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AIDS CLINICAL ROUNDS
The UC San Diego AntiViral Research Center sponsors weekly
presentations by infectious disease clinicians, physicians and
researchers. The goal of these presentations is to provide the most
current research, clinical practices and trends in HIV, HBV, HCV, TB
and other infectious diseases of global significance.

The slides from the AIDS Clinical Rounds presentation that you are
about to view are intended for the educational purposes of our
audience. They may not be used for other purposes without the
presenter’s express permission.
Promises and Challenges of Next
Generation Sequencing for HIV and HCV
Sergei L Kosakovsky Pond, PhD. Associate Professor, UCSD Department of Medicine.

January 11, 2013
Outline

✤   Next generation / Ultradeep sequencing (NGS/UDS) technology

✤   NGS applications for HIV and HCV

    ✤   What are the unique advantages of NGS?

    ✤   What are the limitations of NGS?

✤   Clinical relevance of NGS-based assays

✤   Regulatory approval
Genomic sequencing
✤   In the recent years, sequencing (DNA, RNA) has rapidly become the cheapest
    and fastest assays in many applications
                                                         NGS (Solexa) introduced
✤   Sub-$1000 human genome very shortly.                     commerically




                http://www.genome.gov/sequencingcosts/
Is NGS relevant for medicine?

✤   In 2012, 6 out of TIME magazine’s Top 10 Medical Breakthroughs
    relied on NGS

     1 The ENCODE project (non-coding DNA)
     2 The Human Microbiome Project
     6 Cancer Genome Atlas
     7 Neo-/pre-natal screening for rare diseases
     8 Pediatric Cancer Diagnostics
     10 P. acnes phage characterization
Next generation sequencing

✤   Traditional (Sanger) sequencing generates a small number of
    intermediate length reads (~1000 bp)

✤   All NGS technologies perform millions of parallel sequencing
    reactions to generate many, typically short, reads per run.

✤   Two canonical applications for NGS

    ✤   Assembling long sequences from short fragments (human genome,
        cancer)

    ✤   Characterizing diverse populations (HIV, HCV, immune
        repertoire, metagenomics)
Platform comparison

                         First                                     Use in HIV/
      Instrument                  Output per run    Run-time
                     introduced                                    HCV settings

                                     105-106
     Roche 454 FLX                                                   Extensive
                       2005         400-700bp       10-20 hrs
       +/ Junior                                                   (>300 papers)
                                      reads

       Illumina                       107-109                      Limited (~30
                       2007                      7 hrs - 11 days
     HiSeq/MiSeq                  36-250bp reads                     papers)


     Life Sciences                    105-107                      Limited (<10
                       2010                          1-8 hrs
      IonTorrent                  35-400 bp reads                    papers)

        Pacific                       104-105
                                                                   Limited (<10
      Biosciences       2011      1000-10000 bp      1-2 hrs
                                                                     papers)
       PacBioRS                       reads
Characterizing viral diversity
within a host

✤   Being able to characterize HIV-1 populations rapidly and accurately
    is important for understanding pathogenesis, interplay between
    viruses and humoral responses, and the evolution of drug resistance

✤   Both HIV-1 and HCV exist as viral quasispecies in a host, i.e. many
    distinct viral strains are circulating at any given moment in time

✤   NGS has the potential to directly sequence many such strains

✤   Using multiplexing (multiple samples/run), high throughput can be
    achieved
Characterizing minority DRAMs

✤   Perhaps the clearest clinical application of NGS for HIV and HCV.

✤   Already know what mutations we are looking for (e.g. K103N).

✤   Which mutations are real?

    ✤   Sequencing error

    ✤   Assay error / reproducibility

✤   What frequency of mutations matter clinically?
Drug resistance associated
mutations (DRAMs)
✤   Using bulk-sequencing (standard tests): all
    viral strains from a biological sample are
    PCR amplified and sequenced together
✤   Generates a “population” virus sequence
    that may hide mutations present in
    minority variants
✤   The basis of all current FDA approved
    sequencing tests
✤   Ambiguous peaks on the electropherogram
    reflect mixed populations
✤   Can detect minority variants at frequencies
    ≥20%
Bulk sequence
              5        10        15        20        25        30        35        40        45       50        55
BULK A T G T G C T G C C A C A G G G A T G G A A A G G A T C A C C A G C A A T A T T C C A A T G T A G C A T G A C G A
              100      105       110       115       120       125       130       135       140      145       150
BULK G T T A T A T A T Y A A T A C A T G G A T G A T T T G T A T G T G G G A T C T G A C T T A G A A A T A G G R C




                                                  Mixed bases

  ✤   Are we missing lower frequency variants?

  ✤   Do all four combinations of resolved mixtures (CA, CG, TA, TG)
      actually exist in the sample?
Cloning/Single genome
sequencing
✤   Cloning or limiting dilution PCR followed by Sanger sequencing:
    single genome sequencing (SGS)

✤   Generates ~10-100 sequences; how representative is this of the entire
    population?
                                                                  pNL4-­‐3p6-­‐rt

                                                                                        AB819	
  9	
  12-­‐11-­‐2002

                                                                                         AB958	
  13	
  11-­‐6-­‐2002

                                                                                                             AB958	
  12	
  11-­‐6-­‐2002

                                                                                                         AB570	
  12	
  12-­‐13-­‐2002

                                                                                                   AB819	
  4	
  12-­‐11-­‐2002

                                                                                                                   AB958	
  9	
  11-­‐6-­‐2002

                                                                                                             AB570	
  11	
  12-­‐13-­‐2002

                                                                                                     AB819	
  6	
  12-­‐11-­‐2002

                                                                                                     AB958	
  17	
  11-­‐6-­‐2002

                                                                                                      AB570	
  4	
  12-­‐13-­‐2002

                                                                                                 AB819	
  3	
  12-­‐11-­‐2002

                                                                                                  AB819	
  8	
  12-­‐11-­‐2002

                                                                                            AB958	
  5	
  11-­‐6-­‐2002

                                                                                              AB570	
  13	
  12-­‐13-­‐2002

                                                                                                  AB570	
  9	
  12-­‐13-­‐2002

                                                                                         AB595	
  33	
  2-­‐20-­‐1997

                                                                                    AB595	
  17	
  2-­‐20-­‐1997

                                                                                                AB595	
  16	
  2-­‐20-­‐1997

                                                                                                   AB595	
  12	
  2-­‐20-­‐1997

                                                                                        AB595	
  29	
  2-­‐20-­‐1997
Cloning/SGS
                0.01
                                   Clone_0
                                                     Clone_19
                                   Clone_1
                                   Clone_2
                                   Clone_3
                                   Clone_4
                                   Clone_5
                                   Clone_6
                                   Clone_7
                                   Clone_8
                Clone_9
                Clone_10
                Clone_11
                Clone_12
                Clone_13
                Clone_14
                Clone_15
                Clone_16
                Clone_17
                Clone_18




✤   Now have 3 variants / 20 clones

✤   Are we still missing lower frequency variants?

✤   Would we get the same counts if the experiment were repeated?
Cloning/SGS
    0.01
                            Clone_0
                                                       Clone_19



Replicate 1
                            Clone_1
                            Clone_2
                            Clone_3
                            Clone_4
                            Clone_5
                                        0.001
                            Clone_6                               Clone_0
                            Clone_7                               Clone_1
                            Clone_8                               Clone_2

    Clone_9                                                       Clone_3

    Clone_10                                                      Clone_4
                                                                  Clone_5
    Clone_11
                                                                  Clone_6
    Clone_12
                                        Clone_8
    Clone_13
                                        Clone_9
    Clone_14
    Clone_15
                                        Clone_10
                                        Clone_11
                                                   Replicate 2
    Clone_16                            Clone_12
    Clone_17                            Clone_13
    Clone_18                            Clone_14
                                        Clone_15
                                        Clone_16
                                        Clone_17
                                        Clone_7
                                        Clone_19
                                        Clone_18




✤          Sampling variance could be quite high.
NGS approach
                                                       Library
                                                       Prep




                                                       emulsion
                                                       PCR

✤   Prepare amplicons, e.g.
    Blood → HIV RNA →                                  Sequencing
    cDNA → PCR 3 regions

✤   Multiplex multiple
                                                       Data
    samples/regions on the                             analysis
    plate

✤   Obtain 1000s of reads /
    sample from a single run              454 Junior

    Gag: p24
    (253 bp)



                          Env: C2-V3-C3

                Pol: RT
                            (416 bp)
                                                                    PacBio RS
               (534 bp)
Massive data sets: needs tools to
 analyze

FASTQ output which needs to be converted to interpretable results:
10,000 - 1,000,000 of records like this
>FYJLQU001AI1WJ rank=0036132 x=99.0 y=3537.0 length=250
GGACATCAAGCAGCCATGCAAATGTTAAAAGAGACCATCAATGAG...
>FYJLQU001AI1WJ rank=0036132 x=99.0 y=3537.0 length=250
28 28 28 35 37 37 37 37 37 35 33 33 35 35 35 ...

>FYJLQU001AWHGJ rank=0036147 x=252.0 y=3537.5
AAATCCATACAATACTCCAGTATTTGCCATAAAGAAAAAGACAGT...
>FYJLQU001AWHGJ rank=0036147 x=252.0 y=3537.5 length=354
21 18 18 32 33 33 35 35 35 35 25 27 31 28 31 ...


Quality informatics tools are essential.
NGS/454




✤   9 variants identified.

✤   Would need >200 clones to detect lowest frequency ones reliably.
Sources of error

       Library
                    Viral template resampling
       Prep         PCR recombination
                    PCR error
       emulsion
       PCR
                    PCR error
                    Multiple templates on a bead
       Sequencing   Base calling errors
                    Detection errors

       Data
       analysis     Software limitations
                    Improper statistical analyses
454 sequencing error rates

✤   Sequencing clonal populations of bacetriophages measured a
    sequencing error of 0.25% per base.

✤   Most common errors are homopolymer runs that are too long or too
    short, e.g. AAAA could be reported as AAA or AAAAA.

✤   Solution: We developed an algorithm to map reads to “reference
    sequences” (e.g. subtype-specific HIV/HCV sequences or germline
    IgG alleles) which corrects for most of such errors.

✤   Many such algorithms exist; we are currently conducting a rigorous
    comparison among them.
Correcting sequencing error

✤   If one has 10000 reads covering a 400 bp amplicon and the reported
    sequencing error rate is a uniform 1%, then, on average,
    ✤   each read will have 4 errors
    ✤   each nucleotide position will have 100 (random) mutations
✤   Just because a sequencer reports the presence of a mutation, that does
    not meet that the mutation is real.
✤   We (and other groups) have developed statistical models and
    algorithms than can reliably detect minority variants at 0.25-0.5%
    frequencies, given sufficient coverage.
UCSD processing pipeline site report




                                       Real


                                Instrument error




http://www.datamonkey.org
Experimental error


✤   In order to detect low frequency variants, we need a lot of input
    templates (e.g. high viral load).

✤   For few input templates, NGS could create a sense of false depth, by
    resampling the same templates over and over again.

✤   PCR amplification biases can cause allelic skewing (inflate or decrease
    frequencies of specific variants)
Reproducibility
                                     HXB2 Position in Reverse Transcriptase (%DRM)
 PID              65     100     103       106      179     181     184     188      190    215     230
 I4    1   0.19   0.23   0.33   99.77      0.05    0.00     0.00    0.20    0.15     0.05   0.00    0.00
 I4    2   0.18   0.18   0.00   99.32      0.10    0.00     0.06    0.25    0.06     0.00   0.08    0.00
 J6    1   0.27   0.33   0.00    0.00      0.10    0.00     0.00    0.30    0.40     0.20   0.00    0.00
 J6    2   0.18   0.60   0.00    0.00      0.20    0.00     0.00    1.90    0.00     0.38   0.00    0.00
 L3    1   0.17   0.12   0.00   IR         0.00    0.00     0.00    0.14    0.57     0.00   0.00    0.00
 L3    2   0.22   0.57   0.13    4.55      0.04    0.00     0.10    0.24    0.14     0.00   0.10    0.00
 R2    1   0.38   0.00   0.00   17.74      0.00    0.00     0.00    0.00    0.81     0.00   0.00   IR
 R2    2   0.27   2.27   0.00   IR         0.00    0.23     0.00    0.89    0.22     0.00   0.00   IR
 R6    1   0.23   0.15   0.00    0.00      0.10    0.00     0.00    0.14    0.07     0.07   0.00    0.00
 R6    2   2.36   0.17   0.09    1.19      0.00    0.00     0.00    0.30    0.00     0.11   0.00    0.00
 U1    1   0.27   0.20   0.00   IR         0.00    0.00     0.17    0.17    0.00     0.00   0.00    0.64
 U1    2   0.34   0.00   0.00   IR         0.00    0.00     0.00    0.00    0.19     0.00   0.00    0.00
 U6    1   0.25   0.00   0.00    0.00      0.20    0.00     0.00    0.25    0.08     0.00   0.00    0.00
 U6    2   0.10   0.84   0.00    0.15      0.34    0.00     0.09    0.36    0.00     0.27   0.00    0.00
 U7    1   0.35   0.00   0.00    100       0.00    0.00     0.25    0.25    0.00     0.00   0.00    0.63
 U7    2   0.14   0.61   0.00    100       0.00    0.00     0.00    0.24    0.00     0.00   0.00    0.00




                                                                               Gianella et al, 2011 J Virol
One possible solution: Primer ID



✤   Tag each template with a random sequence tag/Primer ID in the
    cDNA primer.
✤   Use the sequence tag/Primer ID to identify PCR resampling.
✤   Use the resampled sequences to create a consensus sequence.
✤   Use the number of sequence tags/Primer IDs to define the number of
    templates.
                                                  Jabara C et al PNAS 2011
Resampled)Templates)with)PCR)and)Sequencing)Errors)   )    )Primer)ID)

                                                                     ATGACGTC%
                                                                     ATGACGTC%
                                                                     ATGACGTC%
                                                                     ATGACGTC%
                                                                     ATGACGTC%
                                                                     ATGACGTC%
                                                                     ATGACGTC%

                                                                     ATGACGTC%




✤   Creating a consensus sequence for each resampled
    template using Primer ID mitigates error from PCR
    and sequencing
                                                                          Jabara C et al PNAS 2011
Good reproducibility between
runs
            25

                                           y = 0.9943x
            20
                                           R² = 0.80872

            15
    Run 1




            10

            5

            0
                 0   5   10           15   20      25
                              Run 2




                                            Ron Swanstrom (pers. comm.)
Lowering the limit of detection
                                                                                                                                                                 Fisher et al J Virol 2012
6234 jvi.asm.org




                                                                                                                                                                                                                         Fisher et al.
                    TABLE 2 Resistance detected with bulk sequencing during first-line (bulk sequencing) and second-line (bulk sequencing and UDPs) failure
                                                                                 Mutation(s) during second-line PI failure detected by:b
                              Mutation(s) during first-line NNRTI failure
                              detected by bulk sequencinga                       Bulk sequencing                          UDPS (frequency [%])
                    Patient                                                      Reverse
                    no.       Reverse transcriptase          Protease            transcriptase     Protease               NRTI                                     NNRTI                     PI
                    1         A62V, M184I, V108I,            M46I, L89M, I93L    None              M36I, L89M, I93L       K65R (1.1), D67N (0.9), D67E (0.9),      V90I (0.8), A98E (0.9),   I54T (0.5), M36I (99.3),
                                Y181C, H221Y                                                                                K219R (0.7)                              K101E (5.9), K103R        L63P (0.9), L89M
                                                                                                                                                                     (44.7), K103N (5.1),      (99.3), I93L (99.7)
                                                                                                                                                                     K103E (3.2), V179I
                                                                                                                                                                     (0.5), Y181C (0.6),
                                                                                                                                                                     F227L (0.8), F227S
                                                                                                                                                                     (0.6), K238R (0.5)
                    2         M184V, V106M                   M36I, L63P,         None              M36I, L63P,            K65R (3.8), D67N (8.4), F77L (0.7),      V90I (0.8), K101R         L23P (0.5), M36I (98.7),
                                                              L89M, I93L                            L89M, I93L              M184V (8.0), L210S (0.7), T215           (0.7), K103R (2.2),       L63P (99.6), L89M
                                                                                                                            (0.8)                                    Y181C (1.9), F227S        (99.5), I93L(99.1)
                                                                                                                                                                     (0.5)
                    3*c       M184V, V90I, K103N,            K20R, M36I, L63P,   None              K20R, M36I,            V118A (0.5)*, K219E (0.5)*               V179I (5.8)               I54M (0.7)*, I84V (0.9)*,
                               Y181C                           L89M, I93L                            L89M, I93L                                                                                K20R (98.3), M36I
                                                                                                                                                                                               (98.6), I62V (1.2),
                                                                                                                                                                                               L63P (2.0), A71T (1.3),
                                                                                                                                                                                               L89M (99.6), I93L
                                                                                                                                                                                               (99.8)
                    4         M184V, V108I, Y181C,           K20R, M36I,         None              K20R, M36I, D60E,      K65R (2.7), D67N (1.5), F116S (0.5),     K101E (0.6), K101R        M46V (0.7), F53L (0.6),
                               H221Y                           D60E, L89M,                           L89M, I93L             M184V (2.6)                              (0.6), P225T (1.5),       F53S (0.5), K20R
                                                               I93L                                                                                                  F227L (0.6), K238T        (73.5), M36I (67.5),
                                                                                                                                                                     (3.3), K238R (0.7)        M36L (31.6), D60E
                                                                                                                                                                                               (59.3), L63P (38.0),
                                                                                                                                                                                               L89M (79.0), I93L
                                                                                                                                                                                               (99.7)
                    5         M184V                          M36L, L63P, I93L    K103N             M36L, L63P, I93L       K65R (1.6), K65E (0.5), D67N (2.6),      K101E (1.3), K101R        F53L (0.7), N88S (0.7),
                                                                                                                            M184V (3.1)                              (0.6), K103N (55.2),      N88D (0.6), K20R
                                                                                                                                                                     V179D (1.0), P225T        (0.5), M36I (3.0),
                                                                                                                                                                     (1.0), F227L (0.6),       M36L (96.5), I93L
                                                                                                                                                                     F227S (0.6), K238T        (99.7)
                                                                                                                                                                     (2.9)
Clinical relevance

✤   NGS-based assays will detect many more DRAMs than current tests.
✤   Multiple studies provide evidence that SOME low level NRTI and NNRTI DRAMs are
    associated with subsequent virologic failure (also for FI)
✤   Picture less clear with PI, likely due to the polyallelic nature of resistance
✤   II to be investigated directly as are HCV antivirals
✤   “The extent to which the detection of low-abundance DRMs will affect patient management is
    still unknown but it is hoped that use of such an assay in clinical practice, will help resolve this
    important question”
                 Evaluation of a Bench-Top HIV Ultra-Deep Pyrosequencing Drug-Resistance Assay in the Clinical Laboratory
                 Avidor et al J Clin Microbiol 2013.
Tropism analysis using NGS

✤   Because NGS provide sequences, one can ask questions that require
    the knowledge of the entire sequence.

✤   CCR5 vs CXCR4 usage has implications for treatment (with fusion
    inhibitors), and clinical outcomes
Tropism analysis, clinical relevance
✤
    Can either be measured experimentally (e.g. Enhanced Sensitivity Trofile Assay,
    ESTA), or by computational analyses of env V3 loop sequences (e.g. Geno2Pheno)
✤
    Low level (e.g. 2%) X4 variants are predictive of FI failure, e.g. in the Maraviroc
    versus Efavirenz in Treatment-Naive Patients (MERIT) study




                                                                                   N=312
                                                                                   N=35

                             Swenson L C et al. Clin Infect Dis. 2011;53:732-742
Does the choice of platform
matter
✤   Largely, no.




                     Archer et al PLoS ONE 2012
High throughput dual infection
detection
✤   Blood → HIV RNA → cDNA → PCR 3 regions
                           Gag: p24
                           (253 bp)



                                                 Env: C2-V3-C3
                                                   (416 bp)
                                       Pol: RT
                                      (534 bp)
✤   Sequenced 16 samples concurrently on single 454 GS FLX Titanium
    plate

✤   Processed reads (~5 mins/patients on a computer cluster) and
    generated phylogenies

✤   Interpreted nucleotide diversity > 2% (RT, gag) and > 5% (env),
    confirmed by phylogenetic bootstrap, as evidence of dual infection
                                                    Pacold et al ARHR 2010
DETECTION OF HIV DUAL INFECTION                                                                                           1295




FIG. 2. Sample I, UDS duplicate 1. First year of infection. DI in env, pol, and gag. UDS are represented as red circles and SGS
as blue squares. Variant abundances per node and branches with >90% bootstrap support are labeled.



identified samples A, B, C, E, F, and G as singly infected         sequence was $278.18, for SGS of two coding regions
(Supplementary Figs. 1–6 and 11–13; Supplementary Data are        $2,646.39, and for UDS of three coding regions $1,075.10.
available online at www.liebertonline.com/aid) and samples        Costs of each sequencing type are summarized in Table 3. It
D1, D2, H, and I as dually infected (Fig. 2 and Supplementary     took 3 hours to produce one sample’s population-based pol
Figs. 7–10 and 14–16). DI results specific to the coding regions   sequence, 42 hours for one sample’s SGS, and 9.5 hours for
of each sample are shown in Table 2.                              one sample’s UDS. Cost and time estimates for parallel steps
   For nearly all the samples, the high read coverage of UDS      like RNA extraction are highly throughput-dependent. UDS
identified greater maximum divergence than SGS (Table 2).          can be customized to produce fewer reads per sample at a
Duplicate UDS runs performed on the same sample cDNA for          lower cost. As previously noted,11 many factors (such as price

                                                                                                        Pacold et al ARHR 2010
the same coding regions agreed in DI status for all 20 cases.     reductions related to quantity) influence cost estimates and
Combined phylogenies of UDS and SGS for each sample are           may cause large price differences for experiments using the
High throughput dual infection
detection
               SGS:              A   B   C   D1   E   F   D2     G         H
              25 reads per
                                                                               “Gold-standard”
              sample-region



               UDS:              A   B   C   D1   E   F   D2     G         H
                                                               Low viral
               4,650 reads per                                   load
               sample-region

✤   For all dually infected samples, UDS identified a greater within-
    sample divergence than SGS.

✤   Samples E and F both had divergence exceeding the DI threshold, but
    only Sample F exhibited DI-like population structure.

✤   UDS required 40% of the cost and 20% of the time for SGS.
                                                   Pacold et al ARHR 2010
Method comparison

                                SGS       NGS


  Robustness for confirming DI   High      High


     Throughput potential       Low       High


            Labor               High     Medium


             Time               High      Low

                                       Medium (and
             Cost               High
                                        dropping)
San Diego Primary Infection Cohort

        L537                                           ✤   Samples sequenced to date
4 CI!
        N112
                                                           show a prevalence of DI of
        Q294

!                                                          11/61 = 18%.
        U189

!                         12        24            36


!
        D224
                 Months after initial infection        ✤   Of the 7 SI cases:
        K613
!       K908
                                                           ✤   5 were SI in the first year of initial
7 SI!   P265
                                                               infection (incidence: 8.2%)
        P853                                               ✤   2 in the second year (incidence:
        S155                                                   3.3%)
        U796

                          12        24            36

                 Months after initial infection
                                                       ✤   Dual infections are much more
    1 strain detected!
                                                           frequent than expected.
    2 strains detected!
                                                                        Pacold et al AIDS 2012
Viral Dynamics of SI Cases
Subject( Coding(Regions(    Ini2al(    Superinfec2ng(   Recombinant(
               RT#         Replaced#      Persists#     Not#Detected#
1((K6)(
             C24V3#        Replaced#      Persists#     Not#Detected#
               RT#         Replaced#      Persists#     Not#Detected#
2((K9)(
             C24V3#        Replaced#      Persists#     Not#Detected#
               RT#         Persists#      Persists#       Persists#
3((D2)(
             C24V3#        Persists#     Transient#       Persists#
               RT#         Persists#   Not#Detected#    Not#Detected#
4((P2)(
             C24V3#        Persists#      Persists#       Persists#
               RT#         Persists#     Transient#     Not#Detected#
5((P8)(
             C24V3#        Persists#     Transient#      Transient#
               RT#         Persists#     Transient#       Persists#
6((S1)(
             C24V3#        Replaced#     Transient#       Persists#
               RT#         Persists#      Persists#      Transient#
7((U7)(
             C24V3#        Persists#     Transient#      Transient#
Clinical consequences
                                      K6 (p = 0.35)                                          K9 (p = 0.10)
                    400




                                                                      300
                    300




                                                                                                                                                          Viral load dynamics for
                                                                      200
                    200




                                                                                                                                                           seven super-infected
                                                                      100
                    100




                                                                      0




                              4         6
                                  D2 (p = 0.0026)
                                                 8     10        12                     4    6    8    10 12 14 16
                                                                                             P2 (p = 0.66)                  400       P8 (p = 0.093)
                                                                                                                                                                  patients
                                                                      200 300 400 500
                    150
Sqrt (viral load)




                                                                                                                            300




                                                                                                                                                           Open circle - before
                    100




                                                                                                                            200




                                                                                                                                                           Shaded circle - after
                    50




                                                                                                                            100
                    0




                                                                                                                            0




                          2       4    6     8   10         14                          5   10    15   20   25   30    35         5   10 15 20 25 30 35
                                  S1 (p = 0.0061)                                           U7 (p = 0.0044)
                                                                      1500




                                                                                                                                                            p-values are for the
                    200




                                                                      1000




                                                                                                                                                          presence of a structural
                    150




                                                                                                                                                                   shift
                                                                      500
                    100
                    50




                                                                      0




                              5             10        15         20                     2     4        6     8        10
                                                                                             EDI, months
Molecular epidemiology of HIV-1


✤   Because HIV is a measurably evolving pathogen that accumulates
    sequence diversity within hosts at rates as high as 1-2% per year
    within the polymerase (pol) gene, viral sequences are nearly unique to
    each infected person.

✤   This distinct feature of the virus allows one to interrogate sequences
    for evidence of recent relatedness, and thus infer potential
    transmission links.
Establishing links
✤
    Putative transmission links are established if the genetic distance between two
    pol sequences is below a threshold D (e.g. 1.5%)

✤
    Median intra-subtype pairwise genetic distance is ~5%, and the probability that
    two randomly selected HIV-1 subtype B sequences are ≤1.5% distant is very low
    (p = 0.0022 for the SD AEH cohort and p = 0.0002 for a random sample)

                             San Diego Acute and Early Cohort                                    Random database sample




                                                                                           0.6
                       0.5




                                                                                           0.5
                       0.4




                                               0.8




                                                                                                                 1.0
                                                                                           0.4
                                               0.4
         Density, AU




                                                                             Density, AU
                       0.3




                                               0.0




                                                                                                                 0.0
                                                                                           0.3




                                                     0.0   0.5   1.0   1.5                                             0.0   0.5   1.0   1.5
                       0.2




                                                                                           0.2
                       0.1




                                                                                           0.1
                       0.0




                                                                                           0.0
San Diego HIV molecular network
(bulk sequences)

                                                                                                                                                        2            2
                                                                                                       2



                   2   2




                                                                                                                                                                 2


                                                                                                                                                    2

                                                                                               2
                                                                          12
                                                             19
                                                                                                   2
                                                                      2



                                                                                                                                                                             Viral load,
                                                                                                                                                                             log (copies/ml)
                                                                                                                                                                                  10

                                                                                                               3

                                           10                     2
                                                                                                                                2                                                 N/A
                           7
                                                                                                                                                            12
                                                                                                                                                                                 1.5-2.5
                                                                                   2                                            2
                                                              2

                                                                                                                                                                                 2.5-3.5
                                                                                                                                                                                 3.5-4.5
                                           2
                                                                                                                   2
                                                                                                       2

                                                                               2                                                3
                                                                                                                                                                                 4.5-5.5
                                                                                                                                                                                 5.5-6.5
                                                                                                           5


           2                                                                                                                2
                                                                          2

                                                                                       2
                                                                                                                                                                                 >6.5
                                                3   10

       2       2

                                                                                                                                                3
                                                                                                                                                                         2   Direction resolved
                                                                                                                                            7
                                                                                                                                                                 4
                                                                                                                                                                             based on EDI
                                                                                                                                                            21

                                                    2
                                                                                                                                                                                        Number of
                                                                                                                                                            2

                                                                                                                                                                             N
                                       2                                                                                                                                                timepoints (if > 1)
                                                                                                                                    6
                                                                                                                       19

                                                                                                                                                                                        TNS < 0.8
                                                         2                                                                              2

               2                   2                                                                                                                    2
                                                                                           2


                                                                                                                                                                                        TNS ≥ 0.8
                               2
Linking transmission partners
using NGS

✤   Because a substantial proportion of
    individuals may be multiply
    infected, we need to be able to draw
    links between minority populations.

✤   NGS data have been used in HPTN
    052 (to confirm transmission links
    between serodiscordant couples)
A denser network of connections

                 ✤   64 new edges and 16 new nodes (a
                     yield of ~1 connection / 2 NGS
                     samples) were added to the network,
                 ✤   The inclusion of NGS data
                     ✤   increased the size of the largest
                         cluster from 62 to 156 nodes
                     ✤   increased the number of “hubs” by
                         7 (from 51 to 58).
It pays to target highly connected nodes

  Targeting a low degree     Concept                    Targeting a high degree
                                                         Contact Network              Transmission n

  node has a local effect    Node
                                                        node hascould global effect individual
                                                         Individual
                                                                        a lead to HIV HIV+
                             Edge                        A contact that               Transmission eve
                            Degree = 1                        transmission, e.g. sexual, shared needle
                             Degree = edges                   Number of contacts associated with a         Number of transm
                             connected to a                   node                                         associated with a
                             node

                                                                                         Transmission network i
    Degree = 7                                           Degree = 7                     subset of the contact net
                                    Degree = 7




                                                                                                  Degree = 3


                                                                           Degree = 1




                                                                                                         Degree = 1

                                                 Contact w/o tranmission
                             HIV+      HIV-          Transmission
Regulatory approval: the bad news


✤   No NGS platforms have been cleared/approved by FDA

✤   No standards to use for comparison

✤   No clear agreement on bioinformatics handling

✤   Lack of proficiency panels and reference materials

✤   Rapid change
Regulatory approval: the good
news
✤   The industry, academia, and agencies (FDA, CAP, NCBI, etc) are actively
    collaborating on the issue

✤   Informatics rapidly improving and stabilizing

✤   Clinical relevance studies are ongoing

✤   This is primarily driven by human genomic applications, so HIV/HCV
    applications will benefit from the larger effort

✤   The Forum on Collaborative HIV research has held a series of roundtables
    to discuss issues relevant to HIV/HCV research, including the “Next
    Generation Sequencing Roundtable” in December 2012.
Acknowledgements
UCSD                   UBC
Davey Smith            Richard Harrigan
Jason Young            Art FY Poon
Sara Gianella Weibel   Life Inc
Susan Little           Mary Pacold
Douglas Richman
Richard Haubrich
Gabe Wagner
Lance Hepler

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Promises and Challenges of Next Generation Sequencing for HIV and HCV

  • 1. AIDS CLINICAL ROUNDS The UC San Diego AntiViral Research Center sponsors weekly presentations by infectious disease clinicians, physicians and researchers. The goal of these presentations is to provide the most current research, clinical practices and trends in HIV, HBV, HCV, TB and other infectious diseases of global significance. The slides from the AIDS Clinical Rounds presentation that you are about to view are intended for the educational purposes of our audience. They may not be used for other purposes without the presenter’s express permission.
  • 2. Promises and Challenges of Next Generation Sequencing for HIV and HCV Sergei L Kosakovsky Pond, PhD. Associate Professor, UCSD Department of Medicine. January 11, 2013
  • 3. Outline ✤ Next generation / Ultradeep sequencing (NGS/UDS) technology ✤ NGS applications for HIV and HCV ✤ What are the unique advantages of NGS? ✤ What are the limitations of NGS? ✤ Clinical relevance of NGS-based assays ✤ Regulatory approval
  • 4. Genomic sequencing ✤ In the recent years, sequencing (DNA, RNA) has rapidly become the cheapest and fastest assays in many applications NGS (Solexa) introduced ✤ Sub-$1000 human genome very shortly. commerically http://www.genome.gov/sequencingcosts/
  • 5. Is NGS relevant for medicine? ✤ In 2012, 6 out of TIME magazine’s Top 10 Medical Breakthroughs relied on NGS 1 The ENCODE project (non-coding DNA) 2 The Human Microbiome Project 6 Cancer Genome Atlas 7 Neo-/pre-natal screening for rare diseases 8 Pediatric Cancer Diagnostics 10 P. acnes phage characterization
  • 6. Next generation sequencing ✤ Traditional (Sanger) sequencing generates a small number of intermediate length reads (~1000 bp) ✤ All NGS technologies perform millions of parallel sequencing reactions to generate many, typically short, reads per run. ✤ Two canonical applications for NGS ✤ Assembling long sequences from short fragments (human genome, cancer) ✤ Characterizing diverse populations (HIV, HCV, immune repertoire, metagenomics)
  • 7. Platform comparison First Use in HIV/ Instrument Output per run Run-time introduced HCV settings 105-106 Roche 454 FLX Extensive 2005 400-700bp 10-20 hrs +/ Junior (>300 papers) reads Illumina 107-109 Limited (~30 2007 7 hrs - 11 days HiSeq/MiSeq 36-250bp reads papers) Life Sciences 105-107 Limited (<10 2010 1-8 hrs IonTorrent 35-400 bp reads papers) Pacific 104-105 Limited (<10 Biosciences 2011 1000-10000 bp 1-2 hrs papers) PacBioRS reads
  • 8. Characterizing viral diversity within a host ✤ Being able to characterize HIV-1 populations rapidly and accurately is important for understanding pathogenesis, interplay between viruses and humoral responses, and the evolution of drug resistance ✤ Both HIV-1 and HCV exist as viral quasispecies in a host, i.e. many distinct viral strains are circulating at any given moment in time ✤ NGS has the potential to directly sequence many such strains ✤ Using multiplexing (multiple samples/run), high throughput can be achieved
  • 9. Characterizing minority DRAMs ✤ Perhaps the clearest clinical application of NGS for HIV and HCV. ✤ Already know what mutations we are looking for (e.g. K103N). ✤ Which mutations are real? ✤ Sequencing error ✤ Assay error / reproducibility ✤ What frequency of mutations matter clinically?
  • 10. Drug resistance associated mutations (DRAMs) ✤ Using bulk-sequencing (standard tests): all viral strains from a biological sample are PCR amplified and sequenced together ✤ Generates a “population” virus sequence that may hide mutations present in minority variants ✤ The basis of all current FDA approved sequencing tests ✤ Ambiguous peaks on the electropherogram reflect mixed populations ✤ Can detect minority variants at frequencies ≥20%
  • 11. Bulk sequence 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 BULK A T G T G C T G C C A C A G G G A T G G A A A G G A T C A C C A G C A A T A T T C C A A T G T A G C A T G A C G A 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 140 145 150 BULK G T T A T A T A T Y A A T A C A T G G A T G A T T T G T A T G T G G G A T C T G A C T T A G A A A T A G G R C Mixed bases ✤ Are we missing lower frequency variants? ✤ Do all four combinations of resolved mixtures (CA, CG, TA, TG) actually exist in the sample?
  • 12. Cloning/Single genome sequencing ✤ Cloning or limiting dilution PCR followed by Sanger sequencing: single genome sequencing (SGS) ✤ Generates ~10-100 sequences; how representative is this of the entire population? pNL4-­‐3p6-­‐rt AB819  9  12-­‐11-­‐2002 AB958  13  11-­‐6-­‐2002 AB958  12  11-­‐6-­‐2002 AB570  12  12-­‐13-­‐2002 AB819  4  12-­‐11-­‐2002 AB958  9  11-­‐6-­‐2002 AB570  11  12-­‐13-­‐2002 AB819  6  12-­‐11-­‐2002 AB958  17  11-­‐6-­‐2002 AB570  4  12-­‐13-­‐2002 AB819  3  12-­‐11-­‐2002 AB819  8  12-­‐11-­‐2002 AB958  5  11-­‐6-­‐2002 AB570  13  12-­‐13-­‐2002 AB570  9  12-­‐13-­‐2002 AB595  33  2-­‐20-­‐1997 AB595  17  2-­‐20-­‐1997 AB595  16  2-­‐20-­‐1997 AB595  12  2-­‐20-­‐1997 AB595  29  2-­‐20-­‐1997
  • 13. Cloning/SGS 0.01 Clone_0 Clone_19 Clone_1 Clone_2 Clone_3 Clone_4 Clone_5 Clone_6 Clone_7 Clone_8 Clone_9 Clone_10 Clone_11 Clone_12 Clone_13 Clone_14 Clone_15 Clone_16 Clone_17 Clone_18 ✤ Now have 3 variants / 20 clones ✤ Are we still missing lower frequency variants? ✤ Would we get the same counts if the experiment were repeated?
  • 14. Cloning/SGS 0.01 Clone_0 Clone_19 Replicate 1 Clone_1 Clone_2 Clone_3 Clone_4 Clone_5 0.001 Clone_6 Clone_0 Clone_7 Clone_1 Clone_8 Clone_2 Clone_9 Clone_3 Clone_10 Clone_4 Clone_5 Clone_11 Clone_6 Clone_12 Clone_8 Clone_13 Clone_9 Clone_14 Clone_15 Clone_10 Clone_11 Replicate 2 Clone_16 Clone_12 Clone_17 Clone_13 Clone_18 Clone_14 Clone_15 Clone_16 Clone_17 Clone_7 Clone_19 Clone_18 ✤ Sampling variance could be quite high.
  • 15. NGS approach Library Prep emulsion PCR ✤ Prepare amplicons, e.g. Blood → HIV RNA → Sequencing cDNA → PCR 3 regions ✤ Multiplex multiple Data samples/regions on the analysis plate ✤ Obtain 1000s of reads / sample from a single run 454 Junior Gag: p24 (253 bp) Env: C2-V3-C3 Pol: RT (416 bp) PacBio RS (534 bp)
  • 16. Massive data sets: needs tools to analyze FASTQ output which needs to be converted to interpretable results: 10,000 - 1,000,000 of records like this >FYJLQU001AI1WJ rank=0036132 x=99.0 y=3537.0 length=250 GGACATCAAGCAGCCATGCAAATGTTAAAAGAGACCATCAATGAG... >FYJLQU001AI1WJ rank=0036132 x=99.0 y=3537.0 length=250 28 28 28 35 37 37 37 37 37 35 33 33 35 35 35 ... >FYJLQU001AWHGJ rank=0036147 x=252.0 y=3537.5 AAATCCATACAATACTCCAGTATTTGCCATAAAGAAAAAGACAGT... >FYJLQU001AWHGJ rank=0036147 x=252.0 y=3537.5 length=354 21 18 18 32 33 33 35 35 35 35 25 27 31 28 31 ... Quality informatics tools are essential.
  • 17. NGS/454 ✤ 9 variants identified. ✤ Would need >200 clones to detect lowest frequency ones reliably.
  • 18. Sources of error Library Viral template resampling Prep PCR recombination PCR error emulsion PCR PCR error Multiple templates on a bead Sequencing Base calling errors Detection errors Data analysis Software limitations Improper statistical analyses
  • 19. 454 sequencing error rates ✤ Sequencing clonal populations of bacetriophages measured a sequencing error of 0.25% per base. ✤ Most common errors are homopolymer runs that are too long or too short, e.g. AAAA could be reported as AAA or AAAAA. ✤ Solution: We developed an algorithm to map reads to “reference sequences” (e.g. subtype-specific HIV/HCV sequences or germline IgG alleles) which corrects for most of such errors. ✤ Many such algorithms exist; we are currently conducting a rigorous comparison among them.
  • 20. Correcting sequencing error ✤ If one has 10000 reads covering a 400 bp amplicon and the reported sequencing error rate is a uniform 1%, then, on average, ✤ each read will have 4 errors ✤ each nucleotide position will have 100 (random) mutations ✤ Just because a sequencer reports the presence of a mutation, that does not meet that the mutation is real. ✤ We (and other groups) have developed statistical models and algorithms than can reliably detect minority variants at 0.25-0.5% frequencies, given sufficient coverage.
  • 21. UCSD processing pipeline site report Real Instrument error http://www.datamonkey.org
  • 22. Experimental error ✤ In order to detect low frequency variants, we need a lot of input templates (e.g. high viral load). ✤ For few input templates, NGS could create a sense of false depth, by resampling the same templates over and over again. ✤ PCR amplification biases can cause allelic skewing (inflate or decrease frequencies of specific variants)
  • 23. Reproducibility HXB2 Position in Reverse Transcriptase (%DRM) PID 65 100 103 106 179 181 184 188 190 215 230 I4 1 0.19 0.23 0.33 99.77 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.15 0.05 0.00 0.00 I4 2 0.18 0.18 0.00 99.32 0.10 0.00 0.06 0.25 0.06 0.00 0.08 0.00 J6 1 0.27 0.33 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.40 0.20 0.00 0.00 J6 2 0.18 0.60 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.00 1.90 0.00 0.38 0.00 0.00 L3 1 0.17 0.12 0.00 IR 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 L3 2 0.22 0.57 0.13 4.55 0.04 0.00 0.10 0.24 0.14 0.00 0.10 0.00 R2 1 0.38 0.00 0.00 17.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.81 0.00 0.00 IR R2 2 0.27 2.27 0.00 IR 0.00 0.23 0.00 0.89 0.22 0.00 0.00 IR R6 1 0.23 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.07 0.07 0.00 0.00 R6 2 2.36 0.17 0.09 1.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.00 U1 1 0.27 0.20 0.00 IR 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.64 U1 2 0.34 0.00 0.00 IR 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 U6 1 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 U6 2 0.10 0.84 0.00 0.15 0.34 0.00 0.09 0.36 0.00 0.27 0.00 0.00 U7 1 0.35 0.00 0.00 100 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.63 U7 2 0.14 0.61 0.00 100 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gianella et al, 2011 J Virol
  • 24. One possible solution: Primer ID ✤ Tag each template with a random sequence tag/Primer ID in the cDNA primer. ✤ Use the sequence tag/Primer ID to identify PCR resampling. ✤ Use the resampled sequences to create a consensus sequence. ✤ Use the number of sequence tags/Primer IDs to define the number of templates. Jabara C et al PNAS 2011
  • 25. Resampled)Templates)with)PCR)and)Sequencing)Errors) ) )Primer)ID) ATGACGTC% ATGACGTC% ATGACGTC% ATGACGTC% ATGACGTC% ATGACGTC% ATGACGTC% ATGACGTC% ✤ Creating a consensus sequence for each resampled template using Primer ID mitigates error from PCR and sequencing Jabara C et al PNAS 2011
  • 26. Good reproducibility between runs 25 y = 0.9943x 20 R² = 0.80872 15 Run 1 10 5 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 Run 2 Ron Swanstrom (pers. comm.)
  • 27. Lowering the limit of detection Fisher et al J Virol 2012 6234 jvi.asm.org Fisher et al. TABLE 2 Resistance detected with bulk sequencing during first-line (bulk sequencing) and second-line (bulk sequencing and UDPs) failure Mutation(s) during second-line PI failure detected by:b Mutation(s) during first-line NNRTI failure detected by bulk sequencinga Bulk sequencing UDPS (frequency [%]) Patient Reverse no. Reverse transcriptase Protease transcriptase Protease NRTI NNRTI PI 1 A62V, M184I, V108I, M46I, L89M, I93L None M36I, L89M, I93L K65R (1.1), D67N (0.9), D67E (0.9), V90I (0.8), A98E (0.9), I54T (0.5), M36I (99.3), Y181C, H221Y K219R (0.7) K101E (5.9), K103R L63P (0.9), L89M (44.7), K103N (5.1), (99.3), I93L (99.7) K103E (3.2), V179I (0.5), Y181C (0.6), F227L (0.8), F227S (0.6), K238R (0.5) 2 M184V, V106M M36I, L63P, None M36I, L63P, K65R (3.8), D67N (8.4), F77L (0.7), V90I (0.8), K101R L23P (0.5), M36I (98.7), L89M, I93L L89M, I93L M184V (8.0), L210S (0.7), T215 (0.7), K103R (2.2), L63P (99.6), L89M (0.8) Y181C (1.9), F227S (99.5), I93L(99.1) (0.5) 3*c M184V, V90I, K103N, K20R, M36I, L63P, None K20R, M36I, V118A (0.5)*, K219E (0.5)* V179I (5.8) I54M (0.7)*, I84V (0.9)*, Y181C L89M, I93L L89M, I93L K20R (98.3), M36I (98.6), I62V (1.2), L63P (2.0), A71T (1.3), L89M (99.6), I93L (99.8) 4 M184V, V108I, Y181C, K20R, M36I, None K20R, M36I, D60E, K65R (2.7), D67N (1.5), F116S (0.5), K101E (0.6), K101R M46V (0.7), F53L (0.6), H221Y D60E, L89M, L89M, I93L M184V (2.6) (0.6), P225T (1.5), F53S (0.5), K20R I93L F227L (0.6), K238T (73.5), M36I (67.5), (3.3), K238R (0.7) M36L (31.6), D60E (59.3), L63P (38.0), L89M (79.0), I93L (99.7) 5 M184V M36L, L63P, I93L K103N M36L, L63P, I93L K65R (1.6), K65E (0.5), D67N (2.6), K101E (1.3), K101R F53L (0.7), N88S (0.7), M184V (3.1) (0.6), K103N (55.2), N88D (0.6), K20R V179D (1.0), P225T (0.5), M36I (3.0), (1.0), F227L (0.6), M36L (96.5), I93L F227S (0.6), K238T (99.7) (2.9)
  • 28. Clinical relevance ✤ NGS-based assays will detect many more DRAMs than current tests. ✤ Multiple studies provide evidence that SOME low level NRTI and NNRTI DRAMs are associated with subsequent virologic failure (also for FI) ✤ Picture less clear with PI, likely due to the polyallelic nature of resistance ✤ II to be investigated directly as are HCV antivirals ✤ “The extent to which the detection of low-abundance DRMs will affect patient management is still unknown but it is hoped that use of such an assay in clinical practice, will help resolve this important question” Evaluation of a Bench-Top HIV Ultra-Deep Pyrosequencing Drug-Resistance Assay in the Clinical Laboratory Avidor et al J Clin Microbiol 2013.
  • 29. Tropism analysis using NGS ✤ Because NGS provide sequences, one can ask questions that require the knowledge of the entire sequence. ✤ CCR5 vs CXCR4 usage has implications for treatment (with fusion inhibitors), and clinical outcomes
  • 30. Tropism analysis, clinical relevance ✤ Can either be measured experimentally (e.g. Enhanced Sensitivity Trofile Assay, ESTA), or by computational analyses of env V3 loop sequences (e.g. Geno2Pheno) ✤ Low level (e.g. 2%) X4 variants are predictive of FI failure, e.g. in the Maraviroc versus Efavirenz in Treatment-Naive Patients (MERIT) study N=312 N=35 Swenson L C et al. Clin Infect Dis. 2011;53:732-742
  • 31. Does the choice of platform matter ✤ Largely, no. Archer et al PLoS ONE 2012
  • 32. High throughput dual infection detection ✤ Blood → HIV RNA → cDNA → PCR 3 regions Gag: p24 (253 bp) Env: C2-V3-C3 (416 bp) Pol: RT (534 bp) ✤ Sequenced 16 samples concurrently on single 454 GS FLX Titanium plate ✤ Processed reads (~5 mins/patients on a computer cluster) and generated phylogenies ✤ Interpreted nucleotide diversity > 2% (RT, gag) and > 5% (env), confirmed by phylogenetic bootstrap, as evidence of dual infection Pacold et al ARHR 2010
  • 33. DETECTION OF HIV DUAL INFECTION 1295 FIG. 2. Sample I, UDS duplicate 1. First year of infection. DI in env, pol, and gag. UDS are represented as red circles and SGS as blue squares. Variant abundances per node and branches with >90% bootstrap support are labeled. identified samples A, B, C, E, F, and G as singly infected sequence was $278.18, for SGS of two coding regions (Supplementary Figs. 1–6 and 11–13; Supplementary Data are $2,646.39, and for UDS of three coding regions $1,075.10. available online at www.liebertonline.com/aid) and samples Costs of each sequencing type are summarized in Table 3. It D1, D2, H, and I as dually infected (Fig. 2 and Supplementary took 3 hours to produce one sample’s population-based pol Figs. 7–10 and 14–16). DI results specific to the coding regions sequence, 42 hours for one sample’s SGS, and 9.5 hours for of each sample are shown in Table 2. one sample’s UDS. Cost and time estimates for parallel steps For nearly all the samples, the high read coverage of UDS like RNA extraction are highly throughput-dependent. UDS identified greater maximum divergence than SGS (Table 2). can be customized to produce fewer reads per sample at a Duplicate UDS runs performed on the same sample cDNA for lower cost. As previously noted,11 many factors (such as price Pacold et al ARHR 2010 the same coding regions agreed in DI status for all 20 cases. reductions related to quantity) influence cost estimates and Combined phylogenies of UDS and SGS for each sample are may cause large price differences for experiments using the
  • 34. High throughput dual infection detection SGS: A B C D1 E F D2 G H 25 reads per “Gold-standard” sample-region UDS: A B C D1 E F D2 G H Low viral 4,650 reads per load sample-region ✤ For all dually infected samples, UDS identified a greater within- sample divergence than SGS. ✤ Samples E and F both had divergence exceeding the DI threshold, but only Sample F exhibited DI-like population structure. ✤ UDS required 40% of the cost and 20% of the time for SGS. Pacold et al ARHR 2010
  • 35. Method comparison SGS NGS Robustness for confirming DI High High Throughput potential Low High Labor High Medium Time High Low Medium (and Cost High dropping)
  • 36. San Diego Primary Infection Cohort L537 ✤ Samples sequenced to date 4 CI! N112 show a prevalence of DI of Q294 ! 11/61 = 18%. U189 ! 12 24 36 ! D224 Months after initial infection ✤ Of the 7 SI cases: K613 ! K908 ✤ 5 were SI in the first year of initial 7 SI! P265 infection (incidence: 8.2%) P853 ✤ 2 in the second year (incidence: S155 3.3%) U796 12 24 36 Months after initial infection ✤ Dual infections are much more 1 strain detected! frequent than expected. 2 strains detected! Pacold et al AIDS 2012
  • 37. Viral Dynamics of SI Cases Subject( Coding(Regions( Ini2al( Superinfec2ng( Recombinant( RT# Replaced# Persists# Not#Detected# 1((K6)( C24V3# Replaced# Persists# Not#Detected# RT# Replaced# Persists# Not#Detected# 2((K9)( C24V3# Replaced# Persists# Not#Detected# RT# Persists# Persists# Persists# 3((D2)( C24V3# Persists# Transient# Persists# RT# Persists# Not#Detected# Not#Detected# 4((P2)( C24V3# Persists# Persists# Persists# RT# Persists# Transient# Not#Detected# 5((P8)( C24V3# Persists# Transient# Transient# RT# Persists# Transient# Persists# 6((S1)( C24V3# Replaced# Transient# Persists# RT# Persists# Persists# Transient# 7((U7)( C24V3# Persists# Transient# Transient#
  • 38. Clinical consequences K6 (p = 0.35) K9 (p = 0.10) 400 300 300 Viral load dynamics for 200 200 seven super-infected 100 100 0 4 6 D2 (p = 0.0026) 8 10 12 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 P2 (p = 0.66) 400 P8 (p = 0.093) patients 200 300 400 500 150 Sqrt (viral load) 300 Open circle - before 100 200 Shaded circle - after 50 100 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 14 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 S1 (p = 0.0061) U7 (p = 0.0044) 1500 p-values are for the 200 1000 presence of a structural 150 shift 500 100 50 0 5 10 15 20 2 4 6 8 10 EDI, months
  • 39. Molecular epidemiology of HIV-1 ✤ Because HIV is a measurably evolving pathogen that accumulates sequence diversity within hosts at rates as high as 1-2% per year within the polymerase (pol) gene, viral sequences are nearly unique to each infected person. ✤ This distinct feature of the virus allows one to interrogate sequences for evidence of recent relatedness, and thus infer potential transmission links.
  • 40. Establishing links ✤ Putative transmission links are established if the genetic distance between two pol sequences is below a threshold D (e.g. 1.5%) ✤ Median intra-subtype pairwise genetic distance is ~5%, and the probability that two randomly selected HIV-1 subtype B sequences are ≤1.5% distant is very low (p = 0.0022 for the SD AEH cohort and p = 0.0002 for a random sample) San Diego Acute and Early Cohort Random database sample 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.4 Density, AU Density, AU 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
  • 41. San Diego HIV molecular network (bulk sequences) 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 12 19 2 2 Viral load, log (copies/ml) 10 3 10 2 2 N/A 7 12 1.5-2.5 2 2 2 2.5-3.5 3.5-4.5 2 2 2 2 3 4.5-5.5 5.5-6.5 5 2 2 2 2 >6.5 3 10 2 2 3 2 Direction resolved 7 4 based on EDI 21 2 Number of 2 N 2 timepoints (if > 1) 6 19 TNS < 0.8 2 2 2 2 2 2 TNS ≥ 0.8 2
  • 42. Linking transmission partners using NGS ✤ Because a substantial proportion of individuals may be multiply infected, we need to be able to draw links between minority populations. ✤ NGS data have been used in HPTN 052 (to confirm transmission links between serodiscordant couples)
  • 43. A denser network of connections ✤ 64 new edges and 16 new nodes (a yield of ~1 connection / 2 NGS samples) were added to the network, ✤ The inclusion of NGS data ✤ increased the size of the largest cluster from 62 to 156 nodes ✤ increased the number of “hubs” by 7 (from 51 to 58).
  • 44. It pays to target highly connected nodes Targeting a low degree Concept Targeting a high degree Contact Network Transmission n node has a local effect Node node hascould global effect individual Individual a lead to HIV HIV+ Edge A contact that Transmission eve Degree = 1 transmission, e.g. sexual, shared needle Degree = edges Number of contacts associated with a Number of transm connected to a node associated with a node Transmission network i Degree = 7 Degree = 7 subset of the contact net Degree = 7 Degree = 3 Degree = 1 Degree = 1 Contact w/o tranmission HIV+ HIV- Transmission
  • 45. Regulatory approval: the bad news ✤ No NGS platforms have been cleared/approved by FDA ✤ No standards to use for comparison ✤ No clear agreement on bioinformatics handling ✤ Lack of proficiency panels and reference materials ✤ Rapid change
  • 46. Regulatory approval: the good news ✤ The industry, academia, and agencies (FDA, CAP, NCBI, etc) are actively collaborating on the issue ✤ Informatics rapidly improving and stabilizing ✤ Clinical relevance studies are ongoing ✤ This is primarily driven by human genomic applications, so HIV/HCV applications will benefit from the larger effort ✤ The Forum on Collaborative HIV research has held a series of roundtables to discuss issues relevant to HIV/HCV research, including the “Next Generation Sequencing Roundtable” in December 2012.
  • 47. Acknowledgements UCSD UBC Davey Smith Richard Harrigan Jason Young Art FY Poon Sara Gianella Weibel Life Inc Susan Little Mary Pacold Douglas Richman Richard Haubrich Gabe Wagner Lance Hepler