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Analysis of Stock Market
1
Amity Business School
PPRROOJJEECCTT
OONN
Analysis of stock market
Submitted To- Prof. V.P Kakkar
Submitted By- Manali Somani
A1802010170
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Acknowledgements
I pay my sincere regards to Mr. Arun Chopra, Area Sales Manager,Anand Rathi
for guiding me throughout the project with his valuable insights, and giving me
the opportunity to work on this wonderful project, which helped me to analyze
and interpret the performance of various companies in terms of fundamental
attributes and market sentiments, hone my thinking ability and gain a deeper
insight into their business model. I acknowledge, with due respect, the continuous
guidance he provided without which, the completion of this project work would
not have been possible.
Second most importand person who had helped me completing this project is
Prof. V.P Kakkar who devoted his precious time in guiding me and timely
instructing me.
I am also grateful to the HOD, Finance, Amity Business School, Amity
University, Noida and my faculty guide Prof. S. K. Malhotra, who not only
guided me throughout the project but also provided the much needed inspiration
and motivation.
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Abstract
The aim of this project work is to analyze and present the findings about financial performance
of some Indian companies both on their internal business front and the stock markets. The
objective is to judge their performance and chart out future projections and potentials which in
turn would help to recommend the investors whether to sell, hold or accumulate the stocks of
these companies.
The project included the collection of daily turnover and trading of the companies on the largest
two bourses of India NSE and BSE. The information from these was used to do the Technical
Analysisi.e.tocalculate andjudge the marketsentimentaboutthe companies.
The Balance sheets, P&l accounts and Income statements of the companies were used to do the
Fundamental Analysistofindoutthe internal storyandperformance of the company.
Corporate News and other information helped in judging the future growth prospects of the
companiesandtheirprospectiveeffectsonthe overall marketsentiment.
Overall the project was an excellent opportunity to look into the unseen and to gain a lot of
information and knowledge about valuations, business trends, performance and to get a
glimpse of what is to come in the future. Based on the current scenario, an attempt has been
made using modern techniques to forecast the future earnings and value creation of the
researchedcompanies.
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Introduction
Introduction
In general, the financial market divided into two parts, Money market and capital market.
Securities market is an important, organized capital market where transaction of capital is
facilitated by means of direct financing using securities as a commodity. Securities
market can be divided into a primary market and secondary market.
PRIMARY MARKET
The primary market is an intermittent and discrete market where the initially listed shares
are traded first time, changing hands from the listed company to the investors. It refers to
the process through which the companies, the issuers of stocks, acquire capital by
offering their stocks to investors who supply the capital. In other words primary market is
that part of the capital markets that deals with the issuance of new securities. Companies,
governments or public sector institutions can obtain funding through the sale of a new
stock or bond issue. This is typically done through a syndicate of securities dealers. The
process of selling new issues to investors is called underwriting. In the case of a new
stock issue, this sale is called an initial public offering (IPO). Dealers earn a commission
that is built into the price of the security offering, though it can be found in the
prospectus.
SECONDARY MARKET
The secondary market is an on-going market, which is equipped and organized with a
place, facilities and other resources required for trading securities after their initial
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offering. It refers to a specific place where securities transaction among many and
unspecified persons is carried out through intermediation of the securities firms, i.e., a
licensed broker, and the exchanges, a specialized trading organization, in accordance with
the rules and regulations established by the exchanges.
A bit about history of stock exchange they say it was under a tree that it all started in
1875.Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) was the major exchange in India till 1994.National
Stock Exchange (NSE) started operations in 1994.
NSE was floated by major banks and financial institutions. It came as a result of Harshad
Mehta scam of 1992. Contrary to popular belief the scam was more of a banking scam
than a stock market scam. The old methods of trading in BSE were people assembling on
what as called a ring in the BSE building. They had a unique sign language to
communicate apart from all the shouting. Investors weren't allowed access and the system
was opaque and misused by brokers. The shares were in physical form and prone to
duplication and fraud.
NSE was the first to introduce electronic screen based trading. BSE was forced to follow
suit. The present day trading platform is transparent and gives investors prices on a real
time basis. With the introduction of depository and mandatory dematerialization of shares
chances of fraud reduced further. The trading screen gives you top 5 buy and sell quotes
on every scrip.
A typical trading day starts at 10 ending at 3.30. Monday to Friday. BSE has 30 stocks
which make up the Sensex .NSE has 50 stocks in its index called Nifty. FII s Banks,
financial institutions mutual funds are biggest players in the market. Then there are the
retail investors and speculators. The last ones are the ones who follow the market
morning to evening; Market can be very addictive like blogging though stakes are higher
in the former.
History of Indian Stock Exchange:
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The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) is known as the oldest exchange in Asia. It traces its
history to the 1850s, when stockbrokers would gather under banyan trees in front of
Mumbai’s Town Hall. The location of these meetings changed many times, as the
number of brokers constantly increased. The group eventually moved to Dalal Street in
1874 and in 1875 became an official organization known as ‘The Native Share & Stock
Brokers Association’. In 1956, the BSE became the first stock exchange to be recognized
by the Indian Government under the Securities Contracts Regulation Act.
The Bombay Stock Exchange developed the BSE Sensex in 1986, giving the BSE a
means to measure overall performance of the exchange. In 2000 the BSE used this index
to open its derivatives market, trading Sensex futures contracts. The development of
Sensex options along with equity derivatives followed in 2001 and 2002, expanding the
BSE’s trading platform.
Historically an open-cry floor trading exchange, the Bombay Stock Exchange switched to
an electronic trading system in 1995. It took the exchange only fifty days to make this
transition.
Capital market reforms in India and the launch of the Securities and Exchange Board of
India (SEBI) accelerated the integration of the second Indian stock exchange called the
National Stock Exchange (NSE) in 1992. After a few years of operations, the NSE has
become the largest stock exchange in India.
Three segments of the NSE trading platform were established one after another. The
Wholesale Debt Market (WDM) commenced operations in June 1994 and the Capital
Market (CM) segment was opened at the end of 1994. Finally, the Futures and Options
segment began operating in 2000. Today the NSE takes the 14th position in the top 40
futures exchanges in the world.
In 1996, the National Stock Exchange of India launched S&P CNX Nifty and CNX
Junior Indices that make up 100 most liquid stocks in India. CNX Nifty is a diversified
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index of 50 stocks from 25 different economy sectors. The Indices are owned and
managed by India Index Services and Products Ltd (IISL) that has a consulting and
licensing agreement with Standard & Poor’s.
In 1998, the National Stock Exchange of India launched its web-site and was the first
exchange in India that started trading stock on the Internet in 2000. The NSE has also
proved its leadership in the Indian financial market by gaining many awards such as ‘Best
IT Usage Award’ by Computer Society in India (in 1996 and 1997) and CHIP Web
Award by CHIP magazine (1999).
ORIGIN OF INDIAN STOCK MARKET
The origin of the stock market in India goes back to the end of the eighteenth century
when long-term negotiable securities were first issued. However, for all practical
purposes, the real beginning occurred in the middle of the nineteenth century after the
enactment of the companies Act in 1850, which introduced the features of limited
liability and generated investor interest in corporate securities.
An important early event in the development of the stock market in India was the
formation of the native share and stock brokers 'Association at Bombay in 1875, the
precursor of the present day Bombay Stock Exchange. This was followed by the
formation of associations/exchanges in Ahmedabad (1894), Calcutta (1908), and Madras
(1937). In addition, a large number of ephemeral exchanges emerged mainly in buoyant
periods to recede into oblivion during depressing times subsequently.
Stock exchanges are intricacy inter-woven in the fabric of a nation's economic life.
Without a stock exchange, the saving of the community- the sinews of economic progress
and productive efficiency- would remain underutilized. The task of mobilization and
allocation of savings could be attempted in the old days by a much less specialized
institution than the stock exchanges. But as business and industry expanded and the
economy assumed more complex nature, the need for 'permanent finance' arose.
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Entrepreneurs needed money for long term whereas investors demanded liquidity – the
facility to convert their investment into cash at any given time. The answer was a ready
market for investments and this was how the stock exchange came into being.
Stock exchange means any body of individuals, whether incorporated or not, constituted
for the purpose of regulating or controlling the business of buying, selling or dealing in
securities. These securities include:
(i) Shares, scrip, stocks, bonds, debentures stock or other marketable securities of a like
nature in or of any incorporated company or other body corporate;
(ii) Government securities; and
(iii) Rights or interest in securities.
The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange of India Ltd
(NSE) are the two primary exchanges in India. In addition, there are 22 Regional Stock
Exchanges. However, the BSE and NSE have established themselves as the two leading
exchanges and account for about 80 per cent of the equity volume traded in India. The
NSE and BSE are equal in size in terms of daily traded volume. The average daily
turnover at the exchanges has increased from Rs 851 crore in 1997-98 to Rs 1,284 crore
in 1998-99 and further to Rs 2,273 crore in 1999-2000 (April - August 1999). NSE has
around 1500 shares listed with a total market capitalization of around Rs 9, 21,500 crore.
The BSE has over 6000 stocks listed and has a market capitalization of around Rs 9,
68,000 crore. Most key stocks are traded on both the exchanges and hence the investor
could buy them on either exchange. Both exchanges have a different settlement cycle,
which allows investors to shift their positions on the bourses. The primary index of BSE
is BSE Sensex comprising 30 stocks. NSE has the S&P NSE 50 Index (Nifty) which
consists of fifty stocks. The BSE Sensex is the older and more widely followed index.
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Both these indices are calculated on the basis of market capitalization and contain the
heavily traded shares from key sectors. The markets are closed on Saturdays and
Sundays. Both the exchanges have switched over from the open outcry trading system to
a fully automated computerized mode of trading known as BOLT (BSE on Line Trading)
and NEAT (National Exchange Automated Trading) System.
It facilitates more efficient processing, automatic order matching, faster execution of
trades and transparency; the scrip's traded on the BSE have been classified into 'A', 'B1',
'B2', 'C', 'F' and 'Z' groups. The 'A' group shares represent those, which are in the carry
forward system (Badla). The 'F' group represents the debt market (fixed income
securities) segment. The 'Z' group scrip's are the blacklisted companies. The 'C' group
covers the odd lot securities in 'A', 'B1' & 'B2' groups and Rights renunciations. The key
regulator governing Stock Exchanges, Brokers, Depositories, Depository participants,
Mutual Funds, FIIs and other participants in Indian secondary and primary market is the
Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) Ltd.
Brief History of Stock Exchanges
Do you know that the world's foremost marketplace New York Stock Exchange (NYSE),
started its trading under a tree (now known as 68 Wall Street) over 200 years ago?
Similarly, India's premier stock exchange Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) can also trace
back its origin to as far as 125 years when it started as a voluntary non-profit making
association.
News on the stock market appears in different media every day. You hear about it any
time it reaches a new high or a new low, and you also hear about it daily in statements
like 'The BSE Sensitive Index rose 5% today'. Obviously, stocks and stock markets are
important. Stocks of public limited companies are bought and sold at a stock exchange.
But what really are stock exchanges? Known also as the stock market or bourse, a stock
exchange is an organized marketplace for securities (like stocks, bonds, options) featured
by the centralization of supply and demand for the transaction of orders by member
brokers, for institutional and individual investors.
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The exchange makes buying and selling easy. For example, you don't have to actually go
to a stock exchange, say, BSE - you can contact a broker, who does business with the
BSE, and he or she will buy or sell your stock on your behalf.
Market Basics
Electronic trading
Electronic trading eliminates the need for physical trading floors. Brokers can trade from
their offices, using fully automated screen-based processes. Their workstations are
connected to a Stock Exchange's central computer via satellite using Very Small Aperture
Terminus (VSATs). The orders placed by brokers reach the Exchange's central computer
and are matched electronically.
Exchanges in India
The Stock Exchange, Mumbai (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange (NSE) are the
country's two leading Exchanges. There are 20 other regional Exchanges, connected via
the Inter-Connected Stock Exchange(ICSE). The BSE and NSE allow nationwide trading
via their VSAT systems.
Index
An Index is a comprehensive measure of market trends, intended for investors who are
concerned with general stock market price movements. An Index comprises stocks that
have large liquidity and market capitalization. Each stock is given a weight age in the
Index equivalent to its market capitalization. At the NSE, the capitalization of NIFTY
(fifty selected stocks) is taken as a base capitalization, with the value set at 1000.
Similarly, BSE Sensitive Index or Sensex comprises 30 selected stocks. The Index value
compares the day's market capitalization vis-à-vis base capitalization and indicates how
prices in general have moved over a period of time.
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Execute an order
Select a broker of your choice and enter into a broker-client agreement and fill in the
client registration form. Place your order with your broker preferably in writing. Get a
trade confirmation slip on the day the trade is executed and ask for the contract note at
the end of the trade date.
Needa broker
As per SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India.) regulations, only registered
members can operate in the stock market. One can trade by executing a deal only through
a registered broker of a recognized Stock Exchange or through a SEBI-registered sub-
broker.
Contract note
A contract note describes the rate, date, time at which the trade was transacted and the
brokerage rate. A contract note issued in the prescribed format establishes a legally
enforceable relationship between the client and the member in respect of trades stated in
the contract note. These are made in duplicate and the member and the client both keep a
copy each. A client should receive the contract note within 24 hours of the executed
trade. Corporate Benefits/Action.
Split
A Split is book entry wherein the face value of the share is altered to create a greater
number of shares outstanding without calling for fresh capital or altering the share capital
account. For example, if a company announces a two-way split, it means that a share of
the face value of Rs 10 is split into two shares of face value of Rs 5 each and a person
holding one share now holds two shares.
Buy Back
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As the name suggests, it is a process by which a company can buy back its shares from
shareholders. A company may buy back its shares in various ways: from existing
shareholders on a proportionate basis; through a tender offer from open market; through a
book-building process; from the Stock Exchange; or from odd lot holders.
A company cannot buy back through negotiated deals on or off the Stock Exchange,
through spot transactions or through any private arrangement.
Settlement cycle
The accounting period for the securities traded on the Exchange. On the NSE, the cycle
begins on Wednesday and ends on the following Tuesday, and on the BSE the cycle
commences on Monday and ends on Friday. At the end of this period, the obligations of
each broker are calculated and the brokers settle their respective obligations as per the
rules, bye-laws and regulations of the Clearing Corporation. If a transaction is entered on
the first day of the settlement, the same will be settled on the eighth working day
excluding the day of transaction. However, if the same is done on the last day of the
settlement, it will be settled on the fourth working day excluding the day of transaction.
Rolling settlement
The rolling settlement ensures that each day's trade is settled by keeping a fixed gap of a
specified number of working days between a trade and its settlement. At present, this gap
is five working days after the trading day. The waiting period is uniform for all trades. In
a Rolling Settlement, all trades outstanding at end of the day have to be settled, which
means that the buyer has to make payments for securities purchased and seller has to
deliver the securities sold. In India, we have adopted the T+5 settlement cycle, which
means that a transaction entered into on Day 1 has to be settled on the Day 1 + 5 working
days, when funds pay in or securities pay out takes place.
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Stock & Exchange Board of India
REGULATION OF BUSINESS IN THE STOCK EXCHANGES
Under the SEBI Act, 1992, the SEBI has been empowered to conduct inspection of stock
exchanges. The SEBI has been inspecting the stock exchanges once every year since
1995-96. During these inspections, a review of the market operations, organizational
structure and administrative control of the exchange is made to ascertain whether:
 the exchange provides a fair, equitable and growing market to investors
 the exchange's organization, systems and practices are in accordance with the
Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act (SC(R) Act), 1956 and rules framed there
under
 the exchange has implemented the directions, guidelines and instructions issued
by the SEBI from time to time
 The exchange has complied with the conditions, if any, imposed on it at the time
of renewal/ grant of its recognition under section 4 of the SC(R) Act, 1956.
During the year 1997-98, inspection of stock exchanges was carried out with a special
focus on the measures taken by the stock exchanges for investor's protection. Stock
exchanges were, through inspection reports, advised to effectively follow-up and redress
the investors' complaints against members/listed companies. The stock exchanges were
also advised to expedite the disposal of arbitration cases within four months from the date
of filing.
During the earlier years' inspections, common deficiencies observed in the functioning of
the exchanges were delays in post trading settlement, frequent clubbing of settlements,
delay in conducting auctions, inadequate monitoring of payment of margins by brokers,
non-adherence to Capital Adequacy Norms etc. It was observed during the inspections
conducted in 1997-98 that there has been considerable improvement in most of the areas,
especially in trading, settlement, collection of margins etc.
FACTORS AFFECTING STOCK MARKET:
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Stock market is something where you can never foretell what is going to happen in the
market. You might get huge gain or incur losses when the stock market crashes. There
are many factors affecting share prices. It is very hard to say just one or two factors
affect the share prices. So, let us have a look at the factors that affect share prices.
Demand and Supply
This is the first factor that affects share prices. When you get to see that more people are
buying stocks, then there is an increase in the price of that particular stock. On the other
hand price of stock falls when more people are selling their stocks. So it is very difficult
to predict the Indian stock market. This is the main reason why you need to get in touch
with a good stock market consultant. There is consultancy for you which can help you a
lot on choosing the right stocks for you.
Market cap
It is a very big mistake when you try to guess a company’s worth from the price of a
stock. You should know that the more important is the market capitalization of the
particular company. This helps to determine the worth of a company. So market cap
serves as an important use to determine share prices.
Earning per share
Now when it comes to the term, “earning per share”, it means the profit that a particular
company has made per share and that too on the last quarter. If you need to know the
health of the company then this is the most important factor. What’s more earning per
share also influences the buying tendency in the market that results in the increase of the
particular stock price. This is the reason why it is very important for every public
company to bring out the quarterly report. So when you wish to make a profitable
investment, then the best thing for you would be to keep a good watch on the quarterly
reports of different companies. This is very important before you wish to invest your hard
earned money in the share market.
Impact of news
News is another factor that affects the share price. When there is positive news about a
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particular stock or company, people try to invest all their money in that particular stock or
market. This leads to increase in the interest of buying the stock. But there are many
circumstances where news could also bring a negative effect where it could ruin the
prospect of the particular stock. So it is very important to know the overall news of a
stock or company where you can invest your money so that it grows within a very short
period of time.
There are many things that you need to consider when you go for investing your hard
earned money in the stock market. You should never be in a haste to invest your money
in the stock market. You should always get in touch with a good stock market
consultancy where it can give you some share tips. They are the one who can give you
advice where to invest your money and where not to. They know to distinguish the good
stock from the bad ones.
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INDIAN STOCK MARKET AND ECONOMIC GROWTH:
Growth Prospects
The performance of the Indian economy in 2009/10 greatly exceeded expectations. The
farm sector which was expected to contract showed resilience, growing by 0.2 per cent
despite the weak South West monsoon. The non farm sector also did well. It is the
assessment of the Council that the Indian economy would grow at 8.5 per cent in 2010/11
and 9.0 per cent in 2011/12. In the current fiscal year, agriculture will grow at 4.5 per
cent, industry at 9.7 per cent and services at 8.9 per cent.
Global Prospects
The global economic and financial situation is recovering slowly. The large fiscal deficits
and high debt ratios coupled with slow economic growth have created unsettling
conditions for business and have potential for causing great volatility in financial
markets. It is hard to visualize strong economic growth in the advanced economies in
2010 and to a large extent in 2011. The implications of this, for India’s strategy to return
to the 9.0 per cent growth trajectory, are that public policy must promote business
confidence and facilitate increased investment.
Structural Factors
In 2008/09 the investment rate fell on account of the drawdown of inventories. This trend
has reversed and the Council expects the investment rate to be higher at 36 per cent (of
GDP) in 2009/10, rising to 37 per cent in 2010/11 and 38.4 per cent in 2011/12. Similarly
we expect the domestic savings rate to pick up and reach 33.4 per cent in 2009/10, 34.3
per cent in 2010/11 and 35.5 per cent in 2011/12. These rates should enable the economy
to grow in a sustained manner at 9.0 per cent.
Private corporate investment and total investment in fixed assets is expected to recover
strongly but will not reach the previous high levels. Government Final Consumption
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Expenditure to GDP which hit a peak of 12.3 per cent in 2009/10 is expected to fall to
10.3 per cent in 2011/12. On the contrary, Private Final Consumption Expenditure which
declined in 2008/09 and 2009/10 is expected to increase in the current and next fiscal
year. Since 2001-02 the progressive decline in the Private Final Consumption
Expenditure has been accompanied by a matching increase in the investment expenditure
component of GDP.
Sectoral Growth Projections
In the backdrop of a weak South West (SW) monsoon in 2009, the Council had expected
the farm sector GDP to decline by 2 per cent. However, the actual loss in farm sector
output was less. The strength in horticulture, animal husbandry and fisheries, as well as
higher cotton output, helped farm sector GDP to ultimately register a marginally positive
growth of 0.2 per cent.
On the basis of a normal SW monsoon forecast by the Meteorological Department, one
may reasonably expect a strong rebound in crop output in Kharif and Rabi in 2010/11.
The better seed and fertilizer availability and the construction of a large number of water
harvesting structures through the MNREGA lend strength to these expectations.
Moreover, the expansion in horticulture and animal husbandry and a low base effect
should generate a farm sector GDP growth of around 4.5 per cent in the current fiscal.
Industrial sector recovery became evident in June 2009 and by August 2009 the General
Index of Industrial Production (IIP) registered double digit growth rate driven by similar
growth rates in output in the manufacturing and mining sector. The service sector has
also shown strong recovery with GDP originating in the important sub-sector of “trade,
hotels, restaurant, transport & communication” surging in the second half of 2009/10.
The impact of the civil service pay hike and the arrears lifted growth of the “community
personal services” sub-sector in the first half, but eased up in the second. Export related
service activity (software and Business Process Outsourcing) was sluggish throughout
2009/10 but was more than offset by the recovery in domestic-oriented service activity.
Overall, non-farm sector GDP grew by 8.8 per cent in 2009/10.
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In 2009/10 the mining sector output grew at 10 per cent but a slowdown is expected in
2010/11 with a projected growth of 8.0 per cent in both output and GDP arising in the
sector. Manufacturing output growth in 2009/10 was strong in all the quarters, especially
in the case of capital goods and durable consumer goods. The only exception to this was
non-durable consumer goods which were impacted by poor export growth and a lower
output of sugar. Even though the manufacturing sector has recorded strong growth rate in
April and May 2010, we expect this to ease as the base effect wears off. The projected
growth rate in the manufacturing sector and the general index (IIP) is expected at 10 per
cent in 2010/11.
The expected expansion of investment in physical infrastructure, including housing will
drive the construction sector. Accordingly, the GDP arising in the construction sub-sector
would rise by 10 per cent in 2010/11, which is likely to inch up to 11 per cent in 2011/12.
In the “trade, hotel, restaurants, transport & communication” sub sector, growth picked
up in the last two quarters of the year. We expect this trend to be reinforced with 10 per
cent growth in both 2010/11 as well as 2011/12. There will be no contribution to
expansion from civil service pay in the current year but the private sector component of
the sub-sector “community and personnel services” will continue to register strong
expansion in line with the rest of the economy. Software and BPO activity is expected to
expand significantly in 2010/11, both in the domestic and export sectors. Alongwith
steady expansion in the financial industry we expect this sub-sector to record growth of
9.5 per cent in 2010/11 which will rise further in 2011/12.
Overall, we expect GDP arising in the industrial sector to expand 9.6 per cent in 2010/11,
rising to 10.3 per cent in 2011/12. The expansion in the services sector is expected to
approach 9 per cent in 2010/11 and inch up to 9.6 per cent in 2011/12. Over all, the non-
farm sector is expected to grow by 9.2 per cent in 2010/11 and 9.8 per cent in 2011/12.
Trade & External Sector
According to the DGCI&S report the merchandise trade exports touched $176.6 billion
in 2009/10 which was 4.7 per cent less than 2008/09. Engineering and electronic goods
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were the hardest hit declining by more than 20 per cent. Because of currency fluctuations,
the rupee value of exports showed practically no decline in 2009/10. The value of
merchandise imports in 2009/10 in dollar terms was 8.2 per cent lower at $278.7 billion
and 4 per cent lower in rupee terms.
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Research Model - CANSLIM
CANSLIM model is a method for selecting and analyzing the performance of a company over
various parameters. This model has been used for the purpose of research. The full form of the
model isas follows:
C – Currentquarterly earnings.
A – Annual earning increases over the last years.
N – New products, management, new highs and lows.
S – Small supply and large demand i.e. future profitability.
L – Leaders and laggard stocks. (using relativeindex as a guide).
I – Institutionalsupportand sponsorship.
M – Determining market direction by reviewing marketaverages daily.
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Research Methodology
The research has been done by selecting the companies which are the representative of a
particular sector on the basis of overall market capitalization, stocks having the highest liquidity
and turnover both on the NSE and BSE. A caution was thus taken and by thorough approach the
best companies were selected so as to portray a genuine picture of the sector. With the help of
SPSSPackage and usingthe quantitative techniques,the statistical analysishasbeendone.
The followinganalysishasbeendone forall the 8 companies:
1. Fundamental analysis.
2. Ratio analysis.
3. Future growth and earnings analysis.
4. Statistical analysis.
5. Technical analysis.
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Companies and Respective Sector
The 8 companies from the most important sectors which form the
foundation of the economy have been studied and analyzed. They are:
1. Bharti Airtel –Telecommunications.
2. DLF- Realty.
3. HUL – FMCG.
4. ICICI Bank –Banking.
5. Infosys Technologies –IT.
6. Larsen &Toubro – Capital Goods & Engineering.
7. Reliance Infrastructure –Power and Energy.
8. RIL – Oil and Gas.
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Company analysis
The analysis of each company has been done in the following heads and
sequence:
1. Score card.
2. Stock price movements.
3. Company profile.
4. Business.
5. Shareholding pattern.
6. Financials.
7. Future growth potential.
8. Mutual funds invested in the company.
9. Valuations and risks.
10. Rating.
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Bharti Airtel Limited
SECTOR: TELECOMMUNICATIONS
SCORECARD:
Standard Deviation 37.5
Institutional Holding (%) 29.56
DividendYield 0.25
P/E 19.83
Market Capitalization(Rs Cr) 1530404.63
CMP(Rs.) 747.95
52 week - high (400.10)
52 week - low (260.85)
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STOCK PRICE MOVEMENTS (16TH
MAY TO 4th
JULY):
Face value (Rs.) 10.00
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BHARTI AIRTEL
COMPANYPROFILE:
Airtel comes from Bharti Airtel Limited, India’s largest integrated and the first private telecom
services provider with a footprint in all the 23 telecom circles. It was established as a Public
LimitedCompany onJuly07, 1995.
Bharti Airtel since its inception has been at the forefront of technology and has steered
the course of the telecom sector in the country with its world class products and services.
It is having a Customer Base comprising of 64,370,434 GSM mobile and 2,319,509
telemedia customers (Status as at month ended April 30, 2008). The businesses at Bharti
Airtel have been structured into three individual strategic business units (SBU’s) - Mobile
Services, Airtel Telemedia Services & Enterprise Services. The mobile business provides
mobile & fixed wireless services using GSM technology across 23 telecom circles while
the Airtel Telemedia Services business offers broadband & telephone services in 94
cities. The Enterprise services provide end-to-end telecom solutions to corporate
customers and national & international long distance services to carriers. All these
services are provided under the Airtel brand. The group focuses on delivering
telecommunications services as an integrated offering including mobile, broadband &
telephone, national and international long distance and data connectivity services to
corporate, small and medium scale enterprises.
BUSINESS:
Analysis of Stock Market
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The company is having a Customer Base comprising of 64,370,434 GSM mobile and
2,319,509 telemedia customers (Status as at month ended April 30, 2008).The mobile
business provides mobile & fixed wireless services using GSM technology across 23
telecom circles while the Airtel Telemedia Services business offers broadband &
telephone services in 94 cities. The Company compliments its mobile and broadband &
telephone services with national and international long distance services. It has over
35,016 route kilometers of optic fibre on its national long distance network. For
international connectivity to east, it has a submarine cable landing station at. For
international connectivity to the west, the Company is a member of the South East Asia-
Middle East-Western Europe – 4 (SEA-ME-WE-4) consortium along with 15 other
global telecom operators.
SHAREHOLDING PATTERN:
Particulars
No. of
Shares(Mn)
%
Holdings
Total Promoter Holdings 2,593.41 68.3
Total Govt Holding (Promoter + Non Promoter) 0.00 0.0
Total Domestic Institutions (Banks/ FI + MF / UTI) 330.61 8.7
Total Foreign Holdings (FII+NRI holdings) 663.93 17.5
Total Non Promoter Corporate Holdings 140.76 3.7
Total Public & Others (Individuals + HUF + Clearing members) 68.82 1.8
Total 3,797.53 100
FINANCIALS:
(Rs. in Million)
Particulars Mar 2010 Mar 2009 Mar 2008 Mar 2007 Mar 2006
No of Months 12 12 12 12 12
Gross Sales 356095.41 340142.90 257035.10 177944.34 112286.81
Less :Inter divisional transfers 0 0 0 0 0
Less: Sales Returns 0 0 0 0 0
Less: Excise 0 0 0 0 0
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Net Sales 356095.41 340142.90 257035.10 177944.34 112286.81
EXPENDITURE :
Increase/Decrease in Stock -147.86 -1126.91 -1214.47 -318.65 129.85
Raw Materials Consumed 351.08 1250.96 1552.97 539.50 544.19
Power & Fuel Cost 22650.03 21732.94 10451.67 6587.87 3259.43
Employee Cost 14072.38 14045.45 13065.71 11020.21 7550.50
Other Manufacturing Expenses 60867.79 65400.53 55421.83 41693.00 28390.96
General and Administration
Expenses
52952.84 45176.27 20974.18 13160.94 8441.64
Selling and Distribution Expenses 24049.06 21763.99 18135.26 10691.66 8013.61
Miscellaneous Expenses 42870.82 57409.04 34362.71 22552.28 16291.19
Expenses Capitalised 0 0 0 0 0
Total Expenditure 217666.15 225652.27 152749.86 105926.80 72621.36
PBIDT (Excl OI) 138429.26 114490.63 104285.24 72017.54 39665.45
Other Income 12287.27 5251.35 3599.07 1484.91 940.73
Operating Profit 150716.53 119741.98 107884.31 73502.46 40606.18
Interest 2744.84 4275.62 3832.36 2804.04 2278.01
PBDT 147971.70 115466.36 104051.96 70698.42 38328.17
Depreciation 40979.21 33850.99 34326.53 24684.70 15470.21
Profit Before Taxation &
Exceptional Items
106992.49 81615.37 69725.42 46013.71 22857.96
Exceptional Income / Expenses 0 0 0 0 0
Profit Before Tax 106992.49 81615.37 69725.42 46013.71 22857.96
Provision for Tax 12730.94 4176.98 7283.50 5681.45 2737.16
PAT 94261.55 77438.39 62441.92 40332.27 20120.79
Adj to Profit After Tax 0 55.03 -222.64 -59.13 0
Profit Balance B/F 185028.29 117972.16 55339.25 14563.81 -7864.33
Appropriations 279289.84 195465.57 117558.54 54836.94 12256.46
Equity Dividend (%) 20.00 20.00 0 0.00 0.00
Earnings Per Share (Rs.) 24.82 40.79 32.90 21.27 10.62
Book Value (Rs.) 96.24 145.01 106.34 60.17 38.67
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FUTURE GROWTH POTENTIAL:
The growing population of the country along with the betterment in earnings of the
people has resulted in a boom for the telecommunications industry as there is widespread
need and application of these services. The company has been growing at an unabated
pace for the last three years and hopes to carry on the momentum. The company was
recently in talks with the MTN Group of South Africa for a possible merger but the talks
fell through as there was the offer of reverse merger and acquisition by MTN which was
not acceptable to the company. The company is however open to alliances and has a
strategic alliance with SingTel. The investment made by SingTel is one of the largest
investments made in the world outside Singapore, in the company. The company’s
mobile network equipment partners include Ericsson and Nokia. In the case of the
broadband and telephone services and enterprise services (carriers), equipment suppliers
include Siemens, Nortel, Corning, among others. The Company also has an information
technology alliance with IBM for its group-wide information technology requirements
and with Nortel for call center technology requirements. The call center operations for the
mobile services have been outsourced to IBM Daksh, Hinduja TMT, Teletech &
Mphasis.
MUTUAL FUNDSINVESTED IN THE COMPANY:
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Infosys Technologies Limited
SECTOR: INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
SCORECARD:
Standard Deviation 65.28
Institutional Holding (%) 40.49
DividendYield 2.07
P/E 25.76
Market Capitalization(Rs Cr) 1659872.16
CMP(Rs.) 1705.45
52 week – high (3493.95)
52 week – low (2660.55)
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STOCK PRICE MOVEMENTS (16TH
MAY TO 4th
JULY):
Face Value (Rs.) 5.00
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COMPANY PROFILE:
Infosys Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: INFY) was started in 1981 by seven people with US$ 250.
Today, it is a global leader in the "next generation" of IT and consulting with revenues of over
US$ 4 billion. Infosys has a global footprint with over 40 offices and development centers in
India, China, Australia, the Czech Republic, Poland, the UK, Canada and Japan. Infosys has over
91,000 employees. Infosys takes pride in building strategic long-term client relationships. Over
97% of their revenues come fromexisting customers. Fortune ranked Infosys as 10th among Top
CompaniesforLeaders2007.
Infosys defines designs and delivers technology-enabled business solutions that help Global
2000 companies win in a Flat World. Infosys also provides a complete range of services by
leveraging the domain and business expertise and strategic alliances with leading technology
providers.
BUSINESS:
Infosys' service offerings span business and technology consulting, application services,
systems integration, product engineering, custom software development, maintenance, re-
engineering, independent testing and validation services, IT infrastructure services and
business process outsourcing.The refreshing approach of the company to consulting has
been recognized by the industry and leading business publications. In July 2007,
Consulting Magazine named Romil Bahl, managing director and co-founder of Infosys
Consulting, Inc., among its list of 2007 Annual Top 25 Consultants. In January 2006,
Forrester Research named Infosys among the leading Indian IT Services companies
offering consulting services. The report said: "Infosys is best positioned to offer high-
value management consulting skills."
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SHAREHOLDING PATTERN:
Particulars
No. of
Shares(Mn)
%
Holdings
Total Promoter Holdings 92.09 16.0
Total Govt Holding (Promoter + Non Promoter) 0.00 0.0
Total Domestic Institutions (Banks/ FI + MF / UTI) 51.63 9.0
Total Foreign Holdings (FII+NRI holdings) 313.39 54.6
Total Non Promoter Corporate Holdings 38.47 6.7
Total Public & Others (Individuals + HUF + Clearing members) 78.58 13.7
Total 574.15 100
FINANCIALS:
(Rs. in Million)
Particulars Mar 2011 Mar 2010 Mar 2009 Mar 2008 Mar 2007
No of Months 12 12 12 12 12
Operating Income 253850.00 211400.00 202640.00 156480.00 131490.00
Less :Inter divisional transfers 0 0 0 0 0
Less: Excise 0 0 0 0 0
Net Sales 253850.00 211400.00 202640.00 156480.00 131490.00
EXPENDITURE :
Stock Adjustments 0 0 0 0 0
Raw Materials Consumed 0 0 0 0 0
Power & Fuel Cost 1420.00 1220.00 1250.00 1060.00 880.00
Employee Cost 124480.00 103400.00 98150.00 77600.00 62060.00
Cost of Software developments 25030.00 18050.00 14810.00 12130.00 10820.00
Operating Expenses 8400.00 6260.00 9120.00 7080.00 7130.00
General and Administration
Expenses
9300.00 7580.00 8170.00 7360.00 6510.00
Selling and Marketing Expenses 1030.00 870.00 1060.00 980.00 1320.00
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Miscellaneous Expenses 40.00 430.00 4740.00 650.00 530.00
Expenses Capitalised 0 0 0 0 0
Total Expenditure 169700.00 137810.00 137300.00 106860.00 89250.00
PBIDT (Excl OI) 84150.00 73590.00 65340.00 49620.00 42240.00
Other Income 11470.00 9220.00 8760.00 6850.00 3750.00
Operating Profit 95620.00 82810.00 74100.00 56470.00 45990.00
Interest 10.00 20.00 20.00 10.00 10.00
PBDT 95610.00 82790.00 74080.00 56460.00 45980.00
Depreciation 7400.00 8070.00 6940.00 5460.00 4690.00
Profit Before Taxation &
Exceptional Items
88210.00 74720.00 67140.00 51000.00 41290.00
Exceptional Income / Expenses 0 0 0 0 0
Profit Before Tax 88210.00 74720.00 67140.00 51000.00 41290.00
Provision for Tax 23780.00 17170.00 8950.00 6300.00 3520.00
PAT 64430.00 57550.00 58190.00 44700.00 37770.00
Adj to Profit After Tax 0 0 -10.00 0 -50.00
Profit Balance B/F 138060.00 103050.00 66420.00 48440.00 21950.00
Appropriations 202490.00 161080.00 124600.00 93140.00 59730.00
Equity Dividend (%) 1200.00 500.00 470.00 665.00 230.00
Earnings Per Share (Rs.) 112.25 100.26 101.73 78.15 66.03
Book Value (Rs.) 426.85 383.90 311.35 235.84 195.14
FUTURE GROWTH POTENTIAL:
Infosys' services and business solutions are strengthened by alliances with leading
technology partners. It recommends technologies to the client based on what is best for
the client. In a marketing alliance, Infosys and the alliance partner jointly deliver business
solutions which leverage Infosys' industry, functional and technical expertise, Infosys'
Global Delivery Model and the alliance partner's technology and services. In a
technology alliance, Infosys works with an alliance partner to build business and
technical competency in the alliance partner's technology through training, engagement
Analysis of Stock Market
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with the alliance partner's technical support and development teams and the development
of tools and methodologies at Infosys' Centers of Excellence.
MUTUAL FUNDSINVESTED IN THE COMPANY:
Scheme Name Market Val (In Crs.) AUM(In Crs.) Hold Percentage
HDFC Top 200(G) 576.95 10644.84 5.42
HDFC Equity(G) 343.80 9419.27 3.65
Franklin India Bluechip(G) 293.14 3904.05 7.51
HDFC Prudence(G) 220.09 6199.86 3.55
Franklin India Flexi Cap(G) 180.28 2002.91 9.00
Morgan Stanley Growth(G) 139.10 1543.89 9.01
HDFC TaxSaver(G) 129.38 3117.54 4.15
Franklin India Prima Plus(G) 120.05 1744.32 6.88
HDFC Growth(G) 100.23 1310.22 7.65
HDFC MIP-LTP(G) 89.50 9728.62 0.92
Franklin Infotech(G) 60.02 130.24 46.09
HDFC Long Term Adv(G) 59.57 929.36 6.41
HSBC Equity(G) 57.66 902.57 6.39
Franklin India Taxshield(G) 57.30 828.81 6.91
Axis Equity Fund(G) 52.18 720.73 7.24
Kotak 50(G) 48.79 862.02 5.66
HDFC Long Term Equity(G) 47.34 756.27 6.26
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Kotak Opportunities(G) 43.21 925.19 4.67
Nifty BeES 43.20 538.03 8.03
HDFC Core & Satellite(G) 36.20 417.01 8.68
VALUATIONSAND RISKS:
RATING:
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Hindustan Unilever Limited
SECTOR: FASTMOVING CONSUMER GOODS
SCORECARD:
Standard Deviation 10.26
Institutional Holding (%) 30.35
DividendYield 1.93
P/E 31.58
Market Capitalization(Rs Cr) 728150.39
CMP(Rs.) 208.55
52 week - high (329.45)
52 week – low (249.90)
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STOCK PRICE MOVEMENTS (5TH
MAY TO 27TH
JUNE):
COMPANYPROFILE:
Hindustan Unilever Limited (HUL) is India's largest fast moving consumer goods company, with
leadership in Home & Personal Care Products and Foods & Beverages. HUL's brands, spread
across 20 distinct consumer categories, touch the lives of two out of three Indians. With 35
Power Brands, HUL meets everyday needs for nutrition, hygiene, and personal care. HUL is
also one of the country's largest exporters; it has been recognized as a Golden Super Star
Trading House by the Government of India. The Parent company, Unilever, holds 52.10% of
the equity. It is a Fortune 500 transnational which sells Foods and Home and Personal Care
brandsin about100 countriesworldwide.
HUL has traditionally been a company, which incorporates latest technology in all its
operations.
Face Value (Rs.) 1.00
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BUSINESS:
HUL's brands - like Lifebuoy, Lux, Surf Excel, Rin, Wheel, Fair & Lovely, Pond's,
Sunsilk, Clinic, Pepsodent, Close-up, Lakme, Brooke Bond, Kissan, Knorr-Annapurna,
Kwality Wall's – are household names across the country and span many categories -
soaps, detergents, personal products, tea, coffee, branded staples, ice cream and culinary
products. They are manufactured over 40 factories across India. The operations involve
over 2,000 suppliers and associates. HUL's distribution network comprises about 4,000
redistribution stockists, covering 6.3 million retail outlets reaching the entire urban
population, and about 250 million rural consumers.
Major Brands of HUL:
Personal wash:Lux,Breeze,Lifebuoy,Dove,Liril,Pears,Hamam, Rexona.
Laundry:Surf Excel,Rin,Wheel
SkinCare:Fair &Lovely,Pond’s,Vaseline
Hair Care:SunsilkNaturals,Clinic
Oral Care:Pepsodent,Closeup
Deodorants:Axe,Rexona
ColourCosmetics:Lakme
Ayurvedic:Ayush
Tea: Brooke Bond,Lipton
Coffee:Brooke BondBru
Foods:Kissan,Annapurna,Knorr
Ice Cream:KwalityWall’s
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SHAREHOLDING PATTERN:
Particulars
No. of
Shares(Mn)
%
Holdings
Total Promoter Holdings 1,134.85 52.6
Total Govt Holding (Promoter + Non Promoter) 0.00 0.0
Total Domestic Institutions (Banks/ FI + MF / UTI) 266.70 12.4
Total Foreign Holdings (FII+NRI holdings) 379.99 17.6
Total Non Promoter Corporate Holdings 55.60 2.6
Total Public & Others (Individuals + HUF + Clearing members) 322.33 14.9
Total 2,159.47 100
(Rs. in Million)
Particulars Mar 2010 Mar 2009 Dec 2007 Dec 2006 Dec 2005
No of Months 12 15 12 12 12
Gross Sales 182202.70 216495.10 147150.97 130350.63 119755.27
Less :Inter divisional transfers 0 0 0 0 0
Less: Sales Returns 0 0 0 0 0
Less: Excise 6964.70 14101.80 10396.64 9316.77 9149.81
Net Sales 175238.00 202393.30 136754.33 121033.86 110605.46
EXPENDITURE :
Increase/Decrease in Stock -227.20 -4215.60 -1444.01 -1159.69 481.22
Raw Materials Consumed 75440.00 95424.40 62572.67 55652.23 51686.71
Power & Fuel Cost 2443.40 3013.70 1988.85 1807.94 1687.44
Employee Cost 9203.70 11387.00 7579.13 6326.01 5853.92
Other Manufacturing Expenses 18100.50 22054.00 15176.54 13647.83 12608.80
General and Administration
Expenses
3977.00 5074.10 3400.21 3701.99 3713.57
Selling and Distribution Expenses 32621.20 32777.40 21776.96 19293.60 15852.93
Miscellaneous Expenses 8620.90 10359.30 6925.83 5445.04 4392.32
Expenses Capitalised 0 0 0 0 0
Total Expenditure 150179.50 175874.30 117976.17 104714.94 96276.91
PBIDT (Excl OI) 25058.50 26519.00 18778.16 16318.92 14328.55
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Other Income 3922.30 5938.40 4323.69 3706.86 3152.63
Operating Profit 28980.80 32457.40 23101.85 20025.78 17481.18
Interest 69.80 253.20 254.97 107.34 191.93
PBDT 28911.00 32204.20 22846.88 19918.44 17289.25
Depreciation 1840.30 1953.00 1383.59 1301.64 1244.53
Profit Before Taxation &
Exceptional Items
27070.70 30251.20 21463.29 18616.81 16044.71
Exceptional Income / Expenses 0 0 0 0 0
Profit Before Tax 27070.70 30251.20 21463.29 18616.81 16044.71
Provision for Tax 6043.90 5244.10 4032.10 3220.10 2499.63
PAT 21026.80 25007.10 17431.20 15396.71 13545.08
Adj to Profit After Tax 0 0 0 0 0
Profit Balance B/F 4763.30 1975.00 8036.54 6506.57 6447.99
Appropriations 26783.60 26939.50 27291.24 25060.31 20529.04
Equity Dividend (%) 650.00 750.00 900.00 600.00 500.00
Earnings Per Share (Rs.) 9.64 11.47 8.01 6.98 6.15
Book Value (Rs.) 11.82 9.44 6.58 12.31 10.45
FUTURE GROWTH POTENTIAL:
Home to over 700 million people, rural India comprises not only over 70% of India's billion-
strong population, but also over 12% of the world's population. The rural population already
accounts for substantial consumption of Fast Moving Consumer Goods and also consumer
durables. About 50% of the sales of soaps & detergents are generated in rural India. Similarly,
almost half the demand for black & white television sets, pressure cookers, table fans, sewing
machines also comes from there.
But the potential is even larger, both in terms of consumption and penetration. The fact that
70% of the population accounts for only 50% of even relatively well-penetrated categories, like
soaps & detergents, indicates the enormous scope of consumption-led growth in these
categories. Therefore such categories will derive growth out of increased usage. In categories,
whichare relativelylesspenetrated,likepersonalproducts,rural
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Hindustan Unilever's distribution network is recognized as one of its key strengths. Its focus is
not only to enable easy access to our brands, but also to touch consumers with a three-way
convergence - of product availability, brand communication, and higher levels of brand
experience. HUL's products, manufactured across the country, are distributed through a
network of about 7,000 redistribution stockists covering about one million retail outlets. The
distributionnetworkdirectlycoversthe entire urbanpopulation.
MUTUAL FUNDSINVESTED IN THE COMPANY:
Scheme Name Market Val (In Crs.) AUM(In Crs.) Hold Percentage
HDFC Top 200(G) 140.51 10644.84 1.32
DSPBR Top 100 Equity-Reg(G) 94.85 3020.67 3.14
Franklin India Bluechip(G) 85.36 3904.05 2.19
DSPBR Equity-Reg(D) 29.65 2555.65 1.16
Tata Pure Equity(G) 24.09 613.01 3.93
Tata Equity Opportunities(G) 17.07 336.66 5.07
Tata Equity P/E(G) 13.99 732.48 1.91
DSPBR Focus 25(G) 12.34 697.17 1.77
Tata Balanced(G) 11.09 314.22 3.53
Nifty BeES 10.06 538.03 1.87
Tata Dividend Yield(G) 7.62 206.38 3.69
Morgan Stanley Growth(G) 7.57 1543.89 0.49
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DSPBR Balanced(G) 6.55 744.30 0.88
Tata Equity Mgmt(G) 6.10 147.24 4.14
Sundaram Growth Fund(G) 6.09 187.26 3.25
Sundaram-Select Thematic Funds-Rural India(G) 6.09 191.11 3.19
Kotak Tax Saver(G) 6.07 510.19 1.19
Axis Equity Fund(G) 5.98 720.73 0.83
LIC Nomura MF Top 100(G) 4.73 271.84 1.74
Sundaram India Leadership Fund(G) 4.57 148.28 3.08
VALUATIONSAND RISKS:
RATING:
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ICICI Bank Limited
SECTOR: BANKING
SCORECARD:
Standard Deviation 81.48
Institutional Holding (%) 57.43
DividendYield 1.28
P/E 24.49
Market Capitalization(Rs Cr) 1261802.92
CMP(Rs.) 652.15
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STOCK PRICE MOVEMENTS (16TH
MAY TO 4th
JULY):
ICICI BANK
COMPANYPROFILE:
ICICI Bank is India's second-largest bank with total assets of Rs. 3,997.95 billion (US$
100 billion) at March 31, 2008 and profit after tax of Rs. 41.58 billion for the year ended
March 31, 2008. ICICI Bank is second amongst all the companies listed on the Indian
stock exchanges in terms of free float market capitalization. The Bank has a network of
about 1,308 branches and 3,950 ATMs in India and presence in 18 countries. The Bank
currently has subsidiaries in the United Kingdom, Russia and Canada, branches in Unites
States, Singapore, Bahrain, Hong Kong, Sri Lanka, Qatar and Dubai International
Finance Centre and representative offices in United Arab Emirates, China, South Africa,
52 week – high (1277.00)
52 week – low (829.80)
Face Value (Rs.) 10.00
Analysis of Stock Market
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Bangladesh, Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia. Our UK subsidiary has established
branches in Belgium and Germany.
BUSINESS:
The Bank has a network of about 1,308 branches and 3,950 ATMs in India and presence
in 18 countries. ICICI Bank is India's second-largest bank with total assets of Rs.
3,997.95 billion (US$ 100 billion) at March 31, 2008 and profit after tax of Rs. 41.58
billion for the year ended March 31, 2008. ICICI Bank is second amongst all the
companies listed on the Indian stock exchanges in terms of free float market
capitalization. ICICI Bank offers a wide range of banking products and financial services
to corporate and retail customers through a variety of delivery channels and through its
specialised subsidiaries and affiliates in the areas of investment banking, life and non-life
insurance, venture capital and asset management.
ICICI Bank's equity shares are listed in India on Bombay Stock Exchange and the
National Stock Exchange of India Limited and its American Depositary Receipts (ADRs)
are listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE).
SHAREHOLDING PATTERN:
Particulars
No. of
Shares(Mn)
%
Holdings
Total Promoter Holdings 0.00 0.0
Total Govt Holding (Promoter + Non Promoter) 0.01 0.0
Total Domestic Institutions (Banks/ FI + MF / UTI) 276.91 24.0
Total Foreign Holdings (FII+NRI holdings) 765.57 66.5
Total Non Promoter Corporate Holdings 45.42 3.9
Total Public & Others (Individuals + HUF + Clearing members) 63.86 5.6
Total 1,151.77 100
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FINANCIALS:
(Rs. in Million)
Particulars Mar 2011 Mar 2010 Mar 2009 Mar 2008 Mar 2007
No of Months 12 12 12 12 12
I. INCOME
Interest Earned 259740.53 257069.33 310925.48 307883.43 219955.88
Other Income 66478.93 74776.50 76037.27 88107.63 69278.73
Total Income 326219.45 331845.83 386962.76 395991.06 289234.60
II. EXPENDITURE
Interest Expended 169571.52 175925.70 227259.34 234842.42 163584.98
Operating Expenses 66172.49 58598.33 70451.14 81541.82 66905.56
PBIDT 90475.45 97321.80 89252.28 79606.82 58744.05
Provisions and Contingencies 22868.38 43868.57 38082.58 29045.84 22263.66
Profit Before Tax 67607.06 53453.23 51169.69 50560.98 36480.39
Taxes 16093.30 13203.40 13588.36 8983.70 5378.19
Total 274705.69 291596.00 349381.42 354413.78 258132.40
III. Profit & Loss
PAT 51513.76 40249.83 37581.33 41577.28 31102.20
Profit brought forward 34643.81 28096.51 24363.16 9982.74 2934.42
Adjusted Net Profit 0 0 0 0 0
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Total Profit & Loss 51513.76 40249.83 37581.33 41577.28 31102.20
IV. Appropriations 86157.57 68346.34 61944.49 51560.02 34036.62
Equity Dividend (%) 140.00 120.00 110.00 110.00 100.00
Earnings Per Share (Rs.) 44.73 36.10 33.76 37.37 34.59
Book Value (Rs.) 478.32 463.02 444.95 417.67 270.37
FUTURE GROWTH POTENTIAL:
The company is moving ahead strongly and the future of the company is indeed bright. The
growing middle class of the country is a major prospective client category which seems to speed
up the businessturnoverandbase.
MUTUAL FUNDSINVESTED IN THE COMPANY:
Scheme Name Market Val (In Crs.) AUM(In Crs.) Hold Percentage
HDFC Top 200(G) 651.46 10644.84 6.12
HDFC Equity(G) 620.73 9419.27 6.59
Bank BeES 324.80 992.98 32.71
Franklin India Bluechip(G) 260.64 3904.05 6.68
HDFC Prudence(G) 239.93 6199.86 3.87
Franklin India Flexi Cap(G) 133.51 2002.91 6.67
HDFC MIP-LTP(G) 129.39 9728.62 1.33
DSPBR Top 100 Equity-Reg(G) 123.24 3020.67 4.08
HDFC TaxSaver(G) 114.41 3117.54 3.67
Franklin India Prima Plus(G) 114.03 1744.32 6.54
Morgan Stanley Growth(G) 108.07 1543.89 7.00
Analysis of Stock Market
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Amity Business School
DSPBR India T.I.G.E.R-Reg(G) 89.86 2144.53 4.19
HDFC Growth(G) 85.03 1310.22 6.49
DSPBR Equity-Reg(D) 82.55 2555.65 3.23
HDFC Infrastructure(G) 79.82 1051.70 7.59
HDFC Long Term Adv(G) 70.63 929.36 7.60
Tata Infrastructure(G) 65.17 1522.71 4.28
HSBC Equity(G) 63.54 902.57 7.04
HDFC Long Term Equity(G) 62.85 756.27 8.31
Franklin India Taxshield(G) 59.19 828.81 7.14
VALUATIONSAND RISKS:
RATING:
Analysis of Stock Market
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Amity Business School
Larsen &Toubro
SECTOR: CAPITAL GOODS AND ENGINEERING
SCORECARD:
Standard Deviation 219.02
Institutional Holding (%) 54.30
DividendYield 0.80
P/E 28.41
Market Capitalization(Rs Cr) 1104172.53
CMP(Rs.) 2265.80
52 week - high (2212.00)
52 week - low (1463.05)
Analysis of Stock Market
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Amity Business School
STOCK PRICE MOVEMENTS (16TH MAY TO 4th JULY):
COMPANYPROFILE:
Larsen & Toubro (L&T) is a technology-driven USD 7 billion company that infuses engineering
with imagination. It offers a wide range of advanced solutions, services and products. L&T's in-
house capabilities in technology development are complemented by tie-ups with world leaders.
It provides state-of-the-art products & solutions to a large and diverse customer base. L&T was
founded in Bombay (Mumbai) in 1938 by two Danish engineers, Henning Holck-Larsen and
Soren Kristian Toubro. Both of them were strongly committed to developing India's engineering
capabilities to meet the demands of industry. Beginning with the import of machinery from
Europe, L&T rapidly took on engineering and construction assignments of increasing
sophistication. Today, the company sets global engineering benchmarks in terms of scale and
complexity.
Face Value (Rs.) 2.00
Analysis of Stock Market
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BUSINESS:
Larsen & Toubro (L&T) is a technology-driven USD 7 billion company that infuses engineering
with imagination. It offers a wide range of advanced solutions, services and products. Larsen &
Toubro Limited (L&T) is a technology, engineering, construction and manufacturing company. It
isone of the largestand mostrespectedcompaniesinIndia'sprivate sector.
Seven decades of a strong, customer-focused approach and the continuous quest for world-class
qualityhave enabledittoattainand sustainleadershipinall itsmajorlinesof business.
SHAREHOLDING PATTERN:
Particulars
No. of
Shares(Mn)
%
Holdings
Total Promoter Holdings 0.00 0.0
Total Govt Holding (Promoter + Non Promoter) 0.00 0.0
Total Domestic Institutions (Banks/ FI + MF / UTI) 228.33 37.5
Total Foreign Holdings (FII+NRI holdings) 119.28 19.6
Total Non Promoter Corporate Holdings 41.75 6.9
Total Public & Others (Individuals + HUF + Clearing members) 219.49 36.0
Total 608.85 100
FINANCIALS:
Analysis of Stock Market
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(Rs. in Million)
Particulars Mar 2010 Mar 2009 Mar 2008 Mar 2007 Mar 2006
No of Months 12 12 12 12 12
Gross Sales 373555.80 343370.10 253422.10 179382.90 149947.90
Less :Inter divisional transfers 0 0 0 0 0
Less: Sales Returns 0 0 0 0 0
Less: Excise 3207.80 3984.70 3327.80 3334.90 2307.60
Net Sales 370348.00 339385.40 250094.30 176048.00 147640.30
EXPENDITURE :
Increase/Decrease in Stock 3990.70 -1102.70 -7445.70 -1171.70 1363.40
Raw Materials Consumed 158544.00 161771.70 130095.10 84345.10 70262.40
Power & Fuel Cost 3653.60 4833.00 3652.50 3081.30 2347.50
Employee Cost 23104.90 19180.00 14974.30 12319.90 8753.60
Other Manufacturing Expenses 104577.90 86363.00 59096.70 43357.10 41835.40
General and Administration
Expenses
19544.20 17545.70 14142.80 12173.00 7853.70
Selling and Distribution Expenses 3062.20 3121.00 1384.70 1130.50 984.90
Miscellaneous Expenses 5066.70 8555.90 3990.70 3507.90 3761.10
Expenses Capitalised 0 0 0 33.00 0
Total Expenditure 321544.20 300267.60 219891.10 158710.10 137162.00
PBIDT (Excl OI) 48803.80 39117.80 30203.20 17337.90 10478.30
Other Income 20525.60 8123.00 5203.70 5787.70 5526.80
Operating Profit 69329.40 47240.80 35406.90 23125.60 16005.10
Interest 6376.70 4776.80 1736.20 1376.60 1723.70
PBDT 62952.70 42464.00 33670.70 21749.00 14281.40
Depreciation 4146.00 3059.90 2116.00 1700.10 1144.90
Profit Before Taxation &
Exceptional Items
58806.70 39404.10 31554.70 20048.90 13136.50
Exceptional Income / Expenses 0 0 0 0 0
Profit Before Tax 58806.70 39404.10 31554.70 20048.90 13136.50
Provision for Tax 16408.70 12312.10 9820.50 6018.70 3712.60
PAT 42398.00 27092.00 21734.20 14030.20 9423.90
Adj to Profit After Tax -23.90 -3.30 -7.70 -88.90 -44.20
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Profit Balance B/F 1005.00 1043.10 782.40 557.00 556.20
Appropriations 44736.30 35856.40 22508.90 14498.30 10633.40
Equity Dividend (%) 625.00 525.00 850.00 650.00 1100.00
Earnings Per Share (Rs.) 70.41 46.26 74.34 49.53 68.59
Book Value (Rs.) 298.56 208.28 321.93 200.50 331.43
FUTURE GROWTH POTENTIAL:
With the economic progress of the country and the prospects of the other businesses looking
good, the company hopes to continue with the current momentum. The following points
illustrate itsachievementsandaglimpse of whatisto come.
L&T-Paul Wurth ConsortiumCommissionsIndia’sLargestBlastFurnace at Jamshedpur.
L&T BaggedElectrical ProjectOrdersworthRs.6,350 millioninthe Gulf Region.
L&T andGE EnergyenteredControl SystemPartnershipAgreement.
MUTUAL FUNDSINVESTED IN THE COMPANY:
Scheme Name Market Val (In Crs.) AUM(In Crs.) Hold Percentage
DSPBR Top 100 Equity-Reg(G) 180.33 3020.67 5.97
HDFC Top 200(G) 138.38 10644.84 1.30
HDFC TaxSaver(G) 78.87 3117.54 2.53
DSPBR India T.I.G.E.R-Reg(G) 64.98 2144.53 3.03
Franklin India Bluechip(G) 60.83 3904.05 1.56
Analysis of Stock Market
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Tata Infrastructure(G) 60.76 1522.71 3.99
DSPBR Equity-Reg(D) 60.31 2555.65 2.36
Morgan Stanley Growth(G) 58.05 1543.89 3.76
HSBC Equity(G) 48.78 902.57 5.40
DSPBR Focus 25(G) 46.92 697.17 6.73
HDFC Infrastructure(G) 34.50 1051.70 3.28
HDFC Long Term Adv(G) 34.48 929.36 3.71
Tata Indo-Global Infra(G) 31.26 833.49 3.75
Axis Equity Fund(G) 30.78 720.73 4.27
Sundaram Select Focus(G) 29.45 852.55 3.45
Nifty BeES 28.30 538.03 5.26
Sundaram-Select Thematic Funds-Energy Opp(G) 27.41 1067.51 2.57
Kotak Opportunities(G) 26.28 925.19 2.84
Principal Personal Tax saver 20.69 579.20 3.57
Sundaram-Select Thematic Funds-CAPEX Oppor(G) 20.47 352.47 5.81
VALUATIONSAND RISKS:
RATING:
Analysis of Stock Market
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Amity Business School
Reliance Infrastructure Limited
(formerly Reliance Energy)
SECTOR: POWER AND ENERGY
SCORECARD:
Standard Deviation 188.80
Institutional Holding (%) 41.75
DividendYield 1.33
P/E 13.34
Market Capitalization(Rs Cr) 144162.71
CMP (Rs) 886.55
52 week - high (1225.00)
52 week - low (492.85)
Face Value (Rs.) 10.00
Analysis of Stock Market
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STOCK PRICE MOVEMENTS (16TH
MAY TO 4th
JULY):
Reliance Infrastructure
COMPANYPROFILE:
Reliance Energy Limited, now Reliance infrastructure limited incorporated in 1929, is a fully
integrated utility engaged in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity. It ranks
among India’s top listed private companies on all major financial parameters, including assets,
sales, profits and market capitalization. The company’s Vision is to be amongst the most
admired and most trusted integrated utility companies in the world, delivering reliable and
quality products and services to all customers at competitive costs, with international standards
of customer care –thereby creating superior value for all stakeholders and also to set new
benchmarks in standards of corporate performance and governance through the pursuit of
operational andfinancial excellence, responsiblecitizenshipandprofitable growth.
BUSINESS:
A constituent of the Reliance Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group, Reliance Energy is India ’s
foremost private sector utility with aggregate estimated revenues of Rs 9,500 crore
(US$2.1 billion)and total assets of Rs 10,700 crore (US$2.4 billion). Reliance Energy
distributes more than 21 billion units of electricity to over 25 million consumers in
Mumbai, Delhi, Orissa and Goa, across an area that spans 1,24,300 sq.kms. It generates
Analysis of Stock Market
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Amity Business School
941 MW of electricity, through its power stations located in Maharashtra, Andhra
Pradesh, Kerala, Karnataka and Goa.Reliance Energy companies currently pursue several
gas, coal, wind and hydro-based power generation projects in Maharashtra, Uttar
Pradesh, Arunachal Pradesh and Uttaranchal with aggregate capacity of over 13,510
MW. These projects are at various stages of development.
SHAREHOLDING PATTERN:
Particulars
No. of
Shares(Mn)
%
Holdings
Total Promoter Holdings 127.63 47.7
Total Govt Holding (Promoter + Non Promoter) 0.08 0.0
Total Domestic Institutions (Banks/ FI + MF / UTI) 58.45 21.9
Total Foreign Holdings (FII+NRI holdings) 44.80 16.8
Total Non Promoter Corporate Holdings 7.17 2.7
Total Public & Others (Individuals + HUF + Clearing members) 29.29 11.0
Total 267.42 100
FINANCIALS:
(Rs. in Million)
Particulars Mar 2010 Mar 2009 Mar 2008 Mar 2007 Mar 2006
No of Months 12 12 12 12 12
Gross Sales 96898.50 97394.80 60827.30 57434.10 39350.60
Less: Excise Duty 0 0 0 0.30 2.90
Net Sales 96898.50 97394.80 60827.30 57433.80 39347.70
EXPENDITURE :
Increase/Decrease in Stock -927.60 1196.20 -2304.40 504.60 -652.30
Power Generation & Distribution Cost 45425.00 54218.70 35040.70 24545.10 19003.70
Employee Cost 6502.30 5330.20 3833.80 2851.40 2078.30
Operation Expenses 31115.40 21771.60 13901.30 20290.70 8109.60
General and Administration Expenses 1397.50 1455.80 1033.90 1009.70 403.30
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Selling and Distribution Expenses 1541.30 1529.60 1315.80 1246.20 1140.00
Miscellaneous Expenses 4009.20 7593.90 3052.50 2181.20 2124.20
Expenses Capitalised 0 0 0 0 0
Total Expenditure 89063.10 93096.00 55873.60 52628.90 32206.80
PBIDT (Excl OI) 7835.40 4298.80 4953.70 4804.90 7140.90
Other Income 11254.50 13389.30 11880.30 8822.60 6078.90
Operating Profit 19089.90 17688.10 16834.00 13627.50 13219.80
Interest 2922.10 3305.00 3087.60 2503.20 1918.80
PBDT 16167.80 14383.10 13746.40 11124.30 11301.00
Depreciation 3198.40 2448.80 2229.40 2400.60 3486.30
Profit Before Taxation & Exceptional
Items
12969.40 11934.30 11517.00 8723.70 7814.70
Exceptional Income / Expenses 0 0 0 0 0
Profit Before Tax 12969.40 11934.30 11517.00 8723.70 7814.70
Provision for Tax 1452.50 545.50 670.70 709.20 1311.30
PAT 11516.90 11388.80 10846.30 8014.50 6503.40
Adj to Profit After Tax 0 711.00 0 0 0
Profit Balance B/F 6832.00 7037.60 3592.80 2759.30 2003.10
Appropriations 18348.90 19137.40 14439.10 10773.80 8506.50
Equity Dividend (%) 71.00 70.00 63.00 53.00 50.00
Earnings Per Share (Rs.) 47.03 50.39 46.04 35.07 30.63
Book Value (Rs.) 574.78 466.05 435.51 378.12 331.24
FUTURE GROWTH POTENTIAL:
The company has a number of projects in the hand and is poised to become a giant in the times
to come. This was evident from the IPO issue of the company of approx.3 billion which was
India’s largest IPO so far. The IPO was oversubscribed by about 89 times. Though due to the
overall market correction, the price could not be maintained and the promoter offered a bonus
issue of 3:5 shares to the shareholders to remain invested and be confident of the fundamentals
of the company. The real power of the company will be unleashed after a few years when the
projectsare completedandstartgeneratingmuchmore revenue forthe company.
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MUTUAL FUNDSINVESTED IN THE COMPANY:
Scheme Name
Market Val (In
Crs.)
AUM(In Crs.) Hold Percentage
Templeton India Growth(D) 42.25 869.84 4.86
HDFC Top 200(G) 12.77 10644.84 0.12
MOSt Shares M50 - MOS ETF 7.76 173.91 4.46
HSBC Progressive Themes(G) 5.12 211.72 2.42
HDFC Arbitrage-Ret(G) 4.49 73.55 6.11
Kotak Equity Arbitrage(G) 3.88 95.45 4.07
Nifty BeES 2.53 538.03 0.47
LIC Nomura MF Top 100(G) 1.44 271.84 0.53
JM Arbitrage Adv(G) 1.08 59.19 1.83
LIC Nomura MF Equity(G) 0.93 94.82 0.98
Infra BeES 0.84 34.32 2.46
IDBI Nifty Index Fund-(G) 0.65 137.99 0.47
Franklin India Index-NSE Nifty(G) 0.62 130.95 0.48
Franklin India Index-BSE Sensex(G) 0.35 61.90 0.56
HDFC Index-Sensex Plus(G) 0.30 65.98 0.45
HDFC Index-Sensex(G) 0.26 51.08 0.51
HDFC Index-Nifty(G) 0.24 55.18 0.43
ING OptiMix Multi-Mgr Equity-Reg(G) 0.21 67.59 0.31
Baroda Pioneer Growth(G) 0.18 63.24 0.28
LIC Nomura MF Index-Nifty(G) 0.15 33.42 0.45
VALUATIONSAND RISKS:
RATING:
Analysis of Stock Market
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Amity Business School
Reliance Industries Limited
SECTOR: OIL & GAS
SCORECARD:
Standard Deviation 198.83
Institutional Holding (%) 26.42
DividendYield 0.90
P/E 14.39
Market Capitalization(Rs Cr) 2918766.79
CMP(Rs.) 2182.65
52 week - high (1187.00)
Analysis of Stock Market
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Amity Business School
STOCK PRICE MOVEMENTS (16TH
MAY TO 4th
JULY):
52 week - low (829.00)
Face Value (Rs.) 10.00
Analysis of Stock Market
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COMPANY PROFILE:
The Reliance Group, founded by Dhirubhai H. Ambani (1932-2002), is India's largest
private sector enterprise, with businesses in the energy and materials value chain. Group's
annual revenues are in excess of US$ 34 billion. The flagship company, Reliance
Industries Limited, is a Fortune Global 500 company and is the largest private sector
company in India.Backward vertical integration has been the cornerstone of the evolution
and growth of Reliance. Starting with textiles in the late seventies, Reliance pursued a
strategy of backward vertical integration - in polyester, fibre intermediates, plastics,
petrochemicals, petroleum refining and oil and gas exploration and production - to be
fully integrated along the materials and energy value chain.The Group's activities span
exploration and production of oil and gas, petroleum refining and marketing,
petrochemicals (polyester, fibre intermediates, plastics and chemicals), textiles and retail.
BUSINESS:
The company is a significant contributor to India's economic growth:
 Revenuesequivalentto3% of India’sGDP
 13.4% of India’stotal exports
 4.9% of the Governmentof India’sindirecttax revenues
 6.7% of the total market capitalizationinIndia
 Weightage of 16.5% in the BSE Sensex
 Weightage of 12.5% in the NiftyIndex
Analysis of Stock Market
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Amity Business School
SHAREHOLDING PATTERN:
Particulars
No. of
Shares(Mn)
%
Holdings
Total Promoter Holdings 1,463.92 44.7
Total Govt Holding (Promoter + Non Promoter) 3.20 0.1
Total Domestic Institutions (Banks/ FI + MF / UTI) 349.81 10.7
Total Foreign Holdings (FII+NRI holdings) 725.19 22.2
Total Non Promoter Corporate Holdings 148.27 4.5
Total Public & Others (Individuals + HUF + Clearing members) 582.97 17.8
Total 3,273.37 100
FINANCIALS:
(Rs. in Million)
Particulars Mar 2011 Mar 2010 Mar 2009 Mar 2008 Mar 2007
No of Months 12 12 12 12 12
Gross Sales 2586511.50 2003997.90 1463280.70 1392694.60 1183537.10
Less :Inter divisional
transfers
0 0 0 0 0
Less: Sales Returns 0 0 0 0 0
Less: Excise 104811.50 79387.70 44806.00 58264.60 66609.90
Net Sales 2481700.00 1924610.20 1418474.70 1334430.00 1116927.20
EXPENDITURE :
Increase/Decrease in Stock -32091.10 -35787.40 -5390.90 15043.80 -6609.10
Raw Materials Consumed 1946981.90 1509150.30 1070103.20 963115.60 786929.40
Power & Fuel Cost 22550.70 27067.10 33559.80 20528.40 22616.90
Employee Cost 25818.20 23077.30 23574.00 20499.50 20459.50
Other Manufacturing
Expenses
63233.10 49556.10 35038.30 38208.20 33818.30
General and Administration
Expenses
22386.40 21933.60 25067.00 21954.30 20002.10
Selling and Distribution 53531.00 41237.70 30952.70 32295.90 36614.50
Analysis of Stock Market
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Expenses
Miscellaneous Expenses 2009.10 1510.30 5973.60 1348.70 3745.40
Expenses Capitalised 302.60 12179.20 32656.50 1754.60 1112.10
Total Expenditure 2104116.70 1625565.80 1186221.20 1111239.80 916464.90
PBIDT (Excl OI) 377583.30 299044.40 232253.50 223190.20 200462.30
Other Income 34191.10 31367.40 21484.00 66156.20 4782.80
Operating Profit 411774.40 330411.80 253737.50 289346.40 205245.10
Interest 23276.20 19972.10 17452.30 10773.60 11888.90
PBDT 388498.20 310439.70 236285.20 278572.80 193356.20
Depreciation 136075.80 104965.30 51952.90 48471.40 48151.50
Profit Before Taxation &
Exceptional Items
252422.40 205474.40 184332.30 230101.40 145204.70
Exceptional Income /
Expenses
0 0 0 0 0
Profit Before Tax 252422.40 205474.40 184332.30 230101.40 145204.70
Provision for Tax 49559.40 43117.70 31239.10 35518.50 25770.70
PAT 202863.00 162356.70 153093.20 194582.90 119434.00
Adj to Profit After Tax 0 0 0 481.00 5.10
Profit Balance B/F 49994.50 53841.90 43632.90 27653.70 30290.90
Appropriations 252857.50 216198.60 196726.10 222717.60 149730.00
Equity Dividend (%) 80.00 70.00 130.00 130.00 110.00
Earnings Per Share (Rs.) 61.97 49.64 97.29 133.88 85.73
Book Value (Rs.) 446.25 392.51 727.78 542.83 439.67
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FUTURE GROWTH POTENTIAL:
The company has made various oil and gas discoveries in the recent times and these are
considered to drive the success of the company in the times to come.
Credit Ratings of the company clearly reflect the confidence the world has in the
company’s prospects.
RatingAgency Instrument Rating
CRISIL Long TermDebt AAA
Fitch Long TermDebt IndAAA
CRISIL Short TermDebt P1+
CRISIL WorkingCapital Debt AAA
Moody's International Debt Baa2
S&P International Debt BBB
Fitch International Debt BBB -
Analysis of Stock Market
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MUTUAL FUNDSINVESTED IN THE COMPANY:
Scheme Name Market Val (In Crs.) AUM(In Crs.) Hold Percentage
HDFC Top 200(G) 483.28 10644.84 4.54
HDFC Equity(G) 299.53 9419.27 3.18
Franklin India Bluechip(G) 233.18 3904.05 5.97
Morgan Stanley Growth(G) 120.73 1543.89 7.82
DSPBR India T.I.G.E.R-Reg(G) 99.29 2144.53 4.63
HDFC Growth(G) 97.74 1310.22 7.46
DSPBR Top 100 Equity-Reg(G) 96.36 3020.67 3.19
HDFC Prudence(G) 95.48 6199.86 1.54
Tata Infrastructure(G) 93.34 1522.71 6.13
Franklin India Prima Plus(G) 76.14 1744.32 4.37
Tata Indo-Global Infra(G) 61.85 833.49 7.42
Sundaram-Select Thematic Funds-Energy Opp(G) 59.80 1067.51 5.60
HDFC Long Term Equity(G) 58.23 756.27 7.70
HDFC Long Term Adv(G) 55.20 929.36 5.94
HSBC Equity(G) 53.11 902.57 5.88
Nifty BeES 51.65 538.03 9.60
Sundaram Select Focus(G) 50.15 852.55 5.88
HDFC TaxSaver(G) 49.88 3117.54 1.60
Kotak 50(G) 47.58 862.02 5.52
Franklin India Taxshield(G) 42.92 828.81 5.18
Analysis of Stock Market
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VALUATIONSAND RISKS:
RATING:
Analysis of Stock Market
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Analysis-of-stock-market-manali

  • 1. Analysis of Stock Market 1 Amity Business School PPRROOJJEECCTT OONN Analysis of stock market Submitted To- Prof. V.P Kakkar Submitted By- Manali Somani A1802010170
  • 2. Analysis of Stock Market 2 Amity Business School Acknowledgements I pay my sincere regards to Mr. Arun Chopra, Area Sales Manager,Anand Rathi for guiding me throughout the project with his valuable insights, and giving me the opportunity to work on this wonderful project, which helped me to analyze and interpret the performance of various companies in terms of fundamental attributes and market sentiments, hone my thinking ability and gain a deeper insight into their business model. I acknowledge, with due respect, the continuous guidance he provided without which, the completion of this project work would not have been possible. Second most importand person who had helped me completing this project is Prof. V.P Kakkar who devoted his precious time in guiding me and timely instructing me. I am also grateful to the HOD, Finance, Amity Business School, Amity University, Noida and my faculty guide Prof. S. K. Malhotra, who not only guided me throughout the project but also provided the much needed inspiration and motivation.
  • 3. Analysis of Stock Market 3 Amity Business School Abstract The aim of this project work is to analyze and present the findings about financial performance of some Indian companies both on their internal business front and the stock markets. The objective is to judge their performance and chart out future projections and potentials which in turn would help to recommend the investors whether to sell, hold or accumulate the stocks of these companies. The project included the collection of daily turnover and trading of the companies on the largest two bourses of India NSE and BSE. The information from these was used to do the Technical Analysisi.e.tocalculate andjudge the marketsentimentaboutthe companies. The Balance sheets, P&l accounts and Income statements of the companies were used to do the Fundamental Analysistofindoutthe internal storyandperformance of the company. Corporate News and other information helped in judging the future growth prospects of the companiesandtheirprospectiveeffectsonthe overall marketsentiment. Overall the project was an excellent opportunity to look into the unseen and to gain a lot of information and knowledge about valuations, business trends, performance and to get a glimpse of what is to come in the future. Based on the current scenario, an attempt has been made using modern techniques to forecast the future earnings and value creation of the researchedcompanies.
  • 4. Analysis of Stock Market 4 Amity Business School Introduction Introduction In general, the financial market divided into two parts, Money market and capital market. Securities market is an important, organized capital market where transaction of capital is facilitated by means of direct financing using securities as a commodity. Securities market can be divided into a primary market and secondary market. PRIMARY MARKET The primary market is an intermittent and discrete market where the initially listed shares are traded first time, changing hands from the listed company to the investors. It refers to the process through which the companies, the issuers of stocks, acquire capital by offering their stocks to investors who supply the capital. In other words primary market is that part of the capital markets that deals with the issuance of new securities. Companies, governments or public sector institutions can obtain funding through the sale of a new stock or bond issue. This is typically done through a syndicate of securities dealers. The process of selling new issues to investors is called underwriting. In the case of a new stock issue, this sale is called an initial public offering (IPO). Dealers earn a commission that is built into the price of the security offering, though it can be found in the prospectus. SECONDARY MARKET The secondary market is an on-going market, which is equipped and organized with a place, facilities and other resources required for trading securities after their initial
  • 5. Analysis of Stock Market 5 Amity Business School offering. It refers to a specific place where securities transaction among many and unspecified persons is carried out through intermediation of the securities firms, i.e., a licensed broker, and the exchanges, a specialized trading organization, in accordance with the rules and regulations established by the exchanges. A bit about history of stock exchange they say it was under a tree that it all started in 1875.Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) was the major exchange in India till 1994.National Stock Exchange (NSE) started operations in 1994. NSE was floated by major banks and financial institutions. It came as a result of Harshad Mehta scam of 1992. Contrary to popular belief the scam was more of a banking scam than a stock market scam. The old methods of trading in BSE were people assembling on what as called a ring in the BSE building. They had a unique sign language to communicate apart from all the shouting. Investors weren't allowed access and the system was opaque and misused by brokers. The shares were in physical form and prone to duplication and fraud. NSE was the first to introduce electronic screen based trading. BSE was forced to follow suit. The present day trading platform is transparent and gives investors prices on a real time basis. With the introduction of depository and mandatory dematerialization of shares chances of fraud reduced further. The trading screen gives you top 5 buy and sell quotes on every scrip. A typical trading day starts at 10 ending at 3.30. Monday to Friday. BSE has 30 stocks which make up the Sensex .NSE has 50 stocks in its index called Nifty. FII s Banks, financial institutions mutual funds are biggest players in the market. Then there are the retail investors and speculators. The last ones are the ones who follow the market morning to evening; Market can be very addictive like blogging though stakes are higher in the former. History of Indian Stock Exchange:
  • 6. Analysis of Stock Market 6 Amity Business School The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) is known as the oldest exchange in Asia. It traces its history to the 1850s, when stockbrokers would gather under banyan trees in front of Mumbai’s Town Hall. The location of these meetings changed many times, as the number of brokers constantly increased. The group eventually moved to Dalal Street in 1874 and in 1875 became an official organization known as ‘The Native Share & Stock Brokers Association’. In 1956, the BSE became the first stock exchange to be recognized by the Indian Government under the Securities Contracts Regulation Act. The Bombay Stock Exchange developed the BSE Sensex in 1986, giving the BSE a means to measure overall performance of the exchange. In 2000 the BSE used this index to open its derivatives market, trading Sensex futures contracts. The development of Sensex options along with equity derivatives followed in 2001 and 2002, expanding the BSE’s trading platform. Historically an open-cry floor trading exchange, the Bombay Stock Exchange switched to an electronic trading system in 1995. It took the exchange only fifty days to make this transition. Capital market reforms in India and the launch of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) accelerated the integration of the second Indian stock exchange called the National Stock Exchange (NSE) in 1992. After a few years of operations, the NSE has become the largest stock exchange in India. Three segments of the NSE trading platform were established one after another. The Wholesale Debt Market (WDM) commenced operations in June 1994 and the Capital Market (CM) segment was opened at the end of 1994. Finally, the Futures and Options segment began operating in 2000. Today the NSE takes the 14th position in the top 40 futures exchanges in the world. In 1996, the National Stock Exchange of India launched S&P CNX Nifty and CNX Junior Indices that make up 100 most liquid stocks in India. CNX Nifty is a diversified
  • 7. Analysis of Stock Market 7 Amity Business School index of 50 stocks from 25 different economy sectors. The Indices are owned and managed by India Index Services and Products Ltd (IISL) that has a consulting and licensing agreement with Standard & Poor’s. In 1998, the National Stock Exchange of India launched its web-site and was the first exchange in India that started trading stock on the Internet in 2000. The NSE has also proved its leadership in the Indian financial market by gaining many awards such as ‘Best IT Usage Award’ by Computer Society in India (in 1996 and 1997) and CHIP Web Award by CHIP magazine (1999). ORIGIN OF INDIAN STOCK MARKET The origin of the stock market in India goes back to the end of the eighteenth century when long-term negotiable securities were first issued. However, for all practical purposes, the real beginning occurred in the middle of the nineteenth century after the enactment of the companies Act in 1850, which introduced the features of limited liability and generated investor interest in corporate securities. An important early event in the development of the stock market in India was the formation of the native share and stock brokers 'Association at Bombay in 1875, the precursor of the present day Bombay Stock Exchange. This was followed by the formation of associations/exchanges in Ahmedabad (1894), Calcutta (1908), and Madras (1937). In addition, a large number of ephemeral exchanges emerged mainly in buoyant periods to recede into oblivion during depressing times subsequently. Stock exchanges are intricacy inter-woven in the fabric of a nation's economic life. Without a stock exchange, the saving of the community- the sinews of economic progress and productive efficiency- would remain underutilized. The task of mobilization and allocation of savings could be attempted in the old days by a much less specialized institution than the stock exchanges. But as business and industry expanded and the economy assumed more complex nature, the need for 'permanent finance' arose.
  • 8. Analysis of Stock Market 8 Amity Business School Entrepreneurs needed money for long term whereas investors demanded liquidity – the facility to convert their investment into cash at any given time. The answer was a ready market for investments and this was how the stock exchange came into being. Stock exchange means any body of individuals, whether incorporated or not, constituted for the purpose of regulating or controlling the business of buying, selling or dealing in securities. These securities include: (i) Shares, scrip, stocks, bonds, debentures stock or other marketable securities of a like nature in or of any incorporated company or other body corporate; (ii) Government securities; and (iii) Rights or interest in securities. The Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange of India Ltd (NSE) are the two primary exchanges in India. In addition, there are 22 Regional Stock Exchanges. However, the BSE and NSE have established themselves as the two leading exchanges and account for about 80 per cent of the equity volume traded in India. The NSE and BSE are equal in size in terms of daily traded volume. The average daily turnover at the exchanges has increased from Rs 851 crore in 1997-98 to Rs 1,284 crore in 1998-99 and further to Rs 2,273 crore in 1999-2000 (April - August 1999). NSE has around 1500 shares listed with a total market capitalization of around Rs 9, 21,500 crore. The BSE has over 6000 stocks listed and has a market capitalization of around Rs 9, 68,000 crore. Most key stocks are traded on both the exchanges and hence the investor could buy them on either exchange. Both exchanges have a different settlement cycle, which allows investors to shift their positions on the bourses. The primary index of BSE is BSE Sensex comprising 30 stocks. NSE has the S&P NSE 50 Index (Nifty) which consists of fifty stocks. The BSE Sensex is the older and more widely followed index.
  • 9. Analysis of Stock Market 9 Amity Business School Both these indices are calculated on the basis of market capitalization and contain the heavily traded shares from key sectors. The markets are closed on Saturdays and Sundays. Both the exchanges have switched over from the open outcry trading system to a fully automated computerized mode of trading known as BOLT (BSE on Line Trading) and NEAT (National Exchange Automated Trading) System. It facilitates more efficient processing, automatic order matching, faster execution of trades and transparency; the scrip's traded on the BSE have been classified into 'A', 'B1', 'B2', 'C', 'F' and 'Z' groups. The 'A' group shares represent those, which are in the carry forward system (Badla). The 'F' group represents the debt market (fixed income securities) segment. The 'Z' group scrip's are the blacklisted companies. The 'C' group covers the odd lot securities in 'A', 'B1' & 'B2' groups and Rights renunciations. The key regulator governing Stock Exchanges, Brokers, Depositories, Depository participants, Mutual Funds, FIIs and other participants in Indian secondary and primary market is the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) Ltd. Brief History of Stock Exchanges Do you know that the world's foremost marketplace New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), started its trading under a tree (now known as 68 Wall Street) over 200 years ago? Similarly, India's premier stock exchange Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) can also trace back its origin to as far as 125 years when it started as a voluntary non-profit making association. News on the stock market appears in different media every day. You hear about it any time it reaches a new high or a new low, and you also hear about it daily in statements like 'The BSE Sensitive Index rose 5% today'. Obviously, stocks and stock markets are important. Stocks of public limited companies are bought and sold at a stock exchange. But what really are stock exchanges? Known also as the stock market or bourse, a stock exchange is an organized marketplace for securities (like stocks, bonds, options) featured by the centralization of supply and demand for the transaction of orders by member brokers, for institutional and individual investors.
  • 10. Analysis of Stock Market 10 Amity Business School The exchange makes buying and selling easy. For example, you don't have to actually go to a stock exchange, say, BSE - you can contact a broker, who does business with the BSE, and he or she will buy or sell your stock on your behalf. Market Basics Electronic trading Electronic trading eliminates the need for physical trading floors. Brokers can trade from their offices, using fully automated screen-based processes. Their workstations are connected to a Stock Exchange's central computer via satellite using Very Small Aperture Terminus (VSATs). The orders placed by brokers reach the Exchange's central computer and are matched electronically. Exchanges in India The Stock Exchange, Mumbai (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange (NSE) are the country's two leading Exchanges. There are 20 other regional Exchanges, connected via the Inter-Connected Stock Exchange(ICSE). The BSE and NSE allow nationwide trading via their VSAT systems. Index An Index is a comprehensive measure of market trends, intended for investors who are concerned with general stock market price movements. An Index comprises stocks that have large liquidity and market capitalization. Each stock is given a weight age in the Index equivalent to its market capitalization. At the NSE, the capitalization of NIFTY (fifty selected stocks) is taken as a base capitalization, with the value set at 1000. Similarly, BSE Sensitive Index or Sensex comprises 30 selected stocks. The Index value compares the day's market capitalization vis-à-vis base capitalization and indicates how prices in general have moved over a period of time.
  • 11. Analysis of Stock Market 11 Amity Business School Execute an order Select a broker of your choice and enter into a broker-client agreement and fill in the client registration form. Place your order with your broker preferably in writing. Get a trade confirmation slip on the day the trade is executed and ask for the contract note at the end of the trade date. Needa broker As per SEBI (Securities and Exchange Board of India.) regulations, only registered members can operate in the stock market. One can trade by executing a deal only through a registered broker of a recognized Stock Exchange or through a SEBI-registered sub- broker. Contract note A contract note describes the rate, date, time at which the trade was transacted and the brokerage rate. A contract note issued in the prescribed format establishes a legally enforceable relationship between the client and the member in respect of trades stated in the contract note. These are made in duplicate and the member and the client both keep a copy each. A client should receive the contract note within 24 hours of the executed trade. Corporate Benefits/Action. Split A Split is book entry wherein the face value of the share is altered to create a greater number of shares outstanding without calling for fresh capital or altering the share capital account. For example, if a company announces a two-way split, it means that a share of the face value of Rs 10 is split into two shares of face value of Rs 5 each and a person holding one share now holds two shares. Buy Back
  • 12. Analysis of Stock Market 12 Amity Business School As the name suggests, it is a process by which a company can buy back its shares from shareholders. A company may buy back its shares in various ways: from existing shareholders on a proportionate basis; through a tender offer from open market; through a book-building process; from the Stock Exchange; or from odd lot holders. A company cannot buy back through negotiated deals on or off the Stock Exchange, through spot transactions or through any private arrangement. Settlement cycle The accounting period for the securities traded on the Exchange. On the NSE, the cycle begins on Wednesday and ends on the following Tuesday, and on the BSE the cycle commences on Monday and ends on Friday. At the end of this period, the obligations of each broker are calculated and the brokers settle their respective obligations as per the rules, bye-laws and regulations of the Clearing Corporation. If a transaction is entered on the first day of the settlement, the same will be settled on the eighth working day excluding the day of transaction. However, if the same is done on the last day of the settlement, it will be settled on the fourth working day excluding the day of transaction. Rolling settlement The rolling settlement ensures that each day's trade is settled by keeping a fixed gap of a specified number of working days between a trade and its settlement. At present, this gap is five working days after the trading day. The waiting period is uniform for all trades. In a Rolling Settlement, all trades outstanding at end of the day have to be settled, which means that the buyer has to make payments for securities purchased and seller has to deliver the securities sold. In India, we have adopted the T+5 settlement cycle, which means that a transaction entered into on Day 1 has to be settled on the Day 1 + 5 working days, when funds pay in or securities pay out takes place.
  • 13. Analysis of Stock Market 13 Amity Business School Stock & Exchange Board of India REGULATION OF BUSINESS IN THE STOCK EXCHANGES Under the SEBI Act, 1992, the SEBI has been empowered to conduct inspection of stock exchanges. The SEBI has been inspecting the stock exchanges once every year since 1995-96. During these inspections, a review of the market operations, organizational structure and administrative control of the exchange is made to ascertain whether:  the exchange provides a fair, equitable and growing market to investors  the exchange's organization, systems and practices are in accordance with the Securities Contracts (Regulation) Act (SC(R) Act), 1956 and rules framed there under  the exchange has implemented the directions, guidelines and instructions issued by the SEBI from time to time  The exchange has complied with the conditions, if any, imposed on it at the time of renewal/ grant of its recognition under section 4 of the SC(R) Act, 1956. During the year 1997-98, inspection of stock exchanges was carried out with a special focus on the measures taken by the stock exchanges for investor's protection. Stock exchanges were, through inspection reports, advised to effectively follow-up and redress the investors' complaints against members/listed companies. The stock exchanges were also advised to expedite the disposal of arbitration cases within four months from the date of filing. During the earlier years' inspections, common deficiencies observed in the functioning of the exchanges were delays in post trading settlement, frequent clubbing of settlements, delay in conducting auctions, inadequate monitoring of payment of margins by brokers, non-adherence to Capital Adequacy Norms etc. It was observed during the inspections conducted in 1997-98 that there has been considerable improvement in most of the areas, especially in trading, settlement, collection of margins etc. FACTORS AFFECTING STOCK MARKET:
  • 14. Analysis of Stock Market 14 Amity Business School Stock market is something where you can never foretell what is going to happen in the market. You might get huge gain or incur losses when the stock market crashes. There are many factors affecting share prices. It is very hard to say just one or two factors affect the share prices. So, let us have a look at the factors that affect share prices. Demand and Supply This is the first factor that affects share prices. When you get to see that more people are buying stocks, then there is an increase in the price of that particular stock. On the other hand price of stock falls when more people are selling their stocks. So it is very difficult to predict the Indian stock market. This is the main reason why you need to get in touch with a good stock market consultant. There is consultancy for you which can help you a lot on choosing the right stocks for you. Market cap It is a very big mistake when you try to guess a company’s worth from the price of a stock. You should know that the more important is the market capitalization of the particular company. This helps to determine the worth of a company. So market cap serves as an important use to determine share prices. Earning per share Now when it comes to the term, “earning per share”, it means the profit that a particular company has made per share and that too on the last quarter. If you need to know the health of the company then this is the most important factor. What’s more earning per share also influences the buying tendency in the market that results in the increase of the particular stock price. This is the reason why it is very important for every public company to bring out the quarterly report. So when you wish to make a profitable investment, then the best thing for you would be to keep a good watch on the quarterly reports of different companies. This is very important before you wish to invest your hard earned money in the share market. Impact of news News is another factor that affects the share price. When there is positive news about a
  • 15. Analysis of Stock Market 15 Amity Business School particular stock or company, people try to invest all their money in that particular stock or market. This leads to increase in the interest of buying the stock. But there are many circumstances where news could also bring a negative effect where it could ruin the prospect of the particular stock. So it is very important to know the overall news of a stock or company where you can invest your money so that it grows within a very short period of time. There are many things that you need to consider when you go for investing your hard earned money in the stock market. You should never be in a haste to invest your money in the stock market. You should always get in touch with a good stock market consultancy where it can give you some share tips. They are the one who can give you advice where to invest your money and where not to. They know to distinguish the good stock from the bad ones.
  • 16. Analysis of Stock Market 16 Amity Business School INDIAN STOCK MARKET AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: Growth Prospects The performance of the Indian economy in 2009/10 greatly exceeded expectations. The farm sector which was expected to contract showed resilience, growing by 0.2 per cent despite the weak South West monsoon. The non farm sector also did well. It is the assessment of the Council that the Indian economy would grow at 8.5 per cent in 2010/11 and 9.0 per cent in 2011/12. In the current fiscal year, agriculture will grow at 4.5 per cent, industry at 9.7 per cent and services at 8.9 per cent. Global Prospects The global economic and financial situation is recovering slowly. The large fiscal deficits and high debt ratios coupled with slow economic growth have created unsettling conditions for business and have potential for causing great volatility in financial markets. It is hard to visualize strong economic growth in the advanced economies in 2010 and to a large extent in 2011. The implications of this, for India’s strategy to return to the 9.0 per cent growth trajectory, are that public policy must promote business confidence and facilitate increased investment. Structural Factors In 2008/09 the investment rate fell on account of the drawdown of inventories. This trend has reversed and the Council expects the investment rate to be higher at 36 per cent (of GDP) in 2009/10, rising to 37 per cent in 2010/11 and 38.4 per cent in 2011/12. Similarly we expect the domestic savings rate to pick up and reach 33.4 per cent in 2009/10, 34.3 per cent in 2010/11 and 35.5 per cent in 2011/12. These rates should enable the economy to grow in a sustained manner at 9.0 per cent. Private corporate investment and total investment in fixed assets is expected to recover strongly but will not reach the previous high levels. Government Final Consumption
  • 17. Analysis of Stock Market 17 Amity Business School Expenditure to GDP which hit a peak of 12.3 per cent in 2009/10 is expected to fall to 10.3 per cent in 2011/12. On the contrary, Private Final Consumption Expenditure which declined in 2008/09 and 2009/10 is expected to increase in the current and next fiscal year. Since 2001-02 the progressive decline in the Private Final Consumption Expenditure has been accompanied by a matching increase in the investment expenditure component of GDP. Sectoral Growth Projections In the backdrop of a weak South West (SW) monsoon in 2009, the Council had expected the farm sector GDP to decline by 2 per cent. However, the actual loss in farm sector output was less. The strength in horticulture, animal husbandry and fisheries, as well as higher cotton output, helped farm sector GDP to ultimately register a marginally positive growth of 0.2 per cent. On the basis of a normal SW monsoon forecast by the Meteorological Department, one may reasonably expect a strong rebound in crop output in Kharif and Rabi in 2010/11. The better seed and fertilizer availability and the construction of a large number of water harvesting structures through the MNREGA lend strength to these expectations. Moreover, the expansion in horticulture and animal husbandry and a low base effect should generate a farm sector GDP growth of around 4.5 per cent in the current fiscal. Industrial sector recovery became evident in June 2009 and by August 2009 the General Index of Industrial Production (IIP) registered double digit growth rate driven by similar growth rates in output in the manufacturing and mining sector. The service sector has also shown strong recovery with GDP originating in the important sub-sector of “trade, hotels, restaurant, transport & communication” surging in the second half of 2009/10. The impact of the civil service pay hike and the arrears lifted growth of the “community personal services” sub-sector in the first half, but eased up in the second. Export related service activity (software and Business Process Outsourcing) was sluggish throughout 2009/10 but was more than offset by the recovery in domestic-oriented service activity. Overall, non-farm sector GDP grew by 8.8 per cent in 2009/10.
  • 18. Analysis of Stock Market 18 Amity Business School In 2009/10 the mining sector output grew at 10 per cent but a slowdown is expected in 2010/11 with a projected growth of 8.0 per cent in both output and GDP arising in the sector. Manufacturing output growth in 2009/10 was strong in all the quarters, especially in the case of capital goods and durable consumer goods. The only exception to this was non-durable consumer goods which were impacted by poor export growth and a lower output of sugar. Even though the manufacturing sector has recorded strong growth rate in April and May 2010, we expect this to ease as the base effect wears off. The projected growth rate in the manufacturing sector and the general index (IIP) is expected at 10 per cent in 2010/11. The expected expansion of investment in physical infrastructure, including housing will drive the construction sector. Accordingly, the GDP arising in the construction sub-sector would rise by 10 per cent in 2010/11, which is likely to inch up to 11 per cent in 2011/12. In the “trade, hotel, restaurants, transport & communication” sub sector, growth picked up in the last two quarters of the year. We expect this trend to be reinforced with 10 per cent growth in both 2010/11 as well as 2011/12. There will be no contribution to expansion from civil service pay in the current year but the private sector component of the sub-sector “community and personnel services” will continue to register strong expansion in line with the rest of the economy. Software and BPO activity is expected to expand significantly in 2010/11, both in the domestic and export sectors. Alongwith steady expansion in the financial industry we expect this sub-sector to record growth of 9.5 per cent in 2010/11 which will rise further in 2011/12. Overall, we expect GDP arising in the industrial sector to expand 9.6 per cent in 2010/11, rising to 10.3 per cent in 2011/12. The expansion in the services sector is expected to approach 9 per cent in 2010/11 and inch up to 9.6 per cent in 2011/12. Over all, the non- farm sector is expected to grow by 9.2 per cent in 2010/11 and 9.8 per cent in 2011/12. Trade & External Sector According to the DGCI&S report the merchandise trade exports touched $176.6 billion in 2009/10 which was 4.7 per cent less than 2008/09. Engineering and electronic goods
  • 19. Analysis of Stock Market 19 Amity Business School were the hardest hit declining by more than 20 per cent. Because of currency fluctuations, the rupee value of exports showed practically no decline in 2009/10. The value of merchandise imports in 2009/10 in dollar terms was 8.2 per cent lower at $278.7 billion and 4 per cent lower in rupee terms.
  • 20. Analysis of Stock Market 20 Amity Business School Research Model - CANSLIM CANSLIM model is a method for selecting and analyzing the performance of a company over various parameters. This model has been used for the purpose of research. The full form of the model isas follows: C – Currentquarterly earnings. A – Annual earning increases over the last years. N – New products, management, new highs and lows. S – Small supply and large demand i.e. future profitability. L – Leaders and laggard stocks. (using relativeindex as a guide). I – Institutionalsupportand sponsorship. M – Determining market direction by reviewing marketaverages daily.
  • 21. Analysis of Stock Market 21 Amity Business School Research Methodology The research has been done by selecting the companies which are the representative of a particular sector on the basis of overall market capitalization, stocks having the highest liquidity and turnover both on the NSE and BSE. A caution was thus taken and by thorough approach the best companies were selected so as to portray a genuine picture of the sector. With the help of SPSSPackage and usingthe quantitative techniques,the statistical analysishasbeendone. The followinganalysishasbeendone forall the 8 companies: 1. Fundamental analysis. 2. Ratio analysis. 3. Future growth and earnings analysis. 4. Statistical analysis. 5. Technical analysis.
  • 22. Analysis of Stock Market 22 Amity Business School Companies and Respective Sector The 8 companies from the most important sectors which form the foundation of the economy have been studied and analyzed. They are: 1. Bharti Airtel –Telecommunications. 2. DLF- Realty. 3. HUL – FMCG. 4. ICICI Bank –Banking. 5. Infosys Technologies –IT. 6. Larsen &Toubro – Capital Goods & Engineering. 7. Reliance Infrastructure –Power and Energy. 8. RIL – Oil and Gas.
  • 23. Analysis of Stock Market 23 Amity Business School Company analysis The analysis of each company has been done in the following heads and sequence: 1. Score card. 2. Stock price movements. 3. Company profile. 4. Business. 5. Shareholding pattern. 6. Financials. 7. Future growth potential. 8. Mutual funds invested in the company. 9. Valuations and risks. 10. Rating.
  • 24. Analysis of Stock Market 24 Amity Business School Bharti Airtel Limited SECTOR: TELECOMMUNICATIONS SCORECARD: Standard Deviation 37.5 Institutional Holding (%) 29.56 DividendYield 0.25 P/E 19.83 Market Capitalization(Rs Cr) 1530404.63 CMP(Rs.) 747.95 52 week - high (400.10) 52 week - low (260.85)
  • 25. Analysis of Stock Market 25 Amity Business School STOCK PRICE MOVEMENTS (16TH MAY TO 4th JULY): Face value (Rs.) 10.00
  • 26. Analysis of Stock Market 26 Amity Business School BHARTI AIRTEL COMPANYPROFILE: Airtel comes from Bharti Airtel Limited, India’s largest integrated and the first private telecom services provider with a footprint in all the 23 telecom circles. It was established as a Public LimitedCompany onJuly07, 1995. Bharti Airtel since its inception has been at the forefront of technology and has steered the course of the telecom sector in the country with its world class products and services. It is having a Customer Base comprising of 64,370,434 GSM mobile and 2,319,509 telemedia customers (Status as at month ended April 30, 2008). The businesses at Bharti Airtel have been structured into three individual strategic business units (SBU’s) - Mobile Services, Airtel Telemedia Services & Enterprise Services. The mobile business provides mobile & fixed wireless services using GSM technology across 23 telecom circles while the Airtel Telemedia Services business offers broadband & telephone services in 94 cities. The Enterprise services provide end-to-end telecom solutions to corporate customers and national & international long distance services to carriers. All these services are provided under the Airtel brand. The group focuses on delivering telecommunications services as an integrated offering including mobile, broadband & telephone, national and international long distance and data connectivity services to corporate, small and medium scale enterprises. BUSINESS:
  • 27. Analysis of Stock Market 27 Amity Business School The company is having a Customer Base comprising of 64,370,434 GSM mobile and 2,319,509 telemedia customers (Status as at month ended April 30, 2008).The mobile business provides mobile & fixed wireless services using GSM technology across 23 telecom circles while the Airtel Telemedia Services business offers broadband & telephone services in 94 cities. The Company compliments its mobile and broadband & telephone services with national and international long distance services. It has over 35,016 route kilometers of optic fibre on its national long distance network. For international connectivity to east, it has a submarine cable landing station at. For international connectivity to the west, the Company is a member of the South East Asia- Middle East-Western Europe – 4 (SEA-ME-WE-4) consortium along with 15 other global telecom operators. SHAREHOLDING PATTERN: Particulars No. of Shares(Mn) % Holdings Total Promoter Holdings 2,593.41 68.3 Total Govt Holding (Promoter + Non Promoter) 0.00 0.0 Total Domestic Institutions (Banks/ FI + MF / UTI) 330.61 8.7 Total Foreign Holdings (FII+NRI holdings) 663.93 17.5 Total Non Promoter Corporate Holdings 140.76 3.7 Total Public & Others (Individuals + HUF + Clearing members) 68.82 1.8 Total 3,797.53 100 FINANCIALS: (Rs. in Million) Particulars Mar 2010 Mar 2009 Mar 2008 Mar 2007 Mar 2006 No of Months 12 12 12 12 12 Gross Sales 356095.41 340142.90 257035.10 177944.34 112286.81 Less :Inter divisional transfers 0 0 0 0 0 Less: Sales Returns 0 0 0 0 0 Less: Excise 0 0 0 0 0
  • 28. Analysis of Stock Market 28 Amity Business School Net Sales 356095.41 340142.90 257035.10 177944.34 112286.81 EXPENDITURE : Increase/Decrease in Stock -147.86 -1126.91 -1214.47 -318.65 129.85 Raw Materials Consumed 351.08 1250.96 1552.97 539.50 544.19 Power & Fuel Cost 22650.03 21732.94 10451.67 6587.87 3259.43 Employee Cost 14072.38 14045.45 13065.71 11020.21 7550.50 Other Manufacturing Expenses 60867.79 65400.53 55421.83 41693.00 28390.96 General and Administration Expenses 52952.84 45176.27 20974.18 13160.94 8441.64 Selling and Distribution Expenses 24049.06 21763.99 18135.26 10691.66 8013.61 Miscellaneous Expenses 42870.82 57409.04 34362.71 22552.28 16291.19 Expenses Capitalised 0 0 0 0 0 Total Expenditure 217666.15 225652.27 152749.86 105926.80 72621.36 PBIDT (Excl OI) 138429.26 114490.63 104285.24 72017.54 39665.45 Other Income 12287.27 5251.35 3599.07 1484.91 940.73 Operating Profit 150716.53 119741.98 107884.31 73502.46 40606.18 Interest 2744.84 4275.62 3832.36 2804.04 2278.01 PBDT 147971.70 115466.36 104051.96 70698.42 38328.17 Depreciation 40979.21 33850.99 34326.53 24684.70 15470.21 Profit Before Taxation & Exceptional Items 106992.49 81615.37 69725.42 46013.71 22857.96 Exceptional Income / Expenses 0 0 0 0 0 Profit Before Tax 106992.49 81615.37 69725.42 46013.71 22857.96 Provision for Tax 12730.94 4176.98 7283.50 5681.45 2737.16 PAT 94261.55 77438.39 62441.92 40332.27 20120.79 Adj to Profit After Tax 0 55.03 -222.64 -59.13 0 Profit Balance B/F 185028.29 117972.16 55339.25 14563.81 -7864.33 Appropriations 279289.84 195465.57 117558.54 54836.94 12256.46 Equity Dividend (%) 20.00 20.00 0 0.00 0.00 Earnings Per Share (Rs.) 24.82 40.79 32.90 21.27 10.62 Book Value (Rs.) 96.24 145.01 106.34 60.17 38.67
  • 29. Analysis of Stock Market 29 Amity Business School FUTURE GROWTH POTENTIAL: The growing population of the country along with the betterment in earnings of the people has resulted in a boom for the telecommunications industry as there is widespread need and application of these services. The company has been growing at an unabated pace for the last three years and hopes to carry on the momentum. The company was recently in talks with the MTN Group of South Africa for a possible merger but the talks fell through as there was the offer of reverse merger and acquisition by MTN which was not acceptable to the company. The company is however open to alliances and has a strategic alliance with SingTel. The investment made by SingTel is one of the largest investments made in the world outside Singapore, in the company. The company’s mobile network equipment partners include Ericsson and Nokia. In the case of the broadband and telephone services and enterprise services (carriers), equipment suppliers include Siemens, Nortel, Corning, among others. The Company also has an information technology alliance with IBM for its group-wide information technology requirements and with Nortel for call center technology requirements. The call center operations for the mobile services have been outsourced to IBM Daksh, Hinduja TMT, Teletech & Mphasis. MUTUAL FUNDSINVESTED IN THE COMPANY:
  • 30. Analysis of Stock Market 30 Amity Business School Infosys Technologies Limited SECTOR: INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY SCORECARD: Standard Deviation 65.28 Institutional Holding (%) 40.49 DividendYield 2.07 P/E 25.76 Market Capitalization(Rs Cr) 1659872.16 CMP(Rs.) 1705.45 52 week – high (3493.95) 52 week – low (2660.55)
  • 31. Analysis of Stock Market 31 Amity Business School STOCK PRICE MOVEMENTS (16TH MAY TO 4th JULY): Face Value (Rs.) 5.00
  • 32. Analysis of Stock Market 32 Amity Business School COMPANY PROFILE: Infosys Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: INFY) was started in 1981 by seven people with US$ 250. Today, it is a global leader in the "next generation" of IT and consulting with revenues of over US$ 4 billion. Infosys has a global footprint with over 40 offices and development centers in India, China, Australia, the Czech Republic, Poland, the UK, Canada and Japan. Infosys has over 91,000 employees. Infosys takes pride in building strategic long-term client relationships. Over 97% of their revenues come fromexisting customers. Fortune ranked Infosys as 10th among Top CompaniesforLeaders2007. Infosys defines designs and delivers technology-enabled business solutions that help Global 2000 companies win in a Flat World. Infosys also provides a complete range of services by leveraging the domain and business expertise and strategic alliances with leading technology providers. BUSINESS: Infosys' service offerings span business and technology consulting, application services, systems integration, product engineering, custom software development, maintenance, re- engineering, independent testing and validation services, IT infrastructure services and business process outsourcing.The refreshing approach of the company to consulting has been recognized by the industry and leading business publications. In July 2007, Consulting Magazine named Romil Bahl, managing director and co-founder of Infosys Consulting, Inc., among its list of 2007 Annual Top 25 Consultants. In January 2006, Forrester Research named Infosys among the leading Indian IT Services companies offering consulting services. The report said: "Infosys is best positioned to offer high- value management consulting skills."
  • 33. Analysis of Stock Market 33 Amity Business School SHAREHOLDING PATTERN: Particulars No. of Shares(Mn) % Holdings Total Promoter Holdings 92.09 16.0 Total Govt Holding (Promoter + Non Promoter) 0.00 0.0 Total Domestic Institutions (Banks/ FI + MF / UTI) 51.63 9.0 Total Foreign Holdings (FII+NRI holdings) 313.39 54.6 Total Non Promoter Corporate Holdings 38.47 6.7 Total Public & Others (Individuals + HUF + Clearing members) 78.58 13.7 Total 574.15 100 FINANCIALS: (Rs. in Million) Particulars Mar 2011 Mar 2010 Mar 2009 Mar 2008 Mar 2007 No of Months 12 12 12 12 12 Operating Income 253850.00 211400.00 202640.00 156480.00 131490.00 Less :Inter divisional transfers 0 0 0 0 0 Less: Excise 0 0 0 0 0 Net Sales 253850.00 211400.00 202640.00 156480.00 131490.00 EXPENDITURE : Stock Adjustments 0 0 0 0 0 Raw Materials Consumed 0 0 0 0 0 Power & Fuel Cost 1420.00 1220.00 1250.00 1060.00 880.00 Employee Cost 124480.00 103400.00 98150.00 77600.00 62060.00 Cost of Software developments 25030.00 18050.00 14810.00 12130.00 10820.00 Operating Expenses 8400.00 6260.00 9120.00 7080.00 7130.00 General and Administration Expenses 9300.00 7580.00 8170.00 7360.00 6510.00 Selling and Marketing Expenses 1030.00 870.00 1060.00 980.00 1320.00
  • 34. Analysis of Stock Market 34 Amity Business School Miscellaneous Expenses 40.00 430.00 4740.00 650.00 530.00 Expenses Capitalised 0 0 0 0 0 Total Expenditure 169700.00 137810.00 137300.00 106860.00 89250.00 PBIDT (Excl OI) 84150.00 73590.00 65340.00 49620.00 42240.00 Other Income 11470.00 9220.00 8760.00 6850.00 3750.00 Operating Profit 95620.00 82810.00 74100.00 56470.00 45990.00 Interest 10.00 20.00 20.00 10.00 10.00 PBDT 95610.00 82790.00 74080.00 56460.00 45980.00 Depreciation 7400.00 8070.00 6940.00 5460.00 4690.00 Profit Before Taxation & Exceptional Items 88210.00 74720.00 67140.00 51000.00 41290.00 Exceptional Income / Expenses 0 0 0 0 0 Profit Before Tax 88210.00 74720.00 67140.00 51000.00 41290.00 Provision for Tax 23780.00 17170.00 8950.00 6300.00 3520.00 PAT 64430.00 57550.00 58190.00 44700.00 37770.00 Adj to Profit After Tax 0 0 -10.00 0 -50.00 Profit Balance B/F 138060.00 103050.00 66420.00 48440.00 21950.00 Appropriations 202490.00 161080.00 124600.00 93140.00 59730.00 Equity Dividend (%) 1200.00 500.00 470.00 665.00 230.00 Earnings Per Share (Rs.) 112.25 100.26 101.73 78.15 66.03 Book Value (Rs.) 426.85 383.90 311.35 235.84 195.14 FUTURE GROWTH POTENTIAL: Infosys' services and business solutions are strengthened by alliances with leading technology partners. It recommends technologies to the client based on what is best for the client. In a marketing alliance, Infosys and the alliance partner jointly deliver business solutions which leverage Infosys' industry, functional and technical expertise, Infosys' Global Delivery Model and the alliance partner's technology and services. In a technology alliance, Infosys works with an alliance partner to build business and technical competency in the alliance partner's technology through training, engagement
  • 35. Analysis of Stock Market 35 Amity Business School with the alliance partner's technical support and development teams and the development of tools and methodologies at Infosys' Centers of Excellence. MUTUAL FUNDSINVESTED IN THE COMPANY: Scheme Name Market Val (In Crs.) AUM(In Crs.) Hold Percentage HDFC Top 200(G) 576.95 10644.84 5.42 HDFC Equity(G) 343.80 9419.27 3.65 Franklin India Bluechip(G) 293.14 3904.05 7.51 HDFC Prudence(G) 220.09 6199.86 3.55 Franklin India Flexi Cap(G) 180.28 2002.91 9.00 Morgan Stanley Growth(G) 139.10 1543.89 9.01 HDFC TaxSaver(G) 129.38 3117.54 4.15 Franklin India Prima Plus(G) 120.05 1744.32 6.88 HDFC Growth(G) 100.23 1310.22 7.65 HDFC MIP-LTP(G) 89.50 9728.62 0.92 Franklin Infotech(G) 60.02 130.24 46.09 HDFC Long Term Adv(G) 59.57 929.36 6.41 HSBC Equity(G) 57.66 902.57 6.39 Franklin India Taxshield(G) 57.30 828.81 6.91 Axis Equity Fund(G) 52.18 720.73 7.24 Kotak 50(G) 48.79 862.02 5.66 HDFC Long Term Equity(G) 47.34 756.27 6.26
  • 36. Analysis of Stock Market 36 Amity Business School Kotak Opportunities(G) 43.21 925.19 4.67 Nifty BeES 43.20 538.03 8.03 HDFC Core & Satellite(G) 36.20 417.01 8.68 VALUATIONSAND RISKS: RATING:
  • 37. Analysis of Stock Market 37 Amity Business School Hindustan Unilever Limited SECTOR: FASTMOVING CONSUMER GOODS SCORECARD: Standard Deviation 10.26 Institutional Holding (%) 30.35 DividendYield 1.93 P/E 31.58 Market Capitalization(Rs Cr) 728150.39 CMP(Rs.) 208.55 52 week - high (329.45) 52 week – low (249.90)
  • 38. Analysis of Stock Market 38 Amity Business School STOCK PRICE MOVEMENTS (5TH MAY TO 27TH JUNE): COMPANYPROFILE: Hindustan Unilever Limited (HUL) is India's largest fast moving consumer goods company, with leadership in Home & Personal Care Products and Foods & Beverages. HUL's brands, spread across 20 distinct consumer categories, touch the lives of two out of three Indians. With 35 Power Brands, HUL meets everyday needs for nutrition, hygiene, and personal care. HUL is also one of the country's largest exporters; it has been recognized as a Golden Super Star Trading House by the Government of India. The Parent company, Unilever, holds 52.10% of the equity. It is a Fortune 500 transnational which sells Foods and Home and Personal Care brandsin about100 countriesworldwide. HUL has traditionally been a company, which incorporates latest technology in all its operations. Face Value (Rs.) 1.00
  • 39. Analysis of Stock Market 39 Amity Business School BUSINESS: HUL's brands - like Lifebuoy, Lux, Surf Excel, Rin, Wheel, Fair & Lovely, Pond's, Sunsilk, Clinic, Pepsodent, Close-up, Lakme, Brooke Bond, Kissan, Knorr-Annapurna, Kwality Wall's – are household names across the country and span many categories - soaps, detergents, personal products, tea, coffee, branded staples, ice cream and culinary products. They are manufactured over 40 factories across India. The operations involve over 2,000 suppliers and associates. HUL's distribution network comprises about 4,000 redistribution stockists, covering 6.3 million retail outlets reaching the entire urban population, and about 250 million rural consumers. Major Brands of HUL: Personal wash:Lux,Breeze,Lifebuoy,Dove,Liril,Pears,Hamam, Rexona. Laundry:Surf Excel,Rin,Wheel SkinCare:Fair &Lovely,Pond’s,Vaseline Hair Care:SunsilkNaturals,Clinic Oral Care:Pepsodent,Closeup Deodorants:Axe,Rexona ColourCosmetics:Lakme Ayurvedic:Ayush Tea: Brooke Bond,Lipton Coffee:Brooke BondBru Foods:Kissan,Annapurna,Knorr Ice Cream:KwalityWall’s
  • 40. Analysis of Stock Market 40 Amity Business School SHAREHOLDING PATTERN: Particulars No. of Shares(Mn) % Holdings Total Promoter Holdings 1,134.85 52.6 Total Govt Holding (Promoter + Non Promoter) 0.00 0.0 Total Domestic Institutions (Banks/ FI + MF / UTI) 266.70 12.4 Total Foreign Holdings (FII+NRI holdings) 379.99 17.6 Total Non Promoter Corporate Holdings 55.60 2.6 Total Public & Others (Individuals + HUF + Clearing members) 322.33 14.9 Total 2,159.47 100 (Rs. in Million) Particulars Mar 2010 Mar 2009 Dec 2007 Dec 2006 Dec 2005 No of Months 12 15 12 12 12 Gross Sales 182202.70 216495.10 147150.97 130350.63 119755.27 Less :Inter divisional transfers 0 0 0 0 0 Less: Sales Returns 0 0 0 0 0 Less: Excise 6964.70 14101.80 10396.64 9316.77 9149.81 Net Sales 175238.00 202393.30 136754.33 121033.86 110605.46 EXPENDITURE : Increase/Decrease in Stock -227.20 -4215.60 -1444.01 -1159.69 481.22 Raw Materials Consumed 75440.00 95424.40 62572.67 55652.23 51686.71 Power & Fuel Cost 2443.40 3013.70 1988.85 1807.94 1687.44 Employee Cost 9203.70 11387.00 7579.13 6326.01 5853.92 Other Manufacturing Expenses 18100.50 22054.00 15176.54 13647.83 12608.80 General and Administration Expenses 3977.00 5074.10 3400.21 3701.99 3713.57 Selling and Distribution Expenses 32621.20 32777.40 21776.96 19293.60 15852.93 Miscellaneous Expenses 8620.90 10359.30 6925.83 5445.04 4392.32 Expenses Capitalised 0 0 0 0 0 Total Expenditure 150179.50 175874.30 117976.17 104714.94 96276.91 PBIDT (Excl OI) 25058.50 26519.00 18778.16 16318.92 14328.55
  • 41. Analysis of Stock Market 41 Amity Business School Other Income 3922.30 5938.40 4323.69 3706.86 3152.63 Operating Profit 28980.80 32457.40 23101.85 20025.78 17481.18 Interest 69.80 253.20 254.97 107.34 191.93 PBDT 28911.00 32204.20 22846.88 19918.44 17289.25 Depreciation 1840.30 1953.00 1383.59 1301.64 1244.53 Profit Before Taxation & Exceptional Items 27070.70 30251.20 21463.29 18616.81 16044.71 Exceptional Income / Expenses 0 0 0 0 0 Profit Before Tax 27070.70 30251.20 21463.29 18616.81 16044.71 Provision for Tax 6043.90 5244.10 4032.10 3220.10 2499.63 PAT 21026.80 25007.10 17431.20 15396.71 13545.08 Adj to Profit After Tax 0 0 0 0 0 Profit Balance B/F 4763.30 1975.00 8036.54 6506.57 6447.99 Appropriations 26783.60 26939.50 27291.24 25060.31 20529.04 Equity Dividend (%) 650.00 750.00 900.00 600.00 500.00 Earnings Per Share (Rs.) 9.64 11.47 8.01 6.98 6.15 Book Value (Rs.) 11.82 9.44 6.58 12.31 10.45 FUTURE GROWTH POTENTIAL: Home to over 700 million people, rural India comprises not only over 70% of India's billion- strong population, but also over 12% of the world's population. The rural population already accounts for substantial consumption of Fast Moving Consumer Goods and also consumer durables. About 50% of the sales of soaps & detergents are generated in rural India. Similarly, almost half the demand for black & white television sets, pressure cookers, table fans, sewing machines also comes from there. But the potential is even larger, both in terms of consumption and penetration. The fact that 70% of the population accounts for only 50% of even relatively well-penetrated categories, like soaps & detergents, indicates the enormous scope of consumption-led growth in these categories. Therefore such categories will derive growth out of increased usage. In categories, whichare relativelylesspenetrated,likepersonalproducts,rural
  • 42. Analysis of Stock Market 42 Amity Business School Hindustan Unilever's distribution network is recognized as one of its key strengths. Its focus is not only to enable easy access to our brands, but also to touch consumers with a three-way convergence - of product availability, brand communication, and higher levels of brand experience. HUL's products, manufactured across the country, are distributed through a network of about 7,000 redistribution stockists covering about one million retail outlets. The distributionnetworkdirectlycoversthe entire urbanpopulation. MUTUAL FUNDSINVESTED IN THE COMPANY: Scheme Name Market Val (In Crs.) AUM(In Crs.) Hold Percentage HDFC Top 200(G) 140.51 10644.84 1.32 DSPBR Top 100 Equity-Reg(G) 94.85 3020.67 3.14 Franklin India Bluechip(G) 85.36 3904.05 2.19 DSPBR Equity-Reg(D) 29.65 2555.65 1.16 Tata Pure Equity(G) 24.09 613.01 3.93 Tata Equity Opportunities(G) 17.07 336.66 5.07 Tata Equity P/E(G) 13.99 732.48 1.91 DSPBR Focus 25(G) 12.34 697.17 1.77 Tata Balanced(G) 11.09 314.22 3.53 Nifty BeES 10.06 538.03 1.87 Tata Dividend Yield(G) 7.62 206.38 3.69 Morgan Stanley Growth(G) 7.57 1543.89 0.49
  • 43. Analysis of Stock Market 43 Amity Business School DSPBR Balanced(G) 6.55 744.30 0.88 Tata Equity Mgmt(G) 6.10 147.24 4.14 Sundaram Growth Fund(G) 6.09 187.26 3.25 Sundaram-Select Thematic Funds-Rural India(G) 6.09 191.11 3.19 Kotak Tax Saver(G) 6.07 510.19 1.19 Axis Equity Fund(G) 5.98 720.73 0.83 LIC Nomura MF Top 100(G) 4.73 271.84 1.74 Sundaram India Leadership Fund(G) 4.57 148.28 3.08 VALUATIONSAND RISKS: RATING:
  • 44. Analysis of Stock Market 44 Amity Business School ICICI Bank Limited SECTOR: BANKING SCORECARD: Standard Deviation 81.48 Institutional Holding (%) 57.43 DividendYield 1.28 P/E 24.49 Market Capitalization(Rs Cr) 1261802.92 CMP(Rs.) 652.15
  • 45. Analysis of Stock Market 45 Amity Business School STOCK PRICE MOVEMENTS (16TH MAY TO 4th JULY): ICICI BANK COMPANYPROFILE: ICICI Bank is India's second-largest bank with total assets of Rs. 3,997.95 billion (US$ 100 billion) at March 31, 2008 and profit after tax of Rs. 41.58 billion for the year ended March 31, 2008. ICICI Bank is second amongst all the companies listed on the Indian stock exchanges in terms of free float market capitalization. The Bank has a network of about 1,308 branches and 3,950 ATMs in India and presence in 18 countries. The Bank currently has subsidiaries in the United Kingdom, Russia and Canada, branches in Unites States, Singapore, Bahrain, Hong Kong, Sri Lanka, Qatar and Dubai International Finance Centre and representative offices in United Arab Emirates, China, South Africa, 52 week – high (1277.00) 52 week – low (829.80) Face Value (Rs.) 10.00
  • 46. Analysis of Stock Market 46 Amity Business School Bangladesh, Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia. Our UK subsidiary has established branches in Belgium and Germany. BUSINESS: The Bank has a network of about 1,308 branches and 3,950 ATMs in India and presence in 18 countries. ICICI Bank is India's second-largest bank with total assets of Rs. 3,997.95 billion (US$ 100 billion) at March 31, 2008 and profit after tax of Rs. 41.58 billion for the year ended March 31, 2008. ICICI Bank is second amongst all the companies listed on the Indian stock exchanges in terms of free float market capitalization. ICICI Bank offers a wide range of banking products and financial services to corporate and retail customers through a variety of delivery channels and through its specialised subsidiaries and affiliates in the areas of investment banking, life and non-life insurance, venture capital and asset management. ICICI Bank's equity shares are listed in India on Bombay Stock Exchange and the National Stock Exchange of India Limited and its American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) are listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). SHAREHOLDING PATTERN: Particulars No. of Shares(Mn) % Holdings Total Promoter Holdings 0.00 0.0 Total Govt Holding (Promoter + Non Promoter) 0.01 0.0 Total Domestic Institutions (Banks/ FI + MF / UTI) 276.91 24.0 Total Foreign Holdings (FII+NRI holdings) 765.57 66.5 Total Non Promoter Corporate Holdings 45.42 3.9 Total Public & Others (Individuals + HUF + Clearing members) 63.86 5.6 Total 1,151.77 100
  • 47. Analysis of Stock Market 47 Amity Business School FINANCIALS: (Rs. in Million) Particulars Mar 2011 Mar 2010 Mar 2009 Mar 2008 Mar 2007 No of Months 12 12 12 12 12 I. INCOME Interest Earned 259740.53 257069.33 310925.48 307883.43 219955.88 Other Income 66478.93 74776.50 76037.27 88107.63 69278.73 Total Income 326219.45 331845.83 386962.76 395991.06 289234.60 II. EXPENDITURE Interest Expended 169571.52 175925.70 227259.34 234842.42 163584.98 Operating Expenses 66172.49 58598.33 70451.14 81541.82 66905.56 PBIDT 90475.45 97321.80 89252.28 79606.82 58744.05 Provisions and Contingencies 22868.38 43868.57 38082.58 29045.84 22263.66 Profit Before Tax 67607.06 53453.23 51169.69 50560.98 36480.39 Taxes 16093.30 13203.40 13588.36 8983.70 5378.19 Total 274705.69 291596.00 349381.42 354413.78 258132.40 III. Profit & Loss PAT 51513.76 40249.83 37581.33 41577.28 31102.20 Profit brought forward 34643.81 28096.51 24363.16 9982.74 2934.42 Adjusted Net Profit 0 0 0 0 0
  • 48. Analysis of Stock Market 48 Amity Business School Total Profit & Loss 51513.76 40249.83 37581.33 41577.28 31102.20 IV. Appropriations 86157.57 68346.34 61944.49 51560.02 34036.62 Equity Dividend (%) 140.00 120.00 110.00 110.00 100.00 Earnings Per Share (Rs.) 44.73 36.10 33.76 37.37 34.59 Book Value (Rs.) 478.32 463.02 444.95 417.67 270.37 FUTURE GROWTH POTENTIAL: The company is moving ahead strongly and the future of the company is indeed bright. The growing middle class of the country is a major prospective client category which seems to speed up the businessturnoverandbase. MUTUAL FUNDSINVESTED IN THE COMPANY: Scheme Name Market Val (In Crs.) AUM(In Crs.) Hold Percentage HDFC Top 200(G) 651.46 10644.84 6.12 HDFC Equity(G) 620.73 9419.27 6.59 Bank BeES 324.80 992.98 32.71 Franklin India Bluechip(G) 260.64 3904.05 6.68 HDFC Prudence(G) 239.93 6199.86 3.87 Franklin India Flexi Cap(G) 133.51 2002.91 6.67 HDFC MIP-LTP(G) 129.39 9728.62 1.33 DSPBR Top 100 Equity-Reg(G) 123.24 3020.67 4.08 HDFC TaxSaver(G) 114.41 3117.54 3.67 Franklin India Prima Plus(G) 114.03 1744.32 6.54 Morgan Stanley Growth(G) 108.07 1543.89 7.00
  • 49. Analysis of Stock Market 49 Amity Business School DSPBR India T.I.G.E.R-Reg(G) 89.86 2144.53 4.19 HDFC Growth(G) 85.03 1310.22 6.49 DSPBR Equity-Reg(D) 82.55 2555.65 3.23 HDFC Infrastructure(G) 79.82 1051.70 7.59 HDFC Long Term Adv(G) 70.63 929.36 7.60 Tata Infrastructure(G) 65.17 1522.71 4.28 HSBC Equity(G) 63.54 902.57 7.04 HDFC Long Term Equity(G) 62.85 756.27 8.31 Franklin India Taxshield(G) 59.19 828.81 7.14 VALUATIONSAND RISKS: RATING:
  • 50. Analysis of Stock Market 50 Amity Business School Larsen &Toubro SECTOR: CAPITAL GOODS AND ENGINEERING SCORECARD: Standard Deviation 219.02 Institutional Holding (%) 54.30 DividendYield 0.80 P/E 28.41 Market Capitalization(Rs Cr) 1104172.53 CMP(Rs.) 2265.80 52 week - high (2212.00) 52 week - low (1463.05)
  • 51. Analysis of Stock Market 51 Amity Business School STOCK PRICE MOVEMENTS (16TH MAY TO 4th JULY): COMPANYPROFILE: Larsen & Toubro (L&T) is a technology-driven USD 7 billion company that infuses engineering with imagination. It offers a wide range of advanced solutions, services and products. L&T's in- house capabilities in technology development are complemented by tie-ups with world leaders. It provides state-of-the-art products & solutions to a large and diverse customer base. L&T was founded in Bombay (Mumbai) in 1938 by two Danish engineers, Henning Holck-Larsen and Soren Kristian Toubro. Both of them were strongly committed to developing India's engineering capabilities to meet the demands of industry. Beginning with the import of machinery from Europe, L&T rapidly took on engineering and construction assignments of increasing sophistication. Today, the company sets global engineering benchmarks in terms of scale and complexity. Face Value (Rs.) 2.00
  • 52. Analysis of Stock Market 52 Amity Business School BUSINESS: Larsen & Toubro (L&T) is a technology-driven USD 7 billion company that infuses engineering with imagination. It offers a wide range of advanced solutions, services and products. Larsen & Toubro Limited (L&T) is a technology, engineering, construction and manufacturing company. It isone of the largestand mostrespectedcompaniesinIndia'sprivate sector. Seven decades of a strong, customer-focused approach and the continuous quest for world-class qualityhave enabledittoattainand sustainleadershipinall itsmajorlinesof business. SHAREHOLDING PATTERN: Particulars No. of Shares(Mn) % Holdings Total Promoter Holdings 0.00 0.0 Total Govt Holding (Promoter + Non Promoter) 0.00 0.0 Total Domestic Institutions (Banks/ FI + MF / UTI) 228.33 37.5 Total Foreign Holdings (FII+NRI holdings) 119.28 19.6 Total Non Promoter Corporate Holdings 41.75 6.9 Total Public & Others (Individuals + HUF + Clearing members) 219.49 36.0 Total 608.85 100 FINANCIALS:
  • 53. Analysis of Stock Market 53 Amity Business School (Rs. in Million) Particulars Mar 2010 Mar 2009 Mar 2008 Mar 2007 Mar 2006 No of Months 12 12 12 12 12 Gross Sales 373555.80 343370.10 253422.10 179382.90 149947.90 Less :Inter divisional transfers 0 0 0 0 0 Less: Sales Returns 0 0 0 0 0 Less: Excise 3207.80 3984.70 3327.80 3334.90 2307.60 Net Sales 370348.00 339385.40 250094.30 176048.00 147640.30 EXPENDITURE : Increase/Decrease in Stock 3990.70 -1102.70 -7445.70 -1171.70 1363.40 Raw Materials Consumed 158544.00 161771.70 130095.10 84345.10 70262.40 Power & Fuel Cost 3653.60 4833.00 3652.50 3081.30 2347.50 Employee Cost 23104.90 19180.00 14974.30 12319.90 8753.60 Other Manufacturing Expenses 104577.90 86363.00 59096.70 43357.10 41835.40 General and Administration Expenses 19544.20 17545.70 14142.80 12173.00 7853.70 Selling and Distribution Expenses 3062.20 3121.00 1384.70 1130.50 984.90 Miscellaneous Expenses 5066.70 8555.90 3990.70 3507.90 3761.10 Expenses Capitalised 0 0 0 33.00 0 Total Expenditure 321544.20 300267.60 219891.10 158710.10 137162.00 PBIDT (Excl OI) 48803.80 39117.80 30203.20 17337.90 10478.30 Other Income 20525.60 8123.00 5203.70 5787.70 5526.80 Operating Profit 69329.40 47240.80 35406.90 23125.60 16005.10 Interest 6376.70 4776.80 1736.20 1376.60 1723.70 PBDT 62952.70 42464.00 33670.70 21749.00 14281.40 Depreciation 4146.00 3059.90 2116.00 1700.10 1144.90 Profit Before Taxation & Exceptional Items 58806.70 39404.10 31554.70 20048.90 13136.50 Exceptional Income / Expenses 0 0 0 0 0 Profit Before Tax 58806.70 39404.10 31554.70 20048.90 13136.50 Provision for Tax 16408.70 12312.10 9820.50 6018.70 3712.60 PAT 42398.00 27092.00 21734.20 14030.20 9423.90 Adj to Profit After Tax -23.90 -3.30 -7.70 -88.90 -44.20
  • 54. Analysis of Stock Market 54 Amity Business School Profit Balance B/F 1005.00 1043.10 782.40 557.00 556.20 Appropriations 44736.30 35856.40 22508.90 14498.30 10633.40 Equity Dividend (%) 625.00 525.00 850.00 650.00 1100.00 Earnings Per Share (Rs.) 70.41 46.26 74.34 49.53 68.59 Book Value (Rs.) 298.56 208.28 321.93 200.50 331.43 FUTURE GROWTH POTENTIAL: With the economic progress of the country and the prospects of the other businesses looking good, the company hopes to continue with the current momentum. The following points illustrate itsachievementsandaglimpse of whatisto come. L&T-Paul Wurth ConsortiumCommissionsIndia’sLargestBlastFurnace at Jamshedpur. L&T BaggedElectrical ProjectOrdersworthRs.6,350 millioninthe Gulf Region. L&T andGE EnergyenteredControl SystemPartnershipAgreement. MUTUAL FUNDSINVESTED IN THE COMPANY: Scheme Name Market Val (In Crs.) AUM(In Crs.) Hold Percentage DSPBR Top 100 Equity-Reg(G) 180.33 3020.67 5.97 HDFC Top 200(G) 138.38 10644.84 1.30 HDFC TaxSaver(G) 78.87 3117.54 2.53 DSPBR India T.I.G.E.R-Reg(G) 64.98 2144.53 3.03 Franklin India Bluechip(G) 60.83 3904.05 1.56
  • 55. Analysis of Stock Market 55 Amity Business School Tata Infrastructure(G) 60.76 1522.71 3.99 DSPBR Equity-Reg(D) 60.31 2555.65 2.36 Morgan Stanley Growth(G) 58.05 1543.89 3.76 HSBC Equity(G) 48.78 902.57 5.40 DSPBR Focus 25(G) 46.92 697.17 6.73 HDFC Infrastructure(G) 34.50 1051.70 3.28 HDFC Long Term Adv(G) 34.48 929.36 3.71 Tata Indo-Global Infra(G) 31.26 833.49 3.75 Axis Equity Fund(G) 30.78 720.73 4.27 Sundaram Select Focus(G) 29.45 852.55 3.45 Nifty BeES 28.30 538.03 5.26 Sundaram-Select Thematic Funds-Energy Opp(G) 27.41 1067.51 2.57 Kotak Opportunities(G) 26.28 925.19 2.84 Principal Personal Tax saver 20.69 579.20 3.57 Sundaram-Select Thematic Funds-CAPEX Oppor(G) 20.47 352.47 5.81 VALUATIONSAND RISKS: RATING:
  • 56. Analysis of Stock Market 56 Amity Business School Reliance Infrastructure Limited (formerly Reliance Energy) SECTOR: POWER AND ENERGY SCORECARD: Standard Deviation 188.80 Institutional Holding (%) 41.75 DividendYield 1.33 P/E 13.34 Market Capitalization(Rs Cr) 144162.71 CMP (Rs) 886.55 52 week - high (1225.00) 52 week - low (492.85) Face Value (Rs.) 10.00
  • 57. Analysis of Stock Market 57 Amity Business School STOCK PRICE MOVEMENTS (16TH MAY TO 4th JULY): Reliance Infrastructure COMPANYPROFILE: Reliance Energy Limited, now Reliance infrastructure limited incorporated in 1929, is a fully integrated utility engaged in the generation, transmission and distribution of electricity. It ranks among India’s top listed private companies on all major financial parameters, including assets, sales, profits and market capitalization. The company’s Vision is to be amongst the most admired and most trusted integrated utility companies in the world, delivering reliable and quality products and services to all customers at competitive costs, with international standards of customer care –thereby creating superior value for all stakeholders and also to set new benchmarks in standards of corporate performance and governance through the pursuit of operational andfinancial excellence, responsiblecitizenshipandprofitable growth. BUSINESS: A constituent of the Reliance Anil Dhirubhai Ambani Group, Reliance Energy is India ’s foremost private sector utility with aggregate estimated revenues of Rs 9,500 crore (US$2.1 billion)and total assets of Rs 10,700 crore (US$2.4 billion). Reliance Energy distributes more than 21 billion units of electricity to over 25 million consumers in Mumbai, Delhi, Orissa and Goa, across an area that spans 1,24,300 sq.kms. It generates
  • 58. Analysis of Stock Market 58 Amity Business School 941 MW of electricity, through its power stations located in Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh, Kerala, Karnataka and Goa.Reliance Energy companies currently pursue several gas, coal, wind and hydro-based power generation projects in Maharashtra, Uttar Pradesh, Arunachal Pradesh and Uttaranchal with aggregate capacity of over 13,510 MW. These projects are at various stages of development. SHAREHOLDING PATTERN: Particulars No. of Shares(Mn) % Holdings Total Promoter Holdings 127.63 47.7 Total Govt Holding (Promoter + Non Promoter) 0.08 0.0 Total Domestic Institutions (Banks/ FI + MF / UTI) 58.45 21.9 Total Foreign Holdings (FII+NRI holdings) 44.80 16.8 Total Non Promoter Corporate Holdings 7.17 2.7 Total Public & Others (Individuals + HUF + Clearing members) 29.29 11.0 Total 267.42 100 FINANCIALS: (Rs. in Million) Particulars Mar 2010 Mar 2009 Mar 2008 Mar 2007 Mar 2006 No of Months 12 12 12 12 12 Gross Sales 96898.50 97394.80 60827.30 57434.10 39350.60 Less: Excise Duty 0 0 0 0.30 2.90 Net Sales 96898.50 97394.80 60827.30 57433.80 39347.70 EXPENDITURE : Increase/Decrease in Stock -927.60 1196.20 -2304.40 504.60 -652.30 Power Generation & Distribution Cost 45425.00 54218.70 35040.70 24545.10 19003.70 Employee Cost 6502.30 5330.20 3833.80 2851.40 2078.30 Operation Expenses 31115.40 21771.60 13901.30 20290.70 8109.60 General and Administration Expenses 1397.50 1455.80 1033.90 1009.70 403.30
  • 59. Analysis of Stock Market 59 Amity Business School Selling and Distribution Expenses 1541.30 1529.60 1315.80 1246.20 1140.00 Miscellaneous Expenses 4009.20 7593.90 3052.50 2181.20 2124.20 Expenses Capitalised 0 0 0 0 0 Total Expenditure 89063.10 93096.00 55873.60 52628.90 32206.80 PBIDT (Excl OI) 7835.40 4298.80 4953.70 4804.90 7140.90 Other Income 11254.50 13389.30 11880.30 8822.60 6078.90 Operating Profit 19089.90 17688.10 16834.00 13627.50 13219.80 Interest 2922.10 3305.00 3087.60 2503.20 1918.80 PBDT 16167.80 14383.10 13746.40 11124.30 11301.00 Depreciation 3198.40 2448.80 2229.40 2400.60 3486.30 Profit Before Taxation & Exceptional Items 12969.40 11934.30 11517.00 8723.70 7814.70 Exceptional Income / Expenses 0 0 0 0 0 Profit Before Tax 12969.40 11934.30 11517.00 8723.70 7814.70 Provision for Tax 1452.50 545.50 670.70 709.20 1311.30 PAT 11516.90 11388.80 10846.30 8014.50 6503.40 Adj to Profit After Tax 0 711.00 0 0 0 Profit Balance B/F 6832.00 7037.60 3592.80 2759.30 2003.10 Appropriations 18348.90 19137.40 14439.10 10773.80 8506.50 Equity Dividend (%) 71.00 70.00 63.00 53.00 50.00 Earnings Per Share (Rs.) 47.03 50.39 46.04 35.07 30.63 Book Value (Rs.) 574.78 466.05 435.51 378.12 331.24 FUTURE GROWTH POTENTIAL: The company has a number of projects in the hand and is poised to become a giant in the times to come. This was evident from the IPO issue of the company of approx.3 billion which was India’s largest IPO so far. The IPO was oversubscribed by about 89 times. Though due to the overall market correction, the price could not be maintained and the promoter offered a bonus issue of 3:5 shares to the shareholders to remain invested and be confident of the fundamentals of the company. The real power of the company will be unleashed after a few years when the projectsare completedandstartgeneratingmuchmore revenue forthe company.
  • 60. Analysis of Stock Market 60 Amity Business School MUTUAL FUNDSINVESTED IN THE COMPANY: Scheme Name Market Val (In Crs.) AUM(In Crs.) Hold Percentage Templeton India Growth(D) 42.25 869.84 4.86 HDFC Top 200(G) 12.77 10644.84 0.12 MOSt Shares M50 - MOS ETF 7.76 173.91 4.46 HSBC Progressive Themes(G) 5.12 211.72 2.42 HDFC Arbitrage-Ret(G) 4.49 73.55 6.11 Kotak Equity Arbitrage(G) 3.88 95.45 4.07 Nifty BeES 2.53 538.03 0.47 LIC Nomura MF Top 100(G) 1.44 271.84 0.53 JM Arbitrage Adv(G) 1.08 59.19 1.83 LIC Nomura MF Equity(G) 0.93 94.82 0.98 Infra BeES 0.84 34.32 2.46 IDBI Nifty Index Fund-(G) 0.65 137.99 0.47 Franklin India Index-NSE Nifty(G) 0.62 130.95 0.48 Franklin India Index-BSE Sensex(G) 0.35 61.90 0.56 HDFC Index-Sensex Plus(G) 0.30 65.98 0.45 HDFC Index-Sensex(G) 0.26 51.08 0.51 HDFC Index-Nifty(G) 0.24 55.18 0.43 ING OptiMix Multi-Mgr Equity-Reg(G) 0.21 67.59 0.31 Baroda Pioneer Growth(G) 0.18 63.24 0.28 LIC Nomura MF Index-Nifty(G) 0.15 33.42 0.45 VALUATIONSAND RISKS: RATING:
  • 61. Analysis of Stock Market 61 Amity Business School Reliance Industries Limited SECTOR: OIL & GAS SCORECARD: Standard Deviation 198.83 Institutional Holding (%) 26.42 DividendYield 0.90 P/E 14.39 Market Capitalization(Rs Cr) 2918766.79 CMP(Rs.) 2182.65 52 week - high (1187.00)
  • 62. Analysis of Stock Market 62 Amity Business School STOCK PRICE MOVEMENTS (16TH MAY TO 4th JULY): 52 week - low (829.00) Face Value (Rs.) 10.00
  • 63. Analysis of Stock Market 63 Amity Business School COMPANY PROFILE: The Reliance Group, founded by Dhirubhai H. Ambani (1932-2002), is India's largest private sector enterprise, with businesses in the energy and materials value chain. Group's annual revenues are in excess of US$ 34 billion. The flagship company, Reliance Industries Limited, is a Fortune Global 500 company and is the largest private sector company in India.Backward vertical integration has been the cornerstone of the evolution and growth of Reliance. Starting with textiles in the late seventies, Reliance pursued a strategy of backward vertical integration - in polyester, fibre intermediates, plastics, petrochemicals, petroleum refining and oil and gas exploration and production - to be fully integrated along the materials and energy value chain.The Group's activities span exploration and production of oil and gas, petroleum refining and marketing, petrochemicals (polyester, fibre intermediates, plastics and chemicals), textiles and retail. BUSINESS: The company is a significant contributor to India's economic growth:  Revenuesequivalentto3% of India’sGDP  13.4% of India’stotal exports  4.9% of the Governmentof India’sindirecttax revenues  6.7% of the total market capitalizationinIndia  Weightage of 16.5% in the BSE Sensex  Weightage of 12.5% in the NiftyIndex
  • 64. Analysis of Stock Market 64 Amity Business School SHAREHOLDING PATTERN: Particulars No. of Shares(Mn) % Holdings Total Promoter Holdings 1,463.92 44.7 Total Govt Holding (Promoter + Non Promoter) 3.20 0.1 Total Domestic Institutions (Banks/ FI + MF / UTI) 349.81 10.7 Total Foreign Holdings (FII+NRI holdings) 725.19 22.2 Total Non Promoter Corporate Holdings 148.27 4.5 Total Public & Others (Individuals + HUF + Clearing members) 582.97 17.8 Total 3,273.37 100 FINANCIALS: (Rs. in Million) Particulars Mar 2011 Mar 2010 Mar 2009 Mar 2008 Mar 2007 No of Months 12 12 12 12 12 Gross Sales 2586511.50 2003997.90 1463280.70 1392694.60 1183537.10 Less :Inter divisional transfers 0 0 0 0 0 Less: Sales Returns 0 0 0 0 0 Less: Excise 104811.50 79387.70 44806.00 58264.60 66609.90 Net Sales 2481700.00 1924610.20 1418474.70 1334430.00 1116927.20 EXPENDITURE : Increase/Decrease in Stock -32091.10 -35787.40 -5390.90 15043.80 -6609.10 Raw Materials Consumed 1946981.90 1509150.30 1070103.20 963115.60 786929.40 Power & Fuel Cost 22550.70 27067.10 33559.80 20528.40 22616.90 Employee Cost 25818.20 23077.30 23574.00 20499.50 20459.50 Other Manufacturing Expenses 63233.10 49556.10 35038.30 38208.20 33818.30 General and Administration Expenses 22386.40 21933.60 25067.00 21954.30 20002.10 Selling and Distribution 53531.00 41237.70 30952.70 32295.90 36614.50
  • 65. Analysis of Stock Market 65 Amity Business School Expenses Miscellaneous Expenses 2009.10 1510.30 5973.60 1348.70 3745.40 Expenses Capitalised 302.60 12179.20 32656.50 1754.60 1112.10 Total Expenditure 2104116.70 1625565.80 1186221.20 1111239.80 916464.90 PBIDT (Excl OI) 377583.30 299044.40 232253.50 223190.20 200462.30 Other Income 34191.10 31367.40 21484.00 66156.20 4782.80 Operating Profit 411774.40 330411.80 253737.50 289346.40 205245.10 Interest 23276.20 19972.10 17452.30 10773.60 11888.90 PBDT 388498.20 310439.70 236285.20 278572.80 193356.20 Depreciation 136075.80 104965.30 51952.90 48471.40 48151.50 Profit Before Taxation & Exceptional Items 252422.40 205474.40 184332.30 230101.40 145204.70 Exceptional Income / Expenses 0 0 0 0 0 Profit Before Tax 252422.40 205474.40 184332.30 230101.40 145204.70 Provision for Tax 49559.40 43117.70 31239.10 35518.50 25770.70 PAT 202863.00 162356.70 153093.20 194582.90 119434.00 Adj to Profit After Tax 0 0 0 481.00 5.10 Profit Balance B/F 49994.50 53841.90 43632.90 27653.70 30290.90 Appropriations 252857.50 216198.60 196726.10 222717.60 149730.00 Equity Dividend (%) 80.00 70.00 130.00 130.00 110.00 Earnings Per Share (Rs.) 61.97 49.64 97.29 133.88 85.73 Book Value (Rs.) 446.25 392.51 727.78 542.83 439.67
  • 66. Analysis of Stock Market 66 Amity Business School FUTURE GROWTH POTENTIAL: The company has made various oil and gas discoveries in the recent times and these are considered to drive the success of the company in the times to come. Credit Ratings of the company clearly reflect the confidence the world has in the company’s prospects. RatingAgency Instrument Rating CRISIL Long TermDebt AAA Fitch Long TermDebt IndAAA CRISIL Short TermDebt P1+ CRISIL WorkingCapital Debt AAA Moody's International Debt Baa2 S&P International Debt BBB Fitch International Debt BBB -
  • 67. Analysis of Stock Market 67 Amity Business School MUTUAL FUNDSINVESTED IN THE COMPANY: Scheme Name Market Val (In Crs.) AUM(In Crs.) Hold Percentage HDFC Top 200(G) 483.28 10644.84 4.54 HDFC Equity(G) 299.53 9419.27 3.18 Franklin India Bluechip(G) 233.18 3904.05 5.97 Morgan Stanley Growth(G) 120.73 1543.89 7.82 DSPBR India T.I.G.E.R-Reg(G) 99.29 2144.53 4.63 HDFC Growth(G) 97.74 1310.22 7.46 DSPBR Top 100 Equity-Reg(G) 96.36 3020.67 3.19 HDFC Prudence(G) 95.48 6199.86 1.54 Tata Infrastructure(G) 93.34 1522.71 6.13 Franklin India Prima Plus(G) 76.14 1744.32 4.37 Tata Indo-Global Infra(G) 61.85 833.49 7.42 Sundaram-Select Thematic Funds-Energy Opp(G) 59.80 1067.51 5.60 HDFC Long Term Equity(G) 58.23 756.27 7.70 HDFC Long Term Adv(G) 55.20 929.36 5.94 HSBC Equity(G) 53.11 902.57 5.88 Nifty BeES 51.65 538.03 9.60 Sundaram Select Focus(G) 50.15 852.55 5.88 HDFC TaxSaver(G) 49.88 3117.54 1.60 Kotak 50(G) 47.58 862.02 5.52 Franklin India Taxshield(G) 42.92 828.81 5.18
  • 68. Analysis of Stock Market 68 Amity Business School VALUATIONSAND RISKS: RATING:
  • 69. Analysis of Stock Market 69 Amity Business School