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   Consensus-driven explanation of poor African governance
       Politically-focused, historically-based theory
   The power (and “right”) of rule is given to individuals instead
    of offices
       Even with formal legal codes and constitutions
       Loyalty and power > accountability and transparency
   Observed in extremely high incidences in African nations
   Empirical Results
       Political instability, strong military use, poor service administration
        high inequality, reduced economic growth, controlled freedoms
        vicious cycle of poor governance
   Overly general theory
       Used to explain poor economic performance in addition to
        ineffective governance
   Paul Collier: “perverse governmental performance”
       Endogenously-based policies and politics have hampered
        Africa’s post-colonial development
 “Neo-patrimonialism plus”
 Effects of poor governance
     Civil war/insurrection/coups ($64B each)
     Natural resource dependence/curse
          Stifles   real economic development/sunk assets
   Geography makes a difference
   Landlocked sub-Saharan country
       1.8 million people in Texas/France-sized landmass
   1966: GDP/cap of $70 2008: GDP/cap of $5600
       Dramatic rise from extremely poor to middle-income
   Annual growth rate of 9% per year, among the world’s
    highest
   Driven by the diamond trade, $2.9B/year
       Still large (40%) but declining share of GDP
       Government-controlled extraction (with DeBeers)
   Freest economy in Africa (Heritage Foundation)
       Very competitive economy (World Bank)
       “A” credit rating from Standard & Poor
   Low debt-service load (4%), stringent monetary policy
       The “Swiss Franc” of Africa
   European Union Common Trade Agreement
   Progressive constitution, free and fair elections
     “Usual suspects:” property rights, political debate, and
      the balance of power through strong political and
      economic organization
     De-facto one party rule by the Botswana Democratic
      Party
   36th on the 2009 Transparency International
    Corruption Perceptions Index
       In the same range as France and Portugal
   3rd for governance quality on the 2008 Ibrahim Index
    of African Governance
EVALUATIVE META-FRAMEWORK
Historical Legacy                  Political Stability and Freedom
•Inherited Political Systems and   •Free and Fair Elections
Legal Codes                        •Rule of Law and Human Rights
•Cultural Structure and Social     •Corruption and Safety
Composition
•Geographic Location and Natural
Resources
Policy Formation and               Citizen Interaction and
Implementation                     Participation
•Regulatory Quality                •Participation and Voice
•Government Programmatic           •Accountability and Transparency
Effectiveness                      •Human Development
•Sustainable Economic
Development
Historical Legacy               Political Stability and Freedom
•Tribal Cohesion                •Anti-Corruption Policies
•Defensive Modernization        •Strong Constitutional Rights
•Early State Formation
Policy Formation and            Citizen Interaction and
Implementation                  Participation
•Long-term strategic planning   •Performance Measurement and
•Decentralized Management and   Accountability
Governance                      •Civil Society Supports
•Natural Resource Management    •Major Investments in Health and
Regimes                         Education
•Technocratic Democratic
Bureaucracy
   1890—British protectorate over the Tswana tribe and
    Bechuanaland
       Initially planned to be part of South Africa and Rhodesia
   Successfully resisted attempts at colonization through adept
    modernization and diplomacy
       Agricultural and mineral development initiatives
   Bourgeois, community-based, market-focused leadership
       Role of the kglota in stimulating democratic norms
   Early adoption of Western ideals around religion, education,
    and social progress
       Negotiated with British for autonomy and freedom
       Fought off human exportation and slavery
       Unity policies preserved national spirit and cultural self-identity
   “Exceptional Leadership” Seretse Khama, first president
   Major decentralization
    thrust after
    independence
       Policy planning and
        administration go to local
        units
   Intended Goals
     Equalize the distribution of
      economic and social
      resources among citizens,
     Enhance local governance
      capacity
     Improve accountability
      and participation in
      governance
   Decentralization helped government absorb
    major demographic changes
     68%   of population under 30
 Regulated elite control and urban/rural bias
 Increased popular participation, transparency,
  and accountability
 Still issues with financial autonomy
 Zero-tolerance policy for corruption
 Little evidence of largess
     Sound  management of natural resources
     Strong development of institutions

   Governmental culture and norms
     Exceptionalleadership
     Tswana-based obligation to “do things”
     Merit-based civil service system

   Presidential Inquiry Panels
     International   anti-corruption assistance
   Biggest area of problem and promise in Botswana
   20% of government spending goes into education
       81% enrollment rate, free, equal education through tertiary
       Surplus of workers, feel entitled to jobs
       Still shortage of tertiary-educated, high skills workers
   20% unemployment, 40% below poverty line
       Should not overshadow tremendous movement out of
        progress for most of the country (66% above)
   Major HIV/AIDS problem, 23.9% prevalence
       Tanked country’s HDI ranking (72 in 1990, 126 in 2008)
       Life expectancy has slipped from 56 to 40 in 10 years
       131,000 AIDS-related orphans in the country
       First nation to provide free ARV/universal treatment policy
   Implications for good governance regime
 Clarifying the purpose of “good governance.”
 Prioritizing governance reforms for poverty
  reduction.
 Matching governance for the times.
 Looking over time, not just regions.
 Adjusting for normal expectations.


Mostly about the good governance pedagogy, and
 applying Botswana’s lessons to improving theory
Botswana Rising: An Uncommon Example of Good Governance

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Botswana Rising: An Uncommon Example of Good Governance

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3. Consensus-driven explanation of poor African governance  Politically-focused, historically-based theory  The power (and “right”) of rule is given to individuals instead of offices  Even with formal legal codes and constitutions  Loyalty and power > accountability and transparency  Observed in extremely high incidences in African nations  Empirical Results  Political instability, strong military use, poor service administration   high inequality, reduced economic growth, controlled freedoms   vicious cycle of poor governance  Overly general theory  Used to explain poor economic performance in addition to ineffective governance
  • 4.
  • 5. Paul Collier: “perverse governmental performance”  Endogenously-based policies and politics have hampered Africa’s post-colonial development  “Neo-patrimonialism plus”  Effects of poor governance  Civil war/insurrection/coups ($64B each)  Natural resource dependence/curse  Stifles real economic development/sunk assets  Geography makes a difference
  • 6.
  • 7. Landlocked sub-Saharan country  1.8 million people in Texas/France-sized landmass  1966: GDP/cap of $70 2008: GDP/cap of $5600  Dramatic rise from extremely poor to middle-income  Annual growth rate of 9% per year, among the world’s highest  Driven by the diamond trade, $2.9B/year  Still large (40%) but declining share of GDP  Government-controlled extraction (with DeBeers)  Freest economy in Africa (Heritage Foundation)  Very competitive economy (World Bank)  “A” credit rating from Standard & Poor  Low debt-service load (4%), stringent monetary policy  The “Swiss Franc” of Africa
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11. European Union Common Trade Agreement
  • 12. Progressive constitution, free and fair elections  “Usual suspects:” property rights, political debate, and the balance of power through strong political and economic organization  De-facto one party rule by the Botswana Democratic Party  36th on the 2009 Transparency International Corruption Perceptions Index  In the same range as France and Portugal  3rd for governance quality on the 2008 Ibrahim Index of African Governance
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17. EVALUATIVE META-FRAMEWORK Historical Legacy Political Stability and Freedom •Inherited Political Systems and •Free and Fair Elections Legal Codes •Rule of Law and Human Rights •Cultural Structure and Social •Corruption and Safety Composition •Geographic Location and Natural Resources Policy Formation and Citizen Interaction and Implementation Participation •Regulatory Quality •Participation and Voice •Government Programmatic •Accountability and Transparency Effectiveness •Human Development •Sustainable Economic Development
  • 18. Historical Legacy Political Stability and Freedom •Tribal Cohesion •Anti-Corruption Policies •Defensive Modernization •Strong Constitutional Rights •Early State Formation Policy Formation and Citizen Interaction and Implementation Participation •Long-term strategic planning •Performance Measurement and •Decentralized Management and Accountability Governance •Civil Society Supports •Natural Resource Management •Major Investments in Health and Regimes Education •Technocratic Democratic Bureaucracy
  • 19.
  • 20. 1890—British protectorate over the Tswana tribe and Bechuanaland  Initially planned to be part of South Africa and Rhodesia  Successfully resisted attempts at colonization through adept modernization and diplomacy  Agricultural and mineral development initiatives  Bourgeois, community-based, market-focused leadership  Role of the kglota in stimulating democratic norms  Early adoption of Western ideals around religion, education, and social progress  Negotiated with British for autonomy and freedom  Fought off human exportation and slavery  Unity policies preserved national spirit and cultural self-identity  “Exceptional Leadership” Seretse Khama, first president
  • 21. Major decentralization thrust after independence  Policy planning and administration go to local units  Intended Goals  Equalize the distribution of economic and social resources among citizens,  Enhance local governance capacity  Improve accountability and participation in governance
  • 22. Decentralization helped government absorb major demographic changes  68% of population under 30  Regulated elite control and urban/rural bias  Increased popular participation, transparency, and accountability  Still issues with financial autonomy
  • 23.  Zero-tolerance policy for corruption  Little evidence of largess  Sound management of natural resources  Strong development of institutions  Governmental culture and norms  Exceptionalleadership  Tswana-based obligation to “do things”  Merit-based civil service system  Presidential Inquiry Panels  International anti-corruption assistance
  • 24. Biggest area of problem and promise in Botswana  20% of government spending goes into education  81% enrollment rate, free, equal education through tertiary  Surplus of workers, feel entitled to jobs  Still shortage of tertiary-educated, high skills workers  20% unemployment, 40% below poverty line  Should not overshadow tremendous movement out of progress for most of the country (66% above)  Major HIV/AIDS problem, 23.9% prevalence  Tanked country’s HDI ranking (72 in 1990, 126 in 2008)  Life expectancy has slipped from 56 to 40 in 10 years  131,000 AIDS-related orphans in the country  First nation to provide free ARV/universal treatment policy  Implications for good governance regime
  • 25.
  • 26.  Clarifying the purpose of “good governance.”  Prioritizing governance reforms for poverty reduction.  Matching governance for the times.  Looking over time, not just regions.  Adjusting for normal expectations. Mostly about the good governance pedagogy, and applying Botswana’s lessons to improving theory