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TO ACCESS MORE INFORMATION ON THE IMPACT OF THE CORONAVIRUS IN CHINA, PLEASE CONTACT DX@DAXUECONSULTING.COM
dx@daxueconsulting.com +86 (21) 5386 0380
March. 2020
HONG KONG | BEIJING | SHANGHAI
www.daxueconsulting.com
1
HOW COVID-19 CHANGED CHINESE
CONSUMER BEHAVIOR
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Who we are
2
Covered Tier-1 cities
Covered Tier-2 cities
Covered Tier-3 (and below) cities
We are daxue consulting:
• A market research firm specializing on the Chinese
market since 2010
• With 3 offices in China: in Shanghai, Beijing and Hong
Kong
• Employing 20+ full-time consultants
• Full, complete, national coverage
• Efficient and reliable fieldwork execution across China
• Using our expertise to draw precise, reliable
recommendations
• With key accounts from around the world
Your Market Research Company in China
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The strengths of Daxue Consulting
6 crucial competitive advantages
 Working on each project
making exchange and
challenges, recruiting the
brightest talents in both local
& international (1:1), to
ensure a comprehensive &
scientific logic thinking.
 Result-oriented, regular
reports with our clients to
make sure we align the
expected objective.
 Teams & proposal are tailor-
made depending on the
project.
 One client = one team.
 Using 50+ software
 Leveraging alternative data and
open source intelligence
 Social listening
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and serious, taking information from
the best practice in the world of
consulting and research.
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oriented, respectful towards our
commitments.
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1. Localized & Creative 2. Responsive & Flexible
5. Innovative 6. Professional
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350+ clients with 600+ projects for the past 7 years
Examples of references
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A recognized expertise on the Chinese market
Regularly featured and quoted in global publications
Daxue latest quotations in recent publications
6
7© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
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CONTENTS
1
What Chinese people did at home during the epidemic
2
COVID-19 outbreak effect on Chinese consumption
3
COVID-19 outbreak effect on Chinese entertainment
4
The consumption boom after the epidemic
5
Key Takeaways
08
16
24
30
37
8© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
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What Chinese people do at
home during the epidemic
1
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Six new trends of China’s market during the epidemic
9
The average DAU of Arena Of Valor
reached 50 million during the 2020 CNY.
• Short videos are more welcomed.
• Live-streaming and foreign movies and
TV dramas are growing popular.
• Major platforms are in short supply.
• The DAU of JD one-hour delivery reached 1
million, while Hema reached 400 thousand.
2019-nCoVMobile games have seen
explosive growth
Video industry
performed well overall
Fresh food ecommerce
are facing more demands
After the government announcing to
postpone the starting day of school, online
learning APPs achieved dramatic growth.
The demand on remote medical inquiry and O2O
medical ecommerce increased remarkably.
The DAU of Dingtalk is expected to exceed
100 million, with absolute advantage in the
market.
Online medical care
attracts more attention
Remote working has
become the mainstream
Online education becomes
necessary
>1000
500~100
0
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89% 87%
82%
77%
72%
61%
55%
35%
29%
23%
18%
Cooking Housework Looking after
children
Sleeping Information
acquisition
Pets care Investment Learning Entertainment Training Others
What Chinese people did more than before during the epidemic
Main activities of Chinese while at home
In addition to daily household duties like cooking, childcare and pet care, Chinese people spend more time on information
acquisition as well as investment. The end of the outbreak could give way for consumers’ growing reliance on social media and APPs
for information and an increase in financial awareness.
10
Source: NetEase Positioning & CTR, Epidemic Consumer Behavior Attitude Impact and Trend
Survey on 10,000 respondents, Mainland China, February 2020
© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
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Chinese state of mind during the epidemic
11
63%
15%
9%
11%
2%
How Chinese feel about the impact of the Coronavirus
Optimistic
Somewhat optimistic
Neutral
A bit pessimisitic
Pessimistic
In their own words, they feel:
Source: Wavemaker’s survey on 4,116 respondents, Mainland China,
February 2020
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Activities of Chinese people in different age groups
12
Under 20s 30-40yo20-30yo
Chinese digital natives
increased their time
spent binge-watching
TV series and online
learning
Millennials also spent
time binge watching
TV series and playing
mobile games
30-40 year olds
watched the news
through short videos,
and extensively talked
to others and cooked
40-50yo
40-50 year olds spent
more time on WeChat,
cooking and watching
news
Over 50s
Those over 50 paid
much attention to news,
health information
and the management
of their community
Source: Zhongyan Science and Technology Epidemic Series Survey—
Chinese Habits and Future Market Opportunities
Online recreational behaviours are
expected to keep a high growth in the
short term.
Attention to healthcare, sports/fitness
and online learning could last after the
epidemic.
© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
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Chinese consumers developed new habits
Among all respondents, 73.5% tried at least one new service for the first time. All the services listed bellow will likely keep a strong
growth as many people said they will continue to use these online services after the epidemic.
13
73.5%
Tried something
new
26.5%
Didn’t
8.2%
9.2%
10.4%
12.3%
13.3%
12.0%
13.6%
17.6%
21.1%
6.7%
6.8%
8.0%
8.3%
8.7%
9.0%
9.8%
12.1%
14.6%
Online bank
Mobile games
Buy fresh food on apps
Pay for online entertainment
Short videos
Online diagnosis
Livestreaming
Remote working software
Online learning
Which services Chinese consumers tried for the first time during the
epidemic
Respondents used for the first time Will keep using after the epidemic
Source: NetEase Positioning & CTR, Epidemic Consumer Behavior Attitude
Impact and Trend
Survey on 10,000 respondents, Mainland China, February 2020
© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
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COVID-19 changed the way of Chinese people get information
14
34.1% 36.1%
48.0%
62.3%
Short video apps Weibo WeChat News apps
Information acquisition channel during the
epidemic
81.4%
COVID-19
news
33.2%
Business, Finance
news
30.3%
Entertainment
news
25.7%
Healthcare
news
Chinese people mainly searched for
Outside of news apps, WeChat, Weibo and short video apps
became the main channel for Chinese to obtain information.
Information supply form with social function is more likely to
gain traffic in the future. 48% said they will continue to spend
more time in information acquisition after the outbreak.
Business and finance represent the second news trend, this
financial interest is expected to last.
Source: NetEase Positioning & CTR, Epidemic Consumer Behavior
Attitude Impact and Trend
© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
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Online study apps are now a necessity
15
Source: MobaTech
During the epidemic, the daily active users of Xueersi (学而思)
online education platform have exceeded 10 million. Many
new users are come from tier-2, 3 and 4 cities.
The epidemic largely decreased the cost for online education platforms to attract consumers. Students and parents in tier-2 and 3
cities have greatly improved their awareness and acceptance of online education, which created huge traffic for online education
platforms.
However, the online education industry still has some difficulties. Online education platforms need to launch more interactive
teaching modes to gain more consumers after the COVID-19.
Improper learning atmosphere
Lack of supervision
The main problems of online teaching
apps
It’s hard for online educators to create an
atmosphere which is conducive to learning.
Teachers cannot conveniently interact with students.
Many teachers don’t have much experience on
online teaching, their skills need to be improved
and adapted to the digital environment.
Students need supervision to help them
concentrate on online courses, but many parents
don’t have time.
Teachers inexperienced in digital
16© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
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COVID-19 outbreak effect
on Chinese consumption
2
© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
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Consumer tendencies during the COVID-19 epidemic
17
Source: JD Data
300%
200%
100%
Milk
Drinking water
Roasted nuts
YOY growth rate of food sales during Spring Festival
(JD, 2020)
The coronavirus outbreak has improved people’s safety consciousness. JD data showed commodities that reduce disease and
meet nutritional needs are more popular. Frozen food, snacks and health products have a high proportion of online consumption.
Indoor fitness equipment purchases skyrocketed during the epidemic. JD data shows that the turnover of wall pulley increased by
109% YOY during the 2020 CNY, jump ropes increased by 56% and rowing machines increased by 134%.
134%
109%
56%
Rowing machines
Wall pulleys
Jump ropes
YOY growth rate of exercise equipment sales during Spring Festival
(JD, 2020)
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Health-related consumption increased
18
Laundry sanitizer
sales increased
643% according to
Suning
Antiseptic hand
sanitizer sales
increased 1,616%
according to Suning
Yoga mat sales
increased 150%
according to JD
Health-related products gained incredibly growth during the epidemic
The epidemic may have a lasting impact on attitudes towards a healthy and sanitary lifestyle. Staying at home for a long
period of time made people find new ways of stress relief, like Yoga or indoor workouts. They also started to access more info
and products about disinfection.
These health-related considerations may change consumer habits over time, such as investments in household cleaning and
disinfection products and at-home workout equipment.
Source: Suning.com; JD.COM
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Three types of consumption that reduced in the short term
19
Less automobile consumption is an inevitable short term outcome.
Consumers’ behaviors also changed during the outbreak. Online
sales are now attracting more consumers since they want to
prevent the risk of cross infections in 4S shops.
China’s offline air-conditioning market has been seriously affected.
The spread of the epidemic has greatly restrained consumer
demand, especially the need for new replacements that are not
urgent.
China’s beverage market was greatly impacted, especially liquors.
Normally, CNY accounts for a high proportion of liquor sales.
However, the epidemic caused a full-scale impact on consumption
of gifts and catering, which will have a disproportionately large
impact on the annual performance of liquor sales.
Source: RIES Positioning Pioneers
COVID-19
Here are examples of how consumers changed their demands for different products.
© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
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COVID-19 has changed consumption in both frequency and preferred channels. Many consumers choose to reduce the
frequency of shopping due to fear of going out.
More than half of consumers have moved from offline stores to e-commerce (online penetration rate during the epidemic
period was as high as 68.2% which increased by 50.7%).
New retail businesses have greatly improved during the epidemic period. Instantaneous e-commerce delivery apps like JD
daojia and Missfresh can now better meet the core needs of consumers’ “safe & fast” shopping.
Where did consumers shop during the epidemic
20
17.5% of consumers move from online
purchases to offline stores.
50.1% of consumers shifted from
offline stores to online shopping
during the epidemic.
18.1% of consumer habits
remain unchanged and still
rely on online shopping.
14.3% of consumers still
mainly rely on offline
shopping.
Source: Dataway
© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
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Explosive growth of fresh food e-commerce (1/2)
21
Company Name City coverage Distribution during the epidemic
Fresh food supply changes
during the outbreak
Sales during the epidemic
More than 200 stores in 21
1st- and 2nd-tier cities
including Beijing, Shanghai,
Guangzhou and Shenzhen
The time for ordering starts at
midnight everyday, only orders for
the same day are accepted and the
order is quickly filled
6 times more vegetables
supply than usual
Sales were about 50% higher
than usual, and online orders
more than doubled
More than 1,500 front
warehouses in 16 cities
including Beijing, Shanghai,
Guangzhou and Shenzhen
Advanced ordering is required,
delivery will start 4 hours after order
Vegetable supply increased
from 500 tons per day to
1,000 tons per day
2020 target GMV 20 billion,
Spring Festival business
increased 300%, average order
size increased by 30% to 120
RMB
550 front warehouses in
Shanghai, Suzhou, Hangzhou,
Shenzhen, Ningbo and Wuxi
Delivery within 2.5 hours after
placing an order
400 tons daily supply of
vegetables for Shanghai
residents
The overall order volume during
the Spring Festival increased by
80%, and the average order size
increased by 70% to about 100
RMB
Covering nearly 100 major
cities in China including
Beijing, Shanghai and
Guangzhou
Consumers can choose the nearby
supermarket, delivery within 1 hour
only by Dada
The platform cooperates with
nearly 40 large supermarkets
such as Walmart and Yonghui
as a fresh food supplier
Sales across the platform
increased 470% YOY
Source: MobTech; Ebrun; Guotai Junan Securities
Hema Fresh
Miss Fresh
Dingdong Maicai
JDdj
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Explosive growth of fresh food e-commerce (2/2)
22
16.85
27.45
Jan-19 Jan-20
Users of fresh food e-commerce platforms
(million) As of 6th February 2020, JD Daojia‘s daily active users have
exceeded 1 million, Hema and Dingdong Maicai exceeded 400
thousand. The number of daily users is still increasing.
• Fresh food e-commerce companies continue to make effort
• Fresh food e-commerce will be valued by more consumers
Normally, people can make a habit after using the same channel
4 to 5 times. Since the coronavirus outbreak, most consumers
ordered fresh food by e-commerce far more than 4-5 times,
which means the industry had not previously received much
attention before and will play a more important role in the future.
• Fresh food e-commerce industry can further increase
penetration
After the extreme panic consumption in the epidemic period,
vegetable quality and delivery services will be the keys to keep
growing.
Source: MobTech
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Live-stream proactively met consumers needs
23
The general performance of the apparel industry fell by 60% - 80% during the epidemic, however, brands that promote
products by live-stream had much more sales than others. In addition, other industries have joined the live-stream tide,
such as cosmetics and fresh vegetables.
If a live-stream sales model for brands during the epidemic is sloppy, then they will be challenged to be more strategic
after the epidemic to maintain sales.
1 2 3
During the epidemic, 88% of Peacebird ’s
shopping guides started live-streaming to
increase sales.
Perfect Diary continues to exert its
strength through live-stream during
the epidemic.
The epidemic gave birth to the live-
stream of cooking, where chefs live-
stream to sell snacks, drink, and meals.
1
2
3
24© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
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COVID-19 outbreak effect
on Chinese entertainment
3
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0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
The OPPO small game daily active users during the
epidemic (million)
Mobile game market will upgrade
25
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
The Honor of Kings daily active users during the
epidemic (million)
Source: Mob Tech
2020 CNY 2020 CNY
Number of daily
active users still
high after CNY
During the Coronavirus outbreak, demand for mobile games increased enormously. The top mobile game companies (such as
Tencent) expended their business and further seized the market space of small companies during this period.
But the sustainability of mobile games’ boom is questionable once the epidemic subsides. However, it is expected to further
promote the upgrading of China’s mobile game market.
© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
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Short video platforms gained many new users
26
Source: Quest Mobile
During the Coronavirus outbreak, there was an explosive increase in China’s short video market. Before the epidemic, short video
platforms have been widely used among young people, they spent more time on short video platforms for entertainment during
the epidemic.
Also, it is easier for short video platforms to have new users from middle-aged and elderly groups than the past, many young
people started to teach their parents to use short video platforms when they were at home, making the platforms accessible to
them as a form of entertainment long after the epidemic ends.
25.9%
28.7%
16.1%
11.6%
8.8%
8.6%
7.6%
8.2%
4.9%
3.9%
2.9%
3.5%
33.8%
35.5%
2020
February
2019
February
Proportion of the used time of mobile Internet in China
(Feb 2019 vs Feb 2020)
Instant messaging apps Short video platforms Long video platforms News Search engines Weibo Others
+4.5% +0.2% +1%-0.6%
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129
120
190
89
52
105
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
Douyin Kuaishou Bilibili
Daily per capita use time of top video apps
(minutes, Feb 2020)
Live-stream users Other users
Live-stream further enhanced user stickiness during the epidemic
27
Live-stream is useful for enhancing user stickiness, it is further accentuated during the COVID-19 epidemic. On top video apps,
live-stream users spend more time (more than 120 minutes/day) than other users during the Coronavirus outbreak.
In addition to KOLs, tourist sites and venues like museums and bars also started to use live-stream to increase exposure during
the epidemic, which attracted much traffic. This may be a new growth point for the live-stream market even after the epidemic.
Source: Quest Mobile
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Video games are the most popular live stream
28
During the epidemic, video game live-streams attracted more viewers than any other live-streams. Many of those audiences
follow specific gaming KOLs, which means they have high users stickiness and potential to be paid users. Since more people are
returning to work, the time of live-stream is the key to remain those audience.
Active audience:
Bullet comments:
How much of the 100 live-stream channels
during the epidemic were gaming?
Game live-stream Other live-stream
66.03%
62.93% 37.07%
33.97%
Source: iReseaerch
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0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Daily active users of TV dramas Apps during the
epidemic (million)
Increased demand for movies and TV dramas
29
Because of the Coronavirus, all movie releases were postponed or canceled, some Chinese movies were showed on the Internet
platforms such as Xigua video, Douyin, where they gained a lot of traffic. Online TV dramas also received a large number of views
during the epidemic.
Through the way of "film + Internet", movies can have new development channels and growth space, and gradually rid the
model of box-office revenue. It also can be the way of small and medium-budget films to compete with big movies.
Source: Mob Tech
Korean
dramas TV
RenRen
Video
Lost in Russia (囧妈) was viewed more
than 600 million times on China’s video
platforms by 27th January 2020.
Enter the Fat Dragon (肥龙过江) was
viewed more than 20 million times on
China’s video platforms by 3rd February
2020.
According to the National Radio and
Television Administration, the total
viewing time of TV and IPTV increased
41.7% during the epidemic.
30© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
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The consumption boom
after the epidemic
4
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Chinese people look forward to going out again after Covid-19
31
21-30 year olds hope to have dinner
with friends and family in restaurants
after the epidemic, they focus on the
quality and health of restaurants.
They are the key clients of catering
market’s recovery.
Eating out Travel in China Visit parents
31-40 year olds wish to travel after
the epidemic. Most of them will
choose short trips in China since the
epidemic is still serious in other
countries. They probably will get
away from the most popular travel
destinations to avoid crowds.
41-50 year olds plan to visit their
parents after the epidemic. They
usually purchase health products for
their parents, thus health related
products will even have more sales
than before.
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More purchases will come after the COVID-19
32
According to the survey of DATA100 in Mainland China, more than 70% of consumers say they will purchase more after the
epidemic. Thus, Chinese consumption will have a quick growth after their daily lives return to normal.
Source: Data 100.com on 3,894 respondents,
Mainland China, March 2020
73%
14%
13%
Expected consumption changes after the epidemic
Will buy more products
No changes
Will buy less products
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What will be Chinese people’s first consumption after the COVID-19
33
Fitness, 7.3% Health
check-up,
8.0%
Go travel,
8.9%
Still stay at
home, 9.7%
Go
shopping,
15.8%
Others,
20.9%
Food &
Beverage,
29.3%
Chinese people’s first
consumption after the
epidemic
1
2
3
What do Chinese people think the most
when they’re in a daze recently?
Food & Beverage
29.3% of consumers choose “Food & Beverage” as the first
consumption after COVID-19. There is no doubt that many of them
would take milk tea and hot pot as the first choice.
Go shopping
15.8% of consumers choose to “Go shopping", far exceeding other
consumer scenarios. It may be related to consumers' long-sufficient
shopping desire during the epidemic.
Still stay at home
9.7% of consumers choose to still stay at home, which should be
related to the fear brought by the epidemic. They will keep the way
of consumption during the epidemic.
Source: Dataway survey
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Resuming work is helping consumption recovery
34
More than 50%
Source: Reuter Communication, Meituan
Employees were already back at work during
the first week of March
The white-collar people in the first tier cities are
the first group back at work, they showed high
consumption demand for F&B, especially
delivery services. The food delivery is growing
very fast in tier-1 cities.
The consumption demands that was restrained
during the outbreak are released on order-out
platforms, and they take the lead in
consumption recovery.
Big cities’ consumption is recovering
82%
In the F&B sector
96%
In the Financial Service sector
74%
In the Retail sector
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Consumption areas that are starting to recover
35Source: Reuter Communications
Cho Tai Fook has reopened more
than 85% of its 3,600 shops
in China
Apple has reopened all of its
mainland China stores
• 250% growth in domestic flights
for the month of June
• 230% growth in daily bookings for
domestic flights
Luxury brands stores reopened
Offline retailers reopened
their stores
Tourists are booking
more tickets
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Increased caution regarding health and finance
36
Higher financial awareness
In terms of consumption, the Coronavirus outbreak has a
greater impact on young people, especially consumers between
20- 30 years old. The epidemic may invoke feelings of financial
insecurity, hence they may be inclined to have less impulse
spending and save more.
Health will be the first consideration
The health management of the Chinese consumers will be
regarded as the primary consideration. Additionally, consumers
may pay more attention to the science behind health and diet.
Health products and organic food may have long-term growth
trends.
Insurance demands increased
The epidemic made consumers realize the importance of
insurance, they will secure further family risk prevention from
purchasing insurance.
Source: Quest Mobile
37© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
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Key Takeaways
5
© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING
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Key Takeaways
38
The Coronavirus outbreak largely increased the time spent online, it further digitalized the Chinese
people’s consumption, entertainment, and social lives.
Due to the epidemic, the Chinese consumers are paying more attention to health-related goods such as
household cleaning products and fitness equipment, this habit may continue for a long term.
The epidemic has provided a large growth for Fresh food e-commerce to increase the penetration rate of
the industry, so it may follow the trend to improve further.
I.
II.
III.
Health-related market achieved much growth
Fresh food e-commerce should continue to expand penetration
Chinese daily life went online during the epidemic
The sense of panic and depression during the epidemic may linger for some, part of consumers may be
more cautious and health-conscious.
IV. Many consumers will remain cautious
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Coronavirus Effect of Chinese Consumer Behavior Report by daxue consulting

  • 1. TO ACCESS MORE INFORMATION ON THE IMPACT OF THE CORONAVIRUS IN CHINA, PLEASE CONTACT DX@DAXUECONSULTING.COM dx@daxueconsulting.com +86 (21) 5386 0380 March. 2020 HONG KONG | BEIJING | SHANGHAI www.daxueconsulting.com 1 HOW COVID-19 CHANGED CHINESE CONSUMER BEHAVIOR
  • 2. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Who we are 2 Covered Tier-1 cities Covered Tier-2 cities Covered Tier-3 (and below) cities We are daxue consulting: • A market research firm specializing on the Chinese market since 2010 • With 3 offices in China: in Shanghai, Beijing and Hong Kong • Employing 20+ full-time consultants • Full, complete, national coverage • Efficient and reliable fieldwork execution across China • Using our expertise to draw precise, reliable recommendations • With key accounts from around the world Your Market Research Company in China
  • 3. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED The strengths of Daxue Consulting 6 crucial competitive advantages  Working on each project making exchange and challenges, recruiting the brightest talents in both local & international (1:1), to ensure a comprehensive & scientific logic thinking.  Result-oriented, regular reports with our clients to make sure we align the expected objective.  Teams & proposal are tailor- made depending on the project.  One client = one team.  Using 50+ software  Leveraging alternative data and open source intelligence  Social listening  Our methodologies are rigorous and serious, taking information from the best practice in the world of consulting and research.  Demanding on the results, detail- oriented, respectful towards our commitments.  Corporate presentation. 1. Localized & Creative 2. Responsive & Flexible 5. Innovative 6. Professional  Daxue Consulting does not outsource its services. Deep understanding on the fieldwork and the context within which data was collected.  Transparency of sources and information 3. All In-house Management  We care about results and design our research in order to be operational.  We are driven by metrics such as customer acquisition costs, business plan KPIs, P&L optimization. 4. Actionable recommendations 3 Responsive Manage from A to Z Actionable recommen- dations Innovative Professional Rigorous & creative
  • 4. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Our services 4 ACTION PLAN SOCIAL LISTENING TARGET AUDIENCE PROFILING DECISION-MAKING PROCESS DUE DILIGENCE PERFORMANCE EVALUATION PRODUCT LOCALIZATION BUSINESS INTELLIGENCE DIGITAL STRATEGY BRAND POSITIONNING VALUE PROPOSITION ASSESSMENT STRATEGYINSIGHTS INNOVATION CONCEPT TESTING Experienced in answering to a wide variety of strategic business questions
  • 5. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 350+ clients with 600+ projects for the past 7 years Examples of references 5
  • 6. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED A recognized expertise on the Chinese market Regularly featured and quoted in global publications Daxue latest quotations in recent publications 6
  • 7. 7© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED CONTENTS 1 What Chinese people did at home during the epidemic 2 COVID-19 outbreak effect on Chinese consumption 3 COVID-19 outbreak effect on Chinese entertainment 4 The consumption boom after the epidemic 5 Key Takeaways 08 16 24 30 37
  • 8. 8© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED What Chinese people do at home during the epidemic 1
  • 9. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Six new trends of China’s market during the epidemic 9 The average DAU of Arena Of Valor reached 50 million during the 2020 CNY. • Short videos are more welcomed. • Live-streaming and foreign movies and TV dramas are growing popular. • Major platforms are in short supply. • The DAU of JD one-hour delivery reached 1 million, while Hema reached 400 thousand. 2019-nCoVMobile games have seen explosive growth Video industry performed well overall Fresh food ecommerce are facing more demands After the government announcing to postpone the starting day of school, online learning APPs achieved dramatic growth. The demand on remote medical inquiry and O2O medical ecommerce increased remarkably. The DAU of Dingtalk is expected to exceed 100 million, with absolute advantage in the market. Online medical care attracts more attention Remote working has become the mainstream Online education becomes necessary >1000 500~100 0
  • 10. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 89% 87% 82% 77% 72% 61% 55% 35% 29% 23% 18% Cooking Housework Looking after children Sleeping Information acquisition Pets care Investment Learning Entertainment Training Others What Chinese people did more than before during the epidemic Main activities of Chinese while at home In addition to daily household duties like cooking, childcare and pet care, Chinese people spend more time on information acquisition as well as investment. The end of the outbreak could give way for consumers’ growing reliance on social media and APPs for information and an increase in financial awareness. 10 Source: NetEase Positioning & CTR, Epidemic Consumer Behavior Attitude Impact and Trend Survey on 10,000 respondents, Mainland China, February 2020
  • 11. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Chinese state of mind during the epidemic 11 63% 15% 9% 11% 2% How Chinese feel about the impact of the Coronavirus Optimistic Somewhat optimistic Neutral A bit pessimisitic Pessimistic In their own words, they feel: Source: Wavemaker’s survey on 4,116 respondents, Mainland China, February 2020
  • 12. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Activities of Chinese people in different age groups 12 Under 20s 30-40yo20-30yo Chinese digital natives increased their time spent binge-watching TV series and online learning Millennials also spent time binge watching TV series and playing mobile games 30-40 year olds watched the news through short videos, and extensively talked to others and cooked 40-50yo 40-50 year olds spent more time on WeChat, cooking and watching news Over 50s Those over 50 paid much attention to news, health information and the management of their community Source: Zhongyan Science and Technology Epidemic Series Survey— Chinese Habits and Future Market Opportunities Online recreational behaviours are expected to keep a high growth in the short term. Attention to healthcare, sports/fitness and online learning could last after the epidemic.
  • 13. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Chinese consumers developed new habits Among all respondents, 73.5% tried at least one new service for the first time. All the services listed bellow will likely keep a strong growth as many people said they will continue to use these online services after the epidemic. 13 73.5% Tried something new 26.5% Didn’t 8.2% 9.2% 10.4% 12.3% 13.3% 12.0% 13.6% 17.6% 21.1% 6.7% 6.8% 8.0% 8.3% 8.7% 9.0% 9.8% 12.1% 14.6% Online bank Mobile games Buy fresh food on apps Pay for online entertainment Short videos Online diagnosis Livestreaming Remote working software Online learning Which services Chinese consumers tried for the first time during the epidemic Respondents used for the first time Will keep using after the epidemic Source: NetEase Positioning & CTR, Epidemic Consumer Behavior Attitude Impact and Trend Survey on 10,000 respondents, Mainland China, February 2020
  • 14. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED COVID-19 changed the way of Chinese people get information 14 34.1% 36.1% 48.0% 62.3% Short video apps Weibo WeChat News apps Information acquisition channel during the epidemic 81.4% COVID-19 news 33.2% Business, Finance news 30.3% Entertainment news 25.7% Healthcare news Chinese people mainly searched for Outside of news apps, WeChat, Weibo and short video apps became the main channel for Chinese to obtain information. Information supply form with social function is more likely to gain traffic in the future. 48% said they will continue to spend more time in information acquisition after the outbreak. Business and finance represent the second news trend, this financial interest is expected to last. Source: NetEase Positioning & CTR, Epidemic Consumer Behavior Attitude Impact and Trend
  • 15. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Online study apps are now a necessity 15 Source: MobaTech During the epidemic, the daily active users of Xueersi (学而思) online education platform have exceeded 10 million. Many new users are come from tier-2, 3 and 4 cities. The epidemic largely decreased the cost for online education platforms to attract consumers. Students and parents in tier-2 and 3 cities have greatly improved their awareness and acceptance of online education, which created huge traffic for online education platforms. However, the online education industry still has some difficulties. Online education platforms need to launch more interactive teaching modes to gain more consumers after the COVID-19. Improper learning atmosphere Lack of supervision The main problems of online teaching apps It’s hard for online educators to create an atmosphere which is conducive to learning. Teachers cannot conveniently interact with students. Many teachers don’t have much experience on online teaching, their skills need to be improved and adapted to the digital environment. Students need supervision to help them concentrate on online courses, but many parents don’t have time. Teachers inexperienced in digital
  • 16. 16© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED COVID-19 outbreak effect on Chinese consumption 2
  • 17. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Consumer tendencies during the COVID-19 epidemic 17 Source: JD Data 300% 200% 100% Milk Drinking water Roasted nuts YOY growth rate of food sales during Spring Festival (JD, 2020) The coronavirus outbreak has improved people’s safety consciousness. JD data showed commodities that reduce disease and meet nutritional needs are more popular. Frozen food, snacks and health products have a high proportion of online consumption. Indoor fitness equipment purchases skyrocketed during the epidemic. JD data shows that the turnover of wall pulley increased by 109% YOY during the 2020 CNY, jump ropes increased by 56% and rowing machines increased by 134%. 134% 109% 56% Rowing machines Wall pulleys Jump ropes YOY growth rate of exercise equipment sales during Spring Festival (JD, 2020)
  • 18. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Health-related consumption increased 18 Laundry sanitizer sales increased 643% according to Suning Antiseptic hand sanitizer sales increased 1,616% according to Suning Yoga mat sales increased 150% according to JD Health-related products gained incredibly growth during the epidemic The epidemic may have a lasting impact on attitudes towards a healthy and sanitary lifestyle. Staying at home for a long period of time made people find new ways of stress relief, like Yoga or indoor workouts. They also started to access more info and products about disinfection. These health-related considerations may change consumer habits over time, such as investments in household cleaning and disinfection products and at-home workout equipment. Source: Suning.com; JD.COM
  • 19. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Three types of consumption that reduced in the short term 19 Less automobile consumption is an inevitable short term outcome. Consumers’ behaviors also changed during the outbreak. Online sales are now attracting more consumers since they want to prevent the risk of cross infections in 4S shops. China’s offline air-conditioning market has been seriously affected. The spread of the epidemic has greatly restrained consumer demand, especially the need for new replacements that are not urgent. China’s beverage market was greatly impacted, especially liquors. Normally, CNY accounts for a high proportion of liquor sales. However, the epidemic caused a full-scale impact on consumption of gifts and catering, which will have a disproportionately large impact on the annual performance of liquor sales. Source: RIES Positioning Pioneers COVID-19 Here are examples of how consumers changed their demands for different products.
  • 20. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED COVID-19 has changed consumption in both frequency and preferred channels. Many consumers choose to reduce the frequency of shopping due to fear of going out. More than half of consumers have moved from offline stores to e-commerce (online penetration rate during the epidemic period was as high as 68.2% which increased by 50.7%). New retail businesses have greatly improved during the epidemic period. Instantaneous e-commerce delivery apps like JD daojia and Missfresh can now better meet the core needs of consumers’ “safe & fast” shopping. Where did consumers shop during the epidemic 20 17.5% of consumers move from online purchases to offline stores. 50.1% of consumers shifted from offline stores to online shopping during the epidemic. 18.1% of consumer habits remain unchanged and still rely on online shopping. 14.3% of consumers still mainly rely on offline shopping. Source: Dataway
  • 21. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Explosive growth of fresh food e-commerce (1/2) 21 Company Name City coverage Distribution during the epidemic Fresh food supply changes during the outbreak Sales during the epidemic More than 200 stores in 21 1st- and 2nd-tier cities including Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen The time for ordering starts at midnight everyday, only orders for the same day are accepted and the order is quickly filled 6 times more vegetables supply than usual Sales were about 50% higher than usual, and online orders more than doubled More than 1,500 front warehouses in 16 cities including Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and Shenzhen Advanced ordering is required, delivery will start 4 hours after order Vegetable supply increased from 500 tons per day to 1,000 tons per day 2020 target GMV 20 billion, Spring Festival business increased 300%, average order size increased by 30% to 120 RMB 550 front warehouses in Shanghai, Suzhou, Hangzhou, Shenzhen, Ningbo and Wuxi Delivery within 2.5 hours after placing an order 400 tons daily supply of vegetables for Shanghai residents The overall order volume during the Spring Festival increased by 80%, and the average order size increased by 70% to about 100 RMB Covering nearly 100 major cities in China including Beijing, Shanghai and Guangzhou Consumers can choose the nearby supermarket, delivery within 1 hour only by Dada The platform cooperates with nearly 40 large supermarkets such as Walmart and Yonghui as a fresh food supplier Sales across the platform increased 470% YOY Source: MobTech; Ebrun; Guotai Junan Securities Hema Fresh Miss Fresh Dingdong Maicai JDdj
  • 22. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Explosive growth of fresh food e-commerce (2/2) 22 16.85 27.45 Jan-19 Jan-20 Users of fresh food e-commerce platforms (million) As of 6th February 2020, JD Daojia‘s daily active users have exceeded 1 million, Hema and Dingdong Maicai exceeded 400 thousand. The number of daily users is still increasing. • Fresh food e-commerce companies continue to make effort • Fresh food e-commerce will be valued by more consumers Normally, people can make a habit after using the same channel 4 to 5 times. Since the coronavirus outbreak, most consumers ordered fresh food by e-commerce far more than 4-5 times, which means the industry had not previously received much attention before and will play a more important role in the future. • Fresh food e-commerce industry can further increase penetration After the extreme panic consumption in the epidemic period, vegetable quality and delivery services will be the keys to keep growing. Source: MobTech
  • 23. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Live-stream proactively met consumers needs 23 The general performance of the apparel industry fell by 60% - 80% during the epidemic, however, brands that promote products by live-stream had much more sales than others. In addition, other industries have joined the live-stream tide, such as cosmetics and fresh vegetables. If a live-stream sales model for brands during the epidemic is sloppy, then they will be challenged to be more strategic after the epidemic to maintain sales. 1 2 3 During the epidemic, 88% of Peacebird ’s shopping guides started live-streaming to increase sales. Perfect Diary continues to exert its strength through live-stream during the epidemic. The epidemic gave birth to the live- stream of cooking, where chefs live- stream to sell snacks, drink, and meals. 1 2 3
  • 24. 24© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED COVID-19 outbreak effect on Chinese entertainment 3
  • 25. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 The OPPO small game daily active users during the epidemic (million) Mobile game market will upgrade 25 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 The Honor of Kings daily active users during the epidemic (million) Source: Mob Tech 2020 CNY 2020 CNY Number of daily active users still high after CNY During the Coronavirus outbreak, demand for mobile games increased enormously. The top mobile game companies (such as Tencent) expended their business and further seized the market space of small companies during this period. But the sustainability of mobile games’ boom is questionable once the epidemic subsides. However, it is expected to further promote the upgrading of China’s mobile game market.
  • 26. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Short video platforms gained many new users 26 Source: Quest Mobile During the Coronavirus outbreak, there was an explosive increase in China’s short video market. Before the epidemic, short video platforms have been widely used among young people, they spent more time on short video platforms for entertainment during the epidemic. Also, it is easier for short video platforms to have new users from middle-aged and elderly groups than the past, many young people started to teach their parents to use short video platforms when they were at home, making the platforms accessible to them as a form of entertainment long after the epidemic ends. 25.9% 28.7% 16.1% 11.6% 8.8% 8.6% 7.6% 8.2% 4.9% 3.9% 2.9% 3.5% 33.8% 35.5% 2020 February 2019 February Proportion of the used time of mobile Internet in China (Feb 2019 vs Feb 2020) Instant messaging apps Short video platforms Long video platforms News Search engines Weibo Others +4.5% +0.2% +1%-0.6%
  • 27. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 129 120 190 89 52 105 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 Douyin Kuaishou Bilibili Daily per capita use time of top video apps (minutes, Feb 2020) Live-stream users Other users Live-stream further enhanced user stickiness during the epidemic 27 Live-stream is useful for enhancing user stickiness, it is further accentuated during the COVID-19 epidemic. On top video apps, live-stream users spend more time (more than 120 minutes/day) than other users during the Coronavirus outbreak. In addition to KOLs, tourist sites and venues like museums and bars also started to use live-stream to increase exposure during the epidemic, which attracted much traffic. This may be a new growth point for the live-stream market even after the epidemic. Source: Quest Mobile
  • 28. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Video games are the most popular live stream 28 During the epidemic, video game live-streams attracted more viewers than any other live-streams. Many of those audiences follow specific gaming KOLs, which means they have high users stickiness and potential to be paid users. Since more people are returning to work, the time of live-stream is the key to remain those audience. Active audience: Bullet comments: How much of the 100 live-stream channels during the epidemic were gaming? Game live-stream Other live-stream 66.03% 62.93% 37.07% 33.97% Source: iReseaerch
  • 29. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Daily active users of TV dramas Apps during the epidemic (million) Increased demand for movies and TV dramas 29 Because of the Coronavirus, all movie releases were postponed or canceled, some Chinese movies were showed on the Internet platforms such as Xigua video, Douyin, where they gained a lot of traffic. Online TV dramas also received a large number of views during the epidemic. Through the way of "film + Internet", movies can have new development channels and growth space, and gradually rid the model of box-office revenue. It also can be the way of small and medium-budget films to compete with big movies. Source: Mob Tech Korean dramas TV RenRen Video Lost in Russia (囧妈) was viewed more than 600 million times on China’s video platforms by 27th January 2020. Enter the Fat Dragon (肥龙过江) was viewed more than 20 million times on China’s video platforms by 3rd February 2020. According to the National Radio and Television Administration, the total viewing time of TV and IPTV increased 41.7% during the epidemic.
  • 30. 30© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED The consumption boom after the epidemic 4
  • 31. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Chinese people look forward to going out again after Covid-19 31 21-30 year olds hope to have dinner with friends and family in restaurants after the epidemic, they focus on the quality and health of restaurants. They are the key clients of catering market’s recovery. Eating out Travel in China Visit parents 31-40 year olds wish to travel after the epidemic. Most of them will choose short trips in China since the epidemic is still serious in other countries. They probably will get away from the most popular travel destinations to avoid crowds. 41-50 year olds plan to visit their parents after the epidemic. They usually purchase health products for their parents, thus health related products will even have more sales than before.
  • 32. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED More purchases will come after the COVID-19 32 According to the survey of DATA100 in Mainland China, more than 70% of consumers say they will purchase more after the epidemic. Thus, Chinese consumption will have a quick growth after their daily lives return to normal. Source: Data 100.com on 3,894 respondents, Mainland China, March 2020 73% 14% 13% Expected consumption changes after the epidemic Will buy more products No changes Will buy less products
  • 33. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED What will be Chinese people’s first consumption after the COVID-19 33 Fitness, 7.3% Health check-up, 8.0% Go travel, 8.9% Still stay at home, 9.7% Go shopping, 15.8% Others, 20.9% Food & Beverage, 29.3% Chinese people’s first consumption after the epidemic 1 2 3 What do Chinese people think the most when they’re in a daze recently? Food & Beverage 29.3% of consumers choose “Food & Beverage” as the first consumption after COVID-19. There is no doubt that many of them would take milk tea and hot pot as the first choice. Go shopping 15.8% of consumers choose to “Go shopping", far exceeding other consumer scenarios. It may be related to consumers' long-sufficient shopping desire during the epidemic. Still stay at home 9.7% of consumers choose to still stay at home, which should be related to the fear brought by the epidemic. They will keep the way of consumption during the epidemic. Source: Dataway survey
  • 34. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Resuming work is helping consumption recovery 34 More than 50% Source: Reuter Communication, Meituan Employees were already back at work during the first week of March The white-collar people in the first tier cities are the first group back at work, they showed high consumption demand for F&B, especially delivery services. The food delivery is growing very fast in tier-1 cities. The consumption demands that was restrained during the outbreak are released on order-out platforms, and they take the lead in consumption recovery. Big cities’ consumption is recovering 82% In the F&B sector 96% In the Financial Service sector 74% In the Retail sector
  • 35. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Consumption areas that are starting to recover 35Source: Reuter Communications Cho Tai Fook has reopened more than 85% of its 3,600 shops in China Apple has reopened all of its mainland China stores • 250% growth in domestic flights for the month of June • 230% growth in daily bookings for domestic flights Luxury brands stores reopened Offline retailers reopened their stores Tourists are booking more tickets
  • 36. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Increased caution regarding health and finance 36 Higher financial awareness In terms of consumption, the Coronavirus outbreak has a greater impact on young people, especially consumers between 20- 30 years old. The epidemic may invoke feelings of financial insecurity, hence they may be inclined to have less impulse spending and save more. Health will be the first consideration The health management of the Chinese consumers will be regarded as the primary consideration. Additionally, consumers may pay more attention to the science behind health and diet. Health products and organic food may have long-term growth trends. Insurance demands increased The epidemic made consumers realize the importance of insurance, they will secure further family risk prevention from purchasing insurance. Source: Quest Mobile
  • 37. 37© 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Key Takeaways 5
  • 38. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED Key Takeaways 38 The Coronavirus outbreak largely increased the time spent online, it further digitalized the Chinese people’s consumption, entertainment, and social lives. Due to the epidemic, the Chinese consumers are paying more attention to health-related goods such as household cleaning products and fitness equipment, this habit may continue for a long term. The epidemic has provided a large growth for Fresh food e-commerce to increase the penetration rate of the industry, so it may follow the trend to improve further. I. II. III. Health-related market achieved much growth Fresh food e-commerce should continue to expand penetration Chinese daily life went online during the epidemic The sense of panic and depression during the epidemic may linger for some, part of consumers may be more cautious and health-conscious. IV. Many consumers will remain cautious
  • 39. © 2020 DAXUE CONSULTING ALL RIGHTS RESERVED To get weekly China market insights, follow our WeChat account https://www.linkedin.com/company/daxue-consulting https://daxueconsulting.com/newsletter-2/ WeChat LinkedIn Newsletter 39 STAY UPDATED ON CHINA MARKET INSIGHTS