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IPOL 8542 #2
1)Pollution Theory
2)
Market Failure
3)
Unintended Consequences
4)
Readings
The only time the producer surplus does not equal profit is when there are fixed costs.
 If we charge more, there will be less surplus, so it is not ideal. When we multiply x and y axis = dollars.

  $/
Basket
                                                                                     S

                    Consumer Surplus                      Negative -
   P*                                                    cost is more
                                                         than demand
                   Producer
                  Surplus
                                                                                     D

                                                                                            Quantity
                                                 Q*
Supply
Price per basket   Person 1    Person 2       Market Demand


     $5               1              0             1
     $3               2              1             3
     $1               3              2             5

                          Demand
Market price per
    basket         Farmer 1        Farmer 2    Market Supply


      $1              0               1             1
      $3              1               2             3
      $5              2               3             5
The only time the producer surplus does not equal profit is when there are fixed costs.
 If we charge more, there will be less surplus, so it is not ideal. When we multiply x and y axis = dollars.

  $/
Basket
                                                                                     S = MC
                                                                              Diminishing marginal utility is
                                                                      why we have downward sloping demand curves.
                    Consumer Surplus
   P*                                                                    Demand curve = marginal benefit of adding
                                                                             another basket of strawberries
                   Producer                                                            Why is that?
                  Surplus
                                                                                      D = MB

                                               Q* = 3                                 Quantity

                                               baskets
Demand Curve

Diminishing marginal utility is
why we have downward sloping demand curves.

Demand curve = marginal benefit of adding
another basket of strawberries

Why is that?

Eventually the marginal benefit is less than the price (that’s where S and D intersect)

Supply Curve

You have to be able to at least cover marginal costs - supply curve is equivalent to the marginal cost
curve.

Why does the supply curve go up?
Increasing Marginal Costs
Scarcity of supply - ie fertile land... once it’s used up you have to buy increasingly marginal land.
Prime coastal land - using the best resources first.
Especially agricultural land.
At the high end of the supply curve - rocky infertile land.
Also - limited amount of people who are really good at growing strawberries?

People with the really good land get all the profit. Marginal farmers just break even. Market price gets
determined by the marginal farmer - person with the good land gets the great profits.

Market prices are decided at the margins - last data point.
The only time the producer surplus does not equal profit is when there are fixed costs.
 If we charge more, there will be less surplus, so it is not ideal. When we multiply x and y axis = dollars.

  $/
Basket
                                                                                     S = MC
                                                                              Diminishing marginal utility is
                                                                      why we have downward sloping demand curves.
                    Consumer Surplus
   P*                                                                    Demand curve = marginal benefit of adding
                                                                             another basket of strawberries
                   Producer                                                            Why is that?
                  Surplus
                                                                                      D = MB

                                               Q* = 3                                 Quantity

                                               baskets
Competitve Market
   Lots of suppliers, lots of buyers, no one is a price maker or a price taker.

          No collusion, monopolies, cartels, oligopolies, distortions...

Perfect competition for environmental resources is the exception, not the rule.
The only time the producer surplus does not equal profit is when there are fixed costs.
 If we charge more, there will be less surplus, so it is not ideal. When we multiply x and y axis = dollars.

  $/
Basket
                                                                                     S = MC

                    Consumer Surplus                                         Moral of the story:
   P*                                                                         equilibrium is where
                                                                       Marginal Benefit = Marginal Cost
                   Producer
                  Surplus
                                                                                      D = MB

                                               Q* = 3                                 Quantity

                                               baskets
Air Pollution

   $                              MC of abatement



                             NOT Supply and Demand of
                                   Air Pollution
MBA* =
MCA*                          Marginal Cost vs Marginal
                                    Benefit graph



Status Quo
     0                               MB of abatement

               A*             Abatement (tons)
The marginal benefit of pollution reduction is higher, the more air pollution there is.
                                    (LA/Mexico City)

Eventually as you’re cleaning up the air, the marginal benefit becomes less and less beneficial.

                  Somewhere at the far end, it’s Monterey/Santa Cruz air.

                              Like Diminishing Marginal Utility

 Easy ways of getting rid of pollution are cheaper, high costs associated with the last tons.

                 What does this marginal cost represent in the real world?

Regulations - scrubbers, energy-efficient lightbulbs, efficiency measures, catalytic converters,
                            cleaner diesel, no lead in gasoline...

                        IF you’re doing rational policy, hopefully you’
Marginal Cost Curve of Pollution Abatement is the cost of the technologies.

            Marginal cost curve abatement for runoff near Elkhorn Slew

                             How would we do that?
               *look at what technologies are in place to abate runoff
barriers, buffers, reduce waste of fertilizer/overuse, reduce irrigation so there’s less
      excess water, levies, (buy the land where the pollution is coming from)...

           For example - GHG abatement through water conservation.
              Save transportation costs on water, reduce water use.
                    Really happened in an advanced econ class.

          Where do the marginal benefits of abatement come from?
            see how many more animals/plants are going to live
                *how much tourists are willing to pay to visit?
       HOW to translate environmental improvements into dollar values?!!

                  Marginal benefit of reducing climate change?
                              Extremely difficult!
                        Marginal cost is easy to graph.
         Weird asymmetry - easy to measure one line, not the other one.
Speed Limits - up from 55 to 65
       what have we done here (in cost-benefit analysis)?
  We want to save time, and a few thousand people die every year.

  We could reduce the speed limit to 5mph, no one would ever die.
                  No one will make that choice!

                      Life versus Convenience

People say Life is Priceless - but our actions prove that’s not true
Nice sentiment, something aspirational, but doesn’t guide our actions.
What are some problems with this Air Pollution graph?

                   It’s a beginning methodology
           Getting MB measurements are very difficult.
            This is a snapshot of a moment in time.

        How are these trends going to shift in the future?
 1 - technology will increase - MC curves will shift to the right
                   2 - policies aren’t dynamic
             3 - what will happen to the MB curve?
   people will value less pollution more? subjective element.
 Human life is valued through how much earnings potential humans have.
So if you have a lot of econ/productivity growth, the MB goes up.
Air Pollution - GRAPH IN 5 YEARS
                                  MC of abatement
   $                                                MC New


                                           Curves will shift out
                                           due to technological
MBA* =                                      increases, peoples’
MCA*                                        perceptions, other
                                               MC/MB shifts

                                              MB New
Status Quo
     0                                MB of abatement

                  A*                Abatement (tons)
Why is efficiency not enough?

                 Equity!

   Need arguments for both aspects

Easier to talk about efficiency sometimes.
Market Failure
       How do we use incentives to change attitudes?

A country paid McKinzie millions of dollars to do a study on how much
           they should be paid NOT to cut down forests?

            Cost Curve Mitigation CO2 - (Marginal Costs)

          Why is there money to be made on this graph?
    Because people aren’t rational actors, making perfect choices.

   Because of risk-aversion, weird property rights, long-term savings,
            why businesses wouldn’t make those choices.

      Maybe because the transaction costs are really really high.
             Not as cheap as it seems to an academic...
Nobody knows who’s right, hasn’t been answered yet.
     10-15% of the climate change reductions could be profitable?

The business that’s offering to do energy-savings for businesses, they’ll
    do the infrastructure improvements and recoup the savings.

       Nuclear power -> livestock -> coal retrofits -> biodiesel

                        UNFCC - 450 ppm goal
              350.org - Bill McKibben’s goal of GHG ppm

            What’s the price per ton of GHG emissions?
       Estimate a carbon tax in the range of $55/ton (40 Euros)

Abate the pollution if it’s cheaper - so you’ll get rid of everything below
                              the price point.
Why is the GHG abatement curve relatively flat?

     So many ways to abate, that makes it a lot easier to find
            alternatives, not have super high costs.

When you have something that can’t be replaced/substituted costs
                         are higher.

       Without government intervention, will MB=MC?
   Not even close. Markets don’t work well for enviro issues.
                 Problem of collective action.
(Five) Conditions for Well-Functioning Markets

                                  1-Perfect Information
         What you’re buying, producing... can’t value it if you don’t know what it is.
            (we don’t even know what 95% of the chemicals in us are doing,
                       and the 5% we know about are killing us.)

                                   2-Secure Property Rights
           We need liability, to hold people accountable, to limit the use of things.
             A lot of the enviro problem is people using too much/ no limits.
            Atmosphere and open oceans - two tragedies... also most forests.

                                   3-No Externalities
                   Everyone who buys something gets the full benefit.
       Everyone who produces/uses things pays the full cost - don’t impose on others.

                                    4-Perfect Competition
Can’t have price-takers/price-makers or they’ll raise the price above the point that maximizes
                                           efficiency.
  In some markets we have reasonable competition, but often not with natural resources -
                                oil, fish, energy, minerals, etc.

                                   5-Complete Markets
Almost exist in developed countries. You can get insurance for environmental/disaster events.
                    Emerging markets don’t have access to these things.
If people who are libertarians, classical economists, want
         to say they’re free market economists -
      They don’t know what they’re talking about.

  There’s almost 100% consensus among economists
  worldwide that we need government intervention.

 NONE of these conditions exist for well-functioning
markets. The markets will never get us to optimal costs.

Collective action tragedy. Economic case for government
intervention to at least try to address market failures is
                         air-tight.

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EnviroNotes

  • 1. IPOL 8542 #2 1)Pollution Theory 2) Market Failure 3) Unintended Consequences 4) Readings
  • 2. The only time the producer surplus does not equal profit is when there are fixed costs. If we charge more, there will be less surplus, so it is not ideal. When we multiply x and y axis = dollars. $/ Basket S Consumer Surplus Negative - P* cost is more than demand Producer Surplus D Quantity Q*
  • 3. Supply Price per basket Person 1 Person 2 Market Demand $5 1 0 1 $3 2 1 3 $1 3 2 5 Demand Market price per basket Farmer 1 Farmer 2 Market Supply $1 0 1 1 $3 1 2 3 $5 2 3 5
  • 4. The only time the producer surplus does not equal profit is when there are fixed costs. If we charge more, there will be less surplus, so it is not ideal. When we multiply x and y axis = dollars. $/ Basket S = MC Diminishing marginal utility is why we have downward sloping demand curves. Consumer Surplus P* Demand curve = marginal benefit of adding another basket of strawberries Producer Why is that? Surplus D = MB Q* = 3 Quantity baskets
  • 5. Demand Curve Diminishing marginal utility is why we have downward sloping demand curves. Demand curve = marginal benefit of adding another basket of strawberries Why is that? Eventually the marginal benefit is less than the price (that’s where S and D intersect) Supply Curve You have to be able to at least cover marginal costs - supply curve is equivalent to the marginal cost curve. Why does the supply curve go up? Increasing Marginal Costs Scarcity of supply - ie fertile land... once it’s used up you have to buy increasingly marginal land. Prime coastal land - using the best resources first. Especially agricultural land. At the high end of the supply curve - rocky infertile land. Also - limited amount of people who are really good at growing strawberries? People with the really good land get all the profit. Marginal farmers just break even. Market price gets determined by the marginal farmer - person with the good land gets the great profits. Market prices are decided at the margins - last data point.
  • 6. The only time the producer surplus does not equal profit is when there are fixed costs. If we charge more, there will be less surplus, so it is not ideal. When we multiply x and y axis = dollars. $/ Basket S = MC Diminishing marginal utility is why we have downward sloping demand curves. Consumer Surplus P* Demand curve = marginal benefit of adding another basket of strawberries Producer Why is that? Surplus D = MB Q* = 3 Quantity baskets
  • 7. Competitve Market Lots of suppliers, lots of buyers, no one is a price maker or a price taker. No collusion, monopolies, cartels, oligopolies, distortions... Perfect competition for environmental resources is the exception, not the rule.
  • 8. The only time the producer surplus does not equal profit is when there are fixed costs. If we charge more, there will be less surplus, so it is not ideal. When we multiply x and y axis = dollars. $/ Basket S = MC Consumer Surplus Moral of the story: P* equilibrium is where Marginal Benefit = Marginal Cost Producer Surplus D = MB Q* = 3 Quantity baskets
  • 9. Air Pollution $ MC of abatement NOT Supply and Demand of Air Pollution MBA* = MCA* Marginal Cost vs Marginal Benefit graph Status Quo 0 MB of abatement A* Abatement (tons)
  • 10. The marginal benefit of pollution reduction is higher, the more air pollution there is. (LA/Mexico City) Eventually as you’re cleaning up the air, the marginal benefit becomes less and less beneficial. Somewhere at the far end, it’s Monterey/Santa Cruz air. Like Diminishing Marginal Utility Easy ways of getting rid of pollution are cheaper, high costs associated with the last tons. What does this marginal cost represent in the real world? Regulations - scrubbers, energy-efficient lightbulbs, efficiency measures, catalytic converters, cleaner diesel, no lead in gasoline... IF you’re doing rational policy, hopefully you’
  • 11. Marginal Cost Curve of Pollution Abatement is the cost of the technologies. Marginal cost curve abatement for runoff near Elkhorn Slew How would we do that? *look at what technologies are in place to abate runoff barriers, buffers, reduce waste of fertilizer/overuse, reduce irrigation so there’s less excess water, levies, (buy the land where the pollution is coming from)... For example - GHG abatement through water conservation. Save transportation costs on water, reduce water use. Really happened in an advanced econ class. Where do the marginal benefits of abatement come from? see how many more animals/plants are going to live *how much tourists are willing to pay to visit? HOW to translate environmental improvements into dollar values?!! Marginal benefit of reducing climate change? Extremely difficult! Marginal cost is easy to graph. Weird asymmetry - easy to measure one line, not the other one.
  • 12. Speed Limits - up from 55 to 65 what have we done here (in cost-benefit analysis)? We want to save time, and a few thousand people die every year. We could reduce the speed limit to 5mph, no one would ever die. No one will make that choice! Life versus Convenience People say Life is Priceless - but our actions prove that’s not true Nice sentiment, something aspirational, but doesn’t guide our actions.
  • 13. What are some problems with this Air Pollution graph? It’s a beginning methodology Getting MB measurements are very difficult. This is a snapshot of a moment in time. How are these trends going to shift in the future? 1 - technology will increase - MC curves will shift to the right 2 - policies aren’t dynamic 3 - what will happen to the MB curve? people will value less pollution more? subjective element. Human life is valued through how much earnings potential humans have. So if you have a lot of econ/productivity growth, the MB goes up.
  • 14. Air Pollution - GRAPH IN 5 YEARS MC of abatement $ MC New Curves will shift out due to technological MBA* = increases, peoples’ MCA* perceptions, other MC/MB shifts MB New Status Quo 0 MB of abatement A* Abatement (tons)
  • 15. Why is efficiency not enough? Equity! Need arguments for both aspects Easier to talk about efficiency sometimes.
  • 16. Market Failure How do we use incentives to change attitudes? A country paid McKinzie millions of dollars to do a study on how much they should be paid NOT to cut down forests? Cost Curve Mitigation CO2 - (Marginal Costs) Why is there money to be made on this graph? Because people aren’t rational actors, making perfect choices. Because of risk-aversion, weird property rights, long-term savings, why businesses wouldn’t make those choices. Maybe because the transaction costs are really really high. Not as cheap as it seems to an academic...
  • 17. Nobody knows who’s right, hasn’t been answered yet. 10-15% of the climate change reductions could be profitable? The business that’s offering to do energy-savings for businesses, they’ll do the infrastructure improvements and recoup the savings. Nuclear power -> livestock -> coal retrofits -> biodiesel UNFCC - 450 ppm goal 350.org - Bill McKibben’s goal of GHG ppm What’s the price per ton of GHG emissions? Estimate a carbon tax in the range of $55/ton (40 Euros) Abate the pollution if it’s cheaper - so you’ll get rid of everything below the price point.
  • 18. Why is the GHG abatement curve relatively flat? So many ways to abate, that makes it a lot easier to find alternatives, not have super high costs. When you have something that can’t be replaced/substituted costs are higher. Without government intervention, will MB=MC? Not even close. Markets don’t work well for enviro issues. Problem of collective action.
  • 19. (Five) Conditions for Well-Functioning Markets 1-Perfect Information What you’re buying, producing... can’t value it if you don’t know what it is. (we don’t even know what 95% of the chemicals in us are doing, and the 5% we know about are killing us.) 2-Secure Property Rights We need liability, to hold people accountable, to limit the use of things. A lot of the enviro problem is people using too much/ no limits. Atmosphere and open oceans - two tragedies... also most forests. 3-No Externalities Everyone who buys something gets the full benefit. Everyone who produces/uses things pays the full cost - don’t impose on others. 4-Perfect Competition Can’t have price-takers/price-makers or they’ll raise the price above the point that maximizes efficiency. In some markets we have reasonable competition, but often not with natural resources - oil, fish, energy, minerals, etc. 5-Complete Markets Almost exist in developed countries. You can get insurance for environmental/disaster events. Emerging markets don’t have access to these things.
  • 20. If people who are libertarians, classical economists, want to say they’re free market economists - They don’t know what they’re talking about. There’s almost 100% consensus among economists worldwide that we need government intervention. NONE of these conditions exist for well-functioning markets. The markets will never get us to optimal costs. Collective action tragedy. Economic case for government intervention to at least try to address market failures is air-tight.

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