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SURGEON GENERAL’S WARNING: The following speech contains;
gross oversimplifications, unverified correlations, nonsensical
assumptions, illogical conclusions, and downright stupid stuff.
Historical performance not indicative of future performance – your
actual mileage will vary. None of the claims made in this speech
have been verified by the Federal Food and Drug Administration.
Produced in a facility that hires and retains nuts.




                    Jordan
                   Weisman

WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR                           1
Entrepreneur
           Restaurateur

       Dictionary Definition:
                 Likely to FAIL.

WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   2
Entrepreneur




WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   3
Entrepreneur ( Icarus )




WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   4
WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   5
WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   6
WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   7
WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   8
WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   9
ICARUS’ JOURNEY


            1.   Vision
            2.   Leadership
            3.   Funding
            4.   Creation
            5.   Hubris
            6.   Failure



WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   10
VISION

  • Perceiving something via the eyes

  • Seeing something that doesn’t exist

  • Seeing something that doesn’t exist
    BUT should exist




WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   11
LEADERSHIP


 You must convince others to BELIEVE in
      something that doesn’t exist.



         CON MEN

WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   12
FUNDING
  • The Rumpelstiltskin equation
      Straw + Labor = Gold
      Alchemy
          • The transformation of common materials into
            precious metals (i.e. weaving straw into gold)


  • Sources of Funding
     –   Friends & Family
     –   Angel
     –   Venture
     –   Crowd Funding




WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR                   13
CROWDFUNDING
 INSPIRE them with your vision.
 ILLUSTRATE that vision for them.
 PROVE that you can realize that vision.
 MARKET the KS Campaign.

 People will only “invest” in your idea AFTER
 YOU have invested in it.




WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR      14
COSTS of CROWDFUNDING
• Website’s share & credit card processing
   – Figure on a combined 10% off the top
• COGs AND Picking, Packing, & Shipping
   – Figure on 15% to 20%
   – On the higher side for smaller campaigns
• Community management
   – During the funding campaign AND Throughout the
     development period!
• Early adopter audience has already “bought”
   – Your best costumers will produce 0 revenue at launch




WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR                  15
CREATION
  To create games and game companies requires:
        Talent
        Time
        Money
        Human Sacrifice


Giving BIRTH to something is:


MESSY and PAINFUL
        Just ask your Mother

WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR       16
HUBRIS
 • Hubris
    – Excessive pride or self confidence


 THE MECH & THE MOUSE




WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   17
THE MECH & THE MOUSE
                         1980 Founded FASA
                          Corporation
                         1987 Founded
                          Virtual World
                          Entertainment
                         1989 Opened
                          BattleTech Center in
                          Chicago
   1978 U.S. Merchant    1992 Tim Disney
    Marine Academy
                          buys a majority of
                          VWE


WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR       18
THE MECH & THE MOUSE




 Cheap to build
Cheap to operate



WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   19
THE MECH & THE MOUSE




WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   20
THE MECH & THE MOUSE




                           Expensive to build
                          Expensive to operate




WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR       21
THE MECH & THE MOUSE


  Morale of the Story:

  1.Don’t let early success go to your head

  2.Don’t believe your own hype

  3.Track data and rely on it -
         not on your “gut” or emotions




WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR    22
FAILURE



        It Sucks !



WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   23
A team’s ability to FAIL is the
best predictor of it’s eventual
          SUCCESS.




WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   24
SUCCESS & FEAR



     A Tale of Turkey
        and Clix



WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   25
Turkey & Clix




WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   26
Turkey & Clix
    What Kids Want:              Barriers to Entry:
                                 • For   Kids
•   Cheap cool looking figures       •   Having to Superglue and paint
•   Big armies                       •   Figures are expensive
•   Figures don’t break easily       •   Games take forever to play
•   Fast playing                     •   Figures break easily
•   Rules they can understand        •   Rulebooks are huge

                                 • For Retailers
                                     • Takes up too much space
                                     • Low margins




WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR                               27
Turkey & Clix
             Low cost, Prepainted, Preassembed figures


  Gameplay:                                              Retailers:

 Fast playing                                       Small footprint

  Short Rules                                       High margins

  No in-game                                             Organized
tables or charts                                           play




                   Tooling usage and amortization




WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR                            28
Turkey & Clix

    FASA Passed – too risky

    Started Wizkids

    Wizkids grows quickly

    Wizkids buys FASA

    Topps Inc buys Wizkids



WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   29
Turkey & Clix


2 years later . . .
New product
concept

Wizkids team had
become risk
adverse



WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   30
Turkey & Clix

   WHY ?
    No personal financial risk
    Low corporate financial risk
    No distribution risk

   Fear of Failure !
    3 Hit lines in a row
    Wizkids was “Golden Boy”
    Any Failure would be Very Public


WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   31
Who would you rather be?


        23%                    77%




   Source: World Renowned statistician Jerry Seinfeld


WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR              32
5 years                        Length of
                              Development

3 years


1 year


6 months

             We now develop products
3 months        LIVE & IN PUBLIC

  WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   33
WHY do I LOVE Start-Ups?
 • Start-Ups have Less of everything:
    – Less resources
    – Less access to talent
    – Less access to capital
    – Less bureaucracy
    – Less competing agendas

 • Start-Up’s Superpower are that . . .
   –They are expected to FAIL!


WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   34
Thank You

           Jordan Weisman




WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR   35

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Jordan Weisman - Warning startups maybe dangerous to your health (and ego)

  • 1. SURGEON GENERAL’S WARNING: The following speech contains; gross oversimplifications, unverified correlations, nonsensical assumptions, illogical conclusions, and downright stupid stuff. Historical performance not indicative of future performance – your actual mileage will vary. None of the claims made in this speech have been verified by the Federal Food and Drug Administration. Produced in a facility that hires and retains nuts. Jordan Weisman WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 1
  • 2. Entrepreneur Restaurateur Dictionary Definition: Likely to FAIL. WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 2
  • 3. Entrepreneur WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 3
  • 4. Entrepreneur ( Icarus ) WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 4
  • 5. WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 5
  • 6. WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 6
  • 7. WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 7
  • 8. WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 8
  • 9. WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 9
  • 10. ICARUS’ JOURNEY 1. Vision 2. Leadership 3. Funding 4. Creation 5. Hubris 6. Failure WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 10
  • 11. VISION • Perceiving something via the eyes • Seeing something that doesn’t exist • Seeing something that doesn’t exist BUT should exist WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 11
  • 12. LEADERSHIP You must convince others to BELIEVE in something that doesn’t exist. CON MEN WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 12
  • 13. FUNDING • The Rumpelstiltskin equation  Straw + Labor = Gold  Alchemy • The transformation of common materials into precious metals (i.e. weaving straw into gold) • Sources of Funding – Friends & Family – Angel – Venture – Crowd Funding WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 13
  • 14. CROWDFUNDING INSPIRE them with your vision. ILLUSTRATE that vision for them. PROVE that you can realize that vision. MARKET the KS Campaign. People will only “invest” in your idea AFTER YOU have invested in it. WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 14
  • 15. COSTS of CROWDFUNDING • Website’s share & credit card processing – Figure on a combined 10% off the top • COGs AND Picking, Packing, & Shipping – Figure on 15% to 20% – On the higher side for smaller campaigns • Community management – During the funding campaign AND Throughout the development period! • Early adopter audience has already “bought” – Your best costumers will produce 0 revenue at launch WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 15
  • 16. CREATION To create games and game companies requires:  Talent  Time  Money  Human Sacrifice Giving BIRTH to something is: MESSY and PAINFUL Just ask your Mother WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 16
  • 17. HUBRIS • Hubris – Excessive pride or self confidence THE MECH & THE MOUSE WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 17
  • 18. THE MECH & THE MOUSE  1980 Founded FASA Corporation  1987 Founded Virtual World Entertainment  1989 Opened BattleTech Center in Chicago 1978 U.S. Merchant  1992 Tim Disney Marine Academy buys a majority of VWE WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 18
  • 19. THE MECH & THE MOUSE Cheap to build Cheap to operate WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 19
  • 20. THE MECH & THE MOUSE WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 20
  • 21. THE MECH & THE MOUSE Expensive to build Expensive to operate WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 21
  • 22. THE MECH & THE MOUSE Morale of the Story: 1.Don’t let early success go to your head 2.Don’t believe your own hype 3.Track data and rely on it - not on your “gut” or emotions WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 22
  • 23. FAILURE It Sucks ! WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 23
  • 24. A team’s ability to FAIL is the best predictor of it’s eventual SUCCESS. WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 24
  • 25. SUCCESS & FEAR A Tale of Turkey and Clix WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 25
  • 26. Turkey & Clix WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 26
  • 27. Turkey & Clix What Kids Want: Barriers to Entry: • For Kids • Cheap cool looking figures • Having to Superglue and paint • Big armies • Figures are expensive • Figures don’t break easily • Games take forever to play • Fast playing • Figures break easily • Rules they can understand • Rulebooks are huge • For Retailers • Takes up too much space • Low margins WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 27
  • 28. Turkey & Clix Low cost, Prepainted, Preassembed figures Gameplay: Retailers: Fast playing Small footprint Short Rules High margins No in-game Organized tables or charts play Tooling usage and amortization WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 28
  • 29. Turkey & Clix  FASA Passed – too risky  Started Wizkids  Wizkids grows quickly  Wizkids buys FASA  Topps Inc buys Wizkids WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 29
  • 30. Turkey & Clix 2 years later . . . New product concept Wizkids team had become risk adverse WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 30
  • 31. Turkey & Clix WHY ?  No personal financial risk  Low corporate financial risk  No distribution risk Fear of Failure !  3 Hit lines in a row  Wizkids was “Golden Boy”  Any Failure would be Very Public WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 31
  • 32. Who would you rather be? 23% 77% Source: World Renowned statistician Jerry Seinfeld WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 32
  • 33. 5 years Length of Development 3 years 1 year 6 months We now develop products 3 months LIVE & IN PUBLIC WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 33
  • 34. WHY do I LOVE Start-Ups? • Start-Ups have Less of everything: – Less resources – Less access to talent – Less access to capital – Less bureaucracy – Less competing agendas • Start-Up’s Superpower are that . . . –They are expected to FAIL! WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 34
  • 35. Thank You Jordan Weisman WARNING: STARTUPS MAY BE DANGEROUS TO YOUR 35

Editor's Notes

  1. What do these words have in common. There both French. But they also have the same dictionary definition. There is a link here – after all think of all the French military victories. I know your thinking Napoleon, but he was from Corsica. How about the French Foreign Legion you say? Clever I say. The French Foreign Legion is populated by the dregs of society, murderers, cut-throats and thieves – which takes us back to Entrepreneurs.
  2. Someone stupid enough to throw themselves off a cliff on the BELIEF that they can invent wings before they hit the ground. Let’s call this poor soul Icuras.
  3. So lets say Icuras beats the odds and invents wings in time
  4. But that’s only the start of his journey – in his HUBRIS he flies to high (burns cash to fast) and his wings melt – plummeting him to the ground.
  5. It doesn’t often happen, but sometimes you fail at failing and you SOAR, and that is a high that is highly addictive.
  6. What do we call someone who sees things or people that don’t exist . . . we call them CRAZY.
  7. Confidence men, originally meant that thief would gain the confidence of the mark in order to steal their money. In this context we mean someone that is so supremely confident in their vision and their ability to create that vision that others invest their money or throw away perfectly good careers in order to help bring this thing into the world.
  8. Confidence men, originally meant that thief would gain the confidence of the mark in order to steal their money. In this context we mean someone that is so supremely confident in their vision and their ability to create that vision that others invest their money or throw away perfectly good careers in order to help bring this thing into the world.
  9. Confidence men, originally meant that thief would gain the confidence of the mark in order to steal their money. In this context we mean someone that is so supremely confident in their vision and their ability to create that vision that others invest their money or throw away perfectly good careers in order to help bring this thing into the world.
  10. Creating games and game companies requires you to be TOTALLY in LOVE with what you are creating and the team that you are creating it with. It also requires complete support from you family as it will become a totally absorbing activity and they are going to suffer some because of it. Without support on the home-front your doomed
  11. Cautionary Tales
  12. What do we call someone who sees things or people that don’t exist . . . we call them CRAZY.
  13. Worlds first networked games Worlds first publicly available 3D environment Built cheap and designed to be operated by as few as one employee
  14. We kept reinventing the wheel – never satisfied with what we had created.
  15. Worlds first networked games Worlds first publicly available 3D environment Built cheap and designed to be operated by as few as one employee
  16. Worlds first networked games Worlds first publicly available 3D environment Built cheap and designed to be operated by as few as one employee
  17. Nolan Bushnell pottery example