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Profits, Products and Promises
Profitable Product Selection
July 30, 2014
Our talk today is about business fundamentals used to
select products for development. It’s important to be
objective about the products we choose to develop. They
have a major impact on our company’s profitability.
We won’t talk about any one selection process or method.
We’re going to stick to time-honored basics that are a part
of good decision making.
Real Quick…
What do we mean by ‘business fundamentals’?
For our discussion it relates to how we identify new
opportunities and product lines.
This talk is intended to get you thinking about the
basics.
Have the business
fundamentals been
observed?
What is the launch budget
and timeline
Is the right infrastructure in
place?
… and so on
Ask the Right
Questions!
From Our Product Launch Discussion-
The Importance of Fundamentals
Increased
company
revenue and
profitability
Increased
Brand Equity
and
Awareness
Incredible
competition
these days
Low barriers
to entry
Step 1- Create a Map
Mission-
How we
attain our
Vision
Roadmap-
The Plan
and
Direction
Vision- Our
Corporate
Aspiration
Roadmap Examples
www.nestle.com
Vision Example
“To connect People to what's important in their lives
through friendly, reliable, and low-cost air travel.”
www.southwest.com
Mission Example
“The mission of Southwest Airlines is dedication to the
highest quality of Customer Service delivered with a
sense of warmth, friendliness, individual pride, and
Company Spirit.”
www.southwest.com
The Corporate Map
Will the product make a profit?
Resources
Do we have the time and budget?
Knowledge
Do we have domain knowledge?
Values
Does the product fit our vision/mission?
The Competitive Map
Competition
Do we have serious competition?
Trends
Who will buy it?
The Market
Do we have a potential product?
What Do People Say We Need?
What do our customers and sales/marketing people say
we need?
› Listening vs. Hearing
› Is a small group of people ‘shouting’?
› Is there a legitimate need/requirement?
› Is this an enhancement or new product?
› Oh man, is this a pet project?
And while we’re on pet projects…
Pets have been the
undoing of many good
PM’s, so,
› Have a visible corporate
sponsor
› Have clearly defined
goals
› Keep everyone informed
of progress/pitfalls
› Be prepared for the
worst
A Few Bigger Questions
Several things will impact
our research:
› Demographics
› Society and Culture
› Politics and Legal Issues
› Technology
› Economic
› Global Business
The Market
Once you understand the bigger picture ask:
› What will the product be?
› What sort of features will it have
› How big is the market?
› And do you need special features for different markets?
› Are there business and cultural barriers?
› Can the market be reached?
Porter’s ‘Five Forces’
Competition
Threats from
Substitute
Products
Bargaining
Power of
Buyers
Threats from
Direct
Competitors
Bargaining
Power of
Suppliers
A Couple of Quantitative Tools
SWOT Analysis
› Strength, Weakness, Opportunities, Threats
› Strengths and Weakness- Refers to the product idea and your
company (‘Internal’)
› Opps and Threats- Refers to your market and competitors (‘External’)
› Tells you how your company compares to the competition
› Gives you an idea where you are today
Product Selection Matrix
A product selection matrix will help narrow down your
choices:
Criteria Weight Product A Product B Product C
Looks Good 3 2 (x3)= 6 5 (x3)= 15 1 (x3)= 3
Creates
Value
5 5 (x5)= 25 5 (x4)= 20 4 (x5)= 20
Good
Margins
4 1 (4)= 4 3 (x4)= 12 4 (x4)= 16
Total 35 47 39
Oh Yeah, How Much Will it Return?
Net Present Value (NPV)
Tells you how much dollar invested
today will be worth at some point in
the future
It’s a good way to compare multiple
products
and whether to build, partner or buy
Excel function is =NPV
Return on Investment (ROI)
Tells you in percentage terms how
much a product has returned v. it’s
initial investment
Requires accurate forecasting of both
development costs and sales revenue
You can use ROI as a screening method
to approve new product development
Excel function is =IRR
‘Build, Buy or Partner’
Build
› The product be built in-
house with existing
resources
› Can go to market quickly
› Maintains profitability
› Maintains your company
reputation
Buy/Partner
› Product already exists
› Product expertise is not in-
house
› Teams up against a common
competitor
› Maintains profitability
› Enhances your reputation
And the really important question
Do you have the
Time
People
Resources
Know-How
To pull it off?
Quality
Scope
Cost
Time
A Word About Disruptive Innovation
Do you have the opportunity to introduce a new
product that:
› “Addresses simple applications at bottom of your
market,
› Moves relentlessly up the market
› And dislodges established competitors?”1
1Clayton Christensen- “The Innovator’s Dilemma”
Disruptive Innovation- Computers
1960’s Mainframe 1970’s minicomputer 80’s/90’s Desktop Computer 00’s Smartphones
The Take Home Message
Understand your company aspiration- it gives you a
better idea what to develop.
Understand your competitors- it gives you a better idea
of what to develop and whether you’ll be successful.
Understand your customers- it gives you a better
chance of success.
Understand your resources- it will keep you profitable
And now for a little inspiration…
“...decide...whether or
not the goal is worth the
risks involved. If it is,
stop worrying....”
- Amelia Earhart
Must Reads
Michael Porter’s ‘Competitive Strategy’
Daniel Goleman’s ‘Emotional Intelligence’
Clayton Christensen’s ‘The Innovator’s Dilemma’
Thank You!
info@aperturepm.com
www.aperturepm.com

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Profitable Product Selection

  • 1. Profits, Products and Promises Profitable Product Selection July 30, 2014
  • 2. Our talk today is about business fundamentals used to select products for development. It’s important to be objective about the products we choose to develop. They have a major impact on our company’s profitability. We won’t talk about any one selection process or method. We’re going to stick to time-honored basics that are a part of good decision making.
  • 3. Real Quick… What do we mean by ‘business fundamentals’? For our discussion it relates to how we identify new opportunities and product lines. This talk is intended to get you thinking about the basics.
  • 4. Have the business fundamentals been observed? What is the launch budget and timeline Is the right infrastructure in place? … and so on Ask the Right Questions! From Our Product Launch Discussion-
  • 5. The Importance of Fundamentals Increased company revenue and profitability Increased Brand Equity and Awareness Incredible competition these days Low barriers to entry
  • 6. Step 1- Create a Map Mission- How we attain our Vision Roadmap- The Plan and Direction Vision- Our Corporate Aspiration
  • 8. Vision Example “To connect People to what's important in their lives through friendly, reliable, and low-cost air travel.” www.southwest.com
  • 9. Mission Example “The mission of Southwest Airlines is dedication to the highest quality of Customer Service delivered with a sense of warmth, friendliness, individual pride, and Company Spirit.” www.southwest.com
  • 10. The Corporate Map Will the product make a profit? Resources Do we have the time and budget? Knowledge Do we have domain knowledge? Values Does the product fit our vision/mission?
  • 11. The Competitive Map Competition Do we have serious competition? Trends Who will buy it? The Market Do we have a potential product?
  • 12. What Do People Say We Need? What do our customers and sales/marketing people say we need? › Listening vs. Hearing › Is a small group of people ‘shouting’? › Is there a legitimate need/requirement? › Is this an enhancement or new product? › Oh man, is this a pet project?
  • 13. And while we’re on pet projects… Pets have been the undoing of many good PM’s, so, › Have a visible corporate sponsor › Have clearly defined goals › Keep everyone informed of progress/pitfalls › Be prepared for the worst
  • 14. A Few Bigger Questions Several things will impact our research: › Demographics › Society and Culture › Politics and Legal Issues › Technology › Economic › Global Business
  • 15. The Market Once you understand the bigger picture ask: › What will the product be? › What sort of features will it have › How big is the market? › And do you need special features for different markets? › Are there business and cultural barriers? › Can the market be reached?
  • 16. Porter’s ‘Five Forces’ Competition Threats from Substitute Products Bargaining Power of Buyers Threats from Direct Competitors Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 17. A Couple of Quantitative Tools SWOT Analysis › Strength, Weakness, Opportunities, Threats › Strengths and Weakness- Refers to the product idea and your company (‘Internal’) › Opps and Threats- Refers to your market and competitors (‘External’) › Tells you how your company compares to the competition › Gives you an idea where you are today
  • 18. Product Selection Matrix A product selection matrix will help narrow down your choices: Criteria Weight Product A Product B Product C Looks Good 3 2 (x3)= 6 5 (x3)= 15 1 (x3)= 3 Creates Value 5 5 (x5)= 25 5 (x4)= 20 4 (x5)= 20 Good Margins 4 1 (4)= 4 3 (x4)= 12 4 (x4)= 16 Total 35 47 39
  • 19. Oh Yeah, How Much Will it Return? Net Present Value (NPV) Tells you how much dollar invested today will be worth at some point in the future It’s a good way to compare multiple products and whether to build, partner or buy Excel function is =NPV Return on Investment (ROI) Tells you in percentage terms how much a product has returned v. it’s initial investment Requires accurate forecasting of both development costs and sales revenue You can use ROI as a screening method to approve new product development Excel function is =IRR
  • 20. ‘Build, Buy or Partner’ Build › The product be built in- house with existing resources › Can go to market quickly › Maintains profitability › Maintains your company reputation Buy/Partner › Product already exists › Product expertise is not in- house › Teams up against a common competitor › Maintains profitability › Enhances your reputation
  • 21. And the really important question Do you have the Time People Resources Know-How To pull it off? Quality Scope Cost Time
  • 22. A Word About Disruptive Innovation Do you have the opportunity to introduce a new product that: › “Addresses simple applications at bottom of your market, › Moves relentlessly up the market › And dislodges established competitors?”1 1Clayton Christensen- “The Innovator’s Dilemma”
  • 23. Disruptive Innovation- Computers 1960’s Mainframe 1970’s minicomputer 80’s/90’s Desktop Computer 00’s Smartphones
  • 24. The Take Home Message Understand your company aspiration- it gives you a better idea what to develop. Understand your competitors- it gives you a better idea of what to develop and whether you’ll be successful. Understand your customers- it gives you a better chance of success. Understand your resources- it will keep you profitable
  • 25. And now for a little inspiration… “...decide...whether or not the goal is worth the risks involved. If it is, stop worrying....” - Amelia Earhart
  • 26. Must Reads Michael Porter’s ‘Competitive Strategy’ Daniel Goleman’s ‘Emotional Intelligence’ Clayton Christensen’s ‘The Innovator’s Dilemma’