Driving 'multi-x' deployments
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Driving 'multi-x' deployments
- 1. Driving ‘multi-x’ deployments Alan Law, Chair, Small Cell Forum
- 2. Annual revenues to hit $6bn in 2020 Annual small cell equipment revenues to hit $6bn in 2020, from more than $1bn in 2015 • Overall small cell revenue growth: 41% CAGR thru 2020 • Enterprise small cell revenue growth: 61% thru 2020 • Urban small cell revenue growth: 25% thru 2020 Key growth points: Enterprise - 185,000 non-residential small cells delivered in Q1, up 78% year-on-year Urban - shipments grew 430% in 2015 New cell types – 380% growth in DRS 2015 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2016 Source: Mobile Experts Q116
- 3. Tackling challenges of large scale HetNet • Deployment logistics/workflow • Large-scale automation • Backhaul • Immature standards – NFV, SON • Spectrum availability • Future-proofing – SDN, 5G • Multi-vendor integration • Effective capacity planning • IoT support • Place in enterprise value chain © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2016 Source: Rethink Research Q116
- 4. Latin America © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2016 Enterprise segment to see 200% year-over-year growth in 2016 Joint SCF/GSMA taskforce to promote economic and societal benefits of dense networks to states & regulators
- 5. North America © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2016 Enterprise segment to see 280% year-over-year growth in 2016 SCF collaboration with 5G Americas: Overcoming small cell siting and deployment challenges and the role of neutral host small cells for 5G
- 6. Middle East © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2016 Small cells at the heart of urban and smart city development SCF working with regional carriers to promote the economic and security benefits of small cells to states & regulators
- 7. Europe © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2016 SCF driving carrier requirements and interoperability through partnerships with ETSI and GSMA Enterprise segment to see 200% year-over-year growth in 2016
- 8. India © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2016 SCF invited to pull together a CTO roundtable to determine carrier requirements for ultra-dense fully integrated HetNets Reliance Jio is increasing its pace of 150,000 small cell deployments with regional cable operator partnerships
- 9. Korea: Highest level of MBB use in world Challenge: Massive capacity India: Dense population but limited spectrum Challenge: Extreme spectral efficiency APAC: 45% of enterprises say poor in-building coverage has very high impact on business Challenge: Indoor penetration Singapore: Cities and whole nations go mobile- first Challenge: ubiquitous coverage and reliability Asia-Pacific © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2016 Small cells the primary way to address all the challenges
- 10. Common factor: Demand for dense HetNets Key drivers vary in different regions: • Affordable urban capacity • Mobile-first enterprise • Digital divide and rural reach • Public safety/emergency • M2M applications • New consumer services esp video But unified technology foundations for all - HetNet 2020 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2016
- 11. We have laid our HetNet Foundations – 11th May 2016 @ scf.io • 056 – SCF Roadmap: HetNet 2020 vision for 5G • 170 – HetNet and SON Market Drivers • 066 – Enterprise SON Use Cases • 077 – Urban SON Use Cases • 172 – Architecture Framework for HetNet and SON © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2016
- 12. “HetNet 2020 is about driving standards for next generation networks that will be all about interfaces and APIs, not just hardware form factors” “HetNet is of a ‘multi-x environment’ – multi-technology, multi- domain, multi-spectrum, multi-operator and multi-vendor. It must be able to automate the reconfiguration of its operation to deliver assured QoS across the entire network, and flexible enough to accommodate changing user needs, business goals and subscriber behaviours.” Our HetNet 2020 vision 12/05/2016
- 14. Driven by changing operator needs Operator requirement HetNet Key enablers 2008 Fill coverage gaps Targeted capacity Lower cost of data delivery Targeted small cells interworking with macro Femtocell gateway, interference management, resource management 2015 Dense capacity, deep indoor coverage esp enterprise, new services Dense small cell layers, different cell formats, LE spectrum Intelligent network selection,WiFi offload, new cell form factors, eICIC, SON, MOCN 2020 Ultra-dense capacity, IoT connectivity, Many cell layers and spectrum bands, full HetNet stack inc API layer, security; virtualized small cells MEC, virtualized small cell gateway, CoMP, API layer, bandwidth on-demand, multi-RAN aggregation
- 15. SCF056: HetNet and 5G evolution 2020 will not be all about 5G – important that 4G and 5G HetNets evolve in parallel and interwork Our take on 5G is about future-proofing current network investments: • Enable current and future technologies to work together • Continually enhance automation and virtualization to improve flexibility and TCO • Reduce risk and accelerate commercial investments. Published today @ scf.io/docs/056 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2016Source: EU 5G-PPP
- 16. SCF172: Integrated HetNet architecture • Automation for massive scalability – advanced SON • Intelligent use of multiple sources of spectrum, including LE • Ultra-density without interference • Virtualization and software-driven architectures • Flexibility to support multiple business models (eg neutral host, vertical) • Support for IoT-optimized networks as well as broadband Published today @ scf.io/docs/172 © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2016
- 17. SCF170: Operators poised to deploy Survey of 70+ Tier 1 and 2 MNOs worldwide • Operators have ambitious plans to deploy key HetNet enablers in 2016-20 • Small cells and new spectrum are the foundations – LE and TDD. • By 2020 operators will have broader set of use cases, requiring complex mix of technologies • Over 80% of MNOs will be using non- residential small cells, advanced SON, dedicated IoT connections, and integrated LE spectrum by 2020 • Strong progress to MEC, virtualization and MO – key enablers of new models Published today @ scf.io/docs/170 45 42 8 16 12 4 8 12 84 88 58 80 72 76 68 82 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 %ofMNOs 2016 2020 % of MNOs planning to deploy key HetNet enablers by 2016 and 2020. Source: Rethink Source: Rethink
- 18. HetNet Foundations : helping the industry make sense of the HetNet Puzzle © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2016
- 19. Join us – taking a leading role in shaping the future today SCF is laying the foundations for future HetNet. • Operators – ensure your requirements are captured in the new world of rapidly evolving platforms and standards • Vendors – ensure your offer becomes part of the solution © Small Cell Forum Ltd 2016
Editor's Notes
- Now numbers starting to ramp, Jan 2016 Rethink global operator survey reveals carriers attention moved on to consider the new deployment challenges associated with large scale HetNet These are challenges associated with a platform that is constantly evolving, towards 5G And this is where SCF turning its attention. And what we’re finding is that opportunities and challenges vary by region as business case diversifies
- Overall: Consumer femtocells represent the highest percentage of unit shipments, but the enterprise segment is expected to see the strongest growth (200% year-over-year) in 2016 as governments and multinational corporations expand coverage and capacity within buildings. The opportunity: Dense housing and enterprise, 35% shipments 2015 non-residential, 87% broadband connections wireless, rural reach Priorities: Cost, regulatory, high density What SCF is doing: GSMA project on dense deployments
- Overall: The enterprise segment is growing rapidly in N. America and expect to see over ~280% increase YoY in 2016. The opportunity: Rapid densification, enterprise, venues, IoT, alternative to spectrum auctions Priorities: Site and logistics, new spectrum (5 GHz, 3.5 GHz) What SCF is doing: Collaboration with 5G Americas on SC cell siting and role of neutral host fro 5G
- Overall: Large enterprises and public buildings in the Middle East are prime targets for small cells. As an example, in early 2016 Du equipped Dubai Mall small cell transforming coverage and capacity. Opportunity: Rapid urban growth, smart cities Priorities: Security, aesthetics, ease of deployment, regulatory issues What SCF is doing: Working with operators and regulators to promote social and economic benefits of small cells
- Overall: While the past investments in residential femtocells have largely flatlined, investment in the enterprise segment is expected to double in 2016. Opportunity: Smart cities, wireless multiplay, rise of new MVNOs Priorities: common standards, aesthetics, simplified planning What SCF is doing: Close partnership with ETSI, major interoperability trials eg over Orange network in Naples
- Overall: Reliance Jio is increasing its pace of 150,000 small cell deployments with regional cable operator partnerships Opportunity: Dense population, huge digital growth, urban growth, limited wireline Priorities: Extreme spectral efficiency, cost, regulatory. Huge deployments by Forum members eg Jio What SCF is doing: SCF invited to pull together a CTO roundtable to determine carrier requirements for ultra-dense fully integrated HetNets
- Overall: This market is huge and disparate. Just consider the opportunity. China Mobile has bought 45,000 nanocells so far, with a tender for 1M units coming at the end of 2016. Diverse challenges. Small cells the primary way to address all these challenges. What SCF is doing: Regional operator group
- This foundational document introduces an architectural framework targeted at supporting “multi-x” HetNet deployments. Importantly, implications associated with HetNet operations and management take earlier self organizing network (SON) capability that may have only been targeted at a single domain and/or technology, and expand those concepts to deliver automated service quality management across the entire HetNet. Leveraging concepts conceived by the TMForum for managing a composite service that is comprised of multiple technologies, the HetNet architectural framework builds on a transformation in OSS systems that is seeing these capabilities transformed from vertically siloed systems into generalized real-time analytics systems that are increasingly being used to support automated decision making in terms of composite system optimization. This integrated HetNet framework is able to support the new value chains being discussed as part of defining the 5G system requirements.
- The ultimate goal of the HetNet is in saving operational costs in the midst of significant network densification Operators with scarce spectrum already having to address significant densification challenges Simple integrated HetNet supported through increased automation Full end-to-end automation (including site civil work, and workflow management) Improved access to ‘enablers’ offering cost effective site availability, such as specialised city infrastructure with easy access to power and transport
- In Rethink’s recent survey of 72 Tier 1 and 2 MNOs worldwide, in their definition of the key elements of that HetNet, most of the most significant enablers were at the heart of the Small Cell Forum’s current work program. These include support for multiple radios, spectrum bands and domains, as well as self-optimizing networks (SON), virtualization, integrated management and support for the IT cloud and mobile edge environments. Today: SCF focussed on defining and driving the foundations of that multi-x, ultra-dense HetNet, based on service providers’ current and future business requirements. This is all about accelerating digital transformation through enabling the adoption of robust, transformational architectures and service models. Then on to 2020 – full stack with APIs, security, virtualization etc
- This foundational document introduces an architectural framework targeted at supporting “multi-x” HetNet deployments. Importantly, implications associated with HetNet operations and management take earlier self organizing network (SON) capability that may have only been targeted at a single domain and/or technology, and expand those concepts to deliver automated service quality management across the entire HetNet. Leveraging concepts conceived by the TMForum for managing a composite service that is comprised of multiple technologies, the HetNet architectural framework builds on a transformation in OSS systems that is seeing these capabilities transformed from vertically siloed systems into generalized real-time analytics systems that are increasingly being used to support automated decision making in terms of composite system optimization. This integrated HetNet framework is able to support the new value chains being discussed as part of defining the 5G system requirements.
- To better understand the key drivers for HetNet evolution and deployment – Published today @ scf.io/docs/170
- Light reading,
- The Forum is committed to a program which puts building blocks in place to support current market drivers, and to address challenges to deployment - but which are also open and adaptable, so that operators can invest now in platforms which will later be able to support unforeseen new use cases and 5G. We are gathering carrier requirements regionally, while taking the economic and societal case for small cells to regulators and government We also have a new program that takes the case for enterprise small cells directly to key vertical influencers Key elements of our technical program: SON & automation, defining and refining HetNet architecture, interop, virtualization Two areas where we ramping up our work: Unlicensed and backhaul in the context of SON and NFV