#covid19 #covid19india #covid19awareness #covid19solutions #trends #opportunities

1. Era after
COVID- 19

2. 2
There is an attempt to model Covid -19 (Corona
Virus) would play out :
Lockdowns have a time span of usability
The rate at which Covid-19 is spreading, it
appears to be inescapable that all people on
the planet will get it at some point or another
There is just a single method to get over
the COVID-19 infection- you get safe to it
Key Business Trend &
Driver - 23rd March 2020

3. This is an attempt to model how Covid-19 would play out. And an outcome of reading, coupled with views on its economic impact compared to
other economic calamities like the Global Financial Crisis.
There are three convictions that this future gauge depends on :
Convictions 1 : The rate at which Covid-19 is spreading, it appears to be inescapable that all people on the planet will get it at some point or another.
At this moment there is a great deal of spotlight on lock-downs, social separating and curfews by governments to stop the quick spread of Covid-19. What do we believe
is the result of this? There are 2 prospects - a) This lock-down can confine the spread of Covid-19 to two or three million individuals on the planet b) The lock-down just
eases back the spread of the infection, with the goal that the cases don't overpower a nation's medicinal services framework.
Most investigates demonstrate that it is the last mentioned. All measures are being brought to simply hinder the spread, as opposed to having any genuine any desire for
containing the infection. With in excess of 316,000 detailed cases on the planet (unreported rundown could without much of a stretch be 1mn in addition to effectively)
spread across 100+ nations, it has just crossed a scale that can't be contained. Measures can just decrease the speed of the spread. Sometime, even irregular disengaged
contact between various human systems will make it spread in more up to date networks.
Numerous individuals point towards the China circumstance and assume that China has contained it. I am of the view that the information originating from China is
profoundly suspect. In the event that the infection has spread from Wuhan to the whole world, do you figure it hasn't spread to different pieces of China? I consider the
thought ludicrous. It's a short time before the bluff gets got out.
So We are of the view that Covid-19 will proceed to spread and in the long run become as normal as the regular flu.
Belief 2 : There is just a single method to get over the Covid-19 infection - you get safe to it.
This implies it is possible that you get it and win the battle, so your body has antibodies that murder the infection. Or on the other hand we can create an antibody that
creates insusceptibility in a huge number of individuals over the world.
Enough individuals having resistance against the infection guarantees that the spread stops and the infection in the long run becomes like the regular cold (which it for
the most part resembles; - Covid19 is a transformation of the normal virus causing Coronavirus).
Anyway the immunisation doesn't appear to be likely sooner rather than later. Commonly an antibody that can be managed to a great many individuals internationally
needs to experience broad preliminaries and it requires some investment. We had the SARS pandemic in 2002 and in Dec 2004 the principal immunisation competitor
was going into testing stage. It didn't experience as SARS vanished and there was no more requirement for its antibody. In any case, regardless of whether the venture
would have experienced, it would have taken at any rate 12-year and a half more to make the antibody accessible for individuals.
We can contend that Covid-19 has a lot higher worldwide centre, accessibility of assets and a more prominent criticalness to build up an immunisation. In any case, it is
profoundly implausible that a mass made immunisation would introduce itself before two years.
So it is dependent upon individuals to guarantee their invulnerability is at its best. What's more, information proposes that the infection's death rates are very low for
individuals with a solid insusceptible framework and not having some other wellbeing illnesses that could intensify the effect of the infection.
This means that either you get it and win the fight, so your body has antibodies that kill the virus. Or we are able to invent a vaccine that generates immunity in millions
of people across the world.

4. Belief 3 : Lockdowns have a time span of usability
We have had a wide range of financial emergency circumstances - GFC, Asian emergency, War lead despondencies, etc. In any case, one thing that consistently gets
development back is human movement, difficult work and desires. At some point or another, individuals begin working and teaming up and making something that gets
estimated as the economy or GDP or whatever you call it.
Along these lines, it is simple for governments to go through some boost to speed this recuperation, either by diminishing financing costs or by spending a great deal in
building framework or some different improvement.
In a situation where broadened times of lock down proceed, it is highly unlikely to animate monetary development. There is nothing the administration can do to support
the economy if a nation is in shutdown mode, as a shutdown basically disheartens all action, customer spending and business for some, huge ventures like Auto, Travel,
Entertainment, Retail, etc. Any endeavor to give financial upgrade in a lockdown circumstance can just prompt nourishment and medicinal services expansion (the
fundamentals that individuals are purchasing in a lockdown circumstance).
This means in a lockdown mode, it is unavoidable that there will be monetary breakdown prompting a huge number of positions lost and basically a larger number of
passings from the financial breakdown than from the infection itself. There could be a finished breakdown of law and request in case of a shutdown that goes on longer
and influences occupations of individuals.
Subsequently a Lockdown has a time span of usability. Governments can utilize a lockdown to get some time, yet the clock is ticking and soon lockdowns will be
unreasonable any more. Its absolutely impossible that any nation's administration can take care of every one of its kin for longer than 4-6 or perhaps 8-12 weeks. The
main way 7bn individuals can get by on the planet is through the monetary motor.
So where do these 3 focuses get us? It implies that Lockdowns are brief and gets some time for the world. The lockdowns won't have the option to seclude the infection
totally and inevitably it will spill out and begin spreading. Furthermore, along these lines we should be set up to convey medicinal services administrations to an
expanding number of individuals.
Basically we have to move to another ordinary, where individuals begin moving around with certain precautionary measures to decrease the speed of the spread.
Furthermore, meanwhile we have to duplicate the worldwide human services limit complex. What's more, thusly, we would likewise produce another monetary motor
that would make business and pay that makes up for any misfortune brought about by a portion of the precautionary measures to decrease the speed of Covid-19's
spread.

5. Trend and way forward
1. It is impossible that outrageous reactions will occur till Covid-19 cases are as of now at 100-200 in any nation. At this stage be that as it may, governments ought to get
into extraordinary lock-down advances. This incorporates halting mass open vehicle frameworks that can spread the infection all through the nation. This at present is by
all accounts occurring in India.
2. The legislature should drive high mindfulness about the infection and assist individuals with understanding safeguards they can take. More spotlight on cleanliness,
wearing veils, social removing. In the more influenced zones, go for lock-downs. This again presently is by all accounts unfurling in India.
3. There ought to be a tremendous spotlight on extending the medicinal services framework. In a creating nation like India, this would mean increasing the emergency
clinic beds per 1000 individuals by a factor of 10!
4. To underline this point significantly more, the administration needs to have extremely solid approaches to boost human services framework and prepare for this sort
of outcome. Medicinal services infra spending needs to turn out to be no. 1 need for next 2 years. Speculations should be steered towards this by re-directing every
single other endowment and social spending to this one reason.
5. The administration can utilise lockdowns for 6 two months to slow the infection and utilise this opportunity to launch activity on the medicinal services framework. Be
that as it may, inside about two months, their hand will be constrained by financial matters and commonality should begin returning.
6. Stimulation as well as new normal would be:
a) Tax incentive for WFH
b) R&D benefit for investment in Healthcare
c) From Financial centric to Health care centric economy in the world
d) More sharing of individual healthcare data
e) Incentive to Elder care facility
The list could be endless. The huge opportunities is in this list.
At Aera, we work with you to help you and identify such possibilities