Uploaded on

Slides I used in the training workshop for the ASEAN City Innovation System project, 17 August 2010.

Slides I used in the training workshop for the ASEAN City Innovation System project, 17 August 2010.

  • Full Name Full Name Comment goes here.
    Are you sure you want to
    Your message goes here
    Be the first to comment
    Be the first to like this
No Downloads

Views

Total Views
869
On Slideshare
0
From Embeds
0
Number of Embeds
1

Actions

Shares
Downloads
67
Comments
0
Likes
0

Embeds 0

No embeds

Report content

Flagged as inappropriate Flag as inappropriate
Flag as inappropriate

Select your reason for flagging this presentation as inappropriate.

Cancel
    No notes for slide

Transcript

  • 1. eyes on tomorrow... Nares Damrongchai @APEC Center for Technology Foresight 1
  • 2. Nares Damrongchai @APEC Center for Technology Foresight 2 Source: Picture of the Future, Siemens (2005)
  • 3. Nares Damrongchai Futures of Low Carbon Society
  • 4. Germany 2020 20 November 2009 APEC Center for Technology Foresight 4
  • 5. DBR trend map showing growth- related MacroTrends 20 November 2009 APEC Center for Technology Foresight 5
  • 6. 20 November 2009 APEC Center for Technology Foresight 6
  • 7. Trends Economic Technology Environment (Google) (Green) STEEP Society Politic (Grey)
  • 8. Scenario logic Uncertainty1 (+) scenario1 scenario2 Uncertainty2 (-) Uncertainty2 (+) scenario3 scenario4 Uncertainty1 (-)
  • 9. APEC Center for Technology Foresight Global Scenarios to 2025 (2005) Source: The Shell www.apecforesight.org 9
  • 10. Can you beat me on FORESIGHT? Nares Damrongchai @APEC Center for Technology Foresight 10
  • 11. What's the difference? Nares Damrongchai @APEC Center for Technology Foresight 11
  • 12. The Johari Window Strategic planning trends KNOWN UNKNOWN environment KNOWNS KNOWNS scanning KNOWN UNKNOWN imagination Knowledge UNKNOWNS management UNKNOWNS Foresight
  • 13. Thailand Scenarios 2020 20 November 2009 APEC Center for Technology Foresight 13
  • 14. Traditional Dynamic Mekhong Violent Thai Mackerel Shrimp Spicy Soup Meat Soup 20 November 2009 APEC Center for Technology Foresight 14
  • 15. Process Flow of Scenario Planning Trends Uncertainties Scenarios Scenarios Identification Identification Logic Design Writing
  • 16. 2010 2015 2020 2025 Thank you!
  • 17. APEC Center for Technology Foresight Established in 1998 under Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC)  Now part of STI, Thailand Nares Damrongchai @APEC Center for Technology Foresight 18
  • 18. APEC Member Economies APEC Official Observers • Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) Secretariat Damrongchai @APEC • Pacific Economic Cooperation Council (PECC) • Pacific Islands Forum (PIF) Nares Technology Foresight Center for 19 © 2008 APEC Secretariat
  • 19. Mission of APEC CTF •RESEARCH: APEC-wide Foresight Studies –7 Projects finished since 1998, focusing on high impact area such as water, education, nanotechnology and energy –Mostly funded by both NSTDA and APEC –Methodologies include Delphi, Scenarios, and TRM •CONSULTING: for Public and Private Sectors •TRAINING: Seminars and Workshops (2-3 times a year) ●Conference on Foresight and Emerging Technologies Towards “Best Practice” in Technology Foresight Nares Damrongchai @APEC Center for 20 Technology Foresight
  • 20. Our Customers ●Siam Cement Group, Premier Group, CDG Group, Ministry of Public Health, SCI Research and Innovation Co.,Ltd., CAT Telecom Pubic Company Limited, Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand, Department of Agriculture, Institute of Solar Energy Technology Development, Petroleum Institute of Thailand, TRIDI, KNIT, Kasetsart University, Parliamentary Office, TPA, SIRIM, NISTPASS, and many others. Nares Damrongchai @APEC Center for 21 Technology Foresight