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Betting Method Rules – Online Betting School




Horse racing methods get bad publicity because there is so much junk being peddled. Methods that
promise substantial profits but in real life they are just trash.

Systems sellers and builders fall into three main categories.

1. Cheats: Strong names but I think deserved. These are people who have no affinity with betting
systems but they have discovered that there are a lot of raving fans who would like to make money from
betting.

They spend all of their time crafting the sales letter that will suck in the unsuspecting punter.They know
that however poor the method is that only a tiny percentage will ask for a refund.

2. Idiots: These are people who have found what they think is a profitable method but in fact it turns out
to be just some coincedental wins.

These fools dont understand the problems caused by making a system fit the data available. The fact is
that given any set of data the determined person can find a set of rules that could be applied to that
data that will find enough winners to make a winning system.

Hindsight is 20 20.
3. The Expert: There are of course people who know about researching data, who realise that a factor
found in one set of data needs to be re tested on another different set of data before it can be
considered safe. If you are to buy a betting method then these are the people you should be following.

Here's my step by step plan for creating a workable horse racing system

1. look at lots of past data to find an indicator of winners. Something that looks to be common to a lot of
successes that could maybe become the basis of a method.

2. Hone that idea by adding known sensible filters, things like days since last run (recent runs indicate
that the horse is likely to fit), course and /or distance winners (have proven they can win in that race
type) etc.

If you have a filter that says the horse must have run between 1 to 4 days ago or 10 to 20 days ago (IE
but not 5 to 9) then you are just making your system fit the data.

3. And this is the critical step. Try your completed system on raw data. This is how you know you are on
to something genuine. And if you then adjust it a bit so it looks good on both sets of data then you are
back-fitting again.

The Betting School website is your one stop resource for all things related to UK horse racing and
betting. For horse racing systems goto Horse Racing Systems

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Betting method rules – online betting school

  • 1. Betting Method Rules – Online Betting School Horse racing methods get bad publicity because there is so much junk being peddled. Methods that promise substantial profits but in real life they are just trash. Systems sellers and builders fall into three main categories. 1. Cheats: Strong names but I think deserved. These are people who have no affinity with betting systems but they have discovered that there are a lot of raving fans who would like to make money from betting. They spend all of their time crafting the sales letter that will suck in the unsuspecting punter.They know that however poor the method is that only a tiny percentage will ask for a refund. 2. Idiots: These are people who have found what they think is a profitable method but in fact it turns out to be just some coincedental wins. These fools dont understand the problems caused by making a system fit the data available. The fact is that given any set of data the determined person can find a set of rules that could be applied to that data that will find enough winners to make a winning system. Hindsight is 20 20.
  • 2. 3. The Expert: There are of course people who know about researching data, who realise that a factor found in one set of data needs to be re tested on another different set of data before it can be considered safe. If you are to buy a betting method then these are the people you should be following. Here's my step by step plan for creating a workable horse racing system 1. look at lots of past data to find an indicator of winners. Something that looks to be common to a lot of successes that could maybe become the basis of a method. 2. Hone that idea by adding known sensible filters, things like days since last run (recent runs indicate that the horse is likely to fit), course and /or distance winners (have proven they can win in that race type) etc. If you have a filter that says the horse must have run between 1 to 4 days ago or 10 to 20 days ago (IE but not 5 to 9) then you are just making your system fit the data. 3. And this is the critical step. Try your completed system on raw data. This is how you know you are on to something genuine. And if you then adjust it a bit so it looks good on both sets of data then you are back-fitting again. The Betting School website is your one stop resource for all things related to UK horse racing and betting. For horse racing systems goto Horse Racing Systems