically gaining access to the global market and nurturing growth sectors, so that Japanese enterprises and people can gain from the growing global market.
  • 11. Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 11 Achievements of Abenomics in numbers Stock prices (Nikkei Stock Average) Exchange rates (Yen exchange rate to the dollar) Unemployment rate GDP (Real GDP growth rate) Business conditions (Tankan “current situation”) 10,230 yen Dec. 26, 2012 Launch of the Abe Administration -0.3% 2012 Q1-Q4 average 2.45% 2013 Q1-Q4 average 15,162.1yen Jun. 30, 2014 85.15 yen Dec. 26, 2012 101.39 yen Jun. 30, 2014 4.3% 2012 average 3.7% Q1 2014 Large firms -3 Medium-sized firms -5 SMEs -12 Survey in Dec. 2012 Large firms 12 Medium-sized firms 19 SMEs 1 Survey in Jun. 2014 Since the launch of the Abe administration, the Japanese economy has achieved a high standard of growth. GDP, stock prices, exchange rate and unemployment have all improved.
  • 12. Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 12 Achievements of Abenomics (examples) 1. A new headquarter institution was set up in May 2014, which will strategically manage R&D in the field of medicine. 2. Established a new legal framework to accelerate the commercialization of regenerative medicine. Healthcare sector Launched the first fundamental electricity reform in 60 years. → Legal separation of electricity generation and distribution (to be achieved by 2020). → Opening up the electricity market to small retailers (law already in place, to be implemented in 2016). Energy Sector 1. Enhanced economic partnerships(Participation in TPP negotiations, agreeing on Japan- Australia EPA) 2. Enhanced top-level government involvement in sales (2012:25 cases→2013:67 cases) 3. Relaxed visa requirements mainly for ASEAN countries. 4.Increased number of international flights at Haneda airport by 30 thousand. Business Globalization and Tourism Sector
  • 13. Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 13 Accelerated structural reforms in Japan (1) ■Corporate Tax Reform In order to strengthen Japan’s competitiveness as a global business location, the government is reforming the corporate tax system to lower the rate to a globally competitive level, making it a pro-growth tax structure. The tax period of the corporate tax for the reconstruction from the Great East Japan Earthquake ended one year ahead of schedule. [The corporate tax was reduced by 2.4% since April 2014] Special tax system to promote capital investment into productivity increase was launched in January 2014 [10,000 capital investment cases have been recorded] Main Initiatives to Date New Measures for pro-growth corporate tax reform  New goal to reduce the percentage level of the effective corporate tax rate down to the twenties in the next several years.  The first phase reductions will start from FY2015.  In order to make such reduction consistent with the FY2020 target to achieve primary surplus, permanent revenues will be secured through such measures as broadening the tax base and so forth.
  • 14. Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 14 Accelerated structural reforms in Japan (2) ■Attracting Talent from Overseas Create an environment where skilled professionals from overseas can play an active role. Revise the Points-based immigration system for highly skilled foreign professionals. [Starting from April 2015] Current point-based system for skilled professionals Further Benefits for highly skilled foreign professionals More Info: http://www.immi-moj.go.jp/newimmiact_3/en/index.html Example: Doctor’s degree: 30pts 7 year experience: 15pts 6 million JPY salary: 15pts Published papers: 20pts Total: 80pts Points given for academic history, employment history, salary and research achievements. A total of more than 70pts qualifies as skilled professional. Qualified to apply for permanent residence after 5years of stay. Easier to get work permit for spouse. If certain conditions fulfilled, parents can reside in Japan. ・More points given for certain qualifications (eg. MBA, MOT). ・Salary received from overseas employer can be counted in the point system. Professionals who are planning to stay less than 1 year can benefit from the system Reduced the period of stay necessary to apply for permanent residence (5years →3Years). Example: Doctor’s degree: 30pts MBA: 5pts 7 year experience: 15pts 8 million JPY salary: 20pts Published papers: 25p ts Total: 95pts
  • 15. Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 15 Accelerated structural reforms in Japan (3) In order to realize the growth strategy, National Strategic Special Zones were created for carrying out drastic regulation reforms. The below 6 areas were specified, to begin with. Tokyo Area (including Kanagawa and Chiba) ・International business and innovation hub > Urban development > Employment guideline > Medical care for foreigners Niigata City ・Center for agricultural reform in large-scale farming Osaka/Kyoto/Hyogo Area ・Center for international innovation in the field of medical care, etc. and general support Yabu city , Hyogo ・Center for agricultural reform in hilly and mountainous areas Fukuoka city ・Center for employment system reform to promote new businesses Okinawa ・Center for international tourism ■National Strategic Special Zones
  • 16. 1. Achievements of Abenomics 2. Outlook of Japanese economy 3. JETRO’s services for attracting overseas companies Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 16
  • 17. 1.2 0.85 0.00 0.20 0.40 0.60 0.80 1.00 1.20 1.40 日本政府 民間予測平均 国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状GDP forecast in FY2014 FY2014 real GDP growth rate outlook Japanese Government : Summary of the Cabinet Office Mid-Year Trial Calculations for FY2014 (2014/7/25 Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy) Private Sector : Aggregation of forecast by 42 Japanese economic forecasters and organizations (Japan Center for Economic Research “ESP Forecast Survey,” July 2014) FY2014 economic outlook Japanese Government Japanese Economic Forecasters Real GDP growth 1.2 0.9 Domestic demand contribution 1.1 0.5 Overseas demand contribution 0.1 0.4 Notional GDP growth 3.3 2.5 Consumer price increase 3.2 3.1 Excluding the Impact of consumption tax increase 1.2 1.1 Unemployment rate 3.5 3.6 % % Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 17 Japanese Government Japanese Economic Forecasters Unit: % Comparison between the forecast by government and private sector The impact of the consumption tax increase (2014 April) was larger than expected, so the government forecast of GDP growth was slightly lowered. But overall it is generally agreed between government and private forecasters that all sectors are showing recovery.
  • 18. 5.3 2.9 1.3 0.3 6.7 ▲ 4.9 2.7 1.7 1.5 1.6 2.7 ▲ 2.5 1.6 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 2013.1Q 2013.2Q 2013.3Q 2013.4Q 2014.1Q 2014.2Q 2014.3Q 2014.4Q 2015.1Q 2015.2Q 2015.3Q 2015.4Q 2016.1Q EstimateActual The general view is that the consumption decline caused by the consumption tax increase will be revived by around July – September 2014. 国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状Impact of consumer tax increase Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 18 Estimated quarterly real GDP growth rate by private think tank (quarterly, annual rate, seasonally-adjusted) Apr. 2014 Consumer tax increase to 8% Oct. 2015 Consumer tax increase to 10% (provisional) Last-minute demand before consumption tax increase Source: Compiled from the data of Japan Center for Economic Research “ESP Forecast Survey,” July 2014
  • 19. Macro economic effect generated by elimination of tariffs 国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状Impact of TPP Macro economic effect of participation in TPP by the Japanese Government Source: Government Task Force for TPP “Unified calculation of the Government” (published in March 2013) (Reference) Calculation of economic effects by Pacific Economic Cooperation Council (PECC) Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 19 Total: 3.2 trillion yen Consumption: 3.0 trillion yen Investment: 0.5 trillion yen Export: 2.6 trillion yen Import: -2.9 trillion yen GDP increase of 3.2 trillion yen GDP decrease of 3.0 trillion yen GDP increase of approx. 10 trillion yen (2) Amount of agricultural, forestry and fishery products: (1) Entire economy: (PECC: A council consisting of the government, industry and academia of 25 countries, mainly in APEC) Export +0.55% (+2.6T JPY), Import -0.60% (-2.9T JPY), Consumption +0.61% (+3.0T JPY), Investment +0.09 (+0.5T JPY) (*economic effect over 10-year period) <Conditions for calculation> 1. Only considers the effect of customs elimination. Liberalization of service and investment not included. 2. Customs are eliminated immediately. 3. No additional economic policies included. <Conditions for calculation> 1. TPP participants consist of 12 countries as of March 2013, including Japan. 2. The abolition of non-tariff obstacles and the liberalization of service and investment are included.
  • 20. 国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状GDP Long-Term Forecast Source: Compiled from the forecast values by Cabinet Office, IMF, Euromonitor International and World Bank Japan’s real GDP growth rate as estimated by international organizations (until 2017) Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 20 Unit: % 2.0 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.1 1.5 1.7 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.5 2.6 1.2 1.4 1.8 1.9 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 IMF Euromonitor International World Bank Japanese Government
  • 21. 76.0% of companies answered that the Tokyo Games would lead to significant demand in the Japanese economy. 33.4% of companies recognized that the Tokyo Games would have “positive effects” on their business performance. 国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状Impact of Tokyo Olympic Games in 2020 Tokyo Metropolitan Government/ The Tokyo Organising Committee of the Olympic and Paralympic Games 3.0 Japan Center for Economic Research 2.2 Mizuho Research Institute 2.5 Dai-ichi Life Research Institute 21.0 The Mori Memorial Foundation 19.4 Estimated economic effects of Tokyo Olympic Games Approx. 80% of companies anticipate “significant demand in the Japanese economy” Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 21 Unit: trillion yen ■Towards the 2020 Tokyo Olympic Games, it is expected that there will be large infrastructure development and that the Abenomics policies will be carried out ahead of schedule, to meet the target of 2020. ■Estimated economic effects are 3 trillion to 20 trillion yen. Source: “Survey on Perceptions of Companies about 2020 Tokyo Olympic and Paralympic Games” (Teikoku Databank) November 2013, number of valid respondents: 10,769 companies
  • 22. 国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状Evaluation of Abenomics Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 22 ■The Econominst …Mr Abe is back with a proper third arrow. There are two reasons for thinking that this time it will hit the target. First, the country has reached a point at which almost all Japanese realize that reform of some sort is needed. Second, Mr Abe is at last pursuing schemes of such breadth that they touch on nearly every area of the economy that demands change. (The Economist, Volume 411 Number 8893, Article “The Third Arrow”) ■The Wall Street Journal Abenomics has succeeded in injecting some much-needed hope into the Japanese economy, and there are signs that deflation is ending and GDP growth is returning. But without structural changes, the trend is unlikely to be sustainable. Labor market reform may be the biggest big test of Mr. Abe's leadership (The Wall Street Journal 2014.05.08 Article “Making Abenomics Work for Japan” ) ■Dr. Jim Yong Kim (World Bank President ) Abe’s commitment to tackling “rock hard regulations” related to employment, agriculture and healthcare is a “very encouraging sign. And so, we remain optimistic that he will be able to deliver on that third arrow,” Kim said.(Jiji Press 2014.6.29 Article “World Bank Kim optimistic about Abe’s “3rd arrow””)
  • 23. 1. Achievements of Abenomics Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 23 2. Outlook of Japanese economy 3. JETRO’s services for attracting overseas companies
  • 24. Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 24 Japanese Government aims to attract 35 trillion yen in inward FDI by 2020 Drastically strengthening the government’s support framework for attracting foreign companies  JETRO to cooperate with embassies in approaching the executives of foreign companies, and to strengthen the function of attracting foreign investment.  JETRO to work with relevant ministries to build up a one-stop support functionality and to create opportunities for tying up foreign and Japanese companies.  JETRO will also aid local municipalities which are actively inviting foreign companies to set up establishments. Inward FDI into JapanJapan Revitalization Strategy (June 2013)国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状Japan Revitalization Strategy (Revised - June 2014) Source: Japan Revitalization Plan (Revised 2014) 2014/6/24
  • 25. Consulting Facilities Information Free individual consultation for your company ・Legal system ・Cost estimation ・Taxation ・Market regulation Temporary office space offered free of charge Gather a wide range of information needed for your business ・Market reports ・Business advisors ・Online database ・Platform of professional service providers ・ Connection to ministries and regulatory authorities ・Deregulation Requests ・Business practice ・Human resource ・Location ・Subsidy application JETRO IBSC is a one-stop center for establishing a business base and starting your business in Japan. 国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状JETRO’s activities to attract foreign direct investment JETRO Invest Japan Business Support Center (IBSC) ・Conference rooms / shared reception ・PC room with printer/scanner etc. ・Event hall ・50 working days free ・Located in 6 major cities ・Fully equipped Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 25
  • 26. Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 26 03-3582-4684 http://www.jetro.go.jp/en/invest/hotline/ Invest Japan Hotline JETRO will arrange meetings with the relevant authorities and provide comprehensive support. Consultation regarding investing in Japan Consultation regarding investing in Japan and regulatory reform requests from foreign companies JETRO will submit requests for regulatory reforms to the Cabinet Office and METI. Requests for regulatory reforms 国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状Invest Japan Hotline
  • 27. 27 Further Information □Japan Economic Policies (Abenomics) <Abenomics is progressing - Summarized report on the major achievements of the third arrow of Abenomics> http://japan.kantei.go.jp/ongoingtopics/pdf/2014/140627_abenomics.pdf <Achievements of Abenomics> http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/singi/keizaisaisei/pdf/seika02shousaiEN.pdf <Revision of Japan Revitalization Strategy> http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/singi/keizaisaisei/pdf/10challenge02shousaiEN.pdf □Outlook of Japan Economy Government Estimates: http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai1/2014/0124mitoshi-e.pdf Japan Centre for Economic research: http://www.jcer.or.jp/eng/ (ESP Forecast July Survey): http://www.jcer.or.jp/eng/pdf/esp/fcst1407_eng.pdf □JETRO’s Services “How to set up business in Japan”: http://www.jetro.go.jp/en/invest/setting_up/ “JETRO IBSCs”: http://www.jetro.go.jp/en/invest/ibsc/ Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved.
  • 28. ▲ 4.1 ▲ 12.6 ▲ 15.0 7.0 0.3 7.0 6.1 4.2 6.0 ▲ 2.1 ▲ 6.9 ▲ 3.0 10.8 0.9 4.1 ▲ 2.5 ▲ 3.0 0.2 5.3 2.9 1.3 0.3 6.7 ▲ 16.0 ▲ 11.0 ▲ 6.0 ▲ 1.0 4.0 9.0 Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 28 Japan’s real GDP growth rate (quarterly, annual rate, seasonally-adjusted) 国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状<Appendix> Achievements of Abenomics (GDP growth rate) Source: Cabinet Office “National Accounts of Japan (Quarterly Estimates of GDP),”June 9, 2014 Lehman Brothers bankruptcy (Sep. 2008) Launch of Abenomics (Dec. 2012) Great East Japan earthquake (Mar. 2011) Last-minute demand before consumption tax increase
  • 29. 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 Yen response to monetary easing by Bank of Japan Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 29 FX market (against US dollar) * Note: The exchange rates are the Tokyo interbank central rates Source: The Bank of Japan “Foreign Exchange Rate” 国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状<Appendix> Achievements of Abenomics (FX market) Unit: yen (Jun. 30, 2014) 101.39 yen Launch of the Abe Administration (Dec. 26, 2012) 85.15yen Max after year 1985 (Oct. 28, 2011) 75.86 yen
  • 30. 5,000.00 7,000.00 9,000.00 11,000.00 13,000.00 15,000.00 17,000.00 Complied from NIKKEI Stock Average closing price 48% increase between Dec 2012 and Jun 2014 Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 30 Stock market (Nikkei Stock Average) 国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状<Appendix> Achievements of Abenomics (stock market) Lowest in past 20 years (Oct. 28, 2008) 6,994yen Final session Q2 2014 (Jun. 30, 2014) 15,162.1yen Unit: yen Launch of the Abe Administration (Dec. 26, 2012) 10,230yen
  • 31. -70 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 大企業/製造業 大企業/非製造業 中小企業/製造業 中小企業/非製造業 First time in 22 years that over 50% of both manufacturing and non-manufacturing SMEs expressed positive business sentiment. Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 31 国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状<Appendix>Achievements of Abenomics(business conditions) Source: Compiled from the data in the Bank of Japan “National Short-Term Economic Survey of Enterprises in Japan” known as Tankan (current situation diffusion index [DI]) Launch of Abenomics (Dec. 2012) Business conditions of companiesUnit: “Good” or “bad” % points Large companies (manufacturers) Large companies (non- manufacturers) SMEs (manufacturers) SMEs (non-manufacturers) Consumption tax increase (April 2014)
  • 32. Unemployment rate declined and jobs-to-applicants ratio surpassed 1.0 Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 32 国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状<Appendix> Achievements of Abenomics (employment) Unemployment rate and jobs-to-applicants ratio Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications “Labor Force Survey” Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare “General Job Placements” Unit: % Unit: ratio 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013.1Q 2013.2Q 2013.3Q 2013.4Q 2014.1Q 2014.2Q Unemployment rate Jobs-to-applicants ratio
  • 33. -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2013 On the path toward ending deflation Copyright (C) 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. 33 Consumer Price Index (on the previous year ) Source: Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications “Consumer Price Index” 国際的に見た日本の対内直接投資の現状<Appendix> Achievements of Abenomics (consumer prices) Steep rise in global oil and grain prices Increase in consumption tax from 3% to 5%
  • 34. Ⓒ 2014 JETRO. All rights reserved. Invest Japan Department Japan External Trade Organization (JETRO) 1-12-32, Akasaka, Minato-ku, Tokyo 107-6006 Japan Tel. +81 3 3582 5234, Fax. +81 3 3505 1990 This document is owned by JETRO. All of the content in this document, including, but not limited to, still images, text, pictorial works, designs and logos, is owned or licensed by JETRO. This document shall not be reproduced or reprinted on any medium or registered on any search system in whole or part by any means, without prior permission of JETRO. Although JETRO makes its best efforts to ensure the accuracy of the information contained in this document, JETRO does not take any responsibility regarding losses derived from the information contained in this document.

Editor's Notes

  1. 2
  2. <References> ①Economic and fiscal policies of Abe administration (Cabinet Office). (Japanese) http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai1/abenomics/abenomics.html (English)http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai1/2013/20130614item_02.pdf ②A: On 20years of stagnation B:on new decade of revival “Basic Policies for Economic and Fiscal Management and Reform”(2013/06/14, the Cabinet Office) (Japanese) http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai-shimon/kaigi/cabinet/2013/2013_basicpolicies.pdf (English)http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai1/2013/20130614_2013_basicpolicies_e.pdf C:On launch of Abe administration ~ Jun 2014 “Basic Policies for Economic and Fiscal Management and Reform”(2014/06/24, the Cabinet Office) (Japanese) http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai-shimon/kaigi/cabinet/2014/2014_basicpolicies.pdf (English) JETRO translated from Japanese A:Page 5(Page in the index: 1) “Over the past 20 years or so, since the critical turning point of the bursting of the economic bubble at the start of the 1990s, Japan’s economy generally has resigned itself to low economic growth. Over this period Japan’s real gross domestic product (real GDP) grew by just 0.8%, while its nominal GDP shrunk by 0.2% and real gross national income (real GNI), which indicates the size of the Japanese people’s real purchasing power, also showed a low rate of growth at just 0.6%, for the lowest performance among OECD states.” B:Page 10 (Page in the index: 6) “Over the coming decade (from fiscal 2013 through fiscal2022), nominal GDP growth of roughly 3% and real GDP growth of roughly 2%, on average, will be realized. The goal will be to achieve even higher growth in the second half of the 2010s. In this way, it is expected that real gross national income (real GNI), an indicator of real buying power, will grow by more than 2% over the medium to long term.” C:① Page 7 (Page in the index: 1) “Japan’s economy has suffered from low economic growth and long lasting deflation for 20 years. In order to bring swift end to deflation and revitalize Japan’s economy, The Abe administration has been carrying out the new economic policies (Abenomics), namely the “three arrows” policies of bold monetary policy, flexible fiscal policy and growth strategy that promotes private investment.” ② Page 7 (Page in the index: 1) “Japan’s real GDP, partially owing to the “three arrows” policy, has been growing for 6 consecutive quarters. During this period, the business conditions, including small and medium sized businesses, have drastically improved, and investment in plant and equipment is also increasing. Also, in all regions the economic conditions are greatly improving. Regarding employment, the job opening ration has reached its highest of 7 years at 1.6 and unemployment rate is down to below 4%, which show steady improvements.” ③Page 8. (Page in the index: 2) “In order to end deflation completely, the government will carry out the first two arrows with strength, and strive for continuous improvement of demand. Now that the gap between supply and demand is closing with the economic improvement brought by through Abenomics, this is the time for encouraging the main players of the economy, namely individuals and businesses, to challenge in areas such as employment, investment and broader projects, and further dive forward the third arrow, the growth strategy.”
  3. <References> ①(“The achievements of Abe administration’s economy and fiscal policies” (「安倍内閣の経済財政政策のこれまでの成果」 Japanese Only, translated by JETRO) (2014/06/13)The Cabinet Office (Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy), http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai-shimon/kaigi/minutes/2013/0613/shiryo_02.pdf Page 5 ②”Abenomics is progressing!”(「前進するアベノミクス」) (Japanese):http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/topics/2014/20140611zenshin_abenomix.pdf Page 15 (English):http://japan.kantei.go.jp/ongoingtopics/pdf/2014/140627_abenomics.pdf Page 24 *Comments of Mr. Kuroda* [Reuters, 2014/2/21, Tokyo](Translated by JETRO) “MR. Kuroda explained about the word “deflation” being deleted from the statement that “it means that the QQME is having its effects, and does not have any special implications”. He also said that “I had it in my mind” that consumer prices are going up as expected.” http://jp.reuters.com/article/topNews/idJPKBN0E10FC20140521 [WSJ interview 2014/5/24] (Translated by JETRO) (Answering the question “Is the deflation over?”) “We are still halfway of achieving the 2% inflation target. Comparing to the beginning of QQME, it is certain that we have made significant progress. It is a great advancement. Learning from past experiences, we are firmly carrying out the policies, but have not forgotten to be careful and cautious. Therefore I would not like to state that the deflation is over and there are no issues at all.” http://jp.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303295604579579970900182520?tesla=y&mg=reno64-wsj&url=http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303295604579579970900182520.html
  4. <Additional information for the presentation> The Government will continue to retain its fiscal consolidation target, which includes the halving of the primary deficit by FY2015. The new economic stimulus will also be implemented without issuance of additional Government bonds. <References> All references can be found at [The Cabinet Office>English Home>Economic and Fiscal Policy>Economic and Fiscal Policy Management] http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai/index-e.html#efpm [English] ①Emergency Economic Measures for The Revitalization of the Japanese Economy http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai1/2013/130111_emergency_economic_measures.pdf ②Joint Statement of the Government and the Bank of Japan on Overcoming Deflation and Achieving Sustainable Economic Growth http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai1/2013/130122_joint_statement_of_the_government_and_the_bank_of_japan.pdf ③Economic Measures for Realization of Virtuous Cycles http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai1/2013/20131205_economic_measures.pdf [Japanese] ①「安倍内閣の経済財政政策のこれまでの成果」(平成25年6月13日)内閣府<経済財政諮問会議提出資料> http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai-shimon/kaigi/minutes/2013/0613/shiryo_02.pdf 6ページ目(本文上4ページ目)※「日本経済再生に向けた緊急経済対策」のみ ②各経済対策の閣議決定資料 ※Total project-size =地方自治体や民間投資を含めた総事業規模 「日本経済再生に向けた緊急経済対策」について(平成25年1月11日閣議決定) http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai1/keizaitaisaku/2013/0111_01taisaku.pdf 「好循環実現のための経済対策」について(平成25年12月5日閣議決定) http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai1/keizaitaisaku/2013/131205_koujyunkan.pdf ③「前進ずるアベノミクス (Abenomics is progressing!)」 (和):http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/topics/2014/20140611zenshin_abenomix.pdf  15ページ目  (英):http://japan.kantei.go.jp/ongoingtopics/pdf/2014/140627_abenomics.pdf  24ページ目
  5. <Reference> “Japan Revitalization Plan (Revised 2014) Part 1” (2014/6/24) http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/singi/keizaisaisei/pdf/honbunEN.pdf Page 1-2 “Abenomics” is progressing! <in details> <The Path Towards Growth> (Japanese Only, Translated by JETRO) http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/headline/seicho_senryaku2013.html
  6. <References> “Japan Revitalization Strategy – Japan is Back-” http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/singi/keizaisaisei/pdf/en_saikou_jpn_hon.pdf Page 28 “Abenomics” is progressing! <in details> <The Path Towards Growth> (Japanese Only, Translated by JETRO) http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/headline/seicho_senryaku2013.html 1. Industry Revitalization Plan “Japan Revitalization Strategy – Japan is Back-” http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/singi/keizaisaisei/pdf/en_saikou_jpn_hon.pdf Page 31 2. Strategic Market Creation Plan “Japan Revitalization Strategy – Japan is Back-” http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/singi/keizaisaisei/pdf/en_saikou_jpn_hon.pdf Page 82 3. Strategy of Global Outreach “Japan Revitalization Strategy – Japan is Back-” http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/singi/keizaisaisei/pdf/en_saikou_jpn_hon.pdf Page 128
  7. <Reference> “Japan Revitalization Strategy – Japan is Back-” http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/singi/keizaisaisei/pdf/en_saikou_jpn_hon.pdf Page 28 “Abenomics” is progressing! <in details> <The Path Towards Growth> (Japanese Only, Translated by JETRO) http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/headline/seicho_senryaku2013.html (1)Industry Revitalization Plan http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/headline/seicho_senryaku2013_plan1.html
  8. <Reference> “Japan Revitalization Strategy – Japan is Back-” http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/singi/keizaisaisei/pdf/en_saikou_jpn_hon.pdf Page 28 “Abenomics” is progressing! <in details> <The Path Towards Growth> (Japanese Only, Translated by JETRO) http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/headline/seicho_senryaku2013.html (2)Strategic Market Creation Plan http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/headline/seicho_senryaku2013_plan2.html
  9. <Reference> “Japan Revitalization Strategy – Japan is Back-” http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/singi/keizaisaisei/pdf/en_saikou_jpn_hon.pdf Page 28 “Abenomics” is progressing! <in details> <The Path Towards Growth> (Japanese Only, Translated by JETRO) http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/headline/seicho_senryaku2013.html (3) Strategy of Global Outreach http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/headline/seicho_senryaku2013_plan3.html
  10. <References> Wording: “Abenomics is progressing!” (Japanese) http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/topics/2014/20140611zenshin_abenomix.pdf Page16 (English) http://japan.kantei.go.jp/letters/message/abenomics/AbenomicsisProgressing_JP.pdf Page25 *Numbers are based on the data in the appendix.
  11. <References> “Achievements of the “third arrow” reforms and new measures to be taken” <Summary> http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/singi/keizaisaisei/pdf/seika01gaiyouEN.pdf <Full material> (Only in Japanese) http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/singi/keizaisaisei/pdf/seika02shousaiJP.pdf
  12. <Reference> “Revision of Japan Revitalization Strategy ~10 Key Reforms~” http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/singi/keizaisaisei/pdf/10challenge02shousaiEN.pdf Page 5
  13. <References> “Revision of Japan Revitalization Strategy ~10 Key Reforms~” http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/singi/keizaisaisei/pdf/10challenge02shousaiEN.pdf Page 11 “Abenomics is Progressing!” http://japan.kantei.go.jp/ongoingtopics/pdf/2014/140627_abenomics.pdf Page 37 Immigration Bureau of Japan “Points-based Preferential Immigration Treatment for Highly Skilled Foreign Professionals” http://www.immi-moj.go.jp/newimmiact_3/en/index.html “Abenimics” is Progressing (Japanese only, translated by JETRO) http://www.kantei.go.jp/jp/headline/seicho_senryaku2013.html “Regarding the revision of Points-based Preferential Immigration Treatment for Highly Skilled Foreign Professionals” (Dec. 2013, The Ministry of Justice Immigration Bureau) (Japanese only, translated by JETRO) http://www.immi-moj.go.jp/newimmiact_3/pdf/03_point-sei_minaoshi.pdf
  14. <References> “Abenomics is Progressing!” http://japan.kantei.go.jp/ongoingtopics/pdf/2014/140627_abenomics.pdf Page 20
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  16. <Additional information for the presentation> ①Government’s Scenario There is a positive cycle of increasing employment and earning, and the economy can expect recovery led by consumer demand. The real GDP growth is expected to be 1.2% and consumer price increase 1.2% in FY2014. ②Private think tank’s Scenario The forecast for real GDP growth has been continuously revised upward which is an encouraging factor for the second consumption tax increase (by 2%) planned for October 2015. The consumer price increase forecast is more or less the same with the government’s, with 1.11%. <References> ①Government’s Outlook (All material in Japanese Only and translated by JETRO) Summary of the Cabinet Office Mid-Year Trial Calculations for FY2014 http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai-shimon/kaigi/minutes/2014/0722/shiryo_03_1.pdf On the Economic Trend of FY2014 (the Cabinet Office Mid-Year Trial Calculations for FY2014) http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai-shimon/kaigi/minutes/2014/0722/shiryo_03_2.pdf Economic and Fiscal Projections for Medium to Term Analysis (2014/7/25 Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy) http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai3/econome/h26chuuchouki7.pdf ②Japan Center for Economic Research “ESP Forecast (July 2014)” Published: 2014/7/10 http://www.jcer.or.jp/esp/ “The forecast for the real GDP growth for the July to September term, compared to the same term last year (season-adjusted), was 2.65%. The forecast has been continuously revised upward ever since the it began in January 2013, and this month’s forecast for the above period was more nearly 0.3% higher than last month’s. It can be said that this is an encouraging factor for the second consumption tax increase (2%) planned for October 2015.”
  17. <Additional infoormation for the presentation> ○Impact of consumer tax increase in April (from 5 to 8 percent) was larger than expected, so the cabinet office reviewed it’s forecast of real GDP growth from 1.4% to 1.2% for FY2014, and from 1.7% to 1.4% for 2015. ○The recoil of the last-minute demand brought by the consumption tax increase was striking in April, but in May most of the sectors showed recovery. ○In FY2015, the government is expecting consumer spending to increase by 1.9% compared to FY2014, and further increase of consumption tax to 10% is planned for October 2015. ①Government’s Outlook (All material in Japanese only and translated by JETRO) Summary of the Cabinet Office Mid-Year Trial Calculations for FY2014 http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai-shimon/kaigi/minutes/2014/0722/shiryo_03_1.pdf On the Economic Trend of FY2014 (the Cabinet Office Mid-Year Trial Calculations for FY2014) http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai-shimon/kaigi/minutes/2014/0722/shiryo_03_2.pdf ②Chart:Japan Center for Economic Research “ESP Forecast (July 2014)” Published: 2014/7/10 http://www.jcer.or.jp/esp/ <News Articles> NEWSWEEK 2014/7/7 “The consumer spending reaction to the consumption tax increase was within expectation, and recovery is expected for July to September term – says the Osaka branch manager of BOJ” http://www.newsweekjapan.jp/headlines/business/2014/07/129653_1.php Asahi Shinbun 2014/7/23 “The cabinet office’s forecast for GDP growth revised downward to 1.2%, impacted consumption tax increase” http://www.asahi.com/articles/ASG7Q4T1FG7QULFA018.html
  18. <References> 1. Impact of joining the TPP on the macro economy, calculated by the government The Government Office for TPP Measures “On TPP trial calculations (published: 2013/3/15) http://www.cas.go.jp/jp/tpp/tppinfo2.html#shisan 2. PECC(Pacific Economic Cooperation Council)economic effect calculations http://www.cas.go.jp/jp/tpp/pdf/2013/3/130315_pecc.pdf
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  20. <References> “Japan Revitalization Plan (Revised 2014)” (published: 2014/6/24) (Japanese only, translated by JETRO) Page 129
  21. <Data Reference (Japanese only)> The Cabinet Office http://www.esri.cao.go.jp/jp/sna/data/data_list/sokuhou/files/2014/toukei_2014.html Latest data: 2014.1Q ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 内閣府ホーム > 統計情報・調査結果 > 国民経済計算(GDP統計) > 統計データ > 統計表(四半期別GDP速報) > 2014年(平成26年) > 統計表一覧 http://www.esri.cao.go.jp/jp/sna/data/data_list/sokuhou/files/2014/toukei_2014.html ※最終データ: 2014.1Q(2014年6月9日発表「平成6年1-3月期~平成26年1-3月期2次速報値」) 2014.2Qの数字公表予定は2014年8月13日(水) ☆参考:データ更新に関するガイド(2014/2/6 JAA 渡辺) (四半期別実質GDP成長率) 内閣府「国民経済計算(GDP統計) 」→「統計表(四半期別GDP速報)」のうち最新年を選択。 (http://www.esri.cao.go.jp/jp/sna/data/data_list/sokuhou/files/files_sokuhou.html) 最新公表分の「統計表一覧」を選択。 2つ目のブロック「増加率」→「年率換算の実質季節調整系列(前期比)」を選択 エクセル表B列「国内総生産(支出側)」の該当数値を使用(過去に遡及して数字が変更となることから、必ず全データを更新すること。
  22. <Additional information for presentation> Responding to the quantitative and qualitative monetary easing by the Bank of Japan, yen appreciation against the dollar has accelerated in the FX market. <Data reference> The Bank of Japan http://www.stat-search.boj.or.jp/ssi/mtshtml/d.html *Last updated data:2014/6/30
  23. <Additional information for presentation> ○Heightened expectations for economic recovery by government policies and improved outlook for earnings of export companies by the yen’s depreciation has driven a historic increase. <Data Reference> Yahoo Finance: Nikkei Stock Average Price http://stocks.finance.yahoo.co.jp/stocks/history/?code=998407.O ※Last updated data:2014/7/2 ①The Cabinet Office “The outline of Japanese Economy 2013-2014” http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai3/2013/1225nk/13youyaku.pdf Page 12
  24. <Data Reference> ①The Bank of Japan “Tankan” http://www.boj.or.jp/statistics/tk/index.htm/ ②Note Reference “Abenomics” is Progressing! http://japan.kantei.go.jp/letters/message/abenomics/AbenomicsisProgressing_JP.pdf Page 25 *Latest data: 2014.2Q -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ☆参考:データ更新に関するガイド(2013/2/7 JAA 渡辺) (短観) ①四半期別の最新発表月分は(http://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/rireki/gaiyou.htm)で確認。 ②時系列の四半期別データは時系列統計データ検索サイト(http://www.stat-search.boj.or.jp/index.html#)で「短観」アイコンをクリック、グラフ直下の「データ表示」→「時系列データ表示(四半期)」で数字を抽出。 ※最終データ: 2014.2Q(2014年7月1日掲載「2014年6月調査」) 2014.3Q公表予定は3ヵ月後
  25. <Additional information for presentation> Continuous decline in total employment rebounding Stagnant jobs-to-applicants ratio turned into 1.06 ( over 1.0 ) in 2013.4Q Unemployment rate steadily improving <Data reference> ①Unemployment (Japanese Only) The Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare http://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/rireki/gaiyou.htm ②Jobs-to-applicants ratio (Japanese Only) The Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications http://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/rireki/gaiyou.htm Latest Data:: 2014 2Q --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ☆参考:データ更新に関するガイド(2014/2/6 JAA 渡辺) ((就業者数・完全失業率) ①最近の数値は四半期のため、「労働力調査 過去の結果の概要」http://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/rireki/gaiyou.htm の三列目「四半期平均」PDFの結果概要[全国]項目で確認。 もしくは、直近分は「労働力調査」トップページhttp://www.stat.go.jp/data/roudou/index.htm の更新情報で確認。 (有効求人倍率) 直近の四半期分、過去の年平均分共に同じエクセル表から参照。厚生労働省「一般職業紹介状況」(http://www.mhlw.go.jp/toukei/list/114-1.html) の「集計結果」→「統計表一覧」→「最新月分」(12月公表分はhttp://www.e-stat.go.jp/SG1/estat/List.do?lid=000001117042) →エクセル表「3.有効求人倍率(実数及び季節調整値)」内の該当値を確認。 ※最終データ:(完全失業率) 2014年7月29日公表「労働力調査(基本集計)平成26年(2014年) 4~6月期平均(速報)」 (有効求人倍率) 2014年7月29日公表「一般職業紹介状況(平成26年6月分及び平成26年4月~6月平均)」
  26. <Additional information for presentation> With consumer prices, which had been stagnant for nearly 20 years, holding firm, Japan is in the process of ending deflation. (Cabinet Office “Related Cabinet Meeting Materials on Economic Monthly Reports” (Dec. 24. 2013)) <Reference> The Cabinet Office (The Cabinet Ministers’ conference on monthly economic reporting,) Published 2013/12/24 (Japanese only, translated by JETRO) http://www5.cao.go.jp/keizai3/getsurei/2013/12kaigi.pdf Page 2 <Data reference> Statistics Japan (The Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications) (http://www.e-stat.go.jp/SG1/estat/List.do?bid=000001033700&cycode=0) *Latest Data: 2013 (Annual)
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