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1
Public Private Partnerships – Risks which a
Lender may assume
30 September 2005
Jonathan Drew
HSBC Corporate, Investment Banking and Markets
2
Contents
β€’ A Typical PPP Structure
β€’ Benefits of Third Party Funding
β€’ PPP Risk Allocation and Lenders Appetite
β€’ Risk Allocation and Finance Structures
β€’ Financing Issues and Implementation
3
Government
Special Purpose
Vehicle
Debt
Operation
ConstructionPerformance
Payments
Finance
Services
Equity
A Typical PPP/PFI Structure
4
 Access to wider sources of capital for large scale funding requirements
 Improved and more secure funding streams
 Assists short term budget management
 Capital at risk motivates participants to achieve a more efficient outcome
 Lower risk to public sector due to rigorous private financing process
 Credit provider will seek to ensure adequate protections and mitigants are in place
 Government retains operational and planning responsibility
 Government pays only when project are available and performance is up to standard
 Ability of private sector to deliver on cost effectiveness/efficiencies – offsets
higher financing costs
 Better value through risk transfer, whole life costing and competitive process
Benefits of Third Party Financing
Certainty of
Funding
Appropriate
Risk Allocation
Value for
Money
Public Sector can focus on delivery of core service functions
5
Lenders Repayment Mechanism
Time
$
Exposure to construction
time overruns
Exposure to operating
cost overruns
Traditional Public Funding/Payments
Exposure to construction
cost overruns
Estimated costs Government exposure
$
Dollar amount of the
service payments locked-
in prior to
commencement
PPP/PFI Funding/Payment Approach
Time
No payments until facilities
available for use
Construction period Operations period
6
A PPP contractual structure – appropriate risk allocation
Conventional procurement Typical PPP/PFI
β€’ Service provision
β€’ Pre-existing conditions
β€’ Maintenance and renewal
β€’ Regulation/policy
β€’ Market / Volume
β€’ Design & construction
β€’ Service provision
β€’ Maintenance and renewal
β€’ Pre-existing conditions
β€’ Regulation/policy
β€’ Market / Volume
GovernmentPrivate sector
β€’ Design & construction
7
Lenders Risk Analysis Model
β€’ Approvals and Permits
β€’ Technology
β€’ Construction
β€’ Funding
β€’ Market / Demand
β€’ Operational
β€’ Change in Regulations / Law
β€’ Force Majeure
Rule of Thumb: Lenders will accept and price risks they can
adequately assess and/or the Borrower can adequately manage
8
Typical PPP/PFI Finance Structure
β€’ The finance structure depends on the level of risk in the Project.
β€’ Loans to the project company can be structured on a limited recourse basis
β€’ Lender will assess whether debt can provide for the majority of the capital requirements
of the project.
β€’ Debt repayment will be significantly tied to the performance on the Project
β€’ A higher level of gearing typically reduces the overall cost of the Project
UK PFI/PPP ASIA β€œPPP/PFI”
β€’ Leverage: 80-90% β€’ Leverage: 65-80%
β€’ Tenor: 20-30 yrs (subject to concession tenor
and market availability)
β€’ Tenor: 15-20 yrs (subject to concession tenor
and market availability)
9
Risk Allocation and Finance Structures
β€’ Lender will undertake extensive due diligence to measure risk implicit in the repayment
mechanism
β€’ Lenders acceptance of risk allocation will be a function of the factors which affect
predictable cashflows over the concession life
β€’ Key risks which may not appropriately transferred to the private sector include
βˆ’ Political/Policy Risk
βˆ’ Long Term New Technological Risk
βˆ’ Market / Volume Risk
β€’ Inappropriate risk transfer to the private sector may lead to
βˆ’ Lower gearing
βˆ’ Higher Pricing
βˆ’ Shorter Tenor
Risks not well managed by
private sector. Higher risk
of project failure
Higher Overall Cost to
Government
10
Contractual Structure
Asia World Expo
Hong Kong
(Dragages et Travaux Publics,
NEC, Yu Miing Investments)
Project
International Exhibition Centre
Awarding Authority
Hong Kong SAR Government
Case Study - Infrastructure - AsiaWorld Expo
11
WHC Ordinance
Deed of guarantee Deed of shareholder
support
Shareholders
HK Government
Project Agreement
(30 year franchise) Project
Company
Loan Agreement
Construction
Contract (LSTK)
Lenders Contractors
Independent
Traffic study
Independent
Traffic
Consultant
WHC Ordinance
Deed of guarantee Deed of shareholder
support
Shareholders
HK Government
Project Agreement
(30 year franchise) Project
Company
Loan Agreement
Construction
Contract (LSTK)
Lenders Contractors
Independent
Traffic study
Independent
Traffic
Consultant
Case Study - Transport - Western Harbour Crossing
Western Harbour Tunnel
Company Limited
(CHT, China Merchants,
CITIC, Kerry)
Project
Western Harbour Crossing
Awarding Authority
Hong Kong SAR Government
Contractual Structure
12
Western Harbour Tunnel
Company Limited
(CHT, China Merchants,
CITIC, Kerry)
Project
Western Harbour Crossing
Awarding Authority
Hong Kong SAR Government
Project Description
β€’ Design, build and operate a dual three lane tunnel crossing linking Kowloon to Hong
Kong Island
β€’ 100% private sector financing
β€’ Automatic toll adjustment mechanism
β€’ Challenging legislative process
Size
β€’ HK$5.2bn (of HK$7.5bn)
HSBC Role
β€’ Advisor and Arranger to private sector consortium
Financial close Dec 1993
Loan tenor 15 years
Loan pricing 100 – 150 bp
Leverage 70%
Bank appetite >20 after syndication
Case Study - Transport - Western Harbour Crossing
13
Key Financing Issues in PPP/PFI Projects
β€’ Legal regime which permits taking
of security and enforcement of
contractual rights
β€’ Govt obligations undertaken by
appropriate entities
β€’ Political Commitment to PPP and
to specific projects
β€’ Competition and availability of
participants
β€’ Availability / capacity of long term
debt markets
β€’ Availability and establishment
environment of equity participation
β€’ Transparent procurement process
Macro
β€’ Well defined projects, clarity on
output spec
β€’ Strong and experienced
contractors
β€’ Appropriate allocation of risk
reflected in payment regime
β€’ High quality predictable cash flow –
low volatility
β€’ Alternative suppliers
β€’ Ability to step in
β€’ Adequate termination protection
β€’ Protection from other adverse
events, change in law, force
majeure, insurance etc
Micro
14
β€’ Identify the requirement
β€’ Initial feasibility and assessment
of value to Government - PSC
β€’ Initial prequel and expression of
interest
β€’ Request for proposal
β€’ Review and evaluation of
submissions
β€’ Negotiations and selection of
preferred bidder
β€’ Negotiation with preferred bidder
β€’ Commercial close
PPP and Financing Implementation Process
β€’ Obtain financing proposals
β€’ Due diligence
– Insurance
– Technical/Environmental
– Financial
– Commercial
– Legal Due Diligence
β€’ Documentation
β€’ Syndication of loan
β€’ Financial Close
Involve
industry
private
sector?
Procurement
Financing Process
15
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2 risk lender assume (j drew) hsbc (1)

  • 1. 1 Public Private Partnerships – Risks which a Lender may assume 30 September 2005 Jonathan Drew HSBC Corporate, Investment Banking and Markets
  • 2. 2 Contents β€’ A Typical PPP Structure β€’ Benefits of Third Party Funding β€’ PPP Risk Allocation and Lenders Appetite β€’ Risk Allocation and Finance Structures β€’ Financing Issues and Implementation
  • 4. 4  Access to wider sources of capital for large scale funding requirements  Improved and more secure funding streams  Assists short term budget management  Capital at risk motivates participants to achieve a more efficient outcome  Lower risk to public sector due to rigorous private financing process  Credit provider will seek to ensure adequate protections and mitigants are in place  Government retains operational and planning responsibility  Government pays only when project are available and performance is up to standard  Ability of private sector to deliver on cost effectiveness/efficiencies – offsets higher financing costs  Better value through risk transfer, whole life costing and competitive process Benefits of Third Party Financing Certainty of Funding Appropriate Risk Allocation Value for Money Public Sector can focus on delivery of core service functions
  • 5. 5 Lenders Repayment Mechanism Time $ Exposure to construction time overruns Exposure to operating cost overruns Traditional Public Funding/Payments Exposure to construction cost overruns Estimated costs Government exposure $ Dollar amount of the service payments locked- in prior to commencement PPP/PFI Funding/Payment Approach Time No payments until facilities available for use Construction period Operations period
  • 6. 6 A PPP contractual structure – appropriate risk allocation Conventional procurement Typical PPP/PFI β€’ Service provision β€’ Pre-existing conditions β€’ Maintenance and renewal β€’ Regulation/policy β€’ Market / Volume β€’ Design & construction β€’ Service provision β€’ Maintenance and renewal β€’ Pre-existing conditions β€’ Regulation/policy β€’ Market / Volume GovernmentPrivate sector β€’ Design & construction
  • 7. 7 Lenders Risk Analysis Model β€’ Approvals and Permits β€’ Technology β€’ Construction β€’ Funding β€’ Market / Demand β€’ Operational β€’ Change in Regulations / Law β€’ Force Majeure Rule of Thumb: Lenders will accept and price risks they can adequately assess and/or the Borrower can adequately manage
  • 8. 8 Typical PPP/PFI Finance Structure β€’ The finance structure depends on the level of risk in the Project. β€’ Loans to the project company can be structured on a limited recourse basis β€’ Lender will assess whether debt can provide for the majority of the capital requirements of the project. β€’ Debt repayment will be significantly tied to the performance on the Project β€’ A higher level of gearing typically reduces the overall cost of the Project UK PFI/PPP ASIA β€œPPP/PFI” β€’ Leverage: 80-90% β€’ Leverage: 65-80% β€’ Tenor: 20-30 yrs (subject to concession tenor and market availability) β€’ Tenor: 15-20 yrs (subject to concession tenor and market availability)
  • 9. 9 Risk Allocation and Finance Structures β€’ Lender will undertake extensive due diligence to measure risk implicit in the repayment mechanism β€’ Lenders acceptance of risk allocation will be a function of the factors which affect predictable cashflows over the concession life β€’ Key risks which may not appropriately transferred to the private sector include βˆ’ Political/Policy Risk βˆ’ Long Term New Technological Risk βˆ’ Market / Volume Risk β€’ Inappropriate risk transfer to the private sector may lead to βˆ’ Lower gearing βˆ’ Higher Pricing βˆ’ Shorter Tenor Risks not well managed by private sector. Higher risk of project failure Higher Overall Cost to Government
  • 10. 10 Contractual Structure Asia World Expo Hong Kong (Dragages et Travaux Publics, NEC, Yu Miing Investments) Project International Exhibition Centre Awarding Authority Hong Kong SAR Government Case Study - Infrastructure - AsiaWorld Expo
  • 11. 11 WHC Ordinance Deed of guarantee Deed of shareholder support Shareholders HK Government Project Agreement (30 year franchise) Project Company Loan Agreement Construction Contract (LSTK) Lenders Contractors Independent Traffic study Independent Traffic Consultant WHC Ordinance Deed of guarantee Deed of shareholder support Shareholders HK Government Project Agreement (30 year franchise) Project Company Loan Agreement Construction Contract (LSTK) Lenders Contractors Independent Traffic study Independent Traffic Consultant Case Study - Transport - Western Harbour Crossing Western Harbour Tunnel Company Limited (CHT, China Merchants, CITIC, Kerry) Project Western Harbour Crossing Awarding Authority Hong Kong SAR Government Contractual Structure
  • 12. 12 Western Harbour Tunnel Company Limited (CHT, China Merchants, CITIC, Kerry) Project Western Harbour Crossing Awarding Authority Hong Kong SAR Government Project Description β€’ Design, build and operate a dual three lane tunnel crossing linking Kowloon to Hong Kong Island β€’ 100% private sector financing β€’ Automatic toll adjustment mechanism β€’ Challenging legislative process Size β€’ HK$5.2bn (of HK$7.5bn) HSBC Role β€’ Advisor and Arranger to private sector consortium Financial close Dec 1993 Loan tenor 15 years Loan pricing 100 – 150 bp Leverage 70% Bank appetite >20 after syndication Case Study - Transport - Western Harbour Crossing
  • 13. 13 Key Financing Issues in PPP/PFI Projects β€’ Legal regime which permits taking of security and enforcement of contractual rights β€’ Govt obligations undertaken by appropriate entities β€’ Political Commitment to PPP and to specific projects β€’ Competition and availability of participants β€’ Availability / capacity of long term debt markets β€’ Availability and establishment environment of equity participation β€’ Transparent procurement process Macro β€’ Well defined projects, clarity on output spec β€’ Strong and experienced contractors β€’ Appropriate allocation of risk reflected in payment regime β€’ High quality predictable cash flow – low volatility β€’ Alternative suppliers β€’ Ability to step in β€’ Adequate termination protection β€’ Protection from other adverse events, change in law, force majeure, insurance etc Micro
  • 14. 14 β€’ Identify the requirement β€’ Initial feasibility and assessment of value to Government - PSC β€’ Initial prequel and expression of interest β€’ Request for proposal β€’ Review and evaluation of submissions β€’ Negotiations and selection of preferred bidder β€’ Negotiation with preferred bidder β€’ Commercial close PPP and Financing Implementation Process β€’ Obtain financing proposals β€’ Due diligence – Insurance – Technical/Environmental – Financial – Commercial – Legal Due Diligence β€’ Documentation β€’ Syndication of loan β€’ Financial Close Involve industry private sector? Procurement Financing Process