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Risk of Financial Institutions
Saunders, A., & Cornett, M. M. (2018)
Arimbi Priadipa, M.B.A.
Contents:
• A major objective of FI management is to increase the FI’s returns for its owners.
• This often comes, however, at the cost of increased risk.
• This chapter overviews the various risks facing FIs:
1) interest rate risk,
2) credit risk,
3) liquidity risk,
4) foreign exchange risk,
5) country or sovereign risk,
6) market risk,
7) off-balance-sheet risk,
8) technology and operational risk,
9) and insolvency risk.
Risks Faced by
Financial
Intermediaries:
INTEREST
RATE RISK
• interest rate risk: The risk incurred by an FI
when the maturities of its assets and
liabilities are mismatched.
• refinancing risk: The risk that the cost of
rolling over or reborrowing funds will rise
above the returns being earned on asset
investments.
• reinvestment risk: The risk that the return
on funds to be reinvested will fall below the
cost of funds.
Credit risk
• credit risk : The risk that the promised cash
flows from loans and securities held by FIs
may not be paid in full.
• Credit risk arises because of the possibility
that promised cash flows on financial claims
held by FIs, such as loans or bonds, will not
be paid in full.
• Virtually all types of FIs face this risk.
• However, in general, FIs that make loans or
buy bonds with long maturities are more
exposed than are FIs that make loans or buy
bonds with short maturities.
Type of
Credit Risk
firm-specific credit risk: The risk
of default of the borrowing firm
associated with the specific types
of project risk taken by that firm.
systematic credit risk: The risk of
default associated with general
economy wide or macro
conditions affecting all borrowers.
LIQUIDITY
RISK
• liquidity risk: The risk that a sud- den surge in liability
withdrawals may leave an FI in a position of having to
liquidate assets in a very short period of time and at low
prices.
• Liquidity risk arises when an FI’s liability holders, such as
depositors or insurance policyholders, demand
immediate cash for the financial claims they hold with an
FI or when holders of off-balance-sheet loan
commitments (or credit lines) suddenly exercise their
right to borrow (draw down their loan commitments).
• For example, when liability holders demand cash
immediacy—that is, “put” their financial claims back to
the FI—the FI must either borrow additional funds or sell
assets to meet the demand for the withdrawal of funds.
foreign
exchange risk
• Foreign Exchange Risk: The risk that exchange rate changes can
affect the value of an FI’s assets and liabilities denominated in
foreign currencies.
• Increasingly, FIs have recognized that both direct foreign
investment and foreign portfolio investments can extend the
operational and financial benefits available from purely
domestic investments.
• One potential benefit from an FI’s becoming increasingly
global in its outlook is an ability to expand abroad directly
through branching or acquisitions or indirectly by developing a
financial asset portfolio that includes foreign securities as well
as domestic securities.
• Even so, foreign investment exposes an FI to foreign exchange
risk.
• Foreign exchange risk is the risk that exchange rate changes
can adversely affect the value of an FI’s assets and liabilities
denominated in foreign currencies.
COUNTRY OR
SOVEREIGN
RISK
• country or sovereign risk: The risk that repayments
from foreign borrowers may be interrupted because
of interference from for- eign governments.
• as we noted in the previous section, a globally
oriented FI that mismatches the size and maturities
of its foreign assets and liabilities is exposed to
foreign currency and foreign interest rate risks.
• Even beyond these risks, and even when investing in
dollars, holding assets in a foreign country can
expose an FI to an additional type of foreign
investment risk called country or sovereign risk.
• Country or sovereign risk is a different type of credit
risk that is faced by an FI that purchases assets such
as the bonds and loans of foreign corporations.
COUNTRY OR SOVEREIGN RISK
For example, when a domestic corporation is unable or unwilling to repay a loan, an FI
usually has recourse to the domestic bankruptcy courts and eventually may recoup at least
a portion of its original investment when the assets of the defaulted firm are liquidated or
restructured.
By comparison, a foreign corporation may be unable to repay the principal or interest on a
loan even if it would like to.
Most commonly, the government of the country in which the corporation is headquartered
may prohibit or limit debt payments because of foreign currency shortages and adverse
political reasons.
MARKET RISK
• market risk: The risk incurred in the trading
of assets and liabilities due to changes in
interest rates, exchange rates, and other
asset prices.
• Market risk arises when FIs actively trade
assets and liabilities (and derivatives) rather
than hold them for longer-term investment,
funding, or hedging purposes.
• Market risk is closely related to interest rate
risk, credit risk, and foreign exchange risk in
that as these risks increase or decrease, the
overall risk of the FI is affected
The Investment (Banking) Book and Trading Book of a
Commercial Bank
OFF-
BALANCE-
SHEET RISK
• off-balance-sheet Risk: The risk incurred by an FI due to activities
related to contingent assets and liabilities.
• One of the most striking trends for many modern FIs has been the
growth in their off-balance-sheet activities and thus their off-
balance-sheet risk.
• While all FIs to some extent engage in off-balance-sheet activities,
most attention has been drawn to the activities of banks, especially
large banks, that invest heavily in off- balance-sheet assets and
liabilities, particularly derivative securities
• y contrast, off-balance-sheet activities have been less of a concern to
smaller depository insti- tutions and many insurance companies, that
hold relatively few off-balance-sheet securities.
• An off-balance-sheet activity, by definition, does not appear on an FI’s
current balance sheet since it does not involve holding a current
primary claim (asset) or the issuance of a current secondary claim
(liability). Instead, off-balance- sheet activities affect the future,
rather than the current, shape of an FI’s balance sheet.
• They involve the creation of contingent assets and liabilities that give rise to their
potential (future) placement on the balance sheet.
• As such, they have a direct impact on the FI’s future profitability and performace.
• Thus, accountants place them “below the bottom line” of an FI’s asset and liability
balance sheet
• A good example of an off-balance-sheet activity is the issuance of standby letter of credit
guarantees by insurance companies and banks to back the issuance of municipal bonds.
• contingent assets and liabilities: Assets and liabilities off the balance sheet that potentially produce
positive or negative cash flows for an FI.
• letter of credit: A credit guarantee issued by an FI for a fee on which payment is contingent on some
future event occurring.
TECHNOLOGY
AND
OPERATIONAL
RISKS
• technology risk: The risk incurred by an FI when techno-
logical investments do not produce the cost savings
anticipated.
• operational riskThe risk that existing technology or support
systems may malfunc- tion or break down.
• Technology and operational risks are closely related and in
recent years have caused great concern to FI managers and
regulators alike.
• The Bank for International Settlements (BIS), the principal
organization of central banks in the major economies of the
world, defines operational risk (inclusive of technological risk)
as “the risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal
processes, people, and systems or from external events.”
• A number of FIs add reputational risk and strategic risk (e.g.,
due to a failed merger) as part of a broader definition of
operational risk.
INSOLVENCY
RISK
• insolvency risk: The risk that an FI may not have
enough capital to offset a sudden decline in the
value of its assets rela- tive to its liabilities.
• Insolvency risk is a consequence or outcome of
one or more of the risks described above:
interest rate, credit, liquidity, foreign exchange,
sovereign, market, off- balance-sheet, and
technology risks.
• Technically, insolvency occurs when the capital
or equity resources of an FI’s owners are driven
to, or near to, zero because of losses incurred as
the result of one or more of the risks described
above

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Risks Faced by Financial Institutions

  • 1. Risk of Financial Institutions Saunders, A., & Cornett, M. M. (2018) Arimbi Priadipa, M.B.A.
  • 2. Contents: • A major objective of FI management is to increase the FI’s returns for its owners. • This often comes, however, at the cost of increased risk. • This chapter overviews the various risks facing FIs: 1) interest rate risk, 2) credit risk, 3) liquidity risk, 4) foreign exchange risk, 5) country or sovereign risk, 6) market risk, 7) off-balance-sheet risk, 8) technology and operational risk, 9) and insolvency risk.
  • 4. INTEREST RATE RISK • interest rate risk: The risk incurred by an FI when the maturities of its assets and liabilities are mismatched. • refinancing risk: The risk that the cost of rolling over or reborrowing funds will rise above the returns being earned on asset investments. • reinvestment risk: The risk that the return on funds to be reinvested will fall below the cost of funds.
  • 5. Credit risk • credit risk : The risk that the promised cash flows from loans and securities held by FIs may not be paid in full. • Credit risk arises because of the possibility that promised cash flows on financial claims held by FIs, such as loans or bonds, will not be paid in full. • Virtually all types of FIs face this risk. • However, in general, FIs that make loans or buy bonds with long maturities are more exposed than are FIs that make loans or buy bonds with short maturities.
  • 6. Type of Credit Risk firm-specific credit risk: The risk of default of the borrowing firm associated with the specific types of project risk taken by that firm. systematic credit risk: The risk of default associated with general economy wide or macro conditions affecting all borrowers.
  • 7. LIQUIDITY RISK • liquidity risk: The risk that a sud- den surge in liability withdrawals may leave an FI in a position of having to liquidate assets in a very short period of time and at low prices. • Liquidity risk arises when an FI’s liability holders, such as depositors or insurance policyholders, demand immediate cash for the financial claims they hold with an FI or when holders of off-balance-sheet loan commitments (or credit lines) suddenly exercise their right to borrow (draw down their loan commitments). • For example, when liability holders demand cash immediacy—that is, “put” their financial claims back to the FI—the FI must either borrow additional funds or sell assets to meet the demand for the withdrawal of funds.
  • 8. foreign exchange risk • Foreign Exchange Risk: The risk that exchange rate changes can affect the value of an FI’s assets and liabilities denominated in foreign currencies. • Increasingly, FIs have recognized that both direct foreign investment and foreign portfolio investments can extend the operational and financial benefits available from purely domestic investments. • One potential benefit from an FI’s becoming increasingly global in its outlook is an ability to expand abroad directly through branching or acquisitions or indirectly by developing a financial asset portfolio that includes foreign securities as well as domestic securities. • Even so, foreign investment exposes an FI to foreign exchange risk. • Foreign exchange risk is the risk that exchange rate changes can adversely affect the value of an FI’s assets and liabilities denominated in foreign currencies.
  • 9. COUNTRY OR SOVEREIGN RISK • country or sovereign risk: The risk that repayments from foreign borrowers may be interrupted because of interference from for- eign governments. • as we noted in the previous section, a globally oriented FI that mismatches the size and maturities of its foreign assets and liabilities is exposed to foreign currency and foreign interest rate risks. • Even beyond these risks, and even when investing in dollars, holding assets in a foreign country can expose an FI to an additional type of foreign investment risk called country or sovereign risk. • Country or sovereign risk is a different type of credit risk that is faced by an FI that purchases assets such as the bonds and loans of foreign corporations.
  • 10. COUNTRY OR SOVEREIGN RISK For example, when a domestic corporation is unable or unwilling to repay a loan, an FI usually has recourse to the domestic bankruptcy courts and eventually may recoup at least a portion of its original investment when the assets of the defaulted firm are liquidated or restructured. By comparison, a foreign corporation may be unable to repay the principal or interest on a loan even if it would like to. Most commonly, the government of the country in which the corporation is headquartered may prohibit or limit debt payments because of foreign currency shortages and adverse political reasons.
  • 11. MARKET RISK • market risk: The risk incurred in the trading of assets and liabilities due to changes in interest rates, exchange rates, and other asset prices. • Market risk arises when FIs actively trade assets and liabilities (and derivatives) rather than hold them for longer-term investment, funding, or hedging purposes. • Market risk is closely related to interest rate risk, credit risk, and foreign exchange risk in that as these risks increase or decrease, the overall risk of the FI is affected
  • 12. The Investment (Banking) Book and Trading Book of a Commercial Bank
  • 13. OFF- BALANCE- SHEET RISK • off-balance-sheet Risk: The risk incurred by an FI due to activities related to contingent assets and liabilities. • One of the most striking trends for many modern FIs has been the growth in their off-balance-sheet activities and thus their off- balance-sheet risk. • While all FIs to some extent engage in off-balance-sheet activities, most attention has been drawn to the activities of banks, especially large banks, that invest heavily in off- balance-sheet assets and liabilities, particularly derivative securities • y contrast, off-balance-sheet activities have been less of a concern to smaller depository insti- tutions and many insurance companies, that hold relatively few off-balance-sheet securities. • An off-balance-sheet activity, by definition, does not appear on an FI’s current balance sheet since it does not involve holding a current primary claim (asset) or the issuance of a current secondary claim (liability). Instead, off-balance- sheet activities affect the future, rather than the current, shape of an FI’s balance sheet.
  • 14. • They involve the creation of contingent assets and liabilities that give rise to their potential (future) placement on the balance sheet. • As such, they have a direct impact on the FI’s future profitability and performace. • Thus, accountants place them “below the bottom line” of an FI’s asset and liability balance sheet • A good example of an off-balance-sheet activity is the issuance of standby letter of credit guarantees by insurance companies and banks to back the issuance of municipal bonds.
  • 15. • contingent assets and liabilities: Assets and liabilities off the balance sheet that potentially produce positive or negative cash flows for an FI. • letter of credit: A credit guarantee issued by an FI for a fee on which payment is contingent on some future event occurring.
  • 16. TECHNOLOGY AND OPERATIONAL RISKS • technology risk: The risk incurred by an FI when techno- logical investments do not produce the cost savings anticipated. • operational riskThe risk that existing technology or support systems may malfunc- tion or break down. • Technology and operational risks are closely related and in recent years have caused great concern to FI managers and regulators alike. • The Bank for International Settlements (BIS), the principal organization of central banks in the major economies of the world, defines operational risk (inclusive of technological risk) as “the risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes, people, and systems or from external events.” • A number of FIs add reputational risk and strategic risk (e.g., due to a failed merger) as part of a broader definition of operational risk.
  • 17. INSOLVENCY RISK • insolvency risk: The risk that an FI may not have enough capital to offset a sudden decline in the value of its assets rela- tive to its liabilities. • Insolvency risk is a consequence or outcome of one or more of the risks described above: interest rate, credit, liquidity, foreign exchange, sovereign, market, off- balance-sheet, and technology risks. • Technically, insolvency occurs when the capital or equity resources of an FI’s owners are driven to, or near to, zero because of losses incurred as the result of one or more of the risks described above