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Using Specific
Intergovernmental Transfers
     to Buy Local Results
Motivation
β€’ With Decentralization, Sub-National
  Governments Increasingly Responsible/Pivotal
  for sectoral outcomes
β€’ Higher levels of government provide bulk of
  subnational finance
β€’ Concerns about subnational outcomes
  – Monitoring
  – Influencing
Approach
β€’   Present Basic Framework
β€’   A Checklist
β€’   International Experience
β€’   Stimulate Multi-Sectoral Discussion Around
    Potential Applications/Innovations
What Gets Measured Gets Done?

                                   Central Government
                                         (Cross-Cutting/
                                 Sectoral Agencies, Intermediate)




  Observed          Observed          Observed                   Observed      Observed
 Performance       Performance       Performance                Performance   Performance
  Indicators        Indicators        Indicators                 Indicators    Indicators

   SNGi                …..
                                    (Average)
                                                                    …..
                                                                                SNGi
    #1                                                                         500++
Heterogeneity Ranking (e.g., systems, human, fiscal capacity, baseline performance )
Performance Grants
β€’ Link between Performance Measurement and
  Management
β€’ Use of Indicators to trigger Fiscal Rewards
   – Tournaments (limited β€œwinners”) versus Certifications
     (β€œminimum bar”)
   – Candidate Pool
       β€’ All versus pre-selection/targeting/segmentation?
   – Common indicator or reform package
   – Time-bound
β€’ How to get incentives right?
   – Objectives
   – Size of Grant Reward
   – Consider vulnerabilities
A Checklist
1   Objective Clear           What are you buying?
                              Is it developmentally sensible?
2   Measurable Indicator      What indicators tells you that your getting
                              it? Sensible? Verifiable?

3   Attributable/Actionable   Can sub-national governments deliver?

4   Adequate                  Are you putting enough money on the
                              table?
5   Credible & Feasible       Is the principle credible wrt to ex ante
                              promises? Is the design feasible given
                              capacity and political context?

6   Progressive               Is it pushing incentives, or just paying what’s
                              already there. Is it time-bound?

7   Sustainable               Can you sustain the results over time?
Mind the Context…
β€’ How do RBT interact with the overall complex
  of incentives set by the prevailing
  fiscal, administrative and political
  decentralization?
β€’ What is the political economy driving RBT
  design and implementation?
β€’ Do RBT initiatives promise to contribute to
  longer term institution building?
International Experience
                  Australia             Russia           Indonesia         EU Structural              Italy                 UK             UK-England                US
                                                                               Funds
Example       National             Regional Fiscal    Special             Performance           National             Local Public        Regional             Economic
              Competition          Reform Fund        Allocation Grants   Reserve               Performance          Service             Development          Development
              Policy (NCP)         (RFRF)             (DAKs)                                    Reserve              Agreements          Associations         Association
              Payments                                                                                               (LPSAs)             (RDAs)               (EDA)
Objective     Pro-growth           Reward regions     Sectoral Service    Promote               Promote              Improve local       Development at       Range of regional
              reforms              w/ strong fiscal   Delivery            effectiveness,        effectiveness,       public services     intermediate level   economic
                                   reforms            Objectives          management, and       management, and                          of government        development and
                                                                          financial criteria    financial criteria                                            adjustment
                                                                          in                    in                                                            issues; Reward
                                                                          implementation        implementation                                                achievement of
                                                                          of EU structure       of EU structure                                               goal by projects
                                                                          funds                 funds, with                                                   (e.g.,
                                                                                                additional                                                    employment
                                                                                                emphasis on                                                   increases)
                                                                                                Objective 1
                                                                                                regions
Performance   Analysis of          Negotiated         Evolving            Set/negotiated        Initially mainly     Negotiated.         Government           Meeting or
Indicators    legislative reform   Package                                with national         intermediate         Initially 12        Office               beating
              progress                                                    governments,          process              outcome based       Assessment           established
                                                                          focused on (i)        indicators,          β€œstretch” targets                        targets within
                                                                          effectiveness, (ii)   growing focus on     in multiple                              EAD awards,
                                                                          management            final outcome        service areas.                           including to state
                                                                          criteria, and (iii)   focus                Now LA’s select                          and local
                                                                          financial criteria                         35 indicators                            governments,
                                                                                                                     from list of 198.                        building on
                                                                          Poor absorption                                                                     Balanced
                                                                          performance                                                                         Scorecard
                                                                          subject to                                                                          Framework.
                                                                          decommitment                                                                        Emphasis on
                                                                                                                                                              lagged-
                                                                                                                                                              intermediate
                                                                                                                                                              indicators to
                                                                                                                                                              demonstrate
                                                                                                                                                              results (incl.
                                                                                                                                                              congress)
International Experience II
                Australia              Russia              Indonesia           EU Structural           Italy                 UK             UK-England                US
                                                                                  Funds
Financial   National-State        15 regions            Less than 3% of      EUR 8.25 billion    Supplementary        Up to 2.5% of       GBP 50 million       Up to 10% of
Resources   transfers, totaling   received              general allocation   (4% of Structural   6% over EU 4%        total local                              project awards,
            almost AU 8           additional grants                          Funds)              performance          authority budgets
            billion between       (of 24 applying),                                              fund. EUR 3
            1997/8 and            typically 13                                                   billion (2007-13)s
            2005/6                received USD 8
                                  million, 2 USD 4
                                  for partial success
Concerns    National              Packages              Special funds        High share of       Complexity and       Negotiations on     One-time nature,     Challenge of
            Competition           negotiated on         seek to substitute   projects received   limited              targets time-       limited size of      attribution of
            Council               individual/discret    for perceived lack   bonus,              visibility/promine   consuming/compl     awards               projects to
            recommends to         ionary basis with     of equalization in   complexity (with    nce of priority      ex, risk of                              regional
            treasury,             regions               general              significant         objectives           gaming                                   development
            Challenges of                               allocation,          variations across                                                                 outcomes,
            backsliding                                                      EU)                                                                               bridging short to
                                                                                                                                                               longer-term
                                                                                                                                                               complex outcome
                                                                                                                                                               emphasis
Period      1997/8                2002                  2001                 2000-2006           2000-2006            Initiated 2000      2004-5               2007
Status      On-going              First phase           Under further        Compulsory          New performance      Second              Broader transition   EDA shifting
                                  completed             development          requirement         based system for     generation          to outcome based     from project
                                                                             suspended at EU     2007-13              launched 2003,      framework            funding agency
                                                                             wide level                               further
                                                                                                                      consolidation
                                                                                                                      2007


 Source: Dumas & Kaiser (2009)
Food for Thought
β€’ Fertile Area for Results Based Innovation…
  – Use intergovernmental finance as sharp rather
    than blunt instrument

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Performance based grants

  • 2. Motivation β€’ With Decentralization, Sub-National Governments Increasingly Responsible/Pivotal for sectoral outcomes β€’ Higher levels of government provide bulk of subnational finance β€’ Concerns about subnational outcomes – Monitoring – Influencing
  • 3. Approach β€’ Present Basic Framework β€’ A Checklist β€’ International Experience β€’ Stimulate Multi-Sectoral Discussion Around Potential Applications/Innovations
  • 4. What Gets Measured Gets Done? Central Government (Cross-Cutting/ Sectoral Agencies, Intermediate) Observed Observed Observed Observed Observed Performance Performance Performance Performance Performance Indicators Indicators Indicators Indicators Indicators SNGi ….. (Average) ….. SNGi #1 500++ Heterogeneity Ranking (e.g., systems, human, fiscal capacity, baseline performance )
  • 5. Performance Grants β€’ Link between Performance Measurement and Management β€’ Use of Indicators to trigger Fiscal Rewards – Tournaments (limited β€œwinners”) versus Certifications (β€œminimum bar”) – Candidate Pool β€’ All versus pre-selection/targeting/segmentation? – Common indicator or reform package – Time-bound β€’ How to get incentives right? – Objectives – Size of Grant Reward – Consider vulnerabilities
  • 6. A Checklist 1 Objective Clear What are you buying? Is it developmentally sensible? 2 Measurable Indicator What indicators tells you that your getting it? Sensible? Verifiable? 3 Attributable/Actionable Can sub-national governments deliver? 4 Adequate Are you putting enough money on the table? 5 Credible & Feasible Is the principle credible wrt to ex ante promises? Is the design feasible given capacity and political context? 6 Progressive Is it pushing incentives, or just paying what’s already there. Is it time-bound? 7 Sustainable Can you sustain the results over time?
  • 7. Mind the Context… β€’ How do RBT interact with the overall complex of incentives set by the prevailing fiscal, administrative and political decentralization? β€’ What is the political economy driving RBT design and implementation? β€’ Do RBT initiatives promise to contribute to longer term institution building?
  • 8. International Experience Australia Russia Indonesia EU Structural Italy UK UK-England US Funds Example National Regional Fiscal Special Performance National Local Public Regional Economic Competition Reform Fund Allocation Grants Reserve Performance Service Development Development Policy (NCP) (RFRF) (DAKs) Reserve Agreements Associations Association Payments (LPSAs) (RDAs) (EDA) Objective Pro-growth Reward regions Sectoral Service Promote Promote Improve local Development at Range of regional reforms w/ strong fiscal Delivery effectiveness, effectiveness, public services intermediate level economic reforms Objectives management, and management, and of government development and financial criteria financial criteria adjustment in in issues; Reward implementation implementation achievement of of EU structure of EU structure goal by projects funds funds, with (e.g., additional employment emphasis on increases) Objective 1 regions Performance Analysis of Negotiated Evolving Set/negotiated Initially mainly Negotiated. Government Meeting or Indicators legislative reform Package with national intermediate Initially 12 Office beating progress governments, process outcome based Assessment established focused on (i) indicators, β€œstretch” targets targets within effectiveness, (ii) growing focus on in multiple EAD awards, management final outcome service areas. including to state criteria, and (iii) focus Now LA’s select and local financial criteria 35 indicators governments, from list of 198. building on Poor absorption Balanced performance Scorecard subject to Framework. decommitment Emphasis on lagged- intermediate indicators to demonstrate results (incl. congress)
  • 9. International Experience II Australia Russia Indonesia EU Structural Italy UK UK-England US Funds Financial National-State 15 regions Less than 3% of EUR 8.25 billion Supplementary Up to 2.5% of GBP 50 million Up to 10% of Resources transfers, totaling received general allocation (4% of Structural 6% over EU 4% total local project awards, almost AU 8 additional grants Funds) performance authority budgets billion between (of 24 applying), fund. EUR 3 1997/8 and typically 13 billion (2007-13)s 2005/6 received USD 8 million, 2 USD 4 for partial success Concerns National Packages Special funds High share of Complexity and Negotiations on One-time nature, Challenge of Competition negotiated on seek to substitute projects received limited targets time- limited size of attribution of Council individual/discret for perceived lack bonus, visibility/promine consuming/compl awards projects to recommends to ionary basis with of equalization in complexity (with nce of priority ex, risk of regional treasury, regions general significant objectives gaming development Challenges of allocation, variations across outcomes, backsliding EU) bridging short to longer-term complex outcome emphasis Period 1997/8 2002 2001 2000-2006 2000-2006 Initiated 2000 2004-5 2007 Status On-going First phase Under further Compulsory New performance Second Broader transition EDA shifting completed development requirement based system for generation to outcome based from project suspended at EU 2007-13 launched 2003, framework funding agency wide level further consolidation 2007 Source: Dumas & Kaiser (2009)
  • 10. Food for Thought β€’ Fertile Area for Results Based Innovation… – Use intergovernmental finance as sharp rather than blunt instrument