The Outlook for Investment in Health Care Properties: Medical Office Buildings and Outpatient Facilities 3 (Jonathan Winer) - ULI fall meeting - 102811
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The Outlook for Investment in Health Care Properties: Medical Office Buildings and Outpatient Facilities 3 (Jonathan Winer) - ULI fall meeting - 102811
1. THE OUTLOOK FOR I NVESTMENT IN MEDICAL
OFFICE B UILDINGS AND OUTPATIENT
FACILITIES
Capital Markets Conditions
Presented By:
Jeffrey H. Cooper
Executive Managing Director
Savills, LLC
2. Institutional-quality Medical Office Buildings exhibit the
following characteristics:
Typical size – 50,000 – 120,000 square feet
Strategic Locations
On the campus of a strong investment grade hospital/health system
(typically Ground Lease ownership structure)
Off-campus but usually within close proximity to an affiliated hospital
campus
3. Hospitals are major tenants under a long-term lease
7-10 year on average NNN leases with annual increases
promote stable cash flow
High occupancy and high tenant retention (80% or more)
4. Long-term trends and drivers for Medical Office Buildings
(“MOBs”) and Outpatient Facilities:
Defensive Asset Class
Healthcare spending is approximately 17% of U.S. GDP and
projected to increase to 25% by 2025 (CBO)
Favorable demographic trends (aging baby boomers)
Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (2010)
Increasing third-party ownership
Hospital monetization
Third-party development
5. Capital Markets/Pricing Characteristics:
MOBs are an “in demand” asset class
Investors attraction to “core MOB assets”
Defensive asset class
Lack of quality supply
Strong equity investor interest (i.e. REITs)
REITs low cost of capital has increased transactional activity
annual volume
$5.0 country volume ($bil)
$0.0
02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
Source: Real Capital Analytics (2011)
6. Capital Markets/Pricing Characteristics:
The MOB asset class is favored among lenders
Cap rates have remained near historical lows
10.0%
8.0%
CAP RATE
6.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 Q2 11 Q4
YEAR
7. Active Investors in Healthcare Real Estate Include:
Publicly traded Healthcare REITs
Non-publicly traded REITs
Private equity funds
Pension funds
Sovereign Wealth Funds
Family offices
Developer / Investors
8. Baylor Cancer Center, Dallas, Texas – Case Study:
Duke Realty retained to develop and own Baylor Cancer Center
10-story, 465,000 SF, Class A outpatient cancer facility and Medical Office Building
On the campus of Baylor University Medical Center (“BUMC”) which is part of Baylor
Health Care System (S&P/Moody’s: AA-; Aa2)
Total development cost of approximately $155 million
Transaction was executed with Northwestern Mutual
84/16 joint venture structure between Duke Realty and Northwestern Mutual
Property was 93% pre-leased
9. In-Conclusion:
Market conditions favor aggressive pricing for medical
real estate
Limited supply of property =Scarcity Premium
Historically low interest rates = Pricing Power
Well-capitalized buyers = Strong Demand
Opportunistic time to analyze and potentially approach
the market with medical real estate