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THE OUTLOOK FOR I NVESTMENT IN MEDICAL
   OFFICE B UILDINGS AND OUTPATIENT
               FACILITIES

       Capital Markets Conditions
                    Presented By:


                  Jeffrey H. Cooper
             Executive Managing Director
                     Savills, LLC
Institutional-quality Medical Office Buildings exhibit the
following characteristics:
    Typical size – 50,000 – 120,000 square feet

    Strategic Locations
       On the campus of a strong investment grade hospital/health system
        (typically Ground Lease ownership structure)

       Off-campus but usually within close proximity to an affiliated hospital
        campus
 Hospitals are major tenants under a long-term lease

 7-10 year on average NNN leases with annual increases
  promote stable cash flow

 High occupancy and high tenant retention (80% or more)
Long-term trends and drivers for Medical Office Buildings
(“MOBs”) and Outpatient Facilities:

    Defensive Asset Class

    Healthcare spending is approximately 17% of U.S. GDP and
     projected to increase to 25% by 2025 (CBO)

    Favorable demographic trends (aging baby boomers)

    Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (2010)

    Increasing third-party ownership
       Hospital monetization

       Third-party development
Capital Markets/Pricing Characteristics:
    MOBs are an “in demand” asset class
        Investors attraction to “core MOB assets”

        Defensive asset class

        Lack of quality supply

    Strong equity investor interest (i.e. REITs)
        REITs low cost of capital has increased transactional activity
                                            annual volume
            $5.0                                      country volume ($bil)




            $0.0
                   02    03        04        05         06       07           08   09   10   11

              Source: Real Capital Analytics (2011)
Capital Markets/Pricing Characteristics:


    The MOB asset class is favored among lenders

    Cap rates have remained near historical lows


                  10.0%


                  8.0%
       CAP RATE




                  6.0%


                  4.0%


                  2.0%


                  0.0%
                          02   03   04   05   06    07    08   09   10   11 Q2 11 Q4
                                                   YEAR
Active Investors in Healthcare Real Estate Include:

    Publicly traded Healthcare REITs

    Non-publicly traded REITs

    Private equity funds

    Pension funds

    Sovereign Wealth Funds

    Family offices

    Developer / Investors
Baylor Cancer Center, Dallas, Texas – Case Study:
   Duke Realty retained to develop and own Baylor Cancer Center

   10-story, 465,000 SF, Class A outpatient cancer facility and Medical Office Building

   On the campus of Baylor University Medical Center (“BUMC”) which is part of Baylor
     Health Care System (S&P/Moody’s: AA-; Aa2)

   Total development cost of approximately $155 million

   Transaction was executed with Northwestern Mutual

   84/16 joint venture structure between Duke Realty and Northwestern Mutual

   Property was 93% pre-leased
In-Conclusion:
    Market conditions favor aggressive pricing for medical
     real estate
       Limited supply of property =Scarcity Premium

       Historically low interest rates = Pricing Power

       Well-capitalized buyers = Strong Demand

    Opportunistic time to analyze and potentially approach
     the market with medical real estate

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The Outlook for Investment in Health Care Properties: Medical Office Buildings and Outpatient Facilities 3 (Jonathan Winer) - ULI fall meeting - 102811

  • 1. THE OUTLOOK FOR I NVESTMENT IN MEDICAL OFFICE B UILDINGS AND OUTPATIENT FACILITIES Capital Markets Conditions Presented By: Jeffrey H. Cooper Executive Managing Director Savills, LLC
  • 2. Institutional-quality Medical Office Buildings exhibit the following characteristics:  Typical size – 50,000 – 120,000 square feet  Strategic Locations  On the campus of a strong investment grade hospital/health system (typically Ground Lease ownership structure)  Off-campus but usually within close proximity to an affiliated hospital campus
  • 3.  Hospitals are major tenants under a long-term lease  7-10 year on average NNN leases with annual increases promote stable cash flow  High occupancy and high tenant retention (80% or more)
  • 4. Long-term trends and drivers for Medical Office Buildings (“MOBs”) and Outpatient Facilities:  Defensive Asset Class  Healthcare spending is approximately 17% of U.S. GDP and projected to increase to 25% by 2025 (CBO)  Favorable demographic trends (aging baby boomers)  Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (2010)  Increasing third-party ownership  Hospital monetization  Third-party development
  • 5. Capital Markets/Pricing Characteristics:  MOBs are an “in demand” asset class  Investors attraction to “core MOB assets”  Defensive asset class  Lack of quality supply  Strong equity investor interest (i.e. REITs)  REITs low cost of capital has increased transactional activity annual volume $5.0 country volume ($bil) $0.0 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 Source: Real Capital Analytics (2011)
  • 6. Capital Markets/Pricing Characteristics:  The MOB asset class is favored among lenders  Cap rates have remained near historical lows 10.0% 8.0% CAP RATE 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 Q2 11 Q4 YEAR
  • 7. Active Investors in Healthcare Real Estate Include:  Publicly traded Healthcare REITs  Non-publicly traded REITs  Private equity funds  Pension funds  Sovereign Wealth Funds  Family offices  Developer / Investors
  • 8. Baylor Cancer Center, Dallas, Texas – Case Study:  Duke Realty retained to develop and own Baylor Cancer Center  10-story, 465,000 SF, Class A outpatient cancer facility and Medical Office Building  On the campus of Baylor University Medical Center (“BUMC”) which is part of Baylor Health Care System (S&P/Moody’s: AA-; Aa2)  Total development cost of approximately $155 million  Transaction was executed with Northwestern Mutual  84/16 joint venture structure between Duke Realty and Northwestern Mutual  Property was 93% pre-leased
  • 9. In-Conclusion:  Market conditions favor aggressive pricing for medical real estate  Limited supply of property =Scarcity Premium  Historically low interest rates = Pricing Power  Well-capitalized buyers = Strong Demand  Opportunistic time to analyze and potentially approach the market with medical real estate