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Roberto Saracco Technology Evolution: Impact on the Telecommunications World Montevideo October 11th, 2007
Ambient Evolution Infrastructure driven Terminal, User driven Organized /Structured Creative/Innovative Health   Care Automotive Home Gaming Transport Media Tourism Learning Trading Shops
Storage Roadmap All rights reserved 2010 2020 SSD 1 TB 5-30 TB 10s TB 10s TB ? 50 ns
Processing Roadmap 2010 2020 1c GFlop 100 TFlop 100s PFlop 0.2% 0.001% TFLOPS< 100$ 2Tbps Interc. fabric Gbps Interc. F. 100s’Gbps Interc. F. WperGflop ? Com
Display Roadmap Sw Dvc ,[object Object],2010 2020 32 Mpixel Size Resol Radio Semantics 2010 Contextual Content? ? Contx
New Drivers for Ultra Broad Band 2020 2010 2015 Mega… 2 Mpx 15 Mbps TV –HDTV - TrueLifeTV Digital Camera Display 16 Mpx 120 Mbps WQXGA NED Av. Bandwidth per home Home Bandwidth Giga… VDSL-3 HD channel Upload HR Data Detection HD Terminals Niche enterprises take the upper hand 32 Mpx 240 Mbps SED Immersive video 8 Mpx 60 Mbps
Infrastructures Roadmap 2010 2020 ? Transparency Alternatives Multiple Players ? Dens
Infrastructures - Wireless
Italian NGN
Telecoms  & Energy: where are we going ? ,[object Object],[object Object],E TOT E TLC E TOT: total energy consumption from mains  (TLC equipment, cooling, ausiliary systems)  E TLC: energy consumption of TLC equipment  Wireline network domain ‘ 84 ‘ 88 ‘ 92 ‘ 96 GWh Years ‘ 98 ‘ 06 ‘ 08 Start of network digitalization End of network digitalization Energy consumption became a Key Issue Start ADSL deployment Actions on cooling and energy systems Start NGN2 deployment New challenge on energy saving Need of further actions on TLC equipments Appliances Power Consumpt.
The growth of the content ecosystem EB 2003 2006 2010 5 41 17 161 988 196 670 Created 700 Storage Transmitted
Content vs Biz 2001 – 120 Bl minutes  (wireline Italy) 2006 – 600 Bl minutes  (wireline Italy) 80,000 minutes each of Television 12,000 minutes each  (33 minutes a day)
Content vs Biz EB $
Content vs Biz
The Semantic Information Statistics analyses to retrieve meanings
Paradigms Load Sharing Data Sharing Broadcasting Peer to Peer Cluster to Cluster
Load Sharing Data Sharing Paradigms Broadcasting Peer to Peer Cluster to Cluster Sticker
Load Sharing Data Sharing Paradigms Broadcasting Peer to Peer Cluster to Cluster Sticker Bit/Vid Torrent
Load Sharing Data Sharing Paradigms Broadcasting Peer to Peer Cluster to Cluster Sticker Layered/Mashed  Bit/Vid Torrent
Load Sharing Data Sharing Paradigms Web 2.0 Broadcasting Peer to Peer Cluster to Cluster Sticker Layered/Mashed  Bit/Vid Torrent
Scenario – Liquid communications
 
Scenario – Mesh communications
Scenario – Information wrapping
Technology Evolution: Impact on the Telecommunications World Roberto Saracco [email_address] Thanks Montevideo October 11th, 2007

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