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We’llreturntonormal
(Anyoneremembernormal?)
Theyearaheadwillseehealthygrowthinhome
salesandprices,butataslowerpacethanin
2015.Thisslowdownisnotanindicationofa
problem—it’sjustareturntonormalcy.
Generationalshufflewillmake
2016thebestyeartosellin
thenearfuture
Millennialsemergedasadominantforcein
2015,representingalmost2millionsales,which
ismorethanone-thirdofthetotal.Thispattern
willcontinuein2016astheirlargenumbers
combinedwithimprovingpersonalfinancial
conditionswillenableenoughbuyersbetween
ages25and34tomovethemarket—again.
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Builderswillfocusonmore
affordablepricepoints
Oneaspectofhousingthathasnotrecovered
yethasbeensingle-familyconstruction.Facing
higherlandcosts,limitedlabor,andworries
aboutdepthofdemandintheentry-level
market,buildershaveshiftedtoproducingmore
higher-pricedhousingunitsforareliablepoolof
customers.
Highermortgagerateswill
affecthigh-costmarketsthe
most
Wetoldyoumortgagerateswouldgoupin
2015,andtheydid—buttheyalsowentback
down.Weexpectsimilarvolatilityin2016,but
themovebytheFederalReservetoguideinter-
estrateshighershouldresultinamorereliable
upwardtrendinmortgagerates.
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Homepricesmaystagnate
AstheFederalReserveworrieslessaboutstimulusandmore
aboutkeepinginflationincheckwithaneconomythat’sfinally
producingjobs,interestrateswillgoup,increasingthecostof
creditforthoseseekingtopurchaseahome.
Theremaybefewerhouses
availableforbuyers
Thesteadyrecoveryinreal-estatepricesin
manymarketsoverthelastfouryears(the
mediansalespriceofall-sizedU.S.homeshas
risenfrom$153,000inJanuary2012to
$183,000inNovemberof2015,againof
nearly20%)hasbeenatwo-edgedswordfor
peoplelookingtobuyahomeormoveup
toalargerorbetterone.toalargerorbetterone.
Moremillennialswilllookto
buyahome
Thegoodnewsisthatmoremillennialswantto
buyhomesbetweennowand2018,according
toTrulia.com.Just65% ofmillennial-aged
borrowers(ages18to34)wantedtoowna
homein2011,accordingtotherealestate
group,butnowthatnumberhasincreasedto
80% for2015,upfrom78% in2014.
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Morenewmortgageloanproducts
willbeneeded
Asmortgageinterestratesrise,theneedformoreloanproducts
thatdon’trequirelargedownpaymentsoryearsofmortgage
insurancepremiumsisgoingtorisein2016aswell,saysAnthony
Hsieh,chiefexecutiveofloanDepot.com,thesecond-largest
nonbanklenderintheU.S.
PlayingforAdvantage,
GuardingtheFlank
“Bigassets,bigcities,bigcapital,andbig
competition.TheU.S.ismoreinfavorthantherestof
theworldrightnow.”
Thegameofchessisnotagameofchance,butrequiresmasteryofThegameofchessisnotagameofchance,butrequiresmasteryof
acomplexsetofskillsthatarebothartandscience.Aplayerneeds
tobealert,equallyawareofthestrengthsandweaknessesofhis
ownpositionandthatofhisopponent.Aplanisneeded,most
assuredly.Thenumberofpossiblegamesthatcandevelop,
however,exceedsthenumberofatomsintheuniverse.Hence,
flexibilitywithintheplaniscritical.Eachmovehasashort-term
impactandisalsoastepinpositioningforavictoriousendgame.impactandisalsoastepinpositioningforavictoriousendgame.
Infographicby
www.WashingtonStateKitchenBath.com
Sources:
https://pixabay.com
http://www.realtor.com/news/trends/five-key-trends-for-2016/?is_wp_site=1
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/4-real-estate-trends-well-see-in-2016-2015-12-09
http://uli.org/research/centers-initiatives/center-for-capital-markets/emerging-trends-in-real-estate/americas/

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Real Estate Trends 2016