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In studies of routine mental health practice in UK National Health
Service (NHS) primary care settings, patients who had scores
above the clinical cut-off level on the Clinical Outcomes in
Routine Evaluation – Outcome Measure (CORE-OM) at the
outset of psychological therapy,1,2
and had planned endings, had
similar rates of recovery and improvement regardless of how
long they remained in treatment across the 0–20 session range
examined.3,4
Similar results were reported among patients in an
American university counselling centre.5
These results seem
unexpected in the context of conventional psychological therapy
dose–effect curves, which suggest recovery and improvement
rates should increase with the number of sessions delivered, albeit
at a negatively accelerating rate.6–8
These unexpected results might
reflect participants’ responsive regulation of treatment duration to
fit patient requirements.3,4
In the NHS primary care investigations
the recovery rate was paradoxically slightly greater among patients
who had fewer sessions than among those who had more sessions.
Patients’ pre-treatment and post-treatment CORE-OM scores
were modestly correlated with the number of sessions they
attended, suggesting that degree of distress was one of many
factors influencing treatment duration. All scientific findings,
but particularly such unexpected and paradoxical findings, must
be reproduced across settings and closely assessed before they
can be considered trustworthy.9,10
Understanding the effects of
psychological therapy not as a fixed function of dose but as
responsively regulated could have important implications for
policy regarding prescribed numbers of sessions. We assessed
whether the dose–effect pattern previously observed in primary
care mental health settings could be observed in other service
sectors, including secondary care, university counselling centres,
voluntary organisations and workplace counselling centres.
Method
We studied adult patients aged 16–95 years (n = 26 430) drawn
from the CORE National Research Database 2011 (described
below) who returned valid pre- and post-treatment assessment
forms, began treatment in the clinical range, completed 40 or
fewer sessions and were described by their therapists as having
had a planned ending. Endings were considered as planned if
the therapist and patient agreed to end therapy or a previously
planned course of therapy was completed. The patients on average
were 38.6 years old (s.d.= 12.9); 18 308 (69.3%) were women;
23 104 (87.4%) were White, 1092 (4.1%) were Asian, 913
(3.5%) were Black and 1321 (5.0%) listed other ethnicity or their
ethnicity was not stated, not available or missing. Most patients
were not given a formal diagnosis, but therapists indicated the
severity of their patients’ presenting problems using categories
provided on the CORE assessment form. Multiple problems
were indicated for most patients. Patients’ problems rated as
causing moderate or severe difficulty on one or more areas of
day-to-day functioning included anxiety (in 56.3% of patients),
depression (38.3%), interpersonal relationship problems
(38.8%), low self-esteem (33.9%), bereavement or loss (23.0%),
work or academic problems (23.0%), trauma and abuse
(15.4%), physical problems (11.6%), problems associated with
living on welfare (11.6%), addictions (5.4%) and personality
problems (5.1%), as well as other problems cited for fewer than
5% of the patients.
The patients were treated over a 12-year period at 50 services
in the UK, including six primary care services (8788 patients),
eight secondary care services (1071 patients), two tertiary care
services (68 patients), ten university counselling centres (4595
patients), fourteen voluntary sector services (5225 patients), eight
workplace counselling centres (6459 patients) and two private
115
Duration of psychological therapy: relation to
recovery and improvement rates in UK routine
practice{
William B. Stiles, Michael Barkham and Sue Wheeler
Background
Previous studies have reported similar recovery and
improvement rates regardless of treatment duration among
patients receiving National Health Service (NHS) primary care
mental health psychological therapy.
Aims
To investigate whether this pattern would replicate and
extend to other service sectors, including secondary care,
university counselling, voluntary sector and workplace
counselling.
Method
We compared treatment duration with degree of
improvement measured by the Clinical Outcomes in Routine
Evaluation – Outcome Measure (CORE-OM) for 26 430 adult
patients who scored above the clinical cut-off point at the
start of treatment, attended 40 or fewer sessions and had
planned endings.
Results
Mean CORE-OM scores improved substantially (pre–post
effect size 1.89); 60% of patients achieved reliable and
clinically significant improvement (RCSI). Rates of RCSI and
reliable improvement and mean pre- and post-treatment
changes were similar at all tested treatment durations.
Patients seen in different service sectors showed modest
variations around this pattern.
Conclusions
Results were consistent with the responsive regulation
model, which suggests that in routine care participants tend
to end therapy when gains reach a good-enough level.
Declaration of interest
M.B. was a developer of the CORE measures.
Copyright and usage
B The Royal College of Psychiatrists 2015.
The British Journal of Psychiatry (2015)
207, 115–122. doi: 10.1192/bjp.bp.114.145565
{
See editorial, pp. 93–94, this issue.
practices (224 patients). The patients were treated by 1450
therapists who treated from 1 to 377 patients each (mean 18.2,
s.d.= 42.0). Therapist demographic and professional characteristics
were not recorded. Assignment of patients to therapists and
treatments was determined using the service’s normal procedures.
Therapists indicated their treatment approaches at the end of
therapy using the CORE end of therapy form (described below).
The most common approaches were integrative (41.2%),
person-centred (36.4%), psychodynamic (22.8%), cognitive–
behavioural (14.9%), structured/brief (14.6%), and supportive
(14.0%). Therapists reported using more than one type of therapy
with many (41.6%) of the patients.
Measures
Outcome measure
The CORE-OM is a self-report inventory comprising 34 items that
address domains of subjective well-being, symptoms (anxiety,
depression, physical problems, trauma), functioning (general
functioning, close relationships, social relationships) and risk (risk
to self, risk to others).1,2
Half the items focus on low-intensity
problems (e.g. ‘I feel anxious/nervous’) and half focus on high-
intensity problems (e.g. ‘I feel panic/terror’). Items are scored
on a five-point scale (0–4), anchored ‘not at all’, ‘only
occasionally’, ‘sometimes’, ‘often’ and ‘all or most of the time’.
(Six positively worded items are reverse-scored.) Forms are
considered valid if no more than three items are omitted.2
Clinical
scores on the CORE-OM are computed as the mean of completed
items multiplied by 10, so clinically meaningful differences are
represented by whole numbers. Thus, scores can range from 0
to 40. The 34-item scale has a reported internal consistency of
0.94,1
and test–retest correlations of 0.80 or above for intervals
of up to 4 months in an out-patient sample.11
The CORE-OM’s
recommended clinical cut-off score of 10 was selected to
discriminate optimally between a clinical sample and a systematic
general population sample.12
Assessment and end of therapy forms
On the CORE assessment form,13
completed at intake, therapists
gave referral information, patient demographic characteristics
and data on the nature, severity and duration of presenting
problems using 14 categories: depression, anxiety, psychosis,
personality problems, cognitive/learning difficulties, eating disorder,
physical problems, addictions, trauma/abuse, bereavement, self-
esteem, interpersonal problems, living/welfare and work/
academic. On the end of therapy form therapists reported
information about the completed treatment, including the
number of sessions the patient attended, whether the ending
was planned or unplanned, and which type or types of therapy
were used.13
Procedure
Details of data collection procedures were determined by each
service’s normal administrative procedures and were not recorded.
Patients completed the CORE-OM during screening or assessment
or immediately before the first therapy session. The post-
treatment CORE-OM was administered at or after the last session.
Therapists completed the therapist assessment form after an intake
session and the end of therapy form when treatment had ended.
Data collection complied with applicable data protection
procedures for the use of routinely collected clinical data.
Anonymised data were entered electronically at the site and later
transferred electronically to CORE Information Management
Systems (CORE-IMS). Ethics approval for this study was covered
by National Research Ethics Service application 05/Q1206/128
(Amendment 3).
The 26 430 patients we studied were selected from the CORE
National Research Database 2011 (CORE-NRD-2011). The CORE
Information Management Systems invited all UK services using its
software support services for more than 2 years (representing
approximately 303 000 potential patients) to donate anonymised,
routinely collected data for use by the research team. These
services had been using the personal computer format of the
CORE system.14
Data were entered into the CORE-NRD-2011,
which includes information on 104 474 patients (68.6% female;
mean age 38.5 years, s.d.= 12.6) whose therapist returned a
therapist assessment form during the period April 1999 to
November 2011. For some patients data on more than one episode
of therapy were donated; however, to ensure that each patient was
included just once, only the first episode was included in the
database (not necessarily the first episode the patient had ever
had).
Selection of patients
We selected all adult patients (age 16–95 years) from this database
who returned valid pre- and post-therapy CORE-OM forms,
were described by their therapists as having planned endings,
had pre-treatment CORE-OM scores of 10 or greater, and
completed 40 or fewer sessions. Criteria were decided a priori,
paralleling the previous studies. We excluded patients in the
database who did not return valid CORE-OM forms, including
some who used short forms of the CORE rather than the
CORE-OM: 17 489 did not return valid pre- or post-treatment
forms, 1070 returned post-treatment but not pre-treatment forms
and 49 618 returned pre-treatment but not post-treatment forms.
The last (largest) category included patients who did not attend
any sessions, patients who attended sessions but left without
completing the final form and patients who had not ended their
treatment by the closing date of data collection.
Of the 36 297 patients who returnedvalid pre-and post-treatment
CORE-OM forms, 385 were excluded because there were missing
data on age or age fell outside the 16–95 range; 4716 were excluded
because they did not have a planned ending; and 3529 were
excluded because they began treatment with a CORE rating below
the clinical cut-off score of 10. Finally, we excluded 1237 patients
who met previous criteria but received more than 40 sessions as
reported on the end of therapy form, or whose therapist did
not record the number of sessions attended. The number of
patients receiving more than 40 sessions was too small to estimate
recovery and improvement rates reliably. Many of the services
routinely offered a fixed number of sessions, most often six. These
limits were administered flexibly, however, and all services
returned data from some patients seen for more than six sessions.
This left our sample of 26 430, or 25.3% of the patients in the
CORE-NRD-2011 (Fig. 1).
Some of the services asked to donate data to CORE-NRD-
2011 had also been asked to donate data to previous data-sets,
designated CORE-NRD-2002 and CORE-NRD-2005,3,4
and
there may have been some overlap with the present sample. Codes
for patients, therapists and sites were assigned separately in
each sample to preserve anonymity, so we could not check
for overlap precisely. As a proxy estimate, we matched
patients on five indices: age, pre-treatment CORE-OM score,
post-treatment CORE-OM score, date of first session and date
116
Stiles et al
Treatment duration and improvement
of final session. In the our study sample 472 of the 26 430 patients
(1.8%) matched patients in CORE-NRD-2005 on these variables.
This indicates an upper limit on the degree of overlap, insofar as
all overlapping patients should match, and a few patients may
have matched by chance. Of these, 469 were treated within the
primary care sector, consistent with the restriction of the 2005
sample to primary care. The remaining 3 individuals, classified
as workplace sector patients in CORE-NRD-2011, may have been
coincidental matches, or the sector may have been misclassified in
one of the data-sets. Most (80%) of the CORE-NRD-2011 patients
began treatment after the end date for collection of the 2005
sample, so they could not have been included. There were
many changes in which services were using CORE in 2005 and
2011, and services that donated data in 2005 may have chosen
not to do so in 2011. A parallel check on overlap with the
CORE-NRD-2002 sample showed no matches.
Recovery
Reliable and clinically significant improvement
Reliable and clinically significant improvement (RCSI) is a
common index of recovery in psychological therapy studies.
Following Jacobson & Truax,15
we held that patients had achieved
RCSI if they entered treatment in a dysfunctional state and left
treatment in a normal state, having changed to a degree that
was probably not due to measurement error (that is, by an
amount equal to or greater than the reliable change index
described below). We used a CORE-OM score of 10 or above as
the clinical cut-off level dividing the dysfunctional from the
normal populations.12
Recall that we excluded patients who began
treatment with a score below the clinical cut-off; these patients
were not in the clinical population to begin with and so could
not move from the clinical to the normal population (as required
for RCSI) regardless of how much they improved.
Reliable change index
The reliable change index is the pre–post treatment difference
that, when divided by the standard error of the difference, is equal
to 1.96. The standard error, and thus the index, depends on the
standard deviation of the pre–post difference and on the reliability
of the measure.15
For comparability we used the same criteria as
in the 2008 study by Stiles et al.4
Using s.d.diff = 6.65 (based
on the 12 746 patients in CORE-NRD-2005 who had valid
pre- and post-treatment CORE-OM scores) and the reported
internal consistency reliability of 0.94, we calculated a reliable
change index of 4.5. Values based on the 36 297 patients in
CORE-NRD-2011 who returned valid pre- and post-treatment
CORE-OM forms were similar: s.d.diff = 6.78, internal consistency
averaged across pre- and post-treatment forms 0.94, reliable
change index 4.49. To summarise, patients whose CORE-OM
scores decreased by 4.5 points or more were considered to have
achieved reliable improvement. Patients who achieved reliable
improvement and whose score changed from at or above 10 to
below 10 were considered to have achieved RCSI.
Results
The 26 430 patients we studied attended an average of 8.3 sessions
(s.d.= 6.3; median and mode 6 sessions) and 15 858 of them
achieved RCSI – that is, having begun treatment with a CORE-
OM score of 10 or above, 60.0% of the patients left with a score
below 10, having changed by at least 4.5 points. An additional
5258 patients (19.9%) showed reliable improvement only. Reliable
deterioration (i.e. an increase of 4.5 or more points) was shown by
344 patients (1.3%). The remaining 4970 patients (18.8%) showed
no reliable change. In this sample, with these parameters, the
cut-off criterion (leaving treatment in a normal state) was a more
powerful determinant of RCSI than the reliable change index
(changing to a degree not attributable to chance). Whereas
21 116 (79.9%) of all patients showed reliable improvement
(decrease greater than 4.5), only 16 585 (62.8%) ended treatment
below the cut-off score of 10, just 727 (2.8%) more than achieved
RCSI. The patients’ mean CORE-OM clinical score was 18.99
(s.d.= 5.24) at intake and 9.10 (s.d.= 6.28) after treatment, a mean
difference of 9.89 (s.d.= 6.48), t(26,328) = 248.26, P50.001,
yielding a pre–post effect size (difference divided by pre-treatment
s.d.) of 1.89. Patients’ pre-treatment scores were correlated
(r = 0.38, P50.001, n= 26 430) with their post-treatment scores.
Dose–effect relations
Within the parameters of our study, patients who attended fewer
sessions were somewhat more likely to have achieved RCSI by the
end of treatment than were those who attended more sessions.
117
CORE National Research
Database 2011
n = 104 474 (100.0%)
Complete data
n = 36 297 (34.7%)
Age 16–95 years
n = 35 912 (34.4%)
Planned ending
n = 31 196 (30.0%)
CORE-OM in clinical range
n = 27 667 (26.5%)
Attended 0–40 sessions
n = 26 430 (25.3%)
Excluded: missing or
invalid CORE-OM
Pre- and post-treatment
n = 17 489 (16.7%)
Pre-treatment only
n = 1070 (1.0%)
Post-treatment only
n = 49 618 (47.5%)
Excluded: age 516 or
495 years,
or missing data
n = 385 (0.4%)
Excluded:
unplanned ending
n = 4716 (4.5%)
Excluded: initial
CORE-OM score 510
n = 3529 (3.4%)
Excluded:
440 sessions
n = 713 (0.7%)
missing data
n = 524 (0.5%)
Fig. 1 Selection of patients from the Clinical Outcomes in
Routine Evaluation (CORE) database. CORE-OM, CORE Outcome
Measure.
Stiles et al
Table 1 shows the number and percentage of patients who
achieved RCSI as a function of the number of sessions they
attended (data for the full number of sessions are given in online
Table DS1). All of the RCSI rates were between 45% and 70%,
except for 37.5% among the relatively few patients who completed
39 sessions (online Table DS1). Rates of RCSI were negatively
correlated with number of sessions attended (r = 70.58,
P50.001; 41 session categories), replicating previous findings.3,4
The proportion of patients achieving reliable improvement was
also negatively correlated with number of sessions attended
(r = 70.40, P= 0.009; 41 categories). Table 1 shows the number
and percentage of patients who achieved reliable improvement
as a function of number of sessions. Reliable improvement rates
ranged from 70% to 85%, again except for a lower 57.5% among
clients who attended 39 sessions (online Table DS1). These rates
are higher than the RCSI rates because they included patients
who achieved RCSI plus others who improved but did not end
below the cut-off score. The ‘no session’ entry in Table 1
represents patients who returned to the site, perhaps after time
on a waiting list, agreed with their therapist that formal treatment
was no longer indicated, and completed a second CORE-OM.
Although there were only a few such patients, their rate of
improvement was consistent with the broader pattern, and we
consider this to be a logical beginning of the continuum, reflecting
treatment decisions by participants.
Mean pre–post treatment changes were similar regardless of
the number of sessions attended. As shown in Table 2, the mean
pre–post change scores varied around the overall mean of 9.89,
and the effect size varied around the overall effect size of 1.89.
They were not significantly correlated with number of sessions
across the 41 categories (0 to 40; online Table DS2). The patients
who attended large numbers of sessions tended to have relatively
higher CORE-OM scores both before and after treatment (Table 2,
online Table DS2). The correlations of mean pre- and post-
treatment CORE-OM scores with sessions attended across the
41 categories were substantial (pre-treatment r = 0.58, P50.001;
post-treatment r = 0.66, P50.001). The correlations of individual
patients’ pre- and post-treatment CORE-OM scores with the
number of sessions attended, although reliably positive, were far
smaller, reflecting large within-category variation in CORE-OM
scores (pre-treatment r = 0.08, P50.001; post-treatment r = 0.09,
P50.001; n = 26 430).
Service sector analysis
For the most part the foregoing pattern of results was observed
within each of the service sectors we considered. Table 3 shows
the RSCI rates and mean CORE-OM pre–post change in each of
the sectors, with the whole-sample statistics included for
comparison. Table 4 shows the mean number of sessions attended
in each service sector within the sample we selected. We note that,
descriptively, patients seen in secondary and tertiary care tended
to begin with somewhat higher CORE-OM scores and to improve
less than patients seen in other sectors, as indicated by relatively
118
Table 1 Improvement rates as a function of number of sessions attended
Sessions attendeda
Patients
n
RCSIb
n (%)
Reliable improvementc
n (%)
0 28 19 (67.9) 22 (78.6)
1 243 152 (62.6) 185 (76.1)
2 1208 776 (64.2) 974 (80.6)
3 1926 1314 (68.2) 1609 (83.5)
4 2401 1603 (66.8) 2012 (83.8)
5 3071 1968 (64.1) 2538 (82.6)
6 5576 3225 (57.8) 4429 (79.4)
7 1904 1164 (61.1) 1563 (82.1)
8 1928 1128 (58.5) 1543 (80.0)
9 1107 620 (56.0) 877 (79.2)
10 1258 677 (53.8) 948 (75.4)
11 767 445 (58.0) 620 (80.8)
12 1405 798 (56.8) 1069 (76.1)
13 388 219 (56.4) 298 (76.8)
14 312 173 (55.4) 234 (75.0)
15 283 159 (56.2) 218 (77.0)
16 325 158 (48.6) 233 (71.7)
17 212 130 (61.3) 171 (80.7)
18 196 107 (54.6) 137 (69.9)
19 166 95 (57.2) 126 (75.9)
20 216 114 (52.8) 165 (76.4)
21 116 59 (50.9) 88 (75.9)
22 134 69 (51.5) 97 (72.4)
23 112 66 (58.9) 95 (84.8)
24 180 95 (52.8) 127 (70.6)
25 97 51 (52.6) 75 (77.3)
All patients 26 430 15 858 (60.0) 21 116 (79.9)
RCSI, reliable and clinically significant improvement.
a. Data for 26–40 sessions omitted here, but available in online Table DS1.
b. Defined as a post-treatment Clinical Outcomes in Routine Evaluation – Outcome Measure (CORE-OM) score below 10, which has changed by at least 4.5 points; includes only
patients with planned endings whose initial CORE-OM score was at or above the clinical cut-off of 10.
c. Defined as a change of at least 4.5 points regardless of post-treatment score (and thus includes patients who achieved RCSI).
Treatment duration and improvement
lower reliable change rates and effect sizes (see Table 3) despite
having longer treatments (see Table 4). Private sector patients
averaged somewhat more improvement; however, in view of
the relatively small number of patients we are reluctant to
interpret this. The durations of university and workplace
treatments were similar to those in primary care; however, the
durations of voluntary sector treatment were more similar to
those in secondary care.
Figure 2 shows RCSI rates as a function of number of sessions
completed for five of the sectors, with the whole-sample RCSI
rates included for comparison. The whole-sample reference figure
includes data for 0–40 sessions, as listed in online Table DS1. To
ensure that the RCSI rates within sectors at each duration were
based on a sufficient number of cases, we restricted the sector
plots to primary care, secondary care, university counselling,
voluntary sector and workplace counselling, and we included data
119
Table 2 Clinical Outcomes in Routine Evaluation – Outcome Measure scores as a function of number of sessions attended
Patients
CORE-OM score (mean)
Sessions attendeda
n Pre-treatment Post-treatment Pre–post difference Pre–post effect sizeb
0 28 18.39 9.18 9.21 1.76
1 243 17.67 9.28 8.39 1.60
2 1208 18.04 8.38 9.66 1.84
3 1926 17.98 7.74 10.24 1.95
4 2401 18.44 8.10 10.34 1.97
5 3071 18.77 8.41 10.37 1.98
6 5576 19.05 9.29 9.76 1.86
7 1904 19.27 8.90 10.37 1.98
8 1928 19.24 9.23 10.00 1.91
9 1107 19.54 9.81 9.74 1.86
10 1258 19.24 10.19 9.05 1.73
11 767 18.99 9.29 9.71 1.85
12 1405 18.79 9.56 9.23 1.76
13 388 19.19 9.53 9.66 1.84
14 312 19.19 10.16 9.03 1.72
15 283 20.19 9.96 10.23 1.95
16 325 20.22 10.77 9.45 1.80
17 212 19.69 9.21 10.48 2.00
18 196 19.43 10.15 9.28 1.77
19 166 19.42 9.98 9.44 1.80
20 216 20.46 10.40 10.05 1.92
21 116 21.20 11.23 9.97 1.90
22 134 20.45 11.01 9.45 1.80
23 112 20.18 9.18 11.00 2.10
24 180 20.44 11.00 9.44 1.80
25 97 19.55 10.82 8.73 1.67
All patients 26 430 18.99 9.10 9.89 1.87
CORE-OM, Clinical Outcomes in Routine Evaluation – Outcome Measure.
a. Data for 26–40 sessions omitted here, but available in online Table DS2.
b. Pre–post treatment difference divided by the full sample pre-treatment standard deviation (5.24).
Table 3 Changes in Clinical Outcomes in Routine Evaluation – Outcome Measure scores pre- and post-treatment categorised by
mental health service sector
Service sector
Patients
n
RCSI
n (%)
Reliable
improvement
n (%)
Pre-treatment
score
Mean (s.d.)
Post-treatment
score
Mean (s.d.)
Pre–post
differencea
Mean (s.d.)
Effect
sizeb
All clients 26 430 15 858 (60.0) 21 116 (79.9) 18.99 (5.24) 9.10 (6.28) 9.89 (6.48) 1.89
Primary 8788 5528 (62.9) 7258 (82.6) 19.36 (5.22) 8.73 (6.25) 10.63 (6.51) 2.03
Secondary 1071 386 (36.0) 707 (66.0) 21.47 (6.20) 13.75 (8.28) 7.72 (7.17) 1.47
Tertiary 68 18 (26.5) 35 (51.5) 20.17 (5.65) 14.41 (7.23) 5.76 (6.86) 1.10
University 4595 2740 (59.6) 3665 (79.8) 18.51 (5.12) 9.03 (5.57) 9.48 (6.13) 1.81
Voluntary 5225 2985 (57.1) 4032 (77.2) 18.76 (5.30) 9.46 (6.38) 9.29 (6.51) 1.77
Workplace 6459 4035 (62.5) 5221 (80.8) 18.58 (4.98) 8.56 (5.98) 10.02 (6.36) 1.91
Private 224 166 (74.1) 198 (88.4) 18.89 (5.00) 7.84 (5.26) 11.05 (5.82) 2.11
RCSI, reliable and clinically significant improvement.
a. All pre–post differences were significant by paired t-test, P50.001.
b. Mean difference divided by whole-sample pre-treatment standard deviation (5.24).
Stiles et al
only for patients who received 1 to 25 sessions. Like the whole-
sample graph, all of the separate sector graphs show similar
degrees of improvement for patients who received different
numbers of sessions. Within this broad pattern, it is interesting
to note that the modest negative correlation of RCSI rates with
treatment duration reported previously,3,4
and observed across
sessions 0–40 in the full sample, also appeared numerically across
the smaller range of sessions (1–25) in primary care (r = 70.33,
P = 0.11), secondary care (r = 70.40, P= 0.05) and university
counselling (r = 70.28, P= 0.18), but not in the voluntary sector
(r = 0.31, P= 0.13) or workplace counselling (r = 0.26, P= 0.22).
Discussion
As in the previous studies of therapy in primary care,3,4
patients in
this larger, more diverse sample averaged similar gains regardless of
treatment duration. Confidence in the finding is strengthened by
observing this pattern in service sectors other than primary care.
Responsive regulation model
Finding that patients seen for many sessions average no greater
improvement than patients seen for few sessions may seem
surprising if treatment duration is considered as a planned
intervention or an independent variable in an experimental
manipulation; but it may seem more plausible if patients and
therapists are considered as monitoring improvement and adjusting
treatment duration to fit emerging requirements, responsively
ending treatment when improvement reaches a satisfactory level,
given available resources and constraints. We call this ‘responsive
120
Table 4 Number of sessions per patient categorised
by mental health service sector
Sector
Patients
n
Number of sessions
Mean (s.d.)
Primary 8788 6.5 (3.4)
Secondary 1071 15.8 (9.7)
Tertiary 68 21.6 (10.0)
University 4595 6.4 (4.4)
Voluntary 5225 13.2 (8.5)
Workplace 6459 6.9 (4.4)
Private 224 7.3 (4.5)
100 –
80 –
60 –
40 –
20 –
0 –
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
Sessions
RCSI(%)
100 –
80 –
60 –
40 –
20 –
0 –
1 5 9 13 17 21 25
Sessions
RCSI(%)
(a)
(c)
(e)
(b)
(d)
(f)
100 –
80 –
60 –
40 –
20 –
0 –
1 5 9 13 17 21 25
Sessions
RCSI(%)
1 5 9 13 17 21 25
Sessions
100 –
80 –
60 –
40 –
20 –
0 –
RCSI(%)
100 –
80 –
60 –
40 –
20 –
0 –
1 5 9 13 17 21 25
Sessions
RCSI(%)
1 5 9 13 17 21 25
Sessions
100 –
80 –
60 –
40 –
20 –
0 –
RCSI(%)
Fig. 2 Reliable and Clinically Significant Improvement (RCSI) rate according to number of sessions attended in selected mental health
service sectors: (a) whole sample; (b) primary care; (c) secondary care; (d) university counselling; (e) voluntary sector; (f) workplace
counselling. With 7 exceptions each of the 165 categories illustrated represents 10 or more patients (in primary care 8 patients had
22 sessions, 7 had 23 sessions, 9 had 24 sessions and 7 had 25 sessions; in secondary care 4 patients had 1 session; in university
counselling centre 8 patients had 23 sessions and 7 had 25 sessions).
Treatment duration and improvement
regulation’ of treatment duration.4,16
The responsive regulation
model presumes that patients have varied goals, potentials and
expectations, change at different rates (for many reasons) and
achieve sufficient gains at different times. In routine practice,
participants (patients, therapists, family, administrators) respond
to this variation by adjusting treatment duration so that
treatments tend to end when patients have improved to a
‘good-enough’ level;3,17
that is, improvement that is good-enough
from the perspective of participants when balanced against
costs and alternatives. Our results are consistent with this
interpretation, although they do not prove it.
Despite diverging from the individual-level interpretation
of dose–effect common in medicine, the responsive regulation
model is consistent with the population-level interpretation of
dose–effect curves, such as is used in agriculture – for example,
to describe the percentage of weeds killed by a given dose of
herbicide. Applied to psychological therapy, the population
interpretation suggests that the easy-to-treat patients reach their
good-enough level quickly and leave treatment, so a declining
number of harder-to-treat patients remain in later sessions.
Differences between service sectors
Gains were similar at different treatment durations within each of
the mental healthcare sectors we studied. However, there were a
few small but interesting differences between sectors. Patients in
the secondary and tertiary care sectors averaged greater severity
at intake and made fewer gains than patients in other sectors
despite having longer treatments, presumably because they were
referred for relatively chronic and complex problems judged likely
to respond to treatment more slowly. Their lower level of gains
suggests a lower good-enough level, which may reflect lower
aspirations (e.g. coping with problems rather than full recovery),
greater costs of care or the relative intractability of their problems
to psychological treatment. Conversely, the RCSI rate of about
60% and other indices of gains were similar across the other
sectors, suggesting that the good-enough levels were similar across
these sectors.
The slight negative association of RCSI rates with treatment
duration in primary and secondary care and university counselling
replicated observations in the previous primary care samples.3,4
However, this trend did not appear in either voluntary sector or
workplace counselling. Previously, the negative correlation of
treatment duration with RCSI rates in primary care has been
interpreted as reflecting increasing costs of longer treatment;4
that
is, patients are satisfied with less as costs and difficulties mount.
Costs include not only treatment fees but also time off work, child
care, stigma of being in therapy and pressures from administrators
to finish. We speculate that these cost increments are greater in the
NHS and universities – large public-sector organisations with less
freedom in their practice – than in the voluntary and workplace
sectors.
The voluntary sector may be selectively treating cases that
respond well to longer treatments: their RSCI rates were as strong
as those of primary care, their treatment durations were as long as
secondary care, and they showed no decline in outcomes at longer
durations. The voluntary sector tends to serve people with
relatively difficult problems with modest financial resources and
good motivation for treatment.18
We speculate that insofar as
voluntary services impose fewer pressures to keep treatment short,
people who are expected (by themselves or by others) to require
longer treatments are directed towards them.
Limitations
Naturalistic variation in treatment duration is not a natural
experiment. Our naturalistic, practice-based design did not
randomly assign patients to receive different durations of
treatment. Thus, our results do not suggest that any particular
patient would have the same outcome regardless of treatment
length. On the contrary, the responsive regulation model suggests
that the optimum number of sessions varies with many aspects of
patient, therapist and context. Results might be different in an
experiment in which patients were randomly assigned to fixed
numbers of sessions.19
Theoretically, patients assigned to a
duration below their optimum would be likely to finish below
their good-enough level, whereas patients assigned to a duration
above their optimum would receive more therapy than under
naturalistic conditions and might accomplish more, perhaps fin-
ishing above their good-enough level.
Non-completion of treatment
Our conclusions apply only to patients whose therapists said the
ending was planned and who completed a post-treatment
CORE-OM. Patients who left treatment before their planned
ending seldom completed post-treatment measures, so we could
not assess their gains. Patients may fail to appear for scheduled
sessions because they have found other sources of help,20
or feel
that they have achieved their goals.21
On average, however,
patients who did not return to complete post-session measures
seem likely to have made smaller gains than had patients who
did return.22
The large number of patients who did not
complete post-treatment CORE-OM forms raises concerns about
possible selective reporting. In a check on this possibility in the
CORE-NRD-2005,23
the proportion of patients who returned
post-treatment forms varied hugely across the 343 therapists
who saw 15 or more patients (this included 95% of the patients
in that data-set) and across the 34 services they represented, but
the rate of return was essentially uncorrelated with indices of
improvement across therapists or across services. If therapists were
selectively influencing patients with good outcomes to return
post-treatment forms, improvement rates would be negatively
correlated with reporting rates – that is, the more selective
therapists would tend to have higher improvement rates. The
observed lack of correlation suggests that therapists and services
were not selectively reporting to any significant degree.
Clinical implications
The responsive regulation model, which suggests that participants
tend to regulate their use of therapy to achieve a satisfactory level
of gains, shifts attention from decisions about treatment length to
the question of what constitutes good-enough gains. Adjusting the
cost and difficulty of access to and continuation of treatment, as
well as influencing standards of what is good-enough by
informing potential patients about what therapy can accomplish,
might affect the average good-enough level. Our results suggest
that the pattern of responsive regulation characterises diverse
institutional settings. Allowing greater scope for responsive
regulation might yield still greater efficiencies. For example, allowing
patients to schedule their own appointments, rather than scheduling
regular (e.g. weekly) appointments might dramatically reduce
‘no-shows’ without adverse effects on treatment effectiveness.24
William B. Stiles, PhD, Department of Psychology, Miami University, Oxford, Ohio,
and Department of Psychology, Appalachian State University, Boone, North Carolina,
USA; Michael Barkham, PhD, Centre for Psychological Services Research,
Department of Psychology, University of Sheffield, UK; Sue Wheeler, PhD, Institute
for Lifelong Learning, University of Leicester, UK
Correspondence: Dr William B. Stiles, PO Box 27, Glendale Springs, North
Carolina 28629, USA. Email: stileswb@miamioh.edu
First received 28 Jan 2014, final revision 29 Oct 2014, accepted 3 Nov 2014
121
Stiles et al
Acknowledgements
We thank John Mellor-Clark and Alex Curtis Jenkins of Clinical Outcomes in Routine
Evaluation Information Management Systems for collecting these data, making them
available and documenting the procedures. We thank Sarah Bell for helping to put the data
into a manageable format.
References
1 Barkham M, Gilbert N, Connell J, Marshall C, Twigg E. Suitability and utility of
the CORE-OM and CORE-A for assessing severity of presenting problems in
psychological therapy services based in primary and secondary care settings.
Br J Psychiatry 2005; 186: 239–46.
2 Evans C, Connell J, Barkham M, Margison F, McGrath G, Mellor-Clark J, et al.
Towards a standardised brief outcome measure: psychometric properties
and utility of the CORE-OM. Br J Psychiatry 2002; 180: 51–60.
3 Barkham M, Connell J, Stiles WB, Miles JNV, Margison J, Evans C, et al.
Dose-effect relations and responsive regulation of treatment duration:
the good enough level. J Consult Clin Psychol 2006; 74: 160–7.
4 Stiles WB, Barkham M, Connell J, Mellor-Clark J. Responsive regulation of
treatment duration in routine practice in United Kingdom primary care
settings: replication in a larger sample. J Consult Clin Psychol 2008; 76:
298–305.
5 Baldwin SA, Berkeljon A, Atkins DC, Olsen JA, Nielsen SL. Rates of change
in naturalistic psychotherapy: contrasting dose–effect and good-enough
level models of change. J Consult Clin Psychol 2009; 77: 203–11.
6 Howard KI, Kopta SM, Krause MS, Orlinsky DE. The dose-effect relationship
in psychotherapy. Am Psychol 1986; 41: 159–64.
7 Howard KI, Lueger RJ, Maling MS, Martinovich Z. A phase model of
psychotherapy outcome: causal mediation of change. J Consult Clin
Psychol 1993; 61: 678–85.
8 Lueger RJ, Howard KI, Martinovich Z, Lutz W, Anderson EE, Grissom GR.
Assessing treatment progress of individual patients using Expected
Treatment Response Models. J Consult Clin Psychol 2001; 69: 150–8.
9 Begley CG, Ellis LM. Raise standards for preclinical cancer research.
Nature 2012; 483: 531–3.
10 Ioannidis JPA. Why most published research findings are false. PLoS Medicine
2005; 2: 696–701.
11 Barkham M, Mullin T, Leach C, Stiles WB, Lucock M. Stability of the CORE-OM
and the BDI-I prior to therapy: evidence from routine practice. Psychol
Psychother 2007; 80: 269–78.
12 Connell J, Barkham M, Stiles WB, Twigg E, Singleton N, Evans O, et al.
Distribution of CORE-OM scores in a general population, clinical cut-off points
and comparison with the CIS-R. Br J Psychiatry 2007; 190: 69–74.
13 Mellor-Clark J, Barkham M, Connell J, Evans C. Practice-based evidence and
the need for a standardised evaluation system: informing the design of the
CORE system. Eur J Psychother Counsell Health 1999; 3: 357–74.
14 Mellor-Clark J. National innovations in the evaluation of psychological therapy
service provision. Journal of Primary Care Mental Health 2003; 7: 82–5.
15 Jacobson NS, Truax, P. Clinical significance: a statistical approach to defining
meaningful change in psychotherapy research. J Consult Clin Psychol 1991;
59: 12–9.
16 Stiles WB, Honos-Webb L, Surko M. Responsiveness in psychotherapy.
Clinical Psychology: Science and Practice 1998; 5: 439–58.
17 Barkham M, Rees A, Stiles WB, Shapiro DA, Hardy GE, Reynolds S.
Dose-effect relations in time-limited psychotherapy for depression.
J Consult Clin Psychol 1996; 64: 927–35.
18 Moore S. Voluntary sector counselling: has inadequate research resulted in a
misunderstood and underutilised resource? Counselling and Psychotherapy
Research 2006; 6: 221–6.
19 Barkham M, Rees A, Stiles WB, Hardy GE, Shapiro DA. Dose-effect
relations for psychotherapy of mild depression: a quasi-experimental
comparison of effects of 2, 8, and 16 sessions. Psychother Res 2002;
12: 463–74.
20 Snape C, Perren S, Jones L, Rowland N. Counselling – why not?
A qualitative study of people’s accounts of not taking up counselling
appointments. Counselling and Psychotherapy Research 2003; 3: 239–45.
21 Hunsley J, Aubry TD, Verstervelt CM, Vito D. Comparing therapist and client
perspectives on reasons for psychotherapy termination. Psychotherapy 1999;
36: 380–8.
22 Stiles WB, Leach C, Barkham M, Lucock M, Iveson S, Shapiro DA, et al.
Early sudden gains in psychotherapy under routine clinic conditions:
practice-based evidence. J Consult Clin Psychol 2003; 71: 14–21.
23 Barkham M, Stiles WB, Connell J, Mellor-Clark J. Psychological treatment
outcomes in routine NHS services: what do we mean by treatment
effectiveness? Psychol Psychother 2012; 85: 1–16.
24 Carey TA, Tai SJ, Stiles WB. Effective and efficient: using patient-led
appointment scheduling in routine mental health practice in remote
Australia. Prof Psychol Res Pr 2013; 44: 405–14.
122
Romantic suicide
Alexandra Pitman
The concept of ‘romantic suicide’ emerged in the 1770s following the suicide of the teenage English poet Thomas Chatterton,
memorialised in Goethe’s 1774 novel in the character of young Werther. Eighteenth-century authors embellished these men as
romantic outcasts, triumphing over death through fearless individualism to achieve immortality in heaven. Such myths still persist
today, exemplified in journalists’ responses to the suicides of artists such as Kitaj, Kirchner, Rothko and Van Gogh. Glorifying their
deaths by wreathing them in martyrdom is a dangerous practice. Awareness of the damage wreaked by propagation of these myths
is the starting point for challenging them.
The British Journal of Psychiatry (2015)
207, 122. doi: 10.1192/bjp.bp.114.162370
100
words
1
The British Journal of Psychiatry
1–2. doi: 10.1192/bjp.bp.114.145565
Data supplement
Table DS1 Improvement rates as a function of number of sessions attended
Patients
RCSIa
Reliable improvementb
Sessions attended n n % N %
0 28 19 67.9 22 78.6
1 243 152 62.6 185 76.1
2 1208 776 64.2 974 80.6
3 1926 1314 68.2 1609 83.5
4 2401 1603 66.8 2012 83.8
5 3071 1968 64.1 2538 82.6
6 5576 3225 57.8 4429 79.4
7 1904 1164 61.1 1563 82.1
8 1928 1128 58.5 1543 80.0
9 1107 620 56.0 877 79.2
10 1258 677 53.8 948 75.4
11 767 445 58.0 620 80.8
12 1405 798 56.8 1069 76.1
13 388 219 56.4 298 76.8
14 312 173 55.4 234 75.0
15 283 159 56.2 218 77.0
16 325 158 48.6 233 71.7
17 212 130 61.3 171 80.7
18 196 107 54.6 137 69.9
19 166 95 57.2 126 75.9
20 216 114 52.8 165 76.4
21 116 59 50.9 88 75.9
22 134 69 51.5 97 72.4
23 112 66 58.9 95 84.8
24 180 95 52.8 127 70.6
25 97 51 52.6 75 77.3
26 78 40 51.3 56 71.8
27 64 40 62.5 52 81.3
28 58 33 56.9 46 79.3
29 49 30 61.2 39 79.6
30 72 43 59.7 61 84.7
31 55 29 52.7 42 76.4
32 59 32 54.2 42 71.2
33 62 39 62.9 49 79.0
34 58 28 48.3 48 82.8
35 52 33 63.5 41 78.8
36 51 30 58.8 39 76.5
37 56 26 46.4 41 73.2
38 58 29 50.0 41 70.7
39 40 15 37.5 23 57.5
40 59 27 45.8 43 72.9
All clients 26 430 15 858 60.0 21 116 79.9
RCSI, reliable and clinically significant improvement.
a. Reliable and clinically significant improvement, defined as having a post-treatment Clinical Outcomes in Routine Evaluation – Outcome Measure (CORE-OM) score below 10,
having changed by at least 4.5 points, includes only patients with planned endings whose initial CORE-OM score was at or above the clinical cut-off of 10.
b. Reliable improvement is defined as a change of at least 4.5 points regardless of post-treatment score (and thus includes patients who achieved RCSI).
2
Table DS2 Clinical Outcomes in Routine Evaluation – Outcome Measure mean scores as a function of number of sessions attended
Sessions attended Number of patients Pre-treatment Post-treatment Pre–post difference Pre–post effect sizea
0 28 18.39 9.18 9.21 1.76
1 243 17.67 9.28 8.39 1.60
2 1208 18.04 8.38 9.66 1.84
3 1926 17.98 7.74 10.24 1.95
4 2401 18.44 8.10 10.34 1.97
5 3071 18.77 8.41 10.37 1.98
6 5576 19.05 9.29 9.76 1.86
7 1904 19.27 8.90 10.37 1.98
8 1928 19.24 9.23 10.00 1.91
9 1107 19.54 9.81 9.74 1.86
10 1258 19.24 10.19 9.05 1.73
11 767 18.99 9.29 9.71 1.85
12 1405 18.79 9.56 9.23 1.76
13 388 19.19 9.53 9.66 1.84
14 312 19.19 10.16 9.03 1.72
15 283 20.19 9.96 10.23 1.95
16 325 20.22 10.77 9.45 1.80
17 212 19.69 9.21 10.48 2.00
18 196 19.43 10.15 9.28 1.77
19 166 19.42 9.98 9.44 1.80
20 216 20.46 10.40 10.05 1.92
21 116 21.20 11.23 9.97 1.90
22 134 20.45 11.01 9.45 1.80
23 112 20.18 9.18 11.00 2.10
24 180 20.44 11.00 9.44 1.80
25 97 19.55 10.82 8.73 1.67
26 78 19.37 10.33 9.04 1.72
27 64 19.58 9.35 10.23 1.95
28 58 20.55 9.67 10.88 2.08
29 49 20.92 9.62 11.30 2.16
30 72 20.00 9.43 10.56 2.01
31 55 20.86 10.94 9.92 1.89
32 59 20.55 10.75 9.80 1.87
33 62 19.66 9.83 9.84 1.88
34 58 20.64 11.56 9.07 1.73
35 52 20.89 9.89 10.99 2.10
36 51 17.76 9.17 8.59 1.64
37 56 20.58 11.31 9.28 1.77
38 58 20.92 10.63 10.29 1.96
39 40 18.66 12.33 6.33 1.21
40 59 19.47 10.66 8.81 1.68
All clients 26 430 18.99 9.10 9.89 1.87
a. Effect size was calculated as the pre–post difference divided by the full sample pre-treatment standard deviation (5.24).
10.1192/bjp.bp.114.145565Access the most recent version at DOI:
2015, 207:115-122.BJP
William B. Stiles, Michael Barkham and Sue Wheeler
improvement rates in UK routine practice
Duration of psychological therapy: relation to recovery and
Material
Supplementary
http://bjp.rcpsych.org/content/suppl/2015/04/27/bjp.bp.114.145565.DC1.html
Supplementary material can be found at:
References
http://bjp.rcpsych.org/content/207/2/115#BIBL
This article cites 24 articles, 3 of which you can access for free at:
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Duration of Psychological Therapy

  • 1. In studies of routine mental health practice in UK National Health Service (NHS) primary care settings, patients who had scores above the clinical cut-off level on the Clinical Outcomes in Routine Evaluation – Outcome Measure (CORE-OM) at the outset of psychological therapy,1,2 and had planned endings, had similar rates of recovery and improvement regardless of how long they remained in treatment across the 0–20 session range examined.3,4 Similar results were reported among patients in an American university counselling centre.5 These results seem unexpected in the context of conventional psychological therapy dose–effect curves, which suggest recovery and improvement rates should increase with the number of sessions delivered, albeit at a negatively accelerating rate.6–8 These unexpected results might reflect participants’ responsive regulation of treatment duration to fit patient requirements.3,4 In the NHS primary care investigations the recovery rate was paradoxically slightly greater among patients who had fewer sessions than among those who had more sessions. Patients’ pre-treatment and post-treatment CORE-OM scores were modestly correlated with the number of sessions they attended, suggesting that degree of distress was one of many factors influencing treatment duration. All scientific findings, but particularly such unexpected and paradoxical findings, must be reproduced across settings and closely assessed before they can be considered trustworthy.9,10 Understanding the effects of psychological therapy not as a fixed function of dose but as responsively regulated could have important implications for policy regarding prescribed numbers of sessions. We assessed whether the dose–effect pattern previously observed in primary care mental health settings could be observed in other service sectors, including secondary care, university counselling centres, voluntary organisations and workplace counselling centres. Method We studied adult patients aged 16–95 years (n = 26 430) drawn from the CORE National Research Database 2011 (described below) who returned valid pre- and post-treatment assessment forms, began treatment in the clinical range, completed 40 or fewer sessions and were described by their therapists as having had a planned ending. Endings were considered as planned if the therapist and patient agreed to end therapy or a previously planned course of therapy was completed. The patients on average were 38.6 years old (s.d.= 12.9); 18 308 (69.3%) were women; 23 104 (87.4%) were White, 1092 (4.1%) were Asian, 913 (3.5%) were Black and 1321 (5.0%) listed other ethnicity or their ethnicity was not stated, not available or missing. Most patients were not given a formal diagnosis, but therapists indicated the severity of their patients’ presenting problems using categories provided on the CORE assessment form. Multiple problems were indicated for most patients. Patients’ problems rated as causing moderate or severe difficulty on one or more areas of day-to-day functioning included anxiety (in 56.3% of patients), depression (38.3%), interpersonal relationship problems (38.8%), low self-esteem (33.9%), bereavement or loss (23.0%), work or academic problems (23.0%), trauma and abuse (15.4%), physical problems (11.6%), problems associated with living on welfare (11.6%), addictions (5.4%) and personality problems (5.1%), as well as other problems cited for fewer than 5% of the patients. The patients were treated over a 12-year period at 50 services in the UK, including six primary care services (8788 patients), eight secondary care services (1071 patients), two tertiary care services (68 patients), ten university counselling centres (4595 patients), fourteen voluntary sector services (5225 patients), eight workplace counselling centres (6459 patients) and two private 115 Duration of psychological therapy: relation to recovery and improvement rates in UK routine practice{ William B. Stiles, Michael Barkham and Sue Wheeler Background Previous studies have reported similar recovery and improvement rates regardless of treatment duration among patients receiving National Health Service (NHS) primary care mental health psychological therapy. Aims To investigate whether this pattern would replicate and extend to other service sectors, including secondary care, university counselling, voluntary sector and workplace counselling. Method We compared treatment duration with degree of improvement measured by the Clinical Outcomes in Routine Evaluation – Outcome Measure (CORE-OM) for 26 430 adult patients who scored above the clinical cut-off point at the start of treatment, attended 40 or fewer sessions and had planned endings. Results Mean CORE-OM scores improved substantially (pre–post effect size 1.89); 60% of patients achieved reliable and clinically significant improvement (RCSI). Rates of RCSI and reliable improvement and mean pre- and post-treatment changes were similar at all tested treatment durations. Patients seen in different service sectors showed modest variations around this pattern. Conclusions Results were consistent with the responsive regulation model, which suggests that in routine care participants tend to end therapy when gains reach a good-enough level. Declaration of interest M.B. was a developer of the CORE measures. Copyright and usage B The Royal College of Psychiatrists 2015. The British Journal of Psychiatry (2015) 207, 115–122. doi: 10.1192/bjp.bp.114.145565 { See editorial, pp. 93–94, this issue.
  • 2. practices (224 patients). The patients were treated by 1450 therapists who treated from 1 to 377 patients each (mean 18.2, s.d.= 42.0). Therapist demographic and professional characteristics were not recorded. Assignment of patients to therapists and treatments was determined using the service’s normal procedures. Therapists indicated their treatment approaches at the end of therapy using the CORE end of therapy form (described below). The most common approaches were integrative (41.2%), person-centred (36.4%), psychodynamic (22.8%), cognitive– behavioural (14.9%), structured/brief (14.6%), and supportive (14.0%). Therapists reported using more than one type of therapy with many (41.6%) of the patients. Measures Outcome measure The CORE-OM is a self-report inventory comprising 34 items that address domains of subjective well-being, symptoms (anxiety, depression, physical problems, trauma), functioning (general functioning, close relationships, social relationships) and risk (risk to self, risk to others).1,2 Half the items focus on low-intensity problems (e.g. ‘I feel anxious/nervous’) and half focus on high- intensity problems (e.g. ‘I feel panic/terror’). Items are scored on a five-point scale (0–4), anchored ‘not at all’, ‘only occasionally’, ‘sometimes’, ‘often’ and ‘all or most of the time’. (Six positively worded items are reverse-scored.) Forms are considered valid if no more than three items are omitted.2 Clinical scores on the CORE-OM are computed as the mean of completed items multiplied by 10, so clinically meaningful differences are represented by whole numbers. Thus, scores can range from 0 to 40. The 34-item scale has a reported internal consistency of 0.94,1 and test–retest correlations of 0.80 or above for intervals of up to 4 months in an out-patient sample.11 The CORE-OM’s recommended clinical cut-off score of 10 was selected to discriminate optimally between a clinical sample and a systematic general population sample.12 Assessment and end of therapy forms On the CORE assessment form,13 completed at intake, therapists gave referral information, patient demographic characteristics and data on the nature, severity and duration of presenting problems using 14 categories: depression, anxiety, psychosis, personality problems, cognitive/learning difficulties, eating disorder, physical problems, addictions, trauma/abuse, bereavement, self- esteem, interpersonal problems, living/welfare and work/ academic. On the end of therapy form therapists reported information about the completed treatment, including the number of sessions the patient attended, whether the ending was planned or unplanned, and which type or types of therapy were used.13 Procedure Details of data collection procedures were determined by each service’s normal administrative procedures and were not recorded. Patients completed the CORE-OM during screening or assessment or immediately before the first therapy session. The post- treatment CORE-OM was administered at or after the last session. Therapists completed the therapist assessment form after an intake session and the end of therapy form when treatment had ended. Data collection complied with applicable data protection procedures for the use of routinely collected clinical data. Anonymised data were entered electronically at the site and later transferred electronically to CORE Information Management Systems (CORE-IMS). Ethics approval for this study was covered by National Research Ethics Service application 05/Q1206/128 (Amendment 3). The 26 430 patients we studied were selected from the CORE National Research Database 2011 (CORE-NRD-2011). The CORE Information Management Systems invited all UK services using its software support services for more than 2 years (representing approximately 303 000 potential patients) to donate anonymised, routinely collected data for use by the research team. These services had been using the personal computer format of the CORE system.14 Data were entered into the CORE-NRD-2011, which includes information on 104 474 patients (68.6% female; mean age 38.5 years, s.d.= 12.6) whose therapist returned a therapist assessment form during the period April 1999 to November 2011. For some patients data on more than one episode of therapy were donated; however, to ensure that each patient was included just once, only the first episode was included in the database (not necessarily the first episode the patient had ever had). Selection of patients We selected all adult patients (age 16–95 years) from this database who returned valid pre- and post-therapy CORE-OM forms, were described by their therapists as having planned endings, had pre-treatment CORE-OM scores of 10 or greater, and completed 40 or fewer sessions. Criteria were decided a priori, paralleling the previous studies. We excluded patients in the database who did not return valid CORE-OM forms, including some who used short forms of the CORE rather than the CORE-OM: 17 489 did not return valid pre- or post-treatment forms, 1070 returned post-treatment but not pre-treatment forms and 49 618 returned pre-treatment but not post-treatment forms. The last (largest) category included patients who did not attend any sessions, patients who attended sessions but left without completing the final form and patients who had not ended their treatment by the closing date of data collection. Of the 36 297 patients who returnedvalid pre-and post-treatment CORE-OM forms, 385 were excluded because there were missing data on age or age fell outside the 16–95 range; 4716 were excluded because they did not have a planned ending; and 3529 were excluded because they began treatment with a CORE rating below the clinical cut-off score of 10. Finally, we excluded 1237 patients who met previous criteria but received more than 40 sessions as reported on the end of therapy form, or whose therapist did not record the number of sessions attended. The number of patients receiving more than 40 sessions was too small to estimate recovery and improvement rates reliably. Many of the services routinely offered a fixed number of sessions, most often six. These limits were administered flexibly, however, and all services returned data from some patients seen for more than six sessions. This left our sample of 26 430, or 25.3% of the patients in the CORE-NRD-2011 (Fig. 1). Some of the services asked to donate data to CORE-NRD- 2011 had also been asked to donate data to previous data-sets, designated CORE-NRD-2002 and CORE-NRD-2005,3,4 and there may have been some overlap with the present sample. Codes for patients, therapists and sites were assigned separately in each sample to preserve anonymity, so we could not check for overlap precisely. As a proxy estimate, we matched patients on five indices: age, pre-treatment CORE-OM score, post-treatment CORE-OM score, date of first session and date 116 Stiles et al
  • 3. Treatment duration and improvement of final session. In the our study sample 472 of the 26 430 patients (1.8%) matched patients in CORE-NRD-2005 on these variables. This indicates an upper limit on the degree of overlap, insofar as all overlapping patients should match, and a few patients may have matched by chance. Of these, 469 were treated within the primary care sector, consistent with the restriction of the 2005 sample to primary care. The remaining 3 individuals, classified as workplace sector patients in CORE-NRD-2011, may have been coincidental matches, or the sector may have been misclassified in one of the data-sets. Most (80%) of the CORE-NRD-2011 patients began treatment after the end date for collection of the 2005 sample, so they could not have been included. There were many changes in which services were using CORE in 2005 and 2011, and services that donated data in 2005 may have chosen not to do so in 2011. A parallel check on overlap with the CORE-NRD-2002 sample showed no matches. Recovery Reliable and clinically significant improvement Reliable and clinically significant improvement (RCSI) is a common index of recovery in psychological therapy studies. Following Jacobson & Truax,15 we held that patients had achieved RCSI if they entered treatment in a dysfunctional state and left treatment in a normal state, having changed to a degree that was probably not due to measurement error (that is, by an amount equal to or greater than the reliable change index described below). We used a CORE-OM score of 10 or above as the clinical cut-off level dividing the dysfunctional from the normal populations.12 Recall that we excluded patients who began treatment with a score below the clinical cut-off; these patients were not in the clinical population to begin with and so could not move from the clinical to the normal population (as required for RCSI) regardless of how much they improved. Reliable change index The reliable change index is the pre–post treatment difference that, when divided by the standard error of the difference, is equal to 1.96. The standard error, and thus the index, depends on the standard deviation of the pre–post difference and on the reliability of the measure.15 For comparability we used the same criteria as in the 2008 study by Stiles et al.4 Using s.d.diff = 6.65 (based on the 12 746 patients in CORE-NRD-2005 who had valid pre- and post-treatment CORE-OM scores) and the reported internal consistency reliability of 0.94, we calculated a reliable change index of 4.5. Values based on the 36 297 patients in CORE-NRD-2011 who returned valid pre- and post-treatment CORE-OM forms were similar: s.d.diff = 6.78, internal consistency averaged across pre- and post-treatment forms 0.94, reliable change index 4.49. To summarise, patients whose CORE-OM scores decreased by 4.5 points or more were considered to have achieved reliable improvement. Patients who achieved reliable improvement and whose score changed from at or above 10 to below 10 were considered to have achieved RCSI. Results The 26 430 patients we studied attended an average of 8.3 sessions (s.d.= 6.3; median and mode 6 sessions) and 15 858 of them achieved RCSI – that is, having begun treatment with a CORE- OM score of 10 or above, 60.0% of the patients left with a score below 10, having changed by at least 4.5 points. An additional 5258 patients (19.9%) showed reliable improvement only. Reliable deterioration (i.e. an increase of 4.5 or more points) was shown by 344 patients (1.3%). The remaining 4970 patients (18.8%) showed no reliable change. In this sample, with these parameters, the cut-off criterion (leaving treatment in a normal state) was a more powerful determinant of RCSI than the reliable change index (changing to a degree not attributable to chance). Whereas 21 116 (79.9%) of all patients showed reliable improvement (decrease greater than 4.5), only 16 585 (62.8%) ended treatment below the cut-off score of 10, just 727 (2.8%) more than achieved RCSI. The patients’ mean CORE-OM clinical score was 18.99 (s.d.= 5.24) at intake and 9.10 (s.d.= 6.28) after treatment, a mean difference of 9.89 (s.d.= 6.48), t(26,328) = 248.26, P50.001, yielding a pre–post effect size (difference divided by pre-treatment s.d.) of 1.89. Patients’ pre-treatment scores were correlated (r = 0.38, P50.001, n= 26 430) with their post-treatment scores. Dose–effect relations Within the parameters of our study, patients who attended fewer sessions were somewhat more likely to have achieved RCSI by the end of treatment than were those who attended more sessions. 117 CORE National Research Database 2011 n = 104 474 (100.0%) Complete data n = 36 297 (34.7%) Age 16–95 years n = 35 912 (34.4%) Planned ending n = 31 196 (30.0%) CORE-OM in clinical range n = 27 667 (26.5%) Attended 0–40 sessions n = 26 430 (25.3%) Excluded: missing or invalid CORE-OM Pre- and post-treatment n = 17 489 (16.7%) Pre-treatment only n = 1070 (1.0%) Post-treatment only n = 49 618 (47.5%) Excluded: age 516 or 495 years, or missing data n = 385 (0.4%) Excluded: unplanned ending n = 4716 (4.5%) Excluded: initial CORE-OM score 510 n = 3529 (3.4%) Excluded: 440 sessions n = 713 (0.7%) missing data n = 524 (0.5%) Fig. 1 Selection of patients from the Clinical Outcomes in Routine Evaluation (CORE) database. CORE-OM, CORE Outcome Measure.
  • 4. Stiles et al Table 1 shows the number and percentage of patients who achieved RCSI as a function of the number of sessions they attended (data for the full number of sessions are given in online Table DS1). All of the RCSI rates were between 45% and 70%, except for 37.5% among the relatively few patients who completed 39 sessions (online Table DS1). Rates of RCSI were negatively correlated with number of sessions attended (r = 70.58, P50.001; 41 session categories), replicating previous findings.3,4 The proportion of patients achieving reliable improvement was also negatively correlated with number of sessions attended (r = 70.40, P= 0.009; 41 categories). Table 1 shows the number and percentage of patients who achieved reliable improvement as a function of number of sessions. Reliable improvement rates ranged from 70% to 85%, again except for a lower 57.5% among clients who attended 39 sessions (online Table DS1). These rates are higher than the RCSI rates because they included patients who achieved RCSI plus others who improved but did not end below the cut-off score. The ‘no session’ entry in Table 1 represents patients who returned to the site, perhaps after time on a waiting list, agreed with their therapist that formal treatment was no longer indicated, and completed a second CORE-OM. Although there were only a few such patients, their rate of improvement was consistent with the broader pattern, and we consider this to be a logical beginning of the continuum, reflecting treatment decisions by participants. Mean pre–post treatment changes were similar regardless of the number of sessions attended. As shown in Table 2, the mean pre–post change scores varied around the overall mean of 9.89, and the effect size varied around the overall effect size of 1.89. They were not significantly correlated with number of sessions across the 41 categories (0 to 40; online Table DS2). The patients who attended large numbers of sessions tended to have relatively higher CORE-OM scores both before and after treatment (Table 2, online Table DS2). The correlations of mean pre- and post- treatment CORE-OM scores with sessions attended across the 41 categories were substantial (pre-treatment r = 0.58, P50.001; post-treatment r = 0.66, P50.001). The correlations of individual patients’ pre- and post-treatment CORE-OM scores with the number of sessions attended, although reliably positive, were far smaller, reflecting large within-category variation in CORE-OM scores (pre-treatment r = 0.08, P50.001; post-treatment r = 0.09, P50.001; n = 26 430). Service sector analysis For the most part the foregoing pattern of results was observed within each of the service sectors we considered. Table 3 shows the RSCI rates and mean CORE-OM pre–post change in each of the sectors, with the whole-sample statistics included for comparison. Table 4 shows the mean number of sessions attended in each service sector within the sample we selected. We note that, descriptively, patients seen in secondary and tertiary care tended to begin with somewhat higher CORE-OM scores and to improve less than patients seen in other sectors, as indicated by relatively 118 Table 1 Improvement rates as a function of number of sessions attended Sessions attendeda Patients n RCSIb n (%) Reliable improvementc n (%) 0 28 19 (67.9) 22 (78.6) 1 243 152 (62.6) 185 (76.1) 2 1208 776 (64.2) 974 (80.6) 3 1926 1314 (68.2) 1609 (83.5) 4 2401 1603 (66.8) 2012 (83.8) 5 3071 1968 (64.1) 2538 (82.6) 6 5576 3225 (57.8) 4429 (79.4) 7 1904 1164 (61.1) 1563 (82.1) 8 1928 1128 (58.5) 1543 (80.0) 9 1107 620 (56.0) 877 (79.2) 10 1258 677 (53.8) 948 (75.4) 11 767 445 (58.0) 620 (80.8) 12 1405 798 (56.8) 1069 (76.1) 13 388 219 (56.4) 298 (76.8) 14 312 173 (55.4) 234 (75.0) 15 283 159 (56.2) 218 (77.0) 16 325 158 (48.6) 233 (71.7) 17 212 130 (61.3) 171 (80.7) 18 196 107 (54.6) 137 (69.9) 19 166 95 (57.2) 126 (75.9) 20 216 114 (52.8) 165 (76.4) 21 116 59 (50.9) 88 (75.9) 22 134 69 (51.5) 97 (72.4) 23 112 66 (58.9) 95 (84.8) 24 180 95 (52.8) 127 (70.6) 25 97 51 (52.6) 75 (77.3) All patients 26 430 15 858 (60.0) 21 116 (79.9) RCSI, reliable and clinically significant improvement. a. Data for 26–40 sessions omitted here, but available in online Table DS1. b. Defined as a post-treatment Clinical Outcomes in Routine Evaluation – Outcome Measure (CORE-OM) score below 10, which has changed by at least 4.5 points; includes only patients with planned endings whose initial CORE-OM score was at or above the clinical cut-off of 10. c. Defined as a change of at least 4.5 points regardless of post-treatment score (and thus includes patients who achieved RCSI).
  • 5. Treatment duration and improvement lower reliable change rates and effect sizes (see Table 3) despite having longer treatments (see Table 4). Private sector patients averaged somewhat more improvement; however, in view of the relatively small number of patients we are reluctant to interpret this. The durations of university and workplace treatments were similar to those in primary care; however, the durations of voluntary sector treatment were more similar to those in secondary care. Figure 2 shows RCSI rates as a function of number of sessions completed for five of the sectors, with the whole-sample RCSI rates included for comparison. The whole-sample reference figure includes data for 0–40 sessions, as listed in online Table DS1. To ensure that the RCSI rates within sectors at each duration were based on a sufficient number of cases, we restricted the sector plots to primary care, secondary care, university counselling, voluntary sector and workplace counselling, and we included data 119 Table 2 Clinical Outcomes in Routine Evaluation – Outcome Measure scores as a function of number of sessions attended Patients CORE-OM score (mean) Sessions attendeda n Pre-treatment Post-treatment Pre–post difference Pre–post effect sizeb 0 28 18.39 9.18 9.21 1.76 1 243 17.67 9.28 8.39 1.60 2 1208 18.04 8.38 9.66 1.84 3 1926 17.98 7.74 10.24 1.95 4 2401 18.44 8.10 10.34 1.97 5 3071 18.77 8.41 10.37 1.98 6 5576 19.05 9.29 9.76 1.86 7 1904 19.27 8.90 10.37 1.98 8 1928 19.24 9.23 10.00 1.91 9 1107 19.54 9.81 9.74 1.86 10 1258 19.24 10.19 9.05 1.73 11 767 18.99 9.29 9.71 1.85 12 1405 18.79 9.56 9.23 1.76 13 388 19.19 9.53 9.66 1.84 14 312 19.19 10.16 9.03 1.72 15 283 20.19 9.96 10.23 1.95 16 325 20.22 10.77 9.45 1.80 17 212 19.69 9.21 10.48 2.00 18 196 19.43 10.15 9.28 1.77 19 166 19.42 9.98 9.44 1.80 20 216 20.46 10.40 10.05 1.92 21 116 21.20 11.23 9.97 1.90 22 134 20.45 11.01 9.45 1.80 23 112 20.18 9.18 11.00 2.10 24 180 20.44 11.00 9.44 1.80 25 97 19.55 10.82 8.73 1.67 All patients 26 430 18.99 9.10 9.89 1.87 CORE-OM, Clinical Outcomes in Routine Evaluation – Outcome Measure. a. Data for 26–40 sessions omitted here, but available in online Table DS2. b. Pre–post treatment difference divided by the full sample pre-treatment standard deviation (5.24). Table 3 Changes in Clinical Outcomes in Routine Evaluation – Outcome Measure scores pre- and post-treatment categorised by mental health service sector Service sector Patients n RCSI n (%) Reliable improvement n (%) Pre-treatment score Mean (s.d.) Post-treatment score Mean (s.d.) Pre–post differencea Mean (s.d.) Effect sizeb All clients 26 430 15 858 (60.0) 21 116 (79.9) 18.99 (5.24) 9.10 (6.28) 9.89 (6.48) 1.89 Primary 8788 5528 (62.9) 7258 (82.6) 19.36 (5.22) 8.73 (6.25) 10.63 (6.51) 2.03 Secondary 1071 386 (36.0) 707 (66.0) 21.47 (6.20) 13.75 (8.28) 7.72 (7.17) 1.47 Tertiary 68 18 (26.5) 35 (51.5) 20.17 (5.65) 14.41 (7.23) 5.76 (6.86) 1.10 University 4595 2740 (59.6) 3665 (79.8) 18.51 (5.12) 9.03 (5.57) 9.48 (6.13) 1.81 Voluntary 5225 2985 (57.1) 4032 (77.2) 18.76 (5.30) 9.46 (6.38) 9.29 (6.51) 1.77 Workplace 6459 4035 (62.5) 5221 (80.8) 18.58 (4.98) 8.56 (5.98) 10.02 (6.36) 1.91 Private 224 166 (74.1) 198 (88.4) 18.89 (5.00) 7.84 (5.26) 11.05 (5.82) 2.11 RCSI, reliable and clinically significant improvement. a. All pre–post differences were significant by paired t-test, P50.001. b. Mean difference divided by whole-sample pre-treatment standard deviation (5.24).
  • 6. Stiles et al only for patients who received 1 to 25 sessions. Like the whole- sample graph, all of the separate sector graphs show similar degrees of improvement for patients who received different numbers of sessions. Within this broad pattern, it is interesting to note that the modest negative correlation of RCSI rates with treatment duration reported previously,3,4 and observed across sessions 0–40 in the full sample, also appeared numerically across the smaller range of sessions (1–25) in primary care (r = 70.33, P = 0.11), secondary care (r = 70.40, P= 0.05) and university counselling (r = 70.28, P= 0.18), but not in the voluntary sector (r = 0.31, P= 0.13) or workplace counselling (r = 0.26, P= 0.22). Discussion As in the previous studies of therapy in primary care,3,4 patients in this larger, more diverse sample averaged similar gains regardless of treatment duration. Confidence in the finding is strengthened by observing this pattern in service sectors other than primary care. Responsive regulation model Finding that patients seen for many sessions average no greater improvement than patients seen for few sessions may seem surprising if treatment duration is considered as a planned intervention or an independent variable in an experimental manipulation; but it may seem more plausible if patients and therapists are considered as monitoring improvement and adjusting treatment duration to fit emerging requirements, responsively ending treatment when improvement reaches a satisfactory level, given available resources and constraints. We call this ‘responsive 120 Table 4 Number of sessions per patient categorised by mental health service sector Sector Patients n Number of sessions Mean (s.d.) Primary 8788 6.5 (3.4) Secondary 1071 15.8 (9.7) Tertiary 68 21.6 (10.0) University 4595 6.4 (4.4) Voluntary 5225 13.2 (8.5) Workplace 6459 6.9 (4.4) Private 224 7.3 (4.5) 100 – 80 – 60 – 40 – 20 – 0 – 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Sessions RCSI(%) 100 – 80 – 60 – 40 – 20 – 0 – 1 5 9 13 17 21 25 Sessions RCSI(%) (a) (c) (e) (b) (d) (f) 100 – 80 – 60 – 40 – 20 – 0 – 1 5 9 13 17 21 25 Sessions RCSI(%) 1 5 9 13 17 21 25 Sessions 100 – 80 – 60 – 40 – 20 – 0 – RCSI(%) 100 – 80 – 60 – 40 – 20 – 0 – 1 5 9 13 17 21 25 Sessions RCSI(%) 1 5 9 13 17 21 25 Sessions 100 – 80 – 60 – 40 – 20 – 0 – RCSI(%) Fig. 2 Reliable and Clinically Significant Improvement (RCSI) rate according to number of sessions attended in selected mental health service sectors: (a) whole sample; (b) primary care; (c) secondary care; (d) university counselling; (e) voluntary sector; (f) workplace counselling. With 7 exceptions each of the 165 categories illustrated represents 10 or more patients (in primary care 8 patients had 22 sessions, 7 had 23 sessions, 9 had 24 sessions and 7 had 25 sessions; in secondary care 4 patients had 1 session; in university counselling centre 8 patients had 23 sessions and 7 had 25 sessions).
  • 7. Treatment duration and improvement regulation’ of treatment duration.4,16 The responsive regulation model presumes that patients have varied goals, potentials and expectations, change at different rates (for many reasons) and achieve sufficient gains at different times. In routine practice, participants (patients, therapists, family, administrators) respond to this variation by adjusting treatment duration so that treatments tend to end when patients have improved to a ‘good-enough’ level;3,17 that is, improvement that is good-enough from the perspective of participants when balanced against costs and alternatives. Our results are consistent with this interpretation, although they do not prove it. Despite diverging from the individual-level interpretation of dose–effect common in medicine, the responsive regulation model is consistent with the population-level interpretation of dose–effect curves, such as is used in agriculture – for example, to describe the percentage of weeds killed by a given dose of herbicide. Applied to psychological therapy, the population interpretation suggests that the easy-to-treat patients reach their good-enough level quickly and leave treatment, so a declining number of harder-to-treat patients remain in later sessions. Differences between service sectors Gains were similar at different treatment durations within each of the mental healthcare sectors we studied. However, there were a few small but interesting differences between sectors. Patients in the secondary and tertiary care sectors averaged greater severity at intake and made fewer gains than patients in other sectors despite having longer treatments, presumably because they were referred for relatively chronic and complex problems judged likely to respond to treatment more slowly. Their lower level of gains suggests a lower good-enough level, which may reflect lower aspirations (e.g. coping with problems rather than full recovery), greater costs of care or the relative intractability of their problems to psychological treatment. Conversely, the RCSI rate of about 60% and other indices of gains were similar across the other sectors, suggesting that the good-enough levels were similar across these sectors. The slight negative association of RCSI rates with treatment duration in primary and secondary care and university counselling replicated observations in the previous primary care samples.3,4 However, this trend did not appear in either voluntary sector or workplace counselling. Previously, the negative correlation of treatment duration with RCSI rates in primary care has been interpreted as reflecting increasing costs of longer treatment;4 that is, patients are satisfied with less as costs and difficulties mount. Costs include not only treatment fees but also time off work, child care, stigma of being in therapy and pressures from administrators to finish. We speculate that these cost increments are greater in the NHS and universities – large public-sector organisations with less freedom in their practice – than in the voluntary and workplace sectors. The voluntary sector may be selectively treating cases that respond well to longer treatments: their RSCI rates were as strong as those of primary care, their treatment durations were as long as secondary care, and they showed no decline in outcomes at longer durations. The voluntary sector tends to serve people with relatively difficult problems with modest financial resources and good motivation for treatment.18 We speculate that insofar as voluntary services impose fewer pressures to keep treatment short, people who are expected (by themselves or by others) to require longer treatments are directed towards them. Limitations Naturalistic variation in treatment duration is not a natural experiment. Our naturalistic, practice-based design did not randomly assign patients to receive different durations of treatment. Thus, our results do not suggest that any particular patient would have the same outcome regardless of treatment length. On the contrary, the responsive regulation model suggests that the optimum number of sessions varies with many aspects of patient, therapist and context. Results might be different in an experiment in which patients were randomly assigned to fixed numbers of sessions.19 Theoretically, patients assigned to a duration below their optimum would be likely to finish below their good-enough level, whereas patients assigned to a duration above their optimum would receive more therapy than under naturalistic conditions and might accomplish more, perhaps fin- ishing above their good-enough level. Non-completion of treatment Our conclusions apply only to patients whose therapists said the ending was planned and who completed a post-treatment CORE-OM. Patients who left treatment before their planned ending seldom completed post-treatment measures, so we could not assess their gains. Patients may fail to appear for scheduled sessions because they have found other sources of help,20 or feel that they have achieved their goals.21 On average, however, patients who did not return to complete post-session measures seem likely to have made smaller gains than had patients who did return.22 The large number of patients who did not complete post-treatment CORE-OM forms raises concerns about possible selective reporting. In a check on this possibility in the CORE-NRD-2005,23 the proportion of patients who returned post-treatment forms varied hugely across the 343 therapists who saw 15 or more patients (this included 95% of the patients in that data-set) and across the 34 services they represented, but the rate of return was essentially uncorrelated with indices of improvement across therapists or across services. If therapists were selectively influencing patients with good outcomes to return post-treatment forms, improvement rates would be negatively correlated with reporting rates – that is, the more selective therapists would tend to have higher improvement rates. The observed lack of correlation suggests that therapists and services were not selectively reporting to any significant degree. Clinical implications The responsive regulation model, which suggests that participants tend to regulate their use of therapy to achieve a satisfactory level of gains, shifts attention from decisions about treatment length to the question of what constitutes good-enough gains. Adjusting the cost and difficulty of access to and continuation of treatment, as well as influencing standards of what is good-enough by informing potential patients about what therapy can accomplish, might affect the average good-enough level. Our results suggest that the pattern of responsive regulation characterises diverse institutional settings. Allowing greater scope for responsive regulation might yield still greater efficiencies. For example, allowing patients to schedule their own appointments, rather than scheduling regular (e.g. weekly) appointments might dramatically reduce ‘no-shows’ without adverse effects on treatment effectiveness.24 William B. Stiles, PhD, Department of Psychology, Miami University, Oxford, Ohio, and Department of Psychology, Appalachian State University, Boone, North Carolina, USA; Michael Barkham, PhD, Centre for Psychological Services Research, Department of Psychology, University of Sheffield, UK; Sue Wheeler, PhD, Institute for Lifelong Learning, University of Leicester, UK Correspondence: Dr William B. Stiles, PO Box 27, Glendale Springs, North Carolina 28629, USA. Email: stileswb@miamioh.edu First received 28 Jan 2014, final revision 29 Oct 2014, accepted 3 Nov 2014 121
  • 8. Stiles et al Acknowledgements We thank John Mellor-Clark and Alex Curtis Jenkins of Clinical Outcomes in Routine Evaluation Information Management Systems for collecting these data, making them available and documenting the procedures. We thank Sarah Bell for helping to put the data into a manageable format. References 1 Barkham M, Gilbert N, Connell J, Marshall C, Twigg E. Suitability and utility of the CORE-OM and CORE-A for assessing severity of presenting problems in psychological therapy services based in primary and secondary care settings. Br J Psychiatry 2005; 186: 239–46. 2 Evans C, Connell J, Barkham M, Margison F, McGrath G, Mellor-Clark J, et al. Towards a standardised brief outcome measure: psychometric properties and utility of the CORE-OM. Br J Psychiatry 2002; 180: 51–60. 3 Barkham M, Connell J, Stiles WB, Miles JNV, Margison J, Evans C, et al. Dose-effect relations and responsive regulation of treatment duration: the good enough level. J Consult Clin Psychol 2006; 74: 160–7. 4 Stiles WB, Barkham M, Connell J, Mellor-Clark J. Responsive regulation of treatment duration in routine practice in United Kingdom primary care settings: replication in a larger sample. J Consult Clin Psychol 2008; 76: 298–305. 5 Baldwin SA, Berkeljon A, Atkins DC, Olsen JA, Nielsen SL. Rates of change in naturalistic psychotherapy: contrasting dose–effect and good-enough level models of change. J Consult Clin Psychol 2009; 77: 203–11. 6 Howard KI, Kopta SM, Krause MS, Orlinsky DE. The dose-effect relationship in psychotherapy. Am Psychol 1986; 41: 159–64. 7 Howard KI, Lueger RJ, Maling MS, Martinovich Z. A phase model of psychotherapy outcome: causal mediation of change. J Consult Clin Psychol 1993; 61: 678–85. 8 Lueger RJ, Howard KI, Martinovich Z, Lutz W, Anderson EE, Grissom GR. Assessing treatment progress of individual patients using Expected Treatment Response Models. J Consult Clin Psychol 2001; 69: 150–8. 9 Begley CG, Ellis LM. Raise standards for preclinical cancer research. Nature 2012; 483: 531–3. 10 Ioannidis JPA. Why most published research findings are false. PLoS Medicine 2005; 2: 696–701. 11 Barkham M, Mullin T, Leach C, Stiles WB, Lucock M. Stability of the CORE-OM and the BDI-I prior to therapy: evidence from routine practice. Psychol Psychother 2007; 80: 269–78. 12 Connell J, Barkham M, Stiles WB, Twigg E, Singleton N, Evans O, et al. Distribution of CORE-OM scores in a general population, clinical cut-off points and comparison with the CIS-R. Br J Psychiatry 2007; 190: 69–74. 13 Mellor-Clark J, Barkham M, Connell J, Evans C. Practice-based evidence and the need for a standardised evaluation system: informing the design of the CORE system. Eur J Psychother Counsell Health 1999; 3: 357–74. 14 Mellor-Clark J. National innovations in the evaluation of psychological therapy service provision. Journal of Primary Care Mental Health 2003; 7: 82–5. 15 Jacobson NS, Truax, P. Clinical significance: a statistical approach to defining meaningful change in psychotherapy research. J Consult Clin Psychol 1991; 59: 12–9. 16 Stiles WB, Honos-Webb L, Surko M. Responsiveness in psychotherapy. Clinical Psychology: Science and Practice 1998; 5: 439–58. 17 Barkham M, Rees A, Stiles WB, Shapiro DA, Hardy GE, Reynolds S. Dose-effect relations in time-limited psychotherapy for depression. J Consult Clin Psychol 1996; 64: 927–35. 18 Moore S. Voluntary sector counselling: has inadequate research resulted in a misunderstood and underutilised resource? Counselling and Psychotherapy Research 2006; 6: 221–6. 19 Barkham M, Rees A, Stiles WB, Hardy GE, Shapiro DA. Dose-effect relations for psychotherapy of mild depression: a quasi-experimental comparison of effects of 2, 8, and 16 sessions. Psychother Res 2002; 12: 463–74. 20 Snape C, Perren S, Jones L, Rowland N. Counselling – why not? A qualitative study of people’s accounts of not taking up counselling appointments. Counselling and Psychotherapy Research 2003; 3: 239–45. 21 Hunsley J, Aubry TD, Verstervelt CM, Vito D. Comparing therapist and client perspectives on reasons for psychotherapy termination. Psychotherapy 1999; 36: 380–8. 22 Stiles WB, Leach C, Barkham M, Lucock M, Iveson S, Shapiro DA, et al. Early sudden gains in psychotherapy under routine clinic conditions: practice-based evidence. J Consult Clin Psychol 2003; 71: 14–21. 23 Barkham M, Stiles WB, Connell J, Mellor-Clark J. Psychological treatment outcomes in routine NHS services: what do we mean by treatment effectiveness? Psychol Psychother 2012; 85: 1–16. 24 Carey TA, Tai SJ, Stiles WB. Effective and efficient: using patient-led appointment scheduling in routine mental health practice in remote Australia. Prof Psychol Res Pr 2013; 44: 405–14. 122 Romantic suicide Alexandra Pitman The concept of ‘romantic suicide’ emerged in the 1770s following the suicide of the teenage English poet Thomas Chatterton, memorialised in Goethe’s 1774 novel in the character of young Werther. Eighteenth-century authors embellished these men as romantic outcasts, triumphing over death through fearless individualism to achieve immortality in heaven. Such myths still persist today, exemplified in journalists’ responses to the suicides of artists such as Kitaj, Kirchner, Rothko and Van Gogh. Glorifying their deaths by wreathing them in martyrdom is a dangerous practice. Awareness of the damage wreaked by propagation of these myths is the starting point for challenging them. The British Journal of Psychiatry (2015) 207, 122. doi: 10.1192/bjp.bp.114.162370 100 words
  • 9. 1 The British Journal of Psychiatry 1–2. doi: 10.1192/bjp.bp.114.145565 Data supplement Table DS1 Improvement rates as a function of number of sessions attended Patients RCSIa Reliable improvementb Sessions attended n n % N % 0 28 19 67.9 22 78.6 1 243 152 62.6 185 76.1 2 1208 776 64.2 974 80.6 3 1926 1314 68.2 1609 83.5 4 2401 1603 66.8 2012 83.8 5 3071 1968 64.1 2538 82.6 6 5576 3225 57.8 4429 79.4 7 1904 1164 61.1 1563 82.1 8 1928 1128 58.5 1543 80.0 9 1107 620 56.0 877 79.2 10 1258 677 53.8 948 75.4 11 767 445 58.0 620 80.8 12 1405 798 56.8 1069 76.1 13 388 219 56.4 298 76.8 14 312 173 55.4 234 75.0 15 283 159 56.2 218 77.0 16 325 158 48.6 233 71.7 17 212 130 61.3 171 80.7 18 196 107 54.6 137 69.9 19 166 95 57.2 126 75.9 20 216 114 52.8 165 76.4 21 116 59 50.9 88 75.9 22 134 69 51.5 97 72.4 23 112 66 58.9 95 84.8 24 180 95 52.8 127 70.6 25 97 51 52.6 75 77.3 26 78 40 51.3 56 71.8 27 64 40 62.5 52 81.3 28 58 33 56.9 46 79.3 29 49 30 61.2 39 79.6 30 72 43 59.7 61 84.7 31 55 29 52.7 42 76.4 32 59 32 54.2 42 71.2 33 62 39 62.9 49 79.0 34 58 28 48.3 48 82.8 35 52 33 63.5 41 78.8 36 51 30 58.8 39 76.5 37 56 26 46.4 41 73.2 38 58 29 50.0 41 70.7 39 40 15 37.5 23 57.5 40 59 27 45.8 43 72.9 All clients 26 430 15 858 60.0 21 116 79.9 RCSI, reliable and clinically significant improvement. a. Reliable and clinically significant improvement, defined as having a post-treatment Clinical Outcomes in Routine Evaluation – Outcome Measure (CORE-OM) score below 10, having changed by at least 4.5 points, includes only patients with planned endings whose initial CORE-OM score was at or above the clinical cut-off of 10. b. Reliable improvement is defined as a change of at least 4.5 points regardless of post-treatment score (and thus includes patients who achieved RCSI).
  • 10. 2 Table DS2 Clinical Outcomes in Routine Evaluation – Outcome Measure mean scores as a function of number of sessions attended Sessions attended Number of patients Pre-treatment Post-treatment Pre–post difference Pre–post effect sizea 0 28 18.39 9.18 9.21 1.76 1 243 17.67 9.28 8.39 1.60 2 1208 18.04 8.38 9.66 1.84 3 1926 17.98 7.74 10.24 1.95 4 2401 18.44 8.10 10.34 1.97 5 3071 18.77 8.41 10.37 1.98 6 5576 19.05 9.29 9.76 1.86 7 1904 19.27 8.90 10.37 1.98 8 1928 19.24 9.23 10.00 1.91 9 1107 19.54 9.81 9.74 1.86 10 1258 19.24 10.19 9.05 1.73 11 767 18.99 9.29 9.71 1.85 12 1405 18.79 9.56 9.23 1.76 13 388 19.19 9.53 9.66 1.84 14 312 19.19 10.16 9.03 1.72 15 283 20.19 9.96 10.23 1.95 16 325 20.22 10.77 9.45 1.80 17 212 19.69 9.21 10.48 2.00 18 196 19.43 10.15 9.28 1.77 19 166 19.42 9.98 9.44 1.80 20 216 20.46 10.40 10.05 1.92 21 116 21.20 11.23 9.97 1.90 22 134 20.45 11.01 9.45 1.80 23 112 20.18 9.18 11.00 2.10 24 180 20.44 11.00 9.44 1.80 25 97 19.55 10.82 8.73 1.67 26 78 19.37 10.33 9.04 1.72 27 64 19.58 9.35 10.23 1.95 28 58 20.55 9.67 10.88 2.08 29 49 20.92 9.62 11.30 2.16 30 72 20.00 9.43 10.56 2.01 31 55 20.86 10.94 9.92 1.89 32 59 20.55 10.75 9.80 1.87 33 62 19.66 9.83 9.84 1.88 34 58 20.64 11.56 9.07 1.73 35 52 20.89 9.89 10.99 2.10 36 51 17.76 9.17 8.59 1.64 37 56 20.58 11.31 9.28 1.77 38 58 20.92 10.63 10.29 1.96 39 40 18.66 12.33 6.33 1.21 40 59 19.47 10.66 8.81 1.68 All clients 26 430 18.99 9.10 9.89 1.87 a. Effect size was calculated as the pre–post difference divided by the full sample pre-treatment standard deviation (5.24).
  • 11. 10.1192/bjp.bp.114.145565Access the most recent version at DOI: 2015, 207:115-122.BJP William B. Stiles, Michael Barkham and Sue Wheeler improvement rates in UK routine practice Duration of psychological therapy: relation to recovery and Material Supplementary http://bjp.rcpsych.org/content/suppl/2015/04/27/bjp.bp.114.145565.DC1.html Supplementary material can be found at: References http://bjp.rcpsych.org/content/207/2/115#BIBL This article cites 24 articles, 3 of which you can access for free at: permissions Reprints/ permissions@rcpsych.ac.ukwrite to To obtain reprints or permission to reproduce material from this paper, please to this article at You can respond /letters/submit/bjprcpsych;207/2/115 from Downloaded The Royal College of PsychiatristsPublished by on October 4, 2015http://bjp.rcpsych.org/ http://bjp.rcpsych.org/site/subscriptions/ go to:The British Journal of PsychiatryTo subscribe to