Asia Pacific is the most important region in the world economy and themost complete on the military aspects. Asia Pacific will remain the center of global economic growth. Of the ten countries that have the largest reserves in the world, eight countries are among the countries in Asia Pacific. The
rate of economic growth impact on increasing the strength of the defense and military spending, in addition to geopolitical conflicts that have a direct impact on the stability of the region. Even the increasing global geopolitical tensions, the Asia Pacific region will solidify its position as a major player in military spending in 2020.
asia pacific 2020, the economy military global stage
1. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 0
Asia Pacific 2020
The Economy & Military Global Stage
Asia Pacific is the most important region in the world economy and the
most complete on the military aspects. Asia Pacific will remain the center of
global economic growth. Of the ten countries that have the largest reserves
in the world, eight countries are among the countries in Asia Pacific. The
rate of economic growth impact on increasing the strength of the defense
and military spending, in addition to geopolitical conflicts that have a direct
impact on the stability of the region. Even the increasing global geopolitical
tensions, the Asia Pacific region will solidify its position as a major player in
military spending in 2020.
2016
TASNIM ILMIARDHI
Energy Legal Practitioner, Jakarta, Indonesia
tasnim.ilmiardhi@yahoo.com
4/29/2016
2. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 1
Asia Pacific 2020, The Economic and Military Global Stage
By:
TASNIM ILMIARDHI
Energy Legal Practitioner
Jakarta, Indonesia
tasnim.ilmiardhi@yahoo.com
The stage
Asia Pacific will be the main driver of global growth and as a center of
economic growth, for the next decade. More than half the world's
population lives in this region, along with the accompanying dynamics.
From the aspect of the economy, the Asia Pacific region is a potential
market, distribution channels and crossings (silkroad / the Silk Road),
the concentration of natural resources and energy, and finance. For the
sea lanes in the region is the densest sea traffic (the maritime silkroad).
The ability of countries in the region out of the global financial crisis in
1998 and 2009, shows the durability and the potential benefits of these
countries.
Various alliances and pacts, both economic, military or both, established among countries of the
region, the APEC (Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation), BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South
Africa), SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organization), ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations),
AEC (ASEAN Economic Community), the FTAAP (Free Trade Area of the Asia-Pacific) and TPP (Trans-
Pacific Partnership).
Data from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) World Economic Outlook, released 14 April 2016,
the GDP of the Asia-Pacific is estimated at 59.556 per cent of world GDP, equivalent to USD
46,370.280 billion figure of the global GDP of USD 77.825
TABLE 1
Population in GDP 2016
No Country Population GDP 2016
(%)
1 China 1,306,148,035 6.9
2 India 1,065,070,607 7.8
3 Amerika Serikat 297,336,946 2.7
4 Indonesia 259,966,894 5.3
5 Brazil 184,101,109 -2.5
CIA World Factbook (2014); World Bank 2016; Asian Development Bank (ADB) 2016
Meanwhile, according to the Asian Development Bank (ADB), for the Asian region will contribute 2.3
per cent of global GDP growth is expected to average 4 percent, that is, the area will be able to
contribute to world GDP growth of nearly 60 percent per year.
3. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 2
The economic growth for the domestic impact on the increased capacity of the economy, state
revenues and expenditures of the people welfare state. As for the foreign aspect, can increase the
domination and influence of a country in the region, both economically and politically.
Increased state spending also resulted in increased military spending of a country. Apart from the
ongoing regional conflict, the military expenditure of a country will have an impact on increasing
awareness around the country, following an increase in its military budget as well. Giving the
impression of a surge in military spending in the region.
The dynamics that are happening in Asia Pacific made the Asia Pacific region as the most important
region in the world economy and the most complete on the military aspects, even for the next two
decades, Asia Pacific is the stage that has just started the show.
TABLE 2
Indonesia Selected Indicators 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Real GDP growth, at constant market prices 6.0 5.6 5.0 4.7 5.3 5.5
• Private consumption 5.5 5.4 5.3 4.7 5.2 5.2
• Government consumption 4.5 6.9 2.0 2.1 3.2 4.5
• Gross fixed capital investment 9.1 5.3 4.1 3.7 5.0 5.8
• Exports, goods and services 1.6 4.2 1.0 -0.2 4.7 5.7
• Imports, goods and services 8.0 1.9 2.2 -3.2 3.6 5.9
Inflation (consumer price index) 4.0 6.4 6.4 6.8 5.5 5.0
Current account balance (% of GDP) -2.7 -3.2 -3.1 -2.0 -2.6 -2.7
Fiscal balance (% of GDP) -1.8 -2.2 -2.2 -2.5 -2.5 -2.5
Poverty rate ($1.90 a day, 2011 PPP terms) 11.8 9.9 8.3 7.2 5.9 4.8
Poverty rate ($3.10 a day, 2011 PPP terms) 41.9 39.7 36.7 34.8 32.5 30.2
World Bank 2016
The center of world economic growth
Although it is expected to slow, but Asia Pacific will remain the center of global economic growth.
World Bank report shows that growth in East Asia and the Pacific will only be slowed down in 2016-
2018. The rate of growth in East Asia and Pacific region is expected to slow from 6.5 percent in 2015
to 6.3 percent in 2016 and 6.2 percent in 2017-2018.
This forecast reflects China's transition towards a more sustainable growth however slowed down.
Growth in China is estimated at 6.7 percent in 2016 and 6.5 percent in 2017, slower compared to 6.9
percent growth in 2015.
The World Bank’s data said that developing countries in East Asia and the Pacific continue to
contribute greatly to global growth. This area covers nearly two-fifths or 40 percent of world
economic growth in 2015, more than twice that of the whole region more development. This area is
helped by careful macroeconomic policies, including an attempt to increase domestic revenue in
some commodity exporting countries.
Great for Southeast Asia, growth prospects in the Philippines and Vietnam the most powerful, the
two countries are expected to grow more than 6 percent in 2015. Indonesia's economic growth is
estimated to reach 5.1 percent in 2016 and 5.3 percent in 2017, depending the success of the reform
package of policies and the implementation of an ambitious public investment program.
4. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 3
TABLE 3
Global real GDP growth (%) 2016
Region/Country 2013 2014 2015e 2016f 2017f 2018f
(Percentage point difference
from June 2015 projections)
2015e 2016f 2017f
World 2.4 2.6 2.4 2.9 3.1 3.1 -0.4 -0.4 -0.1
High income 1.2 1.7 1.6 2.1 2.1 2.1 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1
United States 1.5 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.4 2.2 -0.2 -0.1 0.0
Euro Area -0.2 0.9 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.6 0.0 -0.1 0.1
Japan 1.6 -0.1 0.8 1.3 0.9 1.3 -0.3 -0.4 -0.3
United Kingdom 2.2 2.9 2.4 2.4 2.2 2.1 -0.2 -0.2 0.0
Russia 1.3 0.6 -3.8 -0.7 1.3 1.5 -1.1 -1.4 -1.2
Developing countries 5.3 4.9 4.3 4.8 5.3 5.3 -0.4 -0.6 -0.2
East Asia & Pacific 7.1 6.8 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.2 -0.3 -0.4 -0.4
China 7.7 7.3 6.9 6.7 6.5 6.5 -0.2 -0.3 -0.4
Indonesia 5.6 5.0 4.7 5.3 5.5 5.5 0.0 -0.2 0.0
Thailand 2.8 0.9 2.5 2.0 2.4 2.7 -1.0 -2.0 -1.6
Europe & Central Asia 3.9 2.3 2.1 3.0 3.5 3.5 0.3 -0.4 -0.2
Kazakhstan 6.0 4.4 0.9 1.1 3.3 3.4 -0.8 -1.8 -0.8
Turkey 4.2 2.9 4.2 3.5 3.5 3.4 1.2 -0.4 -0.2
Romania 3.5 2.8 3.6 3.9 4.1 4.0 0.6 0.7 0.6
Latin America & Caribbean 3.0 1.5 -0.7 0.1 2.3 2.5 -1.5 -2.3 -0.6
Brazil 3.0 0.1 -3.7 -2.5 1.4 1.5 -2.4 -3.6 -0.6
Mexico 1.4 2.3 2.5 2.8 3.0 3.2 -0.1 -0.4 -0.5
Colombia 4.9 4.6 3.1 3.0 3.3 3.5 -0.4 -0.9 -0.9
Middle East & North Africa 0.6 2.5 2.5 5.1 5.8 5.1 0.1 1.4 2.0
Egypt, Arab Rep. 2.1 2.2 4.2 3.8 4.4 4.8 0.0 -0.7 -0.4
Iran, Islamic Rep. -1.9 4.3 1.9 5.8 6.7 6.0 0.9 3.8 4.7
Algeria 2.8 3.8 2.8 3.9 4.0 3.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
South Asia 6.2 6.8 7.0 7.3 7.5 7.5 -0.1 0.0 0.0
India 6.9 7.3 7.3 7.8 7.9 7.9 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1
Pakistan 4.4 4.7 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 -0.5 1.8 0.9
Bangladesh 6.1 6.5 6.5 6.7 6.8 6.8 0.2 0.0 0.1
Sub-Saharan Africa 4.9 4.6 3.4 4.2 4.7 4.7 -0.8 -0.3 -0.3
South Africa 2.2 1.5 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.6 -0.7 -0.7 -0.8
Nigeria 5.4 6.3 3.3 4.6 5.3 5.3 -1.2 -0.4 -0.2
Angola 6.8 3.9 3.0 3.3 3.8 3.8 -1.5 -0.6 -1.3
World Bank 2016
• East Asia and Pacific
Growth is estimated to have slowed to 6.4 percent in 2015, and is expected to decline to 6.3 on
average in 2016-2018, reflecting the gradual slowdown in China and sluggish recovery in the rest of
the region.
Growth is expected to be increased modestly in Indonesia and Malaysia in 2016-2018, due to the
political tension eased in Malaysia, and the implementation of reforms to spur investment growth in
Indonesia. In Thailand, growth is expected to remain weak, at 2 to 2.7 per cent in 2016-2018, as
political uncertainties continue to weigh on private investment, and high household debt limit
private consumption.
5. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 4
Among the large emerging economies of ASEAN, the growth in the Philippines and Vietnam will
benefit from the increase in household income caused by low of commodity prices, diverse and
competitive exports and strong investment. Risk comes from more negative than-expected
slowdown in China and the tightening of global financial conditions.
• South Asia
Acceleration of growth is projected at 7.5 percent in 2016-18, from 7.0 per cent in 2015, the fastest
pace among all developing regions. The decline in oil prices has increased the confidence of
investors and consumers, as well as domestic policy reforms in India and Pakistan that could reduce
vulnerability.
Domestic risks include stalling the reform process and political tensions in several countries in the
region. High levels of non-performing loans on bank balance sheets remains a challenge for financial
stability and the supply of credit to productive investment. External risks come from potential
volatility amid tightening global financial conditions and weaker remittances from the Council of the
Gulf Cooperation Countries (GCC).
• The Middle East
Growth estimated to be 2.5 percent in 2015, unchanged from 2014. Among oil exporters, most of
the growth slowdown or even negative in 2015. However, an exception to Iraq, where oil production
has increased even while experiencing security problems. Oil exporters grapple with the economic
conditions as a consequence of low oil prices; and most oil importers have benefited a lot.
Despite lower oil prices, growth in the region will accelerate growth above 5 percent in 2016-2018. It
is based on the improvement and the strong recovery in the Islamic Republic of Iran, which
experienced the greatest economic development in the region. It is as a result of international
agreements to suspend or remove sanctions on trade and international financial transactions,
beginning in 2016, which is an important contributing factor to the economy of Iran.
The agreement was present to give a positive effect on neighboring countries import oil, but may
have negative effects on the development of oil exporters in the region if additional oil production
and exports put pressure on international oil prices. Risks arise from low oil prices and domestic
security protracted.
• Turkey
Economic activity in Turkey will benefit from lower energy prices on the world, but will face
headwinds from rising export demand (including the negative effects of sanctions Russia) and tight
external financing conditions. Regional growth is projected to strengthen to an average 3.0 percent
in 2016 and 3.5 percent in 2017-2018, partly helped by the ongoing European Region of recovery,
although there are some downside risks, including the possibility of escalation of geopolitical
tensions and continued recession in Russia and Ukraine.
While from the Asian Development Bank (ADB), in its annual report said, countries large economies
in Asia will grow over 6 percent this year and 2016. According to the Asian Development Outlook
2015, India is expected to overtake China in terms of economic growth, if Indian government
continues to work to eliminate structural barriers to boost investor confidence. India's economic
growth in 2016 could reach 8 percent, while China only touched 7 percent.
6. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 5
The main factors driving the growth of developing countries in Asia in 2015 and 2016 are the
reforms undertaken in many of these countries, the recovery in the major industrial countries like
the United States, Europe and Japan and falling commodity prices. All this will help economic growth
in Asia.
TABLE 4
Top Ranking World GDP 2016
Rank Country/Economy
GDP Nominal (US$ billions)
2016
Share
(%)
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
1 United States 18,558.130 23.846 19,285 20,145 21,016 21,874 22,766
2 China 11,383.030 14.626 12,263 13,338 14,605 16,144 17,762
3 Japan 4,412.600 5.670 4,514 4,562 4,676 4,800 4,895
4 Germany 3,467.780 4.456 3,592 3,697 3,822 3,959 4,066
5 United Kingdom 2,760.960 3.548 2,885 2,999 3,123 3,256 3,374
6 France 2,464.790 3.167 2,538 2,609 2,700 2,804 2,895
7 India 2,288.720 2.941 2,488 2,725 3,007 3,315 3,660
8 Italy 1,848.690 2.375 1,902 1,943 1,994 2,051 2,092
9 Brazil 1,534.780 1.972 1,556 1,609 1,677 1,749 1,829
10 Canada 1,462.330 1.879 1,531 1,596 1,667 1,740 1,804
11 Korea 1,321.200 1.698 1,379 1,435 1,499 1,566 1,629
12 Russia 1,132.740 1.455 1,268 1,355 1,447 1,531 1,608
13 Australia 1,200.780 1.543 1,262 1,330 1,399 1,469 1,536
14 Spain 1,242.360 1.596 1,291 1,332 1,380 1,433 1,476
15 Mexico 1,082.430 1.391 1,167 1,228 1,300 1,381 1,467
16 Indonesia 936.955 1.204 1,024 1,110 1,193 1,292 1,428
17 Netherlands 762.521 0.980 794 821 851 885 914
18 Turkey 751.186 0.965 791 834 883 935 986
19 Switzerland 651.770 0.837 665 676 691 709 722
20 Saudi Arabia 618.274 0.794 660 700 741 778 813
International Monetary Fund World Economic Outlook (14-April-2016)
China's growth rate is expected to reach 7.2 percent in 2015 and 7.0 percent in 2016 is still
considered to be relatively healthy. Several reform measures are being run by the government will
have an impact on state-owned enterprises and the financial sector. Everything has the potential to
increase productivity.
But barriers will happen if some of these reforms are not done properly, or if growth in the US or
Europe is slowing down, or even if oil prices rise again at the level that is not expected.
ADB projected that Indonesia's economic growth reached 5.2 percent in 2016, higher than 4.8
percent in 2015. Then in 2017, economic growth in 2017 is predicted to reach 5.5 percent.
Indonesia's economic growth expected to rise again this year, as consumers and investors responded
positively to the Government's efforts to improve public investment and structural reforms.
Indonesia's economy is currently influenced by China. China's economic growth is likely to slow
down, to impact the rate of growth of the Indonesian economy. One per cent of China's economic
growth, then it will have an impact on economic growth of 0.11 per cent of Indonesia.
7. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 6
There are eight countries in the region which recorded growth above 7.0 percent, but the possibility
of rising oil prices and komoditaslainnya expected to be a constraint.
TABLE 5
World Bank 2016
The center of the world's foreign exchange reserves
Of the ten countries that have the largest reserves in the world, seven countries are among the
countries in Asia, and five among Asian countries in East Asia, these countries are China, Japan,
Republic of China (Taiwan), South Korea and Singapore. The countries, a significant impact on Asian
economies. Economic and political conditions and policies issued by the countries, a concern for
neighboring countries.
China as the most populous country and the largest reserves in the world into one of the economic
driving Asia Pacific. With foreign exchange reserves amounted to US $ 3,771,347 million and a
population of 1,306,148,035 inhabitants and GDP of USD 10,360.1 billion, China is a potential market
and it is expected most of the countries in the world.
TABLE 6
TOP COUNTRY
FOREIGN-EXCHANGE RESERVE & EXPORT-IMPORT
Rank Country
Foreign
Exchange
Reserves/FER
(USD Millions)
Export
(USD Billions)
Import
(USD Billions)
Remark/
Figures as of
1 China 3,771,347 2,34 1,96 FER Jun 2015
East Asia and Pacific GDP growth projections
Region 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
East Asia and Pacific 6.3 6.1 5.7 5.8 5.8
Developing East Asia and Pacific 7.1 6.8 6.5 6.4 6.3
China 7.7 7.3 6.9 6.7 6.5
Indonesia 5.6 5.0 4.7 5.3 5.5
Malaysia 4.7 6.0 4.7 4.7 5.0
Philippines 7.1 6.1 5.8 6.4 6.2
Thailand 2.8 0.9 2.5 2.0 2.4
Vietnam 5.4 6.0 6.2 6.3 6.3
Cambodia 7.4 7.1 6.9 6.9 6.8
Lao PDR 8.5 7.5 6.4 7.0 6.9
Myanmar 8.5 8.5 6.5 7.8 8.5
Mongolia 11.6 7.8 3.3 4.1 4.0
Fiji 4.6 4.0 3.4 3.1 3.0
Papua New Guinea 5.5 8.5 8.7 3.3 4.0
Solomon Island 3.0 1.5 3.3 3.0 3.5
Timor-Leste 2.8 7.0 6.8 6.9 7.0
Developing East Asia excl. China 5.2 4.6 4.6 4.9 5.1
ASEAN 5.0 4.4 4.3 4.7 4.9
8. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 7
2 Japan 1,242,935 710,5 811,9 FER Jun 2015
3 Saudi Arabia 672,106 359,4 162,2 FER Jun 2015
4 Switzerland 600,180
388,9 333,8
FER Jun 2015
Europe Region
5 Republic of China
(Taiwan)
426,398
318 277,5
FER Jun 2015
6 South Korea 374,749 572,7 525,5 FER Jun 2015
7 Brazil 368,252
242,7 241,9
FER Jul 2015
South America
8 Russia 364,600
520,3 323,9
FER Aug 21, 2015
Europe Region
9 India 351,920 342,5 508,1 FER Aug 28, 2015
- Hong Kong 340,768 FER Jun 2015
Teritory of China
10 Singapore 253,280 409,5 366 FER Jun 2015
Sources: International Monetery Fund (IMF) 2015; CIA World Factbook (2014)
In addition, Asia-Pacific is the region with the largest population in the world. China, India, United
States, Indonesia and Brazil are the countries with the largest population in the world and is a
potential market for world trade.
TABLE 7
Top countries by population
No Country Population
1 China 1,306,148,035
2 India 1,065,070,607
3 Amerika Serikat 297,336,946
4 Indonesia 259,966,894
5 Brazil 184,101,109
Sources: CIA World Factbook (2014)
China-India-Russia
China and India are the force that is dominant in Asia. While Russia is also a Pacific rim countries.
Russia counts as a newcomer in the ASEAN and Asia-Pacific markets, which have to compete with
the other two superpowers, the US and China, to penetrate the Asian market. Joining India in the
strategic security cooperation pact of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) led by Russia
and China have made the Asia Pacific region are becoming increasingly strategic in the world political
escalation, in addition to the economic potential that remains dominant.
TABLE 8
India Selected Indicators (%) 2015 2016 2017
GDP Growth 7.6 7.4 7.8
Inflation 5.0 5.4 5.8
Current Account Balance (share of GDP) -1.3 -1.6 -1.8
Asian Development Bank (ADB) 2016
India is a country to have strategic and economic bilateral cooperation with China. In 2015, India
conducted economic agreements with China with a value of USD 100 trillion and USD 3 billion,
including for aircraft sector, telecommunications and infrastructure.
9. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 8
India itself also has a bilateral strategic agreement with Russia in various fields, including energy,
natural resources, military and nuclear cooperation. In 2015, India and Russia do trade agreements
worth USD 30 billion.
FIGURE 1
Asian Development Bank (ADB) 2016
India is restricting imports of foreign arms and strengthen national production, but to address the
geopolitical dynamics of the region, India has doubled the purchase of weapons systems from
abroad in the last five years. Russia (70 percent) is the largest supplier of weaponry India, followed
by the USA (14 percent) and Israel (4.5 percent). In addition to fighter jets, India many buy warships
and submarines from Russia country.
As for Russia and China under the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) is a form of cooperation
to strengthen political and economic relations.
TABLE 9
China Selected Indicators 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
Real GDP growth, at constant market prices 7.7 7.7 7.3 6.9 6.7 6.5
• Private consumption 8.4 7.8 7.6 8.0 8.3 8.6
• Government consumption 8.6 8.1 7.2 8.0 8.0 8.0
• Gross fixed capital investment 9.5 8.1 6.7 5.6 4.9 4.1
• Exports, goods and services 3.9 6.9 6.5 5.4 5.0 4.6
• Imports, goods and services 5.3 7.2 5.9 4.5 4.2 3.9
Inflation (consumer price index) 2.6 2.6 2.1 1.3 1.3 1.3
Current account balance (% of GDP) 2.6 2.2 2.5 3.5 3.9 3.6
Fiscal balance (% of GDP) 0.0 -1.1 -1.9 -2.8 -1.9 -1.1
Poverty rate ($1.90 a day, 2011 PPP terms) 6.7 5.3 4.1 3.2 2.5 1.9
Poverty rate ($3.10 a day, 2011 PPP terms) 20.0 17.3 14.8 12.8 10.9 9.3
World Bank 2016
For Russia, China is becoming a major market in the arms trade and energy commodities. There has
also been successfully introduced Russia to the countries of the Asia-Pacific that directly would bring
economic benefits to Russia.
For China, the cooperation undertaken by Russia to produce energy for the fulfillment of China with
low price, stable, and in the long term. Russia is a supplier of energy commodities is an essential
7,2
7,3
7,4
7,5
7,6
7,7
7,8
7,9
2015 2016 2017
GDP India projection (%)
GDP India
projection (%)
10. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 9
requirement for economic growth. Project East Siberian-Pacific Ocean oil pipeline (ESPO) between
China and Russia is the realization of the strategic alliance.
In short, for China energy is an important requirement for economic growth, while for Russia energy
is power in achieving geopolitical goals. In addition, the United Nations (UN), Russia to China is a
country that still has the international influence and have veto power. Russia required the existence
of related Chinese veto against UN resolutions or decisions that harm China, and vice versa.
FIGURE 2
www.statista.com
TABLE 10
Russia Economy Data 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Population (million) 143 143 144 144 144
GDP per capita (USD) 13,192 14,289 15,34 15,39 8,181
GDP (USD bn) 1,886 2,048 2,204 2,212 1,176
Economic Growth
(GDP, annual variation in %)
4.3 3.5 1.3 0.7 -3.7
Consumption (annual variation in %) 6.8 7.4 4.4 1.5 -9.6
Investment (annual variation in %) 10.2 6.0 0.9 -2.6 -7.6
Industrial Production
(annual variation in %)
5.1 3.4 4.0 1.6 3.4
Retail Sales (annual variation in %) 6.9 6.5 3.9 2.7 -9.7
Unemployment Rate 6.6 5.5 5.5 5.2 5.6
Fiscal Balance (% of GDP) 0.8 0.0 -0.7 -0.6 -2.8
Public Debt (% of GDP) 9.5 10.5 11.4 13.2 13.6
Money (annual variation in %) 22.3 11.9 14.6 2.3 11.5
Inflation Rate
(CPI, annual variation in %, eop)
6.1 6.5 6.5 11.4 12.9
Inflation Rate
(CPI, annual variation in %)
8.4 5.1 6.8 7.8 15.5
Inflation (PPI, annual variation in %) 12.0 5.1 3.7 5.9 10.7
Policy Interest Rate (%) 5.25 5.50 5.50 17.00 11.00
Stock Market (annual variation in %) -21.9 10.5 -5.5 -45.2 -4.3
Exchange Rate (vs USD) 32.02 30.48 32.73 56.26 72.88
Exchange Rate (vs USD, aop) 29.67 30.36 30.03 35.24 68.73
Current Account (% of GDP) 5.2 3.5 1.5 2.7 5.9
Current Account Balance (USD bn) 98.8 71.3 34.1 59.5 69.6
Trade Balance (USD billion) 197 192 181 190 149
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
GDP Russia in billion U.S. dollars
GDP
Russia in
billion
U.S.
dollars
11. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 10
Exports (USD billion) 515 527 522 498 341
Imports (USD billion) 319 336 341 308 193
Exports (annual variation in %) 31.3 2.3 -1.1 -4.6 -31.5
Imports (annual variation in %) 29.7 5.4 1.6 -9.7 -37.4
International Reserves (USD) 499 538 510 385 368
External Debt (% of GDP) 28.9 31.1 33.1 27.1 43.9
www.focus-economics.com
Increasingly familiar with the relationship between China and Russia, the more open the possibility
of cooperation between the two countries in various fields, and will be even greater increase
alertness US, Russia or China than if each walk alone. Since 2014, China has built five artificial islands
in the South China Sea to increase its power projection in the Pacific. Chinese battleships and fighter
jets of Chinese maritime patrol in the middle of Asia Pacific in response to movement of the Air
Force and the US Navy in the region.
Economic growth and military spending
The rate of economic growth impact on increasing the strength of the defense and military spending,
in addition to geopolitical conflicts that have a direct impact on the stability of the region. Even the
increasing global geopolitical tensions, the Asia Pacific region will solidify its position as a major
player in military spending in 2020. The long process in military modernization will be the main
political agenda in a number of countries in the region.
TABLE 11
TOP 15 MILITARY SPENDERS 2015
Rank
Country
Spending
2015 ($ b.)
Change 2006–
2015 (%)
World share
2015 (%)
2015 2014
1 1 USA 596 -3.9 36
2 2 China 215 132 13
3 4 Saudi Arabia 87.2 97 5.2
4 3 Russia 66.4 91 4.0
5 6 UK 55.5 -7.2 3.3
6 7 India 51.3 43 3.1
7 5 France 50.9 -5.9 3.0
8 9 Japan 40.9 -0.5 2.4
9 8 Germany 39.4 2.8 2.4
10 10 South Korea 36.4 37 2.2
11 11 Brazil 24.6 38 1.5
12 12 Italy 23.8 -30 1.4
13 13 Australia 23.6 32 1.4
14 14 UAE 22.8 136 1.4
15 15 Israel 16.1 2.6 1.0
Total Top 15 1350
World Total 1676 19 81
STOCKHOLM INTERNATIONAL PEACE RESEARCH INSTITUTE (SIPRI) April 2016
Tensions in the region, especially in the South China Sea is believed to contain oil and gas reserves
are abundant and the conflict of the Korean peninsula as the main drivers of geopolitical tensions.
The data of The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) said that global military
spending reached USD 1.67 trillion in 2015, this figure rose by 1 per cent from 2014.
12. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 11
United States continues to be ranked in the world's military spending, amounting to USD 596 billion,
equivalent to 36% of world military spending overall. China ranks second, valued at USD 215 billion.
In the decade 2006-2015, China has increased its military spending by 132% and increased by 7.4%
compared to 2014. Saudi Arabia ranks third replacing Russia, with military spending of USD 87.2
billion.
TABLE 12
MILITARY EXPENDITURE
ASIA & OCEANIA 2015
Region
Spending
2015
(USD bio)
Change (%)
2014–15 2006–15
Asia and Oceania 436 5.4 64
Central and South Asia 68.0 0.9 44
East Asia 302 5.7 75
Oceania 25.8 7.7 30
South East Asia 39.7 8.8 57
STOCKHOLM INTERNATIONAL PEACE RESEARCH INSTITUTE (SIPRI) April 2016
Total military spending in the Asia Pacific region from SIPRI data is released April 2016, for the year
2015 reached USD 436 billion. The figure increased by 5.4 percent from 2014, and increased 64
percent when calculated in the decade starting in 2006.
For ASEAN, Indonesia, Vietnam and the Philippines, showed sizable increased in military spending in
2015. Conflict South China Sea and the Korean Peninsula is the reason for increased military budget.
The figure will continue to rise, and is expected to reach US$ 533 billion at the end of this decade in
2020, as predicted by the issuing company specialist British military base, IHS Jane's. In a report
released on Sunday (21/02/2016), the IHS Janes's also predicted that countries in the Asia Pacific
region will make effective use of defense funds in early 2020, increasing from the decade of 2010.
China is at the top in 2010 with the military spending of US$ 134 billion which is 40 percent of
defense spending Asia Pacific, while for the year 2015 military spending China increased to US$ 191
billion which is 43 percent of defense expenditures Asia Pacific, and China is expected to remain is in
the top position until 2020.
However, military spending is predicted to continue static Japan. Likewise, South Korea will not
pursue China's increased spending is soaring annually. Interestingly, in Southeast Asia, Indonesia, the
Philippines, and Vietnam will enter the list of 10 countries that experienced a rapid increase in 2015.
Indonesia's defense budget has increased, which is 12.46 percent and the Philippines by 20 percent,
in the period 2014 to 2015.
Asia emerged with good prospects for a more positive and stable. Military spending in the Asia
Pacific region is expected to grow from USD415.6 billion in 2014 to USD547.1 billion in 2020: more
than 30% of the global total. Asia Pacific seen increased spending from 21.6% in 2009 to 26% in 2014
driven by China, India, and resurgent growth in emerging markets in Southeast Asia. It is estimated
that by 2020 the combined defense spending in Asia Pacific will surpass the United States and more
than twice that of the European Union (EU).
13. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 12
FIGURE 3
IHS Jane's Defense Budgets
Economic expansion in Asia will continue to form the basis of further growth in military spending,
strategic issues will motivate increased investment in the defense sector in a number of countries.
Despite the gradual slowdown continued to occur in the economic performance of China, but Beijing
announced an increase in the defense budget in February 2014 at a nominal 12.2%, the largest
increase since 2011. The firm position of China in the region, triggering Japan's decision to increase
its defense budget in 2014 and 2015.
In July 2014, the allocation of the core defense budget of India for the year 2014-2015 was revised
upwards to INR2.29 trillion (USD38.8 billion) in the first budget of the new government of the
Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), providing further evidence that the new government intends
strengthen India's military and more specifically the acceleration of procurement activities.
While the growth in South Korea's defense budget fell to its lowest level for five years in 2014, while
for the budget in 2015, showed growth to 4.9%. Based on the current government projections,
South Korea will be surpassed Australia to become the fourth largest expenditure on defense in the
Asia Pacific region in 2015, behind China, Japan, and India.
Indonesia also emerged after getting out of a period of chronic underfunding and have seen the
defense budget expanded rapidly in the last five years. While the 2015 budget - increased by 14% in
nominal terms to IDR95 trillion (USD8.1 billion) although it remains open to revision by the new
government in Jakarta, Joko Widodo President reiterated the government's intention to improve
Indonesia's defense spending at 1.5% of GDP for five next year from 0.9% currently.
14. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 13
FIGURE 4
IHS Jane's Defense Budgets
Shifting military force
US military stationed in more than 150 countries worldwide. Approximately 173,000 personnel from
a total of approximately 1.373 million, being active personnel who work outside the United States
and territory-territory. Most foreign personnel have deployed to conflict zones in the Middle East as
part of the War on Terror undergoing active fighting in Afghanistan. Most of the rest are placed in
installations that are activated during the Cold War with the Soviet Union after World War II.
The plan the United States would shift 60 percent of its military forces to the Asia Pacific region until
2020. A total of 200 US troops have arrived in Australia since April 2012 and as the first wave of
2,500 troops planned until the year 2017.
The placement of thousands of US troops in Darwin this indicates a shift in global strategy is very
significant. Most likely the US will use the remote Cocos Island as a US military base. The plan would
put the US military fighter aircraft manned and unmanned known as the Global Hawk.
TABLE 13
US military personnel in the world
Country Total Army Navy USMC USAF Remarks
War Zone
Afganistan 63.000
Iraq 217 Special forces
Syriah 300 300 Special forces
Africa and Midle East
Kuwait 15.000
Bahrain 2.902 23 2.316 534 29 5th fleet
Qatar 800 377 7 226 190
Diego Garcia 516 0 480 0 36 5th fleet
Egypt 292 217 19 26 30
Saudi Arabia 278 154 22 25 77
Uni Emirat Arab 193 13 13 73 94
15. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 14
Djibouti 139 1 1 137 0
Jordan 100-200
Asia Pacific
Japan 52.692 2.461 19.295 18.408 12.528 7th fleet
South Korea 28.500 19.755 274 242 8.815
Australia 183 30 70 28 55 Planed 2500
Singapore 180 8 142 17 13
Philippines 131 9 8 103 11
Thailand 114 43 9 38 24
Europe
Germany 45.596 30.696 475 345 14.080
Italy 10.916 3.306 3.525 41 4.044
Great Britain 9.310 305 326 62 8.617
Spain 1.600 65 1.093 75 367
Turki 1.491 62 7 12 1.410
Belgium 1.165 630 104 31 400
Portugal 713 14 52 14 633
Netherland 374 162 16 13 183
Greece 361 11 310 6 34
Norway 90 28 11 10 41
America Continental
Cuba, Guantanamo 988 384 473 131
Honduras 388 236 2 7 143
Canada 146 7 47 10 82
Greenland 138 138
United States
Conus 1.123.219 438.112 264.618 159.321 261.168 Continental of
United States
Hawaii 49.242 22.549 14.984 6.579 5.130 USPACOM
Alaska 21.280 13.643 44 16 7,577
Guam 5.646 68 3.404 183 1.991 7th fleet
Puerto Rico 162 92 20 21 29
• 1.199.556 active personnel in United States territory
• data Dec 31, 2012.
• Not including military or civilian contractor
• Ignored country with below 75 personnel
wikipedia.org; DoD.gov
The US and Australian government wants military cooperation the realization of a better future. The
US presence in the Asia Pacific region may increase stability in the region, also in order to establish
the existence of military bases along the equator in order to expand US military dominance in the
world.
Australia's military continues to follow the dynamics of the region and many have been government
with weapons purchases figure which increased 65 percent in the last five years. Most serious
project land of kangaroos it is buying 72 stealth fighter jet F-35 from the US for $ 12.4 billion.
In addition, Australia has ordered 12 units of new submarines with a value of 39 billion US dollars.
The defense contractor DCNS France won the tender competition from Japan and Germany on this
fantastic contract. The Australian government said, this contract is a contract of the largest and most
complex in the history of the country.
The Australian Government calls, ordered the submarine Barracuda is kind shortfin weighing 4,700
tons. This submarine has a powerful performance sensors and reconnaissance-specific
characteristics, but affordability and durability is maintained. Australia's submarine submarine
completes competition in Asia Pacific.
16. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 15
FIGURE 5
Asia Pasific by Aircraft Carrier Vessel
wikipedia.org;
Reasons Australian naval fleet complement to the submarine because of the escalation of
geopolitical conflict in the Asia Pacific region is growing, along with the military capacity of the
countries in the region. A total of 12 countries in the region already have submarines and at least
eight countries want to buy a new or replacing the submarines. War defense strength is somewhat
due to economic growth.
The existence of a submarine is a vital requirement of the combat power of the sea. The submarine
is a significant bat in a sea battle. Fleets of a country not yet daunting without the submarine, but
the submarine without anti-aircraft capabilities, it will only be a 'sitting duck', just be lying in wait
discovered and destroyed.
FIGURE 6
17. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 16
Competition in Pacific
United States and Russia also are citizens of the Asia-Pacific, even both have the Pacific Fleet, each
based in Hawaii and Vladivostok. Not only in the past, until now also powers Sea Fleet of the two
countries are still mutually reconnaissance and measure capabilities in the waters of the Asia Pacific
region, as reflected in the case of intrusion defense perimeter convoy USS Abraham Lincoln Carrier
Battle Group (CBG) by submarine Russia Kursk (K -141) in the mid-1990s without being detected by
ships their face.
Currently for the US Pacific Fleet (United States Pacific Fleet / USPACFLT) can be referred to as 'naval
power most able, ready, and significant in the world'- and the power of being able to maintain
‘rebalance’ of Asia. This fleet is a theater-level component command of the Pacific Ocean from the
United States Navy which provides naval forces of the US Pacific Command. The fleet is
headquartered at Naval Station Pearl Harbor, Hawaii, with a large secondary facilities in North
Island, Bay of San Diego in the Mainland. Pacific Fleet was formed in 1907 when the Asiatic Squadron
and the Pacific Squadron rolled into one.
TABLE 14
United States Pacific Fleet (USPACFLT)
U.S. NAVY 3rd Fleet
Responsible for the east and north Pacific including the Bering Sea and Aleutian Islands are an
important line of trade for the US and its Allies. Based at Naval Base Point Loma. 3rd Fleet is part of the
U.S. Pacific Fleet (USPACFLT). Fleet-3 was formed during World War II by Admiral Halsey. The mission
assigned to the 3rd fleet includes the prevention of regional conflicts and in peacetime operations serve
to train the personnel. Operations 3rd fleet is equipped with 5 types of nuclear-powered aircraft carrier
Nimitz class.
Name Type Remarks
USS Nimitz (CVN-68) • Capacity 90 fixed wing and
helicopters
• Operation Evening Light, Operation
Earnest Will,Operation Desert
Storm,Operation Iraqi Freedom,
Operation Enduring Freedom
USS Carl Vinson (CVN-70) • Capacity 90 fixed wing and
helicopters
• Placed at Western Pacific,Sea of
Japan
• Operation Earnest Will, Persian Gulf
support for Operation Southern
Watch, Operation Desert Strike,
Operation Enduring Freedom,
Operation Iraqi Freedom.
USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN-72) • Capacity 90 fixed wing and
helicopters
• Cost of build US$ 4.726 billion
• Placed at Western Pacific
• Operation Desert, Shield/Desert
Storm, Operation Fiery Vigil,
Operation Restore Hope, Operation
Vigilant Sentinel, Operation Infinite
Reach, Operation Enduring Freedom,
Operation Unified Assistance.
USS John C. Stennis (CVN-74) • Capacity 90 fixed wing and
helicopters
• Operation Southern Watch,
Operation Enduring Freedom,
Operation New Dawn.
USS Ronald Reagan (CVN-76) • Capacity 90 fixed wing and
18. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 17
helicopters
• Cost of building US$ 4.5 billion
• Operation Iraqi Freedom and
Operation Enduring Freedom.
Combined Task Force (CTF)
Name Task Force Type Location
CTF-30 Main Battle Force N/A
CTF 31 Command and Coordination Force N/A
CTF-32 Ready Force N/A
CTF-33 Logistics Support Force N/A
CTF-34 Theatre ASW Force Pearl Harbor, Hawaii
CTF-35 Surface Combatant Force
CTF-36 Amphibious Force
CTF-37 Carrier Strike Force
CTF-39 Landing Force
U.S. NAVY 5th Fleet
Responsible for the strength of America in the Persian Gulf, Red Sea, Arabian Sea and off the coast of
East Africa to Kenya. Formed in July 1995 after 48 years of dibekukan.Bermarkas in Manama, Bahrain.
As part of the US Naval Force Central Command (NAVCENT) and US Central Command (CENTCOM).
With NAVCENT, 5th fleet formed the Combined Task Force.
Combined Task Force (CTF)
Name Task Force Type Location
CTF-50 Battle Force Carrier Vessel
CTF-51 Amphibious Force
CTF-52 Mining/demining force
CTF-53 Logistics Force/Sealift Logistics Command Central, Military
Sealift Command.
CTF-54 Submarine Force
CTF-55 Mine clearing force
CTF-56 Navy Expeditionary Combat Command force
CTF-57 Patrol and Reconnaissance Force
CTF-58 Maritime Surveillance Force Northern Persian Gulf
CTF-59 Expeditionary Force/Contingency Force
CTF-150 Patrol Forces South Persian Gulf-
around the Horn of
Africa
CTF 151 Patrol Forces focused on deterring and disrupting Somalian
pirate attack on leisure boats and commercial shipping. Diego Garcia
CTF-152 Patrol Forces North Persian Gulf
CTF-158 Protects the Iraqi oil terminals North Persian Gulf
U.S. NAVY 7th Fleet
The fleet is compared with other US fleet. Measuring approximately 50-60 ships of various types, 350
aircraft and 60,000 personnel. Established on 19 February 1943. The area of operations covering the
western Pacific Ocean to the Indian Ocean. Centers are based in Yokosuka and Sasebo, Japan and
Guam.
U.S. Fleet Activities Yokosuka, Japan
Name Type Remarks
USS George Washington (CVN-73) • Capacity 90 fixed wing and
helicopters
• The 2000 NATO Exercise Destined
Glory, Operation Joint Endeavor,
Operation Deny Flight, Operation
Southern Watch, Operation Vigilant
Resolve, Operation Enduring
Freedom and Operation Iraqi
Freedom.
USS Blue Ridge (LCC-19)
USS Cowpens (CG-63)
USS Shiloh (CG-67)
USS Curtis Wilbur (DDG-54)
19. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 18
USS John S. McCain (DDG-56)
USS Fitzgerald (DDG-62)
USS Stethem (DDG-63)
USS Lassen (DDG-82)
USS McCampbell (DDG-85)
USS Mustin (DDG-89)
USS City of Corpus Christi (SSN-705)
U.S. Fleet Activities Sasebo, Japan
Name Type Remarks
USS Essex (LHD-2)
USS Denver (LPD-9)
USS Harpers Ferry (LSD-49)
USS Tortuga (LSD-46)
USS Guardian (MCM-5)
USS Patriot (MCM-7)
Apra Harbor, Guam
Name Type Remarks
USS Frank Cable (AS-40)
USS Houston (SSN-713)
USS Buffalo (SSN-715)
USS Chicago (SSN-721)
USS Key West (SSN-722)
USS Oklahoma City (SSN-723)
Combined Task Force (CTF)
Name Task Force Type Location
CTF-70 The Battle Force of 7th Fleet and is made up of two distinct
components: Surface Combatant Force 7th Fleet, composed
of cruisers and destroyers, and Carrier Strike Force 7th
Fleet, made up of at least one aircraft carrier and its
embarked air wing.
Vessel Carrier
CTF-71 all Naval Special Warfare (NSW) units and Explosive
Ordnance Disposal Mobile Units (EODMU) assigned to 7th
Fleet.
Guam
CTF-72 The Patrol-Reconnaissance Force of the Seventh Fleetof 7th
fleet
Naval Support Facility
Kamiseya, Japan
CTF-73 Logistics Group Western Pacific – 7th Fleet's Logistics Force
composed of supply ships and other fleet support vessels
Singapore
CTF-74 the designation used for the Enterprise battle group and the
Fleet Submarine Force responsible for planning and
coordinating submarine operations within 7th Fleet's area of
operations.
CTF-75 Navy Expeditionary Forces Command Pacific is 7th Fleet's
primary Expeditionary task force.
Guam
CTF-76 Amphibious Assault task force, mainly responsible for
supporting Marine landing operations.
Sasebo, Japan
CTF-77 7th Fleet Mine Warfare Force composed of mine
countermeasure, mine hunter, and mine control ships as well
as mine countermeasure helicopters (MH-53).
CTF-78 Served as the mine clearance force that cleared Haiphong
Harbour in Operation End Sweep. Major elements of the U.S.
Navy mine warfare force, including Mobile Mine Command
(MOMCOM), Mine Warfare Support Group (MWFSG), and
HM-12 were airlifted by C-5A
Philippines and Korea
CTF-79 The Marine expeditionary unit or Landing Force assigned to
the fleet, consisting of at least a reinforced Marine battalion
and its equipment. This unit is separate from the Marine
Expeditionary Unit (MEU) normally embarked in USS
Bonhomme Richard Amphibious Readiness Group (ARG).
Okinawa, Japan
Note:not including US Naval Aviation
www.csp.navy.mil; www.navy.mil
20. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 19
Pacific Fleet is part of the United States Pacific Command (United States Pacific Commando/
USPACOM) which is a joint combat command of the US armed forces led by the Commander of the
Pacific Command. Only the President of the United States as the Supreme Commander of the Armed
Forces and Minister of Defense who has a higher authority.
USPACOM is the command of the defense oldest and largest of the ten joint combat command in
the United States. Headquartered on the island of O'ahu in Honolulu, Hawaii, area surveillance
United States Pacific Command includes the west coast of the United States up to the western
border of India, and from Antarctica to the North Pole.
The main fighting force of the Pacific Command of the Army was formed from parts of the Pacific,
part of the Pacific Marine Forces, Pacific Fleet Navy and Air Force. All of these forces is
headquartered in Honolulu with additional force placed almost throughout the territory. A force of
about 300,000 military personnel from the Army, Navy, Air Force and Marines, or the equivalent of
20 percent of all US active military forces.
These forces are divided into three categories: primary forces estimated at 100,000, based forward,
and a base in the US mainland. US Navy revealed that there are currently about 360,000 US
personnel in Asia Pacific, the figure is likely to be improved, including the addition of aircraft and
sophisticated weapons.
TABLE 15
United States Pacific Commando (USPACOM)
Army Navy Air Forces Marine
• Army Pacific
Command by Division
Infanteri ke-25 (Hawaii
& Alaska)
• 106.000 personnel
• 300 aviation &
helicopter,
• 5 light flees
• Japan, South Korea,
Alaska, Hawaii
• 3rd fleet US west
coast,
• 5th fleet Persian Gulf-
West Indian Ocean,
• 7th fleet Japan, Asia
Pacific,
• 43 submarines (41
attack submarines),
• 200 USS,
• 600 naval aviation,
• 5 CVN & amphibi
forces groups,
• 140.000 personnel
• 29.000 personnel &
300 aviation
• Japan, South Korea,
Alaska & Hawaii.
• 85.000 personnel
(Marine Expeditionary
Force, California &
Expeditionary Force
III Marine, Japan)
• 1.200 personnel
special forces, with
acces US newest
weapons technology.
www.csp.navy.mil; www.navy.mil
Commander Submarine Force, U.S. Pacific Fleet (COMSUBPAC) is the principal advisor to the
Commander United States Pacific Fleet (USPACFLT) for submarine matters. The Pacific Submarine
Force (SUBPAC) includes attack, ballistic missile and auxiliary submarines, submarine tenders,
floating submarine docks, deep submergence vehicles and submarine rescue vehicles throughout
the Pacific.
The Force provides anti-submarine warfare, anti-surface ship warfare, precision land strike, mine
warfare, intelligence, surveillance and early warning and special warfare capabilities to the U.S.
Pacific Command and strategic deterrence capabilities to the U.S. Strategic Command.
ComSubPac's mission is to provide the training, logistical plans, manpower and operational plans
and support and tactical development necessary to maintain the ability of the Force to respond to
both peacetime and wartime demands.
21. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 20
TABLE 16
COMSUBPAC Submarines & Units
Pearl Harbor, Hawaii
Commander, Submarine Squadron 1 (COMSUBRON One)
Name Type Remarks
USS Bremerton (SSN-698) Los Angeles Class
USS Jacksonville (SSN-699) Los Angeles Class
USS Buffalo (SSN-715) Los Angeles Class
USS Jefferson City (SSN-759) Los Angeles Class
USS Charlotte (SSN-766) Los Angeles Class
USS Greeneville (SSN-772) Los Angeles Class
USS Texas (SSN-775) Virginia Class
USS Hawaii (SSN-776) Virginia Class
USS North Carolina (SSN-777) Virginia Class
USS Mississippi (SSN-782) Virginia Class
Commander, Submarine Squadron 7 (COMSUBRON Seven)
Name Type Remarks
USS City of Corpus Christi (SSN-705) Los Angeles Class
USS Houston (SSN-713) Los Angeles Class
USS Olympia (SSN-717) Los Angeles Class
USS Louisville (SSN-724) Los Angeles Class
USS Scranton (SSN-756) Los Angeles Class
USS Columbus (SSN-762) Los Angeles Class
USS Santa Fe (SSN-763) Los Angeles Class
USS Tucson (SSN-770) Los Angeles Class
USS Columbia (SSN-771) Los Angeles Class
USS Cheyenne (SSN-773) Los Angeles Class
Bremerton, Washington
Priority Material Office
Bangor, Washington
Commander, Submarine Group 9 (COMSUBGRU Nine)
Commander, Submarine Squadron 17 (COMSUBRON Seventeen)
Name Type Remarks
USS Henry M. Jackson (SSBN-730) • Ohio Class
• Trident II D5 (SLBM)
USS Alabama (SSBN-731) • Ohio Class
• Trident II D5 (SLBM)
USS Nevada (SSBN-733) • Ohio Class
• Trident II D5 (SLBM)
USS Pennsylvania (SSBN-735) • Ohio Class
• Trident II D5 (SLBM)
USS Maine (SSBN-741) • Ohio Class
• Trident II D5 (SLBM)
USS Louisiana (SSBN-743) • Ohio Class
• Trident II D5 (SLBM)
Commander, Submarine Squadron 19 (COMSUBRON Nineteen)
Name Type Remarks
USS Ohio (SSGN-726) • Ohio Class
• guided-missile submarines
• special operation
mission/forces, stealthy,
clandestine platform.
• tactical missiles & superior
communications
USS Michigan (SSGN-727) • Ohio Class
22. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 21
• guided-missile submarines
• special operation
mission/forces, stealthy,
clandestine platform.
• tactical missiles & superior
communications
USS Kentucky (SSBN-737) • Ohio Class
• Trident II D5 (SLBM)
USS Nebraska (SSBN-739) • Ohio Class
• Trident II D5 (SLBM)
Commander, Submarine Development Squadron 5 (COMSUBDEVRON Five)
Name Type Remarks
USS Seawolf (SSN-21) • Seawolf Class
• Date Deployed: July 19, 1997
USS Connecticut (SSN-22) Seawolf Class
USS Jimmy Carter (SSN-23) Seawolf Class
San Diego, California
Arctic Submarine Laboratory
Commander, Submarine Squadron 11 (COMSUBRON Eleven)
Name Type Remarks
USS Alexandria (SSN-757) Los Angeles Class
USS San Francisco (SSN-711) Los Angeles Class
USS Pasadena (SSN-752) Los Angeles Class
USS Scranton (SSN-756) Los Angeles Class
USS Hampton (SSN-767) Los Angeles Class
USS Arco (ARDM-5)
Undersea Rescue Command
Western Pacific
Commander, Submarine Group 7 (COMSUBGRU Seven) , Yokosuka, Japan
Responsible for submarines deployed to the Western Pacific, the Persian Gulf, Red Sea, Gulf of Oman, Arabian
Sea and parts of the Indian Ocean.
Commander, Submarine Squadron 15 (COMSUBRON Fifteen) (Guam)
Name Type Remarks
USS Chicago (SSN-721) Los Angeles Class
USS Key West (SSN-722) Los Angeles Class
USS Oklahoma City (SSN-723) Los Angeles Class
USS Topeka (SSN-754) Los Angeles Class
Virginia Beach, Virginia
Commander, Undersea Surveillance
Naval Ocean Processing Facility Whidbey Island, Washington
Integrated Undersea Surveillance System Operational Support Center Little Creek, Virginia
United States Submarines Class
Ohio Class
Builder: General Dynamics Electric Boat Division.
Propulsion: One nuclear reactor, one shaft.
Length: 560 feet (170.69 meters).
Beam: 42 feet (12.8 meters).
Displacement: 16,764 tons (17,033.03 metric tons) surfaced; 18,750 tons (19,000.1 metric tons)
submerged.
Speed: 20+ knots (23+ miles per hour, 36.8+ kph).
Crew: 15 Officers, 144 Enlisted.
Armament: Up to 154 Tomahawk missiles, Mk48 torpedoes; 4 torpedo tubes.
Virginia Class
23. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 22
Builder: General Dynamics Electric Boat Division and Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc. - Newport
News Shipbuilding
Propulsion: One nuclear reactor, one shaft
Length: 377 feet (114.8 meters)
Beam: 34 feet (10.36 meters)
Displacement: Approximately 7,800 tons (7,925 metric tons) submerged
Speed: 25+ knots (28+ miles per hour, 46.3+ kph)
Crew: 132: 15 officers; 117 enlisted
Armament: Tomahawk missiles, twelve VLS tubes (SSNs 774-783) or two VPTs (SSNs 784 and
beyond), MK48 ADCAP torpedoes, 4 torpedo tubes.
Seawolf Class
Builder: General Dynamics Electric Boat Division.
Propulsion: One nuclear reactor, one shaft
Length: SSNs 21 and 22: 353 feet (107.6 meters) SSN 23: 453 feet (138.07 meters)
Beam: 40 feet (12.2 meters)
Displacement: SSNs 21 and 22: 9,138 tons (9,284 metric tons) submerged; SSN 23 12,158 tons
(12,353 metric tons) submerged
Speed: 25+ knots (28+ miles per hour, 46.3+ kph)
Crew: 140: 14 Officers; 126 Enlisted
Armament: Tomahawk missiles, MK48 torpedoes, 8 torpedo tubes.
Los Angeles Class
Builder: Newport News Shipbuilding Co.; General Dynamics Electric Boat Division
Propulsion: One nuclear reactor, one shaft
Length: 360 feet (109.73 meters)
Beam: 33 feet (10.06 meters)
Displacement: Approximately 6,900 tons (7011 metric tons) submerged
Speed: 25+ knots (28+ miles per hour, 46.3 +kph)
Crew: 16 Officers; 127 Enlisted
Armament: Tomahawk missiles, VLS tubes (SSN 719 and later), MK48 torpedoes, 4 torpedo tubes.
www.csp.navy.mil; www.navy.mil
On the different parties, during the Cold War, Russia's move to address the presence of the US Navy
in the Pacific is very simple, namely: anti-access and area denial (A2 / AD). Russia has a strategy to
cripple the US Navy with a massive attack by the supersonic cruise missile from a variety of
platforms. Pacific Fleet Russia plays an important role, with the number of 800 ships, supported by
maritime aviation system remotely, attack submarines, and aircraft equipped with electronic
weapons.
Pacific Fleet, called Red Banner Pacific Fleet, in Soviet times was part of the Russian Navy stationed
in the Pacific Ocean, which was previously located on the far eastern border of the Soviet Union. The
headquarters is located in Vladivostok fleet and a number of fleet bases located in the region of
Vladivostok. Another important basic fleet in the Russian Far East region is Petropavlovsk-
Kamchatsky in Avacha Bay in the Kamchatka Peninsula, with a large submarine base in Vilyuchinsk
located in the same bay.
In Soviet times, the Pacific Fleet is also responsible for the administrative and operational direction
of the Navy and the Indian Ocean naval squadron of the Soviet Union as a technical support points
owned by the countries in the Indian Ocean region, as well as facilities on the island of Socotra.
Deterioration of Russian naval and maritime aviation of Russia after the Cold War ended in 1991
created a huge void in the Pacific, the US regain the Pacific region. However, in the world of
geopolitics, as a fading force, there are always other countries who are ready to take over the
position. Despite China's growing military power, Russia kept trying to restore military power in the
Pacific.
24. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 23
TABLE 17
Russia Pacific Fleet
surface
combatants Type Name Class Year
011 Cruiser Varyag Slava 1989
543 Destroyer Marshal Shaposhnikov Udaloy I 1985
564 Destroyer Admiral Tributs UdaloyI 1985
572 Destroyer Admiral Vinogradov UdaloyI 1988
548 Destroyer Admiral Panteleyev UdaloyI 1991
715 Destroyer Bystryy Sovremenny 1989
Note: melakukan penambahan berupa:
2 destroyer amfibi Mistral class • Weight 16.500 ton, length 199 meter, beam 32 meter,
speed 18,8 knot, discovery 19.800 kilometer.
• Capacity 59 vehicle including 13 tank Leclerc or total 40
tank (only Leclerc tank), (16 helicopter heavy class or 35
light helicopter, logistik support, tank, armored vehicle
and 900 personnel to landing.
6 korvet Steregushchy class • Heavy ship multi function, length 105 meter, beam 13
meter, draft 3,7 meter, weight 2.200 ton, NATO classified
as fregat.
• Coastal patrol, tendem ship, anti submarines weapons
(ASW), surface ship, aviation and coastal target.
• Very complementary operation with Mistral class.
• Will replace for corvette Grisha class.
Submarines Type Name Class Year
K-551 SSBN Vladimir Monomakh Borei* 2014
K-550 SSBN Alexander Nevsky Borei 2013
K-44 SSBN Ryazan Delta III 1979
K-223 SSBN Podolsk Delta III 1980
K-433 SSBN Svyatoy Georgiy
Pobedonosets
Delta III 1981
K-150 SSGN Tomsk Oscar II 1991
K-456 SSGN Tver Oscar II 1991
K-442 SSGN Chelyabinsk Oscar II 1990
K-132 SSGN Irkutsk Oscar II 1988
K-186 SSGN Omsk Oscar II 1993
K-331 SSN Magadan Akula I 1990
K-419 SSN Kuzbass Akula I 1992
K-322 SSN Kashalot Akula I 1988
K-391 SSN Bratsk Akula I 1987
K-295 SSN Samara Akula II 1995
B-260 SSK Chita Kilo 1981
B-394 SSK Svyatoy Nikolay Kilo 1988
B-445 SSK Chudotvorets Kilo 1988
B-464 SSK Ust’-Kamchatsk Kilo 1990
B-494 SSK Ust’-Bolsheretsk Kilo 1990
B-187 SSK Komsomolsk-na-Amure Kilo 1991
B-190 SSK Krasnokamensk Kilo 1993
B-345 SSK Mogocha Kilo 1994
Note:
Building SSBN Yasen class & will operated in 2017
Borei*
• As 4th generation
• Length 175 meter, beam 13 meter, deep capable 450 meter, speed 29 knot, crew 107, armament
16 SLBM Bulava, with 6-10 nuclear war head, theoriticly, every Borei class able to attack 160 cities
in radius 8.300 kilometer.
• Building 8 SSBN Borei class as strategic counter.
• Will replace class of Typhoon, Delta-III dan Delta-IV.
Naval Aviation
Placed Unit Remarks
25. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 24
568th Independent Composite Aviation Regiment - HQ at
Mongokhto
Tu-22M3
Tu-142MR/MZ
865th Red Banner Order of Labour Fighter Aviation Regiment
PVO - HQ at Yelizovo-Petropavlovsk-Kamchatsky Airport
MiG-31 transferred to
Pacific Fleet
on 1 July 1998
317th Composite Air Regiment - HQ at Yelizovo Ilyushin-38 modified &
upgraded
71st Independent MIlitary Transport Air Squadron - HQ at
Nikolayevka, Primorskaya
An-12
An-24
An-26
175th Independent Shipborne Anti-submarine Helicopter
Squadron - HQ at Yelizovo
Ka-27
289th Independent Anti-submarine Air Regiment - HQ at
Nikolayevka
Ilyushin-38
Ka-27
Ka-29
Note: As of 2007 the Naval Aviation of the Pacific Fleet consisted
Missile Remarks
Misil pesisir Bal dan Bastion
Pertahanan udara Pantsir & S-400 Triumf
In 1991 through the mid-2000s, a few years after the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia lost much
of the Pacific Fleet unit, including all aircraft operators. Even at the beginning of 2000 there was only
one cruiser remained active in the fleet. But at the end of 2010, the Russian Pacific Fleet began to
rise, which consists of a large missile cruisers, five destroyers, ten nuclear submarines, and eight
electric-diesel submarines.
Increasing geopolitical conflict a positive impact on Russia. Despite the dominance has diminished
due to the collapse of the Soviet Union after the Cold War, but the escalation of the conflict the
region to increase the interest of regional countries against Russia military technology, which is quite
reliable and proven in use over the years. Some Asia Pacific countries such as Iran, Syria, India,
China, North Korea, Vietnam and even Indonesia, which of them are the dominant countries in the
region, has been using Russian military technology.
TABLE 18
Pacific Fleet Comparison
United States
Military budget Biggest military budget of the world
Total personnel Have more total military personnel than Russia
Total weapons United States deploy various types of technology and considerable amount of
defense equipment in Asia Pacific
Military base United States put a lot of military personnel in the various countries in the Asia
Pacific region
Mastery field Distribution of United States military personnel were quite a lot, make the United
States more superior in the control field.
Russia
Quality weaponry Russian military technology is conservative, has provided adequate quality and
proven in the field and field beragai conflict.
Underwater power With the quality of military technology, the presence of submarines and equip
weapons of choice Asia Pacific countries.
Spread of technology The availability of technology, quality of technology, budget affordability, suitability
requirements, ease of use factor distribution of Russian military technology.
Nuclear arsenal
(ICBM-SLBM)
Russia's nuclear arsenal superior in number, range and warhead.
The closeness of past history, observation and understanding of the technology, the closeness of the
economy, has made Russia as countries supplying arms Asia Pacific region. This certainly have an
impact on economic growth Russia, which so far has relied on exports of energy commodities. Will
26. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 25
also provide a new hegemony impact on the use of Russian military technology is increasingly
familiar. The availability of technology, quality of technology, budget affordability, suitability
requirements, ease of use into a distribution factor and the dominance of military equipment and
armament Russia in the Asia-Pacific, which is not likely to be an addiction/dependence in meeting
the military needs of a country.
TABLE 19
Asia-Pacific Submarine Race
1. Australia • 6 SSK Collins class build 1990-2000 by Australian Submarines Corp, Adelaide with
missiles AS Mk-48 ADCAP & Harpoon
• building 12 SSK Shortfin Barracuda (4.700 ton) USD 39 billion by DCNS France
2. China • 1 SSBN Xia class build 1981,
• 1 SSB Golf class build 1966,
• 5 SSN Han class build 1970-1990,
• 3 SSG Song class build 1994-1999,
• 4 SSK Kilo class build 1980-1998,
• 19 SS Ming class build 1971-1999,
• 1 SSG Romeo/modify,
• 31 SSG Romeo class,
• 10 SSK diesel electrict Kilo class by Russia with supersonic missiles SS-N-27 ASCM,
• developing SSBN Jin class and SSN Shang class,
• building SSG diesel electrict Song class with underwater cruiser missiles,
• waiting for Lada-class.
3. Japan • 6 SSK Oyashio class build 1996-2001,
• 7 SSK Harushio class build 1989-1995
• 9 SSK Yuushio class build 1980-1988
• 8 SSK Soryu 2013 with homing torpedo and Sub Harpoon.
• as political policy, military Japan cannot to show, but it have substantial fire power to
destroy any navy in Asia Pacific. Japan have naval doctrin that able to operated in 1000
sea mill for Japanese land, absolutely the Japan navy able to executed the doctrin.
• Japan navy power designed and capacity upgraded to anti access for their teritory. The
Japan submarines fleet supported by surface power and air force, to be barrier for
China navy.
4. India • 4 SSK U-209/1500 class build 1984-1992,
• 5 SS Foxtrot class build 1970
• 10 SSK Kilo class build 1986-2000.
• 1 SSN Arihant class Akula II Russia with 4 silos vertical launcher K-15 Sagarika ballistic
missiles
• 1 SSK Chakra class Akula I Russia
• Acquisition 6 SSK Scorpene class by France (1.700 ton) with torpedo and exocet.
• India’s submarines fleets for anticipating the military of Pakistan and Cina.
5. Indonesia • 1 SSK Cakra class
• 1 SSK Nanggala class
• 12 SSK electrict diesel Chang-Bogo Class
• Interest for acquisition Astute Class and Kilo Class.
6. South Korea • 9 SSK tipe 209 German
• 3 SSK tipe 214
7. North Korea • 20 SSK Romeo class
• 40 SSK Sang-O class
• 10 SSK mini Yono class
8. Malaysia • 2 SSK Scorpene class by Prancis (Tunku Abdul Rahman and Tun Razak) with Black
Shark homing torpedo and Exocet.
• 1 SSK Agosta 70 class by Prancis for training
• Dealing budget $ 1,1 miliar.
9. Pakistan • 5 SSK Agosta class by France (2 Agosta 70 & 3 Agosta 90B), with 4 torpedo and
Exocet, independent propultion system has made as modern SSK in Asia.
• Head to head to India
10. Singapore • 2 SSK Archer class
• 4 SSK Centurion/Challenger/Sjoormen class ex Sweden (modified)
27. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 26
11. Taiwan • 2 SSK Hai Lung class, by Wilton Fijenoord, Netherland
• 2 SS Guppy II class, ex United States un accutrated.
12. Vietnam • 6 SSK Kilo-class, type HQ-182, electrict diesel by Russia, (@4000 ton), with torpedo
supersonic SS-N-27.
• Deal of "Upgrade Kilo" (Project 636).
13. Thailand Preparing navy personel for submarines
FIGURE 7
naval graphic
28. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 27
Nuclear power
Of all the countries in the world that have nuclear weapons (nuclear club) totaling 9 countries, as
many as 7 countries are among the countries of Asia-Pacific, and the only two countries of
continental Europe. In 2015, the world's entire nuclear arsenal was estimated at 15,850 pieces, and
as many as 15 338 pieces, or about 96.8 percent in the Asia Pacific. Of the total nuclear arsenal in
the world, as many as 1,800 in the standby state.
In the last five years, nuclear power in the Asia-Pacific showed an increase. China shows a slight
increase in the size of its nuclear arsenal. As for India and Pakistan, both countries are equally
expanding production capabilities of nuclear weapons and developing new missile delivery systems.
For North Korea seems to progress at a military nuclear program, but technical advances are difficult
to assess based on open sources.
TABLE 20
WORLD NUCLEAR FORCES 2015
Country
Year of
first nuclear
test
Deployed
warheads
a
Other
warheads
Total
Inventory
Wrold
Share
(%)
Remark
United States 1945 2080 5180 7260 45.8
Russia 1949 1780 5720 7500 47.3
United Kingdom 1952 150 65 215 1.4 Europe
France 1960 290 10 300 1.9 Europe
China 1964 .. 260 260 1.6
India 1974 .. 90–110 90–110 0.7
Pakistan 1998 .. 100–120 100–120 0.76
Israel .. .. 80 80 0.5
North Korea 2006 .. .. 6-8 0.05
Total 4300 11 545 15 850
Source: SIPRI Yearbook 2015 (Oxford University Press: Oxford, 2015), all estimates are approximate.
China not only acquire missiles in Russia but also engineered the Russian cruise missile obtained
from Ukraine. Modifications China would be a major threat to the US Navy. China has a keen interest
in the Russian strategic weapons, whereas previously, strategic weapons Russia is not offered
padaChina. However, because the West continues to send sanctions against Russia, then Russia may
change direction and supply China with strategic weapons such as Backfire bombers and Akula
submarines, which were previously only supplied to India.
China has successfully developed ballistic missile capable antikapal attack ships were moving at sea.
With the help of Russia, is not impossible that the missile would carry a nuclear warhead. A fact, that
no warship West-either already exist or are still a plan that is able to stop the supersonic cruise
missile Raduga Kh-22 (NATO nickname: AS-4 Kitchen) or a smaller version, KSR-5. In fact, in the
1980s, maritime aviation Russia is very confident about the accuracy of the missile, air until Russia as
Backfire only transport one piece Kh-22 armed with nuclear warheads.
Previously, the United States ahead of Russia in terms of technology and the number of
intercontinental nuclear missiles. However, in the early 1970s when the SS-18 began to ready for use
in large quantities, Russia catch up and move Russia began unstoppable. In 1990, Russia has
approximately 40,000 stock of nuclear warheads, and the United States only has 28,000 pieces. Only
by using the 3,000 warhead SS-18, Russia can destroy all the humans in the continental United
States in just 30 minutes.
29. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 |
STOCKHOLM INTERNATIONAL PEACE RESEARCH INSTIT
Throughout history, there is no weapon that has the destructive power greater than intercontinental
ballistic missiles SS-18 belongs to Russia. To understand the real power of these deadly weapons,
compared with a nuclear warhead u
of the Hiroshima bomb 'only' 15 kilotonnes (KT) or the equivalent of 15,000 tons of TNT. The bomb
was capable of eliminating 70,000 lives. Meanwhile, an SS
separate pieces, each approximately 750 KT explosive. Some missile warhead weapon also features
a giant 20,000 KT.
SS-18 Satan, code-named by NATO weighs 209,000 kilograms and a length of 31 meters. Russia
highly accurate missiles are not only able to
up to 300 psi, but silonya own silo
are not invincible.
Remarkably, the size and the weight of all that, the missiles can perform
a series of S-shaped curved movement to avoid anti
electronic equipment can be strengthened so that it can function even when exposed to nuclear
attack.
America and Russia have done a dea
threat to the United States, so that these missiles into the issue of focus in the discussion of
weaponry between the two superpowers. The US is willing to get rid of their strategic missile
deployed in Europe if Russia agreed to significantly reduce the strength of its rockets. From the
launch of the SS-18 silos as many as 308 in 1991, Russia has reduced the amount of up to 154 pieces
to adhere to the treaty START I.
USA; 7260
France; 300
China; 260
ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 |
FIGURE 8
STOCKHOLM INTERNATIONAL PEACE RESEARCH INSTITUTE (SIPRI) April 2016
Throughout history, there is no weapon that has the destructive power greater than intercontinental
18 belongs to Russia. To understand the real power of these deadly weapons,
compared with a nuclear warhead used the United States to devastated Hiroshima. Explosive power
of the Hiroshima bomb 'only' 15 kilotonnes (KT) or the equivalent of 15,000 tons of TNT. The bomb
was capable of eliminating 70,000 lives. Meanwhile, an SS-18 can carry up to ten nuclear warhea
separate pieces, each approximately 750 KT explosive. Some missile warhead weapon also features
named by NATO weighs 209,000 kilograms and a length of 31 meters. Russia
highly accurate missiles are not only able to penetrate and destroy the missile silos, which amplified
up to 300 psi, but silonya own silo-reinforced extraordinarily up to 6,000 psi. It makes those missiles
Remarkably, the size and the weight of all that, the missiles can perform sidewinding motion, namely
shaped curved movement to avoid anti-missile defense. In addition, the micro
electronic equipment can be strengthened so that it can function even when exposed to nuclear
America and Russia have done a deal related to nuclear weapons. SS-18 missiles gives an existential
threat to the United States, so that these missiles into the issue of focus in the discussion of
weaponry between the two superpowers. The US is willing to get rid of their strategic missile
deployed in Europe if Russia agreed to significantly reduce the strength of its rockets. From the
18 silos as many as 308 in 1991, Russia has reduced the amount of up to 154 pieces
Russia; 7500
USA; 7260
France; 300
China; 260
UK; 215
Pakistan; 120
India; 110
Israel; 80
North Korea; 8
ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 28
Throughout history, there is no weapon that has the destructive power greater than intercontinental
18 belongs to Russia. To understand the real power of these deadly weapons,
sed the United States to devastated Hiroshima. Explosive power
of the Hiroshima bomb 'only' 15 kilotonnes (KT) or the equivalent of 15,000 tons of TNT. The bomb
18 can carry up to ten nuclear warheads
separate pieces, each approximately 750 KT explosive. Some missile warhead weapon also features
named by NATO weighs 209,000 kilograms and a length of 31 meters. Russia
penetrate and destroy the missile silos, which amplified
reinforced extraordinarily up to 6,000 psi. It makes those missiles
sidewinding motion, namely
missile defense. In addition, the micro
electronic equipment can be strengthened so that it can function even when exposed to nuclear
18 missiles gives an existential
threat to the United States, so that these missiles into the issue of focus in the discussion of
weaponry between the two superpowers. The US is willing to get rid of their strategic missiles
deployed in Europe if Russia agreed to significantly reduce the strength of its rockets. From the
18 silos as many as 308 in 1991, Russia has reduced the amount of up to 154 pieces
30. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 29
FIGURE 9
TABLE 21
World ICBM
1 RUSSIA
Active
• R-36M2 Voevoda / SS-18 Satan
• UR-100N 15A30 / SS-19 Stiletto
• RT-2PM Topol / 15Zh58 / SS-25 Sickle
• RT-2PM2 Topol-M / SS-27 / RS12M1 / RS12M2
• RS-24: MIRV-equipped.
• R-29R SS-N-18 Stingray
• R-29RK SS-N-18 Stingray Mod 2
• R-29RL MIRV-equipped/SS-N-18 Stingray Mod 3
• R-29RM MIRV-equipped/SS-N-23 Skiff
• R-29RMU Sineva MIRV-equipped/SS-N-23 Sineva mode 2
• R-29RMU2 MIRV-equipped/SS-N-23 Liner
• RSM-56 Bulava MIRV-equipped/SS-NX-30
Inactive
• R-7 Semyorka / 8K71 / SS-6 Sapwood: Rocket first used to launch Sputnik 1 in October 1957.
Derivatives are still in use today, primarily as the launcher for manned Soyuz and Progress
spacecraft launches to the International Space Station
• R-16 SS-7 Saddler
• R-9 Desna / SS-8 Sasin
• R-36 SS-9 Scarp
• UR-100 8K84 / SS-11 Sego
• RT-2 8K98 / SS-13 Savage
• MR-UR-100 Sotka / 15A15/ SS-17 Spanker
31. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 30
• RT-23 Molodets / SS-24 Scalpel
• R-29 SS-N-8 Sawfly
• R-39 Rif SS-N-20 Sturgeon
2 UNITED STATES
Active
• Minuteman III (LGM-30G): launched from silo
• UGM-133 Trident II submarine-launched ballistic missile
Inactive
• Atlas (SM-65, CGM-16): Former ICBM launched from silo, the rocket was modified and used in
1962-1963 for four manned Mercury-Atlas flights, and was used, along with the Agena or Centaur
upper stages, as a medium-lift satellite and interplanetary probe launcher for NASA and the USAF.
Original design, with "balloon tanks" and "1.5 staging," has since been retired and replaced with the
Atlas V, which has an internal structure similar to the Titan ICBM, but using conventional
propellants.
• Titan I (SM-68, HGM-25A): Based in underground launch complexes. Used LOX/RP-1 propellants
like Atlas, but stored in conventional tanks.
• Titan II (SM-68B, LGM-25C): Former hypergolic-fueled ICBM launched from silo, the rocket was
used in 1965-1966 for ten manned Gemini flights and its two-stage core was modified into the
heavy-lifting Titan III and Titan IV rockets. All Titan II, III, and IV models have since been retired.
• Minuteman I (SM-80, LGM-30A/B, HSM-80)
• Minuteman II (LGM-30F)
• LGM-118 Peacekeeper / MX (LGM-118A): silo-based, with rail basing tested; decommissioned in
September 2005
• Midgetman: road mobile launcher; has never been operational, cancelled in 1992
3 CHINA
DF (Dong Feng or East Wind) are land-based ICBMs.
• DF-4 (CSS-3): 1975, silo-based, 5,500-7,000 km
• DF-5, DF-5A, and DF-5B (CSS-4): silo based, (1981) 13,000- (1983) 15,000 km, MIRV - 3 to 8
• DF-31 (CSS-9): 2006, road mobile, 7,250-8,000 km range.
• DF-31A: 2007, road-mobile, 11,270 km, MIRV - 3
• DF-31B: 2015, road-mobile, unknown range and MIRV capability
• DF-41 (CSS-X-10): 2010, road-mobile, 12,000-15,000 km MIRV - up to 10
4 FRANCE
France only deploys submarine-launched ICBMs, with all land based IRBMs decommissioned.
France’s nuclear arsenal consists of approximately 300 warheads for delivery by submarine-launched
ballistic missiles (SLBMs) and air-launched cruise missile. President François Hollande stated in February
2015 that the stockpile included 300 warheads for 48 SLBMs and 54 cruise missiles.
Four Triomphant class nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines (SSBNs) form the backbone of France’s
nuclear deterrent, complemented by nuclear-capable land- and sea-based combat aircraft.
5 UNITED KINGDOM
The United Kingdom’s nuclear deterrent consists exclusively of a sea-based component: Vanguard class
Trident nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines (SSBNs) armed with the UGM-133 Trident II D5
submarine- launched ballistic missile (SLBM) and associated warheads, and their support infrastructure.
The UK possesses an arsenal of about 150 operational nuclear warheads that are available for use by a fleet
of four Trident SSBNs stationed at the Faslane Naval Base in western Scotland. The UK does not own the
missiles, but leases them from a pool of 58 Trident SLBMs shared with the United States Navy. The UK has
joined a US programme to extend the service life of the Trident II D5 missile from 2028 until 2042.
6 INDIA
• Agni-V: road and rail mobile ICBM with a range of 5,500-8,000 km
• Agni-VI: ICBM with a range of 8,000-10,000 km
7 PAKISTAN
Pakistan is estimated to possess about 100–120 nuclear weapons for delivery by aircraft and land-based
missiles. It is widely believed that, in peacetime, Pakistan stores its nuclear warheads separate from their
delivery vehicles. However, the Strategic Plans Division (SPD), which operates Pakistan’s nuclear forces, has
never confirmed such arrangements.
8 ISRAEL
Jericho III is a road mobile ICBM which entered service in 2008, a three-stage solid propellant missile with a
payload of 1,000 to 1,300 kg with a range of 4,800 to 11,500 km (2,982 to 7,180 miles). In November 2011,
Israel successfully test fired an ICBM believed to be an upgraded version of the Jericho III.
9 NORTH KOREA
32. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 31
Under Development
• KN-08
• BM25 Musudan - if modified
• KN-11 - if modified
In 50 years after it was first deployed, the SS-18 remains ready for use. Russia strategic missile
arsenal will increase by 400 new missiles in the next ten years, even the SS-18 are likely to endure
until the period of late 2040 after the upgrade. Most of the shooting of successful trials over the past
decade, and other quality control tests also showed positive results. Budget and qualified personnel
remain deployed for the development of missile arsenal, which is the last defense of Russia.
Furthermore, START II aims at eliminating all missiles SS-18, but the agreement was not enforced so
that these missiles remains active. From the standpoint of Russia, delays are clearly beneficial. But
with the deteriorating relations with the US Russia after NATO expands to near the border of Russia,
then Russia decided to set up a weapons superclass.
FIGURE 10
TABLE 22
Intercontinental-range submarine-launched ballistic missiles
1 The U.S. Navy
currently has 18 Ohio-class submarines deployed, of which 14 are designated SSBNs and armed with 24
Trident II SLBMs each, for a total of 288 Trident II missiles equipped with 1,152 MIRV nuclear warheads.
2 The Russian Navy
currently has 12 SSBNs deployed, including 4 Delta III class submarines, 7 Delta IV class submarines and 1
Typhoon class submarine. Missiles include R-29R SLBMs and R-29RMU Sineva/R-29RMU2 SLBMs with
MIRV warheads for a total of 181 missiles equipped with 639 nuclear warheads. The Borei class SSBNs and
Bulava SLBMs are under development.
3 The United Kingdom's Royal Navy
has four Vanguard class SSBNs, each armed with 16 Trident II SLBMs with MIRV warheads for a total of 64
Trident II missiles and 225 nuclear warheads.
4 The French Navy
has four Triomphant class SSBNs each armed with 16 M45s SLBMs with TN75 MIRV nuclear warheads. The
33. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 32
M45 SLBMs are scheduled to be upgraded to M51.1 and M51.2 (expected to enter service in 2015).
5 The People's Republic of China's People's Liberation Army Navy
has five Type 094 SSBNs each to be armed with 12-16 JL-2 SLBMs.
6 The Indian Navy
in 2015 that India has a submarine launch ballistic missiles based on some variants of the Agni series, the K
Missile family which will be a series of submarine-launched solid fueled missiles. K-5 missile, with a maximum
range of 6,000 kilometers and a payload of one tonne, developed by DRDO which may be the SLBM version
of AGNI-VI (ICBM). A variant of the K-4 missile is also under developed, with a range of 5,000 km and is
intended to arm the future, larger nuclear submarines of the Indian Navy. India, having completed the
development of its first ballistic missile submarine INS Arihant, is reported to be developing at least three more
submarines in the Arihant class i.e. total 4 SSBN.
Longterm strategic stability
Economic growth impact on improving defense and military spending needs of a country. Modern
military is part of a country's economic, military capacity following the economic capacity of a
country. Although no specific exemption for the state of North Korea. Economic growth and rising
military capacity of a country will certainly have an impact on the economy and the escalation of
geopolitical conflict region. It takes the mental maturity and readiness program in the alignment of
economic growth and an increase in the military strength of a country, to focus without ignoring
regional stability.
Nuclear capability Asia-Pacific countries are growing, both ICBMs and SLBMs, as demonstrated
capacity and regional superiority. Stability in the region is certainly in need of re-handling and
communication as well as the situation of the cold war several decades ago.
Increased military power, including nuclear power in this case, is a necessity that can not be avoided
with the increase in economic growth in the Asia Pacific region. But still have to find ways to limit
and manage them, and make sure that the terrifying weapons strengthen rather than undermine
peace and stability in the region.
Asia Pacific is preparing for a situation that will heat up before it turns into a better and stable. Of
course it remains to be offset by confidence-building measures, maritime security dialogue and
strategic stability of the countries of the Asia Pacific region. The move is expected to solve the
fundamental problem. Seeing the escalation of geopolitical, stakeholders towards strategic stability
in the Asia Pacific region can only hope that the program of military force arrayed in a mature region
as soon as possible.
***
38. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 |
APPENDIX. II
Global Firepower; The Center for Arm Controland Non
ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 |
TABLE 24
Firepower; The Center for Arm Controland Non-Proliferation
ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 37
41. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 40
APPENDIX. IV
TABLE 26
Legend for launch system status in below table:
Operational Under development Inactive Unknown status
WORLD ICBM
No. Name Operator Manufacturer Max range
Missile
mass
Warhead/payload Status
First
flight
MIRV Mobility
Accuracy
(CEP)
1 RS-28
Sarmat
Russia State Rocket Center
Makeyev
N/A 100,000 kg 10,000 kg Under
development
2016
(planned)
Yes Silo N/A
2 R-36M2
Voevoda
USSR Yuzhny Machine-
Building Plant
11,000 km
(or 16,000
km with a
single
warhead)
211,400 kg 10 x 800 kt / 8730
kg
Active 1986 Yes Silo 220 m
3 UR-100N
UTTKh
USSR Khrunichev Machine-
Building Plant
10,000 km 105,600 kg 6 x 550 kt / 4350
kg
Active 1977 Yes Silo N/A
4 RT-2PM
Topol
USSR Votkinsk Machine
Building Plant
10,500 km 45,100 kg 800 kt Active 1985 No Road-mobile
TEL
200 m
5 RT-2PM2
Topol-M
Russia Votkinsk Machine
Building Plant
11,000 km 47,200 kg 800 kt Active 1994 Yes Silo, road-
mobile TEL
200 m
6 RS-24 Russia Votkinsk Machine
Building Plant
12,000 km 49,000 kg 4 x 550 kt Active 2007 Yes Silo, road-
mobile TEL
150 m
7 R-29R Russia State Rocket Center
Makeyev
6,500 km 35,300 kg 1650 kg Active N/A N/A Delta III
Submarine
N/A
8 R-29RK Russia State Rocket Center
Makayev
6,500 km 34,388 kg 1650 kg Active N/A Yes Delta III
Submarine
N/A
9 R-29RL Russia State Rocket Center
Makeyev
9,000 km 35,300 kg 1650 kg Active N/A Yes Delta III
Submarine
N/A
10 R-29RM Russia Krasnoyarsk
Machine-Building
Plant
8,300 km 40,300 kg 2800 kg Active N/A Yes Delta IV
Submarine
N/A
11 R-29RMU
Sineva
Russia Krasnoyarsk
Machine-Building
Plant
11,547 km 40,300 kg N/A Active 2004 Yes (6) Delta IV
Submarine
N/A
12 R-29RMU2
Layner
Russia Krasnoyarsk
Machine-Building
11,000 km+ 40,000 kg N/A Active 2011 Yes (12) Delta IV
Submarine
N/A
42. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 41
Plant
13 RSM-56
Bulava
Russia Votkinsk Plant State
Production
Association
10,000 km 36,800 kg 6 x 150 kt Active 2005 Yes Borei class
submarine
200 m
14 R-7
Semyorka
USSR Soviet Academy of
Sciences
12,000 km 280,000 kg 2.9 Mt of TNT Inactive 1959 No Launch pad 5,000 m
15 R-16 USSR Khartron 11,000 km 141,000 kg 5 Mt Inactive 1961 No Silo 2,700 m
16 R-9 Desna USSR NPO Energomash
Khartron
11,000 km N/A 2.3 Mt Inactive 1961 No Silo 2,000 m
17 UR-100 USSR Khrunichev Machine-
Building Plant
10,600 km 41,400 kg 1 Mt Inactive 1966 No Silo N/A
18 RT-2 USSR 8,000 km 34,000 kg 600 kt Inactive 1968 No Silo
19 MR-UR-100
Sotka
USSR Yuzhny Machine-
Building Plant
10,250 km 71,200 kg 4×0.4 Mt Inactive 1971 Yes Silo
20 RT-23
Molodets
USSR Yuzhnoye Design
Bureau
10,450 km 104,500 kg 10 x 550 kT Inactive 1986 Yes (10) Silo, Railroad 150–250
m
21 R-29 USSR State Rocket Center
Makayev
7,700 km Inactive 1969 Delta I
submarine
22 R-39 Rif USSR Zlatoust Machine-
Building Plant
8,300 km 84,000 kg 10 x 100–200 kT Inactive 1983 Yes Typhoon class
submarine
N/A
23 Minuteman
III
United
States
Boeing 13,000 km 35,300 kg 3 x 170 kt of TNT Active 1970 Yes Silo 200 m
24 Trident US Lockheed Martin
Space Systems
7,400 km 33,142 kg 8 x 100 kt Inactive 1977 Yes Ohio-
class submarine
380 m <
25 Atlas US Consolidated Vultee
Aircraft (Convair)
14,500 km Inactive 1959 No
26 Titan I US Glenn L. Martin
Company
10,200 km 105,140 kg 3.75 Mt Inactive 1959 No Silo
27 Titan II US Glenn L. Martin
Company
15,000 km 154,000 kg 9 Mt Inactive 1962 No Silo
28 Minuteman I US Boeing 1.2 Mt Inactive 1961 Silo 200 m
29 Minuteman II US Boeing 1.2 Mt Inactive 1965 Silo
30 LGM-118
Peacekeeper
US Boeing, Martin
Marietta, TRW,
9,600 km 96,750 kg 10 x 300 kt Inactive 1983 Yes Silo 120 m
31 Midgetman US Martin Marietta 11,000 km 13,600 kg 475 kT Inactive 1992 No Small ICBM
Hard Mobile
Launcher
90 m
32 Trident II United
Kingdom
US:
Lockheed Martin
Space Systems
11,300 km+ 58,500 kg 4 x 475 kt Active 1987 Yes Ohio-class and
Vanguard-class
submarines
90–120 m
33 M4 France EADS SPACE
Transportation
5,000 km 36,000 kg 6 x 150 kt Active 1985 Yes Le Redoutable
class submarine
43. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 42
www.army-technology.com;nationalinterest.org;fas.org; www.space.com; allthingsnuclear.org; www.globalresearch.ca; www.globalsecurity.org; russia-insider.com; parliament.uk; wikipedia.org
***
34 M45 France Aérospatiale/EADS
SPACE
Transportation
6,000 km 35,000 kg 6 x 110 kt TNT Active 1986 Yes Triomphant
class submarine
350 m
35 M51.1 France EADS Astrium Space
Transportation
10,000 km
(or more)
52,000 kg 6 to 10 x 100 kt of
TNT
Active 2006 Yes Triomphant
class submarine
36 M51.2 France EADS Astrium Space
Transportation
10,000 km
(or more)
52,000 kg 6 to 10 x 150kt of
TNT (new Tête
nucléaire
océanique)
Under
Development
Yes Triomphant
class submarine
37 DF-5 China China Academy of
Launch Technology
12,000 km 183,000 kg 5 Mt Active 1971 No 1,000 m
38 DF-5A China China Academy of
Launch Technology
15,000 km 183,000 kg 4 Mt Active 1983 Yes
(Speculated)
Silo 1,000 m
39 DF-5B China China Academy of
Launch Technology
15,000 km 183,000 kg 3 to 8 Active 2015 Yes Silo
40 DF-4 China Factory 211 (Capital
Astronautics Co.)
7,000 km 82,000 kg 3.3 Mt Active 1975 Yes
(Speculated)
Silo 1,500 m
41 DF-31 China Academy of Rocket
Motors Technology
(ARMT)
8,000 km 42,000 kg 1 Mt Active 1999
(Reported)
No Road-mobile
TEL
42 DF-31A China Academy of Rocket
Motors Technology
(ARMT)
12,000 km 42,000 kg 3 Active Yes Road-mobile
TEL
43 DF-41 China China Academy of
Launch Vehicle
12,000-
15,000 km
10 Yes Road-mobile
TEL
44 JL-2 China Factory 307 (Nanjing
Dawn Group)
12,000 km 42,000 kg 3-6 Active 2001
(Believed)
Yes Type 094 Jin
class submarine
45 Agni-V India Defence Research
and Development
Organization
5,500 –
8,000 km
50,000 kg 1,500 kg Testing 2012 Yes Road mobile
TEL, Rail
Mobile
Unknown
46 Taepodong-
2
North
Korea
6,000 km
(Speculated)
79,189 kg Under
development
2006 Launch pad 1,500 m
47 Jericho III Israel Israel Aerospace
Industries
4,800 –
11,500 km
(Speculated)
30,000 kg 750 kg single or
MIRVs
(Suspected)
Active
(Suspected)
2008 Yes Road mobile N/A
44. ASIA PASIFIC 2020|TASNIM ILMIARDHI|2016 | Page | 43
2016
TASNIM ILMIARDHI
tasnim.ilmiardhi@yahoo.com
Asia Pacific 2020
The Economic & Military Global Stage