pvSpot PV simulation tool for operation PV projects

1. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [1]
pvSpot - PV Simulation Tool for Operational PV Projects
Tomas Cebecauer, Marcel Suri, Artur Skoczek
GeoModel Solar, Slovakia

2. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [2]
1. Solar and meteo database
2. Interactive services
• Solar prospection
• PV prefeasibility and planning
• PV performance monitoring
3. Computer-to-computer services
• Web services and regular data supply
• Solar and PV forecasting
http://solargis.info
SolarGIS platform

3. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [3]
SolarGIS database PV system configuration
PV simulator
Simulated GTI and PV production Measured PV production
PV system evaluation
pvSpot concept
Userinputs
Outputs

4. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [4]
pvSpot concept
PV_output = f(PV config., irradiance, temperature, auxilliary data)
- simulated PV production using satellite-based data
- site specific data everywhere

5. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [5]
Irradiance
- satellite-based model (SolarGIS)
- motion vectors (test phase, SolarGIS)
- NWP: IFS (ECMWF), GFS (NOAA) postprocess
Meteorological data
- CFSR, CFSv2 and GFSprod (NOAA)
Auxilliary data
- altitude (SRTM), terrain slope, horizons
SolarGIS database

6. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [6]
GOES West GOES East PRIME IODC
135°W 75°W 0° 57.5°E
Present
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Pacific
145°E
GOES
9*
GMS5*MTSAT1-2
HIMAWARI8
GOES10,11,15
GOES8,12,13,14
MSG1-3MFG4-7
MFG5,7
SolarGIS database – temporal coverage
■ Daily data update – pvSpot priority regions
GHI
±3.9%
• Historical data
• Global coverage
• Spatial resolution approx. 3 km (250 m enhanc.)
• Frequency of measurements 15 and 30 minutes
• Spatial and temporal consistency
• Low uncertainty
• Recent data
• Continuous daily/monthly update
• Priority regions (extendable)
• Forecasts
• Update 2 (4) times a day
• Global coverage

7. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [7]
Historical data
• Long-term average PV production (c-Si, optimum angle)
• Reference for PV system performance assessment

8. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [8]
Solar radiation
(In-plane GTI)
Meteo parameters
(TEMP, WS,...)
PV system
(modules, mounting,
invertors, cabling,
row spacing …)
PV simulation
PV production
Environment: Technology:
Env. losses
(shading, snow, dirt,...)
GTI vs PV
PV simulation principles
• sub-hourly time series data (15 minutes)
• flexible (one day up to multi-year)
• aggregation to daily, monthly, yearly
• outputs GTI, PVOUT, losses,…
• calculated uncertainty

9. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [9]
Simulations:
 tilted model (Perez inclined diffuse irradiance)
 terrain shading (SRTM3 mission, Ruiz-Arias)
 angular reflection (Martín Riuz angular losses)
 electric performance of PV modules
(variant of Sandia Array Performance model or,
1-diode PV array module based on PVPMC
implementation)
 Self-shading or inter-row shading
(shading fraction based on simplified raytracing)
 inverter conversion losses
(efficiency curve or euro efficiency provided by the
inverter manufacturer, or
Sandia Performance Model for Grid-Connected
Photovoltaic Inverters)
Estimates:
 pollution and snow
(estimates based on the local climate knowledge)
 mismatch, cables, interconnections
(estimates in the case of lack of cabling details,
otherwise calculation of cables Ohmic losses)
 transformer
(estimates only based on manufacturers
specification)
Production data:
 technical availability of PV Power Plant
(loses due to downtime and maintenance)
PV simulation

10. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [10]
Simulated PV production uncertainty
• Dynamically calculated
• seasonal effects
• satellite mission specific features
• sat. geometry, solar geometry , short- term variability …
• system components
hourly
daily monthly

11. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [11]
SolarGIS data
Historical Recent Forecasts
Yield assessment ×
Performance assessment × ×
Monitoring × ×
Power plant operation × ×
Grid management ×
pvSpot application areas
pvSpot PV simulations

12. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [12]
Modes of operation
Interactive
- web-based online application http://solargis.info/pvspot
- easy-to-use user interface
- real production data input
Non-interactive
- computer-to-computer data exchange
- web-services, FTP access

13. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [13]
pvSpot interactive - workflow
1. Site selection
2. PV system definition
3. PV simulation
- long-term averages
- recent data (system startup – yesterday, daily updated)
4. Real production input
5. Data analysis, reporting,…

14. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [14]
pvSpot interactive – long term vs. specific year production
Cologne, Germany
5.0 kWp, crystalline silicon (c-Si), fixed mounting - one angle, tilt: 30°azimuth: 180°
2014 2015
production long-term
production in 2015

15. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [15]
pvSpot interactive – real vs. simulated production

16. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [16]
• mass processing (1 - 1000+ systems)
• forecasts
• regular delivery (FTP)
• 2 times a day forecasts
• Operational daily (monitoring)
• Monthly (re-analysis, performance analysis)
• more detailed data request parametrization
• flexible data aggregation (15-min up to monthly summaries)
pvSpot web-service and FTP access

17. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [17]
pvSpot – examples of PV production analysis

18. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [18]
Example of good match between measured
and modelled data
Example of utility scale PV plant simulation
using high frequency 15 minute satellite data
in Central Europe

19. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [19]
Instant detection of major performance issues
PV inverter output power limitation
Example of utility scale PV plant simulation
using high frequency 15 minute satellite data
in Central Europe

20. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [20]
Wrong description of power plant design parameters
too small row spacing resulting in increased
shading losses in winter-time
Example of utility scale PV plant simulation
using high frequency 15 minute satellite data
in Central Europe

21. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [21]
Partial failure – strings failure
Example of utility scale PV plant simulation
using high frequency 15 minute satellite data
in Central Europe

22. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [22]
Example of utility scale PV plant simulation
using high frequency 15 minute satellite data
in Central Europe
Power production loss due to snow event
in winter-time

23. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [23]
Conclusions
SolarGIS pvSpot
• integrated SolarGIS database with simulation tools
• continuously updated (recent and forecasts)
Harmonized and consistent data for
• monitoring
• performance assessment
• PV portfolio evaluation

24. 4th PV Performance Modelling and Monitoring Workshop, Cologne, Germany, 22-23 October 2015 [24]
Thank you!
GeoModel Solar, Slovakia
contact@geomodel.eu
http://solargis.info
http://gemodelsolar.eu