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9M 2012
FY RESULTS

Periodical Financial
Periodical Financial
Information
Information

Christophe Boizard
CFO

Morgan Stanley Conference
London - 20 March 2013
Presentation
Annexes

1
Headlines
Ageas confirms strong insurance results
Insurance net result: 2011 heavily
impacted by impairments

Insurance excl. impairments:
improving Life & Non-Life

Both Insurance & General Account
contributing to group net result

In EUR mio

In EUR mio

In EUR mio

624

+15%

595

223

30

683

743

11

119

172

119

(313)
82

430

(578)

30

FY 11
(425)

FY 12

(28)

446

FY 11
(313)
FY 11

Life

Non-Life

Other

Combined ratio further improving
in claims & expenses

624

501

Life

FY 12
Non-Life

Other

Insurance solvency stable*

FY 12

(265)
Insurance

General Account

Shareholdersโ€™ equity up on
net profit & unrealized gains
42.7
3,8

EUR per share

32.3
5,2
100.1%

FY 11

207%
99.1%

FY 12

227%

FY 11

210%

206%
207%

27,1

FY 12

FY11

* Based on regulatorโ€™s view / ** pro forma recalculation for reverse 10 to 1 stock-split
Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

**

Tangible Equity

38,9

FY12
Intangible Equity
2
Ageasโ€™s dividend and share buy back program over 2012
๏‚ง Proposed gross dividend in cash

๏ฎ

๏ƒผ

For an amount up to EUR 200 mio
๏ƒผ For period ending 19 February 2013 at the latest

๏ƒผ 1.2 Euro per share
๏ƒผ Up 50% on 2011

๏ƒผ

on 24 April 2013 in Brussels
๏ƒผ 26 April : Ex-dividend date
๏ƒผ 6 May

: Payment 2012 dividend

Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

Open market purchases on NYSE Euronext Brussels

๏ƒผ

๏ฎ

Independent broker mandated to execute programme

๏ƒผ

๏ƒผ In line with 40%-50% pay-out ratio set
out in dividend policy

๏‚ง Dividend to be approved at AGM

Buy-back programme launched as of 13 August

Shares to be held as treasury shares until formal
approval of cancellation

On 27 February Ageas announces the completion
of its EUR 200 mio buy back program
๏ƒผ

Total amount of 9.6 mio shares bought back (3.96% of
total)
๏ƒผ Total amount of shares owned by Ageas is 5.70%
๏ƒผ Next step: propose at shareholdersโ€™ meeting the
cancellation of the shares bought back

3
Evolution on realizing the targets set for 2015
As communicated at Investor Day 2012
FY 12 at 67/33 vs. 66/34
Calculation based on Inflows @ Ageasโ€™s part (details slide 29)

FY 12 at 99.1% vs. 100.1%
Calculation based on Non-Life Net Underwriting result in % Net earned premiums

FY 12 at 8.7% vs. (5.5%*)
Calculation: Insurance result in % average Insurance equity

FY 12 at 12.1% vs. 15.2%
Calculation: Equity of Turkey, China, Malaysia, Thailand & India as % Insurance equity

* ROE 2011 on adjusted basis of 7.1%
Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

4
Net cash wisely spent
Balanced use of cash since 2009

Invest in Businesses
๏ฎ
๏ฎ
๏ฎ

Organic growth
Selective acquisitions
Create new partnerships

Return to shareholders
๏ฎ
๏ฎ

Dividend payment
Share buy-back

Return to debtholders
๏ฎ

Redemption of Debt (EMTN)

May 2009 โ€“ December 2012:
+/- EUR 0.9 bn
๏ฎ
๏ฎ
๏ฎ

+/- EUR 600 mio UK (Tesco, KFIS,
Castle Cover, Groupama)
+/- EUR 200 mio CEU (Italy, Turkey)
+/- EUR 100 mio Asia (India, HK)

+/- EUR 1.1 bn
๏ฎ
๏ฎ

+/- EUR 600 mio constant dividend
over 2009, 2010 & 2011
EUR 450 mio share buy-back
finalized early 2013

+/- EUR 0.8 bn
๏ฎ

redemption in EMTN programme

+ EUR 270 mio
proposed dividend 2012

Going forward :
๏ƒผ

Lower growth in capital intensive savings business
๏ƒผ Increased proportion of Non-Life related business
Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

5
Inflows @ 100%
Driven by Asia & scope changes in Continental Europe
In EUR mio

21,269
Belgium
UK
CEU
Asia
Total Ageas

Life
Life
Life
Life
Life

Non-Life
Non-Life
Non-Life
Non-Life
Non-Life

+ 24%

17,220

5,680

4,891

+ 28%
+ 11%

6,179
1,671

7,882

6,886

6,158
+ 50%

1,759

5,127

FY 12

2,849 1,026

2,035 2,229
51

FY 11

12,329

607

4,272
+ 10%

4,508

15,590

751

1,983

2,143

FY 11

FY 12

630
86

2,219
FY 11

7,131
5,551

3,246
FY 12

FY 11

FY 12

FY 11

FY 12

Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013
6
Inflows @ Ageasโ€™s part
Inflow up 16%, all segments showing double digit growth
In EUR mio

Belgium
UK
CEU
Asia
Total Ageas

Life
Life
Life
Life
Life

Non-Life
Non-Life
Non-Life
Non-Life
Non-Life

11,245
+ 16%

9,722
3,684
3,262

+ 11%

5,164
4,634
1,319
1,253
+ 28%

+ 13%
3,381

1,657 1,865

3,845

1,526

1,779

1,905

1,780
86

51
FY 12

FY 11

FY 12

381

1,287

1,397

1,740

FY 11

FY 12

FY 11

Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

203

164

239
1,606

FY 11

2,436

+ 17%

7,561
6,460

2,233

FY 12

FY 11

FY 12

7
Insurance Combined ratio
Further improvement to 99.1%, below Ageas 100% target
Combined ratio 2009 โ€“ 2012

Combined ratio at 99.1% vs. 100.1%
๏ฎ

33.1%

69.4%

106.0%

100.1%

99.1%

99.9%

101.9%

31.1%

31.0%

29.5%

30.3%

32.8%

73.2%

69.0%

68.1%

70.4%

97.2%

30.6%

71.6%

94.7%

30.7%

๏ฎ

Motor at 99.0% (vs. 97.3%): non-recurring
reserves strengthening for bodily injuries in
Belgium, positive impact of management action
in UK

๏ฎ

102.5%

Q4 impacted by reserves strengthening &
normal seasonality

Household at 97.2% (vs.103.4%): continued
good performance in CEU; lower climate impact
& higher tariffs in Belgium; weather events in UK

๏ฎ

Accident & Health: at 96.0% (vs.96.9%): good
performance confirmed in Belgium; reserves
strengthening in CEU

102.3%
32.0%

64.1%

66.5%

70.3%

(4.1%)

(1.7%)

(1.4%)

Claims ratio at 68.1% vs. 69.0%
(6.0%)

2009

(3.7%)

(3.5%)

2010

(3.1%)

2011

2012

claims ratio

(4.2%)

Q4 11

(5.6%)

Q1 12

๏ฎ
Q2 12

expense ratio

Q3 12

Q4 12

PY claims ratio

Net earned premium in EUR mio
2,497

2,858

3,507 4,178

CY claims ratio improving in all segments

๏ฎ

PY claims ratio slightly down to 3.1% (vs. 3.5%),
driven by reserves strengthening in Belgium

Expense ratio stable at 31%
965

989

1,034 1,044 1,111

Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

๏ฎ

Cost containment in CEU compensates for
increasing commission in UK

8
Insurance Life operating margin
All margins improving
Operating margin 2010 โ€“ 2012

Operating margin at 0.90%
๏ฎ

Operating margin: 2011 operating margin
impacted by impairments on Greek
sovereigns, equity & goodwill, offset by net
capital gains on various rebalancing
operation. On an adjusted basis, operating
margin increased driven by better investment
margin

๏ฎ

Underwriting margin improved due to good
mortality result in CEU & portfolio growth in
Asia.

๏ฎ

Investment margin 2011 impacted by
financial turmoil

๏ฎ

Expense & other margin stable

1.17%
1.05%
0.90%

0.74%
0.66%

0.66%
0.72%
0.48%

(0.51%)

0.33%

0.34%

0.49%

1.08%

0.84%
0.47%

0.41%

0.51%

0.31%

0.40%

0.38%

0.46%

(0.20%)

(0.16%)

0.38%

(0.23%)

(0.18%)

(0.19%)

(0.24%)

0.30%
(0.20%)

(0.64%)

(0.21%)

2010

2011

2012

Underwriting m.

Q4 11

Q1 12

Investment m.

Q2 12

Q3 12

Q4 12

Technical liabilities

Expense & other m.

๏ฎ

Year-end technical liabilities at EUR 68.8 bn,
up 7% on a scope-on-scope basis. Strong
growth in Belgium & Asia

65.0

๏ฎ

Average technical liabilities up 2% reflecting
an increase in Belgium & Asia and a
decrease in CEU

Average technical liabilities in EUR bn
70.6

64.7

65.8

64.7

64.8

Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

65.4

65.8

9
IFRS Solvency as per 31 December 2012
Insurance ratio stable, Ageas ratio impacted by value put option on AG Insurance
In EUR bn
Belgium
UK
CEU
Asia
Total Ageas
General Account

RMC
Excess Capital
RMC
Excess Capital
RMC
Excess Capital
RMC
Excess Capital
RMC
Excess Capital
Available Capital

231%
237%

9.2

206%

8.6

207%

8.2
7.5

5.2
4.2

174%

3.6

4.2

1.7

4.0

3.9

176%

3.9

5.0

1.8

268%
234%

2.3

2.4

0.9
0.5
0.4

FY 11 FY 12

224%

244%
172%

1.1
0.6
0.5

FY 11 FY 12

1.4

1.0
0.4
0.6

292%

1.3

1.4
3.6

0.8

0.8

0.9

0.6

0.4

0.5

4.0

FY 11 FY 12

FY 11 FY 12

Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

1.1
FY 11 FY 12

1.0

FY 11 FY 12

FY 11 FY 12

10
Headlines Belgium
Strong Life inflows, Good operating performance in Life & Non-Life
Net result: 2011 impairments

Result excl. impairments

Robust inflow growth

In EUR mio

In EUR mio

In EUR mio

324
65

+11%

6,886

383

6,179

39

70

1,671

321

313

4,508

5,127

FY 11

260

(327)

360

FY 12

FY 11

FY 12

1,759

3
FY 11

FY 12

(330)

Life

Life

Non-Life

Non-Life Combined ratio improving

Life

Non-Life

Life Underwriting margin solid*

Non-Life

Investment result
In EUR mio
532
113

419
101.1%

99.5%

227%
0.28%

210%

207%
0.29%

(276)
**
68
FY 11
(344)

FY 11

FY 12

FY 11

* in % of average technical liabilities
Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

FY 12

FY 12

Life

Non-Life

11
Headlines UK
Solid Non-Life results
Net result

Result excl. impairments

Inflow flat at constant FX

In EUR mio

In EUR mio

In EUR mio

108

2,035

(28)
11

86

30

30

137

1,983

80

2,143

51

61

(4)

(0)
FY 11
Life

2,229

91

86

(4)

+10%

FY 12
Non-Life

Other

86

51
FY 11
Life

FY 12
Non-Life

Other

Non-Life result adjusted*

Other result adjusted**

In EUR mio

FY 11
Life

FY 12
Non-Life

In EUR mio

85
61

227%

210%
21

FY 11

FY 12

FY 11

Non-Life Combined ratio below 100%

207%

99.9%**

99.8%

FY 11

FY 12

16
FY 12

* 2012 adjusted for EUR 63 mio badwill on GICL, EUR (15) mio reorganisation costs & EUR 4 mio net result GICL //** 2011 adjusted for EUR 9 mio
incentive payment; 2012 adjusted for EUR (31) mio impairment charge , EUR (8) mio accelerated amortisation EUR (4) mio GICL transaction costs
12
Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013
Headlines Continental Europe
Improved operational performance
Net result: FY 11 hit by impairments Result excl. impairments

Inflow growth due to scope change**

In EUR mio

In EUR mio

In EUR mio
64

65

58

14

11
(8)

1,026
2,849

630

50
52

47

11

4,272

+50%

14

3,246
2,219

FY 11
(19)

FY 12
FY 11

Life

FY 12

Life

Non-Life

FY 11

Non-Life

Non-Life Combined ratio improving Life Underwriting margin*

Life

FY 12
Non-Life

Continued cost containment
In EUR mio

96.7%
93.4%

FY 11

227%
0.57%

FY 12

FY 11

* in % of average technical liabilities // ** Luxembourg, Turkey
Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

210%

207%
0.67%

FY 12

186 **

FY 11

154

FY 12

13
Headlines Asia
Strong inflows, Excellent year for Life, Non-Life profits held back by impact Thai floods
Net result*

Result excl. impairments

Inflow

In EUR mio

In EUR mio

In EUR mio

128
8

144
8

+28%
6,158

7,882
751

607
121
(64)
8
FY 11
(72)

91
8
137

FY 12

83

FY 11
Life

FY 12

Life

Non-Life

Non-Life Combined ratio

7,131
5,551

FY 11

Non-Life

Net result Hong Kong

FY 12

Life

Non-Life

Net result non-consoโ€™s

34

109
102.0%

FY 11
99.3%

227%
(84)

FY 12

210%

**

207%
32

FY 11

FY 12

* Includes net result Hong Kong, non-consolidated partnerships & regional costs
Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

FY 11

FY 12

14
General Account: components of Net result
Excellent results RPI over the year, Q4 mainly up on revaluation BNP P call option
In EUR mio

400

(132)
104

(161)

4Q 12
9M 12

14

(2)
3

90
(5)

(221)

(91)
60

(21)
(70)

119
50

69
Deal with
ABN Amro &
Dutch State

Agreement
with BNP
on CASHES
& Tier 1

RPN(I)
revaluation

RPI

BNP
Call option

Other

General
Account

EUR 209 mio FY 12 impact of legacies

Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

15
Valuation Royal Park Investments as at 31 December 2012
Equity value up driven by positive RPI result, goodwill fully impaired
Ageasโ€™s equity Value

Net book value assets RPI*

In EUR mio

In EUR bn

Outstanding debt - IFRS
In EUR bn

7.2

872

FY 11

8.9

FY 10

4.2

FY 10

10.0
7.8

FY 12

4.8

FY 11

FY 12

2.0

779

FY 10

0.6

6.0
0.6
0.6

4.6

933

FY 11

FY 12

Commercial paper

Net result impact โ€“ part Ageas

Fair value - IFRS

In EUR mio

In EUR bn

FY 10

In EUR mio

104
FY 11

FY 12

7.0

Other Senior + Super Senior

Principal & interest collections
1,709
169

131

4.7
0.5

6.0

6.2

FY 11

FY 12

1,540

1,364
156

1,368
128

1,208

1,240

(197)
FY 10

FY 10
FY 11
FY 12
Principal collections
Interest collections

* Net book value = Economic recovery value as of 31 December 2012 at B-GAAP

Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

16
Net cash position General Account at EUR 1.2 bn
Significantly up after agreements in H1; impact buy-back & acquisition Groupama
๏ฎ

The agreements with Fortis Bank & BNP P on
the CASHES & Tier 1 (Q1) & with ABN AMRO &
Dutch State on legal proceedings (Q2) had a
joined positive impact on net cash position of
EUR 1.1 bn

in EUR mio

๏ฎ

2011 dividend of 8 eurocent per share brought
cash down with EUR 0.2 bn (Q2)

Net cash position

๏ฎ

Further impacted by share buy-back
programmes & funding of Groupama acquisition

FY 11

FY 12

Cash and cash equivalents

345

402

Due from banks short term

600

1,000

(257)

(187)

688

1,216

Debt certificates (EMTN)

Share buy-back programme
announced 6 August 2012 will
further reduce net cash

Quarterly evolution
net cash position*

1.5
3

2.8

In EUR bn

Net cash
Discretionary capital

1.3

FY 09

1.0

3M10

2.6

2.3

0.9

6M10

2.2

0.7

0.5

9M10

FY10

2.1

1.3

1.3

1.3

1.1

3M12

6M12

9M 12

FY12

1.2

2.1
1.0

0.8

0.7

6M11

9M 11

FY11

0.2

3M11

1.4

* Until 6M 11 known Information FY 12
Periodic Financialas discretionaryIcapital Results I 20 February 2013

17
Conclusions
Insurance :
๏ฎ

Continued strengthening & solidifying of
business model in all countries

๏ฎ

Overall improvement of operational
performance

๏ฎ

Balance sheet remains strong

General Account:
๏ฎ

Important headway in solving legacies

๏ฎ

Complexity General Account further
reduced

๏ƒจ 2012 dividend strongly up
๏ƒจ Full commitment to deliver against the
Vision 2015 targets in 2013 and beyond

Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

18
Investor Day 2013
Update on Vision 2015

Investor Day 2013
18 September 2013
Andaz Hotel - London

Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

19
Presentation
Annexes

20
Detailed overview inflows
By segment/business @ 100%
Life
EUR mio

Belgium
United Kingdom
Continental Europe

FY 12

FY 11

FY 12

FY 11

Total
FY 12

FY 11

5,127
86
3,246

4,508
51
2,219

1,759
2,143
1,026

1,671
1,983
630

6,886
2,229
0
4,272

6,179
2,035
0
2,849

1,034
763
271
0
0
0
2,213
0
2,213

2,219
1,071
290
814
44
0
0
0
0

459
240
0
0
0
219

453
237
0
0
0
216

567
0

177
0

1,493
1,003
271
0
0
219
2,213
567
2,213
0

2,672
1,308
290
814
44
216
0
177
0
0

7,131

5,551

751

607

7,882
0

6,158
0

447
447
6,684
786
1,224
4,565
109

353
353
5,198
622
907
3,552
116

0
0
751
570
181
0
0

0
0
607
478
129
0
0

447
447
7,436
1,538
1,794
4,746
109
0

353
353
5,805
1,229
1,385
3,681
116
0

15,590

12,329

5,680

4,891

21,269

17,220

Consolidated entities

6,693

7,131

4,362

4,107

11,054

11,239

Non-consolidated partnerships

8,897

5,198

1,318

784

10,215

5,982

Consolidated entities
Portugal
France
Luxembourg
Germany
Italy
Non-consolidated JV's
Turkey (Aksigorta)
Luxembourg (Cardif Lux Vie)

75%
100% *
0%

Non-Life

0%
51%
100%
50%
100%
25%
36%
33%

Asia
Consolidated entities
Hong Kong
Non-consolidated JV's
Malaysia
Thailand
China
India

Total

100%
31%
31%/15%
25%
26%

* Ageas holds a 50% stake in Tesco Underwriting
Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

21
Insurance net result
2011 result heavily hit by impairments
In EUR mio

624
(28 )

Belgium
UK
CEU
Asia
Total Ageas

Life
Life
Life
Life
Life

Non-Life
Non-Life
Non-Life
Non-Life
Non-Life

Other

223
Other

324
65
430

108
260

86

(327)

30
(4)

3
FY 11

FY 12

FY 11

8

64
137

61

(8)
(0)

FY 12

(313)

128

(28 )

11
(19) FY 11

(64)

14
50
FY 12

121

8
FY 11
(72)

FY 12

30
82
FY 11

FY 12

(330)
(425)

22
Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013
Overview impairments & net capital gains
2011 heavily hit by impairments, only limited influence of cap gains in Y-o-Y comparison
Impairments

Cap gains/losses

Life
Non-Life

Total Belgium

Equities

FY 11

FY 11

FY 11

FY 12

FY 11

(53)
(5)

EUR mio

(558)

(94)

(651)

142

(27)

(10)

(36)

104
20

(58)

(584)

(103)

(687)

124

144

FY 12 *

Goodwill

Total

Greek b onds

1

0

Life

2

56
(39)

Non-Life
Other

Total UK

20

7

17

20

8

Non-Life

Total CEU

(2)

(43)

(22)

(65)

6

(8)

(1)

(2)

Life

(0)

(1)

0

0

(43)

(22)

(66)

6

(8)

(16)

Life
Non-Life

Total Asia

(56)

(99)

(155)

33

36

(16)

(56)

(99)

(155)

33

36

(600)

(172)

(99)

(871)

171

(27)

(10)

(37)

143
39

(627)

(182)

(908)

182

180

(71)
51

Life
Non-Life
Other

9

(39)

Total Ageas

(59)

(99)

* Includes badwill & goodwill impairments of EUR 23 mio in UK
Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

23
10/03/2010 I page 23
Insurance net result adjusted for impairments
Improved operational performance in Life & Non-Life
In EUR mio
Belgium
UK
CEU
Asia
Total Ageas

Life
Life
Life
Life
Life

Non-Life
Non-Life
Non-Life
Non-Life
Non-Life

Other

683
11

15%
Other

595
30

172

119
6%

360
39

383
70

501
446
321

313

86
(4)
FY 11

FY 12

59%

6%

13%

91

58

11

30
61

80

FY 11

FY 12

0

8
14

47

52

FY 11

FY 12

Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

8

91

65

11

144

137
83
FY 11

FY 12

FY 11

FY 12

24
Shareholdersโ€™ equity as per 31 December 2012
Up driven by unrealized gains, net profit & revaluation put option
In EUR mio

Shareholdersโ€™ equity / share
EUR 42.75

EUR 32.30
1,540
624

7,760

(188)

8

208

(160)

1,673

119

1,931

1,755

Insurance
UG/L

9,911

Insurance
UG/L

423

6,306

5,582

FY 11

Net result
Insurance

Equity per segment
Belgium
UK
Continental Europe

Net result Change UG/L
Gen Account
FY 11

2,381
1,008
929

Dividend

Buy back

Revaluation
put option

FY 12

โ–บ
โ–บ
โ–บ

4,028
1,183
1,190

Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

Forex
& other
FY 11

Asia
Insurance
General Account

1,687
6,005
1,755

FY 12

FY 12

โ–บ
โ–บ
โ–บ

1,837
8,237
1,673
25
Insurance
Lexicon on new disclosures as from FY 2012
Life

Non-Life

+ Underwriting
result

+ Premiums received from policyholders
- actual payments made in risk contracts
+ penalties deducted in case of surrender
+ reinsurance result

+ Expense &
Other result

+ Net Underwriting + Net Earned Premium
- all evolutions in claims reserves (CY & PY)
result

+ expense loadings
- actual expense charges
+ other results of technical nature

+ technical interest charges on technical liabilities
- all expenses (marketing, intermediary, claims
handling & administration)

= Net Underwriting result

+ Other result

+ Investment result + Investment income on assets covering

+ Investment result + Investment income on assets covering Non-Life

Life technical liabilities (recurring & cap
gains)
- what is paid out to policyholders
(guaranteed income & profit sharing)

technical liabilities (recur. & cap gains)
- technical interest charges on technical liabilities

+ other results of technical nature

= Operating result

= Operating result

Average technical = average between technical liabilities at
the beginning & at the end of each quarter
liabilities

Net earned premium

of current year.

Life margins

+ Premiums received from policyholders
- premiums covering risks future period
- premiums paid to reinsurers

All Life margins calculated as % of average Non-Life ratioโ€™s
technical liabilities

All Non-Life ratioโ€™s calculated in % of Net
earned premiums

Combined ratio
Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

Corresponds to 1minus net underwriting
result in % of net earned premiums
26
Investment portfolio as per 31 December 2012
Value up as result of volume growth & unrealized gains/losses
In EUR bn

๏ฎ

75.9
2.4
4.7

67.9
2.7
4.3
1.8
0.5

2.8
2.9

2.4
0.3

3.7
2.6

Increase mainly explained by volume growth, both in
existing & new business and by unrealized
gains/losses

๏ฎ

Investment portfolio*

Gross unrealized gains/losses up to EUR 6.7 bn on
portfolio (EUR 1.8 in FY 11) mainly in fixed income

๏ฎ

Investments in Belgian government bonds &
corporate Non-Financials up

๏ฎ

Infrastructure loans (part of loans to customers):
2 projects on balance sheet for EUR 0.1 bn; further
commitments & outstanding bids for EUR 0.3 bn

Cash & equivalents
Real Estate

Equities
Loans to customers
25.1

21.4

Loans to banks
Structured credit
instruments
Corporate bonds

31.5

34.7

Fixed Income
๏ฎ

Gross unrealized gains/losses at EUR 5.2 bn;
EUR 0.6 bn FY 11

๏ƒผ Unrealized gain Sovereigns at EUR 3.3 bn
๏ƒผ Unrealized gain Corporates at EUR 1.9 bn

Sovereign bonds

Equities
๏ฎ

FY 11

FY 12

Gross unrealized gains up to EUR 0.2 bn vs. nearly
breakeven end 2011

Real Estate
๏ฎ

Gross unrealized gains marginally up to EUR 1.3 bn

* All assets at fair value except the โ€˜Held to Maturityโ€™ assets & loans which are valued at amortized costs

Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

27
Valuation Call option BNP Paribas shares at 31 December 2012
Value down due to decrease in volatility, up in H2 following BNP share price
Valuation

Balance sheet value
In EUR mio

Model parameters
(Black & Scholes)

FY 10

FY 11

FY 12

BNP Paribas share price
395

FY 11

EUR 66.67

EUR 66.67 EUR 66.67

Volatility
174

FY 10

EUR 30.35 EUR 42.54

Strike price

609

EUR 47.69

9M 12

234

Dividend yield

33%

49%

30%

5.29%

5.98%

4.69%

FY 12

Net result impact
In EUR mio

9M 12

FY 12

(161)
(214)
(271)

(221)

FY 11

FY 12

24.5%

47.5%

Implied volatility -5%

(23.6%)

(41.3%)

Dividend yield -1%

2.8%

4.0%

Dividend yield +1%

FY 11

Sensitivities
Implied volatility +5%

FY 10

(1.1%)

(2.5%)

Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

28
Overview of main characteristics Hybrids
Situation as per 31 December 2012
EUR mio

Fortis Bank (now BNP Paribas)

Ageas
Ageas Hybrid
Financing
Hybrone

Ageas Hybrid
Financing
Nitsh I

Ageas Hybrid
Financing
Nitsh II

Direct issue
FBB, 2004

CASHES*

5.125%

8.25%

8%

4.625%

3m EUR +200 bp

500

USD 750

625

1,000

1,110

XS0147484074

XS0257650019

XS0346793713

XS0362491291

BE0119806116

BE0933899800

Undated exchange
strike 315.0
mandatory 472.5

Jun/2016 Step up to
3M Euribor +200

Aug/2013
No step up

Jun/2013
No step up

Oct/2014
Step up to 3M
Euribor+170

Undated exchange strike
239.4 mandatory 359.1

ACSM

YES

YES

YES

YES

YES

YES

Dividend
pusher

YES

YES

YES

YES

YES

NO

Dividend
stopper

NO

YES

YES

YES

YES

YES

Liabilities > asset

Liabilities > asset

Liabilities > asset

<8% CAD

<0.5% Dividend

500
on lent to AG
Insurance

USD 750
on lent to FBB

77.7

100.5

Ageasfinlux
Fresh
% 3m EUR + 135 bp
Amount
1,250
outstanding
ISIN

Call date

Trigger < 0.5% dividend trigger

Other

Market Price
(31/12/12)

43.5

250 on lent to
No stock settlement Coupon served by FBB,
AG Insurance; 375 feature as for Direct trigger ACSM linked to
on lent to FBB
issue FBB 2001
Ageas dividend
100.7

95.5

53.1

* On 31 January 2012 BNPP announced that 63% of the holders have tendered CASHES for purchase by BNPP @ purchase price of 47.5% of the principal amount of the CASHES.

Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

29
Disclaimer
Certain of the statements contained herein are statements of
future expectations and other forward-looking statements
that are based on management's current views and
assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and
uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or
events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in
such statements. Future actual results, performance or
events may differ materially from those in such statements
due to, without limitation, (i) general economic conditions,
including in particular economic conditions in Ageasโ€™s core
markets, (ii) performance of financial markets, (iii) the
frequency and severity of insured loss events, (iv) mortality
and morbidity levels and trends, (v) persistency levels, (vi)
interest rate levels, (vii) currency exchange rates, (viii)
increasing levels of competition, (ix) changes in laws and
regulations, including monetary convergence and the
Economic and Monetary Union, (x) changes in the policies of
central banks and/or foreign governments and (xi) general
competitive factors, in each case on a global, regional and/or
national basis. In addition, the financial information
contained in this presentation, including the pro forma
information contained herein, is unaudited and is provided
for illustrative purposes only. It does not purport to be
indicative of what the actual results of operations or financial
condition of Ageas and its subsidiaries would have been had
these events occurred or transactions been consummated
on or as of the dates indicated, nor does it purport to be
indicative of the results of operations or financial condition
that may be achieved in the future.
Investor Relations

Tel:

+ 32 2 557 57 34

E-mail:

ir@ageas.com

Website:

www.ageas.com

Investor Relations

Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013

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Morgan Stanley European Financials conference 2013

  • 1. 9M 2012 FY RESULTS Periodical Financial Periodical Financial Information Information Christophe Boizard CFO Morgan Stanley Conference London - 20 March 2013
  • 3. Headlines Ageas confirms strong insurance results Insurance net result: 2011 heavily impacted by impairments Insurance excl. impairments: improving Life & Non-Life Both Insurance & General Account contributing to group net result In EUR mio In EUR mio In EUR mio 624 +15% 595 223 30 683 743 11 119 172 119 (313) 82 430 (578) 30 FY 11 (425) FY 12 (28) 446 FY 11 (313) FY 11 Life Non-Life Other Combined ratio further improving in claims & expenses 624 501 Life FY 12 Non-Life Other Insurance solvency stable* FY 12 (265) Insurance General Account Shareholdersโ€™ equity up on net profit & unrealized gains 42.7 3,8 EUR per share 32.3 5,2 100.1% FY 11 207% 99.1% FY 12 227% FY 11 210% 206% 207% 27,1 FY 12 FY11 * Based on regulatorโ€™s view / ** pro forma recalculation for reverse 10 to 1 stock-split Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 ** Tangible Equity 38,9 FY12 Intangible Equity 2
  • 4. Ageasโ€™s dividend and share buy back program over 2012 ๏‚ง Proposed gross dividend in cash ๏ฎ ๏ƒผ For an amount up to EUR 200 mio ๏ƒผ For period ending 19 February 2013 at the latest ๏ƒผ 1.2 Euro per share ๏ƒผ Up 50% on 2011 ๏ƒผ on 24 April 2013 in Brussels ๏ƒผ 26 April : Ex-dividend date ๏ƒผ 6 May : Payment 2012 dividend Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 Open market purchases on NYSE Euronext Brussels ๏ƒผ ๏ฎ Independent broker mandated to execute programme ๏ƒผ ๏ƒผ In line with 40%-50% pay-out ratio set out in dividend policy ๏‚ง Dividend to be approved at AGM Buy-back programme launched as of 13 August Shares to be held as treasury shares until formal approval of cancellation On 27 February Ageas announces the completion of its EUR 200 mio buy back program ๏ƒผ Total amount of 9.6 mio shares bought back (3.96% of total) ๏ƒผ Total amount of shares owned by Ageas is 5.70% ๏ƒผ Next step: propose at shareholdersโ€™ meeting the cancellation of the shares bought back 3
  • 5. Evolution on realizing the targets set for 2015 As communicated at Investor Day 2012 FY 12 at 67/33 vs. 66/34 Calculation based on Inflows @ Ageasโ€™s part (details slide 29) FY 12 at 99.1% vs. 100.1% Calculation based on Non-Life Net Underwriting result in % Net earned premiums FY 12 at 8.7% vs. (5.5%*) Calculation: Insurance result in % average Insurance equity FY 12 at 12.1% vs. 15.2% Calculation: Equity of Turkey, China, Malaysia, Thailand & India as % Insurance equity * ROE 2011 on adjusted basis of 7.1% Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 4
  • 6. Net cash wisely spent Balanced use of cash since 2009 Invest in Businesses ๏ฎ ๏ฎ ๏ฎ Organic growth Selective acquisitions Create new partnerships Return to shareholders ๏ฎ ๏ฎ Dividend payment Share buy-back Return to debtholders ๏ฎ Redemption of Debt (EMTN) May 2009 โ€“ December 2012: +/- EUR 0.9 bn ๏ฎ ๏ฎ ๏ฎ +/- EUR 600 mio UK (Tesco, KFIS, Castle Cover, Groupama) +/- EUR 200 mio CEU (Italy, Turkey) +/- EUR 100 mio Asia (India, HK) +/- EUR 1.1 bn ๏ฎ ๏ฎ +/- EUR 600 mio constant dividend over 2009, 2010 & 2011 EUR 450 mio share buy-back finalized early 2013 +/- EUR 0.8 bn ๏ฎ redemption in EMTN programme + EUR 270 mio proposed dividend 2012 Going forward : ๏ƒผ Lower growth in capital intensive savings business ๏ƒผ Increased proportion of Non-Life related business Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 5
  • 7. Inflows @ 100% Driven by Asia & scope changes in Continental Europe In EUR mio 21,269 Belgium UK CEU Asia Total Ageas Life Life Life Life Life Non-Life Non-Life Non-Life Non-Life Non-Life + 24% 17,220 5,680 4,891 + 28% + 11% 6,179 1,671 7,882 6,886 6,158 + 50% 1,759 5,127 FY 12 2,849 1,026 2,035 2,229 51 FY 11 12,329 607 4,272 + 10% 4,508 15,590 751 1,983 2,143 FY 11 FY 12 630 86 2,219 FY 11 7,131 5,551 3,246 FY 12 FY 11 FY 12 FY 11 FY 12 Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 6
  • 8. Inflows @ Ageasโ€™s part Inflow up 16%, all segments showing double digit growth In EUR mio Belgium UK CEU Asia Total Ageas Life Life Life Life Life Non-Life Non-Life Non-Life Non-Life Non-Life 11,245 + 16% 9,722 3,684 3,262 + 11% 5,164 4,634 1,319 1,253 + 28% + 13% 3,381 1,657 1,865 3,845 1,526 1,779 1,905 1,780 86 51 FY 12 FY 11 FY 12 381 1,287 1,397 1,740 FY 11 FY 12 FY 11 Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 203 164 239 1,606 FY 11 2,436 + 17% 7,561 6,460 2,233 FY 12 FY 11 FY 12 7
  • 9. Insurance Combined ratio Further improvement to 99.1%, below Ageas 100% target Combined ratio 2009 โ€“ 2012 Combined ratio at 99.1% vs. 100.1% ๏ฎ 33.1% 69.4% 106.0% 100.1% 99.1% 99.9% 101.9% 31.1% 31.0% 29.5% 30.3% 32.8% 73.2% 69.0% 68.1% 70.4% 97.2% 30.6% 71.6% 94.7% 30.7% ๏ฎ Motor at 99.0% (vs. 97.3%): non-recurring reserves strengthening for bodily injuries in Belgium, positive impact of management action in UK ๏ฎ 102.5% Q4 impacted by reserves strengthening & normal seasonality Household at 97.2% (vs.103.4%): continued good performance in CEU; lower climate impact & higher tariffs in Belgium; weather events in UK ๏ฎ Accident & Health: at 96.0% (vs.96.9%): good performance confirmed in Belgium; reserves strengthening in CEU 102.3% 32.0% 64.1% 66.5% 70.3% (4.1%) (1.7%) (1.4%) Claims ratio at 68.1% vs. 69.0% (6.0%) 2009 (3.7%) (3.5%) 2010 (3.1%) 2011 2012 claims ratio (4.2%) Q4 11 (5.6%) Q1 12 ๏ฎ Q2 12 expense ratio Q3 12 Q4 12 PY claims ratio Net earned premium in EUR mio 2,497 2,858 3,507 4,178 CY claims ratio improving in all segments ๏ฎ PY claims ratio slightly down to 3.1% (vs. 3.5%), driven by reserves strengthening in Belgium Expense ratio stable at 31% 965 989 1,034 1,044 1,111 Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 ๏ฎ Cost containment in CEU compensates for increasing commission in UK 8
  • 10. Insurance Life operating margin All margins improving Operating margin 2010 โ€“ 2012 Operating margin at 0.90% ๏ฎ Operating margin: 2011 operating margin impacted by impairments on Greek sovereigns, equity & goodwill, offset by net capital gains on various rebalancing operation. On an adjusted basis, operating margin increased driven by better investment margin ๏ฎ Underwriting margin improved due to good mortality result in CEU & portfolio growth in Asia. ๏ฎ Investment margin 2011 impacted by financial turmoil ๏ฎ Expense & other margin stable 1.17% 1.05% 0.90% 0.74% 0.66% 0.66% 0.72% 0.48% (0.51%) 0.33% 0.34% 0.49% 1.08% 0.84% 0.47% 0.41% 0.51% 0.31% 0.40% 0.38% 0.46% (0.20%) (0.16%) 0.38% (0.23%) (0.18%) (0.19%) (0.24%) 0.30% (0.20%) (0.64%) (0.21%) 2010 2011 2012 Underwriting m. Q4 11 Q1 12 Investment m. Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Technical liabilities Expense & other m. ๏ฎ Year-end technical liabilities at EUR 68.8 bn, up 7% on a scope-on-scope basis. Strong growth in Belgium & Asia 65.0 ๏ฎ Average technical liabilities up 2% reflecting an increase in Belgium & Asia and a decrease in CEU Average technical liabilities in EUR bn 70.6 64.7 65.8 64.7 64.8 Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 65.4 65.8 9
  • 11. IFRS Solvency as per 31 December 2012 Insurance ratio stable, Ageas ratio impacted by value put option on AG Insurance In EUR bn Belgium UK CEU Asia Total Ageas General Account RMC Excess Capital RMC Excess Capital RMC Excess Capital RMC Excess Capital RMC Excess Capital Available Capital 231% 237% 9.2 206% 8.6 207% 8.2 7.5 5.2 4.2 174% 3.6 4.2 1.7 4.0 3.9 176% 3.9 5.0 1.8 268% 234% 2.3 2.4 0.9 0.5 0.4 FY 11 FY 12 224% 244% 172% 1.1 0.6 0.5 FY 11 FY 12 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.6 292% 1.3 1.4 3.6 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.5 4.0 FY 11 FY 12 FY 11 FY 12 Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 1.1 FY 11 FY 12 1.0 FY 11 FY 12 FY 11 FY 12 10
  • 12. Headlines Belgium Strong Life inflows, Good operating performance in Life & Non-Life Net result: 2011 impairments Result excl. impairments Robust inflow growth In EUR mio In EUR mio In EUR mio 324 65 +11% 6,886 383 6,179 39 70 1,671 321 313 4,508 5,127 FY 11 260 (327) 360 FY 12 FY 11 FY 12 1,759 3 FY 11 FY 12 (330) Life Life Non-Life Non-Life Combined ratio improving Life Non-Life Life Underwriting margin solid* Non-Life Investment result In EUR mio 532 113 419 101.1% 99.5% 227% 0.28% 210% 207% 0.29% (276) ** 68 FY 11 (344) FY 11 FY 12 FY 11 * in % of average technical liabilities Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 FY 12 FY 12 Life Non-Life 11
  • 13. Headlines UK Solid Non-Life results Net result Result excl. impairments Inflow flat at constant FX In EUR mio In EUR mio In EUR mio 108 2,035 (28) 11 86 30 30 137 1,983 80 2,143 51 61 (4) (0) FY 11 Life 2,229 91 86 (4) +10% FY 12 Non-Life Other 86 51 FY 11 Life FY 12 Non-Life Other Non-Life result adjusted* Other result adjusted** In EUR mio FY 11 Life FY 12 Non-Life In EUR mio 85 61 227% 210% 21 FY 11 FY 12 FY 11 Non-Life Combined ratio below 100% 207% 99.9%** 99.8% FY 11 FY 12 16 FY 12 * 2012 adjusted for EUR 63 mio badwill on GICL, EUR (15) mio reorganisation costs & EUR 4 mio net result GICL //** 2011 adjusted for EUR 9 mio incentive payment; 2012 adjusted for EUR (31) mio impairment charge , EUR (8) mio accelerated amortisation EUR (4) mio GICL transaction costs 12 Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013
  • 14. Headlines Continental Europe Improved operational performance Net result: FY 11 hit by impairments Result excl. impairments Inflow growth due to scope change** In EUR mio In EUR mio In EUR mio 64 65 58 14 11 (8) 1,026 2,849 630 50 52 47 11 4,272 +50% 14 3,246 2,219 FY 11 (19) FY 12 FY 11 Life FY 12 Life Non-Life FY 11 Non-Life Non-Life Combined ratio improving Life Underwriting margin* Life FY 12 Non-Life Continued cost containment In EUR mio 96.7% 93.4% FY 11 227% 0.57% FY 12 FY 11 * in % of average technical liabilities // ** Luxembourg, Turkey Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 210% 207% 0.67% FY 12 186 ** FY 11 154 FY 12 13
  • 15. Headlines Asia Strong inflows, Excellent year for Life, Non-Life profits held back by impact Thai floods Net result* Result excl. impairments Inflow In EUR mio In EUR mio In EUR mio 128 8 144 8 +28% 6,158 7,882 751 607 121 (64) 8 FY 11 (72) 91 8 137 FY 12 83 FY 11 Life FY 12 Life Non-Life Non-Life Combined ratio 7,131 5,551 FY 11 Non-Life Net result Hong Kong FY 12 Life Non-Life Net result non-consoโ€™s 34 109 102.0% FY 11 99.3% 227% (84) FY 12 210% ** 207% 32 FY 11 FY 12 * Includes net result Hong Kong, non-consolidated partnerships & regional costs Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 FY 11 FY 12 14
  • 16. General Account: components of Net result Excellent results RPI over the year, Q4 mainly up on revaluation BNP P call option In EUR mio 400 (132) 104 (161) 4Q 12 9M 12 14 (2) 3 90 (5) (221) (91) 60 (21) (70) 119 50 69 Deal with ABN Amro & Dutch State Agreement with BNP on CASHES & Tier 1 RPN(I) revaluation RPI BNP Call option Other General Account EUR 209 mio FY 12 impact of legacies Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 15
  • 17. Valuation Royal Park Investments as at 31 December 2012 Equity value up driven by positive RPI result, goodwill fully impaired Ageasโ€™s equity Value Net book value assets RPI* In EUR mio In EUR bn Outstanding debt - IFRS In EUR bn 7.2 872 FY 11 8.9 FY 10 4.2 FY 10 10.0 7.8 FY 12 4.8 FY 11 FY 12 2.0 779 FY 10 0.6 6.0 0.6 0.6 4.6 933 FY 11 FY 12 Commercial paper Net result impact โ€“ part Ageas Fair value - IFRS In EUR mio In EUR bn FY 10 In EUR mio 104 FY 11 FY 12 7.0 Other Senior + Super Senior Principal & interest collections 1,709 169 131 4.7 0.5 6.0 6.2 FY 11 FY 12 1,540 1,364 156 1,368 128 1,208 1,240 (197) FY 10 FY 10 FY 11 FY 12 Principal collections Interest collections * Net book value = Economic recovery value as of 31 December 2012 at B-GAAP Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 16
  • 18. Net cash position General Account at EUR 1.2 bn Significantly up after agreements in H1; impact buy-back & acquisition Groupama ๏ฎ The agreements with Fortis Bank & BNP P on the CASHES & Tier 1 (Q1) & with ABN AMRO & Dutch State on legal proceedings (Q2) had a joined positive impact on net cash position of EUR 1.1 bn in EUR mio ๏ฎ 2011 dividend of 8 eurocent per share brought cash down with EUR 0.2 bn (Q2) Net cash position ๏ฎ Further impacted by share buy-back programmes & funding of Groupama acquisition FY 11 FY 12 Cash and cash equivalents 345 402 Due from banks short term 600 1,000 (257) (187) 688 1,216 Debt certificates (EMTN) Share buy-back programme announced 6 August 2012 will further reduce net cash Quarterly evolution net cash position* 1.5 3 2.8 In EUR bn Net cash Discretionary capital 1.3 FY 09 1.0 3M10 2.6 2.3 0.9 6M10 2.2 0.7 0.5 9M10 FY10 2.1 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.1 3M12 6M12 9M 12 FY12 1.2 2.1 1.0 0.8 0.7 6M11 9M 11 FY11 0.2 3M11 1.4 * Until 6M 11 known Information FY 12 Periodic Financialas discretionaryIcapital Results I 20 February 2013 17
  • 19. Conclusions Insurance : ๏ฎ Continued strengthening & solidifying of business model in all countries ๏ฎ Overall improvement of operational performance ๏ฎ Balance sheet remains strong General Account: ๏ฎ Important headway in solving legacies ๏ฎ Complexity General Account further reduced ๏ƒจ 2012 dividend strongly up ๏ƒจ Full commitment to deliver against the Vision 2015 targets in 2013 and beyond Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 18
  • 20. Investor Day 2013 Update on Vision 2015 Investor Day 2013 18 September 2013 Andaz Hotel - London Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 19
  • 22. Detailed overview inflows By segment/business @ 100% Life EUR mio Belgium United Kingdom Continental Europe FY 12 FY 11 FY 12 FY 11 Total FY 12 FY 11 5,127 86 3,246 4,508 51 2,219 1,759 2,143 1,026 1,671 1,983 630 6,886 2,229 0 4,272 6,179 2,035 0 2,849 1,034 763 271 0 0 0 2,213 0 2,213 2,219 1,071 290 814 44 0 0 0 0 459 240 0 0 0 219 453 237 0 0 0 216 567 0 177 0 1,493 1,003 271 0 0 219 2,213 567 2,213 0 2,672 1,308 290 814 44 216 0 177 0 0 7,131 5,551 751 607 7,882 0 6,158 0 447 447 6,684 786 1,224 4,565 109 353 353 5,198 622 907 3,552 116 0 0 751 570 181 0 0 0 0 607 478 129 0 0 447 447 7,436 1,538 1,794 4,746 109 0 353 353 5,805 1,229 1,385 3,681 116 0 15,590 12,329 5,680 4,891 21,269 17,220 Consolidated entities 6,693 7,131 4,362 4,107 11,054 11,239 Non-consolidated partnerships 8,897 5,198 1,318 784 10,215 5,982 Consolidated entities Portugal France Luxembourg Germany Italy Non-consolidated JV's Turkey (Aksigorta) Luxembourg (Cardif Lux Vie) 75% 100% * 0% Non-Life 0% 51% 100% 50% 100% 25% 36% 33% Asia Consolidated entities Hong Kong Non-consolidated JV's Malaysia Thailand China India Total 100% 31% 31%/15% 25% 26% * Ageas holds a 50% stake in Tesco Underwriting Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 21
  • 23. Insurance net result 2011 result heavily hit by impairments In EUR mio 624 (28 ) Belgium UK CEU Asia Total Ageas Life Life Life Life Life Non-Life Non-Life Non-Life Non-Life Non-Life Other 223 Other 324 65 430 108 260 86 (327) 30 (4) 3 FY 11 FY 12 FY 11 8 64 137 61 (8) (0) FY 12 (313) 128 (28 ) 11 (19) FY 11 (64) 14 50 FY 12 121 8 FY 11 (72) FY 12 30 82 FY 11 FY 12 (330) (425) 22 Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013
  • 24. Overview impairments & net capital gains 2011 heavily hit by impairments, only limited influence of cap gains in Y-o-Y comparison Impairments Cap gains/losses Life Non-Life Total Belgium Equities FY 11 FY 11 FY 11 FY 12 FY 11 (53) (5) EUR mio (558) (94) (651) 142 (27) (10) (36) 104 20 (58) (584) (103) (687) 124 144 FY 12 * Goodwill Total Greek b onds 1 0 Life 2 56 (39) Non-Life Other Total UK 20 7 17 20 8 Non-Life Total CEU (2) (43) (22) (65) 6 (8) (1) (2) Life (0) (1) 0 0 (43) (22) (66) 6 (8) (16) Life Non-Life Total Asia (56) (99) (155) 33 36 (16) (56) (99) (155) 33 36 (600) (172) (99) (871) 171 (27) (10) (37) 143 39 (627) (182) (908) 182 180 (71) 51 Life Non-Life Other 9 (39) Total Ageas (59) (99) * Includes badwill & goodwill impairments of EUR 23 mio in UK Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 23 10/03/2010 I page 23
  • 25. Insurance net result adjusted for impairments Improved operational performance in Life & Non-Life In EUR mio Belgium UK CEU Asia Total Ageas Life Life Life Life Life Non-Life Non-Life Non-Life Non-Life Non-Life Other 683 11 15% Other 595 30 172 119 6% 360 39 383 70 501 446 321 313 86 (4) FY 11 FY 12 59% 6% 13% 91 58 11 30 61 80 FY 11 FY 12 0 8 14 47 52 FY 11 FY 12 Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 8 91 65 11 144 137 83 FY 11 FY 12 FY 11 FY 12 24
  • 26. Shareholdersโ€™ equity as per 31 December 2012 Up driven by unrealized gains, net profit & revaluation put option In EUR mio Shareholdersโ€™ equity / share EUR 42.75 EUR 32.30 1,540 624 7,760 (188) 8 208 (160) 1,673 119 1,931 1,755 Insurance UG/L 9,911 Insurance UG/L 423 6,306 5,582 FY 11 Net result Insurance Equity per segment Belgium UK Continental Europe Net result Change UG/L Gen Account FY 11 2,381 1,008 929 Dividend Buy back Revaluation put option FY 12 โ–บ โ–บ โ–บ 4,028 1,183 1,190 Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 Forex & other FY 11 Asia Insurance General Account 1,687 6,005 1,755 FY 12 FY 12 โ–บ โ–บ โ–บ 1,837 8,237 1,673 25
  • 27. Insurance Lexicon on new disclosures as from FY 2012 Life Non-Life + Underwriting result + Premiums received from policyholders - actual payments made in risk contracts + penalties deducted in case of surrender + reinsurance result + Expense & Other result + Net Underwriting + Net Earned Premium - all evolutions in claims reserves (CY & PY) result + expense loadings - actual expense charges + other results of technical nature + technical interest charges on technical liabilities - all expenses (marketing, intermediary, claims handling & administration) = Net Underwriting result + Other result + Investment result + Investment income on assets covering + Investment result + Investment income on assets covering Non-Life Life technical liabilities (recurring & cap gains) - what is paid out to policyholders (guaranteed income & profit sharing) technical liabilities (recur. & cap gains) - technical interest charges on technical liabilities + other results of technical nature = Operating result = Operating result Average technical = average between technical liabilities at the beginning & at the end of each quarter liabilities Net earned premium of current year. Life margins + Premiums received from policyholders - premiums covering risks future period - premiums paid to reinsurers All Life margins calculated as % of average Non-Life ratioโ€™s technical liabilities All Non-Life ratioโ€™s calculated in % of Net earned premiums Combined ratio Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 Corresponds to 1minus net underwriting result in % of net earned premiums 26
  • 28. Investment portfolio as per 31 December 2012 Value up as result of volume growth & unrealized gains/losses In EUR bn ๏ฎ 75.9 2.4 4.7 67.9 2.7 4.3 1.8 0.5 2.8 2.9 2.4 0.3 3.7 2.6 Increase mainly explained by volume growth, both in existing & new business and by unrealized gains/losses ๏ฎ Investment portfolio* Gross unrealized gains/losses up to EUR 6.7 bn on portfolio (EUR 1.8 in FY 11) mainly in fixed income ๏ฎ Investments in Belgian government bonds & corporate Non-Financials up ๏ฎ Infrastructure loans (part of loans to customers): 2 projects on balance sheet for EUR 0.1 bn; further commitments & outstanding bids for EUR 0.3 bn Cash & equivalents Real Estate Equities Loans to customers 25.1 21.4 Loans to banks Structured credit instruments Corporate bonds 31.5 34.7 Fixed Income ๏ฎ Gross unrealized gains/losses at EUR 5.2 bn; EUR 0.6 bn FY 11 ๏ƒผ Unrealized gain Sovereigns at EUR 3.3 bn ๏ƒผ Unrealized gain Corporates at EUR 1.9 bn Sovereign bonds Equities ๏ฎ FY 11 FY 12 Gross unrealized gains up to EUR 0.2 bn vs. nearly breakeven end 2011 Real Estate ๏ฎ Gross unrealized gains marginally up to EUR 1.3 bn * All assets at fair value except the โ€˜Held to Maturityโ€™ assets & loans which are valued at amortized costs Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 27
  • 29. Valuation Call option BNP Paribas shares at 31 December 2012 Value down due to decrease in volatility, up in H2 following BNP share price Valuation Balance sheet value In EUR mio Model parameters (Black & Scholes) FY 10 FY 11 FY 12 BNP Paribas share price 395 FY 11 EUR 66.67 EUR 66.67 EUR 66.67 Volatility 174 FY 10 EUR 30.35 EUR 42.54 Strike price 609 EUR 47.69 9M 12 234 Dividend yield 33% 49% 30% 5.29% 5.98% 4.69% FY 12 Net result impact In EUR mio 9M 12 FY 12 (161) (214) (271) (221) FY 11 FY 12 24.5% 47.5% Implied volatility -5% (23.6%) (41.3%) Dividend yield -1% 2.8% 4.0% Dividend yield +1% FY 11 Sensitivities Implied volatility +5% FY 10 (1.1%) (2.5%) Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 28
  • 30. Overview of main characteristics Hybrids Situation as per 31 December 2012 EUR mio Fortis Bank (now BNP Paribas) Ageas Ageas Hybrid Financing Hybrone Ageas Hybrid Financing Nitsh I Ageas Hybrid Financing Nitsh II Direct issue FBB, 2004 CASHES* 5.125% 8.25% 8% 4.625% 3m EUR +200 bp 500 USD 750 625 1,000 1,110 XS0147484074 XS0257650019 XS0346793713 XS0362491291 BE0119806116 BE0933899800 Undated exchange strike 315.0 mandatory 472.5 Jun/2016 Step up to 3M Euribor +200 Aug/2013 No step up Jun/2013 No step up Oct/2014 Step up to 3M Euribor+170 Undated exchange strike 239.4 mandatory 359.1 ACSM YES YES YES YES YES YES Dividend pusher YES YES YES YES YES NO Dividend stopper NO YES YES YES YES YES Liabilities > asset Liabilities > asset Liabilities > asset <8% CAD <0.5% Dividend 500 on lent to AG Insurance USD 750 on lent to FBB 77.7 100.5 Ageasfinlux Fresh % 3m EUR + 135 bp Amount 1,250 outstanding ISIN Call date Trigger < 0.5% dividend trigger Other Market Price (31/12/12) 43.5 250 on lent to No stock settlement Coupon served by FBB, AG Insurance; 375 feature as for Direct trigger ACSM linked to on lent to FBB issue FBB 2001 Ageas dividend 100.7 95.5 53.1 * On 31 January 2012 BNPP announced that 63% of the holders have tendered CASHES for purchase by BNPP @ purchase price of 47.5% of the principal amount of the CASHES. Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013 29
  • 31. Disclaimer Certain of the statements contained herein are statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Future actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements due to, without limitation, (i) general economic conditions, including in particular economic conditions in Ageasโ€™s core markets, (ii) performance of financial markets, (iii) the frequency and severity of insured loss events, (iv) mortality and morbidity levels and trends, (v) persistency levels, (vi) interest rate levels, (vii) currency exchange rates, (viii) increasing levels of competition, (ix) changes in laws and regulations, including monetary convergence and the Economic and Monetary Union, (x) changes in the policies of central banks and/or foreign governments and (xi) general competitive factors, in each case on a global, regional and/or national basis. In addition, the financial information contained in this presentation, including the pro forma information contained herein, is unaudited and is provided for illustrative purposes only. It does not purport to be indicative of what the actual results of operations or financial condition of Ageas and its subsidiaries would have been had these events occurred or transactions been consummated on or as of the dates indicated, nor does it purport to be indicative of the results of operations or financial condition that may be achieved in the future.
  • 32. Investor Relations Tel: + 32 2 557 57 34 E-mail: ir@ageas.com Website: www.ageas.com Investor Relations Periodic Financial Information I FY 12 Results I 20 February 2013