Age of strategic anarchy

1. 16 Nov 2003
AGE OF STRATEGIC ANARCHY
A.H Amin
While human history has continously
oscillated between order and disorder ,
peace and war , the post 9/11 may be
said to represent the watershed between

2. the age of strategic stability which started
from 1945 and a transition to a many
decade ,perhaps century long period of
strategic anarchy !War as a sublime
activity has witnessed a stark transition
from rationality to madness from9/11 !
The Nero at the apex of the whole
exercise is Emperor Bush the Second who
more than any Al Qaeda terrorist , has
made this world , a far more dangerous
place for USA , primarily because of lack
of knowledge and a myopic worldview
which is based on a very narrow
perception of history and human
civilisation ! Alas Bush is a teetotaller and
does not have that coup d oeil which
distinguished great warlords like Winston
Churchill reinforced by many pints of
finest beverages of Scotland ! Here we
have a scenario of a warlord , who has
naieve strategic perception and is
manipulated by cheap consumerist aides
motivated by business interests or narrow
beliefs in Christian resurgence or Zionist

3. supremacy ! Thus the age of strategic
uncertainty and anarchy !If Field Marshal
Foch's ideas on strategy are to be applied
here , all anti American forces , have a
grandstrategic opportunity to humble
USA at a nominal cost in the entire region
between Casablanca in the West till
Sakhalin in the East, with additional
reinforcement from sabotage missions
launched in theentire tract from Los
Angeles till United Kingdom ! American
interests and American installations are
located in such a widespread area that
USA with its entire might cannot defend
all of its many assets at all times ! Thus
the truth in the adage that he who
defends everything defends nothing !
Foch's two cardinal principles of strategy
applied wisely in this scenario i.e "
Economy of Force" and " Denial of
freedom of manoeuvre to the enemy" can
easily bring USA to a long term strategic
grief ! Already some results are evident in
many Quixotic Blackhawks reduced to

4. molten metal in the entire deathland
between Tikrit and Karbala !The age of
strategic anarchy may thus unfold in the
following stages or phases ; i.e (1)Initial
attrition of US forces in Iraq,Afghanistan
and Korea (2) A period of spilling out of
the conflict into new theatres by the USA
in search of a centre of gravity like
Iran,Syria ,Pakistan,Saudi
Arabia.Something like Napoleons attack
on Russia or Hitlers Case Blue which
envisaged a dualoffensive towards
Stalingrad and the Caucasian Oilfields (3)
A period of intense attrition in the new
theatres chosen by USA (4) a period of
USA's exhaustion , something close to
Clausewitz's concept of culmination point
of a great power and begining of decline
of the New Christian Roman Empire of
USA (5) A period of exploitation of USA's
exhaustion by other major players like
Russia,China ,EU etc !Initial attrition may
last from 1 to five years ! Possibly Bush's
successor Democratic or Republican may

5. be unable to initiate a policy of
disengagement ! The USA is in position of
a man holding a wolf by the ears ! It may
be difficult to kill this wolf , but it is fatal
to leave it ! All that the anti US forces
,open or covert need to do it is to assist
the wolf ,create new breeding areas for
the wolves , increase their birth rate !In
the second phase of spilling out USA has
to suffer greater losses both material and
moral ! Greater casualties ! An attack on
Iran via Pakistani Baluchistan or via
Azerbaijan or via the cosatal Persian Gulf
! A Possible denuclearisation of Pakistan !
A crusade against Syria with an American
general walking haughtily till the
masoulem of Salahuddin Ayubi in his
boots and telling the sleeping Lion of
Islam like earlier French generals who
occupied Syria after 1918; Salahuddin I
have come back to avenge the defeat of
Crusaders !Intense attrition wouldtake
place in the next third phase , with either
USA destroying all its enemies or arriving

6. at its culmination point ! A start of a
period of decline , the ebb of the tide that
started gaining strength from WW 1 !The
fourth phase would be either USA's
victory , perhaps a Pyhrric one or an
ignominous withdrawal ! The Barbarians
as theUSA perceives its Islamic enemies
wouldthen regroup and counter attack
!The fifth phase would be open
exploitation of USA's exhaustion by China
and Russia hopefully with a more resolute
leader who drinks a lot of Vodka and has
zeal and the killer instinct of a Peter the
Great or Stalin !The wholeprocess of
these fivestages may vary from anything
between 5 years to 100 years ! The
stakes are high , the battle field vaster
than any other battlefield in human
history and the shades too many for the
strategists eyeto perceive or comprehend
!The present third world war which
started with 9/11 has no centreof
gravity,no fixed battlle lines , it is
hundred dimensional,no rules , no

7. morality ,no boundaries and no tangible
end in sight !One thing is clear ! USA's
cheap consumerist society has a great
deal of military muscle but a pathetic
strategic vision ! We salute the new age
of Strategic anarchy !