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Non-Line-of-Site (NLoS) Backhaul.

                                  Really?

                                                Elias Aravantinos
                                                   Senior Analyst
                                        elias@maravedis-bwa.com
                                                       4G World
                                               October 24th, 2011
BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE
                                            © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc.
www.maravedis-bwa.com
Agenda
   About Maravedis
   LTE deployment Trends
   NLOS Backhaul
   Conclusions


BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE
                                      2   © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc.
www.maravedis-bwa.com
SYNDICATED     • In-depth market reports based on primary research and analysis
                    RESEARCH      • 4G Digest


                                  • 4GCounts.com Operator Tracking & Analysis Service
                    ONGOING       • 4Ggear: the WIMAX & LTE Equipment Analysis Service
                   RESEARCH       • Backhaul Service
                                  • 4G Forecasts
                                  • ClearSpectrum.com Broadband Wireless Licensing & Technical Database
                   CUSTOM
                  CONSULTING      • Past clients include: Industry Canada, Rogers Wireless, Motorola


                    ADVISORY
                    SERVICES      • Extend enquiry of half-day or full day on client specific requirement




                     MEDIA        • Reach 29,000 subscribers with our bi-weekly newsletter, 4G Digest
                   SOLUTIONS      • Produce a live webinar series featuring our latest statistics, analysis &
                                  market forecasts for clients only




BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE
                                                          3    © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc.
www.maravedis-bwa.com
Agenda
   About Maravedis
   LTE Deployment Trends
   The Need for Small Cells
   NLOS Backhaul
   Conclusions

BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE
                                      4   © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc.
www.maravedis-bwa.com
LTE Deployment
                                                  27 commercial LTE networks
                                                          Q3 2011
                   206                              1. Telekom Austria
               LTE Commitments                      2. Omnitel – Lithuania
                   Q3 2011                          3. NetCom – Norway
                                                    4. Smart – Philippines
                                                    5. Mobyland – Poland
                                                    6. TeliaSonera – Denmark
                                                    7. EMT – Estonia
         23                      183
                                                    8. Elisa – Finland
                                                    9. Sonera – Finland
        TD-LTE                   FDD-LTE            10. Telenor – Sweden
                                                    11. Tele2 – Sweden
                                                    12. TeliaSonera – Sweden
    .                                               13. Deutsche Telekom – Germany
        LTE commercial deployments                  14. Vodafone – Germany
                                                    15. CSL (Telstra) – Hong Kong
                                       164          16. MetroPCS – USA
                                                    17. Verizon Wireless – USA
                                                    18. NTT Docomo – Japan
                             61                     19. Mobile Telesystems – Uzbekistan
                                                    20. Ucel l – Uz bekistan
           2        16                              21. AT&T – United Sates
                                                    22. Telstra – Australia
          2009      2010    2011       2012         23. Rogers Wireless – Canada
                                                    24. O2 – Germany
                                                    25. LG U+ - South Korea
   Source: Maravedis 4G Forecast Service 2011       26. M1 – Singapore
                                                    27. LMT - Latvia
BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE
                                                © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc.
www.maravedis-bwa.com
                                                          Source: GSA.com
Non-Line-of-Site (NLoS) Backhaul.
                        Really?

                                  Oh YEAH!




BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE
                                       6   © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc.
www.maravedis-bwa.com
Agenda
   About Maravedis
   LTE Depolyment Trends
   NLOS Backhaul
   Conclusions


BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE
                                      7   © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc.
www.maravedis-bwa.com
Small Cell Backhaul
 Small cells’ main challenges
    Mounting.
    Power supply.
    Backhaul.
        Fiber not available everywhere.
        Wireless.

 Wireless backhaul requirements
        Buildings, braches of trees           Non-line of sight
        5 - 10 small cells / macrocell        Low spectrum cost
                                               Compact equipment
        Aesthetically acceptable
                                               Proper budgeting
BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE
                                           8    © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc.
www.maravedis-bwa.com
NLOS Backhaul
          Non-line of sight       OFDM’s inherent advantage
          Low spectrum cost       Vacant TDD spectrum in 2.x / 3.x GHz
          Compact equipment       Fixed WiMAX all-outdoor radios

   1st Generation NLOS                       • 2nd Generation NLOS
       PmP topology
                                              Single hub improvements
         Up to 4 hubs per macrocell.             20 MHz channels.
         One remote per small cell.              MIMO 4x2.
         4-6 remotes per hub                 • Site improvements
       Channel width: 10 MHz
                                                  o Interference management.
       MIMO 2x2                                  o Frequency reuse patterns.
       Adaptive QPSK to 256QAM
         60 Mbps downlink
         30 Mbps uplink                           Up to 200 Mbps
                                                 aggregate per remote
BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE
                                          9    © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc.
www.maravedis-bwa.com
NLOS vs. 60 GHz
                                         NLOS                          60 GHz
              Topology                   PmP                             Mesh
           Equipment Size             25 x 25 cm                     12 x 12 cm
          Type of Spectrum             Licensed                      Unlicensed
         Spectrum Available          10 – 80 MHz                        7 GHz
             Link Range                   2km                           500 m
            Throughput              500 Mbps (hub)                     1 Gbps
                                                               External interference
             Limitation           Internal interference
                                                               Cummulative latency
             Ecosystem                   Ready                       Developing


              TDD Spectrum availability                            Network topology

BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE
                                                   10     © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc.
www.maravedis-bwa.com
Small Cell Market Forecast
                                                                             Annual Pico Cell Revenue
                                                                                   2011 - 2016
                                                       $7.000
 Small cell-market




                                    Pico base station Revenues
                                                       $6.000

   Uptake expected                                    $5.000                                            Annual
                                                       $4.000                                            Carrier Pico
   Price erosion




                                             (million)
                                                       $3.000                                            Cells
                                                                                                         Revenue
   Carrier pico cells based on                        $2.000
                                                       $1.000
                                                                                                         (Optimistic)

     macro cell technology                                         $0
                                                                        2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
    Carrier metro cells based on
     femto cell technology                                                  NLOS Equipment Revenue ($)
                                                                  200
                                                                  180
 NLOS backhaul                                                   160
   Time to market advantage                                      140
                                                                  120
   over 60 GHz.                                                   100
                                                                   80
    Future expansion limited by:                                  60
      Spectrum availability.                                      40
                                                                   20
      Competition with TD-LTE.                                     0
BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE                                          2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
www.maravedis-bwa.com                                            Source: © Copyright All Rights
                                                                   11 Maravedis Research Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc.
Agenda
   About Maravedis
   TDD Access Trends
   The Need for Small Cells
   NLOS Backhaul
   Conclusions

BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE
                                      12   © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc.
www.maravedis-bwa.com
Conclusions
        LTE deployments will boost small cells growth.

    NLOS backhaul
      Suitable for LTE small cell backhaul
      WiMAX, 802.11n could be modified effectively
      Limited by
          Spectrum availability.
          TDD access competition.
        Will be complemented by 60 GHz backhaul.




BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE
                                          13   © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc.
www.maravedis-bwa.com
Contact Information
                         410 rue des Recollets, Suite 301
                         Montreal, QC,
                         H2Y 1W2
                         CANADA

                          
                        (305) 992-3196

                        (514) 313-5465

                        info@maravedis-bwa.com

                        www.maravedis-bwa.com




BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE
                                               14   © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc.
www.maravedis-bwa.com

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Maravedis@4Gworld, Backhaul summit, NLOS session

  • 1. Non-Line-of-Site (NLoS) Backhaul. Really? Elias Aravantinos Senior Analyst elias@maravedis-bwa.com 4G World October 24th, 2011 BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc. www.maravedis-bwa.com
  • 2. Agenda About Maravedis LTE deployment Trends NLOS Backhaul Conclusions BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE 2 © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc. www.maravedis-bwa.com
  • 3. SYNDICATED • In-depth market reports based on primary research and analysis RESEARCH • 4G Digest • 4GCounts.com Operator Tracking & Analysis Service ONGOING • 4Ggear: the WIMAX & LTE Equipment Analysis Service RESEARCH • Backhaul Service • 4G Forecasts • ClearSpectrum.com Broadband Wireless Licensing & Technical Database CUSTOM CONSULTING • Past clients include: Industry Canada, Rogers Wireless, Motorola ADVISORY SERVICES • Extend enquiry of half-day or full day on client specific requirement MEDIA • Reach 29,000 subscribers with our bi-weekly newsletter, 4G Digest SOLUTIONS • Produce a live webinar series featuring our latest statistics, analysis & market forecasts for clients only BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE 3 © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc. www.maravedis-bwa.com
  • 4. Agenda About Maravedis LTE Deployment Trends The Need for Small Cells NLOS Backhaul Conclusions BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE 4 © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc. www.maravedis-bwa.com
  • 5. LTE Deployment 27 commercial LTE networks Q3 2011 206 1. Telekom Austria LTE Commitments 2. Omnitel – Lithuania Q3 2011 3. NetCom – Norway 4. Smart – Philippines 5. Mobyland – Poland 6. TeliaSonera – Denmark 7. EMT – Estonia 23 183 8. Elisa – Finland 9. Sonera – Finland TD-LTE FDD-LTE 10. Telenor – Sweden 11. Tele2 – Sweden 12. TeliaSonera – Sweden . 13. Deutsche Telekom – Germany LTE commercial deployments 14. Vodafone – Germany 15. CSL (Telstra) – Hong Kong 164 16. MetroPCS – USA 17. Verizon Wireless – USA 18. NTT Docomo – Japan 61 19. Mobile Telesystems – Uzbekistan 20. Ucel l – Uz bekistan 2 16 21. AT&T – United Sates 22. Telstra – Australia 2009 2010 2011 2012 23. Rogers Wireless – Canada 24. O2 – Germany 25. LG U+ - South Korea Source: Maravedis 4G Forecast Service 2011 26. M1 – Singapore 27. LMT - Latvia BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc. www.maravedis-bwa.com Source: GSA.com
  • 6. Non-Line-of-Site (NLoS) Backhaul. Really? Oh YEAH! BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE 6 © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc. www.maravedis-bwa.com
  • 7. Agenda About Maravedis LTE Depolyment Trends NLOS Backhaul Conclusions BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE 7 © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc. www.maravedis-bwa.com
  • 8. Small Cell Backhaul  Small cells’ main challenges  Mounting.  Power supply.  Backhaul.  Fiber not available everywhere.  Wireless.  Wireless backhaul requirements  Buildings, braches of trees Non-line of sight  5 - 10 small cells / macrocell Low spectrum cost Compact equipment  Aesthetically acceptable Proper budgeting BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE 8 © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc. www.maravedis-bwa.com
  • 9. NLOS Backhaul Non-line of sight OFDM’s inherent advantage Low spectrum cost Vacant TDD spectrum in 2.x / 3.x GHz Compact equipment Fixed WiMAX all-outdoor radios  1st Generation NLOS • 2nd Generation NLOS  PmP topology Single hub improvements  Up to 4 hubs per macrocell. 20 MHz channels.  One remote per small cell. MIMO 4x2.  4-6 remotes per hub • Site improvements  Channel width: 10 MHz o Interference management.  MIMO 2x2 o Frequency reuse patterns.  Adaptive QPSK to 256QAM  60 Mbps downlink  30 Mbps uplink Up to 200 Mbps aggregate per remote BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE 9 © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc. www.maravedis-bwa.com
  • 10. NLOS vs. 60 GHz NLOS 60 GHz Topology PmP Mesh Equipment Size 25 x 25 cm 12 x 12 cm Type of Spectrum Licensed Unlicensed Spectrum Available 10 – 80 MHz 7 GHz Link Range 2km 500 m Throughput 500 Mbps (hub) 1 Gbps External interference Limitation Internal interference Cummulative latency Ecosystem Ready Developing TDD Spectrum availability Network topology BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE 10 © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc. www.maravedis-bwa.com
  • 11. Small Cell Market Forecast Annual Pico Cell Revenue 2011 - 2016 $7.000  Small cell-market Pico base station Revenues $6.000  Uptake expected $5.000 Annual $4.000 Carrier Pico  Price erosion (million) $3.000 Cells Revenue  Carrier pico cells based on $2.000 $1.000 (Optimistic) macro cell technology $0 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016  Carrier metro cells based on femto cell technology NLOS Equipment Revenue ($) 200 180  NLOS backhaul 160  Time to market advantage 140 120 over 60 GHz. 100 80  Future expansion limited by: 60  Spectrum availability. 40 20  Competition with TD-LTE. 0 BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 www.maravedis-bwa.com Source: © Copyright All Rights 11 Maravedis Research Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc.
  • 12. Agenda About Maravedis TDD Access Trends The Need for Small Cells NLOS Backhaul Conclusions BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE 12 © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc. www.maravedis-bwa.com
  • 13. Conclusions  LTE deployments will boost small cells growth.  NLOS backhaul  Suitable for LTE small cell backhaul  WiMAX, 802.11n could be modified effectively  Limited by  Spectrum availability.  TDD access competition.  Will be complemented by 60 GHz backhaul. BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE 13 © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc. www.maravedis-bwa.com
  • 14. Contact Information 410 rue des Recollets, Suite 301 Montreal, QC, H2Y 1W2 CANADA   (305) 992-3196 (514) 313-5465 info@maravedis-bwa.com www.maravedis-bwa.com BROADBAND WIRELESS INTELLIGENCE 14 © Copyright All Rights Reserved 2011 Maravedis Inc. www.maravedis-bwa.com