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Evaluation of Rate Structure Alternatives for the
Carlsbad Seawater Desalination Project




                               Special Board of Directors Meeting
                                                November 8, 2012
                                                             1
                                                             1
Development Status of Rate Structure Alternatives

 April 19,2012 Special Board Meeting
 •   Following cost of service rate setting principles and Beneficiaries Pay
       Identified existing rate structure service categories for allocating desalination costs
       Discussed potential modifications to rate structure to address reliability benefits
 June 28th Board Meeting
 •   Continued discussion on modification to rate structure for reliability category
 July , August September, October 2012 Board/Special Meetings
 •   Presented alternative structures consistent with cost of service
         Alternatives continuously refined based on previous Board discussions
         Reviewed existing Board policy for non-commodity charges
         Reviewed existing practices for allocating costs to service categories
         Provided detailed financial information for each alterative by individual member agency
 November 2012
 •   Responding to Board and Member Agency comments provided detailed
     information on additional alternatives
       Staff developed in response to comments
       Member Agency Proposed

                                                                                                  2
Approach

1. The rate design analyses is being conducted for
   the Carlsbad Desalination project with the Board
   providing policy direction on rate structure
   Independent review of proposed Rate Structure
    Service Categories and Alternative Conceptual Cost
    Allocations
2. Cost of Service Study
   Full Cost of Service Study
     • 2014 Rates and Charges
   December 2012 – May 2013
                                                     3
Where are we in the Process?

                 Request for Alternate Structures

     Desal                   Rate                 Board                     Board
  Project Cost            Structure             Feedback                 Direction on
    Analysis             Alternatives         on Alternatives                Rate
                         Developed                                        Structure
                                                WE ARE
                                                 HERE




   Cost of
Service Study             Cost of                        Rate & Charge
 RFP Issued            Service Study                     Determination
 10/5/2012
                                             Required Changes


                                                                                        4
Description of Rate Structure Alternatives


1. Existing Rate Structure
2. Enhanced Treatment Value
     TOVWTP Inefficiencies and/or Water Quality Benefits
3. Enhanced Supply Value
     Majority of project costs on supply or set supply value
      to existing or other identified source
4. Increased Fixed Charges
     Increase IAC or
     Establish Stand by reliability Charge
5. Reduced Fixed Charges
     Reduce IAC for Desalination Project
                                                          5
Rate Projections


Rate Projections
• Through 2017
• Uses high and low desalination cost examples
   Actual costs are lower
• Uses high and low assumptions on Water
  Authority Rates
     Sales (Normal-Wet weather)
     Member Agency local supplies
     MWD Rates
     Capacity Charge revenue

                                                 6
November 8, 2012
Special Board Meeting
High/Low All-in Treated Water Rate
                                           Projection – February 2011
                                   1,750


                                   1,650
                                                                                                High Projections
All-in Treated Water Rate ($/AF)




                                   1,550


                                   1,450

                                           Adopted CY 12 & 13 Rates and Charges
                                   1,350
                                                                                                                               Low Projections

                                   1,250
                                                                   $1,259

                                   1,150
                                                $1,148

                                   1,050

                                                                            All-in rates include all desal costs - no adjustments for non-commodity revenues have been made.
                                    950
                                                 2012              2013                  2014                    2015                   2016                    2017
                                                                                            Calendar Year
Revised Projections with No Change in
                                           Desal Assumptions
                                   1,750

                                                                                                                                  High Projection
                                   1,650
All-in Treated Water Rate ($/AF)




                                   1,550

                                                                                                                    Revised High
                                   1,450
                                                                                                                                                Low Projection
                                           Adopted CY 12 & 13 Rates and Charges
                                   1,350
                                                                                                  Revised Low

                                   1,250
                                                                    $1,259

                                   1,150
                                                 $1,148

                                   1,050

                                                                              All-in rates include all desal costs - no adjustments for non-commodity revenues have been made.
                                    950
                                                  2012              2013                 2014                    2015                    2016                    2017
                                                                                            Calendar Year
Revised Projections with No Change in
                                           Desal Assumptions
                                   1,750


                                   1,650
All-in Treated Water Rate ($/AF)




                                                                                                               Revised High
                                   1,550


                                   1,450
                                                                                                                                   Revised Low
                                           Adopted CY 12 & 13 Rates and Charges
                                   1,350


                                   1,250
                                                                   $1,259

                                   1,150
                                                 $1,148

                                   1,050


                                                                             All-in rates include all desal costs - no adjustments for non-commodity revenues have been made.
                                    950
                                                 2012               2013                2014                    2015                    2016                   2017
                                                                                           Calendar Year
Revised Projections with New Desal
                                           Assumptions
                                   1,750


                                   1,650

                                                                                                                       Revised High
All-in Treated Water Rate ($/AF)




                                   1,550


                                   1,450
                                                                                                       Desal High
                                           Adopted CY 12 & 13 Rates and Charges                                                             Desal Low
                                   1,350


                                                                                                   Revised Low
                                   1,250
                                                                 $1,259

                                   1,150
                                               $1,148

                                   1,050

                                                                          All-in rates include all desal costs - no adjustments for non-commodity revenues have been made.
                                    950
                                               2012               2013                 2014                   2015                   2016                   2017
                                                                                         Calendar Year
Revised Projections with New Desal
                                           Assumptions
                                   1,750


                                   1,650
All-in Treated Water Rate ($/AF)




                                   1,550
                                                                                                                        Desal High

                                   1,450
                                           Adopted CY 12 & 13 Rates and Charges
                                   1,350
                                                                                                                            Desal Low

                                   1,250
                                                                   $1,259

                                   1,150
                                                 $1,148

                                   1,050


                                                                            All-in rates include all desal costs - no adjustments for non-commodity revenues have been made.
                                    950
                                                 2012               2013                  2014                   2015                   2016                  2017

                                                                                           Calendar Year
February 2011 High/Low vs. Desal
                                           High/Low
                                   1,750


                                   1,650
                                                                                                       High Projection
All-in Treated Water Rate ($/AF)




                                   1,550


                                   1,450
                                                                                                                                                       Desal Low
                                                                                                            Desal High
                                           Adopted CY 12 & 13 Rates and Charges
                                   1,350


                                   1,250
                                                                 $1,259                           Low Projection

                                   1,150
                                               $1,148

                                   1,050


                                                                          All-in rates include all desal costs - no adjustments for non-commodity revenues have been made.
                                    950
                                               2012               2013                2014                    2015                   2016                   2017
                                                                                     Calendar Year
Illustrative Smoothed High/Low Rate
                                           Ramp
                                   1,750

                                                                                                                             High Projection
                                   1,650
All-in Treated Water Rate ($/AF)




                                   1,550

                                                                                                                  Smoothed Desal High
                                   1,450

                                                                                                                                                 Smoothed Desal Low
                                   1,350   Adopted CY 12 & 13 Rates and Charges


                                   1,250
                                                                   $1,259
                                                                                                Low Projection
                                   1,150
                                                $1,148

                                   1,050


                                                                            All-in rates include all desal costs - no adjustments for non-commodity revenues have been made.
                                    950
                                                 2012              2013                2014                    2015                    2016                   2017

                                                                                      Calendar Year
Next Steps In Rate Setting Process

                 Request for Alternate Structures

     Desal                   Rate                 Board                    Board
  Project Cost            Structure             Feedback                Direction on
    Analysis             Alternatives         on Alternatives               Rate
                         Developed                                       Structure




   Cost of
Service Study             Cost of                       Rate & Charge
 RFP Issued            Service Study                    Determination
 10/5/2012
                                             Required Changes
                          Next
                          Step
                                                                                       7
Next Steps In Process

• Cost Of Service Process
    Two Steps
   1. Analysis of 2014 Rates
   2. Allocation of Desalination
• Cost of Service Analysis of 2014 Rates
      Consultant will begin work in December
      Meet with Member Agencies to discuss scope of
       2014 Study
      Interactive process with Member Agencies
       January- April
      Complete COS Study May 2013

                                                       8
Next Steps In Process

• Allocation of Desalination Cost and potential
   fixed charge modifications to rate structure
   Concurrent with 2014 COS Study
   Create a member agency workgroup for
      technical discussions – Winter 2013
   Provide periodic reports to A&F Committee
   Return to Board with workgroups technical
      recommendations
   Estimate 6-9 month process- consistent with
      2015 rate setting schedule
                                                  9
Questions?



             10

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Evaluation of Rate Structure Alternatives for Desalination Project

  • 1. Evaluation of Rate Structure Alternatives for the Carlsbad Seawater Desalination Project Special Board of Directors Meeting November 8, 2012 1 1
  • 2. Development Status of Rate Structure Alternatives April 19,2012 Special Board Meeting • Following cost of service rate setting principles and Beneficiaries Pay  Identified existing rate structure service categories for allocating desalination costs  Discussed potential modifications to rate structure to address reliability benefits June 28th Board Meeting • Continued discussion on modification to rate structure for reliability category July , August September, October 2012 Board/Special Meetings • Presented alternative structures consistent with cost of service  Alternatives continuously refined based on previous Board discussions  Reviewed existing Board policy for non-commodity charges  Reviewed existing practices for allocating costs to service categories  Provided detailed financial information for each alterative by individual member agency November 2012 • Responding to Board and Member Agency comments provided detailed information on additional alternatives  Staff developed in response to comments  Member Agency Proposed 2
  • 3. Approach 1. The rate design analyses is being conducted for the Carlsbad Desalination project with the Board providing policy direction on rate structure  Independent review of proposed Rate Structure Service Categories and Alternative Conceptual Cost Allocations 2. Cost of Service Study  Full Cost of Service Study • 2014 Rates and Charges  December 2012 – May 2013 3
  • 4. Where are we in the Process? Request for Alternate Structures Desal Rate Board Board Project Cost Structure Feedback Direction on Analysis Alternatives on Alternatives Rate Developed Structure WE ARE HERE Cost of Service Study Cost of Rate & Charge RFP Issued Service Study Determination 10/5/2012 Required Changes 4
  • 5. Description of Rate Structure Alternatives 1. Existing Rate Structure 2. Enhanced Treatment Value  TOVWTP Inefficiencies and/or Water Quality Benefits 3. Enhanced Supply Value  Majority of project costs on supply or set supply value to existing or other identified source 4. Increased Fixed Charges  Increase IAC or  Establish Stand by reliability Charge 5. Reduced Fixed Charges  Reduce IAC for Desalination Project 5
  • 6. Rate Projections Rate Projections • Through 2017 • Uses high and low desalination cost examples  Actual costs are lower • Uses high and low assumptions on Water Authority Rates  Sales (Normal-Wet weather)  Member Agency local supplies  MWD Rates  Capacity Charge revenue 6
  • 7. November 8, 2012 Special Board Meeting
  • 8. High/Low All-in Treated Water Rate Projection – February 2011 1,750 1,650 High Projections All-in Treated Water Rate ($/AF) 1,550 1,450 Adopted CY 12 & 13 Rates and Charges 1,350 Low Projections 1,250 $1,259 1,150 $1,148 1,050 All-in rates include all desal costs - no adjustments for non-commodity revenues have been made. 950 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Calendar Year
  • 9. Revised Projections with No Change in Desal Assumptions 1,750 High Projection 1,650 All-in Treated Water Rate ($/AF) 1,550 Revised High 1,450 Low Projection Adopted CY 12 & 13 Rates and Charges 1,350 Revised Low 1,250 $1,259 1,150 $1,148 1,050 All-in rates include all desal costs - no adjustments for non-commodity revenues have been made. 950 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Calendar Year
  • 10. Revised Projections with No Change in Desal Assumptions 1,750 1,650 All-in Treated Water Rate ($/AF) Revised High 1,550 1,450 Revised Low Adopted CY 12 & 13 Rates and Charges 1,350 1,250 $1,259 1,150 $1,148 1,050 All-in rates include all desal costs - no adjustments for non-commodity revenues have been made. 950 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Calendar Year
  • 11. Revised Projections with New Desal Assumptions 1,750 1,650 Revised High All-in Treated Water Rate ($/AF) 1,550 1,450 Desal High Adopted CY 12 & 13 Rates and Charges Desal Low 1,350 Revised Low 1,250 $1,259 1,150 $1,148 1,050 All-in rates include all desal costs - no adjustments for non-commodity revenues have been made. 950 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Calendar Year
  • 12. Revised Projections with New Desal Assumptions 1,750 1,650 All-in Treated Water Rate ($/AF) 1,550 Desal High 1,450 Adopted CY 12 & 13 Rates and Charges 1,350 Desal Low 1,250 $1,259 1,150 $1,148 1,050 All-in rates include all desal costs - no adjustments for non-commodity revenues have been made. 950 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Calendar Year
  • 13. February 2011 High/Low vs. Desal High/Low 1,750 1,650 High Projection All-in Treated Water Rate ($/AF) 1,550 1,450 Desal Low Desal High Adopted CY 12 & 13 Rates and Charges 1,350 1,250 $1,259 Low Projection 1,150 $1,148 1,050 All-in rates include all desal costs - no adjustments for non-commodity revenues have been made. 950 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Calendar Year
  • 14. Illustrative Smoothed High/Low Rate Ramp 1,750 High Projection 1,650 All-in Treated Water Rate ($/AF) 1,550 Smoothed Desal High 1,450 Smoothed Desal Low 1,350 Adopted CY 12 & 13 Rates and Charges 1,250 $1,259 Low Projection 1,150 $1,148 1,050 All-in rates include all desal costs - no adjustments for non-commodity revenues have been made. 950 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Calendar Year
  • 15. Next Steps In Rate Setting Process Request for Alternate Structures Desal Rate Board Board Project Cost Structure Feedback Direction on Analysis Alternatives on Alternatives Rate Developed Structure Cost of Service Study Cost of Rate & Charge RFP Issued Service Study Determination 10/5/2012 Required Changes Next Step 7
  • 16. Next Steps In Process • Cost Of Service Process  Two Steps 1. Analysis of 2014 Rates 2. Allocation of Desalination • Cost of Service Analysis of 2014 Rates  Consultant will begin work in December  Meet with Member Agencies to discuss scope of 2014 Study  Interactive process with Member Agencies January- April  Complete COS Study May 2013 8
  • 17. Next Steps In Process • Allocation of Desalination Cost and potential fixed charge modifications to rate structure  Concurrent with 2014 COS Study  Create a member agency workgroup for technical discussions – Winter 2013  Provide periodic reports to A&F Committee  Return to Board with workgroups technical recommendations  Estimate 6-9 month process- consistent with 2015 rate setting schedule 9