Making Money with Music
  when the copy is ‘free’
    by Gerd Leonhard
                        ‣ Futurist
www.mediafuturis...
My job is to understand
things and develop ideas
      for my clients.
So what is the new framework (1)
So what is the new framework (2)
So what is the new framework (3)
Enormous Value Shifts
             Sales, Distribution & Marketing Costs
             Content Ceration Costs
   Traditiona...
We must urgently divorce ourselves from
the old shapes of music delivery, and from
 looking at the distribution of music a...
If distribution is indeed
uncontrollable we will need
   to legalize, bundle and
integrate it - all else will fail
Experience

Embodiment

Access
Experience

Embodiment
Access
From Copy to
Access + + +
From Product
 to Service
We don’t pay to eat all the food... we pay for access
The irreversible shift in Content Perception
                                   Co
                     m munity   Con
   ...
The past: revenues based on Controlling Distribution
The Future: Revenues based on
    Converting Attention
                          Open

                 Mobile
           ...
Content Commerce 2.0:
 don’t try to sell what is
Ubiquitous - sell what is

  Scarce
               Source:
           Rea...
Content owners can’t, shouldn’t and
      don’t have to compete with Free Copies
Instead, content owners can compete with:...
Content Futures: where is the value?
  Content
  Context
  Curation                        5%
  Timeliness                ...
The Success Formula:
Content + Context + Connectivity -
Community + Convenience + + +
Why I have spend $1000+ on iStockphoto




• Good quality images
• Finding the right photo is quick and easy
• The rights ...
Direct, immediate, certified, personal content delivery

How much of a premium would you pay to
receive the new song the v...
Relevant, customizable, time-saving Curation
How much of a premium would you pay to
get the 50 best chapters from the 50 b...
Bundling music services within Social Networks
How much of a premium would you pay to
   have instant sharing of your peer...
Attractive, unique, premium Packaging
  How much of a premium would you pay to
have your preferred content uniquely availa...
Music Pricing Futures
      Price of legal copy’
      Number of legal, known, engaged Users
      Premium Buyers (i.e. co...
Getting Paid for Creation *Hat tip to Shelly Palmer
    3rd party
      pays
                              You
           ...
We must get much better at these 2 things:



                           3rd
                          Party
             ...
A fact: flat rates and bundles often work best
Getting the vortex to spin...




Upstream Downstream

                                Source: STLPartners /
             ...
Upstream Revenue
       Opportunities: Some Examples
• High-Definition Content (Classical, Jazz, Concerts...)
• Concert do...
New Packages and
providing new Experiences
will be the Key to Success
Rights holders and content owners now
       have the choice between:
A) The Illusion of Control - and
      declining Rev...
Content Futures: Copy $ down, Attention $$ up
             Copy Based Revenues    Attention Based Revenues

10.0




 7.5
...
Attention-based revenues...???

• Provide value for up-stream
  entities and related providers
• All kinds of Up-selling
•...
Attention Transfer is $$ Osmosis
The Mission: Converting Attraction into Real $
Please: forget most of what you know about Advertising
Yes, there is serious $$ in Advertising
• ~ $ 900 Billion USD Global
  Advertising Spend in 2012
• 30-50% shifting to digital
  media / interactive / mobile
• Opt...
Why Google is willing to ‘pay’ for music
              - in China




Why ISPs will be willing to ‘pay’ for music
The next music format is... Software
Such as
The Music 2.0 Model           Business Models
                        Business Models
  Business Models




              ...
The Mobile & Social
‘Consumption’ of Music is the
   #1 Growth Opportunity
Deep Collaboration with
Telecoms & Operators is...
But: the content pricing & licensing
issues cannot be solved without the solid
   engagement of Telecoms, ISPs and
  Opera...
We urgently need either a
  voluntary, collective license
proposal by the rights-holders,
or legislation that legalizes an...
Just like...
Telecom         Advertising
                  (2.0)

Public, open and standardized
  Content Licenses
                 Soc...
The creation of a new Music Ecosystem
         TV                Telecom


                          Advertising

Internet...
Step 1: Permission
Step 2: Lubrication
Step 3: Collaboration
Step 4: Co-Creation of new
     Business Models
Thanks for your time




email me at gerd@mediafuturist.com
 twitter.com/gleonhard
  facebook: gleonhard
  more presentati...
Making money with music when the copy is 'free'
Making money with music when the copy is 'free'
Making money with music when the copy is 'free'
Making money with music when the copy is 'free'
Making money with music when the copy is 'free'
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Making money with music when the copy is 'free'

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So these were some of the topics I talked about: 1) What is this new framework for the music industry - which facts and trends do we need to consider? 2) What are the key value shifts (pricing, and access versus copy), and what do they mean? 3) Why we need that 'new social contract' and thereby legalize digital music (and the discussion of the proposed digital music license) 4) The new logic of bundled access, embodiment and experience, and the need for a new 'pool of money' (to quote Jim Griffin) 5) The irreversible shift in the perception of 'copies' of content 6) Future revenues based on Attention 7) Why the future is not in selling what is abundant but what is scarce 8) Why content creators and rights-holders do not compete with free ... and much more fun stuff;) Enjoy

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Making money with music when the copy is 'free'

  1. 1. Making Money with Music when the copy is ‘free’ by Gerd Leonhard ‣ Futurist www.mediafuturist.com ‣ Strategist twitter.com/gleonhard ‣ Author & Blogger
  2. 2. My job is to understand things and develop ideas for my clients.
  3. 3. So what is the new framework (1)
  4. 4. So what is the new framework (2)
  5. 5. So what is the new framework (3)
  6. 6. Enormous Value Shifts Sales, Distribution & Marketing Costs Content Ceration Costs Traditional, Offline Content Revenues Revenues of Offline Content Formats & Models simply moved Online Potential Revenues of Web-Native Content Formats & Models 10 7.5 5 2.5
  7. 7. We must urgently divorce ourselves from the old shapes of music delivery, and from looking at the distribution of music as the most important money maker. “A new Social Contract”
  8. 8. If distribution is indeed uncontrollable we will need to legalize, bundle and integrate it - all else will fail
  9. 9. Experience Embodiment Access
  10. 10. Experience Embodiment Access
  11. 11. From Copy to Access + + + From Product to Service
  12. 12. We don’t pay to eat all the food... we pay for access
  13. 13. The irreversible shift in Content Perception Co m munity Con nv en Co ien Interface text ce Content Timeliness Curation Content
  14. 14. The past: revenues based on Controlling Distribution
  15. 15. The Future: Revenues based on Converting Attention Open Mobile Social ‘Free’
  16. 16. Content Commerce 2.0: don’t try to sell what is Ubiquitous - sell what is Scarce Source: ReadWriteWeb.com
  17. 17. Content owners can’t, shouldn’t and don’t have to compete with Free Copies Instead, content owners can compete with: Authenticity Unique experiences Added Values Packaging and Embodiment Timeliness (Real-Time) Curation Context Personalization & Customization Web-Native Values
  18. 18. Content Futures: where is the value? Content Context Curation 5% Timeliness 20% Embodiment / Packaging 15% Relevance Others 15% 15% 10% 20% 100% Content / Copy
  19. 19. The Success Formula: Content + Context + Connectivity - Community + Convenience + + +
  20. 20. Why I have spend $1000+ on iStockphoto • Good quality images • Finding the right photo is quick and easy • The rights (licenses) are cleared • The price is right (well... mostly) • I don’t pay just for the content - I pay for ease of use, peace of mind, the interface, service & curation...!
  21. 21. Direct, immediate, certified, personal content delivery How much of a premium would you pay to receive the new song the very moment it is finished, from the creator, himself, certified, personalized... guaranteed?
  22. 22. Relevant, customizable, time-saving Curation How much of a premium would you pay to get the 50 best chapters from the 50 best business books, in a single new eBook?
  23. 23. Bundling music services within Social Networks How much of a premium would you pay to have instant sharing of your peers’ playlists and favorites build-into your mobile, your TV, your car-radio...?
  24. 24. Attractive, unique, premium Packaging How much of a premium would you pay to have your preferred content uniquely available on your favorite mobile device, at all times?
  25. 25. Music Pricing Futures Price of legal copy’ Number of legal, known, engaged Users Premium Buyers (i.e. converted users) 100 75 50 25 0 Was Will be
  26. 26. Getting Paid for Creation *Hat tip to Shelly Palmer 3rd party pays You pay You I pay pay 3rd party I pay I pay pays 3rd party pays
  27. 27. We must get much better at these 2 things: 3rd Party Pays
  28. 28. A fact: flat rates and bundles often work best
  29. 29. Getting the vortex to spin... Upstream Downstream Source: STLPartners / Telco20.net
  30. 30. Upstream Revenue Opportunities: Some Examples • High-Definition Content (Classical, Jazz, Concerts...) • Concert downloads (after attendance, or without) • Virtual concerts, events, clubs • Virtual goods (e.g. wallpaper, icons, greetings etc) • Fan packages (direct connection to artists, pre- releases, customized editions, special privileges etc) • Special products 2.0: compilations, audio-video packages (see SoundWalk), mobile applications etc • Next-generation physical products (e.g. 2 TB interactive & connected DVD+) • Custom-made, on-demand merchandising (see Nike+) • Many more that are yet to be invented...
  31. 31. New Packages and providing new Experiences will be the Key to Success
  32. 32. Rights holders and content owners now have the choice between: A) The Illusion of Control - and declining Revenues B) ‘Open’ - and new Revenues
  33. 33. Content Futures: Copy $ down, Attention $$ up Copy Based Revenues Attention Based Revenues 10.0 7.5 5.0 2.5 0 Was Is Soon Near Future Mid-term Future
  34. 34. Attention-based revenues...??? • Provide value for up-stream entities and related providers • All kinds of Up-selling • Attention-Transfer (aka Advertising) • Crowd-funding of new productions
  35. 35. Attention Transfer is $$ Osmosis
  36. 36. The Mission: Converting Attraction into Real $
  37. 37. Please: forget most of what you know about Advertising
  38. 38. Yes, there is serious $$ in Advertising
  39. 39. • ~ $ 900 Billion USD Global Advertising Spend in 2012 • 30-50% shifting to digital media / interactive / mobile • Opt-in, personalized, targeted Advertising = Content
  40. 40. Why Google is willing to ‘pay’ for music - in China Why ISPs will be willing to ‘pay’ for music
  41. 41. The next music format is... Software
  42. 42. Such as
  43. 43. The Music 2.0 Model Business Models Business Models Business Models Artist / Creator
  44. 44. The Mobile & Social ‘Consumption’ of Music is the #1 Growth Opportunity Deep Collaboration with Telecoms & Operators is the #1 Mission for the Music Industry
  45. 45. But: the content pricing & licensing issues cannot be solved without the solid engagement of Telecoms, ISPs and Operators (as well as the Advertisers)
  46. 46. We urgently need either a voluntary, collective license proposal by the rights-holders, or legislation that legalizes and monetizes the use of Music on the Internet. Image: TelecomTV
  47. 47. Just like...
  48. 48. Telecom Advertising (2.0) Public, open and standardized Content Licenses Social Networks Source: Techcrunch UK
  49. 49. The creation of a new Music Ecosystem TV Telecom Advertising Internet Mobile Media
  50. 50. Step 1: Permission Step 2: Lubrication Step 3: Collaboration Step 4: Co-Creation of new Business Models
  51. 51. Thanks for your time email me at gerd@mediafuturist.com twitter.com/gleonhard facebook: gleonhard more presentations at www.mediafuturist.com
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