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Analysis of customer
behaviour with advanced
analytics
-- Anirudh K Muralidhar
WHAT OUR CUSTOMERS THINK?
“I received extraordinary service yesterday from Kim Sears, a sales associate at
the Lands’ End store in Concord, NH. I'm on vacation in northern NH currently,
and phoned the Concord store for assistance with a purchase. I was greeted by
Kim, who was courteous, knowledgeable, and entirely professional. Kim
helped me to sort through some options, buy a rash shirt and a dress, and she
made the entire purchase experience easy, positive and fun!
At the end of our conversation, I told Kim how much I appreciated her time and
outstanding customer service and what a pleasure it had been to do business
with her. She is a great asset to the Lands’ End store in Concord, NH!”
Sincerely,
Tracy W.
Grand Rapids, MI
THE SURVIVAL OF THE FITTEST
1. We need to push ourselves to match
current trend.
2. All big organizations make use of
their data.
3. We don’t pay for data, we have
them - like rain(store and drink).
“Go data driven, data doesn’t lie.“
WHAT IS ADVANCED ANALYTICS?
“Better utilization of
data using machine
learning and
statistical
techniques.”
WHY WE NEED THESE ANALYTICS?
1. Answer questions that reporting cannot.
2. All organizations use this and benefit.
3. Data is something which is in our gene.
Why for retail industry?
1. Predict future sales.
2. Improve business performance.
BIG DATA IN ALL INDUSTRIES
OVERALL FLOWCHART
SUMMER INTERN PROJECTS
1. Category prediction of a customer using supervised
machine learning approach.
2. Category prediction of a customer using unsupervised
learning and distance measure.
3. Product recommendation based on product similarity.
4. Demographic based clusters for customers.
OUR DATA
1. Primary source from netezza database
which includes transactional and
the Axiom data.
2. RGB value of color code obtained
from color lab.
WHY PYTHON PROGRAMMING?
1. Very easy to learn.
2. Very good core libraries such as numpy,
pandas, sklearn etc.
3. Very good community support.
4. No cost.
5. Widely used tool along with R.
Category prediction
of a customer using
supervised machine
learning approach.
PROJECT OUTLINE
Predict the category that a customer is likely to buy.
DATA
1. Female customers of a particular group.
Why Female?
1. High business.
2. Can be extended to all customer base.
ATTRIBUTES
Age
Race
Job
Education
Gender
Income
Fashion interest
State
Average demand
Brand
Division
Season : Summer
Prediction label
Category
ALGORITHM: RANDOM FOREST CLASSIFIER
This algorithm is based on
multiple decision tree.
The same task was tested
with algorithms such as
Bayesian classifier and
Logistic regression.
SAMPLE OUTPUT
FINDING THE TOP FIVE CATEGORIES
1. This was done for email marketing.
2. Instead of sending one generalized creative, send one of
these five categories if they fit in this.
Why only five?
1. Email team asked only five for testing.
2. Can be extended to all categories as well.
RESULTS: TOP FIVE CATEGORIES (WOMEN SEGMENT)
SWIMSUIT KNIT TOPS BOTTOMS FOOTWEAR XR SWIMSUIT
HOW IS THIS DIFFERENT FROM CURRENT APPROACH?
1. We just analyze the past purchase of each customer
and predict their future category order.
2. These machine learning techniques combines similar
customers and thus makes better predictions.
Category prediction of
a customer using
unsupervised learning
and distance measure.
PROJECT OUTLINE
1. Similar to the previous task.
2. Difference is clustering and distance measure used.
Generate clusters Pick each cluster
Build the
recommender
system for that
cluster
Model building
MODEL TESTING
1. Fit the new customer to one of the clusters.
2. Then recommend the category for him based on ‘k’ similar
customers.
CLUSTER GENERATION
Attributes
Age
Race
Job
Education
Gender
Income
State
Average Demand
Average Demand count
Average Color preference
Season: Summer
ALGORITHM: KMODES
This is similar
to Kmeans
Algorithm.
This works
well with
categorical
data as well.
DEMONSTRATION
DEMONSTRATION
DEMONSTRATION
Cluster results
NEXT STEP: BUILDING THE RECOMMENDER SYSTEM
Data after pre-processing
ALGORITHM: COSINE SIMILARITY
Cosine similarity is a measure of
similarity between two non zero
vectors of an inner product space
that measures the cosine of the
angle between them.
RESULTS
RESULTS: TOP FIVE CATEGORIES (All CUSTOMERS)
SWIMSUIT KNIT TOPS BOTTOMS KNIT TOPS BOTTOMS
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN PROJECT ONE AND TWO
Project one
1. Predicts the category for a given order of a customer.
2. More purchase oriented.
Project two
1. Predicts the category for a given customer.
2. More customer oriented.
Product
recommendation
based on product
similarity.
WHY PRODUCT RECOMMENDATION?
1. 30% of amazon
sales comes from
recommendation.
2. Make the customers
stick to the website.
3. Better marketing
strategy.
DATA
PROCESSED DATA
ALGORITHM: COSINE SIMILARITY
Cosine similarity is a measure of
similarity between two non zero
vectors of an inner product space
that measures the cosine of the
angle between them.
RESULTS
Each value represents the product code
PRODUCT REC 1 REC 2 REC 3 REC 4 REC 5
Demographic based
clusters for customer.
NEED OF CLUSTERS?
1. Grouping similar
Customers.
2. Develop better
marketing plans.
3. Find hidden
purchase patterns.
ATTRIBUTES
● Age
● Gender
● Income
● Education
● Job
Algorithm used:
● KModes
CLUSTER RESULTS
CLUSTER RESULTS
CLUSTER RESULTS
1: High school
2: College
3: Graduate
4: Vocational
CLUSTER RESULTS
1: Professional
4: Clerical
7: Homemaker
8:Retired
Y: Medical
CLUSTER RESULTS
CLUSTER RESULTS
Further studies with clusters
1. Develop more clusters based on geographic, interest, past
purchase etc.
2. Better analysis can be made with several clusters, like
customer with high fashion interest and high income can
be grouped and analysed.
CHALLENGES INVOLVED
1. Hardware infrastructure.
2. Lack of data for products.
3. Lack of resource.
4. Data storage - may be
a challenge in near future.
POTENTIAL SOLUTIONS
1. Use of distributed systems and cloud.
2. Record more data such as product rating,
recommendations and more.
3. Expansion of data science team.
POTENTIAL DATA SCIENCE PROJECTS
1. Product review analysis.
2. Customized home page.
3. Analysis of which webpage or path is performing well and
poor.
4. Which product is performing well across season,
demographic and geographics.
5. Fraud detection in transaction.
6. Attribute preference of a customer, such as color, size,
design etc.
SPECIAL MENTIONS
● Shaishav Singh
● Jignesh Patel
● Mike Zhang
● Dave Oesper
● Prashanth Motupalli
● David Garber
● Ankita Chaudhari
● Color lab team
● Alexander Steeno
● Harshini Mohan
Thank you!!.

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Understanding customer behaviour and segmentation

  • 1. Analysis of customer behaviour with advanced analytics -- Anirudh K Muralidhar
  • 2. WHAT OUR CUSTOMERS THINK? “I received extraordinary service yesterday from Kim Sears, a sales associate at the Lands’ End store in Concord, NH. I'm on vacation in northern NH currently, and phoned the Concord store for assistance with a purchase. I was greeted by Kim, who was courteous, knowledgeable, and entirely professional. Kim helped me to sort through some options, buy a rash shirt and a dress, and she made the entire purchase experience easy, positive and fun! At the end of our conversation, I told Kim how much I appreciated her time and outstanding customer service and what a pleasure it had been to do business with her. She is a great asset to the Lands’ End store in Concord, NH!” Sincerely, Tracy W. Grand Rapids, MI
  • 3. THE SURVIVAL OF THE FITTEST 1. We need to push ourselves to match current trend. 2. All big organizations make use of their data. 3. We don’t pay for data, we have them - like rain(store and drink). “Go data driven, data doesn’t lie.“
  • 4. WHAT IS ADVANCED ANALYTICS? “Better utilization of data using machine learning and statistical techniques.”
  • 5. WHY WE NEED THESE ANALYTICS? 1. Answer questions that reporting cannot. 2. All organizations use this and benefit. 3. Data is something which is in our gene. Why for retail industry? 1. Predict future sales. 2. Improve business performance.
  • 6. BIG DATA IN ALL INDUSTRIES
  • 8. SUMMER INTERN PROJECTS 1. Category prediction of a customer using supervised machine learning approach. 2. Category prediction of a customer using unsupervised learning and distance measure. 3. Product recommendation based on product similarity. 4. Demographic based clusters for customers.
  • 9. OUR DATA 1. Primary source from netezza database which includes transactional and the Axiom data. 2. RGB value of color code obtained from color lab.
  • 10. WHY PYTHON PROGRAMMING? 1. Very easy to learn. 2. Very good core libraries such as numpy, pandas, sklearn etc. 3. Very good community support. 4. No cost. 5. Widely used tool along with R.
  • 11. Category prediction of a customer using supervised machine learning approach.
  • 12. PROJECT OUTLINE Predict the category that a customer is likely to buy.
  • 13. DATA 1. Female customers of a particular group. Why Female? 1. High business. 2. Can be extended to all customer base.
  • 15. ALGORITHM: RANDOM FOREST CLASSIFIER This algorithm is based on multiple decision tree. The same task was tested with algorithms such as Bayesian classifier and Logistic regression.
  • 17. FINDING THE TOP FIVE CATEGORIES 1. This was done for email marketing. 2. Instead of sending one generalized creative, send one of these five categories if they fit in this. Why only five? 1. Email team asked only five for testing. 2. Can be extended to all categories as well.
  • 18. RESULTS: TOP FIVE CATEGORIES (WOMEN SEGMENT) SWIMSUIT KNIT TOPS BOTTOMS FOOTWEAR XR SWIMSUIT
  • 19. HOW IS THIS DIFFERENT FROM CURRENT APPROACH? 1. We just analyze the past purchase of each customer and predict their future category order. 2. These machine learning techniques combines similar customers and thus makes better predictions.
  • 20. Category prediction of a customer using unsupervised learning and distance measure.
  • 21. PROJECT OUTLINE 1. Similar to the previous task. 2. Difference is clustering and distance measure used. Generate clusters Pick each cluster Build the recommender system for that cluster Model building
  • 22. MODEL TESTING 1. Fit the new customer to one of the clusters. 2. Then recommend the category for him based on ‘k’ similar customers.
  • 24. ALGORITHM: KMODES This is similar to Kmeans Algorithm. This works well with categorical data as well.
  • 29. NEXT STEP: BUILDING THE RECOMMENDER SYSTEM Data after pre-processing
  • 30. ALGORITHM: COSINE SIMILARITY Cosine similarity is a measure of similarity between two non zero vectors of an inner product space that measures the cosine of the angle between them.
  • 32. RESULTS: TOP FIVE CATEGORIES (All CUSTOMERS) SWIMSUIT KNIT TOPS BOTTOMS KNIT TOPS BOTTOMS
  • 33. DIFFERENCE BETWEEN PROJECT ONE AND TWO Project one 1. Predicts the category for a given order of a customer. 2. More purchase oriented. Project two 1. Predicts the category for a given customer. 2. More customer oriented.
  • 35. WHY PRODUCT RECOMMENDATION? 1. 30% of amazon sales comes from recommendation. 2. Make the customers stick to the website. 3. Better marketing strategy.
  • 36. DATA
  • 38. ALGORITHM: COSINE SIMILARITY Cosine similarity is a measure of similarity between two non zero vectors of an inner product space that measures the cosine of the angle between them.
  • 39. RESULTS Each value represents the product code
  • 40. PRODUCT REC 1 REC 2 REC 3 REC 4 REC 5
  • 42. NEED OF CLUSTERS? 1. Grouping similar Customers. 2. Develop better marketing plans. 3. Find hidden purchase patterns.
  • 43. ATTRIBUTES ● Age ● Gender ● Income ● Education ● Job Algorithm used: ● KModes
  • 46. CLUSTER RESULTS 1: High school 2: College 3: Graduate 4: Vocational
  • 47. CLUSTER RESULTS 1: Professional 4: Clerical 7: Homemaker 8:Retired Y: Medical
  • 50. Further studies with clusters 1. Develop more clusters based on geographic, interest, past purchase etc. 2. Better analysis can be made with several clusters, like customer with high fashion interest and high income can be grouped and analysed.
  • 51. CHALLENGES INVOLVED 1. Hardware infrastructure. 2. Lack of data for products. 3. Lack of resource. 4. Data storage - may be a challenge in near future.
  • 52. POTENTIAL SOLUTIONS 1. Use of distributed systems and cloud. 2. Record more data such as product rating, recommendations and more. 3. Expansion of data science team.
  • 53. POTENTIAL DATA SCIENCE PROJECTS 1. Product review analysis. 2. Customized home page. 3. Analysis of which webpage or path is performing well and poor. 4. Which product is performing well across season, demographic and geographics. 5. Fraud detection in transaction. 6. Attribute preference of a customer, such as color, size, design etc.
  • 54. SPECIAL MENTIONS ● Shaishav Singh ● Jignesh Patel ● Mike Zhang ● Dave Oesper ● Prashanth Motupalli ● David Garber ● Ankita Chaudhari ● Color lab team ● Alexander Steeno ● Harshini Mohan