http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-east-war-on-stocks
Effect of a broader middle east war on Stocks
Fighting has intensified on Syria’s borders with both Turkey and Israel. In each case, Syria would be making a huge mistake dragging its militarily stronger neighbors into a conflict. Poorly organized and supplied rebel forces have made significant strides against the Assad government and refugees include high ranking military officers who are adding expertise, and hopefully discipline, to the rebel forces. Assad does not seem prepared to back down or leave gracefully. More to the point considering our concern for the effect of a broader Middle East war on stocks is that Assad has specified that he would not use his stock of poison gas unless the conflict involves foreign nations. However, if either Turkey or Israel is pulled into the widening Syrian conflict the results could be far reaching. For an individual involved in stock investing at this time it may be wise to consider the effect of a broader Middle East war on stocks across the globe.
Iran, the Persian Gulf, Oil
The fundamental analysis for this is basic. A fifth of the world’s oil passes though the choke point of the Straits of Hormuz on its way out of the Persian Gulf. A widened conflict in the Middle East would certainly drive the cost of oil higher. The closure of the Straits of Hormuz during war time could drastically raise the cost of crude oil and drive the already shaky economies of Europe into a recession. The effect of a broader Middle East conflict on stocks in this case would send oil stock higher, crude oil futures higher, and damage a wide range of stocks in markets across the globe.
Worst Case Scenarios
Iran has a mutual security pact with Syria. Iran is developing the capacity to make nuclear weapons. The West has put severe economic sanctions on Iran in an attempt to halt their nuclear ambitions. Iranian leaders have numerous times spoken of their wish to eradicate Israel. Israel is the only nation in the Middle East though to have nuclear weapons. If Iran can claim that Israel is attacking Syria would it use this as an excuse for a preemptive strike against Israel? Would Israel use the presence of Iranian nationals in Syria as an excuse for a preemptive attack on Iranian nuclear installations? Virtually any worst case scenario drags the USA into the picture, damages oil facilities throughout the region, and, perhaps, rearranges the map politically if not by boarders in the Middle East. The prospect of a Greek financial collapse would pale in comparison to a worst case war in the Middle East. The effect of a broader Middle East war on defense stocks in the USA could be significant. In fact, there are contrarians who claim that the West is seeking a broader conflict in the Middle East in order to cure the malaise in their economies and broaden their influence to resemble colonial times.Profiting fr
2. Fighting has intensified on Syria’s borders
with both Turkey and Israel.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-east-
war-on-stocks
3. In each case, Syria would be making a huge
mistake dragging its militarily stronger
neighbors into a conflict.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-east-
war-on-stocks
4. Poorly organized and supplied rebel forces
have made significant strides against the
Assad government and refugees include
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
5. high ranking military officers who are adding
expertise, and hopefully discipline, to the
rebel forces.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
6. Assad does not seem prepared to back down
or leave gracefully.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
7. More to the point considering our concern for
the effect of a broader Middle East war on
stocks is that Assad has specified that he
would not use his stock of poison gas unless
the conflict involves foreign nations.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-east-
war-on-stocks
8. However, if either Turkey or Israel is pulled
into the widening Syrian conflict the results
could be far reaching.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
9. For an individual involved in stock investing
at this time it may be wise to consider the
effect of a broader Middle East war on stocks
across the globe.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-
middle-east-war-on-stocks
10. The fundamental analysis for this is basic.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
11. A fifth of the world’s oil passes though the
choke point of the Straits of Hormuz on its
way out of the Persian Gulf.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
12. A widened conflict in the Middle East would
certainly drive the cost of oil higher.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
13. The closure of the Straits of Hormuz during
war time could drastically raise the cost of
crude oil and drive the already shaky
economies of Europe into a recession.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
14. The effect of a broader Middle East conflict
on stocks in this case would send oil stock
higher, crude oil futures higher,
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
15. and damage a wide range of stocks in
markets across the globe.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
16. Iran has a mutual security pact with Syria.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
17. Iran is developing the capacity to make
nuclear weapons.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
18. The West has put severe economic sanctions
on Iran in an attempt to halt their nuclear
ambitions.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
19. Iranian leaders have numerous times spoken
of their wish to eradicate Israel.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
20. Israel is the only nation in the Middle East
though to have nuclear weapons.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
21. If Iran can claim that Israel is attacking Syria
would it use this as an excuse for a
preemptive strike against Israel?
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
22. Would Israel use the presence of Iranian
nationals in Syria as an excuse for a
preemptive attack on Iranian nuclear
installations?
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
23. Virtually any worst case scenario drags the
USA into the picture, damages oil facilities
throughout the
region, and, perhaps, rearranges the map
politically if not by boarders in the Middle
East.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
24. The prospect of a Greek financial collapse
would pale in comparison to a worst case war
in the Middle East.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
25. The effect of a broader Middle East war on
defense stocks in the USA could be
significant.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
26. In fact, there are contrarians who claim that
the West is seeking a broader conflict in the
Middle East
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
27. in order to cure the malaise in their
economies and broaden their influence to
resemble colonial times.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
28. There are three schools of thought regarding
the effect of a broader Middle East war on
stocks.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
29. Let us assume that the fighting in contained
and that cooler heads prevail.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
30. The price of oil will rise and the expected
European recession might happen.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
31. Oil stocks will prosper as well as all energy
stocks.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
32. Defense stocks may do a bit better.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
33. Then let us assume that a broader war
breaks out.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
34. Oil prices will go through the roof.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
35. Economies will falter across the globe with
excessive energy prices.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
36. Defense stocks will soar.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
37. A third line of thinking is that things could get
really bad. Stock markets could fall across
the globe, the “blood in the streets” scenario.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
38. At that time investors who remember the
words of Baron Rothschild will take
advantage of the effect of a broader Middle
East war to pick up bargains as they profit
from a global stock selloff.
http://www.profitableinvestingtips.com/investing-trading/effect-of-a-broader-middle-
east-war-on-stocks
39. For more insights and useful information
about investments and investing, visit
www.ProfitableInvestingTips.com.
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east-war-on-stocks