A presentation given by Dinky Soliman at the CON ASK: Forum on HR1109, Possibilities and Challenges organized by Ateneo School of Government (Pugadlawin,Kaya Natin! and Poder), Simbahang Lingkod ng Bayan, Political Science Dept. ADMU; Sanggunian, The Assembly,Development Society,OSCI, ADSA and OSA

2. Scenario 1
• House of Representative (HOR) will set the
rules and procedures and proceed to
amend the constitution acting now as a
Constituent Assembly.After a period of time
they bring the amended constitution to
COMELEC to request for a plebiscite. A
case is brought to the Supreme Court and
the Supreme Court decides that a Senate
less CONASS is valid.

3. Scenario 1
• Plebiscite continues, it is a yes victory and
the election of May 10, 2010 is an election
for a parliamentary form of government.
GMA runs on a district in Pampanga. She
wins and becomes eventually the Prime
Minister.This scenario assumes that the
outraged and protest from the citizenry is
weak

4. Scenario 2
• HOR convenes as a constituent assembly;
a case is filed in the Supreme Court and
SC declares that Congress is a bicameral
body therefore the Senate is needed.
Election fever catches up.A presidential
election is held in May 10, 2010.This
scenario assumes that there is significant
citizen's lobby to stop CONASS and
chahcha. The citizen's actions is a major
influence in the assessment and judgement
of the justices in the Supreme Court

5. Scenario 3
• HOR convenes as a constituent
assembly, there is building outrage from
the citizens and more street actions are
undertaken.Malacanang rides on the anger
of the people and organizes violent
incidents that will then be the basis for
emergency rule. This scenario assumes
that citizen's actions are not organized and
disciplined which creates the conditions for
infiltration and manipulated violence from
the enemies of democracy

6. Scenario 4
HOR convenes as a constituent assembly;
a case is filed in the Supreme Court, the
debate and deliberation in the Supreme
Court takes a long time and it gets
overtaken by election on May 10, 2010.
GMA runs for Congress in Pampanga she
wins, the administration candidates win
too. They get the Supreme Court go ahead
and convenes a Constituent
Assembly, converts Congress into a
parliament and GMA is elected as Prime
Minister.

7. Scenario 4
This scenario assumes that the 2010
election is dominated by the allies of GMA
and her candidates wins. This scenario
assumes that transactional politics was the
dominant practice and cheating, vote
buying and killing will be the norm in the
election of 2010. This means the citizen's
action was weak and we failed to educate
and mobilize active citizenship.