Big Data and the Election

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Big Data and the Election

  1. 1. BIG DATA and the ELECTION How is big data being used in the election? But can big data predict the winner? million tweets were generated by the presidential debate The Democratic and Republic conventions and a campaign to Save Big Bird. Since each generated an estimated one terabyte of the debates close, avian accounts @BIGBIRD data from e-mails, tweets, streaming video and @FiredBigBird have jumped to more and mobile Internet usage.1,2 than 25,000 followers each on Twitter.4,5 Mid-September sales of Obama coffee cups outpaced sales of Romney cups. The infrastructure alone for each convention was required to support traffic for more than 58 42 participants and attendees. Obama to Win At Intrade, an online political betting site, gamblers have predicted the president the past two elections. As Each project required of September 21st, online bettors predict the likelihood of Obama winning to 70%; Romney’s odds plunged Buycostumes.com and spirit Halloween stores claim from 42% to 30% the week of September 24th, 2012. miles of copper for the number of Mitt Romney and Barack Obama masks sold over LAN customers will predict the winner.  So far, President Obama has a 38% margin outselling Romney 69% to 31%. miles of fiber for over the infrastructure Since 1940 Scholastic magazine has had school- children vote for president. They have picked correctly 16 out of the past 18 elections. Folk legend? The winner of the World Series determines the winner of the presidential election. If the American League wins of U.S. households with a computer have a Republican wins the White House, if the National League wins broadband Internet access, according to a recent a Democrat wins the White House. The myth has an imperfect record, 6 analyst report, compared to just 57% in 2008. correctly predicting 16 elections since 1920 and getting it wrong seven times. In all 50 states the elections will generate a staggering amount of internet traffic beginning A University of Colorado political science model, 3 the weekend before election day and through it. based on state and national unemployment rates and changes per capita income, predicts that Romney will win the presidency. President Obama will only win 213 of 270 electoral college votes needed to win.7 SOURCES:1 http://news.yahoo.com/1-terabyte-data-sent-daily-during-conventions-160241397.html 2 http://mashable.com/2012/08/28/one-terabyte-republican-convention/ 3 http://insights.chitika.com/2012/election-tracker-analysis/4 http://news.cnet.com/8301-1023_3-57525741-93/obama-romney-debate-and-big-bird-generate-10-million-tweets/ 5 http://news.cnet.com/8301-17938_105-57525995-1/presidential-debate-spawns-campaign- to-save-big-bird/6 http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/OTUS/wacky-ways-predict-presidential-election/story?id=17293644#9 7 http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/08/22/university-of-colorado-pr_n_1822933.html

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