Watch The Webinar here: http://cli.re/AUWeb1EN
In this EXCLUSIVE TRAINING with four-time Trading World Champion Andrea Unger, you'll discover the five-part formula that's working in all kinds of markets ranging from futures all the way to forex and even stocks.
3. SkilledAcademy.com
Disclaimer
U.S. Government Required Disclaimer - Commodity Futures Trading Commission states: Futures and Options trading has large potential
rewards, but also large potential risk. You must be aware of the risks and be willing to accept them in order to invest in the futures and
options markets. Don't trade with money you can't afford to lose. This is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, stocks or
options on the same. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those
discussed in this document. The past performance of any trading system or methodology is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CFTC RULE 4.41 - HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL
PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN
EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH
AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH
THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR
LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.
Data, information, and material (“content”) is provided for informational and educational purposes only. This material neither is, nor
recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Any investment decisions made by the user through the use of such content is solely
into consideration your financial circumstances, investment objectives, and risk tolerance.
4. SkilledAcademy.com
I’m going to teach you this by showing you…
How I won
The Trading World Championship Three Times
in a Row
… And then won the fourth one.
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• Known as the only Four-Time Trading World
Champion (2008, 2009, 2010, and 2012).
• Full-time professional trader since 2001.
• Appreciated author
• Part of the Scientific Committee of SIAT (Italian Society
of Technical Analysis).
• Invited as a speaker all around the world.
Brief Introduction
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Here’s What You’ll Learn
During This Presentation
• How to set up a robust strategy to expect profits in trading!
• How to approach the development of trading systems.
• A step-by-step real-life example of system development.
• How to avoid the pitfalls of wrong system optimization.
• Free Giveaway: an automated trading strategy!
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Here’s Why This Is
DIFFERENT
• This is all born from real-life experience where you bring home the
bacon only if you are able to turn trading ideas into profit.
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Here’s Why This Is
DIFFERENT
• This has been working over the years.
• This doesn’t use technical analysis.
• This has measurable and replicable results.
• What I’m going to show you has already been successfully used by my
students who have also been on top of the Trading World Championship.
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Why This Is Important
To You NOW
• Most “trading stuff” we’ve learned is DEAD WRONG OR JUST NOT APPLICABLE in the
market.
• Wrong mindset about automated trading has made people “immune” to trading systems.
• If you can’t trust a trading system, you won’t use it even if it makes money.
• Most trading accounts are losing money.
• THE TRADING GAME IS CHANGING.
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Is This For You?
• If you’re an experienced trader and want a big boost in confidence,
this is for you.
• If you’re new to trading and want to “jump start” your way to trading
mastery, this is for you.
• If you’re losing money in the market and you want a robust trading
approach, this is for you.
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Is This For You?
• If you want to build a profitable trading system as a stepping stone to
your trading success, this is for you.
• If you fancy working from home no matter your location, this is for
you.
• If you want to switch from a frantic discretionary approach to a lower-
stress automatic one, this is for you.
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House Rules
• No “get rich quick”.
• No “do nothing, get paid”.
• No “bargain hunters.”
• I’m not psychic, can’t predict your results, won’t insult you by trying. My results
aren’t remotely typical.
• Most people who buy ANY “how to make money” training will not make any
money whatsoever.
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Now What??
• Door Number 1: Abandon trading and try something
else.
• Door Number 2: Figure it out and make profits from
automated trading.
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The Million Dollar Decision
• Actually, it was three decisions.
• First, I decided to figure this trading thing out. Nobody ever got rich by being a
quitter.
• Second, I decided to IGNORE everyone else selling “trading stuff” because they
were all super hypey.
• Third, I decided to CREATE my trading systems so I wouldn’t be lazy and rely on
others.
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Let’s start
• Close chat, Facebook
• Mute your phone
• Tell your wife you’ll be busy for an hour or so
• Take notes!
• What I’m about to show you it’s very important…
• And you don’t even need in-depth programming skills to develop your own
strategies!
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Why Automated Trading
• Ideas can be tested and measured
• Decisions are made “before” and not “during”
• Emotions are kept out of the markets
• Once the strategy is ready it can work on its own
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Why Automated Trading
• It avoids human errors due to stress
• It allows to plan the activity
• It allows greater diversification as machines can run several strategies
simultaneously
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Five Pillars Of
Trading System Development
1. Market Identification
2. Strategy Type Definition
3. Idea Testing
4. Metrics Analysis – Loop
5. Optimization – Loop
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Curiosity
• Strategies are often imagined as a complex mix of indicators
• This is not necessarily true
• Strategies are built step by step starting with simple ideas and then building on
these
• Tests show results and results shall be interpreted to understand the markets
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Idea Testing
• First Hour breakout
• Close at the end of the day
• The purpose of this strategy is to ride intraday trends, we let the market move for the first
60 minutes and then we enter during the second hour if it breaks through the high or the
low of the first 60 minute bar
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The results are not good at
all but we must remember
this is the first basic result,
not even with a Stop Loss,
so let’s test stopping a
losing position by €1,000
Metrics Analysis
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The results improve but we are still in
front of a losing approach, so now we
consider that the breakouts we used
might have been not effective enough, we
want a breakout that shows the will of the
market to continue in that direction, so
let’s try offsetting the entry levels by a
portion of the first hour range
Optimization
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Using different portions of first hour
range to offset entry levels we see
that above a certain value the
strategy becomes positive, we still
want to trade as much as possible so
we take 0.75 even though this is not
the best as to final results
Optimization
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We now have a positive strategy,
but an average trade of only €52 is
far too low for an Instrument such
as Dax Future
Metrics Analysis
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The new exit technique shows a
decent improvement in the results,
the average trade is now at €82, still
not enough to go live, but it shows
we are moving in the right direction
Metrics Analysis
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Looking at the strategy behaviour on
different days of the week we clearly
see Fridays are losing, there is no
reason to trade on Friday under this
perspective so we keep this only for
the first 4 days of the week
Optimization
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The results are in line with previous
net profit but we can see how the
average trade improved! We can
now add another filter based on the
volatility/indecision of the day before
Metrics Analysis
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The new volatility filter shows a clear
improvement in the profits and the
average trade value above €160 is
now at a fully acceptable level for an
intraday strategy
Metrics Analysis
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We can now go back to evaluate what
portion of the first hour range works
best as an offset to entry levels. We
can either keep the existing 0.75 or
move to the overall best of 0.95 (the
peak we are choosing is not really
dangerous as there are good results
both left and right on the optimization
report)
Optimization
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Recap
• Choose Market and timeframe
• Define most suitable type of strategy
• Test preliminary idea
• Analyze results
• Optimize and refine
• Trade the new strategy in your demo account until you’re confident