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Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services
Stay Agile in Dynamic Markets
Offshoring to optimize Portfolio Analytics,
Data Management and Digital Marketing functions
Wednesday, March 1 2017 New York Hilton Midtown
Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge ServicesConfidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services
Amit Sinha
Portfolio Strategist
Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services
Agenda
Trends
that are driving the need for more agile analytics in asset management
Sample
of tools, solutions and strategies being adopted
Case studies
on improving processes and utilizing new and legacy systems
Address design, technology and behavioral considerations
Objective
HOW sales, trading and research can benefit
from improvements that we have seen in analytics over the last few years
2
Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services
Trends driving need for a different approach
7.6%
6.7%
4.7%
3.6%
2.4%
Assumed
portfolio return
Past 30 years Growth
recovery
Average Slow growth
Returns for U.S. public pension funds (assumed and projected)
Percent
Return from a passive 60/40 portfolio
Gap (or need for alpha) = 0.9% 2.9% 4.0% 5.2%
Source: National Association for State Retirement Administrators. McKinsey analysis
5.2%
Lower/uncertain future expected returns
Pressure on fees
Source: Morningstar, Inc.
Estimated Net Flows by Expense Ratio Quintile $ Billion
3
Shift toward passive and solutions
Forecast: Passive to Exceed 50% Market Share by 2023-24
Linear and Exponential Regression Models
Source: Moody's Investors Services
Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services
Resulting in a shift in the nature of asset
management
Individual investors and institutions are asking
What additional value do I
get by investing with you?
» How does your solution meet my
needs?
» How can I trust that you have
my best interests in mind?
» Is there something new and
unique that you bring
Where are my returns?
» Should I just go to Vanguard?
» Can I get greater transparency?
» What do you mean you lost 10%
but still beat the benchmark?
4
How do asset management businesses respond?
Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services
Using analytics to create a storyline and following
Source: AQR. Note that the presenter is not affiliated in anyway with AQR
… Not selling returns anymore
The example of AQR…
5
Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services
Investors are buying the solution, not just
performance
1,428
485
1,739
158
288
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
AQR Capital Management, LLC Dimensional Fund Advisors TWO Sigma Investments, LP Active Passive
% Increase in AUM
Source: SEC, Barclays Hedge
6
AQR Capital Management, LLC Dimensional Fund AdvisorsTWO Sigma Investments, LP ActivePassive
Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services
But analytics are not for quants anymore
And altered the nature of skills required to obtain results for
» Portfolio and risk analysis
» Alternative data sources
» Reporting and collaboration
… and many more
Tools in the post 2012 world have lowered barriers to entry
Disclosure: The presenter is an investor in Pellucid, Triyo, and Stockal
7
Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services
Solutions revolve around data
… and how data is cleaned, accessed and served
Which makes analytics less of rocket science and more like fishing
8
Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services
Solutions revolve around data
… and how data is cleaned, accessed and served
Which makes analytics less of rocket science and more like fishing
9
Copyright Amit Sinha and Dukudraw 2017
Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services
Solutions revolve around data
… and how data is cleaned, accessed and served
Which makes analytics less of rocket science and more like fishing
10
Copyright Amit Sinha and Dukudraw 2017
Problem – simple but messy
» Multiple sources and stores of data:
– Data feeds, excel spreadsheets,
legacy databases, human brain
» Maintenance, verification, validation
is time consuming and error-prone
» Valuable data and insights remain
undiscovered
How to solve this?
Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services
The roadmap for being agile with analytics
There is no short-cut, but there are small wins on the way
Define specific goals
» Client relations: e.g., customized reporting at T+1
» Trading and portfolio management: e.g., understand patterns
» Performance attribution and measurement: e.g., better utilize
legacy systems
Ask the big questions
» How can I demonstrate value (insight vs. ignorance)?
» How do I reduce costs and time to results?
» Can I improve my decision making?
Focus on the abstract
» Design
» Technology philosophy
» People and behavior
11
Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services
How to be agile while fishing?
» What’s involved in creating a report?
» Understanding and improving business process before building a technology solution
» Asking why
Design
» Using cross-functional teams to gain value from legacy systems
» E.g. Value from internal databases, Factset, Bloomberg, bespoke tools
People
» Using PowerBI to provide immediate portfolio insights
Technology
Lets review three case studies
12
Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services
Case study: improving a reporting
platform
13
Design
Analyze process not the the tools
» Complex processes should not be replicated in a system
» Change the process, and build a simpler system
Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services
Case study: value from legacy systems
Validate research or PM hypothesis
Small team with investment and programming knowledge
• Build bespoke tools for specific tasks, portfolio modeling, etc.
Reporting and risk analytics using Bloomberg, Factset, etc.
• Improve turnaround time and depth of analysis
• Utilize APIs and combine with Internal, Cloud, Open Source
14
» Large organizations use multiple tools and legacy platforms
» Gain agility by having small teams with cross-functional expertise
People
Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services
Case study: portfolio analysis
Using Power BI to understand portfolio exposures
N.B.: This content is in video format. To request the video, contact Amit amit.sinha@focus262.com
15
Technology
Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services
» Require a combination of skills
» Accessing and effectively communicating across silos
» … which makes organization culture play an important role in success
People and Organizational Behavior
Role of culture in success from analytics
16
Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services
A cautionary tale
The divide between … quants and fundamental money managers was also intellectual. They
struggled to communicate about the basics, like how big data could inform investment
decisions.
“Data scientists and engineers working in isolation are very unlikely to deliver a product that
satisfies the need of fundamental investors.”
When quants showed their risk analysis and trading signals to fundamental managers, they
sometimes were rejected as nothing new, the people said. Quants at times wondered if
managers simply didn’t want to give them credit for their ideas.
Bloomberg February 2017
From: Why Data Nerds Struggle to Gain Power at Hedge Funds
17
Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services
Need understanding and collaboration
Need
» People who understand both sides
» People willing to collaborate, so that
there is no discussion of “both sides”
18
Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services
To conclude…
Small teams of people focused on design and collaboration can make it happen
Analytics can lead to incredible value for sales, trading and research
And is essential not just for growth but survival
Solutions are available that make it easy and inexpensive to improve reporting,
risk and portfolio analysis
Focus on process, simplify, start small and then expand
What do you think?
19

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Staying agile in dynamic markets amit sinha march 2017

  • 1. Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services Stay Agile in Dynamic Markets Offshoring to optimize Portfolio Analytics, Data Management and Digital Marketing functions Wednesday, March 1 2017 New York Hilton Midtown
  • 2. Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge ServicesConfidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services Amit Sinha Portfolio Strategist
  • 3. Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services Agenda Trends that are driving the need for more agile analytics in asset management Sample of tools, solutions and strategies being adopted Case studies on improving processes and utilizing new and legacy systems Address design, technology and behavioral considerations Objective HOW sales, trading and research can benefit from improvements that we have seen in analytics over the last few years 2
  • 4. Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services Trends driving need for a different approach 7.6% 6.7% 4.7% 3.6% 2.4% Assumed portfolio return Past 30 years Growth recovery Average Slow growth Returns for U.S. public pension funds (assumed and projected) Percent Return from a passive 60/40 portfolio Gap (or need for alpha) = 0.9% 2.9% 4.0% 5.2% Source: National Association for State Retirement Administrators. McKinsey analysis 5.2% Lower/uncertain future expected returns Pressure on fees Source: Morningstar, Inc. Estimated Net Flows by Expense Ratio Quintile $ Billion 3 Shift toward passive and solutions Forecast: Passive to Exceed 50% Market Share by 2023-24 Linear and Exponential Regression Models Source: Moody's Investors Services
  • 5. Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services Resulting in a shift in the nature of asset management Individual investors and institutions are asking What additional value do I get by investing with you? » How does your solution meet my needs? » How can I trust that you have my best interests in mind? » Is there something new and unique that you bring Where are my returns? » Should I just go to Vanguard? » Can I get greater transparency? » What do you mean you lost 10% but still beat the benchmark? 4 How do asset management businesses respond?
  • 6. Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services Using analytics to create a storyline and following Source: AQR. Note that the presenter is not affiliated in anyway with AQR … Not selling returns anymore The example of AQR… 5
  • 7. Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services Investors are buying the solution, not just performance 1,428 485 1,739 158 288 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 AQR Capital Management, LLC Dimensional Fund Advisors TWO Sigma Investments, LP Active Passive % Increase in AUM Source: SEC, Barclays Hedge 6 AQR Capital Management, LLC Dimensional Fund AdvisorsTWO Sigma Investments, LP ActivePassive
  • 8. Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services But analytics are not for quants anymore And altered the nature of skills required to obtain results for » Portfolio and risk analysis » Alternative data sources » Reporting and collaboration … and many more Tools in the post 2012 world have lowered barriers to entry Disclosure: The presenter is an investor in Pellucid, Triyo, and Stockal 7
  • 9. Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services Solutions revolve around data … and how data is cleaned, accessed and served Which makes analytics less of rocket science and more like fishing 8
  • 10. Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services Solutions revolve around data … and how data is cleaned, accessed and served Which makes analytics less of rocket science and more like fishing 9 Copyright Amit Sinha and Dukudraw 2017
  • 11. Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services Solutions revolve around data … and how data is cleaned, accessed and served Which makes analytics less of rocket science and more like fishing 10 Copyright Amit Sinha and Dukudraw 2017 Problem – simple but messy » Multiple sources and stores of data: – Data feeds, excel spreadsheets, legacy databases, human brain » Maintenance, verification, validation is time consuming and error-prone » Valuable data and insights remain undiscovered How to solve this?
  • 12. Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services The roadmap for being agile with analytics There is no short-cut, but there are small wins on the way Define specific goals » Client relations: e.g., customized reporting at T+1 » Trading and portfolio management: e.g., understand patterns » Performance attribution and measurement: e.g., better utilize legacy systems Ask the big questions » How can I demonstrate value (insight vs. ignorance)? » How do I reduce costs and time to results? » Can I improve my decision making? Focus on the abstract » Design » Technology philosophy » People and behavior 11
  • 13. Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services How to be agile while fishing? » What’s involved in creating a report? » Understanding and improving business process before building a technology solution » Asking why Design » Using cross-functional teams to gain value from legacy systems » E.g. Value from internal databases, Factset, Bloomberg, bespoke tools People » Using PowerBI to provide immediate portfolio insights Technology Lets review three case studies 12
  • 14. Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services Case study: improving a reporting platform 13 Design Analyze process not the the tools » Complex processes should not be replicated in a system » Change the process, and build a simpler system
  • 15. Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services Case study: value from legacy systems Validate research or PM hypothesis Small team with investment and programming knowledge • Build bespoke tools for specific tasks, portfolio modeling, etc. Reporting and risk analytics using Bloomberg, Factset, etc. • Improve turnaround time and depth of analysis • Utilize APIs and combine with Internal, Cloud, Open Source 14 » Large organizations use multiple tools and legacy platforms » Gain agility by having small teams with cross-functional expertise People
  • 16. Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services Case study: portfolio analysis Using Power BI to understand portfolio exposures N.B.: This content is in video format. To request the video, contact Amit amit.sinha@focus262.com 15 Technology
  • 17. Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services » Require a combination of skills » Accessing and effectively communicating across silos » … which makes organization culture play an important role in success People and Organizational Behavior Role of culture in success from analytics 16
  • 18. Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services A cautionary tale The divide between … quants and fundamental money managers was also intellectual. They struggled to communicate about the basics, like how big data could inform investment decisions. “Data scientists and engineers working in isolation are very unlikely to deliver a product that satisfies the need of fundamental investors.” When quants showed their risk analysis and trading signals to fundamental managers, they sometimes were rejected as nothing new, the people said. Quants at times wondered if managers simply didn’t want to give them credit for their ideas. Bloomberg February 2017 From: Why Data Nerds Struggle to Gain Power at Hedge Funds 17
  • 19. Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services Need understanding and collaboration Need » People who understand both sides » People willing to collaborate, so that there is no discussion of “both sides” 18
  • 20. Confidential and proprietary – Not to be distributed without the prior written consent of Moody’s Analytics Knowledge Services To conclude… Small teams of people focused on design and collaboration can make it happen Analytics can lead to incredible value for sales, trading and research And is essential not just for growth but survival Solutions are available that make it easy and inexpensive to improve reporting, risk and portfolio analysis Focus on process, simplify, start small and then expand What do you think? 19