Sweden's output has been lifted by an expanding labour force, investment and a recent pick-up in productivity.Unemployment is receding, although it remains relatively high for vulnerable groups, notably the foreign-born.
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Sweden 2017 OECD Economic Survey Growing more-equal
1. 2017 OECD ECONOMIC
SURVEY OF SWEDEN
Growing more equal
Stockholm, 8 February 2017
@OECD
@OECDeconomy
http://www.oecd.org/eco/surveys/economic-survey-sweden.htm
2. The economy is growing strongly
2
Note: For Denmark, Germany and Sweden, OECD projections for 2016 Q4
Source: OECD Economic Outlook database
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Real GDP
Sweden Germany Denmark United States
2005Q1=100
3. Unemployment is trending down
3
Source: OECD Economic Outlook database
2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
% of labour force
Unemployment rate
Sweden Germany Denmark United States
4. Swedes enjoy a high quality of life
4
1. Each well-being dimension is measured by indicators from the OECD Better Life Indicator set.
Indicators are normalised to range between 0 (worst) and 10 (best).
Source: OECD Better Life Index database
5. Real housing prices continue to rise
5
Note: Prices are adjusted by the private consumption deflator
Source: OECD Analytical Housing Prices Database
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016
2000=100
Spain Canada Sweden Denmark
6. Gross household debt is high
6
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
DEU
ITA
FRA
FIN
ESP
USA
SWE
GBR
NOR
NLD
DNK
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
NOR
DNK
SWE
FIN
DEU
NLD
GBR
FRA
ESP
USA
ITA
Note: 2015 or latest
Source: OECD Economic Outlook database
Households GovernmentGross debt
% of GDP
Gross debt
% of GDP
7. Inequality is fairly low, but has risen
rapidly since the 1990s
7
Source: OECD Income Distribution and Poverty database
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
ISL
NOR
DNK
SVN
FIN
CZE
BEL
SVK
AUT
NLD
SWE
LUX
HUN
DEU
FRA
CHE
POL
KOR
IRL
CAN
ITA
AUS
JPN
NZL
PRT
GRC
ESP
LVA
GBR
ISR
EST
TUR
USA
MEX
CHL
IndexIndex
Gini coefficient post taxes and transfers (2013 or latest)
8. Women’s employment rate is almost as
high as men’s
8
Source: OECD Labour Force Statistics
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
TUR
GRC
MEX
ITA
CHL
ESP
KOR
SVK
POL
HUN
IRL
BEL
OECD
FRA
LUX
SVN
PRT
CZE
USA
ISR
JPN
AUS
AUT
FIN
GBR
EST
NLD
NZL
CAN
DEU
DNK
NOR
SWE
CHE
ISL
%%
Women's employment rate, age 15-64, 2015
9. 9
Key recommendations – Macroeconomic policies
Gradually withdraw monetary stimulus as inflation rises
towards the 2% target.
Continue to pursue prudent fiscal policy, while
accommodating temporary immigration-related spending to
facilitate integration.
10. 10
Key recommendations
– Housing and household debt
Introduce a cap on household debt-to-income ratios.
Reform the recurrent property tax to better align tax charges
with property values. Phase out the deductibility of mortgage
interest rate payments.
Enhance co-operation between central and local government
in land-use planning and increase incentives for
municipalities to facilitate the timely release of development
land. Simplify land-use planning procedures, balancing
economic, environmental and social considerations.
Ease rental regulations to incentivise rental housing supply,
mobility and better utilisation of the housing stock, while
maintaining tenant protection against abuse.
12. The wealthy have prospered
12
Record wealth data for analytical purposes.
Median disposable income within each group
Source: Statistics Sweden
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1991 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
1991=100
Top 5% Bottom 5%
13. Benefits have been lagging behind
13
Review annually the distributional consequences of raising
social benefits, taking equity, fiscal costs and work incentives
into consideration.
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
1991 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012
1991=100
Workers
Unemployed and sick
Source: Statistics Sweden
Disposable income within each group
14. Low skills reduce employment and wages
14
Consolidate wage subsidy schemes for the most vulnerable workers
and ease the related administrative burden to increase take-up.
Very low skills
Moderate to low
skills
Moderate to high
skills
Very high skills
10
12
14
16
18
20
50 60 70 80 90 100
Mean hourly
wages1
Employment rate, %
1. PPP adjusted USD
Source: OECD Survey of Adult Skills (2012)
Wages and employment by literacy skill level (2012)
15. 0.000
0.002
0.004
0.006
0.008
0.010
0.012
0.014
50 90 130 170 210 250 290 330 370 410
Share of
graduates
PIAAC score points
Literacy - upper secondary graduates
Natives Migrants from high-income countries
Migrants from low-income countries
PIAAC level 1 and below
Disadvantaged immigrants need special
targeting
15
Build on successful experiences at the local level to enhance the
efficiency of integration.
1. The PIAAC literacy test was taken in Swedish for all groups
Source: OECD Survey of Adult Skills
16. High immigration poses challenges to
integration
16
Continue to simplify the procedures to help migrants get residence
and work permits.
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
160 000
180 000
0
20 000
40 000
60 000
80 000
100 000
120 000
140 000
160 000
180 000
PersonsPersons
Labour and students Refugees and family reunions
Asylum seekers
1. Excluding free movement immigrants from EEA countries
Source: Swedish Migration Agency
Gross migrant inflows1
17. Rental regulations hinder mobility
17
Ease rental regulations to incentivise rental housing supply, mobility and better
utilisation of the housing stock, while maintaining tenant protection against
abuse.
Consider some prioritisation of low-income households to municipal housing
with allocation rules designed to limit spatial segregation.
Source: Stockholm Housing Agency.
0
100 000
200 000
300 000
400 000
500 000
600 000
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014
Persons
Waiting list for rental housing in Stockholm
18. 18
Key recommendations
– Income inequality and equal opportunities
Review annually the distributional consequences of uprating
social benefits, taking equity, fiscal costs and work incentives
into consideration.
Continue to simplify the procedures to help migrants get
residence and work permits.
Rationalise by merging and harmonising various wage
subsidy schemes to better target the most vulnerable workers,
ease the related administrative burden and increase take-up.
20. The gender wage gap is significant
20Source: OECD Employment Database
2014 or latest year available
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
HUN
NZL
BEL
NOR
LUX
DNK
ESP
POL
ITA
GRC
SVN
IRL
DEU
FRA
SVK
ISL
SWE
OECD
CZE
CHE
CHL
PRT
GBR
USA
AUS
AUT
MEX
CAN
TUR
FIN
NLD
ISR
EST
JPN
KOR
%%
21. Gender segregation across occupations
is substantial
21
Source: OECD Labour Force Statistics
Continue to develop methods to fight stereotypes in education. Address
gender-specific weaknesses in education, whether faced by girls or boys.
Share of women by main activities
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Human health and social work activities
Education
Public administration and defence, Compulsory social security
Arts, entertainment and recreation
Accommodation and food service activities
Financial and insurance activities
Administrative and support service activities
Wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
Professional, scientific and technical activities
Real estate activities
Information and communication
Agriculture,hunting and forestry
Transportation and storage
Industry
%
Sweden Other Nordics
22. Only a third of business sole-proprietors
are women
22
Source: OECD Entrepreneurship database
Further promote female entrepreneurship through business promotion
programmes creating a level playing field irrespective of gender, age or
ethnic background. Develop data and analytical tools to evaluate these
programmes.
Latest year available
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
0
10
20
30
40
50
%%
23. Parental leave is fairly generous
23
Source: OECD Family Database
Encourage parents to split parental leave more equally by continuing
to increase the share reserved for each parent.
AUS
AUT
BEL
CAN
CHL
CZE
DNK
EST
FIN
FRA
DEU
HUN
ISL
ITA
JPN
KOR
LVA
LUX
NOR
POL
PRT
SVK
SVN
SWE
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
OECD average
Months
% of national
average
earnings
Paid parental and home care leave to mothers
25. 25
Key recommendations – Gender equality
Encourage parents to split parental leave more equally by
continuing to increase the share reserved for each parent.
Enhance active labour market policy for foreign-born women
when the Introduction programme ends, to prevent them from
drifting away from the labour market.
26. 26
For more information
http://www.oecd.org/eco/surveys/economic-survey-sweden.htm
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