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MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011




 Porcini’s Pronto
 Team „PacKaGeD‟

 November 19, 2011




    Kitty Chow           Pramod Jindal   Derek Wenngatz   Girish Chhatwani
Agenda
MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011




 •    Executive Summary
 •    Current Situation & Problem Statement
 •    Ways Forward
 •    Recipe for Success
 •    Options for Growth
 •    Company Own-and-Operate Model
 •    Balanced Growth
 •    Risks
 •    Recommendations
Executive Summary
MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011




 • Procini‟s Growth Strategy
      – Leveraging Porcini‟s strengths for growth


 • Strategies and Options Considered
      – Launch Porcini‟s Pronto Concept

      – Company Owned-and-Operate


 • Risks
      – Mitigation strategies
Agenda
MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011




 •    Executive Summary
 •    Current Situation & Problem Statement
 •    Ways Forward
 •    Recipe for Success
 •    Options for Growth
 •    Company Own-and-Operate Model
 •    Balanced Growth
 •    Risks
 •    Recommendations
Current Situation & Problem Statement
MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011




                     How can Porcini‟s grow their business at
                      greater than 5% annually, through to
                                     2018?




  Current domestic
  segments saturated               Overseas growth not   Need new domestic
  for full-service                 feasible              segment for growth
  restaurants
Grow by Targeting Traveller Market: Porcini’s “Pronto”
MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011



                           Maintain                 Porcini’s Pronto
                           Porcini‟s

                                                • Target customers on
                                                  interstate highway with
                                    Expand
                                    Porcini‟s     table-served meals, at
                                    flagship
                                                  reasonable price
            Options
                                                   – Segment not saturated
                                                   – Potential to grow beyond
                                    Catering
                                                     industry average



                           Launch
                           Pronto
Recipe for Pronto’s Success
MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011


            Value Drivers              Core Competencies

                                       • Innovative recipes
            Quality Food               • Fresh ingredients
                                       • Artful presentation

                                       •   Hiring the right people
                                       •   Quality training program
           Rapid Service               •   Wireless Technology
                                       •   “Great Italian Cuisine without the Wait”


             Value &                   • Priced lower than Porcini
           Convenience                 • Location
Agenda
MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011




 •    Executive Summary
 •    Current Situation & Problem Statement
 •    Ways Forward
 •    Recipe for Success
 •    Options for Growth
 •    Company Own-and-Operate Model
 •    Balanced Growth
 •    Risks
 •    Recommendations
Best Returns with Company Own-and-Operate Approach
MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011

                                                                                              7,000




                                                                                                      X $ 1000
                           Cumulative Profits (PV) each Year
                                                                                              6,000


        Company-owned            Franchise         Syndicate                                  5,000


                                                                                              4,000


                                                                                              3,000


                                                                                              2,000


                                                                                              1,000


                                                                                              0
        1          2         3           4             5        6          7          8



                                       NPV @ 2.5%          Assumptions:
                                       Growth Rate         •  Financing costs included in 94% margin
  Company Own-and-Operate              $ 6.5 Million       •  Pronto growth rate = Industry rate = 2.5%
                                                           •  Hurdle rate = 6%
            Syndicate                  $ 4.4 Million       •  All values pre-tax
            Franchise                  $ 3.2 Million
Pronto’s Potential
MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011



        Sensitivity Analysis: NPV vs. Potential Growth Rate
         25%
                                                              23%

         20%



         15%                                    14%

                       10%
         10%



          5%



          0%
                       2.5%                     6%            8%

                                       Revenue Growth Rates

Porcini‟s Strengths + Matching Value Drivers = Potential for Above Average Growth
Agenda
MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011




 •    Executive Summary
 •    Current Situation & Problem Statement
 •    Ways Forward
 •    Recipe for Success
 •    Options for Growth
 •    Company Own-and-Operate Model
 •    Balanced Growth
 •    Risks
 •    Recommendations
Greatest Prospects with Company Own-and-Operate
MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011



                                       Company
                                                 Syndicate   Franchise
                                        Owned

  Short Run Return (1-3 years)           

  Long Run Return (8 years)                        

  Pilot Concept                          

  Minimized Risk                                               

  Protect Porcini Brand                            
Pronto Allows for Balanced Growth
MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011




          Potential of Pronto’s                                              Industry Risk

   • Long run growth potential                               • 60% failure rate within 3 years *
                                                             • Rapid growth increases risk *




                                            Managed Growth

                                  • Ensure feasibility
                                  • Assess ideal rate of growth
                                        “measured risk”

     * “Why Restaurants Fail”, Cornell Hotel and Restaurant Administration Quarterly, 2005
Agenda
MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011




 •    Executive Summary
 •    Current Situation & Problem Statement
 •    Ways Forward
 •    Recipe for Success
 •    Options for Growth
 •    Company Own-and-Operate Model
 •    Balanced Growth
 •    Risks
 •    Recommendations
Risks & Mitigation
MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011




     Failure of the            • Two Pronto pilots
   Pronto‟s Concept            • Company owned-and-operate model

      Damage to                • Maintain strict quality control of food and
       Porcini‟s                 service
      Reputation               • Direct management involvement

  Improper Pronto‟s            • Traffic study
     Locations                 • Marketing / Branding


  Market & Industry            • Balanced expansion
      Volatility               • Value for money
Recommendations
MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011



       How can Porcini grow their business at greater than 5%
         annually through to 2018, in the domestic market?

 1. Launch Porcini‟s Pronto concept

 2. Grow via company owned-and-operated approach

 3. Pilot to determine long run potential of the Pronto‟s concept
Questions
MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011
Appendix A – Porcini’s Pronto Financials
MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011

                          2011              2012                2013              2014              2015              2016              2017              2018
 Company Owned
 # of restaurants                  2                   2                 4                 6                 8                10                12                14
 Investment          $   (4,200,000)   $       -   $           (4,200,000)   $   (4,200,000)   $   (4,200,000)   $   (4,200,000)   $   (4,200,000)   $   (4,200,000)
 Revenue             $    4,800,000    $ 4,920,000 $            9,843,000    $   15,138,150    $   20,694,906    $   26,523,038    $   32,632,642    $   39,034,150
 Profits             $      288,000    $   295,200 $              590,580    $      908,289    $    1,241,694    $    1,591,382    $    1,957,959    $    2,342,049
 Present Value       $      271,698    $   262,727 $              495,862    $      719,450    $      927,866    $    1,121,862    $    1,302,154    $    1,469,431
 Cum Present Value   $      271,698    $   534,425 $            1,030,287    $    1,749,737    $    2,677,604    $    3,799,465    $    5,101,620    $    6,571,050
 Franchise
 # of restaurants                  0                   0                4                 8                12                17                22                28
 Investment          $   (1,000,000)   $           -       $       -   $        -   $        -   $        -                        $        -   $        -
 Revenue             $          -      $           -       $ 9,600,000 $ 19,440,000 $ 29,772,000 $ 43,014,450                      $ 57,035,566 $ 74,138,354
 Profits             $          -      $           -       $   192,000 $    388,800 $    595,440 $    860,289                      $ 1,140,711 $ 1,482,767
 Present Value       $          -      $           -       $   161,207 $    307,966 $    444,947 $    606,470                      $    758,638 $    930,306
 Cum Present Value   $          -      $           -       $   161,207 $    469,173 $    914,120 $ 1,520,590                       $ 2,279,228 $ 3,209,535
 Syndicate
 # of restaurants                  0                   0                2                  5                 8                12                16                20
 Investment          $   (1,250,000)   $           -       $    (252,000)    $     (378,000)   $   (1,628,000)   $     (504,000)   $     (504,000)   $     (504,000)
 Revenue             $          -      $           -       $   4,800,000     $   12,120,000    $   19,807,500    $   30,276,300    $   41,389,811    $   53,046,075
 Profits             $          -      $           -       $     192,000     $      484,800    $      792,300    $    1,211,052    $    1,655,592    $    2,121,843
 Present Value       $          -      $           -       $     161,207     $      384,007    $      592,053    $      853,744    $    1,101,064    $    1,331,271
 Cum Present Value   $          -      $           -       $     161,207     $      545,214    $    1,137,267    $    1,991,010    $    3,092,074    $    4,423,345


                 PARAMETERS                                                COSTS                                                 REVENUES
 Growth Rate                               2.50%       Cost per Pronto's (owned)         $     2,100,000         Rev Per Pronto's:                   $   2,400,000
 Discount Rate                                6%       Cost to syndicate                 $     2,500,000
                                                       Cost to franchise                 $     1,000,000

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McKinsey Case Compettion

  • 1. MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011 Porcini’s Pronto Team „PacKaGeD‟ November 19, 2011 Kitty Chow Pramod Jindal Derek Wenngatz Girish Chhatwani
  • 2. Agenda MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011 • Executive Summary • Current Situation & Problem Statement • Ways Forward • Recipe for Success • Options for Growth • Company Own-and-Operate Model • Balanced Growth • Risks • Recommendations
  • 3. Executive Summary MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011 • Procini‟s Growth Strategy – Leveraging Porcini‟s strengths for growth • Strategies and Options Considered – Launch Porcini‟s Pronto Concept – Company Owned-and-Operate • Risks – Mitigation strategies
  • 4. Agenda MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011 • Executive Summary • Current Situation & Problem Statement • Ways Forward • Recipe for Success • Options for Growth • Company Own-and-Operate Model • Balanced Growth • Risks • Recommendations
  • 5. Current Situation & Problem Statement MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011 How can Porcini‟s grow their business at greater than 5% annually, through to 2018? Current domestic segments saturated Overseas growth not Need new domestic for full-service feasible segment for growth restaurants
  • 6. Grow by Targeting Traveller Market: Porcini’s “Pronto” MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011 Maintain Porcini’s Pronto Porcini‟s • Target customers on interstate highway with Expand Porcini‟s table-served meals, at flagship reasonable price Options – Segment not saturated – Potential to grow beyond Catering industry average Launch Pronto
  • 7. Recipe for Pronto’s Success MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011 Value Drivers Core Competencies • Innovative recipes Quality Food • Fresh ingredients • Artful presentation • Hiring the right people • Quality training program Rapid Service • Wireless Technology • “Great Italian Cuisine without the Wait” Value & • Priced lower than Porcini Convenience • Location
  • 8. Agenda MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011 • Executive Summary • Current Situation & Problem Statement • Ways Forward • Recipe for Success • Options for Growth • Company Own-and-Operate Model • Balanced Growth • Risks • Recommendations
  • 9. Best Returns with Company Own-and-Operate Approach MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011 7,000 X $ 1000 Cumulative Profits (PV) each Year 6,000 Company-owned Franchise Syndicate 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 NPV @ 2.5% Assumptions: Growth Rate • Financing costs included in 94% margin Company Own-and-Operate $ 6.5 Million • Pronto growth rate = Industry rate = 2.5% • Hurdle rate = 6% Syndicate $ 4.4 Million • All values pre-tax Franchise $ 3.2 Million
  • 10. Pronto’s Potential MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011 Sensitivity Analysis: NPV vs. Potential Growth Rate 25% 23% 20% 15% 14% 10% 10% 5% 0% 2.5% 6% 8% Revenue Growth Rates Porcini‟s Strengths + Matching Value Drivers = Potential for Above Average Growth
  • 11. Agenda MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011 • Executive Summary • Current Situation & Problem Statement • Ways Forward • Recipe for Success • Options for Growth • Company Own-and-Operate Model • Balanced Growth • Risks • Recommendations
  • 12. Greatest Prospects with Company Own-and-Operate MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011 Company Syndicate Franchise Owned Short Run Return (1-3 years)  Long Run Return (8 years)   Pilot Concept  Minimized Risk   Protect Porcini Brand  
  • 13. Pronto Allows for Balanced Growth MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011 Potential of Pronto’s Industry Risk • Long run growth potential • 60% failure rate within 3 years * • Rapid growth increases risk * Managed Growth • Ensure feasibility • Assess ideal rate of growth “measured risk” * “Why Restaurants Fail”, Cornell Hotel and Restaurant Administration Quarterly, 2005
  • 14. Agenda MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011 • Executive Summary • Current Situation & Problem Statement • Ways Forward • Recipe for Success • Options for Growth • Company Own-and-Operate Model • Balanced Growth • Risks • Recommendations
  • 15. Risks & Mitigation MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011 Failure of the • Two Pronto pilots Pronto‟s Concept • Company owned-and-operate model Damage to • Maintain strict quality control of food and Porcini‟s service Reputation • Direct management involvement Improper Pronto‟s • Traffic study Locations • Marketing / Branding Market & Industry • Balanced expansion Volatility • Value for money
  • 16. Recommendations MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011 How can Porcini grow their business at greater than 5% annually through to 2018, in the domestic market? 1. Launch Porcini‟s Pronto concept 2. Grow via company owned-and-operated approach 3. Pilot to determine long run potential of the Pronto‟s concept
  • 17. Questions MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011
  • 18. Appendix A – Porcini’s Pronto Financials MCA - McKinsey Case Competition 2011 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Company Owned # of restaurants 2 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Investment $ (4,200,000) $ - $ (4,200,000) $ (4,200,000) $ (4,200,000) $ (4,200,000) $ (4,200,000) $ (4,200,000) Revenue $ 4,800,000 $ 4,920,000 $ 9,843,000 $ 15,138,150 $ 20,694,906 $ 26,523,038 $ 32,632,642 $ 39,034,150 Profits $ 288,000 $ 295,200 $ 590,580 $ 908,289 $ 1,241,694 $ 1,591,382 $ 1,957,959 $ 2,342,049 Present Value $ 271,698 $ 262,727 $ 495,862 $ 719,450 $ 927,866 $ 1,121,862 $ 1,302,154 $ 1,469,431 Cum Present Value $ 271,698 $ 534,425 $ 1,030,287 $ 1,749,737 $ 2,677,604 $ 3,799,465 $ 5,101,620 $ 6,571,050 Franchise # of restaurants 0 0 4 8 12 17 22 28 Investment $ (1,000,000) $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - Revenue $ - $ - $ 9,600,000 $ 19,440,000 $ 29,772,000 $ 43,014,450 $ 57,035,566 $ 74,138,354 Profits $ - $ - $ 192,000 $ 388,800 $ 595,440 $ 860,289 $ 1,140,711 $ 1,482,767 Present Value $ - $ - $ 161,207 $ 307,966 $ 444,947 $ 606,470 $ 758,638 $ 930,306 Cum Present Value $ - $ - $ 161,207 $ 469,173 $ 914,120 $ 1,520,590 $ 2,279,228 $ 3,209,535 Syndicate # of restaurants 0 0 2 5 8 12 16 20 Investment $ (1,250,000) $ - $ (252,000) $ (378,000) $ (1,628,000) $ (504,000) $ (504,000) $ (504,000) Revenue $ - $ - $ 4,800,000 $ 12,120,000 $ 19,807,500 $ 30,276,300 $ 41,389,811 $ 53,046,075 Profits $ - $ - $ 192,000 $ 484,800 $ 792,300 $ 1,211,052 $ 1,655,592 $ 2,121,843 Present Value $ - $ - $ 161,207 $ 384,007 $ 592,053 $ 853,744 $ 1,101,064 $ 1,331,271 Cum Present Value $ - $ - $ 161,207 $ 545,214 $ 1,137,267 $ 1,991,010 $ 3,092,074 $ 4,423,345 PARAMETERS COSTS REVENUES Growth Rate 2.50% Cost per Pronto's (owned) $ 2,100,000 Rev Per Pronto's: $ 2,400,000 Discount Rate 6% Cost to syndicate $ 2,500,000 Cost to franchise $ 1,000,000

Editor's Notes

  1. Industry growth rate: 2.5% each year, till 2016Catering: Growth rate: 2 – 2.5% annuallyMargins:4-7% annuallyGrow Porcini’s: Cost of new restaurant: $4.3 MillionAverage revenue: $4.1 Million
  2. Industry growth rate: 2.5% each year, till 2016Catering: Growth rate: 2 – 2.5% annuallyMargins:4-7% annuallyGrow Porcini’s: Cost of new restaurant: $4.3 MillionAverage revenue: $4.1 Million
  3. On this slide for growth options, I want to bring your attention to the cumulative profits each year. Compared to Syndicate, franchise, we are opening the minimum no of new restraunts in company owned model. Even with the conservative growth in terms of no of new restaurants, Company Own and Operate model offers the consistently high cumulative profits.For the same risk failure for syndicate, franchise and company own model,if we go with company own-n-operate model, we can potentially have the strongest bottomline primarily because of higher profit margins.Our assumptions here are very conservative. We have assumed that Pronto will grow at just 2.5% which is the growth rate in a saturated market. With the strongest bottom line despite minimum no of total restraurant , Based on quantitative approach, Pronto should be launched in company owned approach.
  4. Since we are targeting a new segments which is not saturated, Pronto has higher potential to grow.Our base rate is the growth rate of full service in in-city and shopping malls, Given Porcini’s precise knowledge of customers, ability to maintain quality of food and service, we expect that Pronto has immense potential to grow beyond the industry average of 2.5% which reflects the growth rate of a saturated segment which would lead to higher profits.