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Trading System & Amibroker
Basics
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd ·
All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
Tradezilla 2016 – Webinar
http://www.marketcalls.in/tradezilla
Agenda
• Introduction to Trading System Design and Design Concepts
• Basics of Amibroker
• Understanding Amibroker Concepts
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
What I do?
• Running a Financial Services Start-up
• Financial Blogger and Author of www.marketcalls.in since Sep 2007
• Passionate About Trading Analytics and Systems.
• System Trader.
• Experimenting with Discrete Trading as well
• More www.marketcalls.in/about
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
INTRODUCTION
Introduction to Trading System Design
And Design Concepts
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
COMPONENTS OF TRADING SYSTEM
Trade
Data
Volatility
Trading
Software
Trading
Rules
Emotions
Testing &
Validation
Risk
Control
Market
Participants
Position
Sizing
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
What Kind of Trader You are?
• Intraday Trader
• Positional Trader
• Short Term
• Medium Term
• Long Term
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
What Matters
• Emotional Quotient
• Your Belief about your Trading System
• Quality Data feed
• Stable Trading Solution
• Low Cost Brokerage
• Lower Impact Cost
• Better Money Management
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
Trading Software
• Amibroker
• Ninjatrader
• Multicharts, Multicharts.Net
• Esignal
• Metastock
• Metatrader
• Wealth-Lab Pro
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
Free Data Providers for Amibroker
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
Google Finance
(EOD, Intraday)
Yahoo Finance
(EOD, Intraday,
Fundamental)
ASCII
(csv, txt)
MSN Money
(EOD)
Quandl
(EOD)
Authorized Data Vendors for Amibroker
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
Globaldatafeeds Neotradeanalytics
Esignal
(Platform + Data
feed)
True Data
Interactive Brokers
(Brokerage + Data
feed )
Type of Trading System
• Mechanical Trading System – Absolutely No Human Decision Making
- Trend Following
- Mean Reversion
- Statistical Arbitrage
• Discretionary Trading System – Human Decision Making Involved
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
Disadvantages of Trend Following
• Always Lagging the trend
• Whipsaws even in Trending Market
• Loss Making in Sideways Market
• Extreme Volatility is Dangerous for Trend Following
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
Disadvantages of Mean Reversion
• Extreme Volatility
• Unlimited Downside
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
Stages in Trading System Design
Analysis
Design
ImplementTesting
Evaluate
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
SYSTEM HEALTH
Time
Drawdown
Confidence
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
Equity Curve
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
Drawdown
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
Why Not to Loose More Money
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
SYSTEM EXPECTANCY
Helps to understand how winners, losers, gains and losses relate to
each other over the long term.
Expectancy = (Win Ratio * Average Win) - (Loss Ratio * Average Loss)
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
LISTEN TO VOLATILITY
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
Listen To Market Dynamics (Discretionary)
• Volatility
• Market Participants
• Macro Economics
• Currency
• Commodities
• Global Market Sentiments
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
Trading System Adoption
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
Trading System Once Broken is
Broken
Don’t Try to Fix it!
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
Aware About Unseen Risk
Try to Avoid!
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
Beware of Stop Hunting
A strategy that attempts to force some market participants out of their positions by
driving the price of an asset to a level where many individuals have chosen to set their
stop-loss orders. - investopedia
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
Mid Day Stop Hunting
• Most of the Days 50% of Volume Happens in first or last 30min
• Liquidity Dry Up during mid of the day
• Very less volume is required to move the stock during mid-day
• Weak Longs/Short Removed from the Market
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
A trader always has too much
size on when wrong, too little
on when right.
Avoid Too Much of Leveraged
Positions
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
Why Amibroker
• Ease of Use
• High Speed Execution
• Supports Autotrading
• Custom Timeframe
• Multi Timeframe Support
• Backtesting, Optimization
• Scanning and Exploration
• Custom Indicators (AFL Programming)
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All
Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
AFL Basics
• AFL is an array processing language. It operates on arrays (or rows/vectors) of data
• O – Open
• H – High
• L – Low
• C- Close
• V - Volume
• Ref(c,-1) – Previous Close array
• MA(C,10) – 10 day moving average
• Cross(C,EMA(c,10) – Candlestick crossover with 10 days EMA
line
• Barcount – returns the total number of bars
5/7/2016 Footer Text 29
Plot Lines
5/7/2016 Footer Text 30
Trading System Rules
5/7/2016 Footer Text 31
Buy & Sell Indications
5/7/2016 Footer Text 32
Trading Setup
5/7/2016 Footer Text 33
Multitimeframe Support
5/7/2016 Footer Text 34
Multitimeframe Support
5/7/2016 Footer Text 35
Stop Using Colurful Indictors
5/7/2016 www.marketcalls.in 36
Stop Using Text Book Indicators
5/7/2016 www.marketcalls.in 37
Questions?
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd ·
All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
Thanks
© Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd ·
All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in

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Trading System Design Amibroker Basics

  • 1. Trading System & Amibroker Basics © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in Tradezilla 2016 – Webinar http://www.marketcalls.in/tradezilla
  • 2. Agenda • Introduction to Trading System Design and Design Concepts • Basics of Amibroker • Understanding Amibroker Concepts © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 3. What I do? • Running a Financial Services Start-up • Financial Blogger and Author of www.marketcalls.in since Sep 2007 • Passionate About Trading Analytics and Systems. • System Trader. • Experimenting with Discrete Trading as well • More www.marketcalls.in/about © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 4. INTRODUCTION Introduction to Trading System Design And Design Concepts © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 5. COMPONENTS OF TRADING SYSTEM Trade Data Volatility Trading Software Trading Rules Emotions Testing & Validation Risk Control Market Participants Position Sizing © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 6. What Kind of Trader You are? • Intraday Trader • Positional Trader • Short Term • Medium Term • Long Term © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 7. What Matters • Emotional Quotient • Your Belief about your Trading System • Quality Data feed • Stable Trading Solution • Low Cost Brokerage • Lower Impact Cost • Better Money Management © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 8. Trading Software • Amibroker • Ninjatrader • Multicharts, Multicharts.Net • Esignal • Metastock • Metatrader • Wealth-Lab Pro © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 9. Free Data Providers for Amibroker © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in Google Finance (EOD, Intraday) Yahoo Finance (EOD, Intraday, Fundamental) ASCII (csv, txt) MSN Money (EOD) Quandl (EOD)
  • 10. Authorized Data Vendors for Amibroker © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in Globaldatafeeds Neotradeanalytics Esignal (Platform + Data feed) True Data Interactive Brokers (Brokerage + Data feed )
  • 11. Type of Trading System • Mechanical Trading System – Absolutely No Human Decision Making - Trend Following - Mean Reversion - Statistical Arbitrage • Discretionary Trading System – Human Decision Making Involved © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 12. Disadvantages of Trend Following • Always Lagging the trend • Whipsaws even in Trending Market • Loss Making in Sideways Market • Extreme Volatility is Dangerous for Trend Following © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 13. Disadvantages of Mean Reversion • Extreme Volatility • Unlimited Downside © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 14. Stages in Trading System Design Analysis Design ImplementTesting Evaluate © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 15. SYSTEM HEALTH Time Drawdown Confidence © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 16. Equity Curve © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 17. Drawdown © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 18. Why Not to Loose More Money © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 19. SYSTEM EXPECTANCY Helps to understand how winners, losers, gains and losses relate to each other over the long term. Expectancy = (Win Ratio * Average Win) - (Loss Ratio * Average Loss) © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 20. LISTEN TO VOLATILITY © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 21. Listen To Market Dynamics (Discretionary) • Volatility • Market Participants • Macro Economics • Currency • Commodities • Global Market Sentiments © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 22. Trading System Adoption © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 23. Trading System Once Broken is Broken Don’t Try to Fix it! © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 24. Aware About Unseen Risk Try to Avoid! © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 25. Beware of Stop Hunting A strategy that attempts to force some market participants out of their positions by driving the price of an asset to a level where many individuals have chosen to set their stop-loss orders. - investopedia © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 26. Mid Day Stop Hunting • Most of the Days 50% of Volume Happens in first or last 30min • Liquidity Dry Up during mid of the day • Very less volume is required to move the stock during mid-day • Weak Longs/Short Removed from the Market © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 27. A trader always has too much size on when wrong, too little on when right. Avoid Too Much of Leveraged Positions © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 28. Why Amibroker • Ease of Use • High Speed Execution • Supports Autotrading • Custom Timeframe • Multi Timeframe Support • Backtesting, Optimization • Scanning and Exploration • Custom Indicators (AFL Programming) © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 29. AFL Basics • AFL is an array processing language. It operates on arrays (or rows/vectors) of data • O – Open • H – High • L – Low • C- Close • V - Volume • Ref(c,-1) – Previous Close array • MA(C,10) – 10 day moving average • Cross(C,EMA(c,10) – Candlestick crossover with 10 days EMA line • Barcount – returns the total number of bars 5/7/2016 Footer Text 29
  • 32. Buy & Sell Indications 5/7/2016 Footer Text 32
  • 36. Stop Using Colurful Indictors 5/7/2016 www.marketcalls.in 36
  • 37. Stop Using Text Book Indicators 5/7/2016 www.marketcalls.in 37
  • 38. Questions? © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in
  • 39. Thanks © Copyright 2015 Marketcalls Financial Services Pvt Ltd · All Rights Reserved www.marketcalls.in