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Northern Ireland After
the Belfast Agreement:
A Contemporary
Context Assessment

 By Ina G. Wanca, Franziska Praxl and
Stephen Cucharo
Introduction

 How did we get here?

 Where do we go moving
forward?

 Why doesn’t peace stick in
Northern Ireland?
 How did we get here?
 Where do we go moving
forward?
Hypothesis
We posit that the youth in Northern Ireland is a
significant, yet underutilized capacity for peace. If this
untapped capacity is mobilized through educational
initiatives, we can better stem the resurgence of violence
and prevent the recurrence of the Troubles and possibly put
Northern Ireland on a better path for a renewed peace.
Literature Review

 Youth mobilization as a capacity for peace needs investment
and development
 Structural issues such as segregation and economic
inequalities need to be addressed, and remain part of the root
of the problem in Northern Ireland
 Despite public consensus educational initiatives haven’t
received enough attention

 The relationship between the youth population and the
Government of Northern Ireland has deteriorated
BELFAST AGREEMENT

Rights, Safeguards and Equality of
Opportunity
12. “The participants particularly recognize that Young people from
areas affected by the troubles face particular difficulties and will
support the development of special community-based initiatives..

…”[This] will require the allocation of sufficient resources”

13. “An essential aspect of the reconciliation process is the promotion
of a culture of tolerance at every level of society, including initiatives
to facilitate and encourage integrated education”…
Context Assessment

Youth

ANALYSIS

Grievances
Identity
Gender

PROFILE

FACTORS

ACTORS

ELEMENTS

DYNAMICS

PRACTICES

POLICES

RECOM
FACTORS
POLITICAL

FACTORS

Youth Disenfranchisement
Gender Inequality
Legacy of Armed Conflict

ECONOMIC
Youth Unemployment
Economic Stagnation

SECURITY
Youth Vulnerability

SOCIAL
Religious and Ethnic Segregation
Lack of School Integration
Community Identity
ACTORS ANALYSIS
CONTEXT DYNAMICS
SOCIO-POLITICAL
•Outlet for youth
grievances
nonexistent

INSTITUTIONAL
PERFORMANCE
•Youth skeptical of
Government, Security
Sector and CSOs

ECONOMIC
•Economic stagnation
makes youth
vulnerable

•Segregation inhibits
shared narrative
•Hostility between
communities is
omnipresent

•Aspects of the Belfast
Agreement remain
unimplemented

•Cross-communal
tensions impacted by
economics

SECURITY
•Security forces are
perceived as
illegitimate and
ineffective
•Paramilitary violence
commonplace
•Security measures
inhibit peacebuilding
efforts
STATUS QUO
 FRAGILITY
 THE ROOT CAUSES OF CONFLICT REMAIN
 VIOLENT OUTBREAKS COUNTINUE
 GRIEVANCES DEEPEN
POSITIVE CHANGE
 TRUST BETWEEN CITIZENS AND STATE REBUILT
 VIOLENT OUTBREAKS ARE ELIMINATED
 ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES FOR YOUNG PEOPLE
 PARAMILITARIES MEMBERSHIP DECRESEAD
 PROLIFERATION OF OPPORTUNITIES TO CHANEL GRIEVANCES
Review of Current Polices and Practices

Expected €1.1 billion

US
US $532
million

2011/
2012 £10.5 bn

EU
$532
million
FACTORS
POLITICAL

FACTORS

Youth Disenfranchisement
Gender Inequality
Legacy of Armed Conflict

ECONOMIC
Youth Unemployment
Economic Stagnation

SECURITY
Youth Vulnerability

SOCIAL
Religious and Ethnic Segregation
Lack of School Integration
Community Identity
CURRENT PRACTICES AND POLICIES
GAPS AND IMPROVEMENTS
 Despite the overwhelming approval of the population, integration on
the primary and secondary educational level hovers around 5-6%
 Cross-communal dialogue has been initiated on the university
level, but doesn’t approach students whose opinions are subject to
change
 Peace education was not implemented
 Issues with the use of EU funds for youth initiatives
 Non-holistic approach is taken
RECOMMENDATIONS

TO THE GOVERNMENT OF NORTHERN
IRELAND

 Request policy in line with public consensus

 Begin slow integration of schools
 Enable schools to fulfill their mandate
 Incorporate peace education into curricula. Invest in new and
innovative curricula
RECOMMENDATIONS

TO THE GOVERNMENT OF NORTHERN IRELAND

 Programs must first and foremost foster in-group communication
 Extra curricular programs that are including youth from both
communities
 Arts and sports can be used as a combining activity to work on
the shared interests as a starting point for a conversation
 Trained in conflict resolution teachers or mediators provide
guidance of these extra curricular activities
RECOMMENDATIONS

TO THE SECURITY APPARATUS

 Rebuilding trust and communication between youth and the
security apparatus by encouraging visits to schools
 Training in youth sensitive approaches to law enforcement are
essential
RECOMMENDATIONS

TO THE EUROPEAN UNION AND THE
INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY

 Coordination of funding resources and enhanced monitoring system
 Accountability of the Government of Northern Ireland by explicit
working reports

 The EU and the international community exercise pressure over the
Government of Northern Ireland for transparency and targeted
implementation
CONCLUSION
 15 years have passed since the ratification of the Belfast
Agreement
 The youth has inherited the conflict and the dynamics
that have characterized Northern Irish society for
generations

 Young people have the greatest capacity to transform
the conflict
 Our recommendations should be considered as a step
towards building sustainable peace
THANK YOU!
Ina G. Wanca
iw359@nyu.edu

Franziska Praxl
fp588@nyu.edu
Steve Cucharo
sc4010@nyu.edu

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TEST

  • 1. Northern Ireland After the Belfast Agreement: A Contemporary Context Assessment  By Ina G. Wanca, Franziska Praxl and Stephen Cucharo
  • 2. Introduction  How did we get here?  Where do we go moving forward?  Why doesn’t peace stick in Northern Ireland?  How did we get here?  Where do we go moving forward?
  • 3. Hypothesis We posit that the youth in Northern Ireland is a significant, yet underutilized capacity for peace. If this untapped capacity is mobilized through educational initiatives, we can better stem the resurgence of violence and prevent the recurrence of the Troubles and possibly put Northern Ireland on a better path for a renewed peace.
  • 4. Literature Review  Youth mobilization as a capacity for peace needs investment and development  Structural issues such as segregation and economic inequalities need to be addressed, and remain part of the root of the problem in Northern Ireland  Despite public consensus educational initiatives haven’t received enough attention  The relationship between the youth population and the Government of Northern Ireland has deteriorated
  • 5. BELFAST AGREEMENT Rights, Safeguards and Equality of Opportunity 12. “The participants particularly recognize that Young people from areas affected by the troubles face particular difficulties and will support the development of special community-based initiatives.. …”[This] will require the allocation of sufficient resources” 13. “An essential aspect of the reconciliation process is the promotion of a culture of tolerance at every level of society, including initiatives to facilitate and encourage integrated education”…
  • 7. FACTORS POLITICAL FACTORS Youth Disenfranchisement Gender Inequality Legacy of Armed Conflict ECONOMIC Youth Unemployment Economic Stagnation SECURITY Youth Vulnerability SOCIAL Religious and Ethnic Segregation Lack of School Integration Community Identity
  • 9. CONTEXT DYNAMICS SOCIO-POLITICAL •Outlet for youth grievances nonexistent INSTITUTIONAL PERFORMANCE •Youth skeptical of Government, Security Sector and CSOs ECONOMIC •Economic stagnation makes youth vulnerable •Segregation inhibits shared narrative •Hostility between communities is omnipresent •Aspects of the Belfast Agreement remain unimplemented •Cross-communal tensions impacted by economics SECURITY •Security forces are perceived as illegitimate and ineffective •Paramilitary violence commonplace •Security measures inhibit peacebuilding efforts
  • 10. STATUS QUO  FRAGILITY  THE ROOT CAUSES OF CONFLICT REMAIN  VIOLENT OUTBREAKS COUNTINUE  GRIEVANCES DEEPEN
  • 11. POSITIVE CHANGE  TRUST BETWEEN CITIZENS AND STATE REBUILT  VIOLENT OUTBREAKS ARE ELIMINATED  ECONOMIC OPPORTUNITIES FOR YOUNG PEOPLE  PARAMILITARIES MEMBERSHIP DECRESEAD  PROLIFERATION OF OPPORTUNITIES TO CHANEL GRIEVANCES
  • 12. Review of Current Polices and Practices Expected €1.1 billion US US $532 million 2011/ 2012 £10.5 bn EU $532 million
  • 13. FACTORS POLITICAL FACTORS Youth Disenfranchisement Gender Inequality Legacy of Armed Conflict ECONOMIC Youth Unemployment Economic Stagnation SECURITY Youth Vulnerability SOCIAL Religious and Ethnic Segregation Lack of School Integration Community Identity
  • 14. CURRENT PRACTICES AND POLICIES GAPS AND IMPROVEMENTS  Despite the overwhelming approval of the population, integration on the primary and secondary educational level hovers around 5-6%  Cross-communal dialogue has been initiated on the university level, but doesn’t approach students whose opinions are subject to change  Peace education was not implemented  Issues with the use of EU funds for youth initiatives  Non-holistic approach is taken
  • 15. RECOMMENDATIONS TO THE GOVERNMENT OF NORTHERN IRELAND  Request policy in line with public consensus  Begin slow integration of schools  Enable schools to fulfill their mandate  Incorporate peace education into curricula. Invest in new and innovative curricula
  • 16. RECOMMENDATIONS TO THE GOVERNMENT OF NORTHERN IRELAND  Programs must first and foremost foster in-group communication  Extra curricular programs that are including youth from both communities  Arts and sports can be used as a combining activity to work on the shared interests as a starting point for a conversation  Trained in conflict resolution teachers or mediators provide guidance of these extra curricular activities
  • 17. RECOMMENDATIONS TO THE SECURITY APPARATUS  Rebuilding trust and communication between youth and the security apparatus by encouraging visits to schools  Training in youth sensitive approaches to law enforcement are essential
  • 18. RECOMMENDATIONS TO THE EUROPEAN UNION AND THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY  Coordination of funding resources and enhanced monitoring system  Accountability of the Government of Northern Ireland by explicit working reports  The EU and the international community exercise pressure over the Government of Northern Ireland for transparency and targeted implementation
  • 19. CONCLUSION  15 years have passed since the ratification of the Belfast Agreement  The youth has inherited the conflict and the dynamics that have characterized Northern Irish society for generations  Young people have the greatest capacity to transform the conflict  Our recommendations should be considered as a step towards building sustainable peace
  • 20. THANK YOU! Ina G. Wanca iw359@nyu.edu Franziska Praxl fp588@nyu.edu Steve Cucharo sc4010@nyu.edu