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THE DYNAMIC NATURE OF
VULNERABILITY AND ADAPTATION
TO CLIMATE-RELATED RISKS AND
CHANGE: THE IQALUIT LAND USE
MONITORING PROJECT




        Dr James D. Ford, Graham McDowell, Jamal Shirley
        www.jamesford.ca
Background
2

    ¨    Key theme in scholarship: CC and subsistence hunting
    ¨    Baseline understanding
          ¤    Widespread evidence of CC and impacts (safety, food security, culture)
          ¤    Vulnerability / resilience mediated by socio-economic factors
    ¨    Deficiencies in understanding (see Ford & Pearce 2012, The Canadian
          Geographer)
          ¤    Static understanding yet vulnerability dynamic (e.g. adaptive learning,
                feedback, thresholds)
          ¤    Nature of climate - impact links not fully understood
    ¨    Methodological limitations
          ¤    Retrospective study design (recall bias, seasonal influences)
          ¤    Absence of longitudinal studies, reliance of limited field seasons
The Iqaluit Land Use Monitoring Project
                 (ILMP)
3


    ¨    Obtain real-time
          longitudinal data on Inuit-
          environment interactions to
          understand how climate
          risks are experienced and
          managed
GPS Tracking
4


    ¨  2 full-time hunters equipped with GPS
    ¨  2007 – ongoing
Regular interviews
5


    ¨  >100 post hunt interviews
    ¨  Examine GPS data, review land use, dangers

        encountered, coping mechanisms employed etc.
Accompanied hunting trips
6


    ¨    Team members go hunting during all seasons
Instrumental data
7


    ¨    Use of local weather station data and CIS ice charts
Results: Land-use
8


¨    2008-2010:
      >21,000km travel
      ¤  70% by snowmobile,
         average trip107km
      ¤  30% boat, average
         trip 99km




                               Ford et al (in
                               review, AAAG)
Results: Changing env. conditions
9



    ¨    1982-2010
          ¤  50 days later
              freeze up
          ¤  70 days more
              open water
          ¤  Declining wind
              predominance
    ¨    Hunting team
          ¤  Iceinstability
                               Ford et al (in review,
          ¤  2010/11                         AAAG)
              extremes
Results: Access constraints &
       opportunities
10



 ¨  Trail network
     “choke points”
 ¨  2010/11 many

     hunting areas
     inaccessible




                      Ford et al (in
                      review, AAAG)
Results: Terrestrial adaptation
11



 ¨    Caribou in
       Amadjuak Lake
       region in Nov-Jan
       ¤  Sustainability:
           hunting pressure, CC,
           & caribou
       ¤  Land hazards
           ( snow, river freeze
           up (e.g. 2008))

                                   Ford et al (in
                                   review, AAAG)
Results: General observations (1)
12


     ¨    Co-occurence of climatic extremes problematic
           ¤  e.g.
                 Nov-Dec 2010: late freeze-up, 38 days lost to high
             winds, Amadjuak Lake trail impassible till Dec
     ¨  High adaptability: flexibility, TK
     ¨  Hunting team are keystone individuals

           ¤  Broad   importance for Iqaluit
     ¨    Importance of income: damaged equipment
           replaced, extra distance costs incurred (e.g. vs
           Igloolik)
Results: General observations (2)
13


     ¨    Potential for ‘trajectories of
           maladaptation’ (Fazey et al 2011)
           ¤  Short-term  adaptability may result in long term
               vulnerability
           ¤  Donwstream effects: displacing impacts to future

           ¤  Overspecialized adaptations susceptible to a new
               stressor (e.g. caribou)
Conclusion
14


     ¨  Analyzed 2008-2010 data (see Ford et al., in
         review, Annals Assoc. of American Geographers)
     ¨  Future

           ¤  Focus on 2010/11
           ¤  Continued monitoring
           ¤  Aim: 10 years
Thank You
 15
       Thank You




Acknowledgments: Josh Atagoyuk, Levi Pisuktie, Udlu Pisuktie, Tristan Pearce, Bill Gough, Rick Siewierski, Sara Statham,
Frank Duerden, Mike Pitre, ArcticNet, SSHRC, NRI, IPY

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The Dynamic Nature of Vulnerability and Adaptation to Climate-Related Risks and Change: The Iqaluit Land Use Monitoring Project

  • 1. THE DYNAMIC NATURE OF VULNERABILITY AND ADAPTATION TO CLIMATE-RELATED RISKS AND CHANGE: THE IQALUIT LAND USE MONITORING PROJECT Dr James D. Ford, Graham McDowell, Jamal Shirley www.jamesford.ca
  • 2. Background 2 ¨  Key theme in scholarship: CC and subsistence hunting ¨  Baseline understanding ¤  Widespread evidence of CC and impacts (safety, food security, culture) ¤  Vulnerability / resilience mediated by socio-economic factors ¨  Deficiencies in understanding (see Ford & Pearce 2012, The Canadian Geographer) ¤  Static understanding yet vulnerability dynamic (e.g. adaptive learning, feedback, thresholds) ¤  Nature of climate - impact links not fully understood ¨  Methodological limitations ¤  Retrospective study design (recall bias, seasonal influences) ¤  Absence of longitudinal studies, reliance of limited field seasons
  • 3. The Iqaluit Land Use Monitoring Project (ILMP) 3 ¨  Obtain real-time longitudinal data on Inuit- environment interactions to understand how climate risks are experienced and managed
  • 4. GPS Tracking 4 ¨  2 full-time hunters equipped with GPS ¨  2007 – ongoing
  • 5. Regular interviews 5 ¨  >100 post hunt interviews ¨  Examine GPS data, review land use, dangers encountered, coping mechanisms employed etc.
  • 6. Accompanied hunting trips 6 ¨  Team members go hunting during all seasons
  • 7. Instrumental data 7 ¨  Use of local weather station data and CIS ice charts
  • 8. Results: Land-use 8 ¨  2008-2010: >21,000km travel ¤  70% by snowmobile, average trip107km ¤  30% boat, average trip 99km Ford et al (in review, AAAG)
  • 9. Results: Changing env. conditions 9 ¨  1982-2010 ¤  50 days later freeze up ¤  70 days more open water ¤  Declining wind predominance ¨  Hunting team ¤  Iceinstability Ford et al (in review, ¤  2010/11 AAAG) extremes
  • 10. Results: Access constraints & opportunities 10 ¨  Trail network “choke points” ¨  2010/11 many hunting areas inaccessible Ford et al (in review, AAAG)
  • 11. Results: Terrestrial adaptation 11 ¨  Caribou in Amadjuak Lake region in Nov-Jan ¤  Sustainability: hunting pressure, CC, & caribou ¤  Land hazards ( snow, river freeze up (e.g. 2008)) Ford et al (in review, AAAG)
  • 12. Results: General observations (1) 12 ¨  Co-occurence of climatic extremes problematic ¤  e.g. Nov-Dec 2010: late freeze-up, 38 days lost to high winds, Amadjuak Lake trail impassible till Dec ¨  High adaptability: flexibility, TK ¨  Hunting team are keystone individuals ¤  Broad importance for Iqaluit ¨  Importance of income: damaged equipment replaced, extra distance costs incurred (e.g. vs Igloolik)
  • 13. Results: General observations (2) 13 ¨  Potential for ‘trajectories of maladaptation’ (Fazey et al 2011) ¤  Short-term adaptability may result in long term vulnerability ¤  Donwstream effects: displacing impacts to future ¤  Overspecialized adaptations susceptible to a new stressor (e.g. caribou)
  • 14. Conclusion 14 ¨  Analyzed 2008-2010 data (see Ford et al., in review, Annals Assoc. of American Geographers) ¨  Future ¤  Focus on 2010/11 ¤  Continued monitoring ¤  Aim: 10 years
  • 15. Thank You 15 Thank You Acknowledgments: Josh Atagoyuk, Levi Pisuktie, Udlu Pisuktie, Tristan Pearce, Bill Gough, Rick Siewierski, Sara Statham, Frank Duerden, Mike Pitre, ArcticNet, SSHRC, NRI, IPY