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Example – anti-psychotic drugs and venous
thromboembolism
• Some research suggests antipsychotic drugs
might be associated with an increased risk of
venous thromboembolism
– Drugs also widely prescribed for nausea, vomiting,
and vertigo
– Venous thromboembolism
• Deep vein thrombosis
• Pulmonary embolism
Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT
• Nested case-control study examining whether
antipsychotic drugs are associated with an
increased rate of venous thromboembolism
– Examined by type of antipsychotic, potency, and dose
– (BMJ 2010;341:c4245)
Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT
• Cohort was an open cohort of people registered
with UK general practices - QResearch
– Data have been collected over 16 years
– Includes the anonymised records of over 7 million
patients who have been registered with over 500
practices spread throughout the UK
– UK has national insurance
Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT
• Nested case-control included time period 1996-
2007
• Cases
– All patients aged 16-100 yrs with first ever record of
venous thromboembolism
– Identified based on diagnostic codes in cohort
database
Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT
• Controls
– Used risk-set sampling to identify controls - matched
on calendar time of the incident case
– Additionally matched on age, sex and practice
– Defined as members of the practices with no
diagnosis of venous thromboembolism up to the date
of the incident case
– Selected up to 4 controls per case (will discuss in
matching)
Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT
• Exposure to drugs assessed with prescriptions
on or before the index date
– For anti-psychotics collected information on drug
name, formulation, dose, instructions and date
– For other drugs of concern as confounders collected
only whether they were prescribed in the 24 months
before
Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT
• Not eligible for analysis if part of the database for
less than 24 months
– Due to inadequate exposure data
• 25,532 venous thromboembolism cases
• 89,491 controls
Example – anti-psychotic
drugs and VT
• Analysis with conditional logistic regression (due
to matching)
Example – anti-psychotic
drugs and VT
• Description of VT rates
Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT
Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT
• Notes on the methods in this example
– Primary study base – population defined as those
attending a set of general practices, all cases within
that population identified
– Risk-set sampling
• What does OR estimate?
Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT
• Notes on the methods in this example
– Case-control design made collection of data on full
prescription details for all antipsychotics (drug name,
formulation, dose instructions, dates) a manageable
task
• Allowed detailed examination of anti-psychotic drugs (types,
doses, timing)
• Allowed comparison of risk between new users vs longer
term users
Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT
• Notes on the methods in this example
– Access to the prescription data due to the larger
cohort also critical to success of the exposure
assessment
– Extensive control for confounding, however…
– For most participants could not identify the reason for
the prescription
• Underlying condition and not the drug prescribed to treat it
might be the cause of VT (confounding by indication)
• Analyses removing those with schizophrenia and bipolar
disorder did not change the results
Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT
• Authors suggested a case-crossover design to
strengthen the evidence on anti-psychotic drugs
and VT
– What do you think of this suggestion?
Case-control studies outline
• Strengths and challenges
• Example: anti-psychotic drugs and venous thromboembolism –
nested case-control
• Example: diarrhea outbreak in India – cumulative case-control xx
• Example: hip fracture – comparison of hospital and community
controls
• Summary
Example – diarrhea outbreak in India
• On 26 September 2007, the Gayeshpur
municipality reported cluster of diarrhea cases
• Investigation conducted to identify the agent as
well as the source of infection
• Cumulative case-control design
• Saha et al. 2009 (Natl Med J India. 2009 Sep-Oct;22(5):237-9.)
Example – diarrhea outbreak in India
• Cases
– Reviewed data on diarrheal diseases available from
the municipal health office
– Defined a possible case-patient as a resident of the
Gayeshpur municipality who had diarrhea (>3 loose
stools during a 24-hour period) between September
and October 2007
– Asked healthcare workers in all facilities to report
similar new cases
– Cases for the case-control analyses met the above
definition and resided in one of 4 wards (ward
numbers 2, 5, 6 and 8)
Example – diarrhea outbreak in India
• Controls
– Were matched on age-, sex- and neighborhood to
each case
• Exposure assessment
– Municipal health workers collected information among
participants regarding demographic characteristics,
date of onset, signs and symptoms, outcome, food-
handling practices, water intake and sanitation
Example – diarrhea
outbreak in India
• Results
Example – diarrhea
outbreak in India
• Results
Example – diarrhea outbreak in India
Example – diarrhea outbreak in India
Example – diarrhea outbreak in India
• Notes on the methods in this example
– Primary study base – population defined as those
residing in one of 4 wards in Gayeshpur municipality,
all cases within that population identified
– Case-control design facilitated a rapid assessment of
differences in exposures among those with diarrheal
disease and those without
– Self-report of exposures so accuracy of recall may be
different between cases and controls
Example – diarrhea outbreak in India
• Notes on the methods in this example
– Confounding handled by matching on age, sex and
neighborhood
• To be discussed in matching module
– Concerns about other confounders?
– Problematic that OR in study estimates OR in
population and not CIR or IDR?
Example – hip fracture
• Case-control study of risk factors for hip fracture
– Comparison of results using hospital controls vs
community controls
– N Engl J Med. 1991 May 9;324(19):1326-31
Example – hip fracture
• Cases
– White and black women aged 45 years or more with
radiologically confirmed diagnosis of first hip fracture
– Selected from 30 participating hospitals in NYC and
Philadelphia 1987-1989
– Primary or secondary study base?
Example – hip fracture
• Hospital controls
– Hospitalized women from a surgical ward or an
orthopedic ward with no previous hip fracture or hip
replacement
– Frequency matched to cases by age, hospital and
race
– Admissions diagnoses included cardiovascular
disease or peripheral vascular disease, digestive
disorders, cancers, osteoarthritis and other
musculoskeletal disorders, infections
– Why might you use hospital controls?
Example – hip fracture
• Community controls
– For cases aged 65 or older, community controls were
randomly selected from the Health Care Financing
Administration lists of Medicare recipients – frequency
matched to cases on age, race and zip code
– For cases under 65 years of age, community controls
selected by random digit dialing and matched by age,
race and telephone prefix
– Why might you use community controls?
Example – hip fracture
• Exposure assessment
– In-person interviews to assess lower-extremity
function, vision, medical and surgical history, use of
medications before hospitalization, dietary and
reproductive history, height, weight, smoking, alcohol
consumption, symptoms related to balance and gait,
and sociodemographic information
– Cases and hospital controls were generally
interviewed in the hospital
– Community controls were generally interviewed in
their homes
Example – hip fracture
• Associations observed were different depending
on the control group selected
– Hospital controls likely less healthy than study base
– Community controls perhaps healthier than study
base
• Comparison of community controls with
representative sample of elderly in urban
northeastern areas
– Very similar
• Conclude community controls more appropriate
Example – hip fracture
• Notes on the methods in this example
– Secondary study base – highlights challenge of
finding controls to represent secondary study base
– Case-control design provided a less resource
intensive approach to identifying risk factors, but
challenges with control group identification probably
mean a trade off with bias
– Self-report of exposures so accuracy of recall may be
different between cases and controls
• Probably less of an issue for the hospital controls than for the
community controls
Example – hip fracture
• Notes on the methods in this example
– What does OR estimate?
• Cumulative case-control so OR estimates OR in
population
– What could have been changed about the design to
have the OR estimate a different MoA?
• Matching controls on time of case occurrence
could have produced a density-sampling approach
in which OR = IDR
• However, the control groups already bringing in bias, so
perhaps perceived not to be worth the additional effort
Example – hip fracture
• Notes on the methods in this example
– With the cumulative case-control design, when does
OR approximate IDR?
• Rare disease

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6.7 summaries

  • 1. Example – anti-psychotic drugs and venous thromboembolism • Some research suggests antipsychotic drugs might be associated with an increased risk of venous thromboembolism – Drugs also widely prescribed for nausea, vomiting, and vertigo – Venous thromboembolism • Deep vein thrombosis • Pulmonary embolism
  • 2. Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT • Nested case-control study examining whether antipsychotic drugs are associated with an increased rate of venous thromboembolism – Examined by type of antipsychotic, potency, and dose – (BMJ 2010;341:c4245)
  • 3. Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT • Cohort was an open cohort of people registered with UK general practices - QResearch – Data have been collected over 16 years – Includes the anonymised records of over 7 million patients who have been registered with over 500 practices spread throughout the UK – UK has national insurance
  • 4. Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT • Nested case-control included time period 1996- 2007 • Cases – All patients aged 16-100 yrs with first ever record of venous thromboembolism – Identified based on diagnostic codes in cohort database
  • 5. Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT • Controls – Used risk-set sampling to identify controls - matched on calendar time of the incident case – Additionally matched on age, sex and practice – Defined as members of the practices with no diagnosis of venous thromboembolism up to the date of the incident case – Selected up to 4 controls per case (will discuss in matching)
  • 6. Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT • Exposure to drugs assessed with prescriptions on or before the index date – For anti-psychotics collected information on drug name, formulation, dose, instructions and date – For other drugs of concern as confounders collected only whether they were prescribed in the 24 months before
  • 7. Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT • Not eligible for analysis if part of the database for less than 24 months – Due to inadequate exposure data • 25,532 venous thromboembolism cases • 89,491 controls
  • 8. Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT • Analysis with conditional logistic regression (due to matching)
  • 9. Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT • Description of VT rates
  • 11. Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT • Notes on the methods in this example – Primary study base – population defined as those attending a set of general practices, all cases within that population identified – Risk-set sampling • What does OR estimate?
  • 12. Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT • Notes on the methods in this example – Case-control design made collection of data on full prescription details for all antipsychotics (drug name, formulation, dose instructions, dates) a manageable task • Allowed detailed examination of anti-psychotic drugs (types, doses, timing) • Allowed comparison of risk between new users vs longer term users
  • 13. Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT • Notes on the methods in this example – Access to the prescription data due to the larger cohort also critical to success of the exposure assessment – Extensive control for confounding, however… – For most participants could not identify the reason for the prescription • Underlying condition and not the drug prescribed to treat it might be the cause of VT (confounding by indication) • Analyses removing those with schizophrenia and bipolar disorder did not change the results
  • 14. Example – anti-psychotic drugs and VT • Authors suggested a case-crossover design to strengthen the evidence on anti-psychotic drugs and VT – What do you think of this suggestion?
  • 15. Case-control studies outline • Strengths and challenges • Example: anti-psychotic drugs and venous thromboembolism – nested case-control • Example: diarrhea outbreak in India – cumulative case-control xx • Example: hip fracture – comparison of hospital and community controls • Summary
  • 16. Example – diarrhea outbreak in India • On 26 September 2007, the Gayeshpur municipality reported cluster of diarrhea cases • Investigation conducted to identify the agent as well as the source of infection • Cumulative case-control design • Saha et al. 2009 (Natl Med J India. 2009 Sep-Oct;22(5):237-9.)
  • 17. Example – diarrhea outbreak in India • Cases – Reviewed data on diarrheal diseases available from the municipal health office – Defined a possible case-patient as a resident of the Gayeshpur municipality who had diarrhea (>3 loose stools during a 24-hour period) between September and October 2007 – Asked healthcare workers in all facilities to report similar new cases – Cases for the case-control analyses met the above definition and resided in one of 4 wards (ward numbers 2, 5, 6 and 8)
  • 18. Example – diarrhea outbreak in India • Controls – Were matched on age-, sex- and neighborhood to each case • Exposure assessment – Municipal health workers collected information among participants regarding demographic characteristics, date of onset, signs and symptoms, outcome, food- handling practices, water intake and sanitation
  • 19. Example – diarrhea outbreak in India • Results
  • 20. Example – diarrhea outbreak in India • Results
  • 21. Example – diarrhea outbreak in India
  • 22. Example – diarrhea outbreak in India
  • 23. Example – diarrhea outbreak in India • Notes on the methods in this example – Primary study base – population defined as those residing in one of 4 wards in Gayeshpur municipality, all cases within that population identified – Case-control design facilitated a rapid assessment of differences in exposures among those with diarrheal disease and those without – Self-report of exposures so accuracy of recall may be different between cases and controls
  • 24. Example – diarrhea outbreak in India • Notes on the methods in this example – Confounding handled by matching on age, sex and neighborhood • To be discussed in matching module – Concerns about other confounders? – Problematic that OR in study estimates OR in population and not CIR or IDR?
  • 25. Example – hip fracture • Case-control study of risk factors for hip fracture – Comparison of results using hospital controls vs community controls – N Engl J Med. 1991 May 9;324(19):1326-31
  • 26. Example – hip fracture • Cases – White and black women aged 45 years or more with radiologically confirmed diagnosis of first hip fracture – Selected from 30 participating hospitals in NYC and Philadelphia 1987-1989 – Primary or secondary study base?
  • 27. Example – hip fracture • Hospital controls – Hospitalized women from a surgical ward or an orthopedic ward with no previous hip fracture or hip replacement – Frequency matched to cases by age, hospital and race – Admissions diagnoses included cardiovascular disease or peripheral vascular disease, digestive disorders, cancers, osteoarthritis and other musculoskeletal disorders, infections – Why might you use hospital controls?
  • 28. Example – hip fracture • Community controls – For cases aged 65 or older, community controls were randomly selected from the Health Care Financing Administration lists of Medicare recipients – frequency matched to cases on age, race and zip code – For cases under 65 years of age, community controls selected by random digit dialing and matched by age, race and telephone prefix – Why might you use community controls?
  • 29. Example – hip fracture • Exposure assessment – In-person interviews to assess lower-extremity function, vision, medical and surgical history, use of medications before hospitalization, dietary and reproductive history, height, weight, smoking, alcohol consumption, symptoms related to balance and gait, and sociodemographic information – Cases and hospital controls were generally interviewed in the hospital – Community controls were generally interviewed in their homes
  • 30.
  • 31. Example – hip fracture • Associations observed were different depending on the control group selected – Hospital controls likely less healthy than study base – Community controls perhaps healthier than study base • Comparison of community controls with representative sample of elderly in urban northeastern areas – Very similar • Conclude community controls more appropriate
  • 32. Example – hip fracture • Notes on the methods in this example – Secondary study base – highlights challenge of finding controls to represent secondary study base – Case-control design provided a less resource intensive approach to identifying risk factors, but challenges with control group identification probably mean a trade off with bias – Self-report of exposures so accuracy of recall may be different between cases and controls • Probably less of an issue for the hospital controls than for the community controls
  • 33. Example – hip fracture • Notes on the methods in this example – What does OR estimate? • Cumulative case-control so OR estimates OR in population – What could have been changed about the design to have the OR estimate a different MoA? • Matching controls on time of case occurrence could have produced a density-sampling approach in which OR = IDR • However, the control groups already bringing in bias, so perhaps perceived not to be worth the additional effort
  • 34. Example – hip fracture • Notes on the methods in this example – With the cumulative case-control design, when does OR approximate IDR? • Rare disease