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THE BUSINESS OF VR
APRIL 2016
Sivan Iram
sivan@river.co
@sivaniram
“…a new computing platform always
emerges every 10 or 15 years…”
—Mark Zuckerberg, 2/28/16
Internet
1995
Mobile
2006
VR
2016
APPLICATIONS
Music Social Live Sports Games Journalism Real Estate
Entertainment Training Retail Health Education Productivity
Virtual Reality Market Forecast
$150Bn
market
Augmented and Virtual Reality
market to hit $150 billion
revenue by 2020.
[Digi=Capital Report]
13,000%
growth
Virtual Reality Market Expected
to Grow by Over 13,000%in next 3
Years, Nearly5Times faster
than the iPhone.[Kzero.co.uk]
12.2m
headsets
12.2 million VR headset
devices to be sold in 2016.
[Piper Jaffray]
7.7bn
software
Cumulative VR software
revenue from 2014 to 2018
estimated at 7.7bn.
[Kzero Report]
References: www.digi-capital.com piper2.bluematrix.com www.kzero.co.uk
INVESTORS ARE MOVING IN
AR/VR Investment Activity
Q1’12-Q4-15
Stock Changes In
Last 3 Months
17%
30%
13%
16%
42%
$2B $56M $35.5M
$100M $38M $22M
BIGGEST
Deal
TECHNOLOGY ADOPTION RATE
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
Electricity Telephone Radio TV PC Mobile
Phones
Internet Smart Phones
Time To 25% Market Adoption (US)
1900 1950 2000
• First mobile phone invented
in 1983, it took 13 (!) years to
become commercially available.
• It took smartphones 6 years to reach
the early majority.
• If we begin the count with the
release of the Oculus DK1 (3/13), it
early majority adoption will occur in
2019.
• We believe VR would be sooner.
SMARTPHONES ADOPTION RATE
CONSUMER PRICE POINTS
Headsets Content
$800
$400
$99
$30
$10
Free
Vive
Rift
PSVR
Gear VR, Merge VR
Smart VR
Cardboard, Go4D
Magic Window
Vive
Vive
Rift, Vive
Rift, Gear VR
Cardboard, All
“The High Cost Of Pricing Low”
• Don’t only think about device cost, think Customer Lifetime Value
• Consumer $ supports content development
• Apple users spend on content 4x compared to Android users -
$200 vs. $50 (Fortune 2014)
• Premium prices on devices preserved on content and
accessories
Pricing headsets low democratizes access, but also anchors low
perceived value.
VR ENTERTAINMENT DISTRIBUTION
• Free for users
• Maximum exposure
• Ad-rev model
• Requires user volume
User Generated Content (UGC)Marketing
Free Content For Consumers
• Paid by consumers
• VOD/Subscription
Film, Music, Sports
Premium Content (Paid)
SUMMARY
• Every major tech company is investing in VR, and the market
values it. Early consumer signals are STRONG
• The fact that mass consumer adoption is “4-5” years away, doesn’t
mean we can’t build great valuable businesses TODAY
• Not all content is equal. Some content should NOT be free.
• Don’t be pressured to eliminate margins to “force” adoption
• Build KILLER apps. Think 10x experiences
Q&A
1. Reach out: sivan@river.co, @sivaniram
2. Download our app: RiverStudios
(Available via AppStore & Google Play)
3. Visit our website: www.river.co
4. Tweet about us: @RiverVR

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SVVR 2016 - The Business Of VR (4.28.16)

  • 1. THE BUSINESS OF VR APRIL 2016 Sivan Iram sivan@river.co @sivaniram
  • 2. “…a new computing platform always emerges every 10 or 15 years…” —Mark Zuckerberg, 2/28/16 Internet 1995 Mobile 2006 VR 2016
  • 3. APPLICATIONS Music Social Live Sports Games Journalism Real Estate Entertainment Training Retail Health Education Productivity
  • 4. Virtual Reality Market Forecast $150Bn market Augmented and Virtual Reality market to hit $150 billion revenue by 2020. [Digi=Capital Report] 13,000% growth Virtual Reality Market Expected to Grow by Over 13,000%in next 3 Years, Nearly5Times faster than the iPhone.[Kzero.co.uk] 12.2m headsets 12.2 million VR headset devices to be sold in 2016. [Piper Jaffray] 7.7bn software Cumulative VR software revenue from 2014 to 2018 estimated at 7.7bn. [Kzero Report] References: www.digi-capital.com piper2.bluematrix.com www.kzero.co.uk
  • 5. INVESTORS ARE MOVING IN AR/VR Investment Activity Q1’12-Q4-15 Stock Changes In Last 3 Months 17% 30% 13% 16% 42% $2B $56M $35.5M $100M $38M $22M BIGGEST Deal
  • 6. TECHNOLOGY ADOPTION RATE 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Electricity Telephone Radio TV PC Mobile Phones Internet Smart Phones Time To 25% Market Adoption (US) 1900 1950 2000
  • 7. • First mobile phone invented in 1983, it took 13 (!) years to become commercially available. • It took smartphones 6 years to reach the early majority. • If we begin the count with the release of the Oculus DK1 (3/13), it early majority adoption will occur in 2019. • We believe VR would be sooner. SMARTPHONES ADOPTION RATE
  • 8. CONSUMER PRICE POINTS Headsets Content $800 $400 $99 $30 $10 Free Vive Rift PSVR Gear VR, Merge VR Smart VR Cardboard, Go4D Magic Window Vive Vive Rift, Vive Rift, Gear VR Cardboard, All
  • 9. “The High Cost Of Pricing Low” • Don’t only think about device cost, think Customer Lifetime Value • Consumer $ supports content development • Apple users spend on content 4x compared to Android users - $200 vs. $50 (Fortune 2014) • Premium prices on devices preserved on content and accessories Pricing headsets low democratizes access, but also anchors low perceived value.
  • 10. VR ENTERTAINMENT DISTRIBUTION • Free for users • Maximum exposure • Ad-rev model • Requires user volume User Generated Content (UGC)Marketing Free Content For Consumers • Paid by consumers • VOD/Subscription Film, Music, Sports Premium Content (Paid)
  • 11. SUMMARY • Every major tech company is investing in VR, and the market values it. Early consumer signals are STRONG • The fact that mass consumer adoption is “4-5” years away, doesn’t mean we can’t build great valuable businesses TODAY • Not all content is equal. Some content should NOT be free. • Don’t be pressured to eliminate margins to “force” adoption • Build KILLER apps. Think 10x experiences
  • 12. Q&A 1. Reach out: sivan@river.co, @sivaniram 2. Download our app: RiverStudios (Available via AppStore & Google Play) 3. Visit our website: www.river.co 4. Tweet about us: @RiverVR