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Measuring impact:
Understanding pathways to rural transformation
                  A side event of the IFAD Governing Council 2013
Measuring impact:
 Understanding pathways to rural transformation



The Importanceof Measuring the Impact of
  The Importance of Measuring the Impact
     of Development Interventions
         Development Interventions


                Philip Davies PhD
          Head of London Office of 3ie
 [International Initiative for Impact Evaluation]
The Importance of Measuring the Impact of
               Development Interventions

                        Why Evaluate Impact ?
• Effectiveness - ensure that interventions have a positive impact
• Attribution – ensure that the outcomes are the results of (are caused by) the
  intervention
• Efficiency – use scarce public resources to maximum effect (VfM)
• Implementation – ensure that interventions are/can be implemented
  successfully and effectively.
• Service Orientation – ensure we meet citizens’ needs/expectations
• Adaptation – allow policy makers to know when a change of
  policy/different intervention is required
• Accountability - transparency of what is done and why
• Democracy - enhance the democratic process
The Importance of Measuring the Impact of
         Development Interventions


           What Is To Be Evaluated?
• Intervention effectiveness - what works?
• Implementation effectiveness – how/why it works?
• Diversity of effectiveness across different groups –
 what works for whom and when?
• Experiential effectiveness - users’ views
• Resource effectiveness - at what cost/benefit?
The Importance of Measuring the Impact of
              Development Interventions
             The Need to Measure Impact Properly
It is difficult to gauge whether
agricultural interventions improve
the nutritional status of children.
Many studies were conducted on
small samples. Several animal
husbandry and home gardening
studies found no change in the
nutritional status of the children    Source: Massett, E. et al, 2011, A Systematic Review of
                                      Agricultural Interventions That Aim to Improve The
involved. More importantly, the       Nutritional Status of Children, London, EPPI-Centre.

studies reviewed were statistically
unable to identify impact if any
existed.
The Importance of Measuring the Impact of
             Development Interventions

          Key Features of Good Impact Evaluation
• Ask a clear and answerable question
• Have a clear and explicit theory of change
• Have an appropriate comparison/counterfactual
• Have adequate sample sizes, and sufficient statistical power
• Have meaningful outcomes, and data on those outcomes
• Choose the most appropriate evaluation design
• Ensure that the evaluation in undertaken properly
• Check for internal and external validity
• Check for adequacy of reporting and analysis
The Importance of Measuring the Impact of
              Development Interventions

              Types of Impact Evaluation Design
• Randomised Controlled Experiments
  [Allocate the intervention to groups on a random basis]
• Matched Comparison Designs
 [Carefully matched those who get the intervention with those who do not]
• Regression Discontinuity Designs
  [Allocate the intervention on a clearly define basis – check for
  differences post-intervention]
• Difference-in-Difference Designs
  [Accept initial differences between intervention and control group –
  check on the size of the difference post-intervention]
The Importance of Measuring the Impact of
        Development Interventions

Types of Evaluation for Different Policy Questions
The Importance of Measuring the Impact of
       Development Interventions



              Thank you
             Philip Davies
     Email: pdavies@3ieimpact.org
        +44 (0)207 958 8350

        Visit www.3ieimpact.org
The Importance of Measuring the Impact of
       Development Interventions



              Thank you
             Philip Davies
     Email: pdavies@3ieimpact.org
        +44 (0)207 958 8350

        Visit www.3ieimpact.org

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Philip Davies: The importance of measuring the impact of development projects. The perspectives of 3ie.

  • 1. Measuring impact: Understanding pathways to rural transformation A side event of the IFAD Governing Council 2013
  • 2. Measuring impact: Understanding pathways to rural transformation The Importanceof Measuring the Impact of The Importance of Measuring the Impact of Development Interventions Development Interventions Philip Davies PhD Head of London Office of 3ie [International Initiative for Impact Evaluation]
  • 3. The Importance of Measuring the Impact of Development Interventions Why Evaluate Impact ? • Effectiveness - ensure that interventions have a positive impact • Attribution – ensure that the outcomes are the results of (are caused by) the intervention • Efficiency – use scarce public resources to maximum effect (VfM) • Implementation – ensure that interventions are/can be implemented successfully and effectively. • Service Orientation – ensure we meet citizens’ needs/expectations • Adaptation – allow policy makers to know when a change of policy/different intervention is required • Accountability - transparency of what is done and why • Democracy - enhance the democratic process
  • 4. The Importance of Measuring the Impact of Development Interventions What Is To Be Evaluated? • Intervention effectiveness - what works? • Implementation effectiveness – how/why it works? • Diversity of effectiveness across different groups – what works for whom and when? • Experiential effectiveness - users’ views • Resource effectiveness - at what cost/benefit?
  • 5. The Importance of Measuring the Impact of Development Interventions The Need to Measure Impact Properly It is difficult to gauge whether agricultural interventions improve the nutritional status of children. Many studies were conducted on small samples. Several animal husbandry and home gardening studies found no change in the nutritional status of the children Source: Massett, E. et al, 2011, A Systematic Review of Agricultural Interventions That Aim to Improve The involved. More importantly, the Nutritional Status of Children, London, EPPI-Centre. studies reviewed were statistically unable to identify impact if any existed.
  • 6. The Importance of Measuring the Impact of Development Interventions Key Features of Good Impact Evaluation • Ask a clear and answerable question • Have a clear and explicit theory of change • Have an appropriate comparison/counterfactual • Have adequate sample sizes, and sufficient statistical power • Have meaningful outcomes, and data on those outcomes • Choose the most appropriate evaluation design • Ensure that the evaluation in undertaken properly • Check for internal and external validity • Check for adequacy of reporting and analysis
  • 7. The Importance of Measuring the Impact of Development Interventions Types of Impact Evaluation Design • Randomised Controlled Experiments [Allocate the intervention to groups on a random basis] • Matched Comparison Designs [Carefully matched those who get the intervention with those who do not] • Regression Discontinuity Designs [Allocate the intervention on a clearly define basis – check for differences post-intervention] • Difference-in-Difference Designs [Accept initial differences between intervention and control group – check on the size of the difference post-intervention]
  • 8. The Importance of Measuring the Impact of Development Interventions Types of Evaluation for Different Policy Questions
  • 9. The Importance of Measuring the Impact of Development Interventions Thank you Philip Davies Email: pdavies@3ieimpact.org +44 (0)207 958 8350 Visit www.3ieimpact.org
  • 10. The Importance of Measuring the Impact of Development Interventions Thank you Philip Davies Email: pdavies@3ieimpact.org +44 (0)207 958 8350 Visit www.3ieimpact.org