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Hyderabad
July – Dec 2014
Residential
July – Dec 2014
Residential market continues to lose steam despite
political scenario easing out
RESIDENTIAL
Hyderabad residential market launches, absorption and price trend
30% fall in H2 2014 vs. H2 2013
H2 2013 – 7,376 units
H2 2014 – 5,151 units
7% fall in H2 2014 vs. H2 2013
H2 2013 – 8,419 units
H2 2014 – 7,829 units
5.6% rise in price
Y-O-Y in 2014
RESIDENTIAL
Residential Market in Hyderabad in Year 2014
Sales
volume
fell
by
18%
15,111 units sold vs.
18,428 units in 2013
New
launches
dropped
by
30%
13,050 units launched vs.
18,643 units in 2013
West Hyderabad accounts for the largest share of
under-construction inventory
RESIDENTIAL
1,248units
535units
907units
605units
347units
399units
359units
609units
246units
827units
600units
609units
4,336units
5,808units
2,990units
Micro-market-wise residential launches – Share in %
Share of West Hyderabad falls over the past 18 months
RESIDENTIAL
Micro-market-wise residential sales – Share in %
848units
820units
945units
945units
904units
1,056units
956units
877units
909units
334units
384units
383units
5,355units
4,279units
4,536units
Current QTS at nearly 2.5 years indicates a fairly better
residential market – Age of inventory as high as 3.5 years
RESIDENTIAL
Central Hyderabad remains healthiest in the city
with West following close behind
RESIDENTIAL
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Ageofunsoldinventoryinquarters
QTS
HMR - Central
HMR - East
HMR - North
HMR - South
HMR - West
Size of the bubble indicates the quantum of unsold inventory
Total Unsold Units
35,183
as on December 2014
RESIDENTIAL
Prices have grown by 5.6%; Cost pressures rule out
possible corrections
Concluding Remarks
 Change of guard at the state government does little to improve the
residential market
 Cash strapped developers put the brakes on launches while looking
to offload existing inventory
 West continues to see bulk of the market activity
RESIDENTIAL
Going forward
 De-growth in launches and absorption likely to be stemmed to just
5% and 2% Y-O-Y respectively in H1 2015
 Though we expect a fall Y-O-Y in H1 2015, the numbers will still be
better than H2 2014
 Prices expected to grow at the same rate Y-O-Y in H1 2015 as in H2
2014
RESIDENTIAL
July – Dec 2014
Office
Vacancy levels drop to 17% - first time since 2012
OFFICE
Hyderabad office space stock and vacancy levels
Deloitte leasing deal leads the office market rebound
- Absorption levels have shot up by 140% Y-O-Y
OFFICE
IT/ITeS share drops; other services sectors
compensate the fall
y
OFFICE
SBD accounts for practically all the space absorbed
during Jul – Dec 2014
y
OFFICE
56,700sq.ft.
8,500sq.ft.
645,523sq.ft.
2,637,816sq.ft.
449,532sq.ft.
113,000sq.ft.
5,800sq.ft.
13,500sq.ft.
Post a 2 year stagnation, rentals have grown by
5% Y-O-Y - expected a similar pace in the next 6 months
OFFICE
y
Concluding Remarks
• Deloitte gives a new lease of life to Hyderabad office market
• The SBD business district accounts for practically all the
space absorbed during H2 2014.
• Receding share of the IT/ITeS sector has not affected overall
absorption volumes, as consulting, designing and media
companies from the other services sector have been
gaining a share in tandem
Going Forward
 Change in political regime to get businesses back in the city
 Increase in average deal sizes bodes well for the market and this
phenomenon should sustain going forward as well
 Absorption likely to be 3.3 mn.sq.ft. during Jan – Jun 2015; similar
to that of H1 2014
 Weighted average rental to rise by a nominal 5%
Contact
KnightFrank.India@in.knightfrank.com
research@in.knightfrank.com

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Hyderabad - India Real Estate Outlook Report

  • 3. Residential market continues to lose steam despite political scenario easing out RESIDENTIAL Hyderabad residential market launches, absorption and price trend 30% fall in H2 2014 vs. H2 2013 H2 2013 – 7,376 units H2 2014 – 5,151 units 7% fall in H2 2014 vs. H2 2013 H2 2013 – 8,419 units H2 2014 – 7,829 units 5.6% rise in price Y-O-Y in 2014
  • 4. RESIDENTIAL Residential Market in Hyderabad in Year 2014 Sales volume fell by 18% 15,111 units sold vs. 18,428 units in 2013 New launches dropped by 30% 13,050 units launched vs. 18,643 units in 2013
  • 5. West Hyderabad accounts for the largest share of under-construction inventory RESIDENTIAL 1,248units 535units 907units 605units 347units 399units 359units 609units 246units 827units 600units 609units 4,336units 5,808units 2,990units Micro-market-wise residential launches – Share in %
  • 6. Share of West Hyderabad falls over the past 18 months RESIDENTIAL Micro-market-wise residential sales – Share in % 848units 820units 945units 945units 904units 1,056units 956units 877units 909units 334units 384units 383units 5,355units 4,279units 4,536units
  • 7. Current QTS at nearly 2.5 years indicates a fairly better residential market – Age of inventory as high as 3.5 years RESIDENTIAL
  • 8. Central Hyderabad remains healthiest in the city with West following close behind RESIDENTIAL 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 Ageofunsoldinventoryinquarters QTS HMR - Central HMR - East HMR - North HMR - South HMR - West Size of the bubble indicates the quantum of unsold inventory Total Unsold Units 35,183 as on December 2014
  • 9. RESIDENTIAL Prices have grown by 5.6%; Cost pressures rule out possible corrections
  • 10. Concluding Remarks  Change of guard at the state government does little to improve the residential market  Cash strapped developers put the brakes on launches while looking to offload existing inventory  West continues to see bulk of the market activity RESIDENTIAL
  • 11. Going forward  De-growth in launches and absorption likely to be stemmed to just 5% and 2% Y-O-Y respectively in H1 2015  Though we expect a fall Y-O-Y in H1 2015, the numbers will still be better than H2 2014  Prices expected to grow at the same rate Y-O-Y in H1 2015 as in H2 2014 RESIDENTIAL
  • 12. July – Dec 2014 Office
  • 13. Vacancy levels drop to 17% - first time since 2012 OFFICE Hyderabad office space stock and vacancy levels
  • 14. Deloitte leasing deal leads the office market rebound - Absorption levels have shot up by 140% Y-O-Y OFFICE
  • 15. IT/ITeS share drops; other services sectors compensate the fall y OFFICE
  • 16. SBD accounts for practically all the space absorbed during Jul – Dec 2014 y OFFICE 56,700sq.ft. 8,500sq.ft. 645,523sq.ft. 2,637,816sq.ft. 449,532sq.ft. 113,000sq.ft. 5,800sq.ft. 13,500sq.ft.
  • 17. Post a 2 year stagnation, rentals have grown by 5% Y-O-Y - expected a similar pace in the next 6 months OFFICE y
  • 18. Concluding Remarks • Deloitte gives a new lease of life to Hyderabad office market • The SBD business district accounts for practically all the space absorbed during H2 2014. • Receding share of the IT/ITeS sector has not affected overall absorption volumes, as consulting, designing and media companies from the other services sector have been gaining a share in tandem
  • 19. Going Forward  Change in political regime to get businesses back in the city  Increase in average deal sizes bodes well for the market and this phenomenon should sustain going forward as well  Absorption likely to be 3.3 mn.sq.ft. during Jan – Jun 2015; similar to that of H1 2014  Weighted average rental to rise by a nominal 5%