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Dbr okt 2013 cesar

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  • 1. CESAR Climate and Environmental change and Sustainable Accessibility of the Randstad DBR Oktober 2013 Martin Dijst Faculteit Geowetenschappen Universiteit Utrecht
  • 2. Challenges CESAR I 1. To unravel the complex relationships between the spatial configuration of land uses and infrastructures, meteorological processes and behavioural decisions concerning mobility patterns 2. To develop effective knowledge transfer mechanisms and improve participative planning and spatial governance to actively support the use of PSS for strategic spatial planning processes
  • 3. Urban heat island
  • 4. Urban heat island • Water niet altijd goede oplossing – ‘s nachts zorgt water voor verwarming • Hoog bouwen – In zomer veel schaduw – Houdt ‘s nachts temperatuur laag – Houdt in winter warmte vast
  • 5. Vervoerwijzen in 2050 t.o.v. huidige klimaat
  • 6. Weerparameters en fietsen ! 40-50˚C(N=792) 50-60˚C(N=718) >60˚C(N=90) x ) 0 % 2 0 % 4 0 % 6 0 % 8 0 % 1 0 0 % <4˚C(N=1588) 4-8˚C(N=592) 8-13˚C(N=508) 13-18˚C(N=395) 18-23˚C(N=311) 23-29˚C(N=345) 29-35˚C(N=465) >35˚C(N=186) P E T ( m a x ) 0 % 2 0 % 4 0 % 6 0 % 8 0 % 1 0 0 % none(N=1628) 0-1mm(N=1328) 1-5mm(N=1002) 5-10mm(N=266) >10mm(N=166) P r e c ip . ( s u m ) 0 % 2 0 % 4 0 % 6 0 % 8 0 % 1 0 0 % 0-2m/s(N=1080) 2-4m/s(N=2278) 4-6m/s(N=878) 6-8m/sN=154) W s ( a v g .) n s p o r t C a r & N = R e s p o n d e n t s c o n f r o n t e d w it h c o n d it io n 0 % 2 0 % 4 0 % 6 0 % 8 0 % 1 0 0 % <0˚C(N=358) 0-5˚C(N=233) 5-10˚C(N=981) 10-15˚C(N=914) 15-20˚C(N=742) 20-25˚C(N=662) 25-30˚C(N=314) >30˚C(N=186) T a ( m a x ) 0 % 2 0 % 4 0 % 6 0 % 8 0 % 1 0 0 % <10˚C(N=809) 10-20˚C(N=527) 20-30˚C(N=874) 30-40˚C(N=580) 40-50˚C(N=792) 50-60˚C(N=718) >60˚C(N=90) T m r t ( m a x ) 0 % 2 0 % 4 0 % 6 0 % 8 0 % 1 0 0 % <4˚C(N=1588) 4-8˚C(N=592) 8-13˚C(N=508) 13-18˚C(N=395) P E T ( m B ic y c l e W a lk in g P u b lic t r a n s p o r t C a r D a ily &w e a t h e r &e ffe c t s &o n &m o d a l&s p lit & 1 0 0 0 2 0 4 0 6 0 8 0 %
  • 7. PPS
  • 8. PPS • Juiste berekeningen en analyses en • Juiste wijze van gebruik van de tools • Afhankelijk van inbreng disciplines – Technische domeinen (water, verkeer en milieu) gebruiken computerinstrumenten – Ontwerpende domeinen: stedenbouw, urban design gebruiken kaartbeelden, schetsen en nog weinig computerinstrumenten