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Confidence and the rule of law 
The implementation of the Colombian Democratic Security Strategy 
ALVARO URIBE VELEZ 
SEPTEMBER 2012
Colombia in 2002: A Rule of Law crisis 
Colombia in 2002 was a fragile State 
The Colombian Paradox: a long and stable democracy in a permanent 
threat from terrorist groups, drug dealers and organized crime… 
Security 
28.837 homicides 
28882 kidnappings 
69 homicides per 100.000 habitants 
1645 terrorist attacks 
350 mayors out of their municipalities 
158 municipalities without police 
Economy 
Average Economic Growth 1994-2001: 
2.1% 
GDP per Capita: US$2377 
Investment as % of GDP: 16.5% 
Exports: US$11.975 million 
FDI: US$2.100 million 
Inflation: 6.99% 
Fiscal balance: -3.2% 
Social 
Unemployment: 16.2% 
Health Coverage: 25 million Colombians. 
Pension affiliates: 4.5 million 
Poverty:53% 
Education Coverage: Primary 97%, High 
school: 57%, University: 24%. 
Mobile Phone Lines: 4.6 million 
Internet coverage: 1.9 million
Rule of law was in jeopardy 
Colombia faced a Confidence Deficit 
(Without confidence no rule of law can exist) 
The elusive quest for peace 
Many governments exhausted all 
their political capital attempting 
to reach peace through political 
dialogue…the result was military 
strengthening from illegal armed 
groups and a rapid growth in 
their criminal activities (68% 
thought the country was going in 
a negative track) 
Terrorist Groups (Guerrillas 
and Paramilitaries) had 
created a sense of defeat in 
the Colombian people. 
Fear impacted in the 
Colombian people Mindset 
The lack of investment 
The drain of human capital 
The sense of danger in 
Colombian roads. 
The expansion of massive 
kidnappings created an 
emotional domino effect
Our vision 
Our vision was to build a Comunitary State: 
 CONFIDENCE was our main goal 
Without Confidence: 
• NO INVESTMENT 
• UNEMPLOYMENT 
• LACK OF OPPORTUNITIES 
• BRAIN DRAIN (YOUNG PEOPLE WANTED TO LEAVE WITHOUT A RETURN TICKET) 
 Three main Policies: 
Democratic Security 
Investment with fraternity 
Social cohesion 
 For the First Time a National Development Agenda had Security as a driver of 
Development (Security = Investment = Social Cohesion) 
 No more a debate between left and right
Our achievements 
The combination of our Policies produced significant results: Lowest violence levels in two decades, highest 
Security Economy 
Indicator 2002 2010 
Homicides 28838 15000 
Kidnappings 2882 228 
Homicides per 
100K Habitants 
69 16.3 
Terrorist attacks 1645 250 
Municipalities 
without mayors 
presence 
350 0 
Municipalities 
without police 
158 0 
Indicator 2002 2010 
Average 
Economic 
Growth 
2.1% 4.3% 
GDP per 
Capita 
2377 5300 
Invest % 
GDP 
16.5% 24.6% 
Exports US$11.0 
00 
US$ 
39.000 
FDI US$2.10 
0 
US$ 
7.000 
Inflation 6.9% 2.5% 
Social 
Indicator 2002 2010 
Unemployment 16.2% 11.6% 
Health Coverage 25.1 
million 
43.1 
million 
Pension affiliates 4.5 
million 
7.1 
million 
Poverty 57% 37% 
Education coverage 
(Primary, Hs, University) 
97% 
57% 
24% 
100% 
79.4% 
35.5% 
Mobile phone users 4.6 
million 
lines 
41 
million 
lines 
levels of social coverage in Colombian History and highest levels of Exports and FDI in more than 5 
decades.
The story of how security made possible 
this change … is the one I want to share 
with you today…
DEMOCRATIC SECURITY 
General values 
Take conscience of the 
problem 
Fight fear 
Security as a Democratic 
Value 
Security and social 
cohesion 
Investment and social 
cohesion 
Security, investment and 
social cohesion 
Social Cohesion as de 
validator 
Citizen coalition 
Leadership 
Operational 
essence 
Credibility 
Macro vision-Micro 
Management 
Lead the armed forces 
Involve all the armed 
forces 
Citizen Participation 
Citizen Participation 
effects 
Financial sustainability 
A consistent speech 
Anticipate with the truth 
Implementation 
Assume Responsibility 
Promise commitment 
Intelligence 
Counter Intelligence 
Rewards 
Early victories 
Perseverance in moments 
of crisis 
Endurance in times of 
pressure 
Impact 
Give credit 
International cooperation 
Drugs and illicit crops 
Dismantle terrorist 
groups 
Expose criminals in the 
public spotlight 
Prevent youth 
recruitment 
Local power
General Values 
THE STRATEGIC BEGGINING
1. Take conscience of the problem 
Awareness Recognize Confront
2. Fight fear 
“The only thing we have to fear is fear itself” 
Franklin Delano Roosevelt 
Political 
Fear 
Physical 
Fear
3. Security as a Democratic value 
Economic 
Freedom 
Security 
Individual 
Freedom 
Social 
Freedom 
Political 
Freedom
4. Security and Social Cohesion 
Security 
Social 
Cohesion 
State 
presence 
Job 
creation 
Business
5. Investment and social cohesion 
• Employment 
• Tax collection 
Investment 
Social 
Expenditure 
• Education 
• Health 
• Infrastructure 
• Conditional Cash 
Transfers 
• Housing 
• Quality of life 
• Opportunities 
• Entrepreneurial Spirit 
Social 
Cohesion
6. Security, investment, social cohesion 
Security 
Generates trust 
Boosts 
investment 
Is the anchor of 
peace 
Is the base for 
justice 
Investment 
Mobilizes 
capital 
Generates 
employment 
Incubates 
innovation 
Triggers 
entrepreneurial 
spirit 
Social 
Cohesion 
Education with 
quality 
Health 
Universal 
coverage 
Access to 
finance 
Quality Jobs
7. Social cohesion as Security Validator 
Social 
results 
Social 
investment 
Tax Collections 
Investment 
Security
8. People coalition before political coalition 
Listen to the 
people 
Define a 
deliverable 
message 
Communicate 
effectively a 
vision 
Be in close 
contact with 
the people 
Identify with 
people needs 
Create the 
popular base
9. Leadership values 
Kotter 
Honesty 
Energy 
Competence 
Moss Kanter 
Consistency 
Congruence 
Competence 
Caring 
Lincoln 
Get out of the office 
Communicate 
Talk to people 
Persevere 
Preach a vision 
Strong Hand 
Uribe 
Discipline 
Dedication 
Responsibility 
Love
Operational essence 
THE PATH TO SUCCESS
10. Credibility 
Transparency 
Leadership 
Efficiency 
Effectiveness
11. Macro Vision – Micro Management 
Macro Vision 
Objectives 
Strategy 
Tools 
Impact 
Micro Management 
Detailed follow up 
Tactic 
implementation 
People claims 
Exercise as 
commander in chief
12. Lead the armed forces 
Guide 
Commander 
in Chief 
Support 
Demand 
Lead by 
example
13. Involve all the forces 
Criminal penetration Disputes among forces 
Weakening of State 
authority 
Strengthening of organized 
crime 
Risks of not 
integral 
involvement
14. People participation 
Security 
Councils 
Informants 
Rewards Denouncement
15. The people participation effect 
Trust and love in 
the armed forces 
Transparency Power People
16. Security Financial Sustainability 
Positive 
externalities for 
the Private Sector 
Financial 
Controls 
Sustainability Taxes 
Increase in 
investment 
Economic 
activities 
triggered : 
Tourism, Mining, 
Infrastructure, 
Agriculture
17. Speech consistency 
No 
humanitarian 
exchange 
Terrorism Vs 
Insurgents 
Speech Military 
Rescue 
Same speech 
in every 
audience 
Confront 
terrorist 
supporters 
Terrorist 
threat Vs 
Conflict
18. Truth and anticipation 
Provides 
Confidence 
Transparency 
Truth and 
anticipation 
Eliminates the 
FOG of War 
Social respect in 
the armed forces
Implementation 
THE STRATEGY INTO PRACTICE
19. Assume Responsibility 
Commander 
in Chief 
Credibility 
Armed Forces 
are motivated 
Political 
Transparency 
Fire the 
commander the 
FENIX Lesson
20. Promise dedication not results 
Not to 
overpromise 
Dedication 
Not false 
expectations 
Demonstrate 
hard work 
Find options 
constantly
21. Intelligence 
Intelligence 
All forces cooperate Clear objectives 
Operational 
Human Technical 
Results 
Emanuel FENIX Jaque Camaleon
22. Counter-Intelligence 
Prevent infiltration 
Protect operational 
information 
Distract the 
enemy 
Achieve Results
23. Rewards 
Informant 
Network 
Connectivity Collaboration 
Monday of 
reward
24. Early Victories 
Road 
Security 
Victories 
Fence 
Cartagena 
Kidnap 
rapid 
response 
Citizen 
optimism 
Presidential 
direct 
involvement
25. Persevere in times of crisis 
Governor 
Gaviria 
and 
Gilberto 
Echeverri 
Nogal Bomb 
11 State 
Senators 
Killed 
FENIX 
Diplomatic 
effects
26. Do not yield to pressure 
Own options 
Military Rescue 
Jaque 
Araujo 
Unilateral 
release 
Without 
bargain 
Humanitarian 
gesture 
Justice, Peace 
and Reparation 
Demobilization 
Cooperation 
Protection
The impact factor 
SECRETS BEHIND RESULTS
27. Give Credit 
Share success 
Do not delegate 
failure 
Credit 
Process 
Motivate results 
Praise sacrifice 
and hard work
28. International Cooperation 
Cooperation 
Military 
Support 
Political 
Support 
Intelligence 
Support 
Development 
Assistance 
Economic 
and Trade as 
validators of 
Confidence
29. Illicit drugs 
Illicit crops 
Eradication 
Substitution 
Prevention 
Family 
Education 
School 
Education 
Social 
values 
Consumption 
Decriminalize 
Administrative 
sanctions 
Addiction 
Medical 
treatment 
Rehabilitation 
Micro- 
Trafficking 
Criminal 
sanction 
Strong 
Punishmen 
t 
Cartels 
Decisive 
confrontation 
Asset 
Confiscation 
Anti-Money 
Laundering
30. Dismantle criminals 
Money 
supply 
Dismantle 
Weapons 
supply 
Action Infiltration 
Punishment
31. Expose the Criminals 
No where to 
hide 
No where 
to run 
Don Diego 
Informants 
aware
32. Prevent young recruitment 
Education 
Prevention 
Culture 
Vocational Sports 
Labor 
opportunities
33. Local Power 
Governors 
Local 
Power 
Mayors 
Citi 
Councils 
State 
Senators 
Private 
Sector 
NGO’s 
Community
Final statement
Historical changes took place 
Leadership, governance based on citizen support and political Will, helped 
built significant historical changes in strategic sectors: 
 Reform the oil and gas sector: 
1. Colombia is close to produce 1 million barrels per day from 250.000 in 2002. 
2. Ecopetrol Reform 
3. Created the National Hydrocarbon Agency 
 Reform the Telecom Sector: 
1. Restructure the Colombian Telecommunications Agency 
 Reform the Colombian Social Security Agency 
 More than 2000 criminals were extradited 
 Paramilitary structures were dismantled 
 FARC suffered its biggest historical defeats 
 Colombia experienced its largest historical FDI flows 
 Biggest historical reduction in illicit crops 
 More than 10 FTA’s signed and negotiated 
 Largest historical health and education coverage 
 Largest historical credit expansion 
 Largest historical tourism flows to the country
www.alvarouribevelez.com

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Colombia's Democratic Security Strategy Restores Confidence and Rule of Law

  • 1. Confidence and the rule of law The implementation of the Colombian Democratic Security Strategy ALVARO URIBE VELEZ SEPTEMBER 2012
  • 2. Colombia in 2002: A Rule of Law crisis Colombia in 2002 was a fragile State The Colombian Paradox: a long and stable democracy in a permanent threat from terrorist groups, drug dealers and organized crime… Security 28.837 homicides 28882 kidnappings 69 homicides per 100.000 habitants 1645 terrorist attacks 350 mayors out of their municipalities 158 municipalities without police Economy Average Economic Growth 1994-2001: 2.1% GDP per Capita: US$2377 Investment as % of GDP: 16.5% Exports: US$11.975 million FDI: US$2.100 million Inflation: 6.99% Fiscal balance: -3.2% Social Unemployment: 16.2% Health Coverage: 25 million Colombians. Pension affiliates: 4.5 million Poverty:53% Education Coverage: Primary 97%, High school: 57%, University: 24%. Mobile Phone Lines: 4.6 million Internet coverage: 1.9 million
  • 3. Rule of law was in jeopardy Colombia faced a Confidence Deficit (Without confidence no rule of law can exist) The elusive quest for peace Many governments exhausted all their political capital attempting to reach peace through political dialogue…the result was military strengthening from illegal armed groups and a rapid growth in their criminal activities (68% thought the country was going in a negative track) Terrorist Groups (Guerrillas and Paramilitaries) had created a sense of defeat in the Colombian people. Fear impacted in the Colombian people Mindset The lack of investment The drain of human capital The sense of danger in Colombian roads. The expansion of massive kidnappings created an emotional domino effect
  • 4. Our vision Our vision was to build a Comunitary State:  CONFIDENCE was our main goal Without Confidence: • NO INVESTMENT • UNEMPLOYMENT • LACK OF OPPORTUNITIES • BRAIN DRAIN (YOUNG PEOPLE WANTED TO LEAVE WITHOUT A RETURN TICKET)  Three main Policies: Democratic Security Investment with fraternity Social cohesion  For the First Time a National Development Agenda had Security as a driver of Development (Security = Investment = Social Cohesion)  No more a debate between left and right
  • 5. Our achievements The combination of our Policies produced significant results: Lowest violence levels in two decades, highest Security Economy Indicator 2002 2010 Homicides 28838 15000 Kidnappings 2882 228 Homicides per 100K Habitants 69 16.3 Terrorist attacks 1645 250 Municipalities without mayors presence 350 0 Municipalities without police 158 0 Indicator 2002 2010 Average Economic Growth 2.1% 4.3% GDP per Capita 2377 5300 Invest % GDP 16.5% 24.6% Exports US$11.0 00 US$ 39.000 FDI US$2.10 0 US$ 7.000 Inflation 6.9% 2.5% Social Indicator 2002 2010 Unemployment 16.2% 11.6% Health Coverage 25.1 million 43.1 million Pension affiliates 4.5 million 7.1 million Poverty 57% 37% Education coverage (Primary, Hs, University) 97% 57% 24% 100% 79.4% 35.5% Mobile phone users 4.6 million lines 41 million lines levels of social coverage in Colombian History and highest levels of Exports and FDI in more than 5 decades.
  • 6. The story of how security made possible this change … is the one I want to share with you today…
  • 7. DEMOCRATIC SECURITY General values Take conscience of the problem Fight fear Security as a Democratic Value Security and social cohesion Investment and social cohesion Security, investment and social cohesion Social Cohesion as de validator Citizen coalition Leadership Operational essence Credibility Macro vision-Micro Management Lead the armed forces Involve all the armed forces Citizen Participation Citizen Participation effects Financial sustainability A consistent speech Anticipate with the truth Implementation Assume Responsibility Promise commitment Intelligence Counter Intelligence Rewards Early victories Perseverance in moments of crisis Endurance in times of pressure Impact Give credit International cooperation Drugs and illicit crops Dismantle terrorist groups Expose criminals in the public spotlight Prevent youth recruitment Local power
  • 8. General Values THE STRATEGIC BEGGINING
  • 9. 1. Take conscience of the problem Awareness Recognize Confront
  • 10. 2. Fight fear “The only thing we have to fear is fear itself” Franklin Delano Roosevelt Political Fear Physical Fear
  • 11. 3. Security as a Democratic value Economic Freedom Security Individual Freedom Social Freedom Political Freedom
  • 12. 4. Security and Social Cohesion Security Social Cohesion State presence Job creation Business
  • 13. 5. Investment and social cohesion • Employment • Tax collection Investment Social Expenditure • Education • Health • Infrastructure • Conditional Cash Transfers • Housing • Quality of life • Opportunities • Entrepreneurial Spirit Social Cohesion
  • 14. 6. Security, investment, social cohesion Security Generates trust Boosts investment Is the anchor of peace Is the base for justice Investment Mobilizes capital Generates employment Incubates innovation Triggers entrepreneurial spirit Social Cohesion Education with quality Health Universal coverage Access to finance Quality Jobs
  • 15. 7. Social cohesion as Security Validator Social results Social investment Tax Collections Investment Security
  • 16. 8. People coalition before political coalition Listen to the people Define a deliverable message Communicate effectively a vision Be in close contact with the people Identify with people needs Create the popular base
  • 17. 9. Leadership values Kotter Honesty Energy Competence Moss Kanter Consistency Congruence Competence Caring Lincoln Get out of the office Communicate Talk to people Persevere Preach a vision Strong Hand Uribe Discipline Dedication Responsibility Love
  • 18. Operational essence THE PATH TO SUCCESS
  • 19. 10. Credibility Transparency Leadership Efficiency Effectiveness
  • 20. 11. Macro Vision – Micro Management Macro Vision Objectives Strategy Tools Impact Micro Management Detailed follow up Tactic implementation People claims Exercise as commander in chief
  • 21. 12. Lead the armed forces Guide Commander in Chief Support Demand Lead by example
  • 22. 13. Involve all the forces Criminal penetration Disputes among forces Weakening of State authority Strengthening of organized crime Risks of not integral involvement
  • 23. 14. People participation Security Councils Informants Rewards Denouncement
  • 24. 15. The people participation effect Trust and love in the armed forces Transparency Power People
  • 25. 16. Security Financial Sustainability Positive externalities for the Private Sector Financial Controls Sustainability Taxes Increase in investment Economic activities triggered : Tourism, Mining, Infrastructure, Agriculture
  • 26. 17. Speech consistency No humanitarian exchange Terrorism Vs Insurgents Speech Military Rescue Same speech in every audience Confront terrorist supporters Terrorist threat Vs Conflict
  • 27. 18. Truth and anticipation Provides Confidence Transparency Truth and anticipation Eliminates the FOG of War Social respect in the armed forces
  • 29. 19. Assume Responsibility Commander in Chief Credibility Armed Forces are motivated Political Transparency Fire the commander the FENIX Lesson
  • 30. 20. Promise dedication not results Not to overpromise Dedication Not false expectations Demonstrate hard work Find options constantly
  • 31. 21. Intelligence Intelligence All forces cooperate Clear objectives Operational Human Technical Results Emanuel FENIX Jaque Camaleon
  • 32. 22. Counter-Intelligence Prevent infiltration Protect operational information Distract the enemy Achieve Results
  • 33. 23. Rewards Informant Network Connectivity Collaboration Monday of reward
  • 34. 24. Early Victories Road Security Victories Fence Cartagena Kidnap rapid response Citizen optimism Presidential direct involvement
  • 35. 25. Persevere in times of crisis Governor Gaviria and Gilberto Echeverri Nogal Bomb 11 State Senators Killed FENIX Diplomatic effects
  • 36. 26. Do not yield to pressure Own options Military Rescue Jaque Araujo Unilateral release Without bargain Humanitarian gesture Justice, Peace and Reparation Demobilization Cooperation Protection
  • 37. The impact factor SECRETS BEHIND RESULTS
  • 38. 27. Give Credit Share success Do not delegate failure Credit Process Motivate results Praise sacrifice and hard work
  • 39. 28. International Cooperation Cooperation Military Support Political Support Intelligence Support Development Assistance Economic and Trade as validators of Confidence
  • 40. 29. Illicit drugs Illicit crops Eradication Substitution Prevention Family Education School Education Social values Consumption Decriminalize Administrative sanctions Addiction Medical treatment Rehabilitation Micro- Trafficking Criminal sanction Strong Punishmen t Cartels Decisive confrontation Asset Confiscation Anti-Money Laundering
  • 41. 30. Dismantle criminals Money supply Dismantle Weapons supply Action Infiltration Punishment
  • 42. 31. Expose the Criminals No where to hide No where to run Don Diego Informants aware
  • 43. 32. Prevent young recruitment Education Prevention Culture Vocational Sports Labor opportunities
  • 44. 33. Local Power Governors Local Power Mayors Citi Councils State Senators Private Sector NGO’s Community
  • 46. Historical changes took place Leadership, governance based on citizen support and political Will, helped built significant historical changes in strategic sectors:  Reform the oil and gas sector: 1. Colombia is close to produce 1 million barrels per day from 250.000 in 2002. 2. Ecopetrol Reform 3. Created the National Hydrocarbon Agency  Reform the Telecom Sector: 1. Restructure the Colombian Telecommunications Agency  Reform the Colombian Social Security Agency  More than 2000 criminals were extradited  Paramilitary structures were dismantled  FARC suffered its biggest historical defeats  Colombia experienced its largest historical FDI flows  Biggest historical reduction in illicit crops  More than 10 FTA’s signed and negotiated  Largest historical health and education coverage  Largest historical credit expansion  Largest historical tourism flows to the country