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By –
Hitendrasinh Zala
Ketan Changani
Ruchi Gattani
Shoaib Qureshi
Vishal Bhatnagar
Overview of Crisis
 The Asian financial crisis is considered to have started on July
    2, 1997 with the devaluation of the Thai baht and ask IMF for
    assistance.
   Malaysia blames the speculators on July 14
   Philippines seek assistance form IMF
   Indonesia floats on August 14, go to the IMF on October 8
   Global stock market decline on October 27
   S. Korea devalue Nov. 28 and ask for IMF assistance
   Spread over other Asia countries
Causes
 Poor Regulation of the Economy


 Over-Inflated Asset Prices


 Macroeconomic Policy: Fixed Exchange Rates
History
 The reason for economic growth in Southeast Asian countries
  was the high interest rates on investments they offered

 USA came out of recession & started offering high investment
  rates which made them the new destination for investments
History
 China reformed its export policies


 The Southeast Asian countries growth was majorly due to
  investments & not the actual growth
Impact of the Crisis
 Negative ‘wealth effect’ on investors across the world  Falls
  in Equity Markets

 International Trade: break on the growth of exports from the
  major economies .5% of GDP in Japan, 1½% of GDP in Europe
  and 3% in the US

 Import side prices slashed

 Foreign Direct Investment: cut back severely

 Economic Growth: constant downward revision of economic
  growth forecasts
Bubble Theory
• Bubble fueled by "hot money”

• More and more was required as the size of the bubble grew

• Short-term capital flow was expensive and often highly
  conditioned for quick profit

• Development money went in a largely uncontrolled manner to
  people closest to the political power
Preventing Future Crisis
 Universal tax on currency transactions to deter speculation
  by the markets

 Improve global regulation, which would involve the IMF, the
  World Bank and other regulators

 Creating a process of active and transparent surveillance of
  borrowing nations
Preventing Future Crisis
 Creating a Code of Best Practice on social policy issues, so
  that financial crises, if they do occur, do not result in
  disproportionate increases in poverty within developing
  countries

 Enhancing regional surveillance: ASEAN

 The provision of fuller economic and financial information to
  the public by governments, financial institutions, and
  corporations
Conclusion
 Globalization is a two-edged sword


 Poor corporate governance & inadequate financial system
  supervision build vulnerabilities

 To avoid any further mishaps we need,
    Increased international cooperation in monitoring
    Sharing of information
    Early Warning System
Queries
THANK YOU

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Asian crises 1997

  • 1. By – Hitendrasinh Zala Ketan Changani Ruchi Gattani Shoaib Qureshi Vishal Bhatnagar
  • 2. Overview of Crisis  The Asian financial crisis is considered to have started on July 2, 1997 with the devaluation of the Thai baht and ask IMF for assistance.  Malaysia blames the speculators on July 14  Philippines seek assistance form IMF  Indonesia floats on August 14, go to the IMF on October 8  Global stock market decline on October 27  S. Korea devalue Nov. 28 and ask for IMF assistance  Spread over other Asia countries
  • 3. Causes  Poor Regulation of the Economy  Over-Inflated Asset Prices  Macroeconomic Policy: Fixed Exchange Rates
  • 4. History  The reason for economic growth in Southeast Asian countries was the high interest rates on investments they offered  USA came out of recession & started offering high investment rates which made them the new destination for investments
  • 5. History  China reformed its export policies  The Southeast Asian countries growth was majorly due to investments & not the actual growth
  • 6. Impact of the Crisis  Negative ‘wealth effect’ on investors across the world  Falls in Equity Markets  International Trade: break on the growth of exports from the major economies .5% of GDP in Japan, 1½% of GDP in Europe and 3% in the US  Import side prices slashed  Foreign Direct Investment: cut back severely  Economic Growth: constant downward revision of economic growth forecasts
  • 7. Bubble Theory • Bubble fueled by "hot money” • More and more was required as the size of the bubble grew • Short-term capital flow was expensive and often highly conditioned for quick profit • Development money went in a largely uncontrolled manner to people closest to the political power
  • 8. Preventing Future Crisis  Universal tax on currency transactions to deter speculation by the markets  Improve global regulation, which would involve the IMF, the World Bank and other regulators  Creating a process of active and transparent surveillance of borrowing nations
  • 9. Preventing Future Crisis  Creating a Code of Best Practice on social policy issues, so that financial crises, if they do occur, do not result in disproportionate increases in poverty within developing countries  Enhancing regional surveillance: ASEAN  The provision of fuller economic and financial information to the public by governments, financial institutions, and corporations
  • 10. Conclusion  Globalization is a two-edged sword  Poor corporate governance & inadequate financial system supervision build vulnerabilities  To avoid any further mishaps we need,  Increased international cooperation in monitoring  Sharing of information  Early Warning System
  • 11.