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The International Journal Of Engineering And Science (IJES)
||Volume||2 ||Issue|| 9 ||Pages|| 97-107||2013||
ISSN(e): 2319 – 1813 ISSN(p): 2319 – 1805
www.theijes.com The IJES Page 97
Expansion Planning for Nigeria’s South East Electric Power
Transmission Network
Dr. O.A Ezechukwu,
Department Of Electrical Engineering, Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Awka
--------------------------------------------------ABSTRACT------------------------------------------------------
Nigeria’s power system rank one of the most unstable. That is why the federal government is making frantic
effort to improve its reliability through massive expansion programme. In this paper, the south east grid
network is singled out for study and analysis, with the view of making it very reliable. Power world simulator
software was used for the study and analysis. At the end, some lines were recommended for doubling which are
Afam-Alaoji, Benin-Onitsha, Sapele-Benin and Onitsha-Alaoji. The transmission lines were assumed to be
single circuits for the analysis. The.
KEY WORDS: Power system, line violation, contingency analysis, over-load, simulation. network shows that
Sapele-Benin and Afam-Alaoji have been made double circuits; therefore, the remaining circuits to be doubled
are Onitsha-Alaoji and Benin-Onitsha transmission lines. It is expected that the new lines will strengthen the
grid robustness and also reduce the frequent incidents of avoidable system collapses
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Date of Submission: 03, September, 2013 Date of Acceptance: 20, September 2013
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
I. INTRODUCTION
The electric power system in Nigeria is continually undergoing changes as a result of consistent
increase in power demand. In most cases, the system fails to retain its stability when there is a sudden outage of
one of its component. This invariably affects the power quality delivered by the system.In a typical power
system, the supply of electricity to load center is carried out by three main processes, generated power at the
generating stations will be transferred to the distribution centers through the high voltage transmission network.
At the distribution station, the electrical power is reduced to lower voltage level to serve low voltage consumers.
Due to the growing electricity consumption and expected renewable energy integration, the transmission
network expansion planning is required to facilitate alternative paths for power transfer from power plants to
load centers during emergencies. This expansion need to be done urgently and properly. Therefore, the
transmission network expansion planning is defined as the problem of determining where to locate new
transmission lines, when and how much additional new capacity must be installed over the planning horizon so
that the network meet optimal operational, economical, technical and reliability criteria of the future power
demand. Different techniques have been adopted in solving transmission expansion planning, but none have
given a satisfactory solution. Some of the techniques include branch and bound, sensitivity analysis, bender
decomposition, simulated annealing, genetic algorithms, tabu search and greedy randomized adaptive search
procedure (GRASP) [1-5]. Transmission expansion planning is usually performed after generation expansion
planning since it is different to obtain the optimal solution for a realistic system considering both generators and
transmission lines simultaneously. In this paper, a methodology is proposed for choosing the best transmission
expansion planning using contingency criterion.
II. CONTINGENCY ANALYSIS OVERVIEW
Evaluation of power system security is necessary in order to develop ways to maintain system
operation when one or more elements fail. A power system is “secured” when it can withstand the loss of one or
more elements and still continue operation without major problems. Contingency analysis is one of the “security
analysis” applications in a power utility control center. Its purpose is to analyse the power system in order to
identify the overloads and problems that can occur due to “contingency”In network planning, contingency
analysis is used to examine the performance of a power system and the need for new transmission expansion
due to load growth or generation expansion. Contingency analysis provides tools
For managing, creating, and reporting list of contingencies and associated violations. In general, the quality of a
power system is determined by its ability to meet the expected demand under different contingency conditions.
Expansion Planning For Nigeria’s South…
www.theijes.com The IJES Page 98
Contingency analysis is used as a study tool for the off-line analysis of contingency events, and as a tool to show
operators what would be the effects of any failure or outage. This will equip the system planners with the best
location for new transmission lines to compensate for overloads during contingency situations. The under listed
points were considered during this contingency analysis:
 Security is determined by the ability of the system to withstand equipment failure
 Weak elements are those that present overloads in the contingency conditions (congestion)
 Standard approach is to perform a single (N-1) analysis simulation
 A ranking method will be used to prioritize transmission planning
III. CLASSIFICATION OF CONTINGENCY
Contingency analysis is an abnormal condition in electrical network. Most times, power system are
operated under stressed conditions and thus leading to transmission systems working closer to their limit.
Contingency can occur due to
 Sudden opening of transmission line
 Generator tripping
 Sudden change in generation
 Sudden change in load value
In this work, contingencies that may occur due to sudden opening of transmission line and generator tripping
were considered, and overload/violations were also checked.
IV. EVALUATING TRANSMISSION NETWORK SECURITY IN NIGERIA.
The Nigeria power system is currently suffering from inadequate generation and transmission capacity.
The demand is much higher than the generated power, and this has led to constant load shedding and erratic
power supply. The transmission network is mostly radial and is not sufficient to transfer the additional power
injected to the grid by the new power plants.Typical steady-state system security demands the following: (i)No
loss of load, (ii) bus voltages within power quality bands, (iii) transmission flows within thermal limits and (iv)
system operation at a safe margin from static voltage collapse. Long term design of system expansion is
facilitated when there is high demand during a contingency. Contingency analysis enables the determination of
quasi-optimal transmission topologies. National Electrical Regulatory Commission (NERC) requires that
systems be designed and operated to withstand N-1 and certain critical N-2 or greater contingencies.
V. MATERIALS AND METHODS
Power world was a major tool to achieve the solution of the power flow problem (power world co-
operation, 2006)[7]. The 11 bus network of the south east network in Nigeria was modeled in the edit mode of
power world simulator. The network has a total number of 11 buses (6 generator buses and 11 load buses)
VI. LOAD FLOW SOLUTION
The buses that were used in power world simulator were classified as load buses, generator buses and
slack bus(Meier,2006)[8], which is similar to PV bus but take the slack in power flows so as to achieve
convergent solution. Power flow problem starts with a single line diagram of the system, from which computer
solutions can be achieved. Data for the simulation include bus data, transmission line data and generator data
which are shown in appendix A. Computer simulation was used to obtain the solutions to network power flow
based on the newton-raphson technique in power world run mode.
Load Flow Problem
The complex power injected by the source into the ith bus of a power system is
i = 1,2, - - - -, n
Taking the complex conjugate of the above equation
i = 1,2, - - - n
Substituting
from eq 1.0 in Eq 2.0 above, we have
Expansion Planning For Nigeria’s South…
www.theijes.com The IJES Page 99
wherei=1,2---n
Equating real and imaginary parts, we get
; Then
Where (i = 1,2, - - - -n)
Equation 4.0a and 4.0b are called power flow equations.
VII .CONTINGENCY ANALYSIS
Contingency analysis is a method by which we can predict steady state bus voltages and line
currents in a power system following switching on or off a line in the system [9]. The method does not require
the exact values of voltages and currents, it rather assess the approximate values to check whether the system,
components and buses will be overloaded or will face under/overvoltage following switching on or off the
prescribed line. Contingency analysis frequently uses [ZBus] and loads are assumed to be treated as constant
current injectors. Removing a line is treated as adding negative impedance. A generalized method of developing
an algorithm for addition of line is given below [9].
ADDITION AND REMOVAL OF LINES IN POWER SYSTEM
Let
V1, V2, - - - - VN = bus voltage in P.U in the network,
I1, I2, - - - -., IN = known current (PU) injections at respective buses
Zx and Zy = P.U impedance of lines to be added in the system between buses i – j and k – l respectively
Ix and Iy = current (P.U) in branches Zx and Zy respectively
[V1
1, V1
2, - - - -, V1
N]T
= bus voltages in P.U in the same power network after addition of Zx and Zy in the
network
Therefore [V] = [ZBus] [ I ]
Fig 1.0a: Original System
N
VN
2
V2
1
V1
System
I1
I2
IN
Expansion Planning For Nigeria’s South…
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n
Fig 1.0a represents the original system while fig 1.0b represents the system after ZX and Zy were added at the
designated buses.The equation below gives the general guideline for contingency analysis.
VIII RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS
The following were considered in analyzing the state of the
network
Bus voltages to check whether they were within the allowable voltage tolerance limits of +5% (0.95< Vi 1 <
1.05PU).Percentage apparent power (MVA) loading of the transmission lines with a view to determine the lines
that are underutilized or congested in the system.
IX CASE STUDY WITH AN 11 BUS IN SOUTH EAST 330KV NETWORK.
Here an 11 bus, 330kv network in the south eastern Nigeria was created and run in power world
simulator. The eleven bus system was selected to demonstrate the use of contingency screening method using
load flow to check the behaviour of the line with single line and single generator contingencies in order to
determine the best plan for new transmission lines. The system consist of 11 buses, 5 of them are generator
buses and 6 transmission lines buses. The A.C load flow using Newton–Raphson method was used in the
analysis. The data for the study is from PHCN daily operational report of 09/08/2012 which is shown in
appendix A.Load flow was run on the network to ascertain the behavior of the network at base case. The load
flow results show that there was no violation in the bus voltage and the transmission line MVA rating. The
results were within the limits of operation.
Figure 2 shows the network at run mode in power world simulator
VL
1
IN IM
System
Zy
ZX
Iy
IX
L
k
Vk
1
j
Vj
1 i
Vi
1
I1 I2
V1 1
V2
1
2
VN
1
N
Vm
1
m
Fig 1.0b: ZX and Zy are added to the system
Expansion Planning For Nigeria’s South…
www.theijes.com The IJES Page 101
sla
ck
sapelle
okpai
T.amadi
afam
1.0000 pu
1.0000 pu
1.0000 pu 1.0000 pu
benin
onitsha
0.9860 pu
ph main
0.9749 pu
0.9877 pu
n.haven
0.9515 pu
alaoji
0.9899 pu
delta
1.0000 pu
878 MW
-92 Mvar
85 MW
134 Mvar
441 MW
107 Mvar
40 MW
399 Mvar
173 MW
80 Mvar
230 MW
75 Mvar
295 MW
150 Mvar
113 MW
60 Mvar
563 MW
88 Mvar
342 MW
114 MvarA
Amps
A
Amps
A
Amps
A
Amps
A
Amps
A
Amps
A
Amps
A
Amps
A
Amps
aladja
382 MW
108 Mvar
A
Amps
A
Amps
0.9899 pu
Fig 2.0: The network at run mode
(a) SINGLE TRANSMISSION LINE CONTINGENCY TEST
After running the network at base case, a contingency was inserted into the network to check the performance
during outage/failure of the components (generators and transmission line). The first contingency that was
inserted was the single line contingency test and the effect on the network is given in table1.
Table 1.0: Single transmission line contingency test in the network.
Label Skip Processed Solved Violations
L_000001sapelle-
000005beninC1 NO YES YES 1
L_000011aladja-
000001sapelleC1 NO YES YES 0
L_000002okpai-
000006onitshaC1 NO YES YES 3
L_00003T.amadi-
00007phmainC1 NO YES YES 1
L_000007phmain-
000004afamC1 NO YES YES 0
L_000009alaoji-
000004afamC1 NO YES YES 3
L_000005benin-
000006onitshaC1 NO YES YES 1
L_000005benin-
000010deltaC1 NO YES YES 0
L_00006onitsha-
00008n.havenC1 NO YES YES 0
L_000006onitsha-
000009alaojiC1 NO YES YES 1
L_000011aladja-
000010deltaC1 NO YES YES 0
From the table, it shows that a total of 11 contingency tests were performed, giving rise to 9 violations.1
violation was recorded on the transmission line with high % MVA limit, while 8 violations were recorded on the
buses with low limit voltage. The use of contingency selection/screening now helped in singling out those
conditions that led to violations.
(b) SINGLE GENERATOR CONTINGENCY TEST
Having selected the contingencies that led to violations in the single line contingency test, we now insert the
single generator contingency to also screen out the conditions that would lead to violation. Table2 shows the
network violations when single generator contingency was inserted
.
Table 2.0: single generator contingency test on the network
Expansion Planning For Nigeria’s South…
www.theijes.com The IJES Page 102
Label Skip Processed Solved Violations
G_000001sapelleU1 NO YES YES 1
G_000002okpaiU1 NO YES YES 4
G_000003T.amadiU1 NO YES YES 2
G_000004afamU1 NO YES YES 6
G_000010deltaU1 NO YES YES 2
From Table3, it shows that a total of 5 contingencies were inserted, giving rise to 15 violations. 5 violations
were recorded on the MVA loading of the transmission lines, while 10 violations were recorded as the bus
voltage limit violation. The entire generator contingency led to violations which can be bus voltage limit,
transmission line overload violations or both at a time. No contingency selection was done in this case, since the
entire single generator contingency led to different violations.
VII. DISCUSSIONS
Having seen the effects of these contingencies on the network, we now start planning on how to
alleviate these overloaded lines in contingency situations. Table 3 gives the summary of the results obtained
during the contingency test carried out on the transmission line and generators.
Table 3.0: summary of results obtained during contingency.
S/N Contingency
considered
Overloaded
line
%MVA
loading
Bus
violated
Bus
voltage
in p.u
1 Sapelle-
benin
- - 8(New
heaven)
0.94687
2 Okpai-
Onitsha
Alaoji-
Afam
141 6(Onitsha)
8(new
heaven)
0.9234
0.8985
3 Trans-
amadi-P.H
main
- - 7(P.H
main)
0.93458
4 Alaoji-Afam - - 6(Onitsha)
8(New
heaven)
9(Alaoji)
0.90066
0.8751
0.75858
5 Benin-
Onitsha
- - 8(New
heaven)
0.94825
6 Onitsha-
Alaoji
- - 8(New
heaven)
0.94698
7 Shut down
generator at
sapelle
- - 8(New
heaven)
0.94684
8 Shut down
generator at
okapi
Alaoji-
Afam
135.3 2(okapi)
6(Onitsha)
8(New
heaven)
0.92705
0.92704
0.90229
9 Shut down
generator at
Trans-amadi
- - 3(Trans-
amadi)
7(P.H.
main)
0.93459
0.92459
10 Shut down
generator at
Afam
Sapelle-
benin
Benin-
onitsha
Onitsha-
113.2
117.6
124
6(Onitsha)
8(New
heaven)
9(Alaoji)
0.91132
0.88609
0.93664
Expansion Planning For Nigeria’s South…
www.theijes.com The IJES Page 103
Alaoji
11 Shut down
generator at
delta
Alaoji-
Afam
121 8(New
heaven)
0.94028
The summary of the contingency analysis given in table3 indicates that 4 transmission lines were overloaded
during the contingency test. The affected lines were Alaoji-Afam, Sapelle-Benin, Onitsha-Benin and Onitsha-
Alaoji. The most overloaded line was Alaoji-Afam, followed by Onitsha-Alaoji, Benin-Onitsha and Sapele-
Benin.
Fig3 shows the maximum percentage loading of the line before adding new lines during a contingency test on
the selected components (generators and transmission line)
Fig 3.0: Max % MVA loading of line before adding new lines during contingency test
REMEDIAL ACTIONS-TRANSMISSION EXPANSION PLAN
T achieve reliability, four new lines have to be added to the network in the order of priority given in table4..
Table 4.0: New lines to be added to the network to alleviate the overloaded lines
Priority of adding lines 1 2 3 4
List of new lines considered Alaoji-afam Onitsha-Alaoji Benin-Onitsha Sapelle-Benin
The line data in appendix A show that, the lines between Alaoji-Afam and Sapelle-Benin has been made
double line circuits. Therefore, the remaining lines to be doubled are the Onitsha-Alaoji and Benin-Onitsha
circuits, since they are still single line circuits. The Benin-Onitsha second transmission line is nearing
completion. The new transmission lines were added one after another in their order of priority to alleviate the
overloaded lines during contingency. Contingency test was also carried out after addition of the lines to see the
effect on the network. The addition of the new transmission lines recorded no overload when the system was
subjected to single transmission line and single generator contingency. Also the low voltage limits experienced
in the buses were corrected and the voltages were within the tolerance limit of 0.95pu. Table4shows the
Expansion Planning For Nigeria’s South…
www.theijes.com The IJES Page 104
contingency selection results when single transmission line and single generator contingency were inserted into
the network after adding the new transmission lines.
Table 5.0: Single line transmission contingency inserted into the network after adding the new lines
Contingency Selection Records
Label Skip Processed Solved Violations
L_000001sapelle-
000005beninC1 NO YES YES 0
L_000001sapelle-
000005beninC2 NO YES YES 0
L_000002okpai-
000006onitshaC1 NO YES YES 0
L_000003T.amadi-
000007phmainC1 NO YES YES 0
L_000005benin-
000006onitshaC1 NO YES YES 0
L_000005benin-
000010deltaC1 NO YES YES 0
L_000006onitsha-
000005beninC2 NO YES YES 0
L_000006onitsha-
000008n.havenC1 NO YES YES 0
L_000006onitsha-
000009alaojiC1 NO YES YES 0
L_000006onitsha-
000009alaojiC2 NO YES YES 0
L_000007phmain-
000004afamC1 NO YES YES 0
L_000009alaoji-
000004afamC1 NO YES YES 0
L_000009alaoji-
000004afamC2 NO YES YES 0
L_000011aladja-
000001sapelleC1 NO YES YES 0
L_000011aladja-
000010deltaC1 NO YES YES 0
Table 6.0: Single generator contingency inserted into the network after adding new lines.
Contingency Records
Label Skip Processed Solved Violations
G_000001sapelleU1 NO YES YES 0
G_000002okpaiU1 NO YES YES 0
G_000003T.amadiU1 NO YES YES 0
G_000004afamU1 NO YES YES 0
G_000010deltaU1 NO YES YES 0
Fig4 shows the maximum percentage loading of the line after adding new lines during a contingency test on the
selected components (generators and transmission line)
Expansion Planning For Nigeria’s South…
www.theijes.com The IJES Page 105
Fig 4.0: Max % MVA loading of line after adding new lines during a contingency test.
Finally, we compare the transmission line MVA of the overloaded lines before and after adding new lines
during the contingency tests.
Expansion Planning For Nigeria’s South…
www.theijes.com The IJES Page 106
Fig 5.0: comparison of % MVA loading of line before and after adding of new lines
Also the figure below show network at run mode after the addition of the new lines.
Fig 6.0: The network at run mode after addition of the new lines
IX CONCLUSION
slack
sapelle
okpai
T.amadi
afam
1.0000 pu
1.0000 pu
1.0000 pu 1.0000 pu
benin
onitsha
0.9910 pu
ph main
0.9822 pu
0.9877 pu
n.haven
0.9590 pu
alaoji
0.9945 pu
delta
1.0000 pu
838 MW
-76 Mvar
125 MW
156 Mvar
441 MW
64 Mvar
38 MW
401 Mvar
173 MW
80 Mvar
230 MW
75 Mvar
295 MW
150 Mvar
113 MW
60 Mvar
563 MW
88 Mvar
342 MW
98 MvarA
Amps
A
Amps
A
Amps
A
Amps
A
Amps
A
Amps
A
Amps
A
Amps
A
Amps
aladja
382 MW
108 Mvar
A
Amps
A
Amps
0.9899 pu
A
Amps
A
Amps
A
Amps
A
Amps
Expansion Planning For Nigeria’s South…
www.theijes.com The IJES Page 107
A transmission network expansion planning methodology for choosing the best transmission expansion
plan using contingency analysis is used to evaluate potential transmission system and helps in selecting the best
plan for overall system security. The expansion plan obtained from the base case study may contain insecure
configurations. To ensure the system reliability, the expansion plan is assessed by a list of credible single line
outages, i.e the “N-I” criteria, using a base case A.C load flow. Should overload happen in any transmission
line, best location from the list of possibilities are selected to reinforce the network. The security assessment is
repeated until no overloading occurs in the system and the optimal plan is finalized. Three steps of the security
assessment involve contingency screening, N-I checking, and selection of extra lines for reinforcement. Finally
the best lines to enhance security and reliability are selected from the rest of the possible lines.There is a lot of
savings in the cost of transmission network expansion due to the planning strategy adopted in this work.
Contingency analysis method is the best way to select the location of new transmission lines. The results
obtained during these tests were found to be good and, thus provide remedial actions.. Contingency analysis,
which is run on the base case network, identifies the overloaded lines or elements with violations. From the
series of contingency tests carried out, the overloaded lines were singled out in their order of severity of
violations. Therefore new lines can now be introduced comfortably at the right locations. It is expected that the
new lines will strengthen the grid robustness and also reduce the frequent incidents of avoidable system
collapses.
REFERENCES
[1]. Guoxian Liu, Hiroshi Sasaki, Naoto Yorino ”Application of network topology to long range composite expansion planning of
generation and transmission lines” international journal of Electric power system Research 57(2001), pp.157-162.
[2]. Ning Yang a, Fushan Wen b, “A chance constrained programming approach to transmission system expansion planning”
international journal of Electric power system Research 75 (2005),pp.171-177.
[3]. Wenc Lua, b, Ehore Bompardb, Roberto Napoli b, Viuchen Jiang a, “Heuristic producers for transmission planning in
competitive electricity markets” international journal of Electric power system Research 77 (2007) pp.1337-1348.
[4]. Yi-Xiong Jin a, Hao-Zhong Chang a, Jian-Yong Yang b, Li Zhang b, ”New discrete method for particle swarm optimization and
its application in transmission network expansion planning” international journal of Electric power system Research 77 (2007),
pp227-233.
[5]. Aeseok Choi, “Transmission Expansion planning using contingency criterion” IEEE transactions on power systems. Vol.22,
No4, November 2007 pp 2249 - 2261.
[6]. I.J Nagrath, D.P Kothari, “Power system Engineering” First Edition, Fifteen reprint, 2004 by Tata Mc Graw-Hill, 1994.
[7]. Power world co-operation (2006): power world simulator, version 12, licensed only for University Educational use.
[8]. Meier A.V. (2006); Electric power systems, A conceptual introduction, John Wiley and sons Inc. new jersey.
[9]. A. Chakrabarti, S. Halder, “power system Analysis; operation and control” Third edition by PHI learning Pvt. Ltd, 2006.
APPENDIX A
Table A1: Transmission line parameters for the south east 330kv network in Nigeria.
Line between buses and the number of circuits Length of
line(km)
Line impedance
from To Circuit type R(p.u) X(p.u)
Onitsha Alaoji Single 138 0.0054 0.0408
Onitsha New-heaven Single 96 0.0038 0.0284
Benin Onitsha Single 137 0.0054 0.0405
delta Benin Single 107 0.0042 0.0316
Sapelle Benin Double 50 0.0009 0.0070
Okapi Onitsha Double 56 0.0005 0.0042
Afam Alaoji Double 25 0.0006 0.0043
Afam P.h main Single 38 0.0015 0.0112
P.H main Trans-amadi Single 10 0.0004 0.003
Sapelle Aladja Single 63 0.0025 0.0186
Delta Aladja Single 30 0.0009 0.0072
Table A2 Existing power stations
S/N Name Gen. MW Gen. MVR
1 Delta PS 342.95 112.82
2 Okpai 441.57 104.84
3 Sapele PS 125.17 -61
4 Afam PS 457.12 148
5 Trans-Amadi 32.63 18

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The International Journal of Engineering and Science (The IJES)

  • 1. The International Journal Of Engineering And Science (IJES) ||Volume||2 ||Issue|| 9 ||Pages|| 97-107||2013|| ISSN(e): 2319 – 1813 ISSN(p): 2319 – 1805 www.theijes.com The IJES Page 97 Expansion Planning for Nigeria’s South East Electric Power Transmission Network Dr. O.A Ezechukwu, Department Of Electrical Engineering, Nnamdi Azikiwe University, Awka --------------------------------------------------ABSTRACT------------------------------------------------------ Nigeria’s power system rank one of the most unstable. That is why the federal government is making frantic effort to improve its reliability through massive expansion programme. In this paper, the south east grid network is singled out for study and analysis, with the view of making it very reliable. Power world simulator software was used for the study and analysis. At the end, some lines were recommended for doubling which are Afam-Alaoji, Benin-Onitsha, Sapele-Benin and Onitsha-Alaoji. The transmission lines were assumed to be single circuits for the analysis. The. KEY WORDS: Power system, line violation, contingency analysis, over-load, simulation. network shows that Sapele-Benin and Afam-Alaoji have been made double circuits; therefore, the remaining circuits to be doubled are Onitsha-Alaoji and Benin-Onitsha transmission lines. It is expected that the new lines will strengthen the grid robustness and also reduce the frequent incidents of avoidable system collapses ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Date of Submission: 03, September, 2013 Date of Acceptance: 20, September 2013 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I. INTRODUCTION The electric power system in Nigeria is continually undergoing changes as a result of consistent increase in power demand. In most cases, the system fails to retain its stability when there is a sudden outage of one of its component. This invariably affects the power quality delivered by the system.In a typical power system, the supply of electricity to load center is carried out by three main processes, generated power at the generating stations will be transferred to the distribution centers through the high voltage transmission network. At the distribution station, the electrical power is reduced to lower voltage level to serve low voltage consumers. Due to the growing electricity consumption and expected renewable energy integration, the transmission network expansion planning is required to facilitate alternative paths for power transfer from power plants to load centers during emergencies. This expansion need to be done urgently and properly. Therefore, the transmission network expansion planning is defined as the problem of determining where to locate new transmission lines, when and how much additional new capacity must be installed over the planning horizon so that the network meet optimal operational, economical, technical and reliability criteria of the future power demand. Different techniques have been adopted in solving transmission expansion planning, but none have given a satisfactory solution. Some of the techniques include branch and bound, sensitivity analysis, bender decomposition, simulated annealing, genetic algorithms, tabu search and greedy randomized adaptive search procedure (GRASP) [1-5]. Transmission expansion planning is usually performed after generation expansion planning since it is different to obtain the optimal solution for a realistic system considering both generators and transmission lines simultaneously. In this paper, a methodology is proposed for choosing the best transmission expansion planning using contingency criterion. II. CONTINGENCY ANALYSIS OVERVIEW Evaluation of power system security is necessary in order to develop ways to maintain system operation when one or more elements fail. A power system is “secured” when it can withstand the loss of one or more elements and still continue operation without major problems. Contingency analysis is one of the “security analysis” applications in a power utility control center. Its purpose is to analyse the power system in order to identify the overloads and problems that can occur due to “contingency”In network planning, contingency analysis is used to examine the performance of a power system and the need for new transmission expansion due to load growth or generation expansion. Contingency analysis provides tools For managing, creating, and reporting list of contingencies and associated violations. In general, the quality of a power system is determined by its ability to meet the expected demand under different contingency conditions.
  • 2. Expansion Planning For Nigeria’s South… www.theijes.com The IJES Page 98 Contingency analysis is used as a study tool for the off-line analysis of contingency events, and as a tool to show operators what would be the effects of any failure or outage. This will equip the system planners with the best location for new transmission lines to compensate for overloads during contingency situations. The under listed points were considered during this contingency analysis:  Security is determined by the ability of the system to withstand equipment failure  Weak elements are those that present overloads in the contingency conditions (congestion)  Standard approach is to perform a single (N-1) analysis simulation  A ranking method will be used to prioritize transmission planning III. CLASSIFICATION OF CONTINGENCY Contingency analysis is an abnormal condition in electrical network. Most times, power system are operated under stressed conditions and thus leading to transmission systems working closer to their limit. Contingency can occur due to  Sudden opening of transmission line  Generator tripping  Sudden change in generation  Sudden change in load value In this work, contingencies that may occur due to sudden opening of transmission line and generator tripping were considered, and overload/violations were also checked. IV. EVALUATING TRANSMISSION NETWORK SECURITY IN NIGERIA. The Nigeria power system is currently suffering from inadequate generation and transmission capacity. The demand is much higher than the generated power, and this has led to constant load shedding and erratic power supply. The transmission network is mostly radial and is not sufficient to transfer the additional power injected to the grid by the new power plants.Typical steady-state system security demands the following: (i)No loss of load, (ii) bus voltages within power quality bands, (iii) transmission flows within thermal limits and (iv) system operation at a safe margin from static voltage collapse. Long term design of system expansion is facilitated when there is high demand during a contingency. Contingency analysis enables the determination of quasi-optimal transmission topologies. National Electrical Regulatory Commission (NERC) requires that systems be designed and operated to withstand N-1 and certain critical N-2 or greater contingencies. V. MATERIALS AND METHODS Power world was a major tool to achieve the solution of the power flow problem (power world co- operation, 2006)[7]. The 11 bus network of the south east network in Nigeria was modeled in the edit mode of power world simulator. The network has a total number of 11 buses (6 generator buses and 11 load buses) VI. LOAD FLOW SOLUTION The buses that were used in power world simulator were classified as load buses, generator buses and slack bus(Meier,2006)[8], which is similar to PV bus but take the slack in power flows so as to achieve convergent solution. Power flow problem starts with a single line diagram of the system, from which computer solutions can be achieved. Data for the simulation include bus data, transmission line data and generator data which are shown in appendix A. Computer simulation was used to obtain the solutions to network power flow based on the newton-raphson technique in power world run mode. Load Flow Problem The complex power injected by the source into the ith bus of a power system is i = 1,2, - - - -, n Taking the complex conjugate of the above equation i = 1,2, - - - n Substituting from eq 1.0 in Eq 2.0 above, we have
  • 3. Expansion Planning For Nigeria’s South… www.theijes.com The IJES Page 99 wherei=1,2---n Equating real and imaginary parts, we get ; Then Where (i = 1,2, - - - -n) Equation 4.0a and 4.0b are called power flow equations. VII .CONTINGENCY ANALYSIS Contingency analysis is a method by which we can predict steady state bus voltages and line currents in a power system following switching on or off a line in the system [9]. The method does not require the exact values of voltages and currents, it rather assess the approximate values to check whether the system, components and buses will be overloaded or will face under/overvoltage following switching on or off the prescribed line. Contingency analysis frequently uses [ZBus] and loads are assumed to be treated as constant current injectors. Removing a line is treated as adding negative impedance. A generalized method of developing an algorithm for addition of line is given below [9]. ADDITION AND REMOVAL OF LINES IN POWER SYSTEM Let V1, V2, - - - - VN = bus voltage in P.U in the network, I1, I2, - - - -., IN = known current (PU) injections at respective buses Zx and Zy = P.U impedance of lines to be added in the system between buses i – j and k – l respectively Ix and Iy = current (P.U) in branches Zx and Zy respectively [V1 1, V1 2, - - - -, V1 N]T = bus voltages in P.U in the same power network after addition of Zx and Zy in the network Therefore [V] = [ZBus] [ I ] Fig 1.0a: Original System N VN 2 V2 1 V1 System I1 I2 IN
  • 4. Expansion Planning For Nigeria’s South… www.theijes.com The IJES Page 100 n Fig 1.0a represents the original system while fig 1.0b represents the system after ZX and Zy were added at the designated buses.The equation below gives the general guideline for contingency analysis. VIII RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS The following were considered in analyzing the state of the network Bus voltages to check whether they were within the allowable voltage tolerance limits of +5% (0.95< Vi 1 < 1.05PU).Percentage apparent power (MVA) loading of the transmission lines with a view to determine the lines that are underutilized or congested in the system. IX CASE STUDY WITH AN 11 BUS IN SOUTH EAST 330KV NETWORK. Here an 11 bus, 330kv network in the south eastern Nigeria was created and run in power world simulator. The eleven bus system was selected to demonstrate the use of contingency screening method using load flow to check the behaviour of the line with single line and single generator contingencies in order to determine the best plan for new transmission lines. The system consist of 11 buses, 5 of them are generator buses and 6 transmission lines buses. The A.C load flow using Newton–Raphson method was used in the analysis. The data for the study is from PHCN daily operational report of 09/08/2012 which is shown in appendix A.Load flow was run on the network to ascertain the behavior of the network at base case. The load flow results show that there was no violation in the bus voltage and the transmission line MVA rating. The results were within the limits of operation. Figure 2 shows the network at run mode in power world simulator VL 1 IN IM System Zy ZX Iy IX L k Vk 1 j Vj 1 i Vi 1 I1 I2 V1 1 V2 1 2 VN 1 N Vm 1 m Fig 1.0b: ZX and Zy are added to the system
  • 5. Expansion Planning For Nigeria’s South… www.theijes.com The IJES Page 101 sla ck sapelle okpai T.amadi afam 1.0000 pu 1.0000 pu 1.0000 pu 1.0000 pu benin onitsha 0.9860 pu ph main 0.9749 pu 0.9877 pu n.haven 0.9515 pu alaoji 0.9899 pu delta 1.0000 pu 878 MW -92 Mvar 85 MW 134 Mvar 441 MW 107 Mvar 40 MW 399 Mvar 173 MW 80 Mvar 230 MW 75 Mvar 295 MW 150 Mvar 113 MW 60 Mvar 563 MW 88 Mvar 342 MW 114 MvarA Amps A Amps A Amps A Amps A Amps A Amps A Amps A Amps A Amps aladja 382 MW 108 Mvar A Amps A Amps 0.9899 pu Fig 2.0: The network at run mode (a) SINGLE TRANSMISSION LINE CONTINGENCY TEST After running the network at base case, a contingency was inserted into the network to check the performance during outage/failure of the components (generators and transmission line). The first contingency that was inserted was the single line contingency test and the effect on the network is given in table1. Table 1.0: Single transmission line contingency test in the network. Label Skip Processed Solved Violations L_000001sapelle- 000005beninC1 NO YES YES 1 L_000011aladja- 000001sapelleC1 NO YES YES 0 L_000002okpai- 000006onitshaC1 NO YES YES 3 L_00003T.amadi- 00007phmainC1 NO YES YES 1 L_000007phmain- 000004afamC1 NO YES YES 0 L_000009alaoji- 000004afamC1 NO YES YES 3 L_000005benin- 000006onitshaC1 NO YES YES 1 L_000005benin- 000010deltaC1 NO YES YES 0 L_00006onitsha- 00008n.havenC1 NO YES YES 0 L_000006onitsha- 000009alaojiC1 NO YES YES 1 L_000011aladja- 000010deltaC1 NO YES YES 0 From the table, it shows that a total of 11 contingency tests were performed, giving rise to 9 violations.1 violation was recorded on the transmission line with high % MVA limit, while 8 violations were recorded on the buses with low limit voltage. The use of contingency selection/screening now helped in singling out those conditions that led to violations. (b) SINGLE GENERATOR CONTINGENCY TEST Having selected the contingencies that led to violations in the single line contingency test, we now insert the single generator contingency to also screen out the conditions that would lead to violation. Table2 shows the network violations when single generator contingency was inserted . Table 2.0: single generator contingency test on the network
  • 6. Expansion Planning For Nigeria’s South… www.theijes.com The IJES Page 102 Label Skip Processed Solved Violations G_000001sapelleU1 NO YES YES 1 G_000002okpaiU1 NO YES YES 4 G_000003T.amadiU1 NO YES YES 2 G_000004afamU1 NO YES YES 6 G_000010deltaU1 NO YES YES 2 From Table3, it shows that a total of 5 contingencies were inserted, giving rise to 15 violations. 5 violations were recorded on the MVA loading of the transmission lines, while 10 violations were recorded as the bus voltage limit violation. The entire generator contingency led to violations which can be bus voltage limit, transmission line overload violations or both at a time. No contingency selection was done in this case, since the entire single generator contingency led to different violations. VII. DISCUSSIONS Having seen the effects of these contingencies on the network, we now start planning on how to alleviate these overloaded lines in contingency situations. Table 3 gives the summary of the results obtained during the contingency test carried out on the transmission line and generators. Table 3.0: summary of results obtained during contingency. S/N Contingency considered Overloaded line %MVA loading Bus violated Bus voltage in p.u 1 Sapelle- benin - - 8(New heaven) 0.94687 2 Okpai- Onitsha Alaoji- Afam 141 6(Onitsha) 8(new heaven) 0.9234 0.8985 3 Trans- amadi-P.H main - - 7(P.H main) 0.93458 4 Alaoji-Afam - - 6(Onitsha) 8(New heaven) 9(Alaoji) 0.90066 0.8751 0.75858 5 Benin- Onitsha - - 8(New heaven) 0.94825 6 Onitsha- Alaoji - - 8(New heaven) 0.94698 7 Shut down generator at sapelle - - 8(New heaven) 0.94684 8 Shut down generator at okapi Alaoji- Afam 135.3 2(okapi) 6(Onitsha) 8(New heaven) 0.92705 0.92704 0.90229 9 Shut down generator at Trans-amadi - - 3(Trans- amadi) 7(P.H. main) 0.93459 0.92459 10 Shut down generator at Afam Sapelle- benin Benin- onitsha Onitsha- 113.2 117.6 124 6(Onitsha) 8(New heaven) 9(Alaoji) 0.91132 0.88609 0.93664
  • 7. Expansion Planning For Nigeria’s South… www.theijes.com The IJES Page 103 Alaoji 11 Shut down generator at delta Alaoji- Afam 121 8(New heaven) 0.94028 The summary of the contingency analysis given in table3 indicates that 4 transmission lines were overloaded during the contingency test. The affected lines were Alaoji-Afam, Sapelle-Benin, Onitsha-Benin and Onitsha- Alaoji. The most overloaded line was Alaoji-Afam, followed by Onitsha-Alaoji, Benin-Onitsha and Sapele- Benin. Fig3 shows the maximum percentage loading of the line before adding new lines during a contingency test on the selected components (generators and transmission line) Fig 3.0: Max % MVA loading of line before adding new lines during contingency test REMEDIAL ACTIONS-TRANSMISSION EXPANSION PLAN T achieve reliability, four new lines have to be added to the network in the order of priority given in table4.. Table 4.0: New lines to be added to the network to alleviate the overloaded lines Priority of adding lines 1 2 3 4 List of new lines considered Alaoji-afam Onitsha-Alaoji Benin-Onitsha Sapelle-Benin The line data in appendix A show that, the lines between Alaoji-Afam and Sapelle-Benin has been made double line circuits. Therefore, the remaining lines to be doubled are the Onitsha-Alaoji and Benin-Onitsha circuits, since they are still single line circuits. The Benin-Onitsha second transmission line is nearing completion. The new transmission lines were added one after another in their order of priority to alleviate the overloaded lines during contingency. Contingency test was also carried out after addition of the lines to see the effect on the network. The addition of the new transmission lines recorded no overload when the system was subjected to single transmission line and single generator contingency. Also the low voltage limits experienced in the buses were corrected and the voltages were within the tolerance limit of 0.95pu. Table4shows the
  • 8. Expansion Planning For Nigeria’s South… www.theijes.com The IJES Page 104 contingency selection results when single transmission line and single generator contingency were inserted into the network after adding the new transmission lines. Table 5.0: Single line transmission contingency inserted into the network after adding the new lines Contingency Selection Records Label Skip Processed Solved Violations L_000001sapelle- 000005beninC1 NO YES YES 0 L_000001sapelle- 000005beninC2 NO YES YES 0 L_000002okpai- 000006onitshaC1 NO YES YES 0 L_000003T.amadi- 000007phmainC1 NO YES YES 0 L_000005benin- 000006onitshaC1 NO YES YES 0 L_000005benin- 000010deltaC1 NO YES YES 0 L_000006onitsha- 000005beninC2 NO YES YES 0 L_000006onitsha- 000008n.havenC1 NO YES YES 0 L_000006onitsha- 000009alaojiC1 NO YES YES 0 L_000006onitsha- 000009alaojiC2 NO YES YES 0 L_000007phmain- 000004afamC1 NO YES YES 0 L_000009alaoji- 000004afamC1 NO YES YES 0 L_000009alaoji- 000004afamC2 NO YES YES 0 L_000011aladja- 000001sapelleC1 NO YES YES 0 L_000011aladja- 000010deltaC1 NO YES YES 0 Table 6.0: Single generator contingency inserted into the network after adding new lines. Contingency Records Label Skip Processed Solved Violations G_000001sapelleU1 NO YES YES 0 G_000002okpaiU1 NO YES YES 0 G_000003T.amadiU1 NO YES YES 0 G_000004afamU1 NO YES YES 0 G_000010deltaU1 NO YES YES 0 Fig4 shows the maximum percentage loading of the line after adding new lines during a contingency test on the selected components (generators and transmission line)
  • 9. Expansion Planning For Nigeria’s South… www.theijes.com The IJES Page 105 Fig 4.0: Max % MVA loading of line after adding new lines during a contingency test. Finally, we compare the transmission line MVA of the overloaded lines before and after adding new lines during the contingency tests.
  • 10. Expansion Planning For Nigeria’s South… www.theijes.com The IJES Page 106 Fig 5.0: comparison of % MVA loading of line before and after adding of new lines Also the figure below show network at run mode after the addition of the new lines. Fig 6.0: The network at run mode after addition of the new lines IX CONCLUSION slack sapelle okpai T.amadi afam 1.0000 pu 1.0000 pu 1.0000 pu 1.0000 pu benin onitsha 0.9910 pu ph main 0.9822 pu 0.9877 pu n.haven 0.9590 pu alaoji 0.9945 pu delta 1.0000 pu 838 MW -76 Mvar 125 MW 156 Mvar 441 MW 64 Mvar 38 MW 401 Mvar 173 MW 80 Mvar 230 MW 75 Mvar 295 MW 150 Mvar 113 MW 60 Mvar 563 MW 88 Mvar 342 MW 98 MvarA Amps A Amps A Amps A Amps A Amps A Amps A Amps A Amps A Amps aladja 382 MW 108 Mvar A Amps A Amps 0.9899 pu A Amps A Amps A Amps A Amps
  • 11. Expansion Planning For Nigeria’s South… www.theijes.com The IJES Page 107 A transmission network expansion planning methodology for choosing the best transmission expansion plan using contingency analysis is used to evaluate potential transmission system and helps in selecting the best plan for overall system security. The expansion plan obtained from the base case study may contain insecure configurations. To ensure the system reliability, the expansion plan is assessed by a list of credible single line outages, i.e the “N-I” criteria, using a base case A.C load flow. Should overload happen in any transmission line, best location from the list of possibilities are selected to reinforce the network. The security assessment is repeated until no overloading occurs in the system and the optimal plan is finalized. Three steps of the security assessment involve contingency screening, N-I checking, and selection of extra lines for reinforcement. Finally the best lines to enhance security and reliability are selected from the rest of the possible lines.There is a lot of savings in the cost of transmission network expansion due to the planning strategy adopted in this work. Contingency analysis method is the best way to select the location of new transmission lines. The results obtained during these tests were found to be good and, thus provide remedial actions.. Contingency analysis, which is run on the base case network, identifies the overloaded lines or elements with violations. From the series of contingency tests carried out, the overloaded lines were singled out in their order of severity of violations. Therefore new lines can now be introduced comfortably at the right locations. It is expected that the new lines will strengthen the grid robustness and also reduce the frequent incidents of avoidable system collapses. REFERENCES [1]. Guoxian Liu, Hiroshi Sasaki, Naoto Yorino ”Application of network topology to long range composite expansion planning of generation and transmission lines” international journal of Electric power system Research 57(2001), pp.157-162. [2]. Ning Yang a, Fushan Wen b, “A chance constrained programming approach to transmission system expansion planning” international journal of Electric power system Research 75 (2005),pp.171-177. [3]. Wenc Lua, b, Ehore Bompardb, Roberto Napoli b, Viuchen Jiang a, “Heuristic producers for transmission planning in competitive electricity markets” international journal of Electric power system Research 77 (2007) pp.1337-1348. [4]. Yi-Xiong Jin a, Hao-Zhong Chang a, Jian-Yong Yang b, Li Zhang b, ”New discrete method for particle swarm optimization and its application in transmission network expansion planning” international journal of Electric power system Research 77 (2007), pp227-233. [5]. Aeseok Choi, “Transmission Expansion planning using contingency criterion” IEEE transactions on power systems. Vol.22, No4, November 2007 pp 2249 - 2261. [6]. I.J Nagrath, D.P Kothari, “Power system Engineering” First Edition, Fifteen reprint, 2004 by Tata Mc Graw-Hill, 1994. [7]. Power world co-operation (2006): power world simulator, version 12, licensed only for University Educational use. [8]. Meier A.V. (2006); Electric power systems, A conceptual introduction, John Wiley and sons Inc. new jersey. [9]. A. Chakrabarti, S. Halder, “power system Analysis; operation and control” Third edition by PHI learning Pvt. Ltd, 2006. APPENDIX A Table A1: Transmission line parameters for the south east 330kv network in Nigeria. Line between buses and the number of circuits Length of line(km) Line impedance from To Circuit type R(p.u) X(p.u) Onitsha Alaoji Single 138 0.0054 0.0408 Onitsha New-heaven Single 96 0.0038 0.0284 Benin Onitsha Single 137 0.0054 0.0405 delta Benin Single 107 0.0042 0.0316 Sapelle Benin Double 50 0.0009 0.0070 Okapi Onitsha Double 56 0.0005 0.0042 Afam Alaoji Double 25 0.0006 0.0043 Afam P.h main Single 38 0.0015 0.0112 P.H main Trans-amadi Single 10 0.0004 0.003 Sapelle Aladja Single 63 0.0025 0.0186 Delta Aladja Single 30 0.0009 0.0072 Table A2 Existing power stations S/N Name Gen. MW Gen. MVR 1 Delta PS 342.95 112.82 2 Okpai 441.57 104.84 3 Sapele PS 125.17 -61 4 Afam PS 457.12 148 5 Trans-Amadi 32.63 18