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THE UNITED STATES,
CUBA AND A
PROSPECTIVE TOURISM
INDUSTRY
By: ArianaR. Tobin
March, 2014
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Manuel Marrero Cruz, Cuba’s Minister of Tourism, walked into work more tired than
usual. He, along with the rest of the Cuban cabinet were at the office late the night before
discussing the United States. Talk about increasing the leniency or even the complete dissolution
of the United States’ embargo had been flying around for some time, but it was getting serious.
More and more, President Barack Obama and President Raul Castro were deliberating what
could happen in terms of diplomacy and relationships between the two neighbors. The same was
true for the ministers of Cuba’s various sectors of government. They were all confronted with the
task of what would happen if and when the United States and Cuba became no longer enemies,
but instead, cordial neighbors.
Minister Marrero Cruz sat and saw the numbers. Almost one hundred thousand U.S.
citizens entered Cuba in 2012 despite the barring policy of the embargo, but if there was open
travel and tourism imagine the increased numbers of travelers not to mention the amount of
money that they could bring to Cuba’s economy. Millions of dollars could go towards the
improvement of infrastructure, medicine, and government. On the other side of this decision is
the integrity of Cuban culture. With the launch of a full scale tourist relationship with the United
States, the small island nation could change. Resorts would be built, tour busses explaining the
rich history of Cuba (and maybe the softening of their Communist history) to people with
cameras. Cruise ships everywhere, and with the proximity to Miami, every day people would
come for just a day to visit, heck they might even just hop a boat for lunch. The worst though are
tacky souvenirs warping the local culture in order to attract a broader group of buyers. So what
factor would outweigh the rest, the long term economic benefits from a tourist relationship, or
keeping the integrity and gusto of traditional Cuban culture and history? As he took a sip of his
coffee, Minister Marrero Cruz realized it was going to be another long day.
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Case Study Question:
The recent relaxation of travel to and from Cuba and the success of these initial visits
suggests that the time may be right to ease restriction and expand tourism on both sides.
Assuming that the Obama Administration and Congress were to normalize relations, should
Cuba restart a wide scale tourism industry with the US?
Description and Background
Cuba, the largest island nation within the Caribbean, is a natural attraction to those who
are looking for a tropical vacation. Despite it being painted as the failing result of Socialism in
the Western Hemisphere by the United States, Cuba offers a variety of travel options, and is
described by Canada’s Cuba Tourist Board as a country that is, “easy, fun and safe to tour
(Explore Cuba, gocuba.ca, 2013).” The Cuban government uses words similar to Canada as it
describes the country as one full of natural beauty and a large cultural heritage, not to mention
the hospitality and warmth of the population towards tourists from various backgrounds.
Tourism is not a new industry for the Cuban people. Following its independence from
Spain, Cuba became a popular travel spot, especially for the neighboring United States. It was
not until the Cuban Revolution’s end in 1959 that the tourism industry in Cuba took a negative
hit. When Fidel Castro overhauled the Cuban government into a Socialist system, he imposed
certain values and morals on the country. The resulting action was to begin to ban visitors and
essentially isolate the island from the world in order to protect it from what he viewed as the
corruption that came with the United States and its Western values (Wilkinson, 2008). Slowly
but surely the Cuban government has seen the potential that a renewed tourism industry holds for
the economic growth and development of the country. Looking to countries worldwide, the
tourism industry within Cuba has expanded to welcome hundreds of thousands of tourists every
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year. Through the results and benefits Cuba has seen through its tourism industry, it has begun to
increase investments towards the tourism industry.
Figure 1:
Source:Travel & TourismEconomicImpact Data Search,World Travel andTourismCouncil (2014).
Travel and TourismTotal Contribution and PercentContribution to GDP,http://www.wttc.org/research.
In 1993, shortly after the collapse of its main investor and supporter, the Soviet Union,
Cuba was reduced to a struggling country. The collapse of the Soviet Union meant that the
majority of all aid was suddenly cut off. As a result GDP dropped 35 percent between 1989,
when Cuba was at its economic peak, and 1993 (Mesa-Lago & Vidal-Alejandro, 2010). With the
task of rebuilding an entire country less necessary industries such as tourism were left with less
resources for investment. Cuba only invested 1.6% of all capital ($ .04 billion) towards tourism
in 1993. Looking at the data in figure 1, it is evident that Cuba’s economy struggled to
substantially grow through the 1990s and early 2000s. The increase in space between points
corresponding for the year highlights that in 2002 Cuba invested $278 million dollars into the
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
Capital Investment in Tourism, % share of Economic Investment
(1993-2013)
% share US$ bn
4
tourism industry. While this amount is certainly an increase over previous years, this accounted
for nine percent of the entire investment budget. To compare, the same amount was invested into
the tourism industry during the previous year (2001), but it only accounted for eight percent of
the budget. The difference in percentages means that in 2002 there was less available for the
government to invest overall, as the same amount accounted for a higher share of the total.
The continued investment into the tourism industry continued to increase, and would also
prove to be a strong asset to Cuba’s growing economy. Like many countries worldwide, Cuba’s
GDP has steadily been growing each year. Despite a growing economy and tourism industry, the
global financial crisis in 2008 took a toll on the majority of the world economy and Cuba was not
an exception. Two factors largely impacted the effect of the global crisis (Mesa-Lago & Vidal-
Alejandro, 2010). Trade fell over 34 percent which ended as the worst drop of the decade. This
not only caused increased prices for imports such as oil and food, which are necessary to the
Cuban economy, but also the collapse of the nickel market. Nickel is Cuba’s main export
resource, and the collapse of this market meant a huge cost in profits. These results were not the
only severe cut to Cuba’s economy, but the effects on Cuba’s trade partners, Canada and
Venezuela caused a sharp hit to the rate of growth as trade and business between the countries
suffered (Perez, 2009).
The tourism market surprisingly was not as affected as the rest of Cuba’s industries
during the economic crisis. The Cuban government reported that in 2008 visitor numbers
actually rose by almost 10 percent, much better than other Caribbean countries which suffered
from negative numbers of visitors. While the tourism market did not collapse like that of Cuba’s
nickel market, the growth rates still declined and the Ministry of Tourism continuously reported
fewer numbers of tourists travelling to the island through 2009 and 2010 (Perez, 2009). The
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surviving tourism market kept the economy from a complete collapse as the recession began to
pass and the economy slowly recovered. Overall, Latin America was one of the first regions to
recover from the 2008 global crisis. Quick policy action and a strong hold on macroeconomic
policies allowed for this region, including Cuba, to pull itself out quicker than the rest of the
world. Rather than a strong hit on the economy, which struggled more before the crisis, social
sector programs including housing and access to resources bared the majority of problems from
the recession (Mesa-Lago & Vidal-Alejandro, 2010).
The market recovered with the rest of Cuba’s economy. In 2012, the national GDP
topped out at $121 billion.
Figure 2:
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Travel& TourismTotal Contribution to GDP
(1993-2013) US$ bn % share GDP
Source: World Travel andTourism Council(2014).Travel and Tourism Total Contribution and Percent Contribution to
GDP
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Travel and tourism was a beneficial industry, accounting for $8.1 billion in profit or close
to 10 percent of the overall GDP through direct, indirect and induced influences including travel,
accommodations, and foreign investment into the tourism industry (Travel and Tourism
Economic Impact Cuba 2013, 2014). Over the last twenty years, Cuba has invested an
increasing amount of its budget into the tourism industry. Although the high point of
contribution to overall GDP was in 2005 at almost 14 percent, the tourism budget never declined
and kept a consistent contribution to the country’s GDP, even during and after the world
economy crash in 2008 (World Travel and Tourism Council, 2014).
2013 saw the overhaul of the Cuban tourism industry as the country made strides towards
a new marketing strategy to attract tourism from a variety of new markets, including the launch
of Auténtica Cuba, a website exemplifying everything that Cuba has to offer to those who are
considering a trip to the country (Gutiérrez Almeida, OnCuba Magazine, 2013). This was a bold
move by the Cuban government in partnership with Canada to broaden its tourism market to
areas and refurbish its image. Considering the risk, the World Travel and Tourism Council
support this makeover of Cuba’s tourism and believe that this will pay off in an increase in the
amount that tourism will contribute to GDP by at least two percent in the coming years (Travel
and Tourism Economic Impact Cuba 2013, 2014).
While the remarketing campaign of Cuba’s Ministry of Tourism has begun to rebuild the
country’s image, Cuba has not had any shortage of international visitors in its more recent
history. This chart shows the number of visitors entering the Cuban border by region. Also listed
within this data are the top 10 countries whose residents traveled to Cuba during 2008-2012.
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Source: World TourismOrganization (2013). Yearbook of Tourism Statistics dataset (Electronic).Cuba Factbook
UNWTO.
Citizens from Europe and the Americas were the majority travelers to Cuba in all five
years shown in figure 3, however there were a steady stream of people from across the globe. An
interesting point shown here is that the Americas are the only region where the number of
travelers never declines. While the remaining countries and regions experience a dip in visitation
during 2009, the number of travelers from the Americas increases every year. Canada ranks
number one in terms of travelers and this is not a big surprise, as it is also one of Cuba’s top
trade partners for both exports and imports (Travel and Tourism Economic Impact Cuba 2013,
2014).
A noteworthy takeaway from this survey of travelers to Cuba is the United States’
statistics. Nearly 42,000 US citizens ventured to Cuba in 2008, despite a tight restriction on
travel to Cuba resulting from the Embargo dissolving any diplomatic relations between these two
Figure 3:
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Totals 2,348,340 2,429,809 2,531,745 2,716,317 2,838,607
Africa 7,346 8,691 8,698 8,202 10,975
Americas 1,380,232 1,535,853 1,664,053 1,799,074 1,926,601
CaribbeanIslands 245,741 315,039 389,766 413,409 399,756
Canada 818,248 914,884 945,248 1,002,318 1,071,696
UnitedStates 41,904 52,455 63,046 73,566 98,050
Argentina 47,405 48,543 58,612 75,968 94,691
East Asia and the Pacific 44,225 40,558 41,349 48,498 53,158
Europe 909,086 838,340 809,515 852,065 839,258
RussianFederation 40,621 37,391 56,245 78,472 86,944
The UnitedKingdom 193,932 172,318 174,343 175,822 153,737
Italy 126,042 118,347 112,298 110,432 103,290
France 90,731 83,478 80,470 94,370 101,522
Germany 100,964 93,437 93,196 95,124 108,712
Spain 121,166 129,224 104,948 101,631 81,354
Middle East 1,981 1,810 2,053 1,841 2,191
South Asia 5,156 4,467 5,832 5,841 5,901
Other/Not Specified 314 90 255 823 523
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countries. This figure is only the start point. Over the following five years, the numbers would
more than double to 98,000 people in 2012. This dramatic increase could be a result to the initial
relaxation of travel restrictions, put into place by US President Obama’s Administration starting
in 2009 (CIA World Factbook, 2013).
As the Cuban Tourism market has expanded, so have the attractions that are bringing
tourists to the island. Not only is Cuba a former Communist country, the new variety of available
attractions are bringing the number of visitors shown in the figure 3. According to the United
Nation World Tourism Organization, most visitors to the island are there for leisurely activities.
Of the 2.8 million tourists that went to Cuba in 2012, 96 percent of the people went there on
vacation.
Figure 4:
Source: World TourismOrganization (2013). Compendiumof Tourism Statistics dataset (Electronic).Cuba Factbook
UNWTO.
96%
3%
1%
Visitors by Purpose2012
(In Millions of People)
Holiday, Leisure Other Personal Business/Profess.
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One of the more popular reasons for travelling to Cuba is its Ecotourism sector. Four
percent of the world’s land animal species can be found on the Cuban island, along with nearly
7,000 plant species over the variety of landscapes. The ecosystems on Cuba are well preserved
and many resorts make it a point to provide a ecotourism aspect to its marketing (Ecotourism,
gocuba.ca, 2014). Other attractions include numerous beaches that provide sailing, diving, or
snorkelling for guests.
The remaining four percent were comprised of other personal travel(3%), and trips for
business/ professional conferences (1%).
Source:La Ministría Salud deCuba (2013). Anuario Estadístico de Salud (Annual Health Statistics). República de
Cuba. Accessed February 8, 2014. http://files.sld.cu/dne/files/2013/04/anuario_2012.pdf
Incorporated into the category of “other personal travel,” is the lucritive industry of
Medical Tourism. Cuba prides itself on having one of the best medical and health programs in
its surrounding areas with numerous graduates in the medical field from a range of specialties.
The Cuban government is extremely confident in its medical programs, and one of its main
exports is medical personnel. For example, Cuba trades medical personnel for resources such as
oil from countries in South America including Venezuela (Feinsilver, 2008).
The strength of Cuba’s medical sector has attracted the attention of people worldwide,
and has translated into an industry of tourism. Medical tourism has made Cuba one of the top
destinations for medical treatment. This is not only due to a medical field that is top rated, but
Figure5:
Medicine Stomatology/Dentistry NursingLicense HealthTechnology Psychology
2008 4,399 555 10,074 9,413 n/a
2009 4,488 680 2,663 14,889 121
2010 4,149 784 7,315 14,069 283
2011 5,463 1,132 6,916 11,663 417
2012 10,539 1,654 5,756 10,305 491
Cuban Graduatesof Higher Medical Education, By Specialty(2008-2012)
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also one that is extremely affordable. The organization Servimed Cuba has teamed up with
numerous medical locations and resorts to create a reliable and large network of resources for
people travelling to Cuba for medical reasons. The program serves not only to pair travelers with
necessary medical personnel, but also allows them to be treated and heal in the comfortable and
hospitable environment of Cuban resorts (Servimed.com Home Page, 2013).
In terms of the tourist market, Cuba seems like an ideal choice for tourists of various ages
and backgrounds. Its tropical location provides pristine conditions for travel almost year round.
Like any country, Cuba’s tourism industry has a slow time, occurring during the Caribbean’s
hurricane season. The dangers of travelling to the island as a result of possible hurricanes and
storms means that visiting is less desirable. This would pose a problem if such an investment was
put into place to build a large tourism relationship with the United States. If Cuba could not bring
in substantial visitors during the off season, it could prove difficult to offset the costs of building
and development for such a large tourism venture. Associated with finances, the ability to find
increased employees for resorts and new jobs created within the travel industry could be a large
hurdle for the country to overcome. Workers tend to avoid the tourism industry as the pay and
benefits are not as attractive as in other industries such as manufacturing or medicine (Becker,
2011). For the government, it would be a very large economic loss in the event that its own
economy and workforce could not support the investments made to develop the tourism industry.
However even those people who choose medicine or marketing instead of a career in tourism
would still need seasonal and/or temporary work. The fear of an unsupported industry is all too
real, however in reality there is a good chance that lack of personnel would not be a problem.
A second obstacle facing the passing of such a decision is the Cuban government itself.
Presently, it is common for government offices to work together on projects. The implementation
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of such a large scale investment would necessitate the cooperation of numerous government
offices in both Cuba, and from organizations abroad, including that of the United States. The
building of large resorts and especially the possibile use of cruise ships between Cuba and other
countries would involve a connection of resources, government contacts, and finances for ports
and other structures (Becker, 2011).
While these problems facing the decision to expand Cuban tourism with the United States
are quite substantial, the gain if successful would be very beneficial to the country. Currently, the
Cuban government is continually investing large amounts of money into its tourism industry,
and seeing the positive results it is looking for in the form of increased visitors and increased
revenues. This result, in combination with the overhaul of Cuba’s market image and tourism
program may provide a large boost of confidence and profits for the Cuban government.
With all the positive results, it seems like an instant choice for Cuba. The inclusion of a
possible collapse from no support and previous concerns about warping culture to cater to tourist
needs makes the scales aim more towards the middle, making this a difficult decision for Cuba’s
government and particularly its Ministry of Tourism. Aspects of a growing industry, and the
opening of a full scale tourism relationship with the United States can bring worries to the
people. Such problems to consider in the final decision would be not only the possibility of not
bringing in enough profits, but also how a considerable increase of focus on the tourism industry
would affect the Cuban people. Assuming that tourist numbers would boom with the launch of a
new relationship, would Cuba’s resources, ecosystems, and population be able to handle the
strain that comes with ample new foottraffic? Also a significant concern is the government and
people’s values. Cuba has a strong history of Socialism, and pride in their government system
and the more conservative moral and political values that come with this structure. In
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conjunction with the launch of a full scale reltaionship with the United States, is a softening of
Cuba’s Socialist values in order to appeal to the Capitalist tourism industry and population of the
United States (Wilkinson, 2008). While in the past this has not been a problem, as Cuba
welcomes numerous visitors from Capitalist countries in Europe and worldwide, the strong
Socialist image of Cuba and its Communist roots might leave a sour taste in the mouths of
American tourists.
The dilemma of choosing to relaunch an unrestrained tourism relationship with the
United States is more than just saying, “yes” or “no.” The considerable effects, both positive and
negative that it could have on the people and economy of not only Cuba, but the United States as
well bring with it the necessity to think critically about how the decision will effect the countries
in both the short and long term. There are a number of decisions about the issue that can be
made, the real hurdle is choosing the answer that will be a long-term solution and beneficial for
Cuba and its relationship with the United States.
Analysis
Through diligent reading and research, scholars and authors alike have shown that
tourism, while a successful industry that can bring about substantial profit also can bring with it
problems involving culture and social programs. In considering the decision of launching a full
scale tourism relationship with the United States, there are a number of issues that should be
considered while debating the options.
 Will this new tourism venture be able to provide enough profits to cover the costs
of a growing development sector
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 Will tourism cause an erosion of Cuban culture in order to cater to the tourist
industry
 Would Cuba’s ecosystem and environment be able to handle the increased traffic
from the increased number of tourists that would visit the island every year
 How will a rapidly developing tourist industry effect the morale of the people
o Can the government keep intact the socialist values the government is
built on with increased capitalist influence from new private businesses
and American culture
o Would the tourism industry lead to a reversion of Cuba to the Pre-Castro
era of corruption and crime in order to profit from tourists
These issues cover various facets of Cuba, from the people to the environment. It is no
oddity that tourism can have an eroding effect on an area that is unprepared and not ready for the
increase of people and resources that will be needed to make their tourism industry successful.
The goal here is to balance the pros and cons of such a decision through the use of research
sources as well as expert writings, and discover a solution that is right for Cuba. Bearing in mind
the effects and consequences that could come from an expansion of a full scale tourism
relationship with the U.S., the launch of this industry in the long term will benefit the economy
and people of Cuba through an increased flow of profits and a renewed connection with the
United States.
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Economic Benefits
Looking at the background information, it is no secret that tourism has been a great
influence in strengthening and growing national economies for numerous developing countries,
Cuba included. In terms of the Caribbean region, Cuba’s economy is one that is growing rapidly.
Nickel exports and the service industry serve as a large part of the country’s GDP, but tourism
brings in millions in revenue and has been shown as an industry that supports in times that other
industries have faltered. That said, it is important to note that while tourism is extremely
important, Cuba’s economy is not monopolized by this industry. Today, other industries in Cuba
including agricultural exports and nickel still play a part within the overall economic scope. The
importance of this statistic is that should the tourism industry stall, the economy would not crash,
but would continue on (Wilkinson, 2010).
The equal spread of Cuba’s industries in terms of its economy is significant to mention.
We know that the economy would be alright in the case of an unsuccessful tourism industry, but
on the flip side, a successful tourism industry with the United States, the economy would
increase substantially. Woodrow Wilson Center Latin American Senior Program Associate José
Perales estimates that the opening of full travel privileges between Cuba and the United States
could bring as many as one million visitors from the U.S. in the first year, and increase to
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between one and three million every year after that. With this influx of visitors contributing to
Cuba’s economy through travel, stay accommodations and participation of various tourism
activities, there is little doubt that an expanded tourism industry would not be able to sustain
itself. With such high numbers, the profits made from these programs would be in the high
millions at the least (Perales, 2010).
A unique part of the tourism industry is its ability to assist in the growth of other
industries outside of its own. Tourism revolves around people and consumption. Often times, the
consuming from tourists venture outside of the tourism industry. An example of this is the
purchase of souvenirs and local products such as Cuban rum, agricultural products, and the ever
popular Cuban cigar. Through the sales of these products tourists are not only contributing to the
tourism industry, but also to sales and profits within these other sectors (Wilkinson, 2010). On a
smaller scale, the slow easing on Socialist restrictions has resulted in the opening of small private
businesses. These ventures can gain much profit as the money made does not all go directly to
the government, but to the people themselves. Numerous souvenir shops and local goods have
popped up throughout Havana and other tourist destinations in hopes that travelers will buy
goods and owners will be supported through the consumption of tourists (Babb, 2010).
Tourism would no doubt boost small local economies, however the biggest economic
boost for the tourism industry would come in the form of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) from
the United States. Cuba is no stranger to FDI, as it receives investments from various countries
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through business partnerships. While the government does not release specific numbers of profit
from FDI ventures, numbers show that in 2011 there were over two hundred joint venture
projects throughout Cuba. With the end of restrictions between Cuba and the United States, the
FDI possibilities would increase dramatically. Even if Cuba allowed additional FDI to account
for only 5% of its GDP, political economist Richard Feinberg estimated that it would have
brought in $2.5 billion in profits between 2000 and 2009. Accounting this with the current Cuban
economy and the boost from an open tourism venture with the United States, it is possible that
the increased FDI from American tourist ventures could transform the business sector and push
Cuba in the direction of an ever more increasing growth level (Feinberg, 2013).
At both the local and national levels, a launch of a tourism industry with the United
States would strongly benefit Cuba. While it is expected that the opening of industry will lead to
the beginning of new developments and expansions, the profits gained from an estimated one to
three million annual visitors from the United States are likely to exceed the costs of growth. The
expansion of tourism will also serve to help improve the profits from other industries through the
consumption of tourists from the United States looking to buy not only souvenirs, but well
known Cuban goods including rum and cigars. These ventures would prove to help both the
government and individuals with Cuba continuing to accept more and more private businesses.
More influential on a more national scale however would be the increase possibilities of FDI and
the stocks and money earned from new partnerships with the United States and their businesses
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expanding into high flow tourism areas. All of these possibilities lead to the result of an even
stronger economy, more international ties, and more benefits for the people of Cuba through
increased assistance from this new successfully growing economy. Without the expansion with
the United States, the economy would grow no doubt, but not at a rate that could substantially
help improve the overall welfare of the Cuban people both inside and outside the tourism
industry.
Environmental Backlash?
The environment is also a factor that comes into play during the consideration of such a
substantial expansion for Cuba’s tourism industry. With the estimated million new travelers to
the country, the ecosystem and environment would be subject to increased stress from more
traffic and the land expansions of large resorts in Cuba’s popular tourist areas. Cuba has
embraced its ecosystem as it is home to numerous plant and animal species that roam the entire
island. This has led to an emphasis in ecotourism, or tourism that is directed at exploring the
natural environment that Cuba has to offer. The dilemma is that the increased development could
threaten the ecotourism industry. As Cuba is an island and only has so much land to work with,
especially that land on the coast that appeals to the tourist industry, the possibility of such a large
expansion could put some aspects of the industry and the environment that is so loved by tourists
in danger.
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The expanded development of the tourism industry would lead to the building of new
resorts, but probably more popular would be resources to ensure numerous cruise ships could
dock and sail between Cuba and the United States. Numerous foreign investors have begun
looking into costs for the development of ports and on shore attractions to entice people to take a
trip to Cuba by boat. With the short ninety mile distance between Florida and Cuba, this industry
could even work by providing short day trips to the island. Currently, many of Cuba’s beaches
remain in pristine condition, and the prospect of expansion could in the future damage these
beaches and landscapes (Carty, 2009).
While it is wise to be wary of the environmental effects that come with increased tourism,
in reality the great jump of tourist numbers is something that Cuba has experienced before, and
in response has handled efficiently. The Cuban tourism industry has been developing for over
twenty years, since 1993. The fall of the Soviet Union inspired the boom, and the Cuban
government has not looked back since then. The number of visitors has increased by the millions
and the development of Cuba’s tourism industry has likewise grown. The Cuban government
however has rightly responded through the implementation of policy and restrictions put into
place to minimize any environmental damage. As a result, Cuba has efficiently kept the lush
environment intact (Wilkinson, 2010). The ecosystem in Cuba, as previously stated is one of its
largest selling points. In turn the steps that have been taken reflect the importance to the Cuban
government and tourism industry. Partnerships between the Cuban government and international
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organizations including the United Nations Development Program have begun to take steps in
preventing degradation of the environment through policy and rules that will aid in the
preservation of the environment while still allowing for an enjoyable tourist experience. An
example is a specialized tourism program that takes tourists diving in Cuba’s Jardines del Rey
archipelago islands. Not only does the program provide this opportunity to dive in some of the
clearest waters in the area, with the sponsorship of the Cuban-Italian Association, the group also
manages the well-being of the archipelagos, ensuring that they are not greatly harmed through
the increasing number of visitors (Carty, 2009).
The Cuban government has also taken steps to ensure that any and all development done
on the island is sustainable. After tourism became a main factor in the Cuban economy, and the
push for a strong expansion during the late 1990s, the fear of erosion led the government to
create a national commission in charge of protecting the landscape in the wake of tourism
development. This group, called the National Commission enforced the Environmental Impact
Law which required all tourism projects to be approved before they were commissioned and
started. The National Commission was incorporated into the Ministry of Science, Technology
and Environment in 1994 and there is continues to scan and ensure that all development projects
take into account the environment and sustainability before they are started. The very presence of
this commission group ensures that the development, even so expansive as that to accommodate
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U.S. tourist groups will be done in a way that protects the ecosystem and Cuba’s profitable
ecotourism sector (Wilkinson, 2010).
Aside from the new building of resorts and vacation areas is the step from the Cuban
government to renovate what they already have to provide for increased numbers of tourists.
Rather than spending millions in the erecting of new developments, the government has begun
instead to renovate many of the old, pre-revolution establishments. Not only beach resorts, but
also inns and attractions within tourist destinations including historic Old Havana and long
deserted clubs along the coastline (Babb, 2010). Not only does this assist in the sustainable
development of resources for an expanding tourist industry, but it also begins to revitalize the
nostalgic landmarks that many tourists travel to Cuba to experience.
The launch of a full scale tourism industry relationship with the United States would in
the end have little impact on the environment as a result of development. The Cuban government
recognizes the environment as an asset to the tourism industry, and in response has taken steps to
protect it. Committees both locally and those with international connections to Cuba are vigilant
in ensuring that development is done in a sustainable way, and that both flora and fauna are
protected. This is seen in special government sponsored programs, and through the beginning
restoration of old landmarks. By not relying solely on new structures and development, Cuba is
taking the easiest step to being sustainable and recycling the resources they currently have. Yes,
Cuba will have to endure increased foot traffic, but the steps that are being taken to be
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sustainable are helping reduce the long term effects that result from more people travelling to the
island. Cuba’s tourism industry has been expanding and developing for decades now, and the
opening of the island to the American people is similar to the first expansion of tourism during
the early 1990s. Cuba was prepared for and efficiently handled numerous tourists during the
1990s and 2000s, and this would just be the next step in development that Cuba has been
preparing for.
Social Influences
Environmental and economic issues have proven to be essential in making a decision for
expanding tourism to the United States. However, perhaps most influential in the decision is the
impact on Cuba’s people and the social systems within the country. While the economy will
boom and steps are being taken to ensure the environment will be preserved, a close relationship
with the United States will expose the Cuban population to Western traditions and values such as
civil society and a much more sensationalized population. Cuba’s historically strong Communist
and Socialist systems have led to a less flamboyant culture, and there is fear that allowing full
travel from and exposure to the people of the U.S. will dilute the Cuban culture and perhaps even
begin to destroy the pride of the Cuban government. This is a valid argument against the launch
of a tourism industry with the United States as the effects could indeed be detrimental to the
stability of the government. However, research shows that the Cuban people are more invested
into the Socialist system than ever through strong involvement at political polls (Wilkinson,
22
2010). The people’s heritage is something in which they take great pride. In fact, it is even
shown that the expansion of the tourism industry actually is only possible because of Cuba’s
government.
The most consistent fear putting pressure on the decision is the worry that after opening
tourism to the United States, Cuba will revert back to the conditions present during the Pre-
Revolutionary era. Before Castro’s revolution and the placement of a strict Communist
government, Cuba was the ideal travel locale for American tourists. Nightclubs, parties and
casinos were popular and the goal for a getaway from the grind of every day American life
(Ward & Devereux, 2007). However with this came the corruption and crime. Many Cuban
tourist spots were controlled by local gangsters, and prostitution became a common and easy
way for women to make money in the glamour of Havana’s tourist district. All of the corruption
and crime was blamed on the influence of American tourists travelling to the island, most of
whom exploited the less than honorable ventures often during trips (Khrushchev et al., 2007).
Today the overall climate of the tourism industry is different. No longer controlled by
gangsters and organized crime, the tourism industry is much less corrupt. As most of the
companies and resorts are owned by the government itself, they take pride in making sure Cuba
is a safe and crime free destination for tourists (Wilkinson, 2010). While the nightclubs, most
notably the Tropicana Nightclub that has been in business since 1938 still stand and operate, now
they are less lucrative and instead stand as a nostalgic symbol of a glamorous, past era. This
23
actually may work to the benefit of the Cuban government. Travel writers alike have shown that
many of the people travelling to Cuba on vacation choose the destination because of the mix of a
Socialist presence and the memories of the Pre-Revolutionary era. Because Cuba was isolated
from tourism for so many years during the beginning of Fidel Castro’s leadership, tourists are
that much more inclined to discover the landmarks of this old ideology (Babb, 2010). This desire
for nostalgia, mixed with the Cuban government’s determination to keep a safe environment
translates into the best of both worlds, a pre-revolutionary nostalgia coupled with a safer
experience through the restrictions provided by the government.
Likewise, the dilution of Cuban culture as a result of increased Western influences is also
a fear that has little evidence to it. While people trying to sell souvenirs to the tourists may begin
to exaggerate their culture to appeal to the excited tourist, Cuban Ethnologist Fernando Ortiz
says that it is virtually impossible to dilute and corrupt the Cuban culture. Ortiz argues that the
people’s culture within Cuba is strong, and even now is made up of a mixture of cultures. The
addition of influences from outside cultures will not take away from the essence of Cuban
culture, but instead will just add another layer. Cuba’s culture is compared to an ajiaco, which is
a gravy made of anything you can add that is available. Like this, the originality won’t be lost
with the addition of American tourist culture, but will assist the Cuban people to evolve to
another level (Ortiz, 1995). In addition, Cuban culture is for the most part already well known in
the United States. The strong Cuban-American population in Florida as well as throughout the
24
U.S. has exposed traditions and cultural specialties that are found within Cuba (Wilkinson,
2010). Expanding Cuban tourism would not take away from Cuban culture, because the unique
culture that is present is what the American people are travelling to experience. Trying to water it
down at all would be a bad move on the part of both the Cuban people and American tourists.
The largest issue perhaps facing the decision above all other social effects, is the
influence increased consumerism and Capitalist ventures will have on the integrity of Cuba’s
Socialist government. Fidel Castro outlawed tourism for many years because he saw the
corruption that it brought, and he wanted nothing to do with it. Only when it became necessary to
sustain the country did he open its doors to the outside. Frankly, there is again no evidence to
support the erosion of commitment that people have to the Socialist core, despite the
restructuring to include more capitalist venture and private ownership. The Cuban population’s
support in the form of electoral participation is as strong as it ever was at an astounding 96%
(Wilkinson, 2010). Often times such high numbers can be associated with coercion by the
government, but participation in Socialist programs has increased as well and involvement in the
Communist Party has increased in numbers. In fact, an interesting find suggests that the presence
of Cuba’s Communist government is what has allowed the rapid expansion of the tourism
industry to become so successful. Its intervention in through restrictions in policies at the higher,
macroeconomic level has helped keep the negative effects to a minimum (Wilkinson, 2010).
While Cuba may seem much like a Communist Utopia, not all of Cuba’s people are satisfied.
25
Castro’s government has resulted in numerous human rights violations and oppression of
minority groups within Cuba. Groups known as the Cuban dissidents are in favor of a new
government that is more democratic and that would give more freedom to the people. Protests
and demonstrations against the government are a reality and the presence of a strong American
population due to a tourist industry could encourage the dissident movement in addition to the
growth and development of a civil society (Casey, 2010). When it comes to the tourism industry,
and because of the stronghold that is visible in rules and regulations, it is doubtful that the
government would see the tourism industry evolve in a way that would threaten either Cuba’s
Communist roots or its unique culture. While the government has begun to allow private
ventures to citizens, in the near future there is little evidence that is supporting a full overthrow
of the current system in favor of a more Democratic government.
Recommendations
It is in Cuba’s best interest to launch this full-scale tourism venture with the United
States. The recent overhaul of Cuba’s tourism industry through the launch of Auténtica Cuba
through the Canadian government, and the investments that have already been put into play show
that there is already commitment to further developing the industry. Expanding this idea to
include the United States is the natural next step. Not only will the launch of this bring in billions
of dollars in revenue, it will renew connections between Cuba and the United States. Hesitations
26
that the Minister of Tourism has are valid, but below the surface there is a strong majority of
positive consequences.
As previously mentioned, Cuba’s economy is very much developed because of its
tourism industry, however it is not wholly dependent on it because of diversified industries and
the strong structure of the government. In contrast, The Bahamas, another Caribbean tourist spot
is not so lucky. The tourism relationship with the United States is very influential to the well-
being of the country as the majority of visitors to the islands are American citizens. As a result,
the economy is very dependent on American visitors and when they do not receive enough
tourists, their own economy suffers greatly (Bahamas, State.gov, 2013). Cuba, on the other hand
would not have this problem because of their economic structure. Essentially, the full launch of
the tourism industry with the U.S. can only bring benefits to Cuba. They are well experienced in
tourism as they welcome millions of visitors from all over the world, and do not depend only on
these people visiting.
As an alternative, Cuba could also open the doors to the American people in terms of
tourism, but instead not have a full scale relationship with them. This is also a noble route to
take, however perhaps less desirable in terms of efficiency and profitability. In this scenario,
Cuba would welcome the increased number of tourists from the United States, but choose not to
make concessions to prepare for the increased traffic to the island. There would be no
connections to American travel companies and no special amenities or information with
27
American travelers. In essence, Cuba would continue what it was doing in terms of development
and not make any concessions for the influx of U.S. citizens. This route would be the easiest to
implement as it does not involve making many changes to the development that is currently
being implemented. The issues that arise from this however are that the rate of development
would possibly not be able to keep up with the influx of visitors. Another effect of this
alternative would be that the government would not be able to control the industry with millions
of travelers coming in from the United States. Right now the market is successful in part because
of the government’s regulations on the tourism industry. In not making connections and
preparation for a rapid increase of American travelers, the government would have to
accommodate the millions of visitors without an effectively developed area. There is the
possibility of limited hotel rooms, overbooking and just an overall atmosphere of chaos.
A second alternative to launching a full scale industry is to limit the number of visitors
from the U.S. through the use of a visa system. Like the United States, the Cuban government
could choose to only issue so many tourist visas every year and again not change anything in
terms of development and overhaul of their current tourism industry. In regards to ease of
implication, this avenue would also be relatively easy to implement into the tourism industry.
Not only would this route allow visitors from the United States to come and enjoy the tourism
industry within Cuba, it would also allow development to continue at its current pace and
preserve the sustainability of the current projects. Ideally, this alternative to a full launch seems
28
the most desirable. It would not put any extra pressure on the Cuban government, and it would
still allow profits to come in from American tourists and tourism companies. The negative of this
however is that it does not allow Cuba’s tourism industry and relationship with the United States
to develop to its full potential. While the full scale launch of a tourism industry may begin with
some chaos and disorganization, this halfway point could cost the Cuban government millions in
tourism profits and investment opportunities. This alternative is the safest way to begin the
relationship, but may be more difficult to sustain in the future with its limitations.
Overall, the full scale option in the long term would be the most beneficial choice for the
Cuban government. Not allowing a relationship to develop with a country so close like the
United States could prove to be more of a hassle for Cuba than the industry itself. Without
creating the networking and connections between the United States and itself, Cuba could subject
itself to being underdeveloped and not ready to handle millions of new tourists. The influence
and assistance that the tourism industry would gain from becoming increasingly connected with
the U.S. tourism industry would prove to be beneficial and would allow American tourists to
enjoy Cuba without degrading the landscape, history, and people. Economically, it would cost
the most to develop even more to be ready for American tourists, but by being exposed to its full
potential, the industry could also stand to receive billions of dollars in profits. The halfway point
option would be a good alternative to start with, or to do a test run of a more developed Cuban
29
tourism industry, but again would be hard to match in terms of economic benefits and
relationship building with the United States with the full scale approach.
Conclusion
Cuba and the United States have endured a sour relationship for decades now, and in the
case of a normalization of relations between the two neighbors, it would greatly benefit the
relationship for Cuba to launch a full-scale tourism industry with the U.S. Fueled mostly by
economics, this venture would prove to boost Cuba into a whole new level of development and
could increase GDP by billions. The negative consequences and fears of a dissolving Cuban
culture and dedication to its Communist history is an ever present factor in this dilemma,
however current research shows that the Cuban people are more invested than ever in their
cultural and historical heritage. Frankly though, if Cuba chose not to create a relationship with
the United States in the wake of a free travel policy between itself and the United States, there is
the possibility that the number of American tourists could flood the island and there would be
chaos. This launch could lead to the foundation of a relationship, and would support the country
in the wake of millions of new visitors.
If Cuba’s Ministry of Tourism is hesitant to go all in on a new tourism industry, a test run
or limited number of visas available for American tourists is a safe and logical alternative. This
route would not allow the country to still create ties to the U.S. tourism industry, but would
30
create a test run for Cuba that could assess if they really wanted to go for the full-scale tourism
approach. Cuba’s strong government, history and pride in itself makes it an ideal and controlled
tourism spot for the U.S. Through a full-scale tourism industry, American visitors can submerge
themselves into this culture, but still be home in time for dinner back in Miami if they so choose.
31
References
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on Latin America Report on the Americas, Spring 2013. https://nacla.org/article/foreign-
investment-new-cuban-economy.
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and social welfare. The Journal of Latin American Studies, 42. Retrieved from
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economic-relationship.
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33
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Cuba's Tourism Industry and Potential US Relations

  • 1. THE UNITED STATES, CUBA AND A PROSPECTIVE TOURISM INDUSTRY By: ArianaR. Tobin March, 2014
  • 2. 1 Manuel Marrero Cruz, Cuba’s Minister of Tourism, walked into work more tired than usual. He, along with the rest of the Cuban cabinet were at the office late the night before discussing the United States. Talk about increasing the leniency or even the complete dissolution of the United States’ embargo had been flying around for some time, but it was getting serious. More and more, President Barack Obama and President Raul Castro were deliberating what could happen in terms of diplomacy and relationships between the two neighbors. The same was true for the ministers of Cuba’s various sectors of government. They were all confronted with the task of what would happen if and when the United States and Cuba became no longer enemies, but instead, cordial neighbors. Minister Marrero Cruz sat and saw the numbers. Almost one hundred thousand U.S. citizens entered Cuba in 2012 despite the barring policy of the embargo, but if there was open travel and tourism imagine the increased numbers of travelers not to mention the amount of money that they could bring to Cuba’s economy. Millions of dollars could go towards the improvement of infrastructure, medicine, and government. On the other side of this decision is the integrity of Cuban culture. With the launch of a full scale tourist relationship with the United States, the small island nation could change. Resorts would be built, tour busses explaining the rich history of Cuba (and maybe the softening of their Communist history) to people with cameras. Cruise ships everywhere, and with the proximity to Miami, every day people would come for just a day to visit, heck they might even just hop a boat for lunch. The worst though are tacky souvenirs warping the local culture in order to attract a broader group of buyers. So what factor would outweigh the rest, the long term economic benefits from a tourist relationship, or keeping the integrity and gusto of traditional Cuban culture and history? As he took a sip of his coffee, Minister Marrero Cruz realized it was going to be another long day.
  • 3. 2 Case Study Question: The recent relaxation of travel to and from Cuba and the success of these initial visits suggests that the time may be right to ease restriction and expand tourism on both sides. Assuming that the Obama Administration and Congress were to normalize relations, should Cuba restart a wide scale tourism industry with the US? Description and Background Cuba, the largest island nation within the Caribbean, is a natural attraction to those who are looking for a tropical vacation. Despite it being painted as the failing result of Socialism in the Western Hemisphere by the United States, Cuba offers a variety of travel options, and is described by Canada’s Cuba Tourist Board as a country that is, “easy, fun and safe to tour (Explore Cuba, gocuba.ca, 2013).” The Cuban government uses words similar to Canada as it describes the country as one full of natural beauty and a large cultural heritage, not to mention the hospitality and warmth of the population towards tourists from various backgrounds. Tourism is not a new industry for the Cuban people. Following its independence from Spain, Cuba became a popular travel spot, especially for the neighboring United States. It was not until the Cuban Revolution’s end in 1959 that the tourism industry in Cuba took a negative hit. When Fidel Castro overhauled the Cuban government into a Socialist system, he imposed certain values and morals on the country. The resulting action was to begin to ban visitors and essentially isolate the island from the world in order to protect it from what he viewed as the corruption that came with the United States and its Western values (Wilkinson, 2008). Slowly but surely the Cuban government has seen the potential that a renewed tourism industry holds for the economic growth and development of the country. Looking to countries worldwide, the tourism industry within Cuba has expanded to welcome hundreds of thousands of tourists every
  • 4. 3 year. Through the results and benefits Cuba has seen through its tourism industry, it has begun to increase investments towards the tourism industry. Figure 1: Source:Travel & TourismEconomicImpact Data Search,World Travel andTourismCouncil (2014). Travel and TourismTotal Contribution and PercentContribution to GDP,http://www.wttc.org/research. In 1993, shortly after the collapse of its main investor and supporter, the Soviet Union, Cuba was reduced to a struggling country. The collapse of the Soviet Union meant that the majority of all aid was suddenly cut off. As a result GDP dropped 35 percent between 1989, when Cuba was at its economic peak, and 1993 (Mesa-Lago & Vidal-Alejandro, 2010). With the task of rebuilding an entire country less necessary industries such as tourism were left with less resources for investment. Cuba only invested 1.6% of all capital ($ .04 billion) towards tourism in 1993. Looking at the data in figure 1, it is evident that Cuba’s economy struggled to substantially grow through the 1990s and early 2000s. The increase in space between points corresponding for the year highlights that in 2002 Cuba invested $278 million dollars into the 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 Capital Investment in Tourism, % share of Economic Investment (1993-2013) % share US$ bn
  • 5. 4 tourism industry. While this amount is certainly an increase over previous years, this accounted for nine percent of the entire investment budget. To compare, the same amount was invested into the tourism industry during the previous year (2001), but it only accounted for eight percent of the budget. The difference in percentages means that in 2002 there was less available for the government to invest overall, as the same amount accounted for a higher share of the total. The continued investment into the tourism industry continued to increase, and would also prove to be a strong asset to Cuba’s growing economy. Like many countries worldwide, Cuba’s GDP has steadily been growing each year. Despite a growing economy and tourism industry, the global financial crisis in 2008 took a toll on the majority of the world economy and Cuba was not an exception. Two factors largely impacted the effect of the global crisis (Mesa-Lago & Vidal- Alejandro, 2010). Trade fell over 34 percent which ended as the worst drop of the decade. This not only caused increased prices for imports such as oil and food, which are necessary to the Cuban economy, but also the collapse of the nickel market. Nickel is Cuba’s main export resource, and the collapse of this market meant a huge cost in profits. These results were not the only severe cut to Cuba’s economy, but the effects on Cuba’s trade partners, Canada and Venezuela caused a sharp hit to the rate of growth as trade and business between the countries suffered (Perez, 2009). The tourism market surprisingly was not as affected as the rest of Cuba’s industries during the economic crisis. The Cuban government reported that in 2008 visitor numbers actually rose by almost 10 percent, much better than other Caribbean countries which suffered from negative numbers of visitors. While the tourism market did not collapse like that of Cuba’s nickel market, the growth rates still declined and the Ministry of Tourism continuously reported fewer numbers of tourists travelling to the island through 2009 and 2010 (Perez, 2009). The
  • 6. 5 surviving tourism market kept the economy from a complete collapse as the recession began to pass and the economy slowly recovered. Overall, Latin America was one of the first regions to recover from the 2008 global crisis. Quick policy action and a strong hold on macroeconomic policies allowed for this region, including Cuba, to pull itself out quicker than the rest of the world. Rather than a strong hit on the economy, which struggled more before the crisis, social sector programs including housing and access to resources bared the majority of problems from the recession (Mesa-Lago & Vidal-Alejandro, 2010). The market recovered with the rest of Cuba’s economy. In 2012, the national GDP topped out at $121 billion. Figure 2: 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Travel& TourismTotal Contribution to GDP (1993-2013) US$ bn % share GDP Source: World Travel andTourism Council(2014).Travel and Tourism Total Contribution and Percent Contribution to GDP
  • 7. 6 Travel and tourism was a beneficial industry, accounting for $8.1 billion in profit or close to 10 percent of the overall GDP through direct, indirect and induced influences including travel, accommodations, and foreign investment into the tourism industry (Travel and Tourism Economic Impact Cuba 2013, 2014). Over the last twenty years, Cuba has invested an increasing amount of its budget into the tourism industry. Although the high point of contribution to overall GDP was in 2005 at almost 14 percent, the tourism budget never declined and kept a consistent contribution to the country’s GDP, even during and after the world economy crash in 2008 (World Travel and Tourism Council, 2014). 2013 saw the overhaul of the Cuban tourism industry as the country made strides towards a new marketing strategy to attract tourism from a variety of new markets, including the launch of Auténtica Cuba, a website exemplifying everything that Cuba has to offer to those who are considering a trip to the country (Gutiérrez Almeida, OnCuba Magazine, 2013). This was a bold move by the Cuban government in partnership with Canada to broaden its tourism market to areas and refurbish its image. Considering the risk, the World Travel and Tourism Council support this makeover of Cuba’s tourism and believe that this will pay off in an increase in the amount that tourism will contribute to GDP by at least two percent in the coming years (Travel and Tourism Economic Impact Cuba 2013, 2014). While the remarketing campaign of Cuba’s Ministry of Tourism has begun to rebuild the country’s image, Cuba has not had any shortage of international visitors in its more recent history. This chart shows the number of visitors entering the Cuban border by region. Also listed within this data are the top 10 countries whose residents traveled to Cuba during 2008-2012.
  • 8. 7 Source: World TourismOrganization (2013). Yearbook of Tourism Statistics dataset (Electronic).Cuba Factbook UNWTO. Citizens from Europe and the Americas were the majority travelers to Cuba in all five years shown in figure 3, however there were a steady stream of people from across the globe. An interesting point shown here is that the Americas are the only region where the number of travelers never declines. While the remaining countries and regions experience a dip in visitation during 2009, the number of travelers from the Americas increases every year. Canada ranks number one in terms of travelers and this is not a big surprise, as it is also one of Cuba’s top trade partners for both exports and imports (Travel and Tourism Economic Impact Cuba 2013, 2014). A noteworthy takeaway from this survey of travelers to Cuba is the United States’ statistics. Nearly 42,000 US citizens ventured to Cuba in 2008, despite a tight restriction on travel to Cuba resulting from the Embargo dissolving any diplomatic relations between these two Figure 3: 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Totals 2,348,340 2,429,809 2,531,745 2,716,317 2,838,607 Africa 7,346 8,691 8,698 8,202 10,975 Americas 1,380,232 1,535,853 1,664,053 1,799,074 1,926,601 CaribbeanIslands 245,741 315,039 389,766 413,409 399,756 Canada 818,248 914,884 945,248 1,002,318 1,071,696 UnitedStates 41,904 52,455 63,046 73,566 98,050 Argentina 47,405 48,543 58,612 75,968 94,691 East Asia and the Pacific 44,225 40,558 41,349 48,498 53,158 Europe 909,086 838,340 809,515 852,065 839,258 RussianFederation 40,621 37,391 56,245 78,472 86,944 The UnitedKingdom 193,932 172,318 174,343 175,822 153,737 Italy 126,042 118,347 112,298 110,432 103,290 France 90,731 83,478 80,470 94,370 101,522 Germany 100,964 93,437 93,196 95,124 108,712 Spain 121,166 129,224 104,948 101,631 81,354 Middle East 1,981 1,810 2,053 1,841 2,191 South Asia 5,156 4,467 5,832 5,841 5,901 Other/Not Specified 314 90 255 823 523
  • 9. 8 countries. This figure is only the start point. Over the following five years, the numbers would more than double to 98,000 people in 2012. This dramatic increase could be a result to the initial relaxation of travel restrictions, put into place by US President Obama’s Administration starting in 2009 (CIA World Factbook, 2013). As the Cuban Tourism market has expanded, so have the attractions that are bringing tourists to the island. Not only is Cuba a former Communist country, the new variety of available attractions are bringing the number of visitors shown in the figure 3. According to the United Nation World Tourism Organization, most visitors to the island are there for leisurely activities. Of the 2.8 million tourists that went to Cuba in 2012, 96 percent of the people went there on vacation. Figure 4: Source: World TourismOrganization (2013). Compendiumof Tourism Statistics dataset (Electronic).Cuba Factbook UNWTO. 96% 3% 1% Visitors by Purpose2012 (In Millions of People) Holiday, Leisure Other Personal Business/Profess.
  • 10. 9 One of the more popular reasons for travelling to Cuba is its Ecotourism sector. Four percent of the world’s land animal species can be found on the Cuban island, along with nearly 7,000 plant species over the variety of landscapes. The ecosystems on Cuba are well preserved and many resorts make it a point to provide a ecotourism aspect to its marketing (Ecotourism, gocuba.ca, 2014). Other attractions include numerous beaches that provide sailing, diving, or snorkelling for guests. The remaining four percent were comprised of other personal travel(3%), and trips for business/ professional conferences (1%). Source:La Ministría Salud deCuba (2013). Anuario Estadístico de Salud (Annual Health Statistics). República de Cuba. Accessed February 8, 2014. http://files.sld.cu/dne/files/2013/04/anuario_2012.pdf Incorporated into the category of “other personal travel,” is the lucritive industry of Medical Tourism. Cuba prides itself on having one of the best medical and health programs in its surrounding areas with numerous graduates in the medical field from a range of specialties. The Cuban government is extremely confident in its medical programs, and one of its main exports is medical personnel. For example, Cuba trades medical personnel for resources such as oil from countries in South America including Venezuela (Feinsilver, 2008). The strength of Cuba’s medical sector has attracted the attention of people worldwide, and has translated into an industry of tourism. Medical tourism has made Cuba one of the top destinations for medical treatment. This is not only due to a medical field that is top rated, but Figure5: Medicine Stomatology/Dentistry NursingLicense HealthTechnology Psychology 2008 4,399 555 10,074 9,413 n/a 2009 4,488 680 2,663 14,889 121 2010 4,149 784 7,315 14,069 283 2011 5,463 1,132 6,916 11,663 417 2012 10,539 1,654 5,756 10,305 491 Cuban Graduatesof Higher Medical Education, By Specialty(2008-2012)
  • 11. 10 also one that is extremely affordable. The organization Servimed Cuba has teamed up with numerous medical locations and resorts to create a reliable and large network of resources for people travelling to Cuba for medical reasons. The program serves not only to pair travelers with necessary medical personnel, but also allows them to be treated and heal in the comfortable and hospitable environment of Cuban resorts (Servimed.com Home Page, 2013). In terms of the tourist market, Cuba seems like an ideal choice for tourists of various ages and backgrounds. Its tropical location provides pristine conditions for travel almost year round. Like any country, Cuba’s tourism industry has a slow time, occurring during the Caribbean’s hurricane season. The dangers of travelling to the island as a result of possible hurricanes and storms means that visiting is less desirable. This would pose a problem if such an investment was put into place to build a large tourism relationship with the United States. If Cuba could not bring in substantial visitors during the off season, it could prove difficult to offset the costs of building and development for such a large tourism venture. Associated with finances, the ability to find increased employees for resorts and new jobs created within the travel industry could be a large hurdle for the country to overcome. Workers tend to avoid the tourism industry as the pay and benefits are not as attractive as in other industries such as manufacturing or medicine (Becker, 2011). For the government, it would be a very large economic loss in the event that its own economy and workforce could not support the investments made to develop the tourism industry. However even those people who choose medicine or marketing instead of a career in tourism would still need seasonal and/or temporary work. The fear of an unsupported industry is all too real, however in reality there is a good chance that lack of personnel would not be a problem. A second obstacle facing the passing of such a decision is the Cuban government itself. Presently, it is common for government offices to work together on projects. The implementation
  • 12. 11 of such a large scale investment would necessitate the cooperation of numerous government offices in both Cuba, and from organizations abroad, including that of the United States. The building of large resorts and especially the possibile use of cruise ships between Cuba and other countries would involve a connection of resources, government contacts, and finances for ports and other structures (Becker, 2011). While these problems facing the decision to expand Cuban tourism with the United States are quite substantial, the gain if successful would be very beneficial to the country. Currently, the Cuban government is continually investing large amounts of money into its tourism industry, and seeing the positive results it is looking for in the form of increased visitors and increased revenues. This result, in combination with the overhaul of Cuba’s market image and tourism program may provide a large boost of confidence and profits for the Cuban government. With all the positive results, it seems like an instant choice for Cuba. The inclusion of a possible collapse from no support and previous concerns about warping culture to cater to tourist needs makes the scales aim more towards the middle, making this a difficult decision for Cuba’s government and particularly its Ministry of Tourism. Aspects of a growing industry, and the opening of a full scale tourism relationship with the United States can bring worries to the people. Such problems to consider in the final decision would be not only the possibility of not bringing in enough profits, but also how a considerable increase of focus on the tourism industry would affect the Cuban people. Assuming that tourist numbers would boom with the launch of a new relationship, would Cuba’s resources, ecosystems, and population be able to handle the strain that comes with ample new foottraffic? Also a significant concern is the government and people’s values. Cuba has a strong history of Socialism, and pride in their government system and the more conservative moral and political values that come with this structure. In
  • 13. 12 conjunction with the launch of a full scale reltaionship with the United States, is a softening of Cuba’s Socialist values in order to appeal to the Capitalist tourism industry and population of the United States (Wilkinson, 2008). While in the past this has not been a problem, as Cuba welcomes numerous visitors from Capitalist countries in Europe and worldwide, the strong Socialist image of Cuba and its Communist roots might leave a sour taste in the mouths of American tourists. The dilemma of choosing to relaunch an unrestrained tourism relationship with the United States is more than just saying, “yes” or “no.” The considerable effects, both positive and negative that it could have on the people and economy of not only Cuba, but the United States as well bring with it the necessity to think critically about how the decision will effect the countries in both the short and long term. There are a number of decisions about the issue that can be made, the real hurdle is choosing the answer that will be a long-term solution and beneficial for Cuba and its relationship with the United States. Analysis Through diligent reading and research, scholars and authors alike have shown that tourism, while a successful industry that can bring about substantial profit also can bring with it problems involving culture and social programs. In considering the decision of launching a full scale tourism relationship with the United States, there are a number of issues that should be considered while debating the options.  Will this new tourism venture be able to provide enough profits to cover the costs of a growing development sector
  • 14. 13  Will tourism cause an erosion of Cuban culture in order to cater to the tourist industry  Would Cuba’s ecosystem and environment be able to handle the increased traffic from the increased number of tourists that would visit the island every year  How will a rapidly developing tourist industry effect the morale of the people o Can the government keep intact the socialist values the government is built on with increased capitalist influence from new private businesses and American culture o Would the tourism industry lead to a reversion of Cuba to the Pre-Castro era of corruption and crime in order to profit from tourists These issues cover various facets of Cuba, from the people to the environment. It is no oddity that tourism can have an eroding effect on an area that is unprepared and not ready for the increase of people and resources that will be needed to make their tourism industry successful. The goal here is to balance the pros and cons of such a decision through the use of research sources as well as expert writings, and discover a solution that is right for Cuba. Bearing in mind the effects and consequences that could come from an expansion of a full scale tourism relationship with the U.S., the launch of this industry in the long term will benefit the economy and people of Cuba through an increased flow of profits and a renewed connection with the United States.
  • 15. 14 Economic Benefits Looking at the background information, it is no secret that tourism has been a great influence in strengthening and growing national economies for numerous developing countries, Cuba included. In terms of the Caribbean region, Cuba’s economy is one that is growing rapidly. Nickel exports and the service industry serve as a large part of the country’s GDP, but tourism brings in millions in revenue and has been shown as an industry that supports in times that other industries have faltered. That said, it is important to note that while tourism is extremely important, Cuba’s economy is not monopolized by this industry. Today, other industries in Cuba including agricultural exports and nickel still play a part within the overall economic scope. The importance of this statistic is that should the tourism industry stall, the economy would not crash, but would continue on (Wilkinson, 2010). The equal spread of Cuba’s industries in terms of its economy is significant to mention. We know that the economy would be alright in the case of an unsuccessful tourism industry, but on the flip side, a successful tourism industry with the United States, the economy would increase substantially. Woodrow Wilson Center Latin American Senior Program Associate José Perales estimates that the opening of full travel privileges between Cuba and the United States could bring as many as one million visitors from the U.S. in the first year, and increase to
  • 16. 15 between one and three million every year after that. With this influx of visitors contributing to Cuba’s economy through travel, stay accommodations and participation of various tourism activities, there is little doubt that an expanded tourism industry would not be able to sustain itself. With such high numbers, the profits made from these programs would be in the high millions at the least (Perales, 2010). A unique part of the tourism industry is its ability to assist in the growth of other industries outside of its own. Tourism revolves around people and consumption. Often times, the consuming from tourists venture outside of the tourism industry. An example of this is the purchase of souvenirs and local products such as Cuban rum, agricultural products, and the ever popular Cuban cigar. Through the sales of these products tourists are not only contributing to the tourism industry, but also to sales and profits within these other sectors (Wilkinson, 2010). On a smaller scale, the slow easing on Socialist restrictions has resulted in the opening of small private businesses. These ventures can gain much profit as the money made does not all go directly to the government, but to the people themselves. Numerous souvenir shops and local goods have popped up throughout Havana and other tourist destinations in hopes that travelers will buy goods and owners will be supported through the consumption of tourists (Babb, 2010). Tourism would no doubt boost small local economies, however the biggest economic boost for the tourism industry would come in the form of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) from the United States. Cuba is no stranger to FDI, as it receives investments from various countries
  • 17. 16 through business partnerships. While the government does not release specific numbers of profit from FDI ventures, numbers show that in 2011 there were over two hundred joint venture projects throughout Cuba. With the end of restrictions between Cuba and the United States, the FDI possibilities would increase dramatically. Even if Cuba allowed additional FDI to account for only 5% of its GDP, political economist Richard Feinberg estimated that it would have brought in $2.5 billion in profits between 2000 and 2009. Accounting this with the current Cuban economy and the boost from an open tourism venture with the United States, it is possible that the increased FDI from American tourist ventures could transform the business sector and push Cuba in the direction of an ever more increasing growth level (Feinberg, 2013). At both the local and national levels, a launch of a tourism industry with the United States would strongly benefit Cuba. While it is expected that the opening of industry will lead to the beginning of new developments and expansions, the profits gained from an estimated one to three million annual visitors from the United States are likely to exceed the costs of growth. The expansion of tourism will also serve to help improve the profits from other industries through the consumption of tourists from the United States looking to buy not only souvenirs, but well known Cuban goods including rum and cigars. These ventures would prove to help both the government and individuals with Cuba continuing to accept more and more private businesses. More influential on a more national scale however would be the increase possibilities of FDI and the stocks and money earned from new partnerships with the United States and their businesses
  • 18. 17 expanding into high flow tourism areas. All of these possibilities lead to the result of an even stronger economy, more international ties, and more benefits for the people of Cuba through increased assistance from this new successfully growing economy. Without the expansion with the United States, the economy would grow no doubt, but not at a rate that could substantially help improve the overall welfare of the Cuban people both inside and outside the tourism industry. Environmental Backlash? The environment is also a factor that comes into play during the consideration of such a substantial expansion for Cuba’s tourism industry. With the estimated million new travelers to the country, the ecosystem and environment would be subject to increased stress from more traffic and the land expansions of large resorts in Cuba’s popular tourist areas. Cuba has embraced its ecosystem as it is home to numerous plant and animal species that roam the entire island. This has led to an emphasis in ecotourism, or tourism that is directed at exploring the natural environment that Cuba has to offer. The dilemma is that the increased development could threaten the ecotourism industry. As Cuba is an island and only has so much land to work with, especially that land on the coast that appeals to the tourist industry, the possibility of such a large expansion could put some aspects of the industry and the environment that is so loved by tourists in danger.
  • 19. 18 The expanded development of the tourism industry would lead to the building of new resorts, but probably more popular would be resources to ensure numerous cruise ships could dock and sail between Cuba and the United States. Numerous foreign investors have begun looking into costs for the development of ports and on shore attractions to entice people to take a trip to Cuba by boat. With the short ninety mile distance between Florida and Cuba, this industry could even work by providing short day trips to the island. Currently, many of Cuba’s beaches remain in pristine condition, and the prospect of expansion could in the future damage these beaches and landscapes (Carty, 2009). While it is wise to be wary of the environmental effects that come with increased tourism, in reality the great jump of tourist numbers is something that Cuba has experienced before, and in response has handled efficiently. The Cuban tourism industry has been developing for over twenty years, since 1993. The fall of the Soviet Union inspired the boom, and the Cuban government has not looked back since then. The number of visitors has increased by the millions and the development of Cuba’s tourism industry has likewise grown. The Cuban government however has rightly responded through the implementation of policy and restrictions put into place to minimize any environmental damage. As a result, Cuba has efficiently kept the lush environment intact (Wilkinson, 2010). The ecosystem in Cuba, as previously stated is one of its largest selling points. In turn the steps that have been taken reflect the importance to the Cuban government and tourism industry. Partnerships between the Cuban government and international
  • 20. 19 organizations including the United Nations Development Program have begun to take steps in preventing degradation of the environment through policy and rules that will aid in the preservation of the environment while still allowing for an enjoyable tourist experience. An example is a specialized tourism program that takes tourists diving in Cuba’s Jardines del Rey archipelago islands. Not only does the program provide this opportunity to dive in some of the clearest waters in the area, with the sponsorship of the Cuban-Italian Association, the group also manages the well-being of the archipelagos, ensuring that they are not greatly harmed through the increasing number of visitors (Carty, 2009). The Cuban government has also taken steps to ensure that any and all development done on the island is sustainable. After tourism became a main factor in the Cuban economy, and the push for a strong expansion during the late 1990s, the fear of erosion led the government to create a national commission in charge of protecting the landscape in the wake of tourism development. This group, called the National Commission enforced the Environmental Impact Law which required all tourism projects to be approved before they were commissioned and started. The National Commission was incorporated into the Ministry of Science, Technology and Environment in 1994 and there is continues to scan and ensure that all development projects take into account the environment and sustainability before they are started. The very presence of this commission group ensures that the development, even so expansive as that to accommodate
  • 21. 20 U.S. tourist groups will be done in a way that protects the ecosystem and Cuba’s profitable ecotourism sector (Wilkinson, 2010). Aside from the new building of resorts and vacation areas is the step from the Cuban government to renovate what they already have to provide for increased numbers of tourists. Rather than spending millions in the erecting of new developments, the government has begun instead to renovate many of the old, pre-revolution establishments. Not only beach resorts, but also inns and attractions within tourist destinations including historic Old Havana and long deserted clubs along the coastline (Babb, 2010). Not only does this assist in the sustainable development of resources for an expanding tourist industry, but it also begins to revitalize the nostalgic landmarks that many tourists travel to Cuba to experience. The launch of a full scale tourism industry relationship with the United States would in the end have little impact on the environment as a result of development. The Cuban government recognizes the environment as an asset to the tourism industry, and in response has taken steps to protect it. Committees both locally and those with international connections to Cuba are vigilant in ensuring that development is done in a sustainable way, and that both flora and fauna are protected. This is seen in special government sponsored programs, and through the beginning restoration of old landmarks. By not relying solely on new structures and development, Cuba is taking the easiest step to being sustainable and recycling the resources they currently have. Yes, Cuba will have to endure increased foot traffic, but the steps that are being taken to be
  • 22. 21 sustainable are helping reduce the long term effects that result from more people travelling to the island. Cuba’s tourism industry has been expanding and developing for decades now, and the opening of the island to the American people is similar to the first expansion of tourism during the early 1990s. Cuba was prepared for and efficiently handled numerous tourists during the 1990s and 2000s, and this would just be the next step in development that Cuba has been preparing for. Social Influences Environmental and economic issues have proven to be essential in making a decision for expanding tourism to the United States. However, perhaps most influential in the decision is the impact on Cuba’s people and the social systems within the country. While the economy will boom and steps are being taken to ensure the environment will be preserved, a close relationship with the United States will expose the Cuban population to Western traditions and values such as civil society and a much more sensationalized population. Cuba’s historically strong Communist and Socialist systems have led to a less flamboyant culture, and there is fear that allowing full travel from and exposure to the people of the U.S. will dilute the Cuban culture and perhaps even begin to destroy the pride of the Cuban government. This is a valid argument against the launch of a tourism industry with the United States as the effects could indeed be detrimental to the stability of the government. However, research shows that the Cuban people are more invested into the Socialist system than ever through strong involvement at political polls (Wilkinson,
  • 23. 22 2010). The people’s heritage is something in which they take great pride. In fact, it is even shown that the expansion of the tourism industry actually is only possible because of Cuba’s government. The most consistent fear putting pressure on the decision is the worry that after opening tourism to the United States, Cuba will revert back to the conditions present during the Pre- Revolutionary era. Before Castro’s revolution and the placement of a strict Communist government, Cuba was the ideal travel locale for American tourists. Nightclubs, parties and casinos were popular and the goal for a getaway from the grind of every day American life (Ward & Devereux, 2007). However with this came the corruption and crime. Many Cuban tourist spots were controlled by local gangsters, and prostitution became a common and easy way for women to make money in the glamour of Havana’s tourist district. All of the corruption and crime was blamed on the influence of American tourists travelling to the island, most of whom exploited the less than honorable ventures often during trips (Khrushchev et al., 2007). Today the overall climate of the tourism industry is different. No longer controlled by gangsters and organized crime, the tourism industry is much less corrupt. As most of the companies and resorts are owned by the government itself, they take pride in making sure Cuba is a safe and crime free destination for tourists (Wilkinson, 2010). While the nightclubs, most notably the Tropicana Nightclub that has been in business since 1938 still stand and operate, now they are less lucrative and instead stand as a nostalgic symbol of a glamorous, past era. This
  • 24. 23 actually may work to the benefit of the Cuban government. Travel writers alike have shown that many of the people travelling to Cuba on vacation choose the destination because of the mix of a Socialist presence and the memories of the Pre-Revolutionary era. Because Cuba was isolated from tourism for so many years during the beginning of Fidel Castro’s leadership, tourists are that much more inclined to discover the landmarks of this old ideology (Babb, 2010). This desire for nostalgia, mixed with the Cuban government’s determination to keep a safe environment translates into the best of both worlds, a pre-revolutionary nostalgia coupled with a safer experience through the restrictions provided by the government. Likewise, the dilution of Cuban culture as a result of increased Western influences is also a fear that has little evidence to it. While people trying to sell souvenirs to the tourists may begin to exaggerate their culture to appeal to the excited tourist, Cuban Ethnologist Fernando Ortiz says that it is virtually impossible to dilute and corrupt the Cuban culture. Ortiz argues that the people’s culture within Cuba is strong, and even now is made up of a mixture of cultures. The addition of influences from outside cultures will not take away from the essence of Cuban culture, but instead will just add another layer. Cuba’s culture is compared to an ajiaco, which is a gravy made of anything you can add that is available. Like this, the originality won’t be lost with the addition of American tourist culture, but will assist the Cuban people to evolve to another level (Ortiz, 1995). In addition, Cuban culture is for the most part already well known in the United States. The strong Cuban-American population in Florida as well as throughout the
  • 25. 24 U.S. has exposed traditions and cultural specialties that are found within Cuba (Wilkinson, 2010). Expanding Cuban tourism would not take away from Cuban culture, because the unique culture that is present is what the American people are travelling to experience. Trying to water it down at all would be a bad move on the part of both the Cuban people and American tourists. The largest issue perhaps facing the decision above all other social effects, is the influence increased consumerism and Capitalist ventures will have on the integrity of Cuba’s Socialist government. Fidel Castro outlawed tourism for many years because he saw the corruption that it brought, and he wanted nothing to do with it. Only when it became necessary to sustain the country did he open its doors to the outside. Frankly, there is again no evidence to support the erosion of commitment that people have to the Socialist core, despite the restructuring to include more capitalist venture and private ownership. The Cuban population’s support in the form of electoral participation is as strong as it ever was at an astounding 96% (Wilkinson, 2010). Often times such high numbers can be associated with coercion by the government, but participation in Socialist programs has increased as well and involvement in the Communist Party has increased in numbers. In fact, an interesting find suggests that the presence of Cuba’s Communist government is what has allowed the rapid expansion of the tourism industry to become so successful. Its intervention in through restrictions in policies at the higher, macroeconomic level has helped keep the negative effects to a minimum (Wilkinson, 2010). While Cuba may seem much like a Communist Utopia, not all of Cuba’s people are satisfied.
  • 26. 25 Castro’s government has resulted in numerous human rights violations and oppression of minority groups within Cuba. Groups known as the Cuban dissidents are in favor of a new government that is more democratic and that would give more freedom to the people. Protests and demonstrations against the government are a reality and the presence of a strong American population due to a tourist industry could encourage the dissident movement in addition to the growth and development of a civil society (Casey, 2010). When it comes to the tourism industry, and because of the stronghold that is visible in rules and regulations, it is doubtful that the government would see the tourism industry evolve in a way that would threaten either Cuba’s Communist roots or its unique culture. While the government has begun to allow private ventures to citizens, in the near future there is little evidence that is supporting a full overthrow of the current system in favor of a more Democratic government. Recommendations It is in Cuba’s best interest to launch this full-scale tourism venture with the United States. The recent overhaul of Cuba’s tourism industry through the launch of Auténtica Cuba through the Canadian government, and the investments that have already been put into play show that there is already commitment to further developing the industry. Expanding this idea to include the United States is the natural next step. Not only will the launch of this bring in billions of dollars in revenue, it will renew connections between Cuba and the United States. Hesitations
  • 27. 26 that the Minister of Tourism has are valid, but below the surface there is a strong majority of positive consequences. As previously mentioned, Cuba’s economy is very much developed because of its tourism industry, however it is not wholly dependent on it because of diversified industries and the strong structure of the government. In contrast, The Bahamas, another Caribbean tourist spot is not so lucky. The tourism relationship with the United States is very influential to the well- being of the country as the majority of visitors to the islands are American citizens. As a result, the economy is very dependent on American visitors and when they do not receive enough tourists, their own economy suffers greatly (Bahamas, State.gov, 2013). Cuba, on the other hand would not have this problem because of their economic structure. Essentially, the full launch of the tourism industry with the U.S. can only bring benefits to Cuba. They are well experienced in tourism as they welcome millions of visitors from all over the world, and do not depend only on these people visiting. As an alternative, Cuba could also open the doors to the American people in terms of tourism, but instead not have a full scale relationship with them. This is also a noble route to take, however perhaps less desirable in terms of efficiency and profitability. In this scenario, Cuba would welcome the increased number of tourists from the United States, but choose not to make concessions to prepare for the increased traffic to the island. There would be no connections to American travel companies and no special amenities or information with
  • 28. 27 American travelers. In essence, Cuba would continue what it was doing in terms of development and not make any concessions for the influx of U.S. citizens. This route would be the easiest to implement as it does not involve making many changes to the development that is currently being implemented. The issues that arise from this however are that the rate of development would possibly not be able to keep up with the influx of visitors. Another effect of this alternative would be that the government would not be able to control the industry with millions of travelers coming in from the United States. Right now the market is successful in part because of the government’s regulations on the tourism industry. In not making connections and preparation for a rapid increase of American travelers, the government would have to accommodate the millions of visitors without an effectively developed area. There is the possibility of limited hotel rooms, overbooking and just an overall atmosphere of chaos. A second alternative to launching a full scale industry is to limit the number of visitors from the U.S. through the use of a visa system. Like the United States, the Cuban government could choose to only issue so many tourist visas every year and again not change anything in terms of development and overhaul of their current tourism industry. In regards to ease of implication, this avenue would also be relatively easy to implement into the tourism industry. Not only would this route allow visitors from the United States to come and enjoy the tourism industry within Cuba, it would also allow development to continue at its current pace and preserve the sustainability of the current projects. Ideally, this alternative to a full launch seems
  • 29. 28 the most desirable. It would not put any extra pressure on the Cuban government, and it would still allow profits to come in from American tourists and tourism companies. The negative of this however is that it does not allow Cuba’s tourism industry and relationship with the United States to develop to its full potential. While the full scale launch of a tourism industry may begin with some chaos and disorganization, this halfway point could cost the Cuban government millions in tourism profits and investment opportunities. This alternative is the safest way to begin the relationship, but may be more difficult to sustain in the future with its limitations. Overall, the full scale option in the long term would be the most beneficial choice for the Cuban government. Not allowing a relationship to develop with a country so close like the United States could prove to be more of a hassle for Cuba than the industry itself. Without creating the networking and connections between the United States and itself, Cuba could subject itself to being underdeveloped and not ready to handle millions of new tourists. The influence and assistance that the tourism industry would gain from becoming increasingly connected with the U.S. tourism industry would prove to be beneficial and would allow American tourists to enjoy Cuba without degrading the landscape, history, and people. Economically, it would cost the most to develop even more to be ready for American tourists, but by being exposed to its full potential, the industry could also stand to receive billions of dollars in profits. The halfway point option would be a good alternative to start with, or to do a test run of a more developed Cuban
  • 30. 29 tourism industry, but again would be hard to match in terms of economic benefits and relationship building with the United States with the full scale approach. Conclusion Cuba and the United States have endured a sour relationship for decades now, and in the case of a normalization of relations between the two neighbors, it would greatly benefit the relationship for Cuba to launch a full-scale tourism industry with the U.S. Fueled mostly by economics, this venture would prove to boost Cuba into a whole new level of development and could increase GDP by billions. The negative consequences and fears of a dissolving Cuban culture and dedication to its Communist history is an ever present factor in this dilemma, however current research shows that the Cuban people are more invested than ever in their cultural and historical heritage. Frankly though, if Cuba chose not to create a relationship with the United States in the wake of a free travel policy between itself and the United States, there is the possibility that the number of American tourists could flood the island and there would be chaos. This launch could lead to the foundation of a relationship, and would support the country in the wake of millions of new visitors. If Cuba’s Ministry of Tourism is hesitant to go all in on a new tourism industry, a test run or limited number of visas available for American tourists is a safe and logical alternative. This route would not allow the country to still create ties to the U.S. tourism industry, but would
  • 31. 30 create a test run for Cuba that could assess if they really wanted to go for the full-scale tourism approach. Cuba’s strong government, history and pride in itself makes it an ideal and controlled tourism spot for the U.S. Through a full-scale tourism industry, American visitors can submerge themselves into this culture, but still be home in time for dinner back in Miami if they so choose.
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