3. The last decade of mobile industry
Are you ready for the data opportunity?
4. 1 Adoption follows Availability
4932% data growth after WCDMA moved to HSPA.
5. 2 Continued trends in new 4G Networks
CLEARWIRE – 7 Gig Average YOTA – 10 Gig average
The average data consumption has surpassed 10 Gigabytes
in new 4G wimax networks , beating predictions
6. 3 Data surpassing all projections
CISCO Predicted in 2009 Measured Data in 2009
Average User Consumption
30.0 3
20.0 2 15
10.0 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 10
11.4
3.1 4.7 6.8 10.0 15 23 5 10 7
0.0 0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Cisco VNI Yota Clearwire
3Q 1009
•Global Average in 2009 : 3.1 GB/Mo • Measured with Collaboration of
top 20 operators : 11.4 Gigs
•Global Average in 2010 : 4.7 GB/Mo
• Adoption follows availability : 10 Gigs
•Global Average in 2015 : 23 GB/Mo average in new WiMAX RAN in Russia
For all practical purpose data is surpassing all predictions carried earlier
and we can expect it to double every year by next decade.
7. 4 Preparing for humongous data growth
Projected data Growth in internet
Projected Growth in handset market
centric devices(Laptops)
30
200
180 25
160
140 20
GB/Mo
120
GB/Mo
15
100
80
10
60
40 5
20
0 0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Axis Title Axis Title
IMT published , average Data from mobile Handsets
mobile internet connection ( 4G smart phones) will
(internet centric devices generate 25 Gigabytes of
, like laptops) will generate traffic by 2020 as per IMT.
171.7 Gigabytes of traffic by
2020.*
8. 5 Applications driving usage
Average Iphone user in US .4 to .5 GB/Mo
Watch a DVD quality Movies 1 to 2 GB
Listen internet Radio 30 min/day .5 to 1 Gig/Mo
Download Music .5 to 1 Gig/Mo
Watch 30 Min You Tube 5-6 to GB/Mo
Upload Video to Face book 1 GB
Sync 10X photos with Flickr 2-3 GB
Video, social networking, and collaboration is generating
most of the monthly user traffic
9. 6 Social drives media explosion
FaceBook
- 20bn photos online, 2bn added per month
- 1bn links to video added per week
- 1.2m photos viewed per second
- 217m videos per month Individuals like sharing their media online
Flickr
- 4bn shared photos
- 0.5bn new per month
Facebook has an estimated 25 billion
pictures, or about ~80 pictures per member
MySpace
- 90GB of music, pictures,
- video per second
31
24
YouTube 16
-1bn Videos viewed per day
-PhotoBucket Share photos on Share Photos Share Video
- 6.2bn photos shared social networks on other sites
10. 7
4 Video driving internet data consumption
Video 66% of the total traffic by 2014
4,000,000
3,500,000 Web/Data
3,000,000
VoIP
2,500,000
Gaming
2,000,000
P2P
1,500,000
Video
1,000,000
500,000
0
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
P2P traffic is still growing in absolute terms but ,Video is
growing at a CAGR of 131 percent.
11. 8 Old friends : Busy hour and Top 10 % consumers
Top 10 % consumes 60% of the internet bandwidth and
busy hour traffic is 1.6 times
12. 9 Devices driving consumption
A Smart phone generates as much as traffic of 30 basic phones
One laptop generates as much as traffic of 450 basic phone
Almost 80% of the traffic by 2013 will be generated by devices which are
3G and above. Half of the traffic will be from laptops/Netbooks.
13. Section 1 Summary
• Mobile data will roughly double every year by
2020.
• Operators will have to plan their access
strategies consistent with the growth
projections.
• I would say , “Opportunity filled with
challenge”
18. Understanding WiMAX Releases
WiMAX 1 WiMAX 1.5 WiMAX 2
Release 1.0 PHY Features Release 1.5 PHY Features Release 2 PHY Features
● Scalable-OFDMA ● TDD, FDD, HD-FDD ● Channel BW
● TDD ● 700 MHz/2 GHz, ● 5 to 20 MHz, 40 MHz (optional)
● 2.3/2.5/3.4/3.8 GHz ● Chan BW: 3.5 to 20 MHz (optional) ● Up 100 MHz with channel
● Chan BW: 5 to10 MHz ● DL Chan Data Rate aggregation
● Peak 144 Mbps ● DL Chan Data Rate
DL Chan Data Rate
● Avg SE: 1.6 bps/Hz ● Peak: 160 Mbps for 20 MHz BW, 2x2
● Peak: 46 Mbps (2x2) MIMO MIMO, Up to 1000 Mbps with
● UL Chan Data Rate
● Avg SE: 1.3 bps/Hz channel aggregation
● Peak: 138 Mbps
UL Chan Data Rate ● Avg SE: >2.6 bps/Hz (2x2) MIMO
● Avg SE: 1.0 bps/Hz
● Peak: 14 Mbps (1x2) SIMO ● UL Chan Data Rate
● VoIP: >35 sessions/MHz
● Avg SE: 0.7 bps/Hz ● Avg SE: >1.3 bps/Hz
● AAS
VoIP Efficiency (DL/UL=1) ● AAS
● DL Closed & Open Loop MIMO
● 25 simultaneous sessions/MHz with AMC ● DL: (4x4), (8x8)
AAS ● UL Open Loop STC/SM MIMO with ● UL: (1x4), (2x4), (4x4)
● DL: (1x2),(2x2),(4x2) AMC & PUSC ● Flexible Frequency Re-use
● UL: (1x2) ● Increased VoIP capacity
Source: WiMAX Forum
18
19. WiMAX Release : Network Features
Mobile WiMAX Release 1
WiMAX 1/1.5 WiMAX 2
Evolution of MAC/Network Features in WiMAX
Network R1.0 Features Network R1.5 Features Network R1.6 Features (to be Network Release 2
(Completed) completed by 1Q2 010) Features
(Completed) ● IPv6
● ASN anchored mobility, ● Persistent scheduling for ● Femtocell
(to be completed by
3ASN profiles reduced MAC OH 1Q2011)
● CSN anchored mobility ● Seamless handover ● ETS
● Reduced Latency
● (CMIP, PMIP) ● Load Balancing ● Multi-hop relays
● IPv4 & optional IPv6 ● Services ● Self-organizing capability
Connectivity ● GPS & non-GPS (SON)
● Idle mode and paging Location ● Services
● EAP-based authentication based services ● Enhanced VoIP support
● DSL, 3GPP and 3GPP2 ● Enhanced Multicast & ● Enhanced MBS (both static
Interworking Broadcast services and dynamic multicasting)
● Services ● WiMAX-WiFi-Bluetooth ● Enhancements to LBS
● Mobile, portable, nomadic, coexistence
fixed ● Ethernet services ● Mobility: up to 500 km/hr
● Pre-provisioned/static QoS ● Public Safety &
● Pre- and Post-paid RADIUS emergency services
Accounting O & M Features
● Roaming (RADIUS only) ● OTA pre-provisioning & device
● O&M Features management
● Network discovery/selection
19
20. Parameter Release-1 Release 1.5 Release 2 IMT Advanced
Peak spectral efficiency 6.2(2X2) 6.5(2X2) DL: 8.0/15.0 DL: 15.0
(b /s/ Hz/ sector) 1.3(1X2) 1.3(1X2, Without (2x2/4x4) UL: 6.75
(Mixed Mobility) 64 QAM) UL: 2.8/6.75
(1x2/2x4)
Average spectral 1.3 (2x2) 2 times
1.6 (2x2) DL (4x2) = 2.41 DL (4x2) = 2.2
efficiency 0.7(1X2) 0.9(1X2) UL (2x4) = 2.0 UL (2x4) = 1.4
(b /s/ Hz/ sector)
Cell Edge Spectral DL (2x2) = 0.09 DL (2x2) = 0.09 DL (2x2) = 0.09 DL (4x2) = 0.06
(b /s/ Hz/ sector) UL (1x2) = 0.05 UL (1x2) = 0.05 UL (1x2) = 0.05 UL (2x4) = 0.03
Latency C-plane: 100 ms C-plane: 100 ms C-plane: 100 ms C-plane: 100 ms (idle
(idle to active) (idle to active) (idle to active) to active)
U-plane: 40-60 U-plane: 40-60 ms U-plane: 10 ms U-plane: 10 ms
ms
Mobility Support up to 120 Support up to 350 Support up to 350 0.55 at 120 km/h
Kmph Kmph Kmph 0.25 at 350 km/h
Handover Interruption time < 60 ms <60ms Intra frequency: 27.5 Intra frequency: 27.5
Inter frequency: 40 (in a Inter frequency: 40
band) (in a band)
60 (between bands) 60 (between band)
Voip Capacity 12,5 (MHz) TDD 31.6 FDD 60 (DL 2x2 and UL 1x2) 40 (4x2 and 2x4)
(Base coverage urban)
21. WiMAX vs. 3G
HSPA ( Rel6) HSPA+(Rel7,QAM64) WIMAX (Rel 1.0)
Sector Throughput Sector Throughput Sector Throughput
DL 3.2 DL 3.52 DL 6.9 ( 1X3X1)
20 %
23% 12 %
8%
23% 4%
WCDMA CELL BREATHING
> 1.2 Mbps > 7 Mbps > 20 Mbps 20+ Mbps
Source : NGMN simulaitons presented by Motorola, Paul Sten at LTE ASIA 09
WIMAX Rel 1.0 number is presented by simulation done by SAMSUNG
26. LTE Global Spectrum
Linked auctions
Spectrum Awarded today 2009 2010 2011 2012+
New Zealand Portugal
Austria Czech Republic Estonia
Norway UK France Italy
NL
2.6 GHz Sweden Latvia
HK Germany Spain
Spain Denmark Canada
2.3 GHz China (TDD) India
2.1 GHz EMEA, Japan
AWS NAR Refarming
1900 MHz NAR Refarming
Finland HK
1800 MHz APAC & EMEA
1500 MHz Japan Refarming
900 MHz EMEA Refarming
850 MHz NAR France Lithuania
Sweden Finland Spain Czech Republic Portugal Ireland
Germany NL Denmark Estonia Slovenia Slovakia Ukraine
800 MHz Belgium (Flemish) Norway Austria Hungary Poland
Russia
700 MHz US
700 MHz D US To be confirmed
block
First deployment are in 700MHz for the US, 2.1/1.5 GHz
26
forJapan then 2.6 GHz in Europe and 2.3 GHz TDD in China
27. LTE Deployment options – 3GPP operators (FDD and TDD)
1900-1920MHz/
2010-2025MHz
900MHz 1800MHz 2100MHz
10 MHz 15MHz 15 MHz
GSM GSM TDD W-CDMA
unused
Refarming plus new spectrum
2570-
800MHz (EDD band) 2620MHz
Up to 20 MHz 2500-2690MHz
900MHz 1800MHz 2100MHz
Up to 20 MHz
10 MHz 15MHz 15 MHz
FDD GSM GSM W-CDMA FDD TDD
Coverage •Capacity •Traffic hot
spots
20 MHz of 800 for coverage and 2.5 for capacity ( TDD and FDD)
1900-1920MHz/ Or
800MHz (EDD band)
Up to 20 MHz 2010-2025MHz 2500-2690MHz
900MHz 1800MHz 2100MHz
Up to 20 MHz
10 MHz 15MHz 15 MHz
FDD GSM GSM TDD W-CDMA FDD
Traffic hot spot
•Coverage •Capacity
20 MHz of 800 for coverage and 2.5 for capacity ( only FDD)
27
28. Operator Frequency Types
Verizon Wireless 700 MHz FDD ( 10+10)
AT&T Mobility 700 MHz FDD ( 10+10)
NTT DoCoMO 2.1/1.5 GHz FDD ( 10+10)
KDDI 1.5 GHz and 800 MHz FDD
Softbank 1.5 GHz FDD
E-Mobile • US 700 2.1/1.7 GHz FDD
• 1800
1st
Teliasonera (Norway + Swedan)
• 2.6 GHz
China Mobile 2.1/1.5
• 2nd 2.5 GHz
• 900
2300-2400GHz
• 2.3
3rd
FDD
TDD 20 Mhz
800 MHz
GHz
Vodafone Germany 790-862 MHz FDD
Telestra Austrilia 2.6GHz and 700 Mhz FDD
Telenor Swedon and Tele2 2.6 GHz FDD
Orange France 2.6 GHz FDD
Century Tel 700 Mhz FDD
Hongkong-CLS,Hutch JV 2.6 GHz FDD
Vodacom – SA 2.6 GHz FDD
First deployment are in 700MHz for the US, 2.1/1.5 GHz for Japan then 2.6 GHz in Europe
and 2.3 GHz TDD in China
29. 59 Operators commitment: Reported by GSMA
Norway TeliaSonera Launched Austria Mobilkom Austria 2011-12
Sweden TeliaSonera Launched Austria Hutchison 3 2011-12
Armenia Vivacell-MTS 2010 Austria Orange 2011-12
Canada Telus 2010 France Orange 2011-12
Canada Bell Canada 2010 New Zealand Telecom NZ 2011-12
China China Telecom 2010 Japan KDDI 2012
China China Mobile 2010 Taiwan Chunghwa Telecom 2012
Finland TeliaSonera 2010
Uzbekistan MTS 2012
Japan NTT DoCoMo 2010
Australia Telstra TBC
Japan Emobile 2010
Bahrain Zain TBC
South Korea SK Telecom 2010
Brazil Vivo TBC
South Korea KT 2010
Finland Elisa TBC
Sweden TeleNor Sweden 2010
Finland DNA TBC
Sweden Tele2 Sweden 2010 France SFR TBC
USA CenturyTel 2010 Hong Kong SmarTone-Vodafone TBC
USA MetroPCS 2010
Hong Kong PCCW TBC
USA Verizon Wireless 2010
Hong Kong CSL Limited TBC
UAE Etisalat 2010 Hong Kong Hutchison 3 TBC
Canada Rogers Wireless 2010-11 Hong Kong China Mobile TBC
Germany Vodafone 2010-11 Italy Telecom Italia TBC
USA Cox Comms 2010-11 Netherlands KPN TBC
South Africa Vodacom 2010-11 Norway TeleNor TBC
Germany T-Mobile 2011 Philippines Piltel TBC
Ireland Hutchison 3 2011 Portugal TMN TBC
Japan Softbank Mobile 2011 Saudi Arabia Zain TBC
Saudi Arabia STC TBC
South Korea LG Telecom 2011
Singapore M1 TBC
USA AT&T Mobility 2011
Singapore Starhub TBC
USA Aircell 2011
South Africa Cell C TBC
Austria T-Mobile 2011-12
USA T-Mobile USA TBC
Data is captured from GSMA associations latest report , might be aggressive in timelines
30. LTE UE Categories
All UE Category will support 20 MHz , 64QAM and 2 receive antenna in
downlink.
Category 2-3 is expected in phase 1 of LTE deployments
All devices will have 1 transmit antenna only.
31. IMT Advanced Requirement ( 1/3)
• 16m is evolution of 16e
• LTE-Advanced is an evolution of LTE
• 16m/LTE-Advanced will meet or exceed IMT-
Advanced requirements within the ITU-R time
plan
LTE-Advanced
And 16m
Performance
IMT-Advanced requirements
System
and time plan
Rel. 8 LTE/WiMAx
Time
32. IMT Advanced Requirement (2/3)
• Peak data rate
– 1 Gbps data rate will be achieved by 4-by-4 MIMO and transmission
bandwidth wider than approximately 70 MHz
• Peak spectrum efficiency
– DL: Rel. 8 satisfies IMT-Advanced requirement
– UL: Need to double from Release 8 to satisfy IMT-Advanced
requirement
Rel. 8 LTE LTE- IMT-Advanced
Advanced/16m
DL 300 Mbps 1 Gbps
Peak data rate 1 Gbps(*)
UL 75 Mbps 500 Mbps
Peak spectrum efficiency DL 15 30 15
[bps/Hz]
UL 3.75 15 6.75
*“100 Mbps for high mobility and 1 Gbps for low mobility” is one of the key features as written in Circular Letter
(CL)
33. IMT Requirement ( 3/3)
3
2.5
2
1.5
2.57
2.4 2.4 2.4
2.2
1 1.9
1.4 1.4
0.5
0
DL MU MIMO 4X2 UL MU MIMO 1X4 UL MU MIMO 2X4
LTE A ( Rel 10) 16m IMT A
Both 16m and LTE A will meet the requirement of IMT-A
systems
34. WiMAX vs LTE towards IMT A
DL Spectral Efficieny UL Efficiency
2.4 2.4
2.5
1.9 2
2
1.4 1.5
1.5
1 0.8 0.7 0.8
0.5 0.5
0.5 0.3
0
HSPA Rel 6 HSPA Rel 7 WIMAX LTE Rel 8 LTE A 16M
16e
WiMAX and LTE is similar in performance with evolution
meeting IMT-A requirements.
35. Offload Cell Traffic gradually
Over 60% of mobile data traffic generating from indoors
Excellent opportunity to off-load data to Femto/WiFi
Carriers can benefit from 100% embedded Wi-Fi chips
Carrier can benefit from SON capabilities
Reduce cost per MB by offloading to home Femto/Wi-Fi
36. Femto or WiFi ?
Wi-FI Femto
SUB US$50 AP SUB US$ 300
Free Spectrum Licensed
100 % devices enabled Limited scale
Handovers challenge Smooth handovers
Simple and Flat
Requires integration
Architecture
Wi-FI for data has more compelling business case
37. Smart Network planning : Data vs Voice
Know your customers and prioritize your areas
Dense Population
Medium Population
Capacity based planning in dense and urban population
Coverage based planning for remaining geography
38. Data Networks are always capacity limited
Dense urban and urban population with higher freq.
700 Mhz for coverage
Urban 2.3/2.5 for Capacity 2.6 GHz 800 MHz
Hot spots Umbrella cells
DU
Smaller cells at 2.6GHz so best suited for hot spots
800MHz has a better indoor coverage but more
subject to interferences in Urban environment
800MHz could eventually be used as umbrella cells
39. Amount of Spectrum : Grab everything !
E-UTRA BAND 7 E-UTRA BAND 38 E-UTRA BAND 7
FDD UL TDD FDD DL
WMF T3 (2496 MHz-2690 MHz )
2500 MHz 2570 MHz 2620 MHz
E-UTRA BAND 20 E-UTRA BAND 20
FDD UL FDD DL
E-UTRA BAND 41
TDD
WMF (3400 MHz-3600 MHz )
3400 MHz 3500 MHz3510 MHz 3600 MHz
•DoCoMo developed 8 band •2.3 , 2.5 and 3.5 GHz
Power amplifiers supporting defined by WiMAX and
eight frequency bands 3GPP.
between 700 MHz to 3.5 •LTA –A and 16m to support
GHz . carrier aggregation upto 100
•Expect support upto 100 MHz
MHz in devices
•Multiband to become
mainstream
40. Flat Internet : All users do not provide the same margins
AT&T YOTA – 10 Gig average
Top 10% users consume 60% of the internet bandwidth
10 % of the cell sites generates 50% of the traffic
41. Congestion management
The PCRF is the QoS brain of the network
Fair usage policies and service differentiation
Tiered charging is must for maximizing revenues
Introduce congestion management tools
42. Backhauls for mobile data Networks
Average DL Average UL
250
200 192
162
150 144
150
126 126
100
50 42 45
21 24
0
16e ( 2x2) LTE ( 2x2) 16m ( 4x2) ( LTE A (4X2) LTE A 8X2 (
(10+10 Mhz) (10+10 Mhz) 20+20 Mhz) (20+20 MHz) 20+20 MHz)
43. Fiber or Microwave ?
Microwave as short term strategy
Fiber optics as long term strategy
E- Bands could be an option
Hybrid models with 2-3 hops in microwave and Fiber
Fiber co build to make viable business
44. Technology Market Demand
How do we serve our customer faster, simpler, cheaper and
better ?
Operators strategies Suppliers
45. Thank you for your Attention, reach me at ;
email : admin@beyond4g.org
Blog : www.beyond4g.org
